+ All Categories
Home > Economy & Finance > arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

Date post: 19-Jan-2015
Category:
Upload: finance27
View: 112 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
Description:
 
Popular Tags:
21
1 2008 AANY Conference Chip McClure Chairman, CEO and President
Transcript
Page 1: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

1

2008 AANY Conference

Chip McClureChairman, CEO and President

Page 2: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

2

Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation contains statements relating to future results of the company (including certain projections and business trends) that are “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as “believe,” “expect,”“anticipate,” “estimate,” “should,” “are likely to be,” “will” and similar expressions. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to global economic and market cycles and conditions; the demand for commercial, specialty and light vehicles for which the company supplies products; risks inherent in operating abroad (including foreign currency exchange rates and potential disruption of production and supply due to terrorist attacks or acts of aggression); availability and cost of raw materials, including steel and oil; OEM program delays; demand for and market acceptance of new and existing products; successful development of new products; reliance on major OEM customers; labor relations of the company, its suppliers and customers, including potential disruptions in supply of parts to our facilities or demand for our products due to work stoppages; the financial condition of the company’s suppliers and customers, including potential bankruptcies; possible adverse effects of any future suspension of normal trade credit terms by our suppliers; potential difficulties competing with companies that have avoided their existing contracts in bankruptcy and reorganization proceedings; successful integration of acquired or merged businesses; the ability to achieve the expected annual savings and synergies from past and future business combinations and the ability to achieve the expected benefits of restructuring actions; success and timing of potential divestitures; potential impairment of long-lived assets, including goodwill; potential adjustment of the value of deferred tax assets; competitive product and pricing pressures; the amount of the company’s debt; the ability of the company to continue to comply with covenants in its financing agreements; the ability of the company to access capital markets; credit ratings of the company’s debt; the outcome of existing and any future legal proceedings, including any litigation with respect to environmental or asbestos-related matters; product liability and warranty and recall claims; rising costs of pension and other post-retirement benefits and possible changes in pension and other accounting rules; as well as other risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to those detailed herein and from time to time in other filings of the company with the SEC. These forward-looking statements are made only as of the date hereof, and the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law.

Page 3: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

3

Key Messages

• N.A. Class 8 industry showing some favorable signs

– November tonnage up slightly year-over-year

– December net new orders of 20,800 represent third consecutive month of 20,000+

• Light vehicle industry production forecast holding up, but with some signs of weakness

• Continuing to execute strategies to improve cost position, optimize capacity and grow in key areas

Page 4: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

4

Commercial Vehicle Customers Light Vehicle CustomersVolkswagen

7%Chrysler

6%

Ford 2%

Asian Based OEMs 5%

Volvo16%

Other LVS12%

Other CVS18%

Fiat 3%

Asian Based OEMs 7%

Ford 1%

Volkswagen 2%General Motors 2%

PACCAR 3%

International 4%

Daimler 9%

Customer Base2007 Sales

General Motors 1%PSA 2%

65% Commercial

Vehicle

35% Light

Vehicle

Page 5: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

5

LVS Business Portfolio2007 Sales

North America

38%

Europe46%

South America

10%

Asia Pacific

6%

Geographic Mix(Value-Added Sales)

Other

Honda

Toyota

Fiat

Nissan

BMW

VW

Chrysler

Ford

PSA

GM

Customer Mix(Value-Added Sales)

Renault

Hyundai

$2.2 Billion

Page 6: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

6

CVS Business Portfolio2007 Sales

North America

54%Europe28%

South America

6%Asia Pacific11%

GM

Fiat/Iveco

BAE

Hino

XCMG

Tata

Ashok Leyland

VW

PACCAR

Volvo Group

Daimler Trucks

ITE

Geographic Mix Customer Mix

Aftermarket, Trailers and

Other

$4.2 Billion

Page 7: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

7

Challenges

• North American economic outlook– Weak growth– Uncertainty about second half of the year

• Fully loaded management agenda– Performance Plus implementation– Execution of European operational improvements– Capacity additions– Continuing efforts to right-size

• Allocating capital resources among high-return projects– Capacity, efficiency actions, new ventures , new

products

Page 8: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

8

2008 Industry Planning AssumptionsCalendar Year Basis

North America Other Regions/Metrics

U.S. GDP growth 2.2% Europe GDP growth 1.9%

U.S. light vehicle industry sales (millions) 15.5 W. Europe light vehicle

industry sales (millions) 17.1

Class 8 truck production (000) 235-255 Europe medium & heavy truck production (000) 540-550

Class 5-7 truck production (000) 180 Europe trailer production 165

Trailer production (000) 250 Asia medium & heavy truck production (000) 1,340

CV aftermarket industry growth ex. pricing Flat Steel price change Increasing

MRAP production 11,900 South America light vehicle production (millions) 3.8

Page 9: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

9

North America Class 8 Truck Net New Orders

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2006

2007

2005

Source: ACT Research

December is the third straight month with over 20,000 new orders

Net

new

ord

ers

per

mon

th

Page 10: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

November Freight Tonnage Seasonally adjusted monthly index, 2000 = 100.0

100

105

110

115

120

125 3 MMA Monthly 10-Year Trend

Jan2006

Apr 2006

Jul 2006

Oct 2006

Jan 2007

Apr2007

November freight was somewhat encouragingSource: ATA

Jul2007

• Nov. ’07 index – 112.1

Up 0.9% from October 2007

Up 3.5% from November 2006

Oct2007

Page 11: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

11

North America Class 8 Production

89

71

42 44 4350

6065

70

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 FY2009

FY2010

310

220

FY2007 = 246K vehicles

FY2008 = 210K - 230K vehicles

CY2007 = 200K vehicles

CY2008 = 235K – 255K vehicles

Page 12: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

12

Opportunities

• Capitalize on growth in European commercial truck market

• Prepare for upturn in North America

• Leverage assets and team in Asia to improve business structure globally

• Pursue OPEB funding deal

Page 13: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

13

Priorities

1. Implementing Performance Plus cost

improvements

2. Continuing global growth initiatives

3. Expanding Commercial Vehicle Aftermarket

4. Growing business with Asian OEMs

5. Increasing participation in specialty

commercial vehicles

Page 14: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

14

Performance Plus Profit Improvements Not Linked to U.S. Economic Growth• Performance Plus Overhead initiatives – not volume-

dependent• Performance Plus Direct Material Optimization – shifting

resources to implement Europe actions first• Performance Plus Footprint Optimization – announced closure

of Brussels and Frankfurt and opening of new plant in Romania as part of Body Systems transformation

• Performance Plus Lean Manufacturing – accelerated implementation in Europe to support higher volume requirements

• Capacity actions – will increase European operational efficiency in second half of the year

• Performance Plus Product Strategy – improvements in terms with some customers outside the U.S.

Page 15: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

15

Grow Globally

• Expansion of axles joint venture in India• Launch of Chery joint venture• Capacity expansion for China off-highway axles and brakes• Launch of new plant in Pune, India to support light vehicle

customers• Launch of new plant in Romania to support Dacia and

export• CVS capacity expansion to support customer sales to

Central and Eastern Europe • Launch of new gears and axles plant in Monterrey, Mexico• Significant growth in Venezuela through new program with

a global OEM

Page 16: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

16

Commercial Vehicle Aftermarket

• Remanufacturing– Acquired Mascot, a Canadian remanufacturer with 6 production

facilities and 25 distribution points, in December– Provides capability and IP to remanufacture non-ARM components– Greatly enhances regional distribution for next-day availability– Improves access to non-ARM cores

• Europe– Grew sales 18% last year, even though supply was constrained– Opportunities for organic and inorganic growth

• Asia– Distribution in the region currently served through Australia– Become a strong commercial vehicle aftermarket provider with a

recognizable brand in India and China – Opportunities for both organic and inorganic growth

Page 17: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

17

Growing Relationship with Hyundai

• Announced a new award at Analyst Day on December 11– Over four million smart systems™ GM3 window regulator motors

worldwide per year– Launches early 2010

• Announcing two new awards for the new Hyundai Sonata launching in the first half of 2010

– An innovative plastic door module that replaces the current steel version saving up to 25% in weight

• First application of plastic door module technology at Hyundai

• First such ArvinMeritor product in North America– A next generation corporate Hyundai Global Latch

• Adaptable global concept based upon robust ArvinMeritor functional modules

– Both to be manufactured in North America with an annual volume of over 700k

Page 18: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

1818

Performance Plus - Specialty Products Growth

• China off-highway business continues to be strong

• New MRAP awards late in December added to 2008 production, with high share going to our customers

• Some substitution between MRAP and other, pre-existing programs

Page 19: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

19

FAQ: Insider Buying and Selling

• On December 12, a series of Forms 4 were filed showing sales of small amounts of stock by executives

– Sales represented withholding tax amounts for vesting under executive stock programs

– Executed by plan administrator under pre-specified plan rules and elections

• Executives have strong ownership guidelines

• Short-term compensation tied to EBITDA and cash flow

• Long-term compensation tied to ROIC and total returns to shareholders

– Half of long-term compensation paid in stock

Page 20: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

20

Wrap Up

1. Continue emphasis on operational improvement through ArvinMeritor Production System and improved capacity management

2. Radically improve cost base through Performance Plus

• Relentless reduction of overhead costs

• Material optimization and other supply chain improvements

• Restructuring of manufacturing network

3. Capitalize on growth opportunities in specialty, aftermarket and emerging regions

Page 21: arvinmeritor 2008_AANY_ArvinMeritor_FINAL_011708

21

Q & A


Recommended