+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt...

Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt...

Date post: 15-Aug-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
43
Assignment Stage 3 – Ratio Analysis & Capital Budgeting ACCT11059 USING ACCOUNTING FOR D-MAKING 6 June 2016 Prepared by Kym Chisholm S0244760 1
Transcript
Page 1: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Assignment Stage 3 – Ratio Analysis & Capital Budgeting

ACCT11059

USING ACCOUNTING FOR D-MAKING

6 June 2016

Prepared by

Kym Chisholm

S0244760

1

Page 2: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Step 1 – Ratios..........................................................................................................................4

1.1 The Holy Grail........................................................................................................4

1.1.1 Net Profit Margin (NPM)........................................................................5

1.1.2 Return on operating assets (ROA)..........................................................7

1.1.2 Return on operating assets (ROA)..........................................................7

1.2 Turning Over..........................................................................................................9

1.3 Three dollars........................................................................................................11

1.4 In Debt We Trust..................................................................................................14

1.6 Other People’s Money.........................................................................................16

1.7 To Market, To Market..........................................................................................17

1.7.1 Earnings per share (EPS).......................................................................17

1.7.2 Dividends per share (DPS)....................................................................18

1.7.3 Price to earnings (PE)...........................................................................18

1.8 Love, actually....................................................................................................................19

1.8.1 Return on equity (ROE).....................................................................................19

1.8.2 Return on net operating assets (RNOA)............................................................20

1.8.3 Net borrowing costs (NBC)................................................................................21

1.8.4 Profit Margin (PM)............................................................................................22

1.8.5 Asset Turnover (ATO)........................................................................................23

1.9 Economic Profit.................................................................................................................24

Step 2 – Capital Investment....................................................................................................27

Step 3 – Feedback...................................................................................................................28

3.1 I provided feedback to:........................................................................................28

3.2 I received feedback from:....................................................................................28

3.3 Feedback reflectionsReferences..........................................................................28

References.................................................................................................................29

2

Page 3: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Step 1 – Ratios

1.1 The Holy Grail

"King Arthur: Go and tell your master that we have been charged by God with a sacred quest. If he will give us food and shelter for the night, he can join us in our quest for the Holy Grail.French Soldier: Well, I’ll ask him, but I don’t think he will be very keen. Uh, he’s already got one, you see.King Arthur: What?Sir Galahad: He said they’ve already got one!King Arthur: Are you sure he’s got one?French Soldier: Oh yes, it’s very nice!”

- Monty Python

Monty Python spends 91 hilarious minutes telling the story of King Arthur and his search

for the Holy Grail.  The Holy Grail is something that you want very much but that is very

hard to get or achieve (Merriam-Webster, 2015).  Profitability is the holy grail that Clarius

Group are searching for but in the last few years it has been very elusive.  Clarius Group

haven’t had to deal with the Black Knight, Knights who say Ni or the Castle of Aaaaargh

but their annual reports do tell a story of an inability to rise to challenges it has faced in the

past few years.

Profitability ratios help evaluate the financial health of a business (Hofstrand, 2009) and

after looking at Clarius Group’s net profit margin and return on assets, I would have to say

they that it might be time to call the doctor.

3

Page 4: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.1.1 Net Profit Margin (NPM)

NPM is supposed to show how well a firm can convert its revenue into profits.  It answers

the question of how much profit can be extracted for every dollar earned by a firm.  Clarius

Group’s NPM shows that for the last four years, they lost money on each sale:

Table 1 - Net profit margin trend

2015 2014 2013 2012-6.3% -0.9% -18.7% -3.5%

So what affects NPM?

Net profit after tax (at a basic level revenue less expenses)

Sales (after allowing for any returns and/or refunds)

Below is a summary of trends for sales, expenses, NPAT and NPM (where the benchmark

is the 2012 figures).

Figure 1 - Trends of NPM drivers

2013 was a year of economic and political instability, leading to market uncertainty and a

decrease in business confidence.  I address this in greater detail in The Perfect Storm blog

post.  Harsher conditions triggered impairment of goodwill, which was a rather large once

off expense.  However, a reduction in other operating costs plus a restructuring (leading to

salary savings) meant expenses decreased from 2012 levels.

Pricing was affected, as there was reduced demand for recruitment services and pressure

was placed on margins from existing major accounts as they also re-negotiated terms. 

Clarius Group also walked away from a major client they provided with managed services

and there was also a reduction in contractor margins which are Clarius Group’s main

revenue source.  Unsurprisingly, all these factors contributed to a drop in sales compared

to 2012.

4

Page 5: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Unfortunately, the drop in sales was much larger than the reduction they had managed in

expenses. Clarius Group posted the worst NPM in 2013 and lost almost 19 cents for each

$1 of sales.

NPM actually improved dramatically in 2014 (although still negative) but this isn’t because

sales went up.  Sales dropped another 16.8% from 2013.  Clarius Group focused on

reducing cost base and operational efficiency which had a major affect in reducing on hired

labour costs.

In 2015, Clarius Group got a new CEO and went through a period of transformation.  I

cover that a bit more closely in the Road to Perdition.  Clarius Group held on grimly to

NPM by the tips of their fingers and ultimately steadied things, showing only a small NPM

decrease in 2014.  Sales looked to have stabilised and reached a new level of “normal” but

still dropped a minor amount.  Expenses blew out and caused another negative NPAT

because of more one-off costs from restructuring and software impairment losses.  The

bad and doubtful debts allowance was also considerably higher in 2015.  These factors

provided the second worst NPM result. Clarius Group lost 6 cents for each $1 of sales it

made.

Examining the NPM ratio leaves me with one question I am constantly asking. How long

can Clarius maintain a business that has not seen a profit in four years? 

5

Page 6: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.1.2 Return on operating assets (ROA)

We continue our Holy Grail hunt with another profitability ratio, this time, the ROA.

ROA shows how efficiently a firm manages its assets to produce a profit during a certain

period of time.  We have previously seen that cash flow from operations can be used to

invest in operating assets.  Investments in operating assets are generally the biggest

investments a firm makes so ROA helps managers to see if the money the are pouring into

the firm is making a difference by providing a return on asset investment.

Clarius Group have a negative ROA for each of the four years so it is not doing very well in

converting its investment in assets into profits.  For 2015, Clarius Group lost 24 cents for

every dollar of assets they held!

Table 2 - Return on operating assets trend

2015 2014 2013 2012-24.0% -2.8% -72.7% -8.7%

As we saw with NPM, 2013 and 2015 are the worse performing by a large order of

magnitude.  We saw with NPM that while revenue has trended steadily downwards,

expenses fluctuated greatly in 2013 and 2015 due to one-off costs.  These same issues

are having an effect on ROA because it also uses the net profit after tax (NPAT) in its

calculation.

The reason ROA is larger than NPM is because total assets are used as the denominator

and these amounts are much smaller than the sales figures used in NPM.  As a

denominator decreases the answer is divided by fewer parts so its size gets larger.

Figure 2 - Trend of Total Assets

2014 was again a little ray of hope in a fairly bleak outlook because Clarius Group

managed to stop the decline in assets.  It was also the year expenses reduced at a faster

rate than revenue decreased, meaning a positive NPAT figure and a very small negative

NPM (less than one cent was lost per dollar of sales).

2013 annual report states that goodwill impairment reflected the uncertainty and market

turbulence that hit in that year.  This was due to two reasons:

6

Page 7: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Clarius Group acquired two businesses during the peak of the market and it looks

like the economic issues of 2013 triggered the need to revalue them

Clarius Group needed to take into account the impact of brand consolidation that

had taken place since they had acquired certain recruitment brands.  This sounds

like a loss in reputation to me.

The goodwill impairment is shown in the balance sheet as a staggering 94% drop in

intangible assets.  Trade and other receivables dropped almost 20% due to less sales and

a 20% drop in deferred tax assets (DTAs) was because Clarius had to derecognise tax

losses (check out my comments on Sue’s blog about DTAs and why de-recognition is

necessary).

Cash made the difference in 2014 along with an increase in DTAs and intangible assets. 

Don’t get too excited though! Cash from operating activities reduced further. It was more

the fact that investing activities reduced in the form of purchasing less plant and equipment

and spending less on software development.  Financing activities were eliminated all

together which also helped.  Clarius Group also received a $1.2M tax refund and kept a

tight control on receivables, meaning they pulled in as much cash as they could from

accounts.

Intangible assets went up 21% due to capitalised software costs.  This is because Clarius

completed a full implementation of new back end systems to help automate their

processes and improve technology.

Things went a bit pear shaped in 2015 and every single asset decreased in value.  The

main culprit in ratio changes was once again intangible assets.  This time, due to software

impairment, meaning the revaluation almost completely wiped out what was left of

intangible assets.  Restructuring costs also affected cash and the annual report stated that

changing superannuation payments from quarterly to monthly also had an impact.

It looks like Clarius Group is struggling and that the new CEO and management team have

actually made things worse since they started. I hope this is a case of just taking an initial

hit to try and improve the situation for the future.

While looking at NPM and ROA, I have started to wonder if I should be removing the

figures for impairment losses, restructuring losses and de-recognition of tax losses.  These

items look like they are skewing the trends and maybe should not be included as they are

not everyday operational items that occur every single year in the business.

7

Page 8: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.2 Turning Over"22 May 2016Weight: 136 lbCigarettes: 42Alcohol units: 50You only get one life. I’ve just made a decision to change things a bit and spend what’s left of mine looking after me for a change.Am enjoying a relationship with two men simultaneously, the first is called Ben, the other, Jerry"

- Bridget Jones’s Diary

The first thing that comes to mind when thinking about turnover is turning over a new leaf

or making a fresh start.  Bridget Jones’s Diary is a quintessential movie about starting

anew and has an entertaining love triangle as part of the plot.  I love complicated

relationships, after all, isn’t that what ratios really are?

Unlike when Bridget Jones records her weight, cigarette and alcohol units – the total asset

turnover ratio is generally better when the number is bigger.  Maria stated she would at

least like to see a 1:1 occurring.  A bigger number is generally better because it measures

how efficient a firm is at using its assets to produce sales.

Table 3 - Total asset turnover trend

2015 2014 2013 2012

3.80 3.03 3.88 2.53

The 2015 result shows that each dollar of assets generated $3.80 of sales.

The first thing that springs to mind when looking at the trend is 2013 and 2015 are now the

best performing years instead of the worst!  Therefore, asset turnover must have an

inverse relationship with NPM and ROA.

I would like to think the Clarius Group has finally performed outstandingly well in one ratio

calculation but total asset turnover is quite dependent on the type of industry your

company is in (Merritt, 2016).  A company like Clarius, that runs more on “brain power”

(therefore having a small asset base) is expected to have higher ratios (Merritt, 2016). 

This is because it makes the denominator smaller which means the answer is divided by

fewer parts so its size gets larger (as addressed in the section on ROA).

The total asset turnover trend is a bit haphazard but the ratio has definitely improved all

three years from 2012.  However, the ratio did not improve because of increased sales, in

8

Page 9: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

fact, sales dropped repeatedly each year and total assets declined two of the three years. 

This does not inspire confidence at all!

There are many ways to improve total asset turnover (eFinance Management, n.d),

including:

Increasing sales

Liquidating obsolete or unused assets

Leasing assets instead of buying

Improving asset usage and productivity (efficiency improvements)

Better collection of accounts receivable

Improve inventory management

Clarius Group has talked about improving technology to gain efficiency.  They are also

extremely focused on collecting accounts receivable (only 2% was overdue by 90 days)

and lease a lot of their premises.  I have no doubt the trend shows an improvement in

operational efficiency but I still feel the company is in a bit of trouble if they cannot increase

sales.

I did find it interesting that the total asset turnover ratio can sometimes be too high, which

is just as bad as being too low.  Maria mentions she would be concerned this would not be

sustainable and a sign of assets overworking or stretched to capacity.

One final point to note about total asset turnover ratio is how similar I found it to be to the

ROA ratio.  When I started calculating asset turnover I thought, ‘hang on a minute, haven’t

I just done this?’ However, the ROA measures how well a firm uses assets to generate

profit whereas asset turnover measures how well a firm uses assets to generate sales. 

Just like with RNOA, that Martin mentioned in chapter four, ‘it is the interaction of profit

margins with efficiency that is critical’.

9

Page 10: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.3 Three dollars

Poor Eddie, he had a stable and happy life working as a public servant while living in his

own home with his family.  He was able to pay his mortgage and other financial obligations

each month and remained financially sound.  When the forces of economic and social

change threaten this, Eddie realises just how fragile his reality and security is.  He loses

his job and finds he has three dollars left in the bank.  How will he pay his debts?

Sounds a bit like the Clarius Group, although their situation is not so drastic yet.  Forces of

economic change have shown their business reality and security may be a bit more fragile

than they realised.  How do we know if they can pay off debts and remain financially

sound?

The current ratio is used to keep track of liquidity and measures if the Clarius Group can

pay off short term debts or other financial obligations lasting less than a year (current

liabilities) with the current assets it has on hand.

Table 4 - Current ratio trend

2015 2014 2013 20122.07 2.27 2.47 2.12

These numbers tell us Clarius Group’s current assets are two and bit times larger than

current liabilities.  If they needed to pay off all their debts within a year, they could manage

this and still have current assets to spare.  Here, finally, is a ratio that the Clarius Group

may be excelling at!  A firm is generally deemed to have good short term financial strength

if the current ratio is 1.5 – 3 (Boundless.com, n.d).

The current ratio trend is different again to what I have seen while analysing the previous

trends.  Now 2012 and 2015 are the worst years!  While the ratio stays higher than the

benchmark (2012) for 2013 and 2014, it is starting to trend down.

Figure 3 - Current ratio trend and drivers

10

Page 11: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

In 2013, trade receivables decreased. We know this is due to a drop in sales as the

economy worsened.  However, current tax receivables significantly increased because

Clarius Group did not have to pay any tax and were due a tax refund.  This meant that

while current assets dropped, they did so at a lower rate than might otherwise have been

expected.

Current liabilities dropped in 2013 due to a large change in trade payables (a result of on

hired labour costs reducing and not having the same number of contractors in paid

work?).  There were no current tax liabilities (as mentioned above there is a tax refund

due) and no interest bearing liabilities. The bank overdraft, however, sneakily went up and

shows it was more heavily used in 2013 (a sign of not enough cash coming in?).

The interesting thing to note about the interest bearing liabilities is they came from a

Receivables Purchases Facility set up by Clarius.  This means they sold trade receivable

invoices to their finance providers at a discounted rate.  In 2013, they utilised only a non

recourse agreement, meaning the finance provider bears the full loss if the customer does

not pay.  If the facility was provided under recourse then Clarius Group would have had to

pay some of their financing back.  Being able to get non-recourse funding is probably due

to their good management of accounts receivable.

In 2014, current assets stayed relatively stable. While current tax receivables dropped,

Clarius Group’s cash increased due to a large tax refund.  The bank overdraft was not

utilised in 2014 (due to the big influx in cash?) but trade payables increased enough to

slightly affect the current ratio.  I cannot see the reason why trade payables increased;

however, I am not too concerned in the downward movement for 2014.

Trade receivables dropped again in 2015, which is starting to become a bit concerning

because I would think the economic downturn has steadied but they are still struggling to

make sales.  Cash dropped due to timing differences in superannuation payments and

also major restructuring costs (feels like management in 2014 were on the right track so it

starts to look like they prematurely fired and hired and maybe this was not a good use for

their cash?).  This left current assets at their lowest level seen in four years.

Trade payables reduced in 2015 which meant current liabilities decreased overall. 

However, the decrease was at a slower rate than the drop in current assets meaning the

current ratio decreased again.  Clarius Group did not use their Receivables Purchase

Facility in 2015 but they did dip into their bank overdraft as their overall cash flow became

negative.  They also have a new current liability, in the form of finance leases, to help

Clarius finance software licenses over the next three years.

11

Page 12: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

It is great that Clarius Group has a healthy looking current ratio but I think this is out of

necessity rather than good management.  With such low cash balances, Clarius Group

would be hard pressed to pay back any significant ongoing interest payments.  I think

Clarius Group’s management realise that if they don’t keep themselves lowly geared they

could edge more quickly towards troubled waters.  With the way the recruitment industry is

at the moment, management cannot afford to take on any more risk.

If Clarius Group continue to struggle with revenue and cash and cannot obtain any

significant debt financing, while also making losses to the point where no one wants to buy

any more shares issued (equity financing), how are they going to grow and develop?

12

Page 13: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.4 In Debt We Trust

Unlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing.  As I look

at the debt to equity ratio, through management eyes, I need to constantly repeat this

mantra to myself.  This is because my experience in life has always been focused on

paying down and eliminating debt, like my credit card and car loan, as this kind of debt is

not helpful in any way.

Debt financing is an inexpensive source of capital compared to equity, improves the return

on equity and can produce tax savings (Way, 2016).  Therefore, having a very low debt to

equity ratio is not always a good thing and neither is having it too high.  You want it just like

Goldilocks wanted her porridge – not too hot, not too cold, “just right”.

Debt to equity ratio shows how much debt a firm is using for finance relative to the total

value of shareholder’s equity.  So for every dollar a shareholder put in, Clarius Group

received 92 cents from creditors in 2015 or another way to phrase it, would be, Clarius

Group used debt financing equal to 92.2% of shareholder’s equity.

Table 5 - Debt to Equity Trend

2015 2014 2013 2012

92.2% 66.9% 56.9% 37.4%

100% or 1 would indicate that equity investors and creditors have equal stakes in Clarius

Group’s assets.  Debt to equity ratio is an indicator of risk and a higher ratio normally

shows a firm is more aggressive with debt (or potentially is a start up trying to grow

rapidly).  This is confusing to me as I know that Clarius Group is focused on having a low

amount of financial leverage.  The figure for 2015 seems to indicate they are taking on

more risk and being aggressive, so I did some more research about this ratio, as I am not

convinced Clarius Group are displaying these qualities.

It seems the debt to equity ratio can be calculated a number of ways and one of those

ways are to exclude liabilities from the calculation that are non interest bearing (Gallo,

2015).  If we ignore trade payables (which the notes say are non interest bearing), tax

obligations and provisions then we get an extremely different result which more aligns with

what I know about the Clarius Group.

13

Page 14: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Table 6 - Debt to Equity excluding non-interest bearing liabilities

2015 2014 2013 2012

3.5% 0.0% 2.0% 3.4%

Either way, shareholders of the Clarius Group own more than it owes for all four years,

which is a good sign.  The trend of this ratio fluctuates a bit which shows that their debt

management is not consistent (sometimes they need the overdraft or to sell invoices and

sometimes they don’t.  Clarius also started using finance leases in 2015 which previously

was not seen).

Maria also looked at the trend in profit margin to relate it to the debt to equity ratio.  This is

because, if you have to pay interest to external debt providers you would assume you will

have less profit.  This assumption does not hold for 2014.  If we look at the debt to equity

ratio of 66.9% (Table 1) this is an increase from 2013 but net profit margin also increased. 

The explanation behind this is that while liabilities rose in 2014, none of them were interest

bearing liabilities.

If you look at Table 2, you can see the discrepancy happens in the year 2013 instead. 

Debt to equity improves to 2% but net profit margin gets worse anyway.  I think this is

explained by the fact that equity drops almost 50% in size in 2013 and is the denominator

in the ratio calculation.

For a firm like Clarius Group that has a volatile revenue stream (dependent on economic

activity and cyclical business environment) or has a large portion of business tied up in just

a few customers (40% of revenue from just two customers) it should have a low debt to

equity ratio (Accounting-simplified.com, 2013).  Otherwise it may find a sudden loss in

revenue means it cannot support all its financial obligations.

If I look at the ratio calculated in Table 2, I would be happy to see low risk (although this

probably also means less efficiency).  If I look at the ratio in Table 1, I think I would be

fairly concerned as the trend shows increasing risk in the business (from an investor

perspective, Clarius are definitely risky to put your money into).  However, at this stage,

each yearly debt to equity ratio sits under 1:1 which is considered acceptable for most

industries (Accounting for Management, 2015).

14

Page 15: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.5 Other People’s Money

Money contributed by shareholders and creditors falls under the definition of other people’s

money.  The acronym (OPM) actually sounds the same as opium, which is fitting,

considering the drug like power that other people’s money can exert on people managing

that money.

One way to measure how much of a company’s assets are funded through other people’s

money is by calculating the equity ratio.  The equity ratio shows how much a firm’s total

assets are owned outright/financed by equity investors, that is, after all liabilities are paid

off how many remaining assets will they end up with.  The inverse of this calculation shows

how much creditors finance the firm’s assets (1-Equity ratio).

Table 7 - Equity ratio trend

2015 2014 2013 2012

Equity 52.0% 59.9% 63.7% 72.8%Table 8 - (1 - Equity) Trend

There is a definite downward trend and a larger and larger portion of assets is being

funded externally rather than through shareholders.  This is not surprising considering total

assets and total equity also show a clear downwards trend as well.

Clarius Group have less and less assets, mainly due to accounts receivable reducing over

four years (not being able to make consistent sales) and intangible assets suffering

impairment losses and needing their carrying values adjusted (due to economic

environment and potential reputation damage?).  They also have less and less equity

because their accumulated losses have steadily increased over the last four years as well.

A higher equity ratio is generally better as it shows a more sustainable and less risky firm. 

It also intimates that a firm has more free cash on hand as it does not have to pay so much

in interest costs.  Clarius Group is an established firm, so it is expected that equity should

be higher than debt.  While this is currently the case, if we continue following the trend,

their equity ratio will fall under 50% next year.  This is a cause for concern and backs up

my initial thoughts on Clarius Group being a risky business.

2015 2014 2013 2012

Debt 48% 40.1% 36.3% 27.2%

15

Page 16: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.6 To Market, To Market

To market, to market, to buy a fat pig,Home again, home again, dancing a jig;To market, to market, to buy a fat hog;Home again, home again, jiggety-jog;To market, to market, to buy a plum bun,Home again, home again, market is done.

- Mother Goose Rhymes

Market ratios are used in valuing a firm’s stock (Reference for Business, 2016).  They help

to show current market perception, regarding future profit potential, to both internal and

external interested parties (Baskerville, 2016).  With this being the case I would have to

say my perception of Clarius Group, from looking at the market ratios, would be something

like a train wreck!

Table 9 - Earnings per share

2015 2014 2013 2012-$ 12.65 -$ 1.87 -$ 47.12 -$ 10.56

1.6.1 Earnings per share (EPS)

EPS was negative all four years.  EPS shows the amount of money that is potentially

available to distribute for each outstanding share (it is not the actual amount paid out). 

However, in Clarius Group’s case it shows the amount of money lost per share.

EPS gives an indication of profitability, or lack thereof and can also be a measure of how

management is performing (Ready Ratios, 2016).  A negative EPS decreases the value of

Clarius Group and can be a factor in reducing the share price.

In some situations a negative EPS is not a huge drama – these include biotechs, startups

and established companies incurring major one off expenses (Merritt, 2016).  Sadly,

Clarius Group does not fall into those categories (still performing poorly and has had a

couple of years of what were supposed to be one off larger expenses). There is a definite

downward trend showing (despite the better 2014 result) indicating signs of trouble at

Clarius Group.  Not surprisingly, as EPS uses the net profit after tax (NPAT) figure, it

follows the same trend as net profit margin (NPM).

16

Page 17: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

The EPS figures for 2015 and 2014 are exactly spot on to what is shown in Clarius

Group’s annual reports.  This is because the amount of shares issued did not change in

those years.  The slight discrepancy in 2012 and 2013, I attribute to the fact that I used the

share balance as at end of financial year while Clarius Group would have used a weighted

average of shares in their calculation.

1.6.2 Dividends per share (DPS)

DPS is quite similar to EPS with the only difference being that the DPS shows the actual

profit amount paid out to each outstanding share.

Table 10 - Dividends per share

2015 2014 2013 2012$0 $0 $0 $0.03

In 2012, Clarius Group paid out 3 cents to each outstanding share.  Considering that

Clarius made a loss in 2012, this meant they would have had to use debt to distribute this

payment to shareholders.  With Clarius Group’s lack of cash and profits and no retained

earnings, they seem to have wised up and stopped issuing dividends.  With no plans to

reinstate dividends, this shows a lack of confidence in being able to produce future profits.

1.6.3 Price to earnings (PE)

PE compares share price to EPS.  From an investor’s point of view it shows how long it will

take to get paid back if they invest in a firm’s shares.  It also provides an indication on

whether buying at the current share price is a good opportunity (Investopedia, 2016).  A

manager tries to ensure the PE ratio looks as good as possible because it provides

confidence in the company.

While I have calculated the PE ratio, I don’t think it particularly means anything because

my EPS was negative which means my PE ratio is negative.  While a negative PE is

mathematically possible, I imagine it is hard to compare and make sense of negative PE

ratios and the financial community normally does not show them and instead marks them

as not applicable (Investopedia, 2016).  What runs through my head when I see a negative

PE ratio is the Lost in Space robot flashing his red light and saying, “Danger, Will

Robinson, danger!”.

17

Page 18: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.7 Love, actually

When I think of ratios, I think of relationships.  If a ratio had a Facebook profile I imagine it

would put, “It’s complicated” in their status profile.  When I think of relationships, I think of

the movie ‘Love, actually’.  It is a tale that revolves around eight different couples and

shows their complicated and sometimes interrelated relationships.  I thought it was fitting

to use this movie as my title for looking at the family of ratios based on restated financial

statements.  Indeed, three of these ratios are interrelated with ratios previously discussed.

1.7.1 Return on equity (ROE)

The first couple’s relationship that we examine is comprehensive income and

shareholder’s equity.  They make up ROE which is an important profitability indicator. 

ROE shows how well a firm generates a return on the funds invested into the company

from an owner and also show how well a firm uses its equity.  Clarius Group is doing

neither of those things well as is clearly shown by a negative ROE for all four years.

Table 11 - Return on Equity trend

2015 2014 2013 2012-44.7% -4.2% -113.1% -12.0%

2013 and 2015 were years of large impairment losses and one-off costs but even in the

years where it was “business as usual” it still did not generate a return for shareholders. 

The ratio for 2015 shows Clarius Group lost almost half of total shareholder equity in that

year.  I fear a divorce is on the horizon for this rocky relationship!

If I was an investor or a manager I would be fairly appalled at the trend of negative

returns.  I cannot fathom how the new CEO could have sat down and looked at the

possible projections, based on his decisions for the year, and still gone ahead with all the

restructuring.  I am also confused as to what triggered the 2015 software impairment when

it is never previously mentioned, in other annual reports, that their technology was aging.

Management look like they were starting to get back on track in 2014 and then the CEO

seems to have pushed out or fired a lot of them (he was fairly derogatory in his

assessment of the past CEO and executive).  He tries very hard in the 2015 annual report

to sell this decision and talk about what a wonderful experienced team he now has, but I

am not sure I am buying it.

18

Page 19: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.7.2 Return on net operating assets (RNOA)

RNOA is a relative of the return on assets (ROA) ratio, which I previously discussed in the

Holy Grail section.  The difference between them is that RNOA shows how well a firm is

managing its operating assets to produce an income during a certain period of time.  I

thought the ROA was trouble but his relation RNOA is even worse!

Table 12 - Comparison of ROA and RNOA trends

2015 2014 2013 2012

ROA -24.0% -2.8% -72.7% -8.7%RNOA -43.5% -4% -112.6% -11.4%

So what causes the negative amount to increase?  This is due to the denominator used,

which is NOA.  The operating assets (OA) and liabilities (OL) are isolated from financial

ones and then OL is taken away from OA.  This leaves a much smaller denominator which

makes the result bigger as previously discussed.  The result would have been even worse

except for the fact that the operating income is used, rather than the larger net profit after

tax (NPAT) amount.  The RNOA really focuses on operating activities and magnifies

Clarius Group’s losses even further because the financial activities have been taken out of

the equation.

19

Page 20: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.7.3 Net borrowing costs (NBC)

NBC shows Clarius Group’s cost of debt.  You can think of the NBC as the “interest rate”

Clarius Group is paying on financing.  Maria mentions that this is a more true cost of debt

then what they might show in the annual report.  This is because we are isolating just the

financing activities and using them for the calculation.

Table 13 - Net borrowing costs trend

2015 2014 2013 201232.4% 14.7% – 6.7%

There is no result for 2013 as Clarius had no net financial obligations that year and you

cannot divide by zero.  However, the other years tell an interesting story, in that the cost of

debt is trending upwards.  In personal finance, creditors generally raise the interest rate

the more they see you as a credit risk.  Think of pawn shops and ‘payday loan’ businesses

that charge outrageous rates compared to personal loans from a bank.  The same thing

happens in a business setting and this supports my assumption that Clarius Group is

becoming increasingly risky.

Forgive my relationship stories; they are a bit more depressing than those in the actual

Love, actually movie!

20

Page 21: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.7.4 Profit Margin (PM)

Profit margin is almost the twin to net profit margin and I did not expect to see much of a

difference between these two ratios.  PM still shows how much profit can be extracted for

every dollar earned by a firm but it just uses operating income instead of net profit after

tax.  This allows us to focus on operating activities and ensure they are actually generating

returns rather than them coming from financial activity.

Table 14 - NPM and PM trend comparison

2015 2014 2013 2012

Net Profit Margin -6.3% -0.9% -18.7% -3.5%

Profit Margin -6.05% -0.77% -18.48% -3.39%

The reason I did not expect to see much difference was because Clarius Group did not

have many financial activities and only one item from other comprehensive income that

was deemed operational.  However, this other comprehensive income (from foreign

currency translation differences) being added in was enough to make the operating loss

smaller.  As the operating loss is the numerator in the ratio, this infers the result will be

smaller (which is good as we are dealing with losses) while the denominator is sales which

stays constant across both ratios.  The tax expense and exclusion of net financial

expenses also made a slight difference in the operating loss figure.

You can find a more in depth discussion about what financial statement items affected

these ratios in the Holy Grail section.

21

Page 22: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.7.5 Asset Turnover (ATO)

Another set of twins are the total asset turnover ratio and the asset turnover ratio from the

restated financial statements.  The only difference being that ATO shows how efficient a

firm is at using net operating assets to produce sales rather than total assets.

Table 15 - Comparison of ATO and total asset turnover

2015 2014 2013 2012

Total Asset Turnover 3.80 3.03 3.88 2.53

Asset Turnover 7.19 5.16 6.09 3.36

The results for the ATO are higher because net operating assets are a much smaller figure

than total assets. As previously discussed, a smaller denominator leads to a larger ratio

result.  The ATO shows that assets are being used even more efficiently because the

turnover rate has increased.  As a manager you would have to be happy to see these ATO

figures, although, I start to wonder if the 2013 and 2015 ATO are starting to stray into the

“abnormal” zone.

The ATO also has an inverse relationship to the profit margin, just like the total asset

turnover has with the net profit margin.  You can see a further discussion on this in the

above Turning Over section.

22

Page 23: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

1.8 Economic Profit

Economic profit introduces us to the concept of cost of capital.  I am pleased to say that

my accounting "paint by numbers" has been filled in a bit more, while investigating cost of

capital and the four drivers of economic profit.

Cost of capital is an opportunity cost and as Martin has explained, an opportunity cost

reflects the benefits you could have received if you had pursued an alternative action

rather than taking the path you went down.  In business, it is the rate of return the Clarius

Group gives up, in order to use its assets and money to follow the path it has taken, rather

than putting resources into a potential alternative investment (with a similar risk profile).

How is the cost of capital turned into a number we can use in an equation?  Well, there are

two types of people interested in how a business is performing.  These are debt and equity

investors who provided funds and are hoping to get a return on them.  So we work out the

cost of debt and the cost of equity and combine them into a rate of return that will satisfy

both investor types.  This return (earned from existing assets) then represents the

minimum acceptable return that is needed for value creation.

So if cost of capital is the minimum acceptable return, we want to be able to compare that

to the actual return on net operating assets (RNOA) received from the investments Clarius

Group are pursuing.  This is where the economic profit calculation comes in.

Economic profit actually deducts opportunity costs (as well as normal costs seen in profit

and loss) from revenue earned to show if a firm has truly created value through running its

business.  Economic profit shows an amount that is left over to reward debt and equity

investors for investing and supporting the firm.

Accounting profit only focuses on deducting normal money expenses from revenue.  While

your firm might make an accounting profit (which then provides cash for dividends or to

pay back creditors), if it still makes a negative economic profit then the firm still has not

truly created any value because it could have done something different with its assets and

made more money pursuing an alternative.

Economic profit is made up of RNOA, cost of capital and net operating assets (NOA). 

Simple right? Not quite.  It's a bit like the movie Inception where we now have to step down

into another level and then another (something, inside of something, inside of something). 

RNOA is then made up of profit margin (PM) and asset turnover (ATO).  PM is then made

up of operating income (OI) and sales while ATO is sales and NOA.  Because PM and

23

Page 24: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

ATO have an inverse relationship, the sales amounts are going to cancel each other out

leaving us with OI and NOA.  Inception moment!

Table 16 - Drivers of economic profit and those affecting calculation

2015 2014 2013 2012

Economic Profit-

$14,343.99

-$6,289.17 -$46,844.38 -$18,265.47

RNOA -43.5% -4% -112.6% -11.4%Cost of capital 14.09% 14.09% 14.09% 11.06%

PM -6.05% -0.77% -18.48% -3.39%ATO 7.19 5.16 6.09 3.36NOA $24,902 $34,782 $36,980 $81,459

With 2012 as our benchmark we can see that 2013 was a mess. I am not sure it is even a

good thing that ATO increased because it is due to the denominator in the ratio (NOA)

dropping just over 50%.  This shows that while ATO is a driver of economic profit, it is not

a very strong one as ATO almost doubled but still lead to a rather large decrease of

economic profit.  You might then make the assumption, in 2015, where ATO is at its

highest, it should lead to another large decrease in economic profit.  However, the

economic profit result is nowhere as bad as 2013 so you would have to surmise ATO is a

weaker driver.

If ATO is a weaker driver then this would mean that PM must have more of an effect as it

is the other half of RNOA.  PM dropped 15% which seems to be fully reflected in the

increased economic loss.  This makes sense as both PM and economic profit are

profitability measures.  A drop in PM corresponds with a worse economic loss and an

increase in PM shows an improvement in the economic loss. Therefore, I would say PM is

a primary driver in economic profit.  However, the scale of the drops and increases in PM

do not fully explain the magnitude of the drop and improvements of the economic loss. 

This is where RNOA comes into it.

RNOA follows the same trend as the economic loss. We can see when RNOA drops

101%, in 2013, that this is fully reflected in the 150% drop in economic loss.  The cost of

capital is subtracted from RNOA so the higher the RNOA loss, the worse the result of the

economic loss.  This shows that RNOA is also a primary driver of the economic profit

ratio.  However, there is another factor that seems to be at play here because a combined

24

Page 25: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

decrease in PM and RNOA, in 2013, does not reflect the full 150% increase in the

economic loss.

NOA is this final factor in the economic profit equation.  NOA decreases each and every of

the four years but we do not see a corresponding continual increase of economic loss

each year.  I believe this is because NOA is more of a multiplier that is used to reflect the

total return for the number of assets your firm holds.  So it helps contribute to the economic

loss but is not a primary force like PM and RNOA are.  In 2014, we see that while PM and

RNOA increased dramatically, leading to an 87% improvement in economic loss, NOA still

dropped. This did not stop economic loss from making an improvement but did reduce the

overall improvement of the amount.

2015 is interesting because RNOA and PM are much worse than back in 2012, however,

the economic loss was larger in 2012.  This was a year where sales steadied but Clarius

Group still made a decision to spend more which blew out operating income.  NOA was

also a much smaller figure in 2015 (compared to 2012) which supports it having a

multiplier effect on economic loss.

Economic profit makes us look at the balance sheet as well as the income statement,

which encourages managers to think about assets as well as expenses in their decisions

(Investing Answers, 2016).  Economic profit can be improved when (Cashfocus, 2016):

a firm invests in new capital that earns more than cost of capital

a firm diverts or gets rid of capital being used in the business that do not cover the

cost of capital

a firm manages to improve RNOA without changing the capital being used

It looks like Clarius Group were trying to improve RNOA in 2014 by drastically reducing

expenses and may have ended up with a positive result if revenue had not also dropped. 

A new CEO has then come in 2015 and has decided to let Clarius take a hit while trying to

change strategies.  I found a news announcement recently on the ASX stating that local

New Zealand business operations will be closed and moved back to be run from Australia. 

Maybe this is the start of diverting capital to try and improve their return.  They certainly

need to try something because if they continue to make an economic loss, risk will

increase, investors will go elsewhere and there would not seem much point in staying in

business and flogging a dead horse!

25

Page 26: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Step 2 – Capital Investment DecisionOne of Clarius Group’s goals is to recapture a leading position in traditional recruitment

services. This will involve continuing expansion as Clarius Group strives to improve its

market share. Clarius Group are experiencing positive growth in their New Zealand and

China investments and are considering an opportunity to open a new recruitment office in

Guiyang, China and/or Auckland, New Zealand. This will provide Clarius Group with the

opportunity to generate more revenue in growing economic areas.

Guiyang is the economic and commercial hub of Guizhou province and is ranked in the top

10 for GDP growth and consumer spending. Its economy is forecast to grow 12% and its

five year job growth is 47.18%. Guiyang is quickly becoming known as a ‘big data’ centre

which is attracting cloud computing services and telecommunications along with building a

new science park.

Clarius Group already has an office in Auckland but this New Zealand city is a standout for

GDP and population growth. It also has a partner city relationship with Guangzhou which

is a Chinese city that Clarius Group already has a presence in. Auckland attracts highly

skilled workers in business and finance, ICT and health.

For new recruitment offices, Clarius Group initially negotiates a five year lease for office

space and assesses performance at the end of this period. Therefore, we will use a project

length of five years and assume Clarius will then make a decision on whether to renew a

lease, move location or close down if the location is still unprofitable. At the end of the

lease Clarius Group would incur costs to restore office space back to its original fitout.

Cash flows for Guiyang are expected to grow rapidly based on economic forecasted

figures. However, it is a much narrower market as Clarius Group would be focusing solely

on the IT sector along with the fact that permanent recruitment is far more popular in

China, rather than contractor recruitment which provides a larger margin.

Cash flows in Auckland are expected to grow more slowly as Clarius Group establishes a

second office. However, the Auckland office would focus more on lucrative contractor

services and can attract a wider market of finance, IT and health recruitment.

All amounts are expressed in Australian dollars. The WACC is assumed to be 10%.

26

Page 27: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Guiyang office Auckland Office

Original cost1$1,065,000 $2,450,000

Estimated useful life25 years 5 years

Residual value3-$21,286 -$51,148

Estimated future cash flows4

2017 $880,000 $1,200,000

1 Includes rent for the five year period, all outgoings including body corporate and rates, capital investments including fitout at start of lease, signage, etc. Auckland’s commercial rate of vacancy is quite low so office space is more in demand and more expensive. Guiyang is a tier 3 city at this stage and is not as expensive as counterparts in Beijing or Shanghai. A softening property market in China also means the investment is not as high as Auckland.2 Original lease term for both offices3 Clarius Group will need to spend money removing signage and restoring office space to original condition4 Sales are spread over six offices in China but only four offices in NZ. I am assuming the Auckland office will have a slower start as it needs to establish itself as a second office. Sales are forecast based on 3.5% economic growth rate for Auckland and 8% economic growth rate for Guiyang, with Auckland’s sales leveling out as market saturation is reached.

27

Page 28: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

2018 $986,000 $1,240,000

2019 $1,100,000 $1,300,000

2020 $1,230,000 $1,300,000

2021 $1,380,000 $1,300,000

28

Page 29: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Step 3 – Feedback

3.1 I provided feedback to:

3.2 I received feedback from:

3.3 Feedback reflections

29

Page 30: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

References

Accounting for Management. (2015). Debt to equity ratio. Retrieved from

http://www.accountingformanagement.org/debt-to-equity-ratio/

Accounting-simplified.com. (2013). Debt-to-equity-ratio. Retrieved from http://accounting-

simplified.com/financial/ratio-analysis/debt-to-equity.html

Baskerville, P. (2016). What are the key financial ratios to know when going through financial

statements of any company? Quora. Retrieved from https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-

key-financial-ratios-to-know-when-going-through-financial-statements-of-any-company

Boundless.com, (n.d). Current ratio. Retrieved from

https://www.boundless.com/accounting/textbooks/boundless-accounting-textbook/reporting-

of-current-and-contingent-liabilities-9/reporting-and-analyzing-current-liabilities-64/current-

ratio-302-3754/

Boundless.com, (n.d). Current ratio. Retrieved from

https://www.boundless.com/accounting/textbooks/boundless-accounting-textbook/reporting-

of-current-and-contingent-liabilities-9/reporting-and-analyzing-current-liabilities-64/current-

ratio-302-3754/

Cashfocus. (2016). Analyze financial results for economic profit. Retrieved from

http://cashfocus.com/economic-profit-analysis/

Gallo, A. (2015, July 13), A refresher on debt-to-equity ratio, Harvard Business Review. Retrieved

from https://hbr.org/2015/07/a-refresher-on-debt-to-equity-ratio

Hofstrand, D. (2009). Understanding Profitability, Iowa State University. Retrieved from

https://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/wholefarm/html/c3-24.html

Investing Answers. (2016), Economic profit. Retrieved from

http://www.investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/financial-statement-analysis/

economic-profit-2927

30

Page 31: Assignment Stage 2 – Restated Financial Statements€¦  · Web viewUnlike personal debt, debt in a business environment is not always a bad thing. As I look at the debt to equity

Investopedia. (2016). Can a stock have a negative price-to-earnings ratio? Retrieved from

http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/negativeeps.asp

Merritt, C. (2016a). What does the company’s asset turnover ratio mean? Chron. Retrieved from

http://smallbusiness.chron.com/companys-asset-turnover-ratio-mean-60811.html

Merritt, C. (2016b). What does a negative eps mean? The nest. Retrieved from

http://budgeting.thenest.com/negative-eps-mean-31095.html

Ready Ratios. (2016). Earnings per share retrieved from Reference for Business. (2016). Financial

ratios retrieved from http://www.referenceforbusiness.com/management/Ex-Gov/Financial-

Ratios.html

Reference for Business. (2016). Financial ratios retrieved from

http://www.referenceforbusiness.com/management/Ex-Gov/Financial-Ratios.html

Way, J. (2016). The advantages of using debt as capital structure. Retrieved from

http://smallbusiness.chron.com/advantages-using-debt-capital-structure-22011.html

31


Recommended