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Avcj 06262014 final

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Mobile internet is becoming "the New Japan as No1". Keynote address at AVCJ's Annual Private Equity and Venture Forum Japan 2014
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The New Japan as No1 - Mobile and Beyond GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS Shinichi (Shin) Takamiya Partner/Chief Strategy Officer GLOBIS Capital Partners Email: [email protected] June 2014
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Page 1: Avcj 06262014 final

The New Japan as No1 - Mobile and Beyond

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

Shinichi (Shin) TakamiyaPartner/Chief Strategy Officer GLOBIS Capital PartnersEmail: [email protected]

June 2014

Page 2: Avcj 06262014 final

Partner/Chief Strategy Officer,GLOBIS Capital Patners

Board Representative:nanapi, Kayac, Pixta, Beyond, Lancers, Viibar,and Mercari etc

Shinichi (Shin) Takamiya

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 1

and Mercari etc

Track Record:iStyle, Shimauma Print System, and Aucfan etc

BA in Economics from University of Tokyo (graduation thesis with Honor's Award)MBA from Harvard Business School (Second Year Honor)

Page 3: Avcj 06262014 final

1996 GLOBIS Incubation Fund JPY0.54B1999 Apax GLOBIS Japan Fund JPY20B2006 GLOBIS Fund III JPY18B2014 GLOBIS Fund IV JPY11.5B

Capital

Overview GLOBIS Capital Partners

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 2

People• GLOBIS University, Graduate

School of Management, • GLOBIS Management School• GLOBIS Organization Learning

Knowledge• GLOBIS MBA Series, best

selling MBA text books• G1 Summit and Aska

Conference• Research institute

Page 4: Avcj 06262014 final

8%

Japan Struggled During the “Lost 2 Decades”

Real GDP Growth Rate (%)

Lost 2 Decades

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

(6%)

(4%)

(2%)

0%

2%

4%

6%

'80 '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10

3

Source: IMF

Page 5: Avcj 06262014 final

15,000

17,500

2.3%2.5%

3.0%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

… However, Re-Growth in the Last 2 YearsQuarterly Real

GDP Growth Rate (%)Nikkei Stock Price

PerformanceAbe’s era (JPY)

x1.7

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

7,500

10,000

12,500

12/712/912/1213/313/613/913/1214/314/6

-0.2% -0.3%

0.1%

1.2%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

20123Q 4Q

20131Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

20141Q

4Source: IMF, Cabinet office, Yahoo

-0.3%20123Q 4Q

20131Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

20141Q 2Q

Page 6: Avcj 06262014 final

“Abenomics” Stimulating Growth

1st ArrowMonetary

Policy• 2% inflation target• Radical quantitative easing

2nd Arrow

“Abenomics”

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS5

2nd ArrowFiscal Policy

• Expansion of public investment• Buying government bonds

3rd ArrowEconomic

Growth

• Corporate tax decrease• Accounting standard reform • Maximize working population• Improve mobility of human resources

Page 7: Avcj 06262014 final

13.5%

7.6%10%

15%

Mobile Internet as “The New Japan as No1”Real GDP Compound Annual Growth Rate (%)

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

0.9% 0.6% 0.4%

-0.4% -1.2% -1.6%

-3.7% -4.4%(5%)

0%

5%

InternetServices Mobile

Communication

RetailElectric

Machinery

Other IT

Transportation

SteelTransportMachinery

WholesaleConstruction

6

Note: Compound Annual Growth rate from 2005 to 2011Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

Average -1.0%

Page 8: Avcj 06262014 final

The Most Attractive Mobile Market in the World

Mobile Contents Market 8.5B 6.8B1>

1.2x

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 7

1 Calculated based on global digital goods market size and U.S. market share among global mobile contents market

Source: Mobile Contents Forum, Deutsche Bank, ResearchMoz, ITU - ICT Statistics, United Nations, IMF and GCP analysis

Contents Market

Mobile Contract

Population

GDP

120M 330M

>2.7x

127M 310M

>2.4x

6.0T 15.7T

>2.6x

Page 9: Avcj 06262014 final

10 Years Ahead - Long Going History1999

Japanese developers

15 years

2007 2014

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 8

NTT docomo“i-mode”

iPhone1st generation

leading theglobal market

7 years

Page 10: Avcj 06262014 final

2.1

11.9

Big Fish Casino(Big Fish Games)

Puzzle & Dragons(GungHo Online)

Sophisticated UsersNurturing Unique Services

Highly Profitable Users(Example of Games)

Sophisticated and Profitable Users

Monthly Average Revenue per User (USD)Coupons/CRMCommerce

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

0.2

0.8

1.3

2.1

0 5 10 15

Zynga Poker(Zynga)

Candy CrushSaga (King)

Clash of Clans(Supercell)

(Big Fish Games)

Note: April 2013 – March 2014Source: Superdataresearch.com

9

Real Payment E-Ticketing

Page 11: Avcj 06262014 final

Carrier BillingTransaction Fee 6.0%1 35.0%2

4G 20.7% 9.8%3

Mobile Carriers Building the Cornerstone

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

4G Penetration 20.7% 9.8%3

Mobile Data Transmission Speed 3.2Mbps 2.1Mbps3

Developer Support

SDK, OSdevelopment

subsidy-

10

1 Epsilon (Payment agency handling 3 carrier’s settlement)2 AT&T, 3 Average of U.S., UK, Germany, Australia

Source: bango, mobiThinking, CISCO VNI Mobile

Page 12: Avcj 06262014 final

318

250

300

350

Accessible IPO MarketMedian Market Cap at IPO at Small Cap Markets (2013)

(USD M)

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

55

0

50

100

150

200

TSE Mothers NASDAQ

Source: NASDAQ, Bloomberg

11

Page 13: Avcj 06262014 final

32.0x

Highly Attractive IPO MarketLiquidity and Valuation at IPO

TSEMothers

Turnover Offering PER Opening PER

19.6x775%

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

16.9x

18.9x

12

Mothers

SGX

Hong KongNote: Turnover(2013), PER (2012)

Source: TSE report

13.6x

13.3x

59%

209%

Page 14: Avcj 06262014 final

1,604 1,500

2,000

Great Fund Raising Environment

Name Sector $M

Akatsuki Game 14.0

Mercari C2C market 14.5

Example of Sizable Private FinanceVC Investment(USD M)

+84%

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

872

0

500

1,000

2009 2013

13

Gunosy News App 12.0

Antenna News App 20.0

gumi Game 19.0

Metaps AD 10.0

Note: Mobile internet related financing deal in 2013-2014Source: VEC, News, GCP

Page 15: Avcj 06262014 final

Investment period

% of Serial or Seasoned

Management

# of investment

Apax Globis 1999 - 47

Rise of Quality Entrepreneurs

25%

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

Apax GlobisJapan Fund

1999 -2006 47

Fund IIl & IV

2006 -2014 57

14

49%

25%

Page 16: Avcj 06262014 final

“Beyond i” IoT is the Next Big ThingThe Next Big Thing “Internet of Things (IoT)”

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 15

Page 17: Avcj 06262014 final

Summary: The New Japan as No1• Abenomics stimulating the re-growth of Japan• Mobile internet “The New Japan as No1”

− Driving Japan’s growth− Making Japan the most attractive mobile internet market in the world

• Japan has become a great nurturing ground for innovativeand unique mobile services

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS

and unique mobile services− 15 years of long history− Mobile carriers’ initiatives− Sophisticate users

• Highly accessible and attractive capital markets• Rise of quality entrepreneurs and startups• “Beyond i”: Japan’s opportunity lies beyond mere mobile

internet - “Internet of Things (IoT)”16

Page 18: Avcj 06262014 final

GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 17


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