ARAB WORLDS UNDERSTAND & SUCCEED Opportunities and perspectives Jean-François Galletout, Founder,...

ARAB WORLDS

UNDERSTAND & SUCCEEDOpportunities and perspectives

Jean-François Galletout, Founder, P.L.A.N. Inc. and P.L.A.N. Europe Ltd.

Consultant, Middle East Affairs

Adviser to Météo France International & to the French foreign trade 1997-2004

President of the French NGO OMIP, [email protected] www.omip.fr

ARAB WORLDS, UNDERSTAND & SUCCEEDUT1 IAE, MIM/M2 January 22, 2013

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mailto:[email protected]

« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013

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SUMMARY

PART 1 : FACTS, FIGURES & CHALLENGES OF THE ARAB WORLD9h30 – 10h45

PAUSE 10h45 – 11h00

PART 2 : PERPECTIVES AND OPPORTUNITIES 11h00 – 12h00

PART 3 : TOOL BOX / Q & A12h00 – 12h 30

« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 JAN 22, 2013

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SOME KEY NOTIONS

Being an Arab in 2013

Muslims, Sunni, Shiite, Shariya

Arab Christians, Arab Jews

Religious sects, Muslim Brothers, Salafists,

Extremists groups (Al-Qa’eda – Hezbollah etc.)

Arab political regimes since independances & Arab « Springs »


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SOME KEY NOTIONS








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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Christians in the Middle East

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SOME KEY NOTIONS








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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Breakdown of population of some countries by religion

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SOME KEY NOTIONS








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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Al-Qa’ida

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SOME KEY NOTIONS








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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013« Printemps » arabes…

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Chart of the index of confidence of the population, 2009

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Sub-Regional Disparities

Who are we talking about?

322 million people in the region:

--35m in GCC

--71m in LDC

--80m in Maghreb

--136m in Mashreq

Data for 2006. World Bank. WDI

« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Human Development Index (HDI) 2009 source UNDP

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Muslim populatiion in Europe (2)

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Map of the Arab World in 1914

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Map of the Independences

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SUMMARY

PART 1 : FACTS, FIGURES & CHALLENGES OF THE ARAB WORLD9h30 – 10h45

PAUSE 10h45 – 11h00

PART 2 : PERPECTIVES AND OPPORTUNITIES 11h00 – 12h00

PART 3 : TOOL BOX / Q & A12h00 – 12h 30

« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 JAN 22, 2013

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013World dependence on oil

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Density of population 2005

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Density of population late 20th century

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Birth rate 2011 (CIA World factbook)

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Sweet water access in the world in 2007

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013The importance of water, source of disputes and conflicts

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Palestine, Israël, who controls the water flow ?

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013G8 – G20

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Qatar investments world-wide 2011 (estimates)

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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Among Qatar investments in Europe

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2 Perspectives & Opportunities

- Political level

- Social level

- Economic development


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2 Perpectives and Opportunities

At the political level

- Political systems modernization

- An equal opportunity society for tomorrow ?

- Regional and sub-regional political organisations reforms (Arab League, UMA, Gulf Co-operation Council etc)

- Regional economic cooperation bodies to be invented/re-activated


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At the social level

- A new and modern Arab identity

- Bridging the gap between rich and poor

- Education and vocational training agains unemployment


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Economic development and business opportunities

- Oil & Gas - Education / vocational training

- Health sector- Tourism and civil aviation- Security and Defence- Public transportation (buses, tramway, railways…)- Water management, waste management and recycling- Consumer goods (forecasted increase of purchasing power)- Luxury products (perfumes, fashion, jewellery, etc.


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« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013Geographic localization of sovereing funds

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3 Tool box – Questions & Anwsers (Q&A)

- a widening gap between cultures ? So close and so different

- limits of organisations / human relationship still at the center of the society and business relationship

- Autism in the west due to poor knowledge of the region

- Distorted information in the media & aweak message coming from the region


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3 Tool box – Recap (Q&A)

Assets- Young and resourceful population- Homogenous language/culture/values/religion- Oil and gas reserves- Financial reserves- Towards new political systems ?

Drawbacks- Huge gaps of GDP/capita- Weak and deficient education system in most countries - No common efficient political organization yet !- No joint economic market (Maghreb / Israel-Jordan -Lebanon-Palestine- Syria – Gulf countries…)- Unresolved conflicts / instability still prevail in some countries/region


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CLOSING REMARKS

Democracy is indeed the major tool for people happiness and prosperity and the base for a new government system. It is the corner stone a of new

project for the society. However Democracy is a tool for wellbeing of population and not an end in itself.

Arab peoples projects should include economic development and shared growth. Without good economic perspectives and some kind of unity

(example of EU) « revolutions » cannot succeed.

Recent changes in the Arab World will lead to a new approach in international economic relations as well and perhaps give faith to Arabs to

invest in Arab countries rather than elsewhere.

It is in times of crisis that one should invest for the future


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BIBLIOGRAPHY

UNDP Arab States Report 2009 edition www.arabstates.undp.org

Les 100 clefs du Proche-Orient, A. Gresh, D. Vidal, Hachette littérature

Seven Pillars of Wisdom, ISBN 0-9546418-0-9 / Les Sept piliers de la Sagesse édition 1922 T.E. Lawrence éditions Phébus

Arabian Sands ISBN 0-14-009514-4 / Le désert des déserts, Wilfred Thesiger, Terre Humaine, poche

History of the Arab peoples, Albert Hourani, Faber & Faber

Atlas des pays arabes, éditions Autrement, 2012


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ARAB WORLDS UNDERSTAND & SUCCEED Opportunities and perspectives Jean-François Galletout, Founder,...

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