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7/28/2019 Asthma Variability-WSAAI Syllabus
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Allan T. Luskin, MD
Associate Professor of Medicine, University of WisconsinDirector, Respiratory Institute, Dean Medical Center
Madison, Wisconsin
Past Chair, Patient and Public Education Committee,NAEPP
Past Co-Chair, Managed Care Liaison,NAEPP
Committee on Asthma Measures,AMA
Asthma Expert Panel,JCAHO
Respiratory Measurement Advisory Panel,HEDIS/NCQA
Asthma: The Variability of DiseaseControl, Severity, Outcomes and
Treatment Response
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Initial Guideline Approach to Asthma
Only a cursory phenotyping by severity
Most adverse outcomes due to poor
diagnosis, poor prescribing, poor adherence
Majority of asthmatics respond to CS and b-agonists
One Size Fits All
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Diette GB Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol. 2004;93:546-552
Current Symptoms and MD Severity Rating
010
20
30
40
50
60
70
%o
fPatie
Mild Moderate Severe
Physician Rating of Underlying Severity
Mild Symptoms Moderate Symptoms Severe Symptoms
31% Concordance
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Diette GB Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 2004;93:546-552
Underlying Severity and Future HCU
05
10
15
20
25
30
35
% of Pts
Mild Moderate Severe
Physician Estimate of Underlying Severity
Hospitalized Cancelled Activities ED Visit
Who are these Patients?
Which Mild patients get sick?Which Severe patients stay well?
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Asthmas are variable.
in control
in severity
in response to therapy
in natural history
in risk for adverse outcomes in the relationship among features of disease
in the relationship between outcomes
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Dimensions of ControlHow the Disease Affects the Organism
Physiology
Symptoms (nocturnal, exercise)
Quality of life and Activities of Daily Living
Medications (adverse events, adherence)
Health Care Utilization (function ofexacerbations)
Comorbidities
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Dinakar C J Asthma.2005;41:807-812
Exacerbation Frequency in Mild AsthmaInner City, Peds Clinic, 3 month parental Survey
80% Persistent 20% Intermittent
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Zone
Yellow Zone
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Calverley PMA Proc Am Thoracic Soc 2004;1:161-166
Exacerbations and Effect of Therapy
0
20
40
60
80
100
%
Exacerbations
Prevented
COPD Asthma
ICS ICS + LABA
Different
Exacerbations
or Different People(not all exacerbations
and not all asthmaticsare the same)
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Jones PW Eur Respir J 2003;21:68-73
Exacerbations and ICSISOLDE Trial
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
Mild Mod-Severe
Place bo FP
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Mild Mod-Severe
Placebo FP
Mean # Exacerbations/year % pts with 1 Exacerbations/year
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Asthma is a syndrome, not a disease
The Asthma phenotype is highly variable(clinically, pathologically and physiologically)
Response to ALL therapy is highly variableBHR and Reversible airflow obstruction does not predictresponse to therapy
Outcomes do not necessarily correlate witheach other
There are Outcome phenotypes
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COPD: Response to Tobacco Smoke
Atopy and hx of childhood illness
showed significant additive effect
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Factors in Asthma Variability
Genetic
Environment
Disease Variability
Rx Variability
Patient Display on One Day-One Time
N.B.: There are 21 arrows. Probability combinations are 2121
Phenotypes: The visible effects of the interaction
between Genetic Makeup and the Environment
Patient Display on One Day-One Time
Patient over Time
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Gern J JACI February 2004
Infant Eczema: CD14/-159 & Dogs
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
% Eczema
CC CT TT
Dogs
No dogs
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Eder (in press)
Total IgE: CD14/-159 & Animal Contact
0
30
60
90
120
150
Geometric
mean (IU/ml)
No animals Dog/Cat only Barn animals
CC
CT
TT
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Obvious Factors in Variability
Season Allergen exposure
Air pollutants
ETS
Infection
Concomitant disease
Exertion
Hormones
Adherence
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Behavior and Development of WheezePsychologic Factors at age 3 and Development of
Late-Onset Wheeze at age 5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
OR
Maternal
Smoking
Maternal
Asthma
Expressiveness ECBI Intensity
Esp: Inattentive, Overactive
Suggesting physiologic component
Calem R. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2005;171:323-327
Compared to
Never wheezers
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Adherence and Outcomes
Adherence/persistence rates range from 5-50%1
Use patterns tend to be sporadic2
Significant improvement in important outcomes
may require ~50% adherence3
Non-adherence likely accounts for ~60% of
hospitalizations4
1Luskin AT Bukstein DA Ann Allergy 1999, 2001 Suissa S, Ernst Thorax 20022Bender B JACI 2003
3Luskin AT, Bukstein DA JACI 20014Williams LK JACI2004;114:1288-1293
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Weiss KB. JAMA 1990;263:2323-2328
Hospitalization: Season and Age
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Hospitalization
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
rM
ay Jun Ju
lAu
gSep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Ages 5-34 Ages 35-64 Ages >65
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eNO and Adherence to ICS
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Varraso R. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.2005;171:334-339
Asthma Severity: BMI and Menarche
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Clinical
Asthma
Severity Score
Men Women: no early
menarche
Women: early
menarch
I II III IV V
BMI Quintiles
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Severity and Control (at one point in time)
help determine Now therapy but only a
portion of what we do later
Need understanding of the interaction
between components of variabilityEnvironment, genetics, response to therapy,
relationship between outcomes
Need understanding of risk drivers Risk assessment (predictive modeling)
Individualized control assessment
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Asthma Management
Utilize characteristics, biomarkers, andgenetics to profile asthma severity
Select medications based on driving factorsof disease presentation and predictors ofresponse
Monitor response and assess reasons fortreatment failure
Adjust therapy accordingly
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Outcomes Variability in Management
There are multiple levels of response to therapy
Variability of response to treatment is outcomeparameter specific
Adjustments in therapy (and in pharmacogenetics)should be related to response to each outcome
parameter
Important outcomes may differ from person to
person and are also a function of perspective (society,payor, clinician, family, patient)
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Predicting Response
Why predict response
What are appropriate predictors of response
What response is most important
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Targets and Assessment: Response to Rx
FunctionalSymptoms/Medication Use
Exacerbation
Global: QOL, ADL Physiologic
Lung function/BHR
Progression Pathologic (Inflammation)
Sputum eos/ eNO
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Hypertension Pain
Risk Symptoms
What is Control?
Asthma
?
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Question: Which outcomes
measure is the Bestone for us? 1) FEV1 at the routine office visit
2) BHR by methacholine challenge
(or by PF variability as an alternative) 3) Symptom score with particular attention to
nocturnal symptoms
4) ER visits and hospitalizations 5) eNO (or other exhaled gas)
6) There is no single measure which is BEST
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PEAK Trial:
Can Therapy Change the Natural History
2-5 y/o at high risk for asthma (family history)
3 wheezing episodes in previous year
2 years of ICS or placebo
Then off ICS for 1 year
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PEAK Trial:
Change Therapy Change Natural History At the end of 2 years of ICS
Better Control
Fewer exacerbations
After 1 year off ICS (compared to placebo)
No difference in lung function or BHR
1 cm shorter
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Ernst P Am J Med 2002;112:44-48
Course of Asthma
Change in Severity after 5 years
0 20 40 60 80 100
Mild to Severe
Severe to Not
Severe
Severe to mild
Severe to
Remission
< 15 y/o > 15 y/o
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Who/What are Severe Asthmatics?
Distal airway/lung involvement as targets Diffuse airway wall thickening
Structural changes not altered by current therapy
Immune activation (not necessarily IgE)
Altered GC receptors
Impaired response to CS
Persistent inflammation
Fibrosis
Increased TGFb and Th1 mediators ?Response to anti-Th1 therapy (anti-TNF-a
{infliximab/etanercept})
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Severe Asthmatic Phenotypes
Clinical, Physiologic, Pathological Sub-Types
Brittle Asthma
ASA-sensitive (overproduction of cysLT)
Eosinophilia related Relatively steroid resistant
Thickened subepithelial BM
Risk for near-fatal episodes
Neutrophilic related Steroid non-responsive
Pauci-cellular
Asthma Variability:
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Calhoun WJ. J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2003;112:1088-1094
Asthma Variability:
Moderate-Severe Asthma on b-Agonist Only12 week: mean FEV
1
: 64%, b-agonist: 4-5/day
0
1020
30
40
50
60
70
80
Intermittent Mild Moderate Severe
Symptoms** Albuterol** PEF* All Criteria
**Intermittent, Mild, Mod-Severe
*Intermittent-Mild, Moderate, SevereAlbuterol: 59%
Symptoms: 45%
Weeks in Category
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Luskin AT, Bukstein DA Dean Med Center, 1999
Lack of Consistency in Utilization
Pitfall of the 20-80 Rule
Low-cost
member
This Year Next Year
High-cost
member
2/320%of patients
80%
of costs
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Tinkelman D Am J Managed Care. 2004;10:948-954
Asthma Costs: Effect of Disease Management
$0$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
PMP
Baseline Intervention Baseline Intervention
Intervention Group Control Group
Asthma Non Asthma
49%31%
Variability
Intervention
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Responder and Non-Responder:Dichotomy of Outcomes Response
FEV1
Symptom Score
FEV1
Symptom Score
FEV1
Symptom Score FEV1Symptom Score
Shingo S. Eur Respir J 2001;17:220-224
Responder
Non-Responder
?
?
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Variability of Response:Fluticasone
Szefler S. et alJACI2002;109:410-8.
34%
33%
33%
>15% FEV1 Response3 Doubling Doses of
PC20
1-3 Doubling Doses ofPC20
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Szefler S. et alJACI2002;109:410-8.
Variability in FEV1 response: BDP and FP
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Predictors of Response
Change in FEV1 15% (n=8) eNO 17.6 ppb*
high BD reversibility 25% FEV1/FVC ratio 0.63
Change in PC20
>3 DD (n=7)
sputum eosinophils 3.6%older onset of asthma 20-29 y*
Szefler et al., J Allergy Clin Immunol 2002:109:410-418. * Not confirmed in PRICE
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Smokings Effect on Response to CS
Oral Corticosteroids (40mg) for 2 weeks
-3
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.50
0.5
Change
Compared to
Placebo
FEV1 (l) Symptoms Asthma Control
Smokers Ex-smokers Never Smokers
Chaudrhuri R Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2003;168:1308-1315
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SMOG: Effect of Smoking on Therapy
0
24
6
8
10
12
14
Change in am
PF (L/M)
Beclomethasone Montelukast
Smokers Non-Smokers
P=0.03
P=0.0006
P=0.19
P=0.0019
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Tomlinson JEM. Thorax 2005;60:282-287
ICS in Smoking: Dose Response
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Change am
PEF
BDP 400 BDP 2000 Combined
Non-Smokers Smokers
Decrease in Exacerbations: 6 vs 1No difference in pm PEF, FEV1, Symptoms
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Chest 2005;127:571-578
Race and Steroid Responsiveness
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
Asthma No Asthma
Black
Caucasionlog10
IC
50
P=0.028
P
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Peters-Golden M Chest 2004 (abs)
Effect of Obesity on Response to Rx
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
LS Mean %
ACD
Montelukast Beclomethasone Placebo
Normal Overweight Obese
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Israel E Lancet 2004;364:1505-12
BARGE: Genetic effects on Response
-0.1-0.08
-0.06
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.020.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
Symptoms
Regular
Arg/Arg
Gly/Gly
Arg/Arg: 15% (25% in people of color)
Gly/Gly: 33%
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CLIC: Can biomarkers predict response?Are responses independent?
Can response be related to geno/phenotype?
6-17 y/o
FEV1: 96% predicted AFD/week: 1day/week
Crossover Fluticasone/Montelukast
Mild lung functionNot mild symptoms
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CLIC: FEV1 (7.5% )Characterizing the Response to a Leukotriene
Receptor Antagonist and an Inhaled Corticosteroid
5% 17.5%
55% 23%
Both
Neither
Montelukast only
Fluticasone only
FEV1, BD response, eNO,
ECP, BHRSzefler S. JACI.2005;115:233-242
Secondar O tcome:
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No
change
0
2
4
6
8
10
1214
16
18
-4to