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The Theoryof Constraints in health and social care
A unifying approach that helpsdoctors, nurses and managers worktogether to achieve a breakthrough inhealthcare performanceBy Alex Knight, Founding Partner, QFI Consulting
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Contents
Introduction
Understanding the roots of the Theory of Constraints
Summary
Applying the Theory of Constraints in healthcare
Strategy 1: having a robust and trustworthy patient-centred priority system
Strategy 2: managing according to patient priorities
Strategy 3: implementing a sustained breakthrough in performance
A new way forward
Example results achieved in healthcare through the Theory of Constraints
About the author
References
www.qficonsulting.com/healthcare
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For example, in England, “NHS net
expenditure has increased from £40.201
billion in 1999/2000 to a forecast outturn
of £102.985bn in 2010/11. The planned
expenditure for 2011/12 is £105.9bn.”
(NHS Confederation, Key Statistics on
the NHS, October 2011). This equates to
a 2.8% increase in 2011/12 compared
to more than 10% over the previous
twelve-year period. In The Netherlands
the Administrative Coalition Agreement
between the government, hospitals and
health insurers for 2012-2015 (Den Haag,
4th July 2011) has limited budget growth
to a maximum of 2.5%. This applies
primarily at national level but is also
relevant to individual hospitals: “Growth
beyond contractual agreements is notcompensated unless, under the statutory
duty of care, additional contracting has
become necessary.” With overproduction
in 2010 and 2011 being subtracted from
future budgets this means zero budget
growth from 2012 to 2015.
1.
Introduction
There are more and more examples of the Theory of
Constraints delivering unprecedented breakthroughs in the
quality and timeliness of care and financial performance.
Could this be the unifying approach that doctors, nurses and
managers have been looking for?
In today’s environment this is intensifying with the growing pressure caused by medical costs
rising faster than revenues1. Any attempts to improve the quality and timeliness of patient
care while simultaneously pursuing financial sustainability can become a challenge too far.
Without a way forward this tension can often result in less than harmonious relationships
between clinicians and managers.
The Theory of Constraints (TOC) offers a way forward. TOC is a methodology that is
delivering unprecedented breakthroughs in the quality and timeliness of care and financial
performance. It is also proving to be a methodology that doctors, nurses and managers can
all embrace.
Doctors, nurses and managers are increasingly required to work together to lead and
manage a hospital yet they often appear to be approaching the task from different
perspectives. While clinicians are striving to master the advances in their respective fields
and deliver the best possible care for their patients, managers are coming under ever-
increasing pressure to reduce costs.
1
Increased pressure to
reduce medical costs
Time
£$€
Increased pressure
to limit/reduce
healthcare budgets
As the cost of medical
treatment increases rapidly incomparison to growth of the
available budget the risk to
providing quality and timely
access to care increases.
This paper will show:
• The similarities and differences between the development
of TOC and the development of medicine
• The necessary and sufficient strategy and associated tactics tostart to implement TOC
• A practical and proven application of TOC in healthcare.
Figure 1: an ever-increasing problem
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2
Understanding the roots of the Theory of Constraints
The Theory of Constraints was developed by Dr Eliyahu
M Goldratt as an improvement methodology to create
breakthroughs in performance in seemingly complex
organisations. As a physicist Dr Goldratt used the history of
the study of disease to explain his struggle to find a systematic
approach to management and the development of the Theory
of Constraints methodology (Goldratt, 1987). He explained the
development of a systematic approach as moving through three
distinct stages: classification, correlation, and cause and effect2.
The first stage – classification – is as old asthe Old Testament. When certain symptoms
of disease appeared houses were quarantined
and, as symptoms developed, the individual
was isolated. However, with other symptoms
that were not spread through human contact
it was understood that isolation was not
necessary. In this way diseases were
classified not only by their symptoms but also
by their potential for infection. These forms of
classification helped to localise and prevent
the spread of disease.
In the management of modern hospitalsthe classification stage of a systematic
approach to improvement comes via hospital
data. The claimed benefit of classified data
is improved communication. However,
using this data can be time-consuming and
expensive. In England the NHS tried to
develop an integrated patient record system,
which claimed that “NHS Connecting for
Health supports the NHS in providing better,
safer care by delivering computer systems
and services which improve the way patient
information is stored and accessed” (NHS,2007). However, the project failed and the £12
billion scheme was axed in September 2011.
The second stage of a systematic approach
to disease – correlation – was only achieved
comparatively recently. Edward Jenner found
that if serum is transferred from an infected
cow to a human body, the human would not
be infected with smallpox. Immunisationhad been discovered. Medicine was no
longer limited to preventing the spread
of the disease but to preventing and, in
some future cases, eliminating it. For Dr
Goldratt the importance of this stage was
in understanding how to improve things.
However, the question of why was not yet
answered. Without the ‘why’ it is perhaps
not surprising that it took over seventy years
for Jenner’s methods to be widely accepted.
Correlation today can be seen in any
airport bookshop where management titlessupporting this stage abound. Unfortunately,
many of these books have little more than
evocative titles and sensationalism as the
basis for their claims of how to improve
organisations. One exception is Built to Last:
Successful Habits of Visionary Companies
(Collins, J.C. and Porras, J.I., 1994). Collins
and Porras robustly and elegantly describe
the characteristics of long-running, top-
performing companies. It breaks many of
the myths about the need for charismatic
leaders and provides an excellent insight intothe question of how these top companies
continue to outperform their competitors.
Finally, the third stage – cause and effect
– was achieved by Louis Pasteur when he
made a leap of imagination: an assumption
that those tiny things that Leeuwenhoek
found under his microscope more than a
Essays on the Theory of
Constraints.
Apologia, pages 23-28
2.
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3
hundred years before, those things we call
germs, are the cause of diseases. As a
result the field of microbiology sprang to life.
Many years later Dr Goldratt explained that,
through hard work and an understanding
of cause and effect, medicine was able
to create immunisation for a very broad
spectrum of diseases where this was not
created spontaneously in nature.
Dr Goldratt’s Theory of Constraints applies
this third stage – cause and effect – to
the management of organisations. It is
described in his business novel, The Goal
(Goldratt, E.M. and Cox, J., 2005), which
has sold over four million copies worldwideand is commonly found as a core text in
business school programmes. Perhaps
more interestingly, it has been cited as the
business text that has most often been
finished by readers and most of the readers
claim this book is just common sense, even
if it is not common practice. This claim
pleased Dr Goldratt enormously because,
as a scientist, he saw common sense as
the highest praise for his explanation.
The main purpose of Goldratt’s
comparisons of the study of medicine
with the study of organisational systems
relative to management was to highlight
the significance of medicine as a mature
science that has, for many years, been
in this third stage of cause and effect. It
is widely agreed among the scientific
community that this stage is based upon
the search for the minimum number of
assumptions that will explain, by direct
logical derivation, the maximum number ofnatural phenomena.
For example, Dr Goldratt was the first to
postulate that the performance of any
goal-oriented system can be determined
by only three measures: Throughput (T),
Investment (I) and Operating Expense (OE).
The rate at which the system
generates ‘goal units’ (NB: inhealthcare the goal is not, as inbusiness, simply to make money butto provide affordable, high-qualityand timely care)
All the money currently tied up inthe system
All the money the organisationspends in generating goal units
Throughput (T):
Investment (I):
Operating Expense (OE):
Classification and
correlation donot answer the
question ‘Why?’
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4
Summary
Table 1: Summary of the three stages
Example in medicine Example in managing
organisations
Comments
Stage 1:
Classification
Diseases were classified
not only by their symptoms
but also by their ability to
infect others. These forms
of classification helped to
localise diseases and stop
them from spreading.
The classification of hospital
data. The main benefit of
this stage is claimed to be
improved communications
within this seemingly
complex system.
In this stage the value of
the classification is directly
related to its practical use.
Stage 2:
Correlation
Edward Jenner’s work on
immunisation. Medicine
was no longer limited to
preventing the spread of the
disease but to preventing
and, in some future cases,
eliminating it.
Collins and Corras ‘Built
to Last’, analysing the
characteristics of long-
running, high-performing
organisations.
The importance of this
stage is its contribution
to understanding HOW to
improve the system.
Stage 3:
Cause and
Effect
Louis Pasteur’s assumption
that those things that
Leeuwenhoek found under
his microscope more than
a hundred years earlier, the
things we call germs, are
the cause of diseases.
Goldratt’s assumption that
inherent simplicity exists in
the most seemingly complex
goal-oriented organisations
and his Five Focusing Steps
for developing second-order
solutions.
The search for the answer
to the question WHY? The
search for the minimum
number of assumptions that
will enable us to explain, by
direct logical derivation, the
maximum number of natural
phenomena.
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Applying the Theory of Constraintsin healthcare
5
A hospital can seem very complex but at its heart it is
a system of dependent events experiencing statisticalfluctuations (see Figure 2).
There are literally thousands of different
patient pathways and on any one day
there is a combination of unplanned and
emergency admissions, and planned
outpatient and inpatient treatments.
If we look at one effect – the flow of patients
through the system – it is easy to recognise
that patients’ lengths of stay in hospital vary
considerably, from a few hours to many
days. One hypothesis might be that the only
cause of the spread is the variation in clinical
recovery time across patients. However, it is
clear to those working in such a system that
there is a more dominant cause of variation in
length of stay, a cause related to disruption or
delay, either during the patient’s journey or atthe end of their care.
This underlying cause impacts upon the
quality of care and often puts staff under
increased pressure. Extensive research3,
together with the common experience of
health professionals, indicates the quality
and timeliness of care rapidly deteriorates
when staff are overstretched. Catastrophic
failures most often occur during extended
periods of unreasonable staff pressure.
However, on the other hand, simply adding
additional resource risks financial viability as
it increases operating expense in a regime of
zero revenue growth. At the same time, trying
to find consensus regarding the system-wide underlying cause of this unnecessary
disruption or delay is often met with a
barrage of finger-pointing and accusations.
Dr Goldratt’s hypothesis is that underlying
any seemingly complex, goal-oriented
system there is inherent simplicity. In
essence there can only be one weakest
link in a chain and as a result there are very
few governing factors (or, in TOC terms,
‘constraints’). His Five Focusing Steps of
improving any organisation are an inevitableand logical derivation of this hypothesis.
He argues that any attempt to calculate the
answer to his first step in isolation (identify
the system’s constraint) is a waste of time
and effort. Instead, he advocates a controlled
experiment based on his five steps. Outlined
below is a snapshot of the strategy and
associated tactics necessary to start the
implementation of the Five Focusing Steps in
any healthcare environment.
Developing a System Resilience Approach
to the Improvement of Patient Safety in
NHS Hospitals, M Williams (Williams,
April 2011). The Checklist Manifesto, Atul
Gawande (Gawande, 2010)
3.
Figure 3: Goldratt’s Five Focusing Steps
The FiveFocusing Steps
Step 1Identify the system’s
constraint(s)
Step 2
Decide how to exploit the
system’s constraint(s)
Step 3
Subordinate everything else to
the above decision
Step 4
Elevate the system’s
constraint(s)
Step 5
Warning!!!! If in the previous
steps a constraint has been
broken, go back to step 1, but
do not allow inertia to cause a
system’s constraint.
Figure 2: an example of a health and social care chain of activities
EmergencyDept.
Medical Ward
Home
Home Home
GP referral
Self referral
Ambulance AssessmentUnit Theatre
GP referral
Home Home
Social Services
Home
SurgicalWard
Nursing & ResidentialCare Home
Social Services
Home
Social Services
Home
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Strategy 1: having a robust and trustworthypatient-centred priority system
The best way to identify the underlying constraint is to start with
the creation of a robust and trustworthy patient-centred prioritysystem and then identify which resource or task combination
most often disrupts this patient-centred prioritisation.
Diagnosis starts at the beginning of a patient’s
care and continues throughout their care.
This continuation of diagnosis results in new
tasks emerging throughout the patient’s
journey. This is caused by, for example:
clinical recovery time varying significantly
from patient to patient even when patientsare suffering from the same illness type
any patient may have a mix of illnesses
recovery time becoming extended for some
patients when they are not treated in a
timely manner.
To take account of these emerging and
changing needs QFI has invented a patient-
centric prioritisation system called QFI
Discharge Jonah4. For each patient a
clinically derived planned discharge date isinitially set in Jonah by a multi-disciplinary
team, either on admission or within 24
hours of the patient’s arrival. The patient’s
planned discharge date is based only on
the expected clinical recovery time of the
patient and is challenging but achievable
(this clinically derived planned discharge
date should never be based on recent
experience with other patients or current/
best practice from other hospitals). Patients
will of course recover faster or slower than
expected but the planned discharge date isadjusted, moving forward or back, in light of
the rate of clinical recovery.
It is often the case in seemingly complex
organisations that the implications of not
doing something are larger than might
have been supposed. In the above setting
a patient can only depart when two
conditions are achieved: first, the patient
has clinically recovered and, second,
when the last associated task has beencompleted. Capacity is wasted and/or
throughput is lost when any one of the
associated tasks takes longer than the
clinical recovery period.
In the first scenario – where a patient
recovers faster than expected – there is
a much greater likelihood that one of the
outstanding tasks will delay the patient’s
departure than in the second scenario. As
a result priorities across all patients will
change, making it extremely important that
the hospital system has the earliest possiblenotification of one patient recovering faster
than expected and another recovering
slower than expected.
•
•
•
An analysis of a European
800+ beds acute hospital
shows us that in a scenario
in which every planned
discharge date was
reviewed every day and
half the patients recovered
faster and half slower thanexpected, then every day
gained from those who
recovered faster would
allow approximately 3,000
extra patients to be treated
a year. If we assume the
average throughput per
patient is €2,000 then this
is equivalent to €6.0 million
extra throughput.
Jonah is the name of a key character in
Dr Goldratt’s book, The Goal. In the book
Jonah guides the analysis and process on
ongoing improvement. The basis of this
scientific approach is first explained in
Chapter 4.
4.
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Strategy 2: managing accordingto patient priorities
Synchronising the flow of current patients around an initial
planned discharge date is not sufficient to maintain a robustand trustworthy patient-centred prioritisation. Priorities must
not only be based on updating the actual rate of recovery of
the patient but also the latest understanding of disruptions or
delays. Hectic priorities – hot, red hot, and do it now! – cause
chaos across the system and result in clinical and managerial
staff bouncing from crisis to crisis. Even when patient flows are
synchronised, a priority system can still lead to chaos.
There are many different sources of
variability in the day-to-day running of a
hospital. Murphy’s Law is also alive and
well. QFI Discharge Jonah is based on a
unique modification to Dr Goldratt’s buffer
management process. Buffer management
sets priorities in a four-colour-coded system
according to the degree to which the buffer
time is consumed. Each patient’s planned
discharge date is buffered (see Figure
4). The impact of changing a planned
discharge date and/or disruption/delay toany one patient is understood and taken
into account when adjusting the priority list
across all patients (see Figure 5). If a patient
has passed their planned discharge date or
is predicted to pass their planned discharge
date because of the remaining duration of
an outstanding task taking longer than the
remaining time of the planned discharge
date, then the patient status will be black.
This enables staff to address the first and
most fundamental question: “Of all the
patients I could attend to next, which one
should I choose?” Having the correct
answer to this question provides the most
important piece of information a resource,
such as a doctor, nurse, manager or central
department, requires if it is to play its role in
improving patient flow.
7
Patient 1
Patient 2
Patient 3
Patient 4
Patient 5
Figure 4: identifying the causes of disruption/delay for a patient
Figure 5: identifying the cause of disruption/delay across the most patients
Patient 1
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Strategy 3: implementing asustained breakthrough in performance
When a robust and regularly updated priority list is threatened by a non-clinical cause of
disruption or delay it is far better to identify and permanently eradicate the cause thanto adjust the priority list. Recording the resource that is causing disruption or delay to
a patient journey as the patient moves through the green, amber, red and black buffer
zones makes the resource immediately aware it is disrupting the patient’s journey. This
then allows the resource the opportunity to take effective and proactive action.
The process also enables analysis of
the few resources most often causing
the most disruption/delay across
the most patients – the constraint(s).
This is a robust way to focus
improvement initiatives and improve
overall performance of the system.
QFI Discharge Jonah enables this
analysis to be carried out even when
the dependency between tasks is
unclear or emerges during the patient journey. It also allows clinicians and
managers to answer the second key
question: “Which task, resource or
task/resource combination is most
often causing the most delay across
the most patients?”
QFI Discharge Jonah presents
managers and clinicians with the
above analysis based on live data
twenty-four hours a day, seven days
a week. Through a series of daily andweekly buffer meetings these sources
of disruption can be identified and
eliminated.
However, this is nothing more than a
starting point to the analysis needed.
Just because a task, a resource
or a combination of both has been
identified as most often associated
with the most disruptions or delay
across the most patients, it does
not give us the answers to the threecornerstone questions of TOC:
0
20
40
60
N u m b e r o f t i m e c i t e d
M e d i c a l R e v i e w
( O w n t e a m )
O t h e r H o s p i t a l
T r a n s f e r
M e d i c a l R e v i e w
( S p e c i a l i s t T e a m )
O T A s s e s s m e n t /
T r e a t m e n t
T T O s
80
100
Figure 6: top delay reasons (all delay types)
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9
Which task, resource or task/resource
combination is most often causing themost delay across the most patients?”
What to change? The process helps
focus our initial exploration so that we
know what, of all the things that could
be changed, will have the biggest
impact on the whole system.
What to change to? This is where
the development of a second-order
breakthrough is possible. Through the
rigour of cause-and-effect analysis and
an ability to identify and modify provenTOC-based solutions, it is possible
to develop rapidly implementable
solutions tailored to the environment.
How to achieve the change? People
do not resist change. They resist
changes they believe, according to
their judgement, will have a negative
impact upon them or others they care
about or are responsible for. People
are willing to adopt an approach when
they understand and agree with theunderpinning logic, and understand that
the logic is being checked in their own
hospital through a series of controlled
experiments. It is important that the
first (and subsequent) actions are:
common sense, even if not common
practice; can be rapidly implemented;
do not require daring acts of leadership;
and deliver immediate and substantial
benefits in line with expectations.
“
P h y s i o A s s e s s m e n t /
T r e a t m e n t
I n v e s t i g a t i o n
- C T S c a n
C o m m u n i t y
H o s p i t a l
B e d
I n v e s t i g a t i o n
- E c h o
C a r e P a c k a g e
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Example results achieved in healthcarethrough the Theory of Constraints
“I have seen many methodologies but,
putting it simply, the combination of the
Theory of Constraints and QFI Consulting
delivers results much faster than anything
else around.”
Averil Dongworth, Chief Executive
Barking, Havering & Redbridge University
Hospitals NHS Trust
“By working with QFI to apply their
Theory of Constraints approach to our
discharge processes across all our twelve
community hospitals, we have been
able to reduce our length of stay by a
third within a matter of weeks and make
big improvements to the quality of our
patients’ rehabilitation and discharge. The
process has developed staff’s confidence
in their ability to take control and makechanges which improve quality and
productivity and has significantly improved
multi-agency working across health and
social care in Derbyshire.”
Tracy Allen, Managing Director
Derbyshire Community Health Services
England
“I am delighted we are at the forefront of
productivity initiatives in the NHS Mental
Health service.”
Maria Kane, Chief Executive
Barnet Enfield and Haringey
Mental Health Trust
“With the start of the TOC-programme in
hospitals in the UK, USA and Australia we
were able to see their results in healthcare
improve. This success was a reason
why we worked with QFI, the developers
of this simple Jonah approach. Within
a few months the results were visible:
the average length of stay decreased. A
practical approach and not just a beautiful
story in a book!”
Mary Groenewould, Service Director
Amphia ZiekenhuisThe Netherlands
“The Jonah project uses an innovative
approach that cuts across all discipl ines
and partner agencies. It has givenus the opportunity to dispel myth and
anecdote around the reasons for delayed
discharges. Even in the early stages of the
pilot, we have identified key issues and
trends which can now be addressed.”
Gary Cockayne, Assistant Director
of Operations, Surgical Specialties
Kettering General Hospital
NHS Foundation Trust
“Following a review of Intermediate Care, by Derby City PCT Commissioners, we
were challenged to reduce the average
length of stay in our community hospital
from 40 days to 30 days within the next
six months. I knew this would require a
swift, sustainable major change in the way
we delivered our service.
My confidence in QFI Discharge Jonah
was rewarded by an average length of
stay of 20 days which is maintained and is likely to reduce further, thus benefitting
patients and delivering Best Value.
In addition it has been a joy to watch
the development of the ward teams, the
increase in individual staff confidence,
plus the improved interdisciplinary and
multi-organisational working.”
Glenys Crooks, Associate Director,
Rehabilitation and Cancer Directorate
48% reduction in length
of stay in five weeks
Acute NHS mental health
hospital, England
18% reduction in length
of stay in surgicalinpatient units
High-performing acute
hospital, The Netherlands
37% reduction in
length of stay across 12
community hospitals
Community health
services, England
44% reduction in length
of stay in four months.
Community hospital,
England
20% reduction in length
of stay in five weeks
Acute NHS trust, England
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12
About the author
Alex Knight
Founding Partner, BSc, MBA, CEng
Alex Knight is a founding partner of QFI Consulting. Prior to this
Alex was the managing director of Ashridge Consulting Group
(part of the Ashridge Business School) and a board director of
Ashridge. At Ashridge Consulting Alex’s passion was to find the
best consulting approaches from across the world; approaches
that deliver results. At the same time as starting QFI, Alex was the
first chief executive of Goldratt Consulting Ltd (whose chairman
was Dr Goldratt), helping to steer it through its formative years as
a global organisation before handing it on to Rami Goldratt
(Dr Goldratt’s son) as part of a planned succession process.
Alex has been personally mentored by Dr Goldratt for over two decades. He has pioneered
the application of Dr Goldratt’s Theory of Constraints in many industries across the globe,
including health, financial services, manufacturing and FMCG. Alex is the inventor and
developer of QFI’s TOC applications - from concept through to software and implementation
processes. Alex also led the introduction of the first ever Masters in TOC: QFI’s Masters in TOC
(Health and Social Care Management) at Nottingham and Trent Business School.
Alex is not satisfied unless our client organisations reach new and unprecedented levels
of performance and he is constantly seeking better and faster ways for clients to achieve
breakthroughs in performance. Alex is leading the development of QFI’s TOC Strategy and
Tactics process, an application that will provide QFI and its clients with a coherent and robustroadmap to achieve whole-system breakthroughs in the fastest possible time.
Alex’s career, firstly as a tutor and consultant at Ashridge and then as a leader of
organisations, has enabled him to work in many industries and across many continents. Alex
has led many TOC implementations in healthcare organisations in the UK, The Netherlands,
the United States and Australia. He has provided strategic consulting to many organiations,
including the National Childbirth Trust, the Linney Group, Samworth Brothers, the Robert
Gordon University, Zurich and Axa.
QFI Consulting LLP
P O Box 935Tring
Hertfordshire
HP23 4ZX
www.qficonsulting.com
Copyright © QFI Consulting LLP 2011
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References
13
Den Haag. (2011). Administrat ive Coalition Agreement
Gawande, A. (2010). The Checklist Manifesto. London: Profile Books.
Goldratt, E. M. (1987). Essays On The Theory of Constraints.
Great Barrington: North River Press.
Goldratt, E.M. and Cox, J. (2005). The Goal (3rd ed.). MA: North River Press.
Collins, J.C. and Porras, J.I., (1994). Built to Last: Successful Habits of Visionary Companies.
United States: Harper Collins Publishers.
NHS. (2007). NHS Connecting for Health.NHS Confederation. (2011). Key Statistics on the NHS
Williams, M. D. (April 2011). Developing a System Resilience Approach to the Improvement of
Patient Safety in NHS Hospitals.
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