Date post: | 13-Apr-2017 |
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Artificial Intelligence: How Enterprises Can Crush It With Apache Spark
Mike Gualtieri, VP & Principal Analyst
February 9, 2017
Twitter: @mgualtieri
© 2015 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 3
52%
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64%
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66%
73%
75%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Better leverage big data and analytics in business decision-making
Create a comprehensive strategy for addressing digital technologies like mobile, social & smart products
Create a comprehensive digital marketing strategy
Better comply with regulations and requirements
Improve differentiation in the market
Increase influence and brand reach in the market
Address rising customer expectations
Improve our ability to innovate
Reduce costs
Improve our products /services
Improve the experience of our customers
Customer experience and product innovation are top priorities.
› Base: 3,005 global data and analytics decision-makers› Source: Global Business Technographics Data And Analytics Online Survey
For you For all For segments For you
Demographic Relationships
Hyper-Personal, Digital
RelationshipsPersonal
RelationshipsMass
Relationships
Cust
omer
Exp
erie
nce
1800 1900 1950 2000 2015
• Learn individual customer characteristics and behaviors
• Predict customer needs and desires in real-time
• Adapt applications to serve individual customers
Hyper-personal customer experiences must:
NUMBER
DUNBAR’SThe cognitive limit to the number of people with whom one can maintain stable social relationships (friends).
“We can only ever have 150 friends at
most.”
Robin Dunbar
- University of Oxford, Head of the Social and Evolutionary Neuroscience Research
• Our relationships form a hierarchically inclusive series of circles of increasing size but decreasing intensity.
• 150 is the limit on personalized, reciprocated relationships.
• 1,500 = limit on memory for faces.
515
50
150
Source: Robin Dunbar
500
1500 Who are the 5 people you care about the
most?
25 million investors
How many customers does your organization have?
6 million active customers
390 million visitors/month
1.8 vehicles per year
320 million citizens
© 2015 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 15
How well do you know this consumer?› Male
› 35 years old
› Single
› Resides in New York City
› Makes $100,000 per year
What do you predict he would do if the bank accidently transferred $5,000 into his bank account?
A. Give the money backB. Take the money and run
Spark Summit Quiz
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 18
Enterprises that plan to invest in AI expect customer experience and business model benefits
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 19
Artificial intelligence (AI) interest is high; adoption is nascent
Opportunity
AI is now on the syllabus at top-tier business schools such as Harvard, Insead, MIT, Northwestern, Stanford
“ . . . within a generation, the problem of creating ‘artificial intelligence’ will substantially be solved.” (1967)Marvin Minsky (1927-2016)
Co-founder of MIT’s AI Laboratory in 1959
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 26
Enterprises can use AI building blocks today to add a modicum of intelligence to apps
Pragmatic AI
Nope!
Yep!
Pragmatic 1 Pragmatic 2 Pragmatic 3Research
Use one or more of these AI building block technologies to build a modicum of intelligence in your apps.
Pure
?None yet
Good Enough Pretty Good Creepy Good
InteractiveTel AI listens in real-time to 200,000 minutes of car buyer conversation per month at a large
dealership.
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 34
Machine learning augments programmed logic with learned logic to create AI apps
Streaming data
Application interface
App logic
Appli-cations
Context
Actions
Real-time context
Programmed logic
Learned logicMachine learning Learning
External actions
External context
From other data sources of applications
To other data sources or applications
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 38
Deep learning open source libraries are available now›Caffé
›Deeplearningforj
›MxNet
›OpenAI
›Theano
›Tensorflow
›Torch
10 characteristics + 10 behaviors + 10 needs =30 AI models per customer
1 million customers x 30 models =30 million AI models
AI Models
1100
1001
1011
001
0100
1001
1011
001
0100
1100
1101
101
0100
1001
1011
001
Cus
tom
er D
ata
Tran
sact
ions
Ever
ythi
ng
IoT
…but, traditional analytics to gain insights and build models is usually done much, much later.
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 52
Enterprises can use AI building blocks today to add a modicum of intelligence to apps
Pragmatic AI
Nope!
Yep!Prerequisite
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 60
Pragmatic use cases can work today.
Pragmatic AI
Nope!
Yep!
Prerequisite
Make it converse
Make it predict
Make it see
Make it discover
Make it move