ATB Investor ServicesAlberta Investor Beat Tracking ResearchQ1 2017
January 27, 2017
2
To inform business strategy and showcase ATBIS’ deep understanding of Albertans.
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2
Understand Albertans’ mindset around saving and investing including their intent to save and/or invest based on their confidence in various social, economic and political factors.
Purpose
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Field Dates
In this report “Albertans” = General Population
Online Albertans Aged 18+
Online (Ipsos Panel)1,004 completes in Q1 2017
Qualifying ParticipantsAges 18+
Sample collected and weighted to be representative of Albertans by age,
gender and region
Q1 2017 January 3 – 11, 2017
Q4 2016 October 11-20, 2016
Q3 2016 July 25–Aug 4, 2016
Q2 2016 April 11–18, 2016
Q1 2016 January 4–14, 2016
Methodology
4
More Albertans are diversifying their investment portfolios, although there has been no real impact on the overall distribution of wealth by category• This quarter there was another significant increase in Albertans prioritizing debt repayment,
reduced spending and saving for vacation.
1
2
Optimism toward investing increased slightly this quarter, with those living in Calgary being more optimistic than others• While the optimism index for mutual funds and real estate remains steady, Albertans are feeling
more positive about various investment products; especially stocks.• Although Albertans continue to be the least optimistic about ‘micro-economic’ factors overall
(i.e. cost of living), there is some improvement in the area of employment opportunity. There is also an increase in optimism toward the Alberta economy, oil prices, and the stock market.
3About 6 in 10 Albertans claim to be impacted by the drop in oil, a significant increase from last quarter and from this time last year• Although cost of living continues to be the main way Albertans are impacted by oil prices, fewer
Albertans cite being impacted by a decline in the value of their investments• This quarter, significantly more Albertans have started to look for work outside of the
province in response to the impact. Also, more Albertans have taken out a loan or increased an existing line of credit compared to this time last year.
Executive Summary
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4
Nearly all Albertans (96%) are aware that their taxes are based on paid income• The most common method of completing taxes remains the ‘do it yourself’ approach, either
using an online software or a paper and pencil• Compared to last year, significantly more Albertans are expecting their tax rates to increase and
the main reason is that they’ve earned more income. Conversely, of those who claim their rates will be lower, there is a significant increase in those who cite a reduction in earned income compared with last year.
• Just over 4 in 10 Albertans are familiar with how various savings & investment products are taxed (consistent with last year). There is, however, a significant increase in the number of Albertans who feel very strongly that this taxation impacts how they would select their products.
5
Fewer than half of Investors in Alberta claim they pay fees for their investments• Of those who claim to pay fees, just under a quarter feel they’re very familiar with what they
pay; 39% of those who are very familiar believe their fees have a big or very big impact on the performance of their portfolio
• Ahead of the deadline for CRM2, we find that only a quarter of investors in Alberta who claim to pay fees have had their fee structure explained to them in the past 12 months. In fact, 60% of investors are still unaware of what CRM2 is.
Executive Summary
Investor Beat Investing Optimism Index
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Methodology
• ATB Investor Services’ Investor Beat Optimism Index is based on a representative sample of Albertans who rate their optimism toward investing, different investment products and economic factors.
• The Investor Beat Optimism Index is calculated based on a net positive score which is then rescaled to fit an index ranging from 0 to 100.
51 51
48 49
4746
47
4042
44
46
40
45
50
55
Q3 2016 (W5) Q4 2016 (W6) Q1 2017 (W7)
Balanced Mutual Funds
Real Estate
Cash
Stocks (directly and equity funds)
Alternatives (precious metals,foreign currency, collectables)Bonds
Other
54 5456
50
55
60
65
Overall Investing Optimism Score
8Base: All respondentsTaking everything into consideration, is now a good time or bad time to invest your money? (Q2NEW)Specific Products: More specifically, is now a good time or bad time to invest in the following? (Q2NEWa)
Index Range: 0 to 100.
8
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Optimism with Specific Investment Products:
Less Optimistic
50
More Optimistic
Optimism toward investing rose 2 points since previous quarter. Optimism toward many different investment product has also increased, with ‘Stocks’ experiencing the highest rise of 4 points. ‘Balanced Mutual Funds’ and ‘Real Estate’ remain steady.
Similar to the previous quarter, males and those with investible assets over $500K are the most likely to feel it is a good time to invest than their counterparts.
Albertans living outside of Edmonton and Calgary are more likely to feel that it is a bad time to invest than those living in the major city centres.
9
Q3 2016 (n=100)
Q4 2016 (n=152)
Q1 2017 (n=195)
Economy - Net 27% 43% 36%
Poor/ unstable economy 19% 16% 10%
Market is getting better - 9% 12%
Low costs of goods/services 6% 14% 5%
Better/stable economy 1% 5% 5%
Recession Period - 1% 4%
Oil price is on the rise - - 4%
Investment Products - Net 52% 45% 35%
Good time to invest 27% 29% 15%
Low stock market 26% 19% 12%
Lots of market opportunities - - 4%
New US Administration - - 4%
Note: Only mentions of 4% or higher for Q1 2017 are shown.
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Base: Rated good time to investQ2bNEW. Why do you think now is a good time to invest?
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Reasons that it’s a Good Time to Invest For Albertans who feel that it is currently a good time to invest, feeling that the market is getting better, the
unstable economy, low stock market and a general positive sentiment are the top reasons mentioned. This quarter, Albertans also began mentioning the new US administration is a reason now is a good time to invest.
Gen-Xers and Boomers are more likely to mention that they feel the market is getting better compared to Millennials.
10
Q3 2016 (n=82)*
Q4 2016 (n=156)
Q1 2017 (n=140)
Economy - Net 18% 42% 37%Poor economy 14% 33% 26%Unemployment 5% 10% 10%Recession - 3% 4%
No money - Net 25% 26% 33%No extra money to invest 17% 22% 29%
Investment - Net 26% 15% 8%Low interest rates 13% 9% 5%
Miscellaneous - Net 10% 20% 24%Current political atmosphere 4% 6% 9%Increased/additional taxes - 4% 6%Low Canadian dollar 2% 3% 4%
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Among those Albertans who feel it’s a bad time to invest, poor economy and not having additional funds to invest continue to be the main reasons why Albertans believe it is bad time to invest.
Note: Only mentions of 4% or higher for Q1 2017 are shown.* Small base size, interpret with caution
Base: Rated bad time to investQ2cNEW. Why do you think now is a bad time to invest?
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Reasons that it’s a Bad Time to Invest
38
43
27
36
40
23
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Canadian economy Global economy Alberta economy
Q1 2017 (W7)
Q4 2016 (W6)
11Index Range: 0 to 100.
More Optimistic
Lower Relationship with Investing Optimism Higher
Less Optimistic
50
Base: All respondents Q3. Please rate how you view the following factors at this point in time.
Q1 201736
Q4 201633
Average Index Score for Overall Economies
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Overall Economies The average index score for optimism toward overall economies rose by 3 points this quarter. Sentiment
toward the Alberta economy rose the sharpest by 4points. Males and those who live in Edmonton have more positive perceptions of the provincial economy than
their counterparts.
4950
42
31
4448
44
25
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Stock MarketInterest Rates Real EstateMarket/Prices
Oil Market/Prices
Q1 2017 (W7)
Q4 2016 (W6)
12Index Range: 0 to 100.
More Optimistic
Lower Relationship with Investing Optimism Higher
Less Optimistic
50
Base: All respondents Q3. Please rate how you view the following factors at this point in time.
Q1 201743
Q4 201640
Average Index Score for Macro‐Economic Factors
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Macro-Economic Factors Average index score for Macro-Economic Factors also rose by 3 points. This is due to more positive
perceptions about the Oil Market and the Stock Market. Albertans are slightly less optimistic, however, about the Real Estate Market/Prices.
Boomers have more negative perceptions about Real Estate and Interest Rates than their counterparts.
30303031 312927
32
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Cost of living Canadian dollar Employment/ Jobopportunities
Taxes
Q1 2017 (W7)
Q4 2016 (W6)
13Index Range: 0 to 100.
More Optimistic
Lower Relationship with Investing Optimism Higher
Less Optimistic
50
Base: All respondents Q3. Please rate how you view the following factors at this point in time.
Q1 2017Q4 2016
30
Average Index Score for Micro‐Economic Factors
Investor Beat Optimism Index
Micro-Economic Factors Average index score for Micro-Economic Factors remains the same this quarter. Optimism toward
Employment/Job Opportunities rose slightly by 3 points this quarter. Albertans with $25K or less in investible assets and women have the most pessimistic view of cost of
living and job opportunities than their counterparts. Boomers hold negative perceptions of the dollar more so than Gen-Xers and Millennials.
Investor Beat Understanding Albertans DeeperSavings & Investment Goals
15 Base: Q2 2016: (n=512); Q3 2016: (n=1,003); Q4 2016: (n=1,003), Q1 2017: (n=1,004)Q8 (Q8_new in W4). What percentage of your savings and investments are in the following types of products?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Note: Tracking starts from Q2 2016 as product list options were modified in Q2 2016
Have ANY savings or investments product
% of Albertans with this product
% of Albertans total savings/investments by
product
Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017
Cash
76% 89% 82% 83%
72% 84% 76% 79% 50% 50% 45% 44%
Balanced mutual funds 38% 42% 45% 47% 17% 17% 21% 22%Stocks (directly and equity
funds) 33% 39% 39% 40% 14% 13% 13% 14%
Bonds 17% 17% 19% 22% 4% 3% 4% 4%Real estate (excl. primary
residence) 20% 22% 20% 24% 8% 8% 8% 8%
Alternatives 15% 21% 18% 19% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Other 12% 17% 17% 19% 4% 6% 7% 5%
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Savings & Investment Portfolios The number of Albertans with any savings and/or investments holds steady, with eight-in-ten (83%) reporting to hold
any type of savings or investment product evaluated. The portfolio mix also looks similar to the previous wave, with cash holdings the highest, followed by mutual funds and stocks.
Not surprisingly, Albertans with investible assets less than $25K are more likely to put their money into cash savings, whereas those with over $25K have a more diversified portfolio, that also includes stocks and mutual funds.
The proportion of Albertans with real estate investments is on the rise (24% in Q1’17 vs. 20% in Q4’16), suggesting that Albertans are diversifying. There is still no impact, however, on overall distribution of wealth by category.
15%
7%
8%
6%
77%
85%
84%
83%
8%
8%
9%
10%
11%
6%
5%
4%
82%
85%
87%
86%
7%
9%
8%
10%
16%
5%
5%
4%
77%
85%
86%
86%
7%
10%
9%
10%
17%
5%
5%
5%
77%
81%
82%
77%
6%
14%
13%
18%
Cash
Stocks (directly and equity funds)
Balanced mutual funds
Real estate (excluding your primary
residence)
16
Consistent wave-over-wave, the majority of Albertans with savings and/or investments intend to maintain the same amount for each of the products in their financial portfolio.
While a small proportion, there is an significant increase in intention to boost cash savings and mutual funds in the short-term future this wave.
Base: Have any savings or investmentsQ9 (Q9_new in Q2 2016). In the next 3-6 months do you intend to increase, decrease or keep the same amount of savings and/or investments in each of the following products?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Note: Tracking starts from Q2 2016 as product list options were modified in Q2 2016
Intent to increase savings/investments (rated 8, 9, 10)
Keep the same amount of savings/investments (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Intent to decrease savings/investments (rated 0, 1, 2)
Q4 2016 (n=819)Q3 2016 (n-895)Q2 2016 (n=387)
Q1 2017 (n=837)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Savings & Investment Portfolios
4%
4%
4%
89%
85%
87%
8%
11%
8%
2%
2%
2%
87%
87%
89%
11%
11%
9%
3%
3%
3%
87%
87%
89%
10%
10%
8%
4%
4%
4%
77%
79%
77%
19%
17%
19%
17
Similar to previous quarters, Albertans intend to keep the same amount of investments in alternatives, bonds and other financial products in the short term future.
Base: Have any savings or investmentsQ9 (Q9_new in Q2 2016). In the next 3-6 months do you intend to increase, decrease or keep the same amount of savings and/or investments in each of the following products?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Note: Tracking starts from Q2 2016 as product list options were modified in Q2 2016
Intent to increase savings/investments (rated 8, 9, 10)
Keep the same amount of savings/investments (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Intent to decrease savings/investments (rated 0, 1, 2)
Alternatives
Bonds
OtherQ4 2016 (n=819)Q3 2016 (n-895)Q2 2016 (n=387)
Q1 2017 (n=837)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Savings & Investment Portfolios
42%
26%
24%
22%
22%
40%
23%
23%
22%
21%
42%
26%
23%
24%
23%
40%
23%
19%
19%
22%
39%
25%
21%
18%
20%
36%
22%
21%
17%
19%
18
Saving for retirement and paying down debt continue to be the top two financial goals for Albertans. Overall, the goals of paying down debt, reduced spending and saving for a vacation have been increasing over time.
Reducing spending, saving for a home and vacation savings are more likely to be a focus for Millennials than the other two age cohorts.
Base: All respondentsQ14. Which of the following are financial goals for you personally?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
52%
49%
45%
44%
42%
52%
43%
38%
40%
40%
48%
46%
40%
40%
43%
51%
44%
35%
37%
42%
46%
45%
38%
39%
44%
51%
38%
32%
35%
41%
Saving for retirement
Paying down debt
Reducing your
spending
Saving for a vacation
Managing day-to-day
finances
Building up an emergency fund
Saving money in case of an
illness/death in your family
Reducing the amount of tax
you pay
Saving for a major purchase
(e.g. car, TV, boat, RV, etc.)
Saving for a house
Q3 2016 (n=1,003)Q2 2016 (n=1,007)Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q4 2016 (n=1,003)
Q4 2015 (n=1,024)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Top 10 Personal Financial Goals
19
Financial goals outside of the top 10 continue to remain stable wave over wave. However, saving towards a wedding/honeymoon/baby has significantly gone up in Q1’17, driven by Millennials (27% indicated as a goal).
Base: All respondentsQ14. Which of the following are financial goals for you personally?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
20%
19%
19%
13%
12%
21%
18%
17%
12%
8%
20%
17%
17%
11%
10%
19%
13%
14%
9%
9%
18%
15%
15%
10%
10%
18%
16%
12%
9%
6%
Saving for your children’s/
grandchildren’s education
Making charitable donations
Saving for a house renovation
Accumulating an estate
Saving for a wedding/
honeymoon/baby
11%
11%
10%
8%
12%
10%
10%
11%
7%
15%
12%
9%
12%
7%
15%
8%
7%
11%
6%
8%
9%
8%
9%
8%
9%
7%
7%
7%
6%
9%
Starting or owning a business
Buying proper life insurance coverage
Saving for your education
Saving for a second property
Nothing specific, just want to grow
my money
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016 (n=1,003)Q2 2016 (n=1,007)Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q4 2016 (n=1,003)
Q4 2015 (n=1,024)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Other Personal Financial Goals
50%
50%
49%
48%
47%
49%
37%
46%
48%
41%
48%
47%
44%
43%
42%
48%
39%
44%
37%
39%
54%
37%
52%
39%
36%
48%
46%
48%
39%
37%
House
Wedding/honeymoon/baby
Saving for retirement
Reducing the amount oftax you pay
Saving for a vacation
20 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
59%
55%
54%
52%
52%
52%
54%
45%
55%
49%
55%
52%
48%
44%
45%
50%
46%
39%
50%
46%
52%
50%
46%
48%
51%
53%
53%
50%
55%
47%
Building up anemergency fund
Money in case ofan illness/death in
your family
Major purchase(e.g., car, TV)
House renovation
Paying down debtQ3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Financial Goals Albertans Feel Behind On This quarter, building up an emergency fund replaced house renovation as the top financial goal that Albertans feel
behind on. The second most problematic financial goal is saving money in case of an illness/death in the family. Compared to this time last year, significantly more Albertans feel that they’re not financially prepared in case of an
emergency and that they’re not saving as much as they would like to for a vacation. Saving for retirement is the most important financial goal for Albertans, however just under half feel their behind.
Build up an emergency fund
Money in case of an illness/death
in family
Major purchase(e.g. car, TV)
House renovation
Paying down debt
House
Wedding/honeymoon/baby
Saving for retirement
Reducing the amount of tax
paid
Saving for a vacation
3%
9%
1%
4%
9%
1%
4%
10%
2%
4%
6%
2%
7%
7%
1%
5%
10%
1%
21
For Albertans who are behind in their financial goals, cost of living and unexpected expenses remain the top barriers as to why they are behind in meeting their financial objectives. In particular, cost of living has increased significantly as a barrier versus a year ago.
Cost of living is more of an issue among Millennials, Gen-Xers, residents in ‘Other Alberta’ and women compared to their counterparts.
Base: Behind in achieving financial goalsQ16. You mentioned you are behind in at least one of your financial goals. What is preventing you from being on track?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
61%
43%
31%
31%
58%
43%
30%
29%
58%
45%
31%
32%
52%
41%
28%
32%
54%
42%
28%
31%
58%
43%
27%
24%
Cost of living
Unexpected expenses
Low wages
Job loss/ reduction
30%
15%
11%
7%
33%
19%
12%
7%
34%
13%
14%
7%
26%
15%
11%
6%
31%
13%
18%
7%
0%
16%
17%
8%
Too much spending
Taking time to
make it a priority
Low returns
Need financial
advice/ expertise
Wrong savings/
investment product
Other
Don't know
Q3 2016 (n=589)Q2 2016 (n=639)Q1 2016 (n=653)
Q4 2016 (n=616)
Q4 2015 (n=627)
Q1 2017 (n=679)
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Reasons for Falling Behind on Goals
22
Compared to the previous wave, significantly more Albertans are anticipating that they will spend less on household expenditures and more on credit card payments in the short term future versus the previous wave. The increase in credit card payments may likely be stemming from the holiday season and the increased expenses incurred during this time.
Base: All respondentsQ17. How do you anticipate your spending to change in the next 3-6 months?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
30%
24%
17%
27%
19%
14%
31%
19%
19%
28%
19%
16%
37%
25%
23%
23%
20%
Putting money into savings
and/or investments
Payments to credit card(s) or
line or credit
Spending on day-to-day
household/ personal
expenditures
More (Net) About the Same Less (Net) Not Sure
47%
54%
54%
48%
59%
63%
47%
57%
57%
47%
56%
57%
41%
51%
52%
55%
60%
17%
12%
27%
18%
9%
20%
16%
11%
22%
17%
11%
24%
16%
11%
24%
11%
18%
6%
10%
2%
6%
12%
2%
6%
13%
2%
8%
14%
3%
6%
13%
1%
12%
2%
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016 (n=1,003)Q2 2016 (n=1,007)Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q4 2016 (n=1,003)
Q4 2015 (n=1,024)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Anticipated Change in Spending
23
Significantly more Albertans anticipate spending less on recreation and travel in the short term versus Q4’16. Future spending on home renovations is stable.
Similar to last quarter, half of Albertans project they will spend the same amount on payments to mortgages or loans. Of note, the proportion of Albertans who anticipate a higher spending on mortgage/loan payments has increased compared to last quarter.
Base: All respondentsQ17. How do you anticipate your spending to change in the next 3-6 months?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
14%
17%
13%
12%
11%
12%
15%
13%
13%
14%
14%
12%
16%
17%
15%
15%
16%
15%
Spending on household
renovations
Payments to mortgage or
personal loan
Spending on recreation/
entertainment or travel
More (Net) About the Same Less (Net) Not Sure
34%
50%
44%
37%
53%
49%
31%
49%
45%
29%
48%
43%
29%
45%
41%
28%
44%
46%
28%
8%
38%
25%
8%
33%
25%
9%
37%
23%
7%
37%
27%
9%
40%
30%
8%
34%
25%
26%
5%
25%
27%
6%
29%
30%
6%
34%
32%
8%
28%
29%
5%
27%
32%
4%
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016 (n=1,003)Q2 2016 (n=1,007)Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q4 2016 (n=1,003)
Q4 2015 (n=1,024)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Anticipated Change in Spending
24
Albertans are mostly unsure of how much they plan to spend on education and on recreational vehicles, with around four-in-ten saying they are unsure of what their short-term spending on these items will be.
Base: All respondentsQ17. How do you anticipate your spending to change in the next 3-6 months?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
11%
11%
7%
4%
11%
11%
9%
4%
12%
11%
8%
4%
12%
11%
6%
4%
11%
12%
9%
5%
14%
9%
3%
Spending on education
Spending on personal vehicles
Spending on electronics/
appliances
Spending on recreational
vehicles
More (Net) About the Same Less (Net) Not Sure
36%
53%
43%
26%
37%
52%
40%
28%
36%
50%
41%
25%
31%
47%
38%
22%
31%
43%
31%
19%
44%
37%
19%
17%
22%
38%
26%
15%
23%
36%
23%
15%
24%
37%
25%
14%
22%
38%
20%
15%
27%
45%
28%
26%
42%
30%
37%
14%
13%
44%
37%
14%
15%
45%
37%
15%
15%
46%
43%
20%
18%
54%
43%
17%
14%
49%
17%
12%
48%
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016 (n=1,003)Q2 2016 (n=1,007)Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q4 2016 (n=1,003)
Q4 2015 (n=1,024)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Anticipated Change in Spending
Investor Beat Impact of Drop in Oil Prices
58%
52%52%49%48%
45%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
Q1 2017 (W7)n=1,004
Q4 2016 (W6)n=1,003
Q3 2016 (W5)n=1,003
Q2 2016 (W4)n=1,007
Q1 2016 (W3)n=1,004
Q4 2015 (W2)n=1,024
Percent of Albertans Impacted by the Drop in Oil Prices
26 Base: All respondentsQ21. Have you personally been impacted by the recent drop in oil prices?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Impact by Drop in Oil Prices Close to six-in-ten Albertans report that they have been personally impacted by the reduction in oil prices, a
significant jump up from the previous quarter as well as a year ago in Q1’16. Calgarians and Albertans under 55 years of age are more likely to feel the effects of the drop in oil prices
than those 55+.
27
For Albertans impacted by the drop in oil prices, cost of living continues to be the top reason why they are impacted, followed by a slow down in business.
Base: Impacted by the recent drop in oil pricesQ22. In what ways have you personally been impacted by the recent drop in oil prices?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
51%
38%
27%
48%
36%
26%
47%
44%
26%
41%
35%
30%
45%
37%
24%
43%
39%
19%
Increased cost of
living
Slow down in business
Job loss
Decline in real estate
value
Can't find employment
Salary freeze
Salary reduction
21%
8%
6%
27%
8%
5%
25%
5%
5%
26%
9%
4%
28%
8%
5%
27%
12%
4%
24%
23%
22%
22%
22%
23%
25%
20%
19%
21%
25%
21%
16%
22%
21%
20%
21%
19%
20%
17%
17%
14%
22%
19%
Q3 2016 (n=526)Q2 2016 (n=487)Q1 2016 (n=485)
Q4 2016 (n=517)
Q4 2015 (n=467)
Q1 2017 (n=583)
Decline in investment
value
Reducing business expenses
Other
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Impact by Drop in Oil Prices
Ways Albertans are Impacted
28
Reducing one’s spending remains the main change made by Albertans who are impacted by the oil prices drop. Women are more likely than men to claim they have reduced their spending (72% vs. 61%).
Compared to a year ago, significantly more Albertans modify their vacation plans as a result of the drop in oil prices.
Base: Impacted by the recent drop in oil pricesQ23. As a result of the recent drop in oil prices, which of the following changes have you made?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Q3 2016 (n=526)Q2 2016 (n=487)Q1 2016 (n=485)
Q4 2016 (n=517)
Q4 2015 (n=467)
Q1 2017 (n=583)
66%
34%
34%
62%
35%
29%
66%
30%
34%
68%
27%
30%
69%
31%
27%
61%
29%
29%
Reduced your spending
Put off making a big purchase
(i.e., a car, TV, boat, RV, etc.)
Changed a vacation plan
28%
22%
29%
21%
30%
23%
27%
18%
23%
18%
23%
14%
Stopped some of your regular
savings/ investment
contributions
Withdrew some of your long
term savings/ investments
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Impact by Drop in Oil Prices
Top 5 Changes Albertans Have Made
14%
13%
13%
14%
12%
11%
15%
12%
11%
13%
9%
9%
9%
10%
8%
29
Looking for work outside of the province has significantly climbed up this quarter. Millennials, Gen-Xers and Males are more likely to be doing this than their comparative cohorts.
Base: Impacted by the recent drop in oil pricesQ23. As a result of the recent drop in oil prices, which of the following changes have you made?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
20%
19%
15%
22%
14%
12%
19%
15%
15%
20%
14%
17%
12%
18%
13%
Put off a planned home renovation
Started to look for work outside
of Alberta
Put off buying a new house
Q3 2016 (n=526)Q2 2016 (n=487)Q1 2016 (n=485)
Q4 2016 (n=517)
Q4 2015 (n=467)
Q1 2017 (n=583)
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Collected employment
insurance
Shifted your savings/
investments to a more conservative/ lower risk selection
Took out a new loan/started to use
an existing line of credit
Impact by Drop in Oil Prices
Other Changes Albertans Have Made
30 Base: Impacted by the recent drop in oil pricesQ23. As a result of the recent drop in oil prices, which of the following changes have you made?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
Q3 2016 (n=526)Q2 2016 (n=487)Q1 2016 (n=485)
Q4 2016 (n=517)
Q4 2015 (n=467)
Q1 2017 (n=583)
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
9%
7%
6%
8%
7%
5%
10%
4%
10%8%
6%
Planning to leave the province due
to instability in the oil sector
Downsized or remortgaged your
home to reduce expenses
Started up your own business
2%
8%
3%
11%
3%
10%
2%
10%
4%
10%
2%
17%
Other
None
Impact by Drop in Oil Prices
Other Changes Albertans Have Made
Investor Beat Ad Hoc
Investment Fees
32
Among Albertans with investment products (mutual funds, stocks, bonds), just under half (46%) are aware that they pay fees on these products.
Among this sub-group, seven-in-ten report that they are very or somewhat familiar with the fees paid on their investments. Millennials and men indicate higher familiarity than their counterparts.
Base: Has mutual funds, stocks or bonds (n=596)W7AH1. Do you pay fees for your mutual funds, stocks or bonds?
Pays Investment Fees *Familiarity with Investment Fees Paid
46%
36%
18%
Yes
No
Don’t know
Base: (Q1’17) Aware they pay fees for mutual funds, stocks or bonds Base: (Q4’15) Has mutual funds, stocks or bondsW7AH2. How familiar are you with the fees you pay for your mutual funds, stocks or bonds?
3%
27%
47%
23%
10%
24%
44%
22%
Not at allfamiliar
Not veryfamiliar
Somewhatfamiliar
Very familiar
Q4 2015 (n=611)
Q1 2017 (n=276)
*Base definition is different from Q1’17 to Q4’15; interpret with caution
Investor Beat Ad HocAwareness & Familiarity with Investment Fees
7%
5%
4%
2%
2%
4%
5%
13%
10%
7%
9%
9%
11%
33
Among Albertans who claim to be less or not at all familiar with their fees, forgetting what the fees are and having an advisor responsible for the fees are the main mentions cited.
Having an advisor take care of their fees is significantly mentioned more among Boomers than the other two age cohorts.
Base: (Q1’17) Aware they pay fees and are somewhat/Not Very/Not at all Familiar with fees paid Base: (Q4’15) Has stocks/mutual funds or bonds and are somewhat/Not Very/Not at all familiar with fees paidW7AH4. Why are you not VERY familiar with the fees you pay for your mutual funds, stocks or bonds?
31%
26%
18%
14%
14%
11%
8%
30%
23%
12%
16%
You forget what the fees are
Your advisor takes care of the fees
There are too many different fees to remember
They are not outlined in your statement
Fees are only applied during withdrawal
The fees are too confusing/complicated
Someone else manages your investments (i.e.,
spouse, parent, etc.)
You never asked about the fees
Not important for you to know
The company never mentioned any fees
You don’t pay fees
You didn’t know there were fees
Other
Don’t know/not sureQ4 2015 (n=482)
Q1 2017 (n=212)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
*Base definition is different from Q1’17 to Q4’15; interpret with caution
Investor Beat Ad HocReasons for Being Unfamiliar with Fees
34
Among Albertans who claim to be very familiar with their investment fees, opinions are divided on the impact fees make on their financial portfolio performance.
Four-in-ten feel that the fees have an extremely big/big impact, while just under one-third are on the opposite spectrum, indicating that fees do not have very much or any impact.
Base: Very familiar with fees paid (n=64)** Small base size, interpret with cautionW7AH3. Overall, how much impact do you think investment fees have on the performance of your portfolio in the long term (i.e. over 10 to 15 years)?
Extremely big impact
17%
22%Big impact
Not very much impact
28%
No impact overall
3%
30%
Some impact
39%
31%
Investor Beat Ad HocImpact of Fees on Portfolio Performance
35Base: Fees paid for mutual funds, stocks or bonds (n=276)W7AH5. Has anyone at the company you have your mutual funds, stocks or bonds at explained the fees you pay?
Base: Fees paid for mutual funds, stocks or bonds (n=276)W7AH6. Were you aware of CRM 2?
*Recency of Explanation of Investment Fees
Over one-third (36%) have had their investment fees explained in the past year. However, there are one-in-five (19%) who have never had their fees explained to them.
For those aware of investment fees, six-in-ten (61%) have never heard of or do not know about the CRM2 rules. This represents an opportunity for ATB to communicate and educate Albertans on this information.
Awareness of CRM 2
18%
18%
21%
24%
19%
12%
13%
15%
30%
29%
Yes within the past 6 months
Yes within the past 6 months-1
year
Yes within the past 1-2 years
Yes over two years ago
Never
Yes
39% No
54%
Don’t know
7%
CRM2 (Client Relationship Model,
Phase 2) are new rules where financial
companies must give their clients detailed
yearly reports outlining fees and
portfolio performance.
*Base definition is different from Q1’17 to Q4’15; interpret with caution
Q4 2015 (n=611)
Q1 2017 (n=276)
Investor Beat Ad HocHaving Fees Explained & CRM2 Awareness
Investor Beat Ad Hoc
Income Tax Knowledge
37Base: All respondents W7AH8. Are you aware that you pay both federal and provincial income taxes on your earned income?
Using a software tool to complete tax is the still the most common method Albertans use to file their taxes, followed by using the services of an accountant.
Deduction by employers from your salary remains the most common method Albertans use to pay for income tax.
Declining38%
96% of Albertans are
aware that federal and
provincial taxes are paid on
income
41%
10%
30%
15%
4%
40%
13%
29%
14%
4%
Yourself using a software tool
(i.e., TurboTax, Quick Tax, etc.)
Yourself using paper and pencil
Accountant
Your spouse/partner/friend/
other family member
Other
Your employer deducts your income taxes from
your pay
You are self-employed and you pay when you file your
income tax return each year
You are self-employed and you make installment
payments throughout the year
Don’t know
Not applicable
51% complete taxes by themselves in Q1’2017
Tax Return Completion Method
66%
12%
5%
4%
13%
64%
10%
4%
5%
16%
Federal/Provincial Tax Payment Method
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Base: All respondentsW7AH9. What payment method do you use to pay federal and provincial income tax?
Base: All respondents W7AH7. Personal Income Tax season is coming up. Typically, who completes your personal income tax return?
Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Investor Beat Ad HocIncome Tax Completion & Payment
38 Base: All respondentsW7AH10. Overall, for you personally, are your 2016 income tax rates (% of your 2016 income that goes to federal and provincial taxes) …
Compared to a year ago, significantly more Albertans are anticipating that their income tax rates will be higher in 2016 than 2015.
In addition, there is a surge in the number of Albertans who believe they will be paying more income taxes this year compared to the previous tax year. Albertans with investible assets over $25K are more likely to believe they will be paying more taxes than those with assets under this threshold.
Declining38%
Perception of Personal Income Tax Rates vs. Previous Year
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
27%
33%
14%
26%
22%
38%
13%
27%
Higher than previous
The same as previous
Lower than previous
Don’t know
Payment of Personal Income Taxes vs. Previous Year
34%
34%
18%
14%
25%
39%
19%
17%
More
The same
Less
Don’t know
Base: All respondentsW7AH12. Do you think you will pay more or less (total $ amount) in personal income taxes on your income from 2016 compared to 2015?
Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
Investor Beat Ad HocPersonal Income Tax Rate Perceptions
39 Base: Perceived higher/lower tax rates than 2015W7AH11.Why are your 2016 income tax rates [higher/lower]?
Among Albertans who believe their income tax rates are going up, higher income earnings, followed by changes to tax rates are the main mentions.
For those who feel their tax rates will be lower in 2016, earning less income is overwhelmingly the top mention, with eight-in-ten citing this reason. In addition, this is significantly up compared to a year ago.
Reasons Income Tax Rates are Higher(Among those who perceive that their tax
rates are higher)
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Reasons Income Tax Rates are Lower(Among those who perceive that their tax
rates are lower)
54%
39%
9%
3%
4%
3%
61%
35%
6%
1%
2%
5%
You earned more income
Changes to tax rates/
income bracketsClaimed more
deductions/credits
Received professional advice on taxes
Other
Don`t know
You earned less income
Claimed more deductions/ credits
Changes to tax rates/
income bracketsReceived professional
advice on taxes
Other
Don`t know
80%
14%
13%
5%
6%
1%
65%
10%
26%
3%
5%
5%
Q1 2016 (n=128)
Q1 2017 (n=140)
Higher Rates vs. Previous YearQ1’2016: 22%Q1’2017: 27%
Lower Rates vs. Previous YearQ1’2016: 14%Q1’2017: 13%
Investor Beat Ad HocReasons Albertans think Tax is Higher/Lower
40 Base: All respondentsW7AH13. How familiar are you with the changes to the income tax bracket rates that the government is introduced in 2016?
Familiarity with the changes to tax bracket rates in 2016 has significantly declined compared to last year (37% vs. 46%).
Millennials (41%) are more likely to be familiar with the tax bracket changes than Boomers (32%), as well as men compared to women (45% vs. 30%).
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
23%
39%
30%
7%
22%
32%
39%
7%
Not at allfamiliar
Not veryfamiliar
Somewhatfamiliar
Very familiar
Top 2 Box:Q1’2016: 46%Q1’2017: 37%
Investor Beat Ad HocFamiliarity with 2016 Tax Bracket Changes
41 Base: All respondentsW7AH14.How familiar are you with how different savings and/or investment products (gains and losses) are taxed?W7AH15.How strongly do tax implications impact which savings and/or investment products you select?
Over four-in-ten (44%) Albertans continue to be very/somewhat familiar with the taxes implemented on saving/investment products.
There is a shift on how tax implications play a role in investment product selection, with significantly more Albertans indicating this plays a very strong role in choosing investment products versus the previous year.
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
23%
32%
36%
8%
23%
33%36%
8%
Not at allfamiliar
Not veryfamiliar
Somewhat familiarVery familiar
Familiarity with Taxes on Savings/Investment Products
Impact of Tax Implications on Selecting Savings/Investment Products
Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
20%
64%
16%
14%
62%
24%
Very strongly(rated 8, 9, 10)
Neutral(rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Not at all(rated 0, 1, 2)
Q1’2016: 44%Q1’2017: 44%
Investor Beat Ad HocTaxes on Investment Products
Investor Beat Demographics
43
Demographics
Base: All respondentsD1. Please indicate your gender.D2. Which age range do you belong to?D3. In which area of Alberta do you live?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
D7. Which of the following best describes your total household income?D8. Which best describes your total financial savings and investments? This includes savings deposits, stocks, bonds, mutual funds, other investments and cash, inside or outside registered accounts, but excluding the value of your home(s)?
18 to 34
33%35 to 54
38%55+
29%
50%
Gender split consistent across all waves
50%
Age split consistent across all waves
Edmonton
33%Calgary
36%
Other Alberta
30%
Regional split consistent across all waves
$30K or less 10% 12% 14% 12% 11% 12%$30K to $50K 15% 15% 12% 14% 14% 17%$50K to $80K 20% 21% 18% 20% 21% 20%$80K to $100K 14% 14% 12% 14% 11% 13%$100K to $150K 16% 16% 17% 16% 19% 15%$150K to $250K 9% 7% 6% 6% 8% 8%$250K or more 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%Prefer not to say 11% 11% 15% 12% 12% 11%Don’t know 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%
None - <$25K 26% 32% 31% 35% 31% 35%$25k–<$100k 22% 21% 18% 17% 17% 20%$100k–<$500k 25% 21% 19% 19% 22% 19%$500k+ 10% 8% 9% 10% 9% 9%Prefer not to say 13% 12% 20% 15% 15% 13%Don’t know 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4%
Investible Assets
Household Income
Q3 2016 (n=1,003)Q2 2016 (n=1,007)Q1 2016 (n=1,004)
Q4 2016 (n=1,003)
Q4 2015 (n=1,024)
Q1 2017 (n=1,004)
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Investor Beat AppendixProgress on Achieving Financial Goals
45 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
15%
14%
10%
9%
36%
36%
38%
38%
14%
14%
10%
9%
36%
40%
40%
40%
16%
11%
13%
11%
37%
40%
37%
40%
5%
10%
8%
7%
48%
43%
42%
41%
9%
7%
6%
6%
47%
39%
47%
35%
8%
4%
7%
9%
50%
34%
45%
37%
Children’s/ grandchildren’s
education
Your education
Vacation
Retirement
40%
39%
47%
49%
43%
37%
41%
46%
36%
40%
42%
44%
35%
35%
39%
44%
34%
43%
36%
52%
34%
47%
37%
48%
Savings for …
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
Behi
nd (N
et)
Ahe
ad (N
et)
On
Tra
ck
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
46 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
6%
8%
7%
34%
36%
29%
6%
6%
8%
36%
32%
29%
10%
6%
9%
31%
41%
25%
5%
6%
5%
34%
35%
25%
6%
6%
5%
35%
30%
21%
6%
2%
4%
28%
34%
25%
Major purchase (e.g., car, TV)
House renovation
House
54%
52%
50%
45%
55%
49%
48%
44%
48%
39%
50%
48%
46%
48%
54%
50%
55%
48%
Savings for …
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
Behi
nd (N
et)
Ahe
ad (N
et)
On
Tra
ck
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
47 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
7%
8%
12%
29%
25%
35%
11%
14%
11%
26%
28%
32%
10%
7%
11%
31%
18%
34%
5%
7%
8%
33%
30%
37%
6%
5%
5%
32%
29%
22%
5%
7%
5%
34%
21%
19%
Money in case of an illness/death
in your family
Wedding/ honeymoon/baby
Second property
55%
50%
40%
54%
37%
47%
52%
47%
47%
46%
39%
30%
50%
37%
48%
53%
46%
61%
Savings for …
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
Behi
nd (N
et)
Ahe
ad (N
et)
On
Tra
ck
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
48 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
14%
13%
8%
30%
51%
45%
16%
13%
8%
27%
52%
48%
13%
12%
9%
31%
56%
46%
12%
13%
11%
35%
59%
41%
11%
10%
6%
23%
60%
50%
3%
9%
8%
25%
64%
46%
Buying proper life insurance
coverage
Managing day-to-day
finances
Reducing your spending
43%
36%
44%
36%
34%
42%
39%
31%
44%
29%
26%
45%
47%
29%
42%
56%
26%
42%
Savings for …
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
Behi
nd (N
et)
Ahe
ad (N
et)
On
Tra
ck
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
49 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
17%
10%
10%
45%
43%
35%
11%
8%
12%
56%
45%
31%
10%
17%
15%
47%
31%
21%
13%
15%
13%
56%
48%
29%
12%
7%
6%
52%
38%
25%
10%
11%
6%
53%
46%
29%
Making charitable donations
Accumulating an estate
Starting or owning a business
33%
38%
43%
29%
38%
35%
34%
38%
45%
26%
28%
37%
28%
47%
48%
31%
36%
38%
Savings for …
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
Behi
nd (N
et)
Ahe
ad (N
et)
On
Tra
ck
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
50 Base: Financial goals selected (n=varies)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous wave
7%
6%
5%
36%
40%
29%
7%
7%
9%
41%
43%
31%
11%
9%
8%
39%
42%
31%
8%
11%
9%
48%
40%
31%
6%
6%
5%
49%
41%
34%
7%
6%
6%
51%
45%
33%
Reducing the amount of tax you
pay
Paying down debt
Building up an emergency fund
48%
52%
59%
48%
49%
52%
43%
45%
55%
37%
46%
50%
39%
51%
52%
39%
47%
53%
Savings for …
/ Significantly higher/lower than previous year (Q1’17 vs Q1’16)
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2017
Behi
nd (N
et)
Ahe
ad (N
et)
On
Tra
ck
Understanding Albertans Deeper
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
51