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8/3/2019 Arcelor mittal Slides2Q07
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Second Quarter 2007Media Presentation
1st August 2007
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01/08/2007 Confidential 2
Agenda
Introduction and overview
Safety, market overview, synergies and investment planprogress
Q2 results Outlook and guidance
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Introduction and overviewSafety, market overview, synergies andInvestment update
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Introduction and overview
Health & Safety statistics
Frequency rate* reduced by 14% in Q207 versus Q107
Record Results
Stronger than anticipated 1H07 EBITDA of US$9.7 billion compared with US$6.8 billion in 1H06
US$973m of synergies captured by end of 1H07 ahead of schedule
Growth investment program progressing as planned with new projects approved
Production start-up of major growth project in Poland and Brazil
Hot Strip Mill expansion in Brazil approved Concessions for iron ore mining project in Senegal confirmed
Strengthening of European tube business with two acquisitions in France
Profitability expected to remain at high level in Q3
EBITDA expected to be between US$4.7-4.9bn in Q307
Compares with pro forma EBITDA of US$4.4 billion for Q306
* Lost time injuries per 1,000,000 worked hours
** Based on H1 07 annualised EBITDA
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Continuous Improvement in
Health and Safety
Health and Safety progress ahead of target in Q2
Main Action Lines
Continuing analysis of fatalities and Returnon experience (REX) leads to specificmeasures at group level
Prevention campaign on falls andcrushes
Training kits for new construction
Internal Audits
Support from Corporate in terms ofbest practices sharing and plantstwinning
Significant improvement realised during Q2in most divisions
IISI-standard: Fr = Lost Time Injuries per 1.000.000 worked hours
Group frequency rate*
3.0
3.5
3.7
4.1
3.9 3.8
Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07
Target
2007: 3.2
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01/08/2007 Confidential 6
Market overview
Overall global steel market remains healthy
Improved supply condition in China Chinese steel production growth expected to remain moderate Fixed investment growth and domestic real steel demand remaining solid
US balanced supply/demand equilibrium Underlying demand remains weak
Pricing environment expected to improve with demand in second half of 07
Healthy market in Europe Robust economic growth in Western Europe and buoyant steel market in Eastern Europe Small reduction in production implemented for balanced supply/demand equilibrium Seasonal slowdown as expected
Stainless Steel Base price expected to remain under pressure
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Additional synergies delivered
More synergies captured in purchasing and SG&A than expected
Marketing & Trading
- Synergies from harmonized and improved pricing throughhigher service levels and quality to customers have beenlargely captured at end of Q2.
Purchasing- Better than anticipated global sourcing synergies captured
at end of Q2 and estimated at end of Q3. Main gainsresulting not only from negotiations with suppliers(purchasing power) but also in the optimisation of logisticsfor supplies to each plant.
Manufacturing & Process optimisation
- Positive impact of input flow (scrap and semis) optimisationin Long Carbon division and first industrial synergies in FlatCarbon Europe expected to be captured by end of Q3.
SG&A and other
- Significantly more synergies than anticipated captured inSG&A
ArcelorMittal annualised synergies
Captured at
31/12/06
Captured at
31/03/07
Captured at
30/06/07
Estimated at
30/09/07
SG&A and otherManufacturing & Process Optimisation
PurchasingMarketing & Trading
269
573
973
1,280
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Main projects completed in Q207
- Brazil-Tubaro (FCA): Slab capacity increase from5mt to 7.5mt.
- Poland-Krakow (FCE): New Hot Strip mill start-up
leading to quality and yield improvements andadditional capacity of 300,000t.
- Spain Zaragoza (LCE): Plant relocated to outside thecity with increased capacity and product range.
- Brazil SOL (FCA): Heat Recovery Coke Batterieswith a capacity of 1.5mt of coke and power generationof 170 mw of electricity. All 4 batteries completed.
- Mexico-Lazaro (FCA): CO2 absorption system toincrease DRI production by 270,000t.
Main projects expected to be completed in 2007
- Argentina-Acindar (LC): 250,000t DRI, 300,000tmeltshop and 200,000t bar rolling mill capacity
increase. To start-up in Q407.- Mexico-Volcan (Iron Ore): Capacity to reach 2mt iron
ore concentrate per year. To start-up in Q407.
Main projects expected to be initiated in 2007
- Ukraine-Kryviy Rih (AACIS): Liquid steel capacityincrease to 10mt.
- Liberia (Iron ore): Mining development and
infrastructure reconstruction to start.- Saudi Arabia (AACIS): Construct a 500,000t
seamless tube mill.
- Bosnia-Zenica (AACIS): Restarting 1mt integratedroute.
- South Africa (AACIS): Two additional directreduction kiln. De-bottlenecking through an increaseof 350,000t of DRI.
New projects approved in Q207
- Brazil CST (FCA): Hot Strip mill expansion from2.5mt to 4mt. Start up date Q109.
- Poland (AM3S): New Steel Service Centre in
Krakow. Start up date Q108.
CAPEX and investment plan progress
USD 2.3bn of CAPEX realised in H1 2007
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Results highlights
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Results highlights
Record earnings
1H 07 EBITDA of US$9.7 bn up 42% compared with H1 06
2Q 07 EBITDA of US$5.3 bn up 23% compared with US$4.3bn in 1Q 07
Increased demand for our products at higher price across all main regions and businesssegments
Ahead of market consensus
Net profit up
1H 07 net income of US$5.0 bn up 45% over 1H 06
2Q 07 net income at US$2.7 bn up 21% versus 1Q 07
Capex
Capital expenditure of US$2.3 bn in the first half 2007
Strong cash-flow from operations US$6.4 bn cash-flow generated from operations in first half 2007
US$3.7 bn in the second quarter 2007
* Based on H1 07 annualised EBITDA
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P&L highlights: H106 vs H107
In H106 vs. H107:
- Revenue increased by 19% due
to increase in steel price
- Half-yearly EBITDA improved by
42%
- Net income increased by 45%
unaudited 1H 2006 1H 2007
Revenue 43 304 51 699
Gross op. result (EBITDA) 6 800 9 672
as % of revenue 15.7% 18.7%
Depreciation & Amortisation -1 663 -1 985
Operating result (EBIT) 5 137 7 687
as % of revenue 11.9% 14.9%
Net financing cost -980 -192
Equity method gains & other inc 231 432
Profit before tax 4 388 7 927
tax -343 -2 021
Minority interests -625 -933
Net result, Group share 3 420 4 973as % of revenue 7.9% 9.6%
EPS 2.47 3.60
Shipment ('000 mt) 56 935 55 711
Proforma results
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Outlook and Guidance
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Outlook and Guidance
2007 EBITDA expected to be higher than in 2006
Total EBITDA expected of between US$4.7 billion and US$4.9 billion for Q307
Compares with US$4.4 billion in the same period of 2006
Tax rate of approximately 25% for the year
EBITDA expected to be higher in 2007 than in 2006
Overall market remains healthy with good underlying dynamics
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Demonstrating resilience to cycle and
on track to demonstrate growth
EBITDA growth new dynamic from:
- Brownfield and Greenfield expansion
- Value added investment
- Mining and distribution growth
- Cost reduction and management gains
- Merger synergies
- Targeted acquisition
Pre Merger Post Merger
ArcelorMittal EBITDA pro-forma
2004 2005 2006 9m 2007G
USD16bn USD14.9bn USD15.3bnUSD 14.4-14.5bn
HRC FOB US Midw es t $/s.ton
* Guidance
*
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01/08/2007 Confidential 15
Q&A