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Asthma Variability-WSAAI Syllabus

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    Allan T. Luskin, MD

    Associate Professor of Medicine, University of WisconsinDirector, Respiratory Institute, Dean Medical Center

    Madison, Wisconsin

    Past Chair, Patient and Public Education Committee,NAEPP

    Past Co-Chair, Managed Care Liaison,NAEPP

    Committee on Asthma Measures,AMA

    Asthma Expert Panel,JCAHO

    Respiratory Measurement Advisory Panel,HEDIS/NCQA

    Asthma: The Variability of DiseaseControl, Severity, Outcomes and

    Treatment Response

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    Initial Guideline Approach to Asthma

    Only a cursory phenotyping by severity

    Most adverse outcomes due to poor

    diagnosis, poor prescribing, poor adherence

    Majority of asthmatics respond to CS and b-agonists

    One Size Fits All

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    Diette GB Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol. 2004;93:546-552

    Current Symptoms and MD Severity Rating

    010

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    %o

    fPatie

    Mild Moderate Severe

    Physician Rating of Underlying Severity

    Mild Symptoms Moderate Symptoms Severe Symptoms

    31% Concordance

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    Diette GB Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 2004;93:546-552

    Underlying Severity and Future HCU

    05

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    % of Pts

    Mild Moderate Severe

    Physician Estimate of Underlying Severity

    Hospitalized Cancelled Activities ED Visit

    Who are these Patients?

    Which Mild patients get sick?Which Severe patients stay well?

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    Asthmas are variable.

    in control

    in severity

    in response to therapy

    in natural history

    in risk for adverse outcomes in the relationship among features of disease

    in the relationship between outcomes

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    Dimensions of ControlHow the Disease Affects the Organism

    Physiology

    Symptoms (nocturnal, exercise)

    Quality of life and Activities of Daily Living

    Medications (adverse events, adherence)

    Health Care Utilization (function ofexacerbations)

    Comorbidities

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    Dinakar C J Asthma.2005;41:807-812

    Exacerbation Frequency in Mild AsthmaInner City, Peds Clinic, 3 month parental Survey

    80% Persistent 20% Intermittent

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    Red Zone

    Yellow Zone

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    Calverley PMA Proc Am Thoracic Soc 2004;1:161-166

    Exacerbations and Effect of Therapy

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    %

    Exacerbations

    Prevented

    COPD Asthma

    ICS ICS + LABA

    Different

    Exacerbations

    or Different People(not all exacerbations

    and not all asthmaticsare the same)

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    Jones PW Eur Respir J 2003;21:68-73

    Exacerbations and ICSISOLDE Trial

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    Mild Mod-Severe

    Place bo FP

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Mild Mod-Severe

    Placebo FP

    Mean # Exacerbations/year % pts with 1 Exacerbations/year

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    Asthma is a syndrome, not a disease

    The Asthma phenotype is highly variable(clinically, pathologically and physiologically)

    Response to ALL therapy is highly variableBHR and Reversible airflow obstruction does not predictresponse to therapy

    Outcomes do not necessarily correlate witheach other

    There are Outcome phenotypes

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    COPD: Response to Tobacco Smoke

    Atopy and hx of childhood illness

    showed significant additive effect

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    Factors in Asthma Variability

    Genetic

    Environment

    Disease Variability

    Rx Variability

    Patient Display on One Day-One Time

    N.B.: There are 21 arrows. Probability combinations are 2121

    Phenotypes: The visible effects of the interaction

    between Genetic Makeup and the Environment

    Patient Display on One Day-One Time

    Patient over Time

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    Gern J JACI February 2004

    Infant Eczema: CD14/-159 & Dogs

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    % Eczema

    CC CT TT

    Dogs

    No dogs

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    Eder (in press)

    Total IgE: CD14/-159 & Animal Contact

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    Geometric

    mean (IU/ml)

    No animals Dog/Cat only Barn animals

    CC

    CT

    TT

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    Obvious Factors in Variability

    Season Allergen exposure

    Air pollutants

    ETS

    Infection

    Concomitant disease

    Exertion

    Hormones

    Adherence

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    Behavior and Development of WheezePsychologic Factors at age 3 and Development of

    Late-Onset Wheeze at age 5

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    OR

    Maternal

    Smoking

    Maternal

    Asthma

    Expressiveness ECBI Intensity

    Esp: Inattentive, Overactive

    Suggesting physiologic component

    Calem R. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2005;171:323-327

    Compared to

    Never wheezers

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    Adherence and Outcomes

    Adherence/persistence rates range from 5-50%1

    Use patterns tend to be sporadic2

    Significant improvement in important outcomes

    may require ~50% adherence3

    Non-adherence likely accounts for ~60% of

    hospitalizations4

    1Luskin AT Bukstein DA Ann Allergy 1999, 2001 Suissa S, Ernst Thorax 20022Bender B JACI 2003

    3Luskin AT, Bukstein DA JACI 20014Williams LK JACI2004;114:1288-1293

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    Weiss KB. JAMA 1990;263:2323-2328

    Hospitalization: Season and Age

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Hospitalization

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar Ap

    rM

    ay Jun Ju

    lAu

    gSep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Ages 5-34 Ages 35-64 Ages >65

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    eNO and Adherence to ICS

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    Varraso R. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.2005;171:334-339

    Asthma Severity: BMI and Menarche

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    Clinical

    Asthma

    Severity Score

    Men Women: no early

    menarche

    Women: early

    menarch

    I II III IV V

    BMI Quintiles

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    Severity and Control (at one point in time)

    help determine Now therapy but only a

    portion of what we do later

    Need understanding of the interaction

    between components of variabilityEnvironment, genetics, response to therapy,

    relationship between outcomes

    Need understanding of risk drivers Risk assessment (predictive modeling)

    Individualized control assessment

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    Asthma Management

    Utilize characteristics, biomarkers, andgenetics to profile asthma severity

    Select medications based on driving factorsof disease presentation and predictors ofresponse

    Monitor response and assess reasons fortreatment failure

    Adjust therapy accordingly

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    Outcomes Variability in Management

    There are multiple levels of response to therapy

    Variability of response to treatment is outcomeparameter specific

    Adjustments in therapy (and in pharmacogenetics)should be related to response to each outcome

    parameter

    Important outcomes may differ from person to

    person and are also a function of perspective (society,payor, clinician, family, patient)

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    Predicting Response

    Why predict response

    What are appropriate predictors of response

    What response is most important

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    Targets and Assessment: Response to Rx

    FunctionalSymptoms/Medication Use

    Exacerbation

    Global: QOL, ADL Physiologic

    Lung function/BHR

    Progression Pathologic (Inflammation)

    Sputum eos/ eNO

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    Hypertension Pain

    Risk Symptoms

    What is Control?

    Asthma

    ?

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    Question: Which outcomes

    measure is the Bestone for us? 1) FEV1 at the routine office visit

    2) BHR by methacholine challenge

    (or by PF variability as an alternative) 3) Symptom score with particular attention to

    nocturnal symptoms

    4) ER visits and hospitalizations 5) eNO (or other exhaled gas)

    6) There is no single measure which is BEST

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    PEAK Trial:

    Can Therapy Change the Natural History

    2-5 y/o at high risk for asthma (family history)

    3 wheezing episodes in previous year

    2 years of ICS or placebo

    Then off ICS for 1 year

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    PEAK Trial:

    Change Therapy Change Natural History At the end of 2 years of ICS

    Better Control

    Fewer exacerbations

    After 1 year off ICS (compared to placebo)

    No difference in lung function or BHR

    1 cm shorter

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    Ernst P Am J Med 2002;112:44-48

    Course of Asthma

    Change in Severity after 5 years

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Mild to Severe

    Severe to Not

    Severe

    Severe to mild

    Severe to

    Remission

    < 15 y/o > 15 y/o

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    Who/What are Severe Asthmatics?

    Distal airway/lung involvement as targets Diffuse airway wall thickening

    Structural changes not altered by current therapy

    Immune activation (not necessarily IgE)

    Altered GC receptors

    Impaired response to CS

    Persistent inflammation

    Fibrosis

    Increased TGFb and Th1 mediators ?Response to anti-Th1 therapy (anti-TNF-a

    {infliximab/etanercept})

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    Severe Asthmatic Phenotypes

    Clinical, Physiologic, Pathological Sub-Types

    Brittle Asthma

    ASA-sensitive (overproduction of cysLT)

    Eosinophilia related Relatively steroid resistant

    Thickened subepithelial BM

    Risk for near-fatal episodes

    Neutrophilic related Steroid non-responsive

    Pauci-cellular

    Asthma Variability:

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    Calhoun WJ. J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2003;112:1088-1094

    Asthma Variability:

    Moderate-Severe Asthma on b-Agonist Only12 week: mean FEV

    1

    : 64%, b-agonist: 4-5/day

    0

    1020

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    Intermittent Mild Moderate Severe

    Symptoms** Albuterol** PEF* All Criteria

    **Intermittent, Mild, Mod-Severe

    *Intermittent-Mild, Moderate, SevereAlbuterol: 59%

    Symptoms: 45%

    Weeks in Category

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    Luskin AT, Bukstein DA Dean Med Center, 1999

    Lack of Consistency in Utilization

    Pitfall of the 20-80 Rule

    Low-cost

    member

    This Year Next Year

    High-cost

    member

    2/320%of patients

    80%

    of costs

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    Tinkelman D Am J Managed Care. 2004;10:948-954

    Asthma Costs: Effect of Disease Management

    $0$50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    $300

    $350

    $400

    PMP

    Baseline Intervention Baseline Intervention

    Intervention Group Control Group

    Asthma Non Asthma

    49%31%

    Variability

    Intervention

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    Responder and Non-Responder:Dichotomy of Outcomes Response

    FEV1

    Symptom Score

    FEV1

    Symptom Score

    FEV1

    Symptom Score FEV1Symptom Score

    Shingo S. Eur Respir J 2001;17:220-224

    Responder

    Non-Responder

    ?

    ?

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    Variability of Response:Fluticasone

    Szefler S. et alJACI2002;109:410-8.

    34%

    33%

    33%

    >15% FEV1 Response3 Doubling Doses of

    PC20

    1-3 Doubling Doses ofPC20

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    Szefler S. et alJACI2002;109:410-8.

    Variability in FEV1 response: BDP and FP

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    Predictors of Response

    Change in FEV1 15% (n=8) eNO 17.6 ppb*

    high BD reversibility 25% FEV1/FVC ratio 0.63

    Change in PC20

    >3 DD (n=7)

    sputum eosinophils 3.6%older onset of asthma 20-29 y*

    Szefler et al., J Allergy Clin Immunol 2002:109:410-418. * Not confirmed in PRICE

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    Smokings Effect on Response to CS

    Oral Corticosteroids (40mg) for 2 weeks

    -3

    -2.5

    -2

    -1.5

    -1

    -0.50

    0.5

    Change

    Compared to

    Placebo

    FEV1 (l) Symptoms Asthma Control

    Smokers Ex-smokers Never Smokers

    Chaudrhuri R Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2003;168:1308-1315

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    SMOG: Effect of Smoking on Therapy

    0

    24

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    Change in am

    PF (L/M)

    Beclomethasone Montelukast

    Smokers Non-Smokers

    P=0.03

    P=0.0006

    P=0.19

    P=0.0019

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    Tomlinson JEM. Thorax 2005;60:282-287

    ICS in Smoking: Dose Response

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Change am

    PEF

    BDP 400 BDP 2000 Combined

    Non-Smokers Smokers

    Decrease in Exacerbations: 6 vs 1No difference in pm PEF, FEV1, Symptoms

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    Chest 2005;127:571-578

    Race and Steroid Responsiveness

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    Asthma No Asthma

    Black

    Caucasionlog10

    IC

    50

    P=0.028

    P

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    Peters-Golden M Chest 2004 (abs)

    Effect of Obesity on Response to Rx

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    LS Mean %

    ACD

    Montelukast Beclomethasone Placebo

    Normal Overweight Obese

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    Israel E Lancet 2004;364:1505-12

    BARGE: Genetic effects on Response

    -0.1-0.08

    -0.06

    -0.04

    -0.02

    0

    0.020.04

    0.06

    0.08

    0.1

    Symptoms

    Regular

    Arg/Arg

    Gly/Gly

    Arg/Arg: 15% (25% in people of color)

    Gly/Gly: 33%

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    CLIC: Can biomarkers predict response?Are responses independent?

    Can response be related to geno/phenotype?

    6-17 y/o

    FEV1: 96% predicted AFD/week: 1day/week

    Crossover Fluticasone/Montelukast

    Mild lung functionNot mild symptoms

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    CLIC: FEV1 (7.5% )Characterizing the Response to a Leukotriene

    Receptor Antagonist and an Inhaled Corticosteroid

    5% 17.5%

    55% 23%

    Both

    Neither

    Montelukast only

    Fluticasone only

    FEV1, BD response, eNO,

    ECP, BHRSzefler S. JACI.2005;115:233-242

    Secondar O tcome:

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    No

    change

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    1214

    16

    18

    -4to


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