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Assessing glacier retreat and morphometric change at
Kvíárjökull, Iceland
Georgie BennettMSc by research
Unrealised potential of aerial photography archive
1964 20031945 1964 1980 1998 2003
a) How much ice has been lost between 1945 and 2003?
b) What is the temporal pattern of retreat?
Hypothesis 1Kvíárjökull advanced between 1980 and 1998 in response to increased winter precipitation
Hypothesis 2 Glacier retreat accelerated into the 21st C in response to increased air temperature
Research question 1: What is the nature of glacier retreat:
1945
2003
Research question 2: How is moraine development
‘controlled’ by glacial dynamics:
Hypothesis 3Moraine linearity is inherited from debris bands in the parent ice
Ice marginal pushing?
Transverse margin parallel debris bands
?Process FormForm
Stereophotography 58 year period: 1945, 1964, 1980, 1998, 20039 ground control points (GCPs) on stable points… not ice!!
Methods
1. DEM production and quality assessment Digitally using Leica Photogrammetry Suite 9.1. Accuracy assessed against GCPs
Methods
2. Volume change analysis Sequential DEMs subtracted: volume change maps
Volume change map 1945 – 2003
-
1945
2003
=
Methods3. Surface change analysis
Down glacier profiles New innovative visualization technique: Meshed
temporal profiles4. Error assessment
50 checkpoints extracted from 2003 DEM (RMSE of 0.39) from stable points around the glacier
DEMs compared with 2003 DEM.Vertical accuracy of DEMs compared to GCPs Vertical accuracy compared to 2003
checkpointsYear RMSE Mean error
2003 0.39 0
1998 0.7 0.75
1980 1.38 2.2
1964 1.03 2.36
1945 7.74 -3.11
Results
Total ice loss 1945 - 2003 = 1.8x108 cubic meters from the glacier snout= 75 % of 1945 snout volume
Spatially variable
Research Question 1a:How much volume loss has there been?Volume change map 1945 – 2003
Research Question 1b:What is the temporal pattern of retreat?
Greatest elevation loss from 1998 – 2003
Positive elevation change in 1980 - 1998
Volume change map 1945 – 2003
Red area = ice cored moraine complex has increased in elevation and volume
Ice-marginal pushing
Glacier advance
Volume change map of N snout area 1980 – 1998
1980 – 1998 = increase in volume of glacier snout and ice cored moraine complex
Animation of hillshaded DEMs
1945196419801998200319451964198019982003
4. Ice-cored morainecomplex
-Glacier snout has retreated ~500m and surface has lowered by ~70m -Advance between 1980 and 1998 of ~200m
-Downwasting particularly rapid from 1998- 2003
-Glacier retreat accelerating
2. Glacier snout gradient has downwasted 1. Glacier surface has lowered
3. Deep moulins have developed between 1998 and 2003
Latero-frontal moraine
1945
1964
19801998
2003
Animation of downglacier profiles
4. Ice cored moraine complex has emerged
New innovative visual technique: Meshed temporal profiles
Transect across ice- cored moraine complex
Meshed temporal profile:Large changes in relief across profile between 1945 and 2003
Time
1945
2003
19451964
19801998
2003
Topographic inversion cycles in ice cored moraineSediment redistributed from peaks to troughs
Differential melting of ice coresTopography reversed
1945
1964
1980
1998
2003
Fine linear features destroyed Larger linear features may survive
Evolution of linearity in ice cored moraine
Ice marginal pushing Brings bands of debris to the surface Ice marginal pushing enhances linearity in moraine
Conclusions1. Use of digital photogrammetry has unlocked the
archive of photography enabling quantification of change over a 58 year time period.
Visualization techniques have been invaluable in revealing processes of moraine construction
1964 20031945 1964 1980 1998 2003
Conclusions2. Kvíárjökull retreated between 1945 and 2003
interrupted by an advance between 1980 and 1998
3. Linearity in the outer moraines is the result of a combination of inheritance of former linear debris concentrations in parent ice and ice marginal pushing.
Conclusions
3. 75% of the 1945 snout ice volume was lost by 2003 with the most rapid volume loss occurring between 1998 and 2003.
ICE LOSS IS ACCELERATING
Conclusions
Thank you
Questions?