28
Asia Regional Summary April 2016
Max Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Asia Regional Summary
April 2016
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
Executive Summary HIGH RISK
2 | P a g e
March saw the formation of the PSP in Karachi, thereby placing further pressure on MQM
and elevating the risk of political violence in Sindh Province. An Easter attack in Lahore,
meanwhile, underscored the persistent efforts of jihadist groups to target minorities and
undermine national stability. In Bangladesh, IS claims more attacks while major unrest was
averted as the Supreme Court voted down on a petition to remove Islam as the country’s
state religion. In Sri Lanka, major security operations were put into place in order to stem
rising gang and criminal violence. Meanwhile in India, fresh warnings of militant infiltrations
from Pakistan surfaced, whilst the Supreme Court was set with a decision on reservations
on the Jat community, which could reignite the community’s protests in Haryana State.
In Southeast Asia, Vietnam’s stringent steps against dissent were underscored by the
sentencing of several bloggers for perceived anti-state views, while in Laos, repeated
violence in the country’s north has sparked fears of an intensification in ethnic Hmong
unrest and increased risks to overland travel in the region. Singapore announced major
security overhauls in light of the increasing risk of militancy in the region. Furthermore,
Indonesia continued with intensified counter militancy operations to prevent more attacks,
while Jakarta saw disruptive protests over app-based taxi programs. In Malaysia, pressure
against PM Najib from his rivals again intensified, yet we assess his rule is unlikely to be
dramatically affected in the near term. Thailand announced another campaign against
corruption as the military junta aims to showcase itself as a guarantor of public order and
social stability. Myanmar’s parliament voted on the country’s next president, yet the vote
exposed lingering gaps between the NLD and military. Finally in the Philippines, the threat
of abductions in the far south was again underlined by actions undertaken by Abu Sayyaf,
all the while the country readies for elections in May.
In East Asia, China’s economy continued to stagger as authorities undertake additional steps
against corruption. Japan saw its security laws come into effect amidst a number of protests
in Tokyo, while South Korea was able to pass the controversial anti-terror bill, citing the
threat from an increasingly active North Korea. Meanwhile, continued opposition against
Beijing in Hong Kong was underscored by the announcement of a new student-run political
party, which aims to separate Hong Kong from China.
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e3
The following list contains countries in the region with notable developments from the past month. Please choose your country of interest by clicking on its name below.
HIGH RISK
Pakistan ................................................................................................................... 4
MEDIUM RISK
Bangladesh ............................................................................................................... 5
China ....................................................................................................................... 6
India ........................................................................................................................ 7
Indonesia ................................................................................................................. 8
Malaysia .................................................................................................................. 9
Myanmar ............................................................................................................... 10
Philippines.............................................................................................................. 11
Sri Lanka ................................................................................................................ 12
Thailand ................................................................................................................. 13
LOW RISK
Hong Kong .............................................................................................................. 14
Japan ..................................................................................................................... 15
Laos ....................................................................................................................... 16
Maldives ................................................................................................................ 17
Singapore ............................................................................................................... 18
South Korea ............................................................................................................ 19
Taiwan ................................................................................................................... 20
Vietnam ................................................................................................................. 21
Notable Dates for April 2016 .................................................................................................. 22
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e4
New MQM splinter party raises likelihood of more political unrest in Karachi, Hyderabad
Lifting of Musharraf’s travel ban highlights PML-N, military tensions.
Mass casualty attack in Lahore underscores continued threat to minorities.
We advise against all nonessential travel to Pakistan given the heightened threat of
militancy, criminality, and sectarian tensions throughout the country.
Formation of MQM splinter party raises likelihood of more political unrest in Karachi,
Hyderabad
In March, former MQM-affiliated Karachi Mayor Syed Mustafa Kamal announced his intention
to hold the first rally for his newly-formed Pakistan Zarzameen Party (PSP) party by mid-April.
Following Kamal’s return to politics earlier this month, a series of high profile defections to his
new party have taken place, including Anees Advocate on March 21, and Sindh Assemblyman
Iftikhar Alam on March 10. On March 31, PSP supporters claimed a convoy carrying party
leaders was attacked by MQM members in Mirpurkhas.
While the MQM has faced similar political competition in the past, Kamal’s party represents
the biggest threat to MQM preeminence in Karachi over the past two decades. Considering
this, the likelihood of political unrest between the two parties is liable to starkly increase in
the coming months.
Lifting of former president’s travel ban highlights PML-N, military tensions
On March 16, former Pervez Musharraf left Pakistan for Dubai, just one day after the Supreme
Court upheld a verdict, lifting a three-year travel ban on the former president. Following his
departure large-scale protests organized by the opposition Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) were
held.
While the incidents underscore tensions between the PPP and the ruling Pakistan Muslim
League-Nawaz (PML-N), it also highlights tensions between the government and military
establishment, the former of which had been wary of allowing Musharraf to travel. The
government’s recent capitulation on this issue may signify further willingness for compromise
on contentious military-related issues.
Mass casualty attack in Lahore underscores continued threat to minorities
A splinter group of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, the Jamaat-ul-Ahrar (TTPJA), claimed
responsibility for the suicide blast, targeting an Easter event, in the Gulsan-i-Iqbal Park in Iqbal
Town, Lahore on March 27. The blast left at least 70 dead.
The attack underscores persistent attempts to undermine the government’s rule, project
instability, while strengthening hardline Sunni ideology in the country. Periodic major attacks
such as the March 27 blast should be expected over the coming year, given the government’s
inability to completely eradicate jihadist groups from Pakistani territory.
Back to table of contents
HIGH RISK
Pakistan
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e5
Islamic State claims attacks on Shiite preacher, Christian convert in mid-March.
Bangladesh High Court rejects challenge to Islam as only state religion on March 28.
Travel to Dhaka and Chittagong should be for business essential purposes only at this
time, given ongoing reports of violence, political instability, and militancy.
Islamic State claims attacks on Shiite preacher, Christian convert in mid-March
The killing of Shiite preacher on March 15 in Khulna Division and a Christian convert on March
22 in Rangpur division were both claimed by the transnational militant group Islamic State (IS)
in the days following the attacks. The incidents follow attacks on February 21 and November
26. Meanwhile, on March 13 and 21, Jamaatul Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) militants,
allegedly planning attacks on March 26 and April 14 respectively, were arrested in Dhaka.
The attacks of a similar nature on religious minorities indicate the continuing trend of
sectarian violence in Bangladesh, most likely by isolated militant cells with an ideological
affinity to IS. Moreover, given that the two IS-claimed attacks occurred within a week of each
other, the possibility that the militants are attempting to bolster their national profile by
projecting increased activity is likely. In this context, the probability of similar attacks, utilizing
crude weapons and explosives, particularly in northern Bangladesh remain a possibility.
Meanwhile, the arrest of JMB militants in Dhaka and its environs highlights the persistent
threat of militancy in urban centers of Bangladesh. Given the reported arrests, the probability
of additional JMB militants organized into small cells, attempting high-profile attacks to garner
wider attention remains high. In this light, further militant attacks in the environs of urban
centers remain high, particularly in run up to Bengali New Year on April 14
Bangladesh High Court rejects challenge to Islam as only state religion on March 28
The Bangladesh High Court rejected a challenge to Islam as the only state religion on March
28. The verdict came after several weeks of increasing tensions between Islamists and
secularist, with Hefajat-e-Islam calling for nationwide demonstrations on March 25. Jamaat-
e-Islami (JeI) called for a countrywide hartal, or general strike, for the day of the ruling but
withdrew the request after the High Court dismissed the petition. Hefajat-e-Islam has
conducted a series of violent rallies in past years, most notably a 2013 rally in Dhaka which
resulted in unrest and the death of at least 27 people. After the ruling, a group leader stated
that he thanked the “high court for rescuing the country from a massive disaster,"
While ruling in favor of the secular petition may have led to significant instability and unrest,
particularly by Hefajat-e-Islam and JeI, the court’s quick adjudication led to an immediate
pacification of Islamist groups that were outraged by the court case. This may have been an
attempt to avoid disillusionment among militant groups, particularly in light of acts of
militancy throughout the country, as well as upcoming holidays, particularly on Bengali New
Year on April 14, which could serve as attractive and vulnerable targets for militancy.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK Notable Dates
Bangladesh
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e6
Top officials in Xinjiang, Zhuhai sacked amid ongoing corruption purge.
Beijing attempts to avoid “hard landing” as economic indicators continue to stagger.
Escalating crackdown on Chinese media includes top reporter.
Travel to China may continue at this time while adhering to standard security protocols
given the latent threat of militancy and crime.
Top officials in Xinjiang, Zhuhai dismissed amid corruption purge
Over the past month, China’s main anti-graft institution, the Central Commission for Discipline
Inspection, expanded its campaign against top-level party officials, known as “tigers.” In late
February, two top officials from western Xinjiang Province were detained for suspected
“disciplinary violations.” Later, reports on March 23 announced that the Communist Party
boss in Zhuhai, the city next to the gambling capital Macau, was also detained under similar
suspicions. These arrests come amid reports that President Xi Jinping’s campaign against graft
has implicated approximately 300,000 Chinese officials over the past year. While the ongoing
corruption purge has helped to refine the public image of the Party, its scale, range, and lack
of institutionalization may be impacting the morale of less senior members, and could
eventually threaten President Xi’s political legitimacy.
Beijing attempts to avoid rapid economic regression as financial indicators stagger
Reports from March indicated China’s economic performance continuing to stagnate. On
March 2, a top international credit agency downgraded Beijing’s economic outlook from
“stable” to “negative.” Despite this, officials on March 7 vowed that the country would not
experience a so called “hard” economic landing. However, amid reports that China’s
government was planning 5-6 million layoffs in state-owned enterprises (SOEs), labor protests
escalated, with a noticeably large demonstration taking place on March 15. China’s recent
economic issues may be perceived to reinforce the discerned need for a new wave of strong
domestic reforms, including in the rule of law and SOEs. However, given the political difficulty
of these changes and the uncertainty in Beijing, they are likely to be implemented gradually,
and economy-related protests are liable to proliferate over the coming months.
Escalating crackdown on Chinese media includes top reporter
On March 15, authorities detained a famous Chinese journalist while he was travelling from
Beijing to Hong Kong. Later reports suggest that he was arrested due to alleged involvement
in a public letter calling for President Xi’s dismissal; he was released on March 25. The arrest
comes on the heels of a high-profile tour by President Xi of top state media outlets in February
and the controversy over the fate of several booksellers in Hong Kong. Altogether, they
indicate a growing clampdown by Beijing on China’s already perceivably stifled media, which
is likely to continue as economic growth declines.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK
China
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e7
MEDIUM RISK Notable Dates
India
Court’s reversal of March 28 Jat reservation bill may reignite protests in Haryana State.
High alerts issued in Gujarat, Delhi, Punjab and Assam states in March following
intelligence inputs indicating militant infiltration from Pakistan.
Travel to Delhi and other major Indian cities can continue, while travelers are advised to maintain vigilance for security risks associated with frequent, large demonstrations as well as potential militant threats targeting government buildings, security installations, large crowded public places, or religious sites.
Supreme Court’s reversal of March 28 Jat reservation bill may reignite protests in Haryana
The Haryana state government approved the Jat reservation bill during a cabinet meeting on
March 28, in the wake of the extended deadline on March 31 issued by Jat community leaders.
The bill calls for the inclusion of the Jat community into the Other Backward Classes (OBC), a
status for socially and educationally disadvantaged castes, with reservations in government
jobs and in educational institutions. Earlier, in February, protests organized by the community
had turned violent with approximately 30 civilians killed in Haryana. The current legal
framework of the state allows a maximum of 50 percent reservation, however, the approval
of the Jat reservation bill may exceed the maximum, which may compel the Supreme Court to
strike down the legislation.
Given that the Haryana state government expressed approval of the Jat reservation bill, the
situation is likely to deescalate in the near term. However, if the Supreme Court reverses the
decision of the state’s decision, given the ambiguous legal standing of the ruling, further
protests in Haryana and Delhi are likely in the near-term and may affect business continuity.
High alerts issued in Gujarat, Delhi, Punjab and Assam state during March following
intelligence inputs indicating militant infiltration from Pakistan
A high alert was issued in all major cities in Gujarat State on March 6 following an intelligence
input shared by Pakistan’s National Security Agency (NSA), indicating that approximately 10
militants had crossed over the border from Pakistan to carry out attacks in India. Following
the alert, on March 15 three of the ten suspected Pakistani militants who had infiltrated into
India were neutralized by security forces in Gujarat. Local police from Delhi, Punjab and Assam
were placed on alert on March 23 after a similar intelligence input was released, suggesting
militant infiltration.
The alerts highlight the persistence of anti-Indian militant groups, as well as shed light on the
porous Indian-Pakistan border, which allows for relatively unsophisticated infiltration.
Furthermore, Pakistan’s sharing of intelligence underscores the efforts taken to assist India in
securing its borders against militancy, which may be an attempt to assuage concerns of apathy
towards the issue following the January 2 Pathankot attack and accusations of tacit complicity
by the Pakistani security apparatus.
Back to table of contents
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e8
Continuation of bolstered anti-militancy operations, arrests nationwide.
March 22 Anti-taxi services protest causes significant traffic disruptions in Central Jakarta.
Travel to Jakarta may continue at this time while maintaining heightened vigilance
throughout the city given the now increased risk of militancy.
Continuation of bolstered anti-militancy operations nationwide following January 14 attack
Following the January 14 Islamic State-linked attacks in Jakarta, Indonesia’s security
establishment significantly bolstered nationwide counter-militancy efforts. On March 1, four
suspected militants were arrested in East and Central Java and approximately 40 suspected
jihadists who have been arrested since January. On March 3, Jakarta Inspector-General Tito
Karnavian stated that suspected Islamist militant Hendro, arrested in February, admitted
to plotting attacks on Soekarno-Hatta International Airport, an international school
in Jakarta and high-profile locations in Bali. Furthermore, two ethnic Chinese Uyghurs, who
had joined IS-affiliated East Indonesian Mujahideen (MIT) led by wanted militant Santoso,
were killed during a firefight with security forces in Central Sulawesi on March 15.
The ongoing operations highlight the continued threat to national security by local militants,
particularly those affiliated to transnational groups. Additionally, the presence of Chinese
Uyghurs in Central Sulawesi is particularly alarming for authorities, signifying the probability
that more Uyghur militants have embedded in the country. While the bolstered operations
appear successful in minimizing the risk of mass casualty attacks, the latent risk of militancy
targeting public and foreign interests will persist for the foreseeable future.
Anti-taxi services protest result in disruptions in Central Jakarta on March 22
Following a similar themed protest on March 14, the Land Transportation Drivers Association
(PPAD) held a protest against mobile application based taxi services on March 22, alleging that
the applications threaten the livelihood of public transportation drivers. Several sporadic
incidents of violence reportedly took place at the protest, where at least 10,000 mobilized
outside government institutions in Central Jakarta, prompting the US embassy in Indonesia to
issue an advisory warning to its citizens. 5,000 security personnel were deployed to control
the protest, which resulted in widespread traffic delays across the capital. On March 24, the
government indicated that application based taxi services are required to have relevant
permits by May 31, in order to continue operating legally.
Although the majority of mobile based application users are likely to comply with government
orders, given that the companies have received an opportunity to continue offering their
services, there remains a possibility of additional protests in the capital and additional cities
across Indonesia before the deadline concludes or if infractions are alleged.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK
Indonesia
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e9
Former PM intensifies action against incumbent PM Najib over alleged misuse of power;
unlikely to impact Najib’s consolidated position.
Travel to Kuala Lumpur can continue while taking necessary precautions to counter the
threat of criminality, especially during the nighttime hours. Additionally, maintain
vigilance nationwide, due to the latent threat of Islamist militancy.
Former PM intensifies action against incumbent PM Najib over alleged misuse of power;
unlikely to impact Najib’s consolidated position
On March 23, ex-Prime Minister (PM) and former member of the ruling party United Malays
National Organization (UMNO), Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, filed a suit against incumbent PM
Najib Razak, alleging corruption and abuse of power regarding the 1Malaysia Development
Berhad (1MDB) scandal. The lawsuit follows Mahathir’s departure from the UMNO on
February 29 as well as the Citizens Declaration initiated on March 4 by opposition parties
seeking the removal of PM Najib. Since the 1MDC was reported, Najib’s critics inside the
government have been removed, investigations into his conduct have been stalled, and some
online news outlets have been banned.
Put together, the recent developments highlight the increasingly growing opposition against
PM Najib as well as concerns regarding the current government’s involvement in corruption.
Nonetheless, despite the latest actions taken against the government, PM Najib has proven
his consolidated position and his ability to push back any criticism and accusations over the
1MDC controversy. Therefore, we assess that the lawsuit will not have any immediate impact
as a hearing is unlikely to be held in the coming months. This assessment is further supported
given that Mahathir has not been able to undermine PM Najib’s authority, as witnessed in
August 2015 when the former had called for a vote of no confidence against the PM in
parliament, which did not materialize. Overall, as the
political channels against Najib have failed, we assess that Mahathir’s lawsuit is unlikely to
yield the desired outcome and could backfire on him, prompting increased pressure by the
government to sideline the former PM.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK
Malaysia
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
0
March 15 vote indicates widening interests of NLD, Army in democratic transition.
Ethnic tensions rise following clashes, China’s hints at Myitsone Dam project renewal.
Travel to Naypyidaw, Mandalay and Yangon may continue at this time while adhering
to basic security protocols given the latent threat of militancy and crime.
March 15 vote indicate widening interests of NLD, Army in democratic transition
Following several months of speculation, on March 15 Htin Kyaw, long-time close personal aid
to Aung San Suu Kyi, was nominated by the Parliament as the next President of Myanmar. The
two Vice President-elects are Myint Swe, a former junta general who remains on the US
Treasury Department’s sanctions list for his military career, and Henry Van Thio, a Christian
and ethnic Chin. The new government is slated to take office on April 1.
It remains likely that Suu Kyi will maintain an informal position above the President, as she
has regularly indicated. She is likely to be appointed Foreign Minister, a position that would
allow her to participate in the influential 11-member National Defense and Security Council.
The NLD’s nomination of Van Thio may be an attempt to assuage concerns among minorities
about ethnic pluralism in high-level decision making processes. Meanwhile, although there
has been no significant regressions in the ongoing power transition, a lack of progress on a
range of issues, from amending the constitution to locations of the handover of power,
suggests a widening gap between the incumbent and incoming governments. In this context,
Swe’s nomination by the military may have been a gesture indicating the army’s displeasure
with the pace of the transition, and an attempt to overtly check ambitious NLD reform plans.
Ethnic tensions rise following clashes, China’s hints at Myitsone Dam project renewal
Clashes reportedly broke out between government soldiers and Kachin Independence Army
(KIA) fighters, near Myitkyina Nam Village in Kachin State on March 17 and at Sisi Wong Hill in
Shan State on March 29. The violence followed the KIA’s deployment of a new brigade to the
Mong Baw and Boung Sai areas of northern Shan State on March 4, which the military
indicated would be “detrimental” to peace. Meanwhile, on March 8, the Chinese Foreign
Minister indicated confidence that the government would cooperate to restart construction
of the 3.8 billion USD Myitsone dam. Construction was suspended in 2011, three months after
fighting broke out between the KIA and military in June 2011, ending a 17-year ceasefire.
The uptick in violence is likely part of a broader strategy that seeks to secure territory along
trade and energy routes leading to China, while also driving a wedge between the KIA and its
Shan State allies. In this context, given the military’s relatively free hand in dealing with
ongoing ethnic conflicts, as well as increased talks on restarting controversial Chinese
infrastructural projects, it remains possible that high levels of violence between the
government and KIA are likely to continue and liable to increase in the coming months.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK Notable Dates
Myanmar
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
1
Abu Sayyaf releases video setting one month deadline for abducted foreign nationals.
Campaigning period for Philippine general elections began on March 25, Supreme Court
rules in favor of Grace Poe’s presidential bid on March 8.
Travel to Metro Manila may continue at this time while adhering to standard security
protocols given the latent threat of militancy and crime.
Abu Sayyaf releases video setting one month deadline for abducted foreign nationals
On March 10, the Islamic militant group Abu Sayyaf, which is currently holding hostage two
Canadian nationals and a Norwegian national at an undisclosed location in Sulu province,
released a video setting a new deadline on April 8 for the ransom of 21.7 million USD per
abductee. Meanwhile, on March 26, 10 Indonesian crew members were reportedly abducted
after their ship was hijacked by an Abu Sayyaf faction. The vessels' owners received a ransom
call, yet the amount has yet to be published. In October 2014, Abu Sayyaf claimed it received
5.3 million USD in exchange for two German hostages it held captive for six months.
Given that the Filipino government adheres to a “no-ransom policy” under which it rejects to
negotiate with militants in context to the release of abductees, the government is likely to
collaborate with embassies of the aforementioned foreign abductees to secure their release.
Additionally, if confirmed as the work of Abu Sayyaf, the kidnapping of the Indonesians sailors
would mark one of its largest number of hostages since 2001, thus indicating that the militant
group remains a viable security threat in the southern Philippines.
Campaigning period for Philippine general elections slated for May 9 begins on March 25,
Supreme Court rules in favor of Grace Poe’s presidential bid on March 8
The campaigning is to end on May 7. The candidates for the presidential election to be held
on May 9 are Grace Poe, Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte, current Vice President Jejomar
Binay, Miriam Santiago and Manuel Roxas. The aforementioned candidates have started
campaigning across the Philippines in attempt to connect with voters in the south-east Asian
country. Furthermore, the Supreme Court ruled Senator Grace Poe eligible for running for the
presidency following a controversy surrounding her perceived US citizenship, which she
allegedly renounced in 2010. A recently conducted nationwide survey indicated Rodrigo
Duterte and Grace Poe tied as frontrunners for the presidency.
Given the participation of prominent political figures involved in campaigning for the general
elections slated for May 9 coupled with the persistent threat of political violence and militancy
in certain regions of the Philippines, an increased security presence and awareness will be
maintained during the campaign period. Furthermore, the aforementioned Supreme Court
decision coupled with the frontrunner status awarded to her by the latest survey is likely to
further aid Senator Poe’s bid for the presidency.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK Notable Dates
Philippines
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
2
Increased security measures nationwide to better combat gangs, criminal syndicates.
Professional interest groups oppose, political parties protest Indo-Sri Lankan ETCA.
Travel to Sri Lanka, including Colombo can continue as normal while taking basic
security precautions given the threat of protests, crime, and political unrest.
Increased security measures nationwide to better combat gangs, criminal syndicates
After a reported rise in gang-related crime throughout the country, security forces increased
security measures nationwide, expanding the use of roadblocks to search individuals and
vehicles, as well as implementing two new security programs on March 5. Firstly, the Divisional
Enforcement Team (DET) was set up to gather intelligence on criminals and conduct targeted
missions. Secondly, the Special Snap Road Bloc Systems is a plan that seeks to establish
roadblocks across the region in order to detect and detain wanted criminals. The current level
of heightened security is reportedly at the highest level since the Sri Lankan civil war, which
ended in May 2009. Additional security measures due to this crime wave have reportedly
disrupted the daily routine of some residing in urban center like Colombo.
The increase in violent crimes highlights the underlying existence of violent criminal elements
deeply rooted in Sri Lankan society, which may indicate why prevention efforts have had
limited effects. Given that crimes continue unabated, authorities are liable to implement
additional proactive security protocols, including more comprehensive searches, resulting in
additional disturbances to business continuity and traffic congestion. In this context, it
remains possible that the measures will lead to small-scale, localized demonstrations,
demanding measures that are less disruptive to daily life.
Professional interest groups, political parties oppose, protest Indo-Sri Lankan ETCA Several
Political parties joined the United Professional Movement (UPM), successfully rallying a
number of large protests against the India-Sri Lankan Economic and Technological
Cooperation Agreement (ETCA), the most significant of which took place on March 17 and
witnessed the participation of former president Mahinda Rajapaksa. The ETCA is slated to be
signed in mid-2016. Those opposing the agreement argue that it would provide Indian
immigrants with jobs by denying Sri Lankan nationals the opportunity to compete.
It remains likely that opposition groups will continue to rally large crowds of supporters in the
coming months, given the high turnout at previous demonstrations and apparent resolve of
anti-ETCA groups. It also remains likely that the frequency of protests will increase as the two
countries get closer to signing the deal. Furthermore, although previous ETCA protests have
been conducted peacefully, there remains an underlying possibility of localized unrest given
the dissatisfaction over the agreement and it’s perceive negative socio-economic impact.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK Notable Dates
Sri Lanka
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
3
Thai military Junta announces fresh series of arrests targeting alleged corrupt individuals.
Travel to Bangkok may continue while adhering to standard security precautions
regarding the latent risk of civil unrest and the threat of attacks.
Thai military junta announces fresh series of arrests targeting alleged corrupt individuals
On March 9, The National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO) ordered a fresh series of
arrests, which is likely to target at least 6,000 alleged corrupt and ‘influential’ people, whose
names were reportedly compiled by intelligence officers from across the country. The list
reportedly includes government and security officials who allegedly had a close nexus with
organized crime syndicates. An official also stated that the crackdown is likely to continue for
two months. The term ‘influential people’ is usually used to describe business figures involved
in illegal trading and leaders of organized crime syndicates. Additionally, the junta had earlier
initiated a process to redraw the constitution, and the referendum for the new constitution,
which is slated to have strong anti-corruption laws, is slated to be held on August 7.
The aforementioned development highlights the continued attempts by the Thai Junta to
maintain its grip on the political landscape and its ability to undertake massive policing
operations, without any civilian supervision. In light of the aforementioned move, in the
coming weeks, arrests of high profile officials are a probability. Moreover, and although the
intended target for the crackdown is corrupt officials, the junta is liable to use such
crackdowns to target those they deem detrimental to their hold on power. Also, the junta is
likely to showcase the crackdown as a means of highlighting its ability to weed out the
reported widespread corruption in Thailand. Lastly, given the junta’s anti-corruption stance,
and the probable widespread appeal such measures are likely to have amongst the average
citizenry, the junta may roll out similar programs with populist motive periodically, as a
measure to receive popular support.
Back to table of contents
MEDIUM RISK Notable Dates
Thailand
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
4
Pro-independence students announce new political party in Special Administrative
Region.
Three of five missing booksellers return to Hong Kong from mainland.
Travel to Hong Kong can continue as normal while adhering to basic security precautions
regarding civil unrest, crime and protests.
Pro-independence students announce new political party in Special Administrative Region
Pro-independence students from the Hong Kong University announced the formation of a new
political party, the Hong Kong National Party on March 15, ahead of the September Legislative
Council elections. The primary agenda of the new party, as stated in the manifesto that was
published in the university’s magazine, is restricting Beijing’s control over Hong Kong and the
Special Administrative Region’s eventual secession from China. The novice party has
highlighted that it will not ‘rule out any methods of action’.
The aforementioned developments represent the continued attempts young activists in Hong
Kong to legitimize their anti-Beijing stance and establish their ideology in local political affairs.
In addition, the establishment of political parties can be seen an attempt to change the
governance of the autonomous region and provide an alternative to the incumbent party,
widely perceived as pro-Beijing and anti-democratic. Given the limited success of the pro-
democracy Umbrella Movement, young activists are likely looking to utilize the political
system as new method to wean the region away from its growing dependence on the
mainland. With that in mind, given the new party’s stance no to rule out any measures
necessary to achieving their goal, future anti-Beijing protests in the near-term cannot be ruled
out.
Three of five missing booksellers return to Hong Kong from mainland
Three of the five booksellers, who were reported missing between late 2015 and early 2016,
returned to Hong Kong from the mainland, in March, according to local authorities. All three
booksellers upon their return rejected any further assistance from the local police and stated
that they had visited the mainland voluntarily to assist in investigations. The booksellers were
all affiliated with Mighty Currents Publication, a company renowned for publishing materials
critical of the senior Chinese leadership.
The booksellers’ return will likely be perceived as an attempt to defuse tensions and alleviate
anti-Beijing sentiments in the autonomous region, especially given the booksellers’
confessions of their voluntary involvement in mainland investigations. However, many critics
of China’s policies may question the nature of the booksellers’ return, while their refusal to
elaborate on their disappearance is likely to encourage further inquiries as to Beijing’s
intentions, within the local population. In that regard, Beijing’s perceived ability to restrain
dissenters beyond the mainland is liable to foment fears of suppression among activists,
possibly encouraging increasing self-imposed censorship.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK
Hong Kong
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
5
Security legislations take effect on March 29 amid widespread protests.
Mass demonstration against US presence on Okinawa after US naval officer accused of
raping Japanese tourist on March 14.
Travel to Japan can continue as normal while adhering to basic security precautions
regarding protests and natural disasters.
Security legislations take effect on March 29, amid widespread protests
Security laws passed on September 19, 2015 were nationally enacted on March 29, enabling
the country’s security forces to engage in collective defense pursuits abroad. Furthermore,
the incumbent government approved the expansion of the country’s defense budget to
approximately 42 billion US dollars for the fiscal year 2016-17. Japan has witnessed recurrent
widespread protests against the move, in part due to popular fears of the country being pulled
into international conflicts due to its pledge of supporting foreign alliance partners.
The aforementioned enactment of the security legislation underlines the incumbent
government’s continued commitment to projecting Japan’s role in the increasingly volatile
Asia-Pacific region. Nonetheless, the perceivably unnecessary defense spending to some in
light of a contracting economy is liable to inspire continued anti-government demonstrations.
In that regard, the government may seek to legitimize its position by highlighting the imminent
danger to the country posed by its assertive neighbors.
Mass demonstration against US occupation of Okinawa after US naval officer accused of
raping Japanese tourist on March 14
A US Navy sailor reportedly admitted to raping a Japanese tourist in Naha city, Okinawa after
he was detained on March 13 on charges of sexual assault. The naval officer allegedly
assaulted the Japanese woman in his hotel room. Following the Japanese government’s
formal lodging of a protest with the US authorities, the US navy went on to issue an apology,
subsequently forbidding US officers beyond the base during the overnight hours. Over 2,500
citizens protested at the US base in Nago city on March 21 against the continued presence of
the US personnel in the Okinawa prefecture, as well as the alleged inability to stop US troops
from engaging in criminal activity on the Island.
The incident will likely be a catalyst to the continued reaction of local citizens against
perceived exploitations by US troops in Okinawa. Given that the incumbent Abe government,
as well as the US, has not indicated flexibility in relocating the base out of Okinawa,
particularly due to its geostrategic significance, the protests are unlikely to inspire any
breakthrough changes in the government’s stance. However, Tokyo and Washington may seek
to implement stricter punishments for US soldiers who are found to commit crimes in the
area, in a bid to placate the local population, and prevent further protests.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK Notable Dates
Japan
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
6
One Chinese national killed, nine wounded in two shootings in March in suspected attacks
by local insurgents.
Travel to Laos’ Vientiane can continue as normal, while avoiding all political gatherings
and demonstrations as a basic security precaution. Avoid nonessential travel to
northern outlying areas of the country given periodic attacks on motorists.
One Chinese national killed, nine wounded in two shootings in March in suspected attacks
by local insurgents
There were two reports in the month of March of initially unidentified assailants opening fire
on a bus carrying Chinese nationals in outlying areas of the country. The first took place on
March 1, which saw one Chinese national killed, while three Chinese nationals were wounded
after suspected militants targeted a Chinese company in Lao Phou Khoun district. Additionally,
on March 24 reports emerged that unidentified assailants opened fire on a bus, in Kasi in
Vientiane Province that was traveling from China’s southwestern Yunnan province, to Laos’
capital of Vientiane. The ambush attack led to six Chinese nationals being wounded.
Moreover, on March 7, the United States State Department issued a travel alert prohibiting
official travel on parts of Road 13 connecting between Vientiane and Luang Prabang provinces,
specifically north of Kasi, in response to the attacks along the road and in outlying areas.
While the identity of the assailants remains unknown the type of attack fits the modus
operandi of previous incidents that have taken place in outlying areas of Laos, concerning
insurgents from the Hmong ethnic group who have voiced strong opposition to the Laotian
government. With that in mind it is possible that these attacks indicate and uptick in Hmong
militant activity in parts of the north. That being said, given that the two attacks also targeted
Chinese nationals it also remains possible that the ambushes were carried out by locals in
protest to increasing Chinese economic and industrial development in the area. Hmong rebels
have a history of opposition to communist governments. Moreover, we assess that the Laotian
government is likely to increase its security presence in this region in the coming months in
an attempt to mitigate these types of attacks and assuage concerns from international
players, especially given the possible tensions it may place on Sino-Laos relations, which are
of growing importance to Laos’ economic security.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK Notable Dates
Laos
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
7
Political volatility continues, stemming from rift between incumbent President,
opposition parties
Those residing or operating in the Maldives are advised to maintain heightened
vigilance given rising tensions and political instability.
Political volatility continues, stemming from rift between incumbent President, opposition
parties
The political situation in the Maldives continued to be characterized by tensions between the
incumbent President Abdulla Yameen and members of the opposition parties, as well as
former associates of the President, throughout the month of March. This was signified in part
by the charging of the former Vice President Ahmed Adheeb and a number of allegedly
disloyal officers from the Maldives National Defense Force (MNDF), in relation to their alleged
involvement in the explosion of the Presidential Yacht which occurred in September 2015.
Furthermore, a number of leaders of the opposing Maldives Democratic Party, were arrested
by the Maldivian Police Service during a protest on March 11 in Male, against supposed
corruption in a state owned company. In addition on March 8, reports emerged that the
former Prosecutor General, in addition to a prominent Maldivian judge, were arrested under
the anti-terrorism act for allegedly conspiring to kidnap President Yameen. The former
Prosecutor General was previously dismissed from his post after allegedly stalling bribery
charges against former Maldives Vice President Ahmed Adheeb, who has since been charged
in connection with the yacht explosion.
The continuing use of political power and legal precedent to arrest and charge prominent
opposition members in the Maldives, or former members of the government, will likely be
seen by many in the country as an attempt by the President to secure his rule over the
archipelago. In addition, it will likely add to any opposition accusations, along with
international condemnations, that the President has been abusing his power, and is currently
using his executive legislative rule to control the country, in lieu of a perceivably legitimate
democratic mandate from the people. This assessment is bolstered by the fact that increasing
numbers of people have been visibly protesting against the President, and his government
institutions, on the island of Male in the past months, indicating that Yameen may be seeing
wavering public support. Moreover, the charging of Yameen’s former associates strongly
indicates that the President has lost trust in much of his former cabinet, and therefore it is
likely that there may be further dismissals or arrests of current or former government
members, as Yameen attempts to solidify his power base in the country.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK
Maldives
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
8
Home Affairs Minister announces enhanced counter-militancy measures.
Travel to Singapore may continue as normal, while adhering to basic security
precautions regarding the latent threat of militancy.
Home Affairs Minister announces increased counter-militancy measures
On March 18, Minister of Home Affairs (MHA) K Shanmugam announced that the country will
majorly increase domestic security measures against the growing threat of militant
attacks. Security is slated to be increased at Changi Airport and government buildings, as well
as soft targets such as commercial buildings, public transport, entertainment and shopping
centers. Shanmugam claims the militant threat in Singapore to be at its highest level in recent
times, stemming from increasing militancy in Indonesia and Malaysia, as well as the Islamic
State’s (IS) interest in establishing a caliphate in the region. Security was also bolstered after
the IS affiliated militant attack in Jakarta, Indonesia on January 14. Meanwhile, the Ministry
of Home Affairs (MHA) announced that four Singaporean citizens had been detained on March
16 for taking part in violence or planning to do so in armed conflicts overseas. Allegedly, two
had allegedly participated in armed sectarian battles in Yemen in 2015, and one planned to
join IS in Syria. Two Singaporean nationals were detained on September 30 after trying to join
IS. On January 20, 26 Bangladeshi nationals were deported from Singapore for alleged Islamist
links. On February 23, four Indonesians were deported by Singaporean authorities for
allegedly traveling to Syria to join IS.
The declaration from the MHA highlights the growing perception of a latent militant threat in
Singapore. The increased detainments and deportations of people allegedly affiliated with IS
in the last year demonstrates the growing concern of sympathy for jihadist causes in
Singapore, along with infiltration of militants from neighboring Malaysia and Indonesia or the
Philippines. The decision to bolster security shows the government’s commitment to
preventing and preparing for the possibility of militant attacks within the country. The
measures are far-reaching and pre-emptive, strengthening their effectiveness.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK
Singapore
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e1
9
National Assembly approves anti-terror bill on March 2 in attempt to foil any attempts at
espionage or future attacks from North Korea.
Travel to Seoul may continue at this time, while adhering to security protocols regarding protests, crime, and the lingering risk of conflict with North Korea.
National Assembly approves anti-terror bill on March 2 in attempt to foil any attempts at
espionage or future attacks from North Korea
South Korea’s anti-terror bill was passed on March 2 after having originally been introduced
in 2001 but continuously failed to reach a vote due to strong resistance from NGO’s and
opposition parties. The bill was put to the National Assembly on February 23 but underwent
a nine day filibuster before being passed on March 2. The bill enables Seoul’s National
Intelligence Service (NIS) to wiretap phone conversations, collect personal information, and
establish an anti-terror center under the direct control of the Prime Minister’s office.
Opposition parties have disputed the bill in part due to the fear that the vague language of
the bill could be used to intimidate anyone opposing the government on a political level,
rather than solely against legitimate threats to the state. Furthermore, opposition parties are
worried that the law will give the political figures more power to use the NIS for their own
interests, amidst previous prosecutions of former NIS agents for election tampering, which
allegedly may have helped President Park Geun-hye get elected in 2013.
The passing of the anti-terror bill may be perceived as a move to safeguard South Korea’s
security from any future attacks targeting citizens and infrastructure, launched by North
Korea, while continuing to pressure the latter against conducting any moves that could
escalate tensions in the Korean Peninsula. Tensions on the Korean Peninsula have intensified
in recent months, with continuous threats, missile and nuclear tests from the North, along
with large-scale US-South Korean military exercises. Furthermore, the bill was passed on the
same day that UN sanctions were adopted against Pyongyang for their nuclear and missile
tests in January and February respectively. That said, although opposition parties may
understand the need to prevent attacks from the North, they may have concerns that the bill
will also be used to further President Park’s perceived clamping down on freedom of speech
by using the NIS to stifle those potential opposition, which could affect the level of democracy
in the country. These arguments may be bolstered by the previous allegations of NIS
involvement in Park’s election campaign. In that regard, support for President Park and her
political party, as well as their recent actions, will likely be measured in the results of the
upcoming Legislative Elections on April 13.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK Notable Dates
South Korea
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
0
Anti-Beijing sentiment showcased in pro-Tibet demonstration, tour of disputed islands,
National Security Bureau Chief speech.
Center for Disease Control warns of possible enterovirus (EV71) epidemic on March 15.
Travel to Taiwan can continue as normal while adhering to basic security precautions
regarding civil unrest and protests.
Anti-Beijing sentiment showcased in pro-Tibet demonstration, tour of disputed islands,
National Security Bureau Chief speech
Upwards of 200 people staged a ‘die-in’ in front of the Keltie building in Taipei on March 5
commemorating the 67th anniversary of the 1959 Tibetan rebellion against the Chinese
presence in Tibet despite a speech by Chinese President Xi Jinping warning against secessionist
actions by Taiwan earlier that day. On March 17, the Director-General of the National Security
Bureau stated in a speech before the Taiwanese legislature that China is focusing on
infiltrating and collecting proprietary information from the country’s semiconductor and
technology sector. Additionally, on March 23, 25 journalists accompanied the Deputy Foreign
Minister to the Taiping Island, part of the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea
claimed by Taiwan, China, the Philippines, and Vietnam.
The aforementioned events, coupled with the history of Taiwan-China relations, highlights the
recurrent anti-Beijing sentiment felt throughout Taiwanese society. Moreover, the statement
by Xi highlights Beijing’s commitment towards the pursuit of the ‘One-China policy’ and the
possibility that China may react more sharply towards any further actions perceived to be anti-
China by Taiwan. Regardless of this threat, Taiwan is likely to continue to utilize media
exposure through broadcasted speeches, demonstrations, along with other acts of perceived
disobedience in order to broadcast its disapproval with various Chinese actions and
compensate for its lack of state status and influence in the region.
Center for Disease Control warns of possible enterovirus (EV71) epidemic on March 15
The virus is closely linked to severe health complications, and epidemics have been recorded
in Taiwan, approximately every three years, since 2008. According to officials, four cases of
the virus have been reported in Taiwan since January 2016. The Ministry of Education has
implemented stringent measures, including suspension of school classes, after two students
contracted the virus. EV71 is a common cause of hand, foot, and mouth disease amongst
children, with links to fatal neurological illness such as meningitis.
The warning was likely a preventative caution issued by the CDC as EV71 has caused epidemics
in the past. Although stringent hygienic measures are liable to be sustained for several weeks
in order to limit potential exposure to the virus, given the advanced medical technology
available in Taiwan, along with the country’s heightened awareness of hygiene and sanitation,
the possibility of a large-scale outbreak remains minimal at this time.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK Notable Dates
Taiwan
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
1
Hanoi bloggers sentenced to lengthy prison sentences for alleged anti-state posting.
Travel to Vietnam can continue adhering to standard security protocols. Travelers are
advised to maintain vigilance for security risks associated with street crime.
Bloggers sentenced to prison for publishing articles critical of the government
Popular Vietnamese blogger Nguyen Huu Vinh and his assistant, both residents of Hanoi, were
arrested in 2014 to face charges of “abusing democratic freedoms” for allegedly posting anti-
government content on multiple blogs. Vinh, started Ba Sam, a famous Vietnamese website
known for being an online rallying point for protest as well for its critical rhetoric targeting the
communist regime. Following a trial held at the People’s Court on March 23, Vinh and his
assistant were sentenced to five and three years in prison respectively under Article 88 of the
Vietnamese penal code for “Propagating against, distorting and/or defaming the people’s
administration (of Vietnam)”. Reports indicate that a small protest occurred in support of the
bloggers outside of the Supreme Court in Hanoi on the March 23; however security personnel
successfully curtailed the protesters through heightened security measures including the
closure of nearby streets.
The People’s Court decision, which came after a single day of deliberation, may incite future
activism or protests particularly among youths whom disagree with the Vietnamese
authorities increasing use of Article 88 to imprison bloggers critical of the Communist Party-
dominated government. Nonetheless, the decision to curtail the protest underscores that any
protest will likely remain small and carefully monitored. Additionally, the willingness of
authorities to level severe punishment on dissenting journalists, underscores the strict media
censorship imposed by the Vietnamese government.
Back to table of contents
LOW RISK Notable Dates
Vietnam
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
2
Notable Dates for April 2016 Bangladesh – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 14 The Bengali New Year
(Poila Boishakh) is a
public holiday, when all
over the country people
participate in fairs and
festivals. Traditionally,
in Dhaka The
celebrations are started
at the break of dawn
near the banyan tree at
Ramna (the Ramna
Batamul).
As a national public holiday, government
offices, banks, and embassies, as well as
the majority of private businesses are
liable to remain closed. Celebration in
larger cities like Dhaka and Chittagong
are typically more comprehensive,
leading to relatively severe traffic
congestion and disruptions to business
continuity.
East Asia
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 2-4 Ching Ming, or Tomb
Sweeping Day, taking
place in China, Hong
Kong, and Taiwan
commemorates the
deceased by going to
graves of loved ones and
burning money and
bringing food for them
to use in the afterlife.
Public transportation is expected to
increase during the holiday to assist the
large crowds leaving urban areas to go to
cemeteries in the outskirts.
Furthermore, government agencies
have warned people to be careful when
burning tributes given the tendency for
fires to break out from unattended
offerings.
India - Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 20 Mahavir Jayanti, also
known as Mahavir
Janma Kalyanak, is the
most important religious
holiday for Jains. It
celebrates the birth of
Mahavira, twenty fourth
and the last Tirthankara.
The holiday is especially
As a gazetted holiday, government
offices, embassies, banks and most
businesses will be closed. In this context,
we advise all those operating
throughout India during Mahavir Jayanti,
particularly in Bihar, to allot for
disruptions to travel and business
continuity.
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
3
popular in the eastern
state of Bihar, where
Mahavira was born near
the modern town of
Patna. A large
celebration is held at the
Parasnatha temple,
Calcutta.
Japan – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 29 Showa Day is an annual
holiday that honors the
birthday of the Showa
Emperor (Hirohito), who
reigned from 1926 to
1989. The holiday is held
in remembrance of the
turbulent years during
his reign, and those
citizens who helped to
build modern Japan
during those years. It
marks the start of
Golden Week, which
lasts until Ma7 5/6 and
sees a number of
national holidays during
that period.
Showa Day is celebrated as a national
holiday across Japan, as such many
public and private offices are liable to be
closed. Further, given its situation at the
beginning of Golden Week, many private
and public institutions may close or
minimize their operations throughout
the entire week, given the number of
national holidays which fall during the
aforementioned period.
Those operating in Japan during the
Golden Week, starting with Showa Day
on April 29, are advised to allot for minor
disruptions to business continuity.
Laos – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 13-15 Laos New Year – Public
Holiday. Holiday-related
events and activities are
generally spread over
the entire holiday.
Buddha statues are
cleaned, whilst water
fights are common
throughout Vientiane.
Expect business and government
closures due to the holiday. Restaurants
are also mostly closed. Transportation in
Vientiane could be limited. Ability to
access cash will be limited during this
period.
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
4
Practitioners will also
travel to monasteries to
hear services, whilst
there is a popular
parade in Vientiane.
Myanmar – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 13- 17 Thingyan (Water
Festival) and New Year
holiday are considered
the most important
holidays throughout
Myanmar. Water-
throwing or dousing is
the distinguishing
feature of this festival
and may be done on the
first four days of the
festival.
As the most significant public holiday,
government offices, banks, and
embassies, as well as the majority of
private businesses are liable to remain
closed. We advise to maintain vigilance
in the vicinity of celebrations and during
travel, given a total of 174 accidents
were reported across the country during
the last year’s festival, including those
that resulted in the deaths of 16 people
and the injury of 356 others.
Philippines – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 9
Araw ng Kagitingan (The
Day of Valor) – This
national holiday
commemorates Filipino
soldiers who took part in
World War II.
Veteran parades are held nationwide,
with the key event taking place at the
Mount Samat National Shrine in Bataan
Province. Plan accordingly given that the
day is observed as a public holiday.
Sri Lanka – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 13
Sinhala and Tamil New
Years is important to
both the Sinhala
Buddhists and the Tamil
Hindus in Sri Lanka. The
holiday emphasizes the
harvest and social
Given the peaceful nature of this
holiday, as well as the fact that both the
Sinhalese and Tamils celebrate it, the
threat of unrest remains latent
nationwide. There is a potential for
additional traffic ahead of the holiday as
citizens from urban areas travel to be
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
5
customs involving the
farming community.
There is commonly a
general sense of
goodwill and friendship
within communities on
this day.
with their families or to rural areas to
celebrate the spring.
South Korea - Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 13 Legislative Elections to
elect members of the
National Assembly. This
will be the first
legislative election since
the controversial
Constitutional Court
ruling altering the
population ratio of
constituencies.
Given that politics are a sensitive subject
there remains a latent possibility for
protests in the days ahead of the
election. However, considering that
protests in South Korea generally take
place without any significant unrest,
protests are more likely to cause travel
disruptions in major cities across the
country.
Taiwan - Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 4-5 Children’s day and
Qingming will be
celebrated in tandem as
national holidays on
April 4-5. Children’s day
is a national holiday
observed as a public
holiday across all of
Taiwan. Qingming is the
celebration of the spring
equinox which often
falls either on Children’s
day or the day after so
the two days are taken
as public holidays
together. On April 5,
many Taiwanese attend
grave yards to clean
tombs and pay respects
to passed relatives.
Given that both days are celebrated as
public holidays, public and private
offices are liable to be closed for April 4-
5 while many people will likely attend
parks and other public areas in
celebration.
Those operating or residing in Taiwan on
April 4-5 are advised to allot for
disruptions to business continuity given
the likely closures surrounding the public
holidays.
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
6
Thailand – Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 6 Chakri Day is a public
holiday which
commemorates the
founding day of the
royal Chakri Dynasty of
which the present Thai
monarch, King Bhumibol
Adulyadej, is the ninth
king.
As this holiday always falls a few days
before the Songkran festival, it is also an
opportunity for many people to travel in
preparation for the Songkran festivities
Government offices, schools, and banks
close, but most other businesses open as
usual on this day. In this context, we
advise to allot for minimal disruptions to
business continuity and travel.
April 13-15
Songkran festival is
known for its iconic
water festival which is
mostly celebrated by
young people. Major
streets are closed for
traffic, and are used as
arenas for water fights.
Traditional parades are
held, where cars are
decorated with
traditional ornaments.
Given national water
shortages, the
government is imposing
a 21:00 (local time)
curfew on water fights
during the holiday.
Given that the festival is a three-day
public holiday, it is marked by a notable
uptick in domestic tourism to major
cities and popular attractions. Traffic
security is likely to be significantly
bolstered in major urban areas, given
that death tolls from road accidents
doubles during the annual Songkran
holiday, according to government
statistics. In this context, we advise to
allot for travel disruptions and business
continuity throughout the holiday.
Vietnam - Back to portion
Date Short Summary Assessment and Recommendation
April 16
April 30
Hung Kings' Festival –
The public holiday
commemorates the
contribution of the Hung
Kings, the nation’s
traditional founders and
first rulers.
Ceremonies and processions are held at
the Hung King Temple in the northern
Phu Tho Province. As a national holiday,
government offices and many private
businesses are closed.
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
7
Reunification Day – The
public holiday marks the
event when Viet Cong
and North Vietnamese
troops captures Saigon
(Ho Chi Minh City today)
on April 30, 1975.
The holiday is usually accompanied by
parades and street celebrations in major
cities like Hanoi, Hue, Da Nang, and Ho
Chi Minh City. Allot for disruptions to
business continuity as well for travel
delays due to commemoration events of
the public holiday. Private businesses
and government offices are likely to be
closed.
Back to table of contents
MAX Security Solutions Ltd. Office: +44 20 3540 0434 www.max-security.com
Pag
e2
8
Have additional questions? Contact us at +44 20 3540 0434 or email us at [email protected] DISCLAIMER: Please note that any views and/or opinions and/or assessment and/or recommendations presented in this text are solely those of Max Security. If you are not the named addressee you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this text. If you are not the intended recipient you are notified that disclosing, copying, distributing or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited. Max Security Solutions accepts no liability for (i) the contents of this text/report being correct, complete or up to date; (ii) consequences of any actions taken or not taken as a result and/or on the basis of such contents. Copyright - 2016 Max Security
