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Bad News Travel Fast: A Content-based Analysis of Interestingness on Twitter

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On the microblogging site Twitter, users can forward any message they receive to all of their followers. This is called a retweet and is usually done when users find a message particularly interesting and worth sharing with others. Thus, retweets reflect what the Twitter community considers interesting on a global scale, and can be used as a function of interestingness to generate a model to describe the content-based characteristics of retweets. In this paper, we analyze a set of high- and low-level content-based features on several large collections of Twitter messages. We train a prediction model to forecast for a given tweet its likelihood of being retweeted based on its contents. From the parameters learned by the model we deduce what are the influential content features that contribute to the likelihood of a retweet. As a result we obtain insights into what makes a message on Twitter worth retweeting and, thus, interesting.
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Institute for Web Science & Technologies Bad News Travel Fast: A Content-based Analysis of Interestingness on Twitter Nasir Naveed, Thomas Gottron, Jérôme Kunegis & Arifah Che Alhadi University of Koblenz–Landau WebSci 2011, Koblenz
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Page 1: Bad News Travel Fast: A Content-based Analysis of Interestingness on Twitter

Institute for Web Science & Technologies

Bad News Travel Fast:

A Content-based Analysis of

Interestingness on Twitter

Nasir Naveed, Thomas Gottron, Jérôme Kunegis & Arifah Che Alhadi

University of Koblenz–Landau

WebSci 2011, Koblenz

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A Content-based Analysis of Interestingness on TwitterWebSci 2011 2 / 15

Microblogging – Twitter

UK beer mag declares "the end of beer

writing." not so in the US?

http://bit.ly/424HRQ #beer

?

follow

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tf-idf Does Not Work

RankUsername Tweet1 LoriAG beer2 Crushdwinebar beer!!

3 Skippertaylor BEER4 BigMacScola Beer5 VANiamore beer.......6 CindyMcManis To beer or not to beer on Beer Summit ?7 silverlakewine beer beer beer beer beer beer beer. Simple

3pm8 eldoradobar http://ping.fm/p/Bnra7 - In!!! BEER, BEER,

BEER, BEER, BEER, BEER, BEER, BEER, BEER, BEER,

9 tonx Lompoc. beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer. http://twitpic.com/l68ld

10 punkeyfunky Beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer beer. Er, guess what I'm looking forward to?

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Retweets

UK beer mag declares "the end of beer

writing." not so in the US?

http://bit.ly/424HRQ #beer

RT @aliceUK beer mag declares

"the end of beer writing." not so in

the US?http://bit.ly/424HRQ

#beer

follow

retweet

Page 5: Bad News Travel Fast: A Content-based Analysis of Interestingness on Twitter

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Unretweeted Tweets

UK beer mag declares "the end of beer

writing." not so in the US?

http://bit.ly/424HRQ #beer

:-O

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Tweet Content

Facets/aspects of quality:

Question: Which is the best Online RSS Reader? I need some recommendations, cheers everyone :)

My kitten is pretending to be a laptop

im on the phone rite now

Interesting timeline of major events in the history of beer http://tinyurl.com/ya7rcqt

Purpose (interaction, news propagation, etc.)

Presentation (humor, irony, etc.)

Language (writing style)

Interestingness

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Interestingness

Feature Dimensions Type

Message feature

Direct message BooleanUsername BooleanHashtag BooleanURL Boolean

SentimentValence RealArousal RealDominance Real

Emoticons:-) :-D Boolean:-( Boolean

Terms Positive BooleanNegative Boolean

Punctuation! Boolean? Boolean

Terms Odds Real (pos)LDA 100 Topics Real (pos)

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Retweets – Datasets

Dataset Users Tweets RetweetsChoudhury 118,506 9,998,756 7.89%

Choudhury (extended) 277,666 29,000,000 8.64%Petrović 4,050,944 21,477,484 8.46%

M. D. Choudhury, Y.-R. Lin, H. Sundaram, K. S. Candan, L. Xie, and A. Kelliher.How does the data sampling strategy impact the discovery of information diffusion in social media? In Proc. Conf. on Weblogs and Social Media, pages 34–41, 2010.

S. Petrović , M. Osborne, and V. Lavrenko. The Edinburgh Twitter corpus. In Proc. Workshop on Computational Linguistics in a World of Social Media, pages 25–26, 2010.

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Retweets

Sign of quality

Interesting for wider audience

Depends on content

Social network

● Number of followers

● Activity of followers

Content based retweet prediction

Odds of retweet as sign of quality

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Feature Weights – Logistic Regression

Feature Dimensions WeightConstant (intercept) −5.45

Message feature

Direct message −147.89Username 146.82Hashtag 42.27URL 249.09

SentimentValence −26.88Arousal 33.97Dominance 19.56

Emoticons:-) :-D −21.8:-( 9.94

ExclamationPositive 13.66Negative 8.72

Punctuation! −16.85? 23.67

Terms Odds 19.79

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Examples

Likely to be retweeted:

UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." I hate thisUK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." FAIL

UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." :-(UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." Really?

Unlikely to be retweeted:

@bob UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing."I'm so happy that the UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing."

UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." :-DUK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." !!!

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Feature Weights – LDA Topics

Topic Weight

social media market post site web tool traffic network +27.54

follow thank twitter welcome hello check nice cool people +16.08

credit money market business rate economy home +15.25

christmas shop tree xmas present today wrap finish +2.87

home work hour long wait airport week flight head −14.43

twitter update facebook account page set squidoo check −14.43

cold snow warm today degree weather winter morning −26.56

night sleep work morning time bed feel tired home −75.19

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Evaluation: ROC curves

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Application: Tweet retrieval

Rerank top-100 according to retweet-oddsRank Username Tweet

1 BeeracrossTX UK beer mag declares "the end of beer writing." @StanHieronymus says not so in the US. http://bit.ly/424HRQ #beer

2 narmmusic beer summit @bspward @jhinderaker no one had billy beer? heehee #narm - beer summit @bspward @jhinde http://tinyurl.com/n29oxj

3 beeriety Go green and turn those empty beer bottles into recycled beer glasses! | http://bit.ly/2src7F #beer #recycle (via: @td333)

4 hblackmon Great Divide beer dinner @ Porter Beer Bar on 8/19 - $45 for 3 courses + beer pairings. http://trunc.it/172wt

5 nycraftbeer Interesting Concept-Beer Petitions.com launches&hopes 2help craft beer drinkers enjoy beer they want @their fave pubs. http://bit.ly/11gJQN

6 carichardson Beer Cheddar Soup: Dish number two in my famed beer dinner series is Beer Cheddar Soup.  I hadn’t had too.. http://bit.ly/1diDdF

7 BeerBrewing New York City Beer Events - Beer Tasting - New York Beer Festivals - New York Craft Beer http://is.gd/39kXj #beer

8 delphiforums Love beer? Our member is trying to build up a new beer drinker's forum. Grab a #beer and join us: http://tr.im/pD1n

9 Jamie_Mason #Baltimore Beer Week continues w/ a beer brkfst, beer pioneers luncheon, drink & donate event, beer tastings & more. http://ping.fm/VyTwg

10 carichardson Seattle and Beer: I went to Seattle last weekend.  It was my friend’s stag - he likes beer - we drank beer.. http://tinyurl.com/cpb4n9

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Summary

@nnaveed @tgottron @kunegis @arifah77

● Interestingness as a sign of quality

● Beats tf-idf on retweet prediction

● Use hashtags, URLs, ask questions and be negative!

#ThankYou


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