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  • 8/11/2019 Backgrounder_Census2014

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    Backgrounder - 2014 Municipal Census Results

    City Planning

    What growth means for ci ty planningPopulation growth since 2012 has been very rapid up 60,428 in two years, or 7.4%.

    This has clear implications for how we advance our plans to grow the city up, in and

    out.

    Strategies

    Edmonton has developed purposeful strategies to accommodate our long-term growth.

    Transformational projects such as downtown revitalization, Transit Oriented

    Development, the Quarters, Blatchford and Rossdale redevelopment are helping

    our central neighbourhoods and the areas along Edmontons expanding LRT

    routes grow upward.

    The planning and construction of new residential neighbourhoods in developing

    areas of the city, and an Annexation bid to secure needed residential and non-

    residential land supply in the south in particular, will enable our city to grow

    outward.

    Infill redevelopment initiatives to increase housing choice and supply in mature

    and established neighbourhoods will help Edmonton grow inward.

    These strategies support the long term goals set for Edmonton by City Council andcitizens in 2008 (The Way Ahead). They will build a vibrant and livable Edmonton with a

    sustainable balance of residential, commercial, and industrial opportunities and choices.

    Age of population

    Our population is young. The largest single age group in Edmonton is the 20-39 year old

    range. This has implications for what type of housing is most in demand, the speed at

    which were creating new homes, and for the schools and neighbourhood amenities that

    will accommodate the children of young families. At the same time, the number of senior

    citizens is also rising, with implications for the way we enable more housing

    opportunities for older generations.

    Where growth is happening

    Population growth is happening across the city, but the majority is in the south indeveloping neighbourhoods (see neighbourhood-classification map below for more

    information about where our neighbourhoods are located).

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    Nine of the top 10 fastest growing neighbourhoods over the last five years are in the

    south. Top five-year increases by neighbourhood are as follows:

    Summerside 6,507 Rutherford 3,916

    The Hamptons 5,146 South Terwillegar 3,878Windermere 5,017 Ambleside 3,244

    Walker 4,424 Tamarack 2,795

    Laurel 4,409 Charlesworth 2,775

    Edmonton has 382 standard census neighbourhoods of which 317 are predominantly or

    partially residential.

    A majority of the 11 central core residential neighbourhoods increased in population

    over the last five years for a total growth of over 5,700 people. Within the core, the

    Downtown neighbourhood alone increased by more than 1,500 residents (see

    Population Growth by Residential Neighbourhood: 2009-2014 map for moreinformation).

    Sixty mature neighbourhoods and forty-seven established neighbourhoods gained in

    population. Over the last five years, the overall population gain in the mature and

    established neighbourhoods combined was over 11,000 people (not including the

    central core neighbourhoods).

    Although there has been overall growth city-wide: 44 established neighbourhoods and

    39 mature neighbourhoods experienced a population loss over the last five years. This

    represents 43% of the mature and established neighbourhoods in the city (not including

    the central core neighbourhoods).

    At a ward level all wards gained in population with wards 9 and 12 exhibiting the

    strongest growth (see Population Growth by Ward: 2012-2014 map for more

    information).

    Supporting maps:

    Neighbourhood classification

    Population Growth by Ward: 2012-2014

    Population Growth by Neighbourhood: 2009-2014

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    Central Core

    Mature

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    Industrial

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    Neigh*ourhood ('assi0i!ation

    No reproduction of this map,in whole or in part, is permittedwithout express written consent of

    The City of Edmonton,Sustainable Development Department The City of Edmonton disclaimsany liability for the use of this map.

    Map compiled by:

    Geospatial Services UnitUrban Planning and Environment Branch

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    WARD 12

    WARD 10

    WARD 5

    WARD 11

    WARD 9

    WARD 7

    WARD 4

    WARD 3

    WARD 1

    WARD 8

    WARD 2

    WARD 6

    3,976Population Gain

    4,729Population Gain

    4,398Population Gain

    3,855Population Gain

    1,858Population Gain

    2,151Population Gain

    1,321Population Gain

    4,282Population Gain

    13,458Population Gain

    13,972Population Gain

    2,611Population Gain

    3,817Population Gain

    Population Growth By War2012 to 2014

    Ward 2012 2014 Percent Gain

    Ward 1 64,547 68,364 5.9%

    Ward 2 68,558 72,534 5.8%Ward 3 64,987 69,385 6.8%

    Ward 4 70,849 75,578 6.7%

    Ward 5 66,600 70,882 6.4%

    Ward 6 72,281 76,136 5.3%

    Ward 7 62,284 64,895 4.2%

    Ward 8 66,999 68,857 2.8%

    Ward 9 80,664 94,122 16.7%

    Ward 10 60,475 61,796 2.2%

    Ward 11 61,916 64,067 3.5%

    Ward 12 77,338 91,310 18.1%

    Total 817,498 877,926 7.4%

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    Population Growth ByResidential Neighbourhood

    2009 to 2014

    Data Compiled from2014 Municipal Census

    Walker Neighbourhood Name (Top 10 Gain)

    Transportation and tilit! Corridor

    "ndustrial Neighbourhood

    #ther

    0 1 2 3 4

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    $200 %oss (&)

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    '100 to '0 %oss ()

    0 to 100 Gain ()

    100 to *00 Gain (+2)

    *00 to 1000 Gain (20)

    1000 to ,000 Gain (1)

    $,000 Gain ()

    No reproduction of this map,in whole or in part, is permittedwithout express written consent ofThe City of Edmonton,

    Sustainable Development Department

    The City of Edmonton disclaims

    any liability for the use of this map.

    Map compiled by:Geospatial Services Unit

    Urban Planning and Environment Branch

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    Population Profile and the Economy

    Edmontons population growth over the past two years outpaced that of Alberta as whole

    and was over 3 times that of the current estimates of growth for Canada. (see Table 1)

    Table 1 - Population growth from 2012 to 2014

    City of Edmonton 7.39%

    Alberta 6.5%

    Canada 2.3%

    Source: City of Edmonton, Alberta Treasury and Finance

    Edmonton has one of the youngest populations in Canada. This is illustrated in Figure 1

    where the younger age cohort between 20and 39 is particularly prominent. As well the

    city is experiencing renewed growth among children particularly among the youngest

    age cohort.

    Labour Force and Working Age PopulationThe significant growth in the working-age population puts Edmonton in a very good

    labour force position. These very strong results have helped keep Edmontons labourmarket more balanced then in the period from 2005 to 2008 when unemployment in the

    city fell to very low levels and helped spark a round of higher inflation.

    Nonetheless,some industries such as construction, manufacturing and professional

    services continue to experience shortages with respect to some specialized skill sets.

    High levels of net in migration must be combined with continued efforts to improve the

    quality and flexibility of Edmontons labour force.

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    Population Growth and Economic Momentum

    With outstanding population growth comes a rising demand for housing as well as

    consumer products and services. This rising demand will give the citys economy internal

    momentum, making the local economy less vulnerable to external shocks. Over the

    coming year we anticipate growth that will pivot from manufacturing, professional

    services and logistics toward retail, personal services and hospitality.

    New arrivals to the cityThe proportion of international migrants is increasing among new arrivals to the city. The

    census results indicate that 26% of newcomers to the City were international migrants.

    This means we are succeeding in attracting more international newcomers directly to

    Edmonton. Traditionally new comers have tended to move first to Montreal, Toronto and

    Vancouver. As well the city is now drawing on a deeper, more global labour pool which

    offers a full range of skills and experience as well as enhancing the cosmopolitan quality

    of life in Edmonton.

    Funding implications of growthOver the last 10 years, the City of Edmonton implemented a program of investment in

    our infrastructure, unprecedented in this citys history. From 2004 to 2014, capital

    projects worth $9.3 billion have enabled the City to support our growing city. Half of this

    investment was also to anticipate and plan for future growth. This foresight meant that

    the City was able to respond to the growing population and economy by building new

    recreation centres, LRT, libraries, police and fire stations, waste facilities, renewed

    roadway arteries, and increased drainage capacity.

    Population growth can mean more grants from other orders of government, however

    there is often a lag between the census results and when municipalities receive grants.

    Furthermore, both the Provincial and Federal governments use per-capita allocations to

    assign grants to municipalities but the overall funding usually remains the same. A 10%

    population increase does not equate to a 10% increase in grants. The City of Edmonton

    is continuing to work with the Alberta Government to develop new funding mechanisms.

    Transportation

    The 2014 census data show that Edmontonians use a variety of transportation modes

    when commuting to and from the workplace:

    69.9 % drive cars, trucks or vans

    6.2 % travel as passengers in cars, trucks or vans 16.4 % take public transit (ETS)

    3.7 % walk

    0.8 % ride bicycles

    3.0 % use other means (e.g. taxis, skateboards, etc.)

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    The census data show how transportation modes vary across Edmonton

    neighbourhoods. For example, while in the general population 16.4% of Edmontonians

    take public transit to work, neighbourhoods along the LRT line see more than 30% of

    residents taking the LRT to work.

    The 2014 journey-to-work census results include a broader segment of the populationthan the 2012 census results did, as the 2014 census was modified to include groups

    aged between 12 and 18 and over 65. This broader segment shows a greater proportion

    of Edmontonians opting for transit and other non-single-vehicle options; however, the

    overall results for 2012 and 2014 cannot be meaningfully compared due to the different

    sampling.

    work.

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    Percentage

    Popul

    ationC

    hange

    200

    9-2014

    720,000

    740,000

    760,000

    780,000

    800,000

    820,000

    840,000

    860,000

    880,000

    900,000

    2009

    2012

    2014

    012345678

    TotalPopulation

    %C

    hange

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    AgeandGen

    derPyramid

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    0-4

    yrs.

    5-9

    yrs.

    10-14

    yrs.

    15-19

    yrs.

    20-24

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    25-29

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    30-34

    yrs.

    35-39

    yrs.

    40-44

    yrs.

    45-49

    yrs.

    50-54

    yrs.

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    Males(%)

    Females(%)

    NoResponse:17.7

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