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The New Japan as No1 - Mobile and Beyond
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
Shinichi (Shin) TakamiyaPartner/Chief Strategy Officer GLOBIS Capital PartnersEmail: [email protected]
June 2014
Partner/Chief Strategy Officer,GLOBIS Capital Patners
Board Representative:nanapi, Kayac, Pixta, Beyond, Lancers, Viibar,and Mercari etc
Shinichi (Shin) Takamiya
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 1
and Mercari etc
Track Record:iStyle, Shimauma Print System, and Aucfan etc
BA in Economics from University of Tokyo (graduation thesis with Honor's Award)MBA from Harvard Business School (Second Year Honor)
1996 GLOBIS Incubation Fund JPY0.54B1999 Apax GLOBIS Japan Fund JPY20B2006 GLOBIS Fund III JPY18B2014 GLOBIS Fund IV JPY11.5B
Capital
Overview GLOBIS Capital Partners
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 2
People• GLOBIS University, Graduate
School of Management, • GLOBIS Management School• GLOBIS Organization Learning
Knowledge• GLOBIS MBA Series, best
selling MBA text books• G1 Summit and Aska
Conference• Research institute
8%
Japan Struggled During the “Lost 2 Decades”
Real GDP Growth Rate (%)
Lost 2 Decades
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
(6%)
(4%)
(2%)
0%
2%
4%
6%
'80 '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10
3
Source: IMF
15,000
17,500
2.3%2.5%
3.0%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
… However, Re-Growth in the Last 2 YearsQuarterly Real
GDP Growth Rate (%)Nikkei Stock Price
PerformanceAbe’s era (JPY)
x1.7
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
7,500
10,000
12,500
12/712/912/1213/313/613/913/1214/314/6
-0.2% -0.3%
0.1%
1.2%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
20123Q 4Q
20131Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
20141Q
4Source: IMF, Cabinet office, Yahoo
-0.3%20123Q 4Q
20131Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
20141Q 2Q
“Abenomics” Stimulating Growth
1st ArrowMonetary
Policy• 2% inflation target• Radical quantitative easing
2nd Arrow
“Abenomics”
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2nd ArrowFiscal Policy
• Expansion of public investment• Buying government bonds
3rd ArrowEconomic
Growth
• Corporate tax decrease• Accounting standard reform • Maximize working population• Improve mobility of human resources
13.5%
7.6%10%
15%
Mobile Internet as “The New Japan as No1”Real GDP Compound Annual Growth Rate (%)
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
-0.4% -1.2% -1.6%
-3.7% -4.4%(5%)
0%
5%
InternetServices Mobile
Communication
RetailElectric
Machinery
Other IT
Transportation
SteelTransportMachinery
WholesaleConstruction
6
Note: Compound Annual Growth rate from 2005 to 2011Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
Average -1.0%
The Most Attractive Mobile Market in the World
Mobile Contents Market 8.5B 6.8B1>
1.2x
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1 Calculated based on global digital goods market size and U.S. market share among global mobile contents market
Source: Mobile Contents Forum, Deutsche Bank, ResearchMoz, ITU - ICT Statistics, United Nations, IMF and GCP analysis
Contents Market
Mobile Contract
Population
GDP
120M 330M
>2.7x
127M 310M
>2.4x
6.0T 15.7T
>2.6x
10 Years Ahead - Long Going History1999
Japanese developers
15 years
2007 2014
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NTT docomo“i-mode”
iPhone1st generation
leading theglobal market
7 years
2.1
11.9
Big Fish Casino(Big Fish Games)
Puzzle & Dragons(GungHo Online)
Sophisticated UsersNurturing Unique Services
Highly Profitable Users(Example of Games)
Sophisticated and Profitable Users
Monthly Average Revenue per User (USD)Coupons/CRMCommerce
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0.2
0.8
1.3
2.1
0 5 10 15
Zynga Poker(Zynga)
Candy CrushSaga (King)
Clash of Clans(Supercell)
(Big Fish Games)
Note: April 2013 – March 2014Source: Superdataresearch.com
9
Real Payment E-Ticketing
Carrier BillingTransaction Fee 6.0%1 35.0%2
4G 20.7% 9.8%3
Mobile Carriers Building the Cornerstone
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4G Penetration 20.7% 9.8%3
Mobile Data Transmission Speed 3.2Mbps 2.1Mbps3
Developer Support
SDK, OSdevelopment
subsidy-
10
1 Epsilon (Payment agency handling 3 carrier’s settlement)2 AT&T, 3 Average of U.S., UK, Germany, Australia
Source: bango, mobiThinking, CISCO VNI Mobile
318
250
300
350
Accessible IPO MarketMedian Market Cap at IPO at Small Cap Markets (2013)
(USD M)
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55
0
50
100
150
200
TSE Mothers NASDAQ
Source: NASDAQ, Bloomberg
11
32.0x
Highly Attractive IPO MarketLiquidity and Valuation at IPO
TSEMothers
Turnover Offering PER Opening PER
19.6x775%
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16.9x
18.9x
12
Mothers
SGX
Hong KongNote: Turnover(2013), PER (2012)
Source: TSE report
13.6x
13.3x
59%
209%
1,604 1,500
2,000
Great Fund Raising Environment
Name Sector $M
Akatsuki Game 14.0
Mercari C2C market 14.5
Example of Sizable Private FinanceVC Investment(USD M)
+84%
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
872
0
500
1,000
2009 2013
13
Gunosy News App 12.0
Antenna News App 20.0
gumi Game 19.0
Metaps AD 10.0
Note: Mobile internet related financing deal in 2013-2014Source: VEC, News, GCP
Investment period
% of Serial or Seasoned
Management
# of investment
Apax Globis 1999 - 47
Rise of Quality Entrepreneurs
25%
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
Apax GlobisJapan Fund
1999 -2006 47
Fund IIl & IV
2006 -2014 57
14
49%
25%
“Beyond i” IoT is the Next Big ThingThe Next Big Thing “Internet of Things (IoT)”
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS 15
Summary: The New Japan as No1• Abenomics stimulating the re-growth of Japan• Mobile internet “The New Japan as No1”
− Driving Japan’s growth− Making Japan the most attractive mobile internet market in the world
• Japan has become a great nurturing ground for innovativeand unique mobile services
GLOBIS CAPITAL PARTNERS
and unique mobile services− 15 years of long history− Mobile carriers’ initiatives− Sophisticate users
• Highly accessible and attractive capital markets• Rise of quality entrepreneurs and startups• “Beyond i”: Japan’s opportunity lies beyond mere mobile
internet - “Internet of Things (IoT)”16
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