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Supplementary Information Evaluation of air quality indicators in Alberta, Canada – An international perspective Md. Aynul Bari * , Warren B. Kindzierski School of Public Health, University of Alberta, 3-57 South Academic Building, 11405-87 Avenue, Edmonton, Alberta, T6G 1C9 Canada 38 pages, 4 tables, 27 figures
Transcript

Supplementary Information

Evaluation of air quality indicators in Alberta, Canada – An

international perspective

Md. Aynul Bari*, Warren B. Kindzierski

School of Public Health, University of Alberta, 3-57 South Academic Building, 11405-87

Avenue, Edmonton, Alberta, T6G 1C9 Canada

38 pages, 4 tables, 27 figures

*Corresponding author. Tel.:+1 780 492 0382; fax: +1 780 492 0364.

Email address: [email protected] (M.A. Bari).

Table S1. Geographic information and location of monitoring stations in Canadian and international urban areas.

Region City Station ID Latitude LongitudeCanadian cities Edmonton 90130 53.54449 -113.49893

Calgary 90228 51.04761 -114.07517Fort McKay 90801 57.18941 -111.6405

Fort McMurray 90701 56.7328 -111.3902Toronto 60433 43.66417 -79.38722Montreal 50109 45.502679 -73.663875

Vancouver 100118 49.26167 -123.16333Ottawa 60104 45.43433 -75.676

Hamilton 60512 43.25778 -79.86167Winnipeg 70118 49.93207 -97.11317Regina 80110 50.45017 -104.61722

Saskatoon 80211 52.13613 -106.66293Halifax 30118 44.646323 -63.573381

U.S. urban areas Denvar 08-031-0025 39.704005 -104.99811Phoenix 04-013-0019 33.48385 -112.14257Chicago 18-089-2004 41.585496 -87.474486Boston 25-025-0042 42.3295 -71.0826

Pittsburg 42-003-0064 40.323768 -79.868062Milwaukee 55-079-0026 43.060975 -87.913504Houston 48-201-1035 29.733726 -95.257593

EU urban areas Prague CZ0ARIE 14.442692 50.081482Brussels BETR001 4.332555 50.850208

Berlin DEBE068 13.418833 52.513606Zurich CH0010A 8.530419 47.377586Sofia BG0050A 23.296786 42.680558

Madrid ES0126A -3.73194 40.39472Paris FR04143 2.351111 48.85944

London GB0566A -0.12589 51.52229Australia Sydney Earlwood 33.917778 151.134722

Table S2. Measurement methods used in Canadian and international urban areas.

NO2 SO2 PM2.5 O3Canadian cities Edmonton Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-FDMS Ultraviolet Absorption

Calgary Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-FDMS Ultraviolet AbsorptionFort McKay Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence SHARP 5030 Ultraviolet AbsorptionFort McMurray Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence SHARP 5030 Ultraviolet AbsorptionToronto Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-SES Ultraviolet AbsorptionMontreal Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-FDMS Ultraviolet AbsorptionVancouver Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-SES Ultraviolet AbsorptionOttawa Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-SES Ultraviolet AbsorptionHamilton Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM-SES Ultraviolet AbsorptionWinnipeg Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence SHARP 5030 Ultraviolet AbsorptionRegina Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence BAM Ultraviolet AbsorptionSaskatoon Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence TEOM Ultraviolet AbsorptionHalifax Gas Phase Chemiluminescence Pulsed Fluorescence BAM Ultraviolet Absorption

U.S. urban areas Denver Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Ultraviolet Fluorescence R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

Phoenix Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Ultraviolet Fluorescence R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

Chicago Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Ultraviolet Fluorescence R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

Boston Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Multiple Methods Used R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

Pittsburgh Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Ultraviolet Fluorescence R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

Milwaukee Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Ultraviolet Fluorescence R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

Houston Gas Phase Chemiluminescence1 Ultraviolet Fluorescence R & P Model 2025 PM2.5 Sequential w/WINS Ultraviolet Absorption2

EU urban areas Prague Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence BAM Ultraviolet AbsorptionBrussels Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence Rupprecht & Patashnick TEOM 1400a Ultraviolet AbsorptionBerlin Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence Gravimetry Ultraviolet AbsorptionZurich Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence Gravimetry (Digitel HIVOL) Ultraviolet AbsorptionSofia Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence Beta-absorption Ultraviolet AbsorptionMadrid Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence Gravimetry Ultraviolet AbsorptionParis Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence TEOM Ultraviolet AbsorptionLondon Chemiluminescence Ultraviolet Fluorescence TEOM-FDMS Ultraviolet Absorption

Australia Sydney Chemiluminescence Pulsed fluorescent spectrophotometry BAM Ultraviolet Spectroscopy

1Federal Reference Method, 2Federeal Equivalent Method, TEOM-FDMS: Tapered Element Oscillating Microbalances-Filter Dynamics Measurement Systems, SHARP 5030: Synchronized Hybrid Ambient Real-time, TEOM-SES: Tapered Element Oscillating Microbalances-Sample Equilibration System, BAM: Beta Attenuation Monitor.

Fig. S1a. Location of Edmonton Central and East air monitoring stations (yellow stick pins) and industries in and surrounding Edmontonthat report to Environment Canada’s National Pollutant Release Inventory (NPRI) during 2013 using Google Earth; note: red bar = 15 km(Image IBCAO © 2016 Google).

Fig. S1b. Location of Calgary Central and East air monitoring stations (yellow stick pins) and industries in and surrounding Calgary thatreport to Environment Canada’s National Pollutant Release Inventory (NPRI) during 2013 using Google Earth; note: red bar = 15 km(Image IBCAO © 2016 Google).

Fig. S1c. Location of Fort McKay air monitoring station (yellow stick pin) and industries in and surrounding Fort McKay that report to Environment Canada’s National Pollutant Release Inventory (NPRI) during 2013 using Google Earth; note: red bar = 15 km (Image IBCAO © 2016 Google).

Fig. S1d. Location of Fort McMurray Athabasca Valley air monitoring station (yellow stick pin) and industries in and surrounding Fort McMurray that report to Environment Canada’s National Pollutant Release Inventory (NPRI) during 2013 using Google Earth; note: red bar = 15 km (Image IBCAO © 2016 Google).

Fig. S2. Temporal profiles of hourly concentrations of NO2 at four communities of Alberta for 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th

(upper quartile) percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, geometric mean values as round black ball and 10 th and 98th percentile concentrations as whiskers.

Fig. S3. Temporal profiles of hourly concentrations of SO2 at four communities of Alberta for 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile) percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, geometric mean values as round black ball and 10 th and 98th percentile concentrations as whiskers.

Fig. S4. Temporal profiles of hourly concentrations of PM2.5 at four communities of Alberta for 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile) percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, geometric mean values as round black ball and 10 th and 98th percentile concentrations as whiskers.

Fig. S5. Temporal profiles of hourly concentrations of O3 at four communities of Alberta for 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile) percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, geometric mean values as round black ball and 10 th and 98th percentile concentrations as whiskers.

Fig. S6. Temporal profiles of hourly concentrations of THC at four communities of Alberta for 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile) percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, geometric mean values as round black ball and 10 th and 98th percentile concentrations as whiskers.

Fig. S7. Temporal profiles of hourly concentrations of CO at four communities of Alberta for 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile) percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, geometric mean values as round black ball and 10 th and 98th percentile concentrations as whiskers.

Fig. S8. Theil-Sen’s trend plots for annual geometric mean concentrations of NO2 at four communities of Alberta (1998–2014).

Edmonton central NO2

Edmonton east NO2

Calgary central NO2

Calgary east NO2

Fort McKay NO2

Fort McMurray NO2

Fig. S9. Theil-Sen’s trend plots for annual geometric mean concentrations of SO2 at four communities of Alberta (1998–2014).

Edmonton east SO2

Calgary east SO2

Fort McKay SO2

Fort McMurray SO2

Fig. S10. Theil-Sen’s trend plots for annual geometric mean concentrations of PM2.5 at four communities of Alberta (1998–2014).

Edmonton central PM2.5

Edmonton east PM2.5

Calgary central PM2.5

Calgary east PM2.5

Fort McKay PM2.5

Fort McMurray PM2.5

Fig. S11. Theil-Sen’s trend plots for annual geometric mean concentrations of O3 at four communities of Alberta (1998–2014).

Edmonton central O3

Edmonton east O3

Calgary central O3

Calgary east O3

Fort McKay O3

Fort McMurray O3

Fig. S12. Theil-Sen’s trend plots for annual geometric mean concentrations of THC at four communities of Alberta (1998–2014).

Edmonton central THC

Edmonton east THC

Calgary central THC

Calgary east THC

Fort McKay THC

Fort McMurray THC

Fig. S13. Theil-Sen’s trend plots for annual geometric mean concentrations of CO at four communities of Alberta (1998–2014).

Edmonton central CO

Edmonton east CO

Calgary central CO

Calgary east CO Fort McMurray CO

0 6 12 18 24

0

10

20

30

40

50

Time (h)

Con

cent

ratio

n (p

pb)

0 6 12 18 240

10

20

30

40

50

Time (h)

Con

cent

ratio

n (p

pb)

Fig. S14. Average diurnal (hourly) concentrations of NO2 and O3 at the major urban cities in Alberta for the period of 1998–2014 (missing data at 2:00 due to automatic instrument calibration).

Winter

Summer

1998–2014

1998–2014

NO2_Fort McMurray

NO2_Edmonton central

NO2_Calgary central

NO2_Fort McKayO3_Fort McKay

O3_Edmonton central

O3_Calgary central

O3_Fort McMurray

O3_Edmonton central

O3_Calgary central O3_Fort McKay

O3_Fort McMurray

NO2_Fort McMurray

NO2_Fort McKay

NO2_Edmonton central

NO2_Calgary central

0 6 12 18 240

10

20

30

Time (h)

PM

2.5

(µg/

m3)

0 6 12 18 240

10

20

30

Time (h)

PM

2.5

(µg/

m3)

PM2.5

PM2.5

Winter

Winter

Summer

SummerSO2 SO2

Calgary central

Edmonton centralFort McKay

Fort McMurrayFort McMurrayFort McKay

Edmonton centralCalgary central

1998–2014 1998–2014

Calgary east

Calgary eastEdmonton eastEdmonton east

Fort McKay

Fort McKay

Fort McMurrayFort McMurray

0 6 12 18 240

1

2

3

4

5

Time (h)

SO

2 (p

pb)

0 6 12 18 240

1

2

3

4

5

Time (h)

SO

2 (p

pb)

Fig. S15. Average diurnal (hourly) concentrations of PM2.5 and SO2 (missing data for SO2 at 2:00 due to automatic instrument calibration).

0 6 12 18 241.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Time (h)

THC

(ppm

)

0 6 12 18 240

1

2

3

4

Time (h)

THC

(ppm

)

0 6 12 18 240.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Time (h)

CO

(ppm

)

0 6 12 18 240.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Time (h)

CO

(ppm

)

Winter 1998–2014 THC THC1998–2014 Summer

CO COWinter Summer

Edmonton central

Edmonton central

Calgary central

Calgary central

Fort McMurray

Fort McMurray

Edmonton centralCalgary central

Fort McMurray

Fort McKay

Fig. S16. Average diurnal (hourly) concentrations of THC and CO (missing data for SO2 at 2:00 due to automatic instrument calibration).

Fig. S17. Box plots of monthly NO2 concentrations over the period 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile)

percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, mean values as round black ball and minimum and maximum values as whiskers.

Fig. S18. Box plots of monthly O3 concentrations over the period 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile)

percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, mean values as round black ball and minimum and maximum values as whiskers.

Fig. S19. Box plots of monthly PM2.5 concentrations over the period 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile)

percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, mean values as round black ball and minimum and maximum values as whiskers.

Fig. S20. Box plots of monthly SO2 concentrations over the period 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile)

percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, mean values as round black ball and minimum and maximum values as whiskers.

Fig. S21. Box plots of monthly CO concentrations over the period 1998–2014. Boxes represent 25th (lower quartile) and 75th (upper quartile)

percentile values, with median values as lines across the boxes, mean values as round black ball and minimum and maximum values as whiskers.

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0

5

10

15

20

1 1

8

1

Number of 8 h O3 exceedances (> 65 ppb)Edmonton centralCalgary centralFort McKayFort McMurray

No

of O

3 ex

ceed

ance

s

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0

10

20

30

40

50

10

1 1

12

52

12

31 2

73

1 1 2 2 2

21

8

2

84

1 25

2 31 1

18

52

10

13 2

41 1 2

32

73

52

Number of 24 h PM2.5 exceedances (> 30 μg/m3)Edmonton centralCalgary centralFort McKayFort McMurray

No.

of P

M2.

5 ex

ceed

ance

s

a

b

Fig. S22. Total number of exceedances of Canada-Wide Standard for (a) 8 h O3 (65 ppb) and (b) 24 h PM2.5 (30 μg/m3) concentrations at the

community stations over the study period (1998–2014).

1-Ja

n-98

1-Ju

l-98

1-Ja

n-99

1-Ju

l-99

1-Ja

n-00

1-Ju

l-00

1-Ja

n-01

1-Ju

l-01

1-Ja

n-02

1-Ju

l-02

1-Ja

n-03

1-Ju

l-03

1-Ja

n-04

1-Ju

l-04

1-Ja

n-05

1-Ju

l-05

1-Ja

n-06

1-Ju

l-06

1-Ja

n-07

1-Ju

l-07

1-Ja

n-08

1-Ju

l-08

1-Ja

n-09

1-Ju

l-09

1-Ja

n-10

1-Ju

l-10

1-Ja

n-11

1-Ju

l-11

1-Ja

n-12

1-Ju

l-12

1-Ja

n-13

1-Ju

l-13

1-Ja

n-14

1-Ju

l-14

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

24 h PM2.5Edmonton central

μg/m

3

1-Ja

n-98

1-Ju

l-98

1-Ja

n-99

1-Ju

l-99

1-Ja

n-00

1-Ju

l-00

1-Ja

n-01

1-Ju

l-01

1-Ja

n-02

1-Ju

l-02

1-Ja

n-03

1-Ju

l-03

1-Ja

n-04

1-Ju

l-04

1-Ja

n-05

1-Ju

l-05

1-Ja

n-06

1-Ju

l-06

1-Ja

n-07

1-Ju

l-07

1-Ja

n-08

1-Ju

l-08

1-Ja

n-09

1-Ju

l-09

1-Ja

n-10

1-Ju

l-10

1-Ja

n-11

1-Ju

l-11

1-Ja

n-12

1-Ju

l-12

1-Ja

n-13

1-Ju

l-13

1-Ja

n-14

1-Ju

l-14

0

30

60

90

120

150

18024 h PM2.5Calgary central

μg/m

3

Fig. S23. PM2.5 concentrations (24 h) at Edmonton and Calgary central sites over the study period (1998–2014).

24 h Canada-Wide Standard

24 h Canada-Wide Standard

1-Ja

n-98

1-Ju

l-98

1-Ja

n-99

1-Ju

l-99

1-Ja

n-00

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1-Ju

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1-Ja

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l-13

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n-14

1-Ju

l-14

0

30

60

90

120

150

18024-h PM2.5Fort McKay

Fort McMurray

μg/m

3

Fig. S24. PM2.5 concentrations (24 h) in the AOSR over the study period (1998–2014).

24 h Canada-Wide Standard

1-Ja

n-11

11-J

an-1

121

-Jan

-11

31-J

an-1

110

-Feb

-11

20-F

eb-1

12-

Mar

-11

12-M

ar-1

122

-Mar

-11

1-A

pr-1

111

-Apr

-11

21-A

pr-1

11-

May

-11

11-M

ay-1

121

-May

-11

31-M

ay-1

110

-Jun

-11

20-J

un-1

130

-Jun

-11

10-J

ul-1

120

-Jul

-11

30-J

ul-1

19-

Aug

-11

19-A

ug-1

129

-Aug

-11

8-S

ep-1

118

-Sep

-11

28-S

ep-1

18-

Oct

-11

18-O

ct-1

128

-Oct

-11

7-N

ov-1

117

-Nov

-11

27-N

ov-1

17-

Dec

-11

17-D

ec-1

127

-Dec

-110

100

200

300

400

5001 h PM2.5Fort McKay

Fort McMurray

μg/m

3

Fig. S25. MODIS satellite image of wildfires on May 16, 2011 in Slave Lake, Alberta (a) and

impact on ambient PM2.5 concentrations in the AOSR (b).

May 16, 2011

Slave Lake

1 h AAAQO of 80 μg/m3

a

b

Fort McMurray

Fig. S26. Comparison of 1 h percentile concentrations between Canadian and major U.S. cities during 2012 using box-whisker plots; data for

Edmonton/Calgary are based on central stations except east stations for SO2.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60PM2.5Edmonton Downtown Calgary Downtown

Fort McKay Fort McMurrayToronto Downtown Montreal DowntownOttawa Downtown

98th

Per

cent

le P

M2.

5 (μ

g/m

3)

Fig. S27. Comparison of 98th percentile concentrations of PM2.5 between major Canadian cities over the period of 2003 to 2013

excluding year 2010 for Edmonton and 2011 for Fort McKay and Fort McMurray due to extreme wildfires impact.

24 h Canada-Wide Standard

Industrial emission trends

The National Pollutant Release Inventory (NPRI) reports annual releases of pollutants to air from

Canadian industrial facilities/operations (Environment Canada, 2015). Annual reported emissions of NOX,

SO2, and PM2.5 releases to air from industrial facilities/operations in Edmonton, Calgary and the

Athabasca Oil Sands Region (AOSR) were accessed from Environment Canada (2015) for the latest 12

years available (2003–2014) and are summarized in Table S3. NPRI quantities do not account for small

emission sources, such as small compressors and generators, and emissions from private/commercial

vehicles. Table S4 shows trends in NPRI reported industrial emissions for NOX, SO2, and PM2.5 using the

non-parametric (Mann-Kendall and Theil-Sen) approach.

Table S3. Reported NPRI emissions for NOX, SO2, and PM2.5 in Edmonton, Calgary and the Athabasca

Oil Sands Region (AOSR) for the period 2002–2014 (Environment Canada, 2015).

Edmonton CalgaryAthabasca Oil Sands Region

(AOSR)1

Year NOx SO2 PM2.5 NOx SO2 PM2.5 NOx SO2 PM2.5

tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes2002 – – – – – – 21,222 103,792 6242003 75,443 86,489 3,047 8,756 17,858 187 21,194 96,935 1,2152004 76,918 85,698 3,176 5,649 17,648 158 23,868 103,707 1,1662005 75,463 86,968 2,487 5,813 18,085 182 24,376 110,712 1,4412006 73,689 82,277 2,578 5,519 16,131 166 26,551 106,380 2,5322007 72,598 80,453 2,880 5,747 13,930 250 27,943 111,770 3,3962008 72,888 83,455 2,980 5,204 13,449 169 25,006 100,460 2,3862009 72,912 82,588 2,848 4,710 12,179 163 28,032 101,612 2,1512010 73,414 84,343 2,683 4,578 13,939 144 30,075 98,641 2,6262011 64,174 75,503 2,476 4,679 9,229 187 32,685 87,478 2,6532012 59,966 69,131 2,381 4,779 9,852 173 30,246 94,498 2,7262013 61,064 72,594 2,496 4,896 8,910 174 28,027 81,808 2,650

2014 71,234 84,702 3,290 4,250 9,035 168 29,039 45,762 3,9311Reported available NPRI emissions from oil sands and heavy oil facilities within 70-km around Fort McKay; –, not available.

Note: Methods used for quantifying annual releases of substances that are reported in NPRI can vary. Gases like NO x, and SO2 are based on continuous emission monitoring systems (CEMS), while PM2.5 is based on a combination of manual stack testing (Environment Canada, 2015). Environment Canada implements quality measures in an attempt to ensure that NPRI data maintains a high standard of accuracy, consistency and comprehensiveness. Facilities that meet NPRI reporting requirements are required to submit information that is true, accurate, and complete to the best of their knowledge and the Canadian Environmental Protection Act, 1999 sets out penalties for facilities that fail to report or that knowingly submit false or misleading information.

At Edmonton and Calgary, statistically significant downward trends for industrial emissions were

observed for NOX (p = 0.01) with annual decreases of –933 and –164 tonnes/year (–1.2% and –2.7% per

year), respectively over the 2003–2014 period. In contrast, in the AOSR a small upward trend was

Table S4. Reported NPRI emission trends for NOX, SO2, and PM2.5 in Edmonton, Calgary and the

Athabasca Oil Sands Region (AOSR) for the period 2002–2014.

Edmonton Calgary AOSR

Unit T ∆R% ∆R p-value T ∆R % ∆R p-value T ∆R

% ∆R p-value

NOX tonnes ▼ –933 –1.2 ** ▼ –164 –2.7 ** ▲ 750 3.3 **SO2 tonnes ▼ –1204 –1.4 + ▼ –906 –5.0 *** ▼ –2634 –2.3 *PM2.5 tonnes ▬ –37 –1.3 0.152 ▬ –1 –0.6 0.392 ▲ 176 16.7 **

T: Direction of trend: ▬ no change; ▲ increasing; ▼ decreasing; ∆R = rate of change (unit per year).***p ≤ 0.001. **p ≤ 0.01.*p ≤ 0.05. +p ≤ 0.1.

observed for industrial NOx emissions with an annual increase of 750 tonnes/year (3.3% per year) over

the 2002–2014 period, suggesting an influence of emissions from oil sands development activities. SO 2

represents the best marker for emissions of activities involving combustion of fossil fuels. However,

statistically significant downward trends were observed for SO2 emissions at Edmonton, Calgary and the

AOSR with annual decreases ranging from –2634 to –906 tonnes/year (–5.0% to –1.4% per year). Small

non-significant downward trends with annual decreases of –37 tonnes/year (–1.3% per year, p = 0.152)

and 1.0 tonnes/year (–0.6% per year, p = 0.392) were observed for industrial PM2.5 emissions at

Edmonton and Calgary, respectively. While at the AOSR, non-parametric approach suggested significant

upward trend (p ≤ 0.01) for PM2.5 emissions with an annual increase of 176 tonnes/year.

Environment Canada (2015) provides guidance in preparing NPRI emission estimates and emission

factors are typically based on or are similar to those published by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

for the Toxics Release Inventory (TRI) Program. TRI data are self-reported by facilities according to

guidance provided by U.S. EPA (2016). While Environment Canada (2015) implements quality measures

in an attempt to ensure that NPRI data maintains a high standard of accuracy, consistency and

comprehensiveness, the extent of errors in reported versus actual emission quantities of NOX, SO2, and

PM2.5 in Table S3 is unknown and may well be above the %-change-per-year quantities in the table. It is

note that emission information is absent for transportation sector emissions in urban areas in Alberta. The

transportation sector accounts for an important fraction of key air pollutant emissions including PM2.5, and

secondary nitrate precursor (NOX) and secondary organic aerosol precursor (VOC) emissions to urban

areas (Fine et al., 2004; Zhang et al., 2004; Wang et al., 2009; Gordon et al., 2014). Over a 13-year period

the City of Edmonton population increased from 657,350 (2001) to 877,926 (2014) or ~17,000 more

people each year over the period (City of Edmonton, 2015). In addition, over a 10-year period motor

vehicle registrations in Edmonton and the adjacent City of St Albert (current population ~64,000)

increased from 502,200 registrations (2004) to 708,500 registrations (2014) or ~20,600 more vehicles

using Edmonton and St Albert roadways each year over this period (Alberta Transportation, 2008, 2012,

2014). Over the 10-year period 2004-2014 the city added 261,700 residents to its population (City of

Calgary, 2015) and 26,170 more registered vehicles each year (average) using its roadways (Alberta

Transportation, 2015). These surrogate data suggest an increasingly important role of transportation

sector emissions in Edmonton and Calgary over the past decade; whereas NPRI-reported industrial

emissions trends for PM2.5 and major trace elements in Edmonton and Calgary (Table S4) may have

decreased or remained unchanged over this time.

It is acknowledged that only trends for NPRI reported available annual industrial emissions of NOX, SO2,

and PM2.5 over the 2002–2014 period are investigated. It is noteworthy that no emission inventory data is

available on other potentially important emission sources in the Alberta e.g., automobile emissions and

small-scale wood combustion and this warrants additional investigation.

References

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