of 23
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
1/23
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
2/23
2
Opportunities and barriers for the development of Mobile Financial Services in Latin America and the Caribbean
Methodology:
Analysis of international best practices
Study of the environment for MFS in LAC and, particularly, in Bolivia, Brazil,Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Mexico and Peru
Recommendations for MIF intervention
Cooperation with Fundacin Telefnica:
Workshops in Ecuador, Colombia, Peru, Argentina, Brazil, Venezuela and Chile
Dissemination: Forthcoming publication + blog
Peer review by David Porteous (Bankable Frontier Associates)
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
3/23
3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
S p a i n
U n i t e d
S t a t e
s C h
i l e
P a n a
m a B r a z i l
U r u g
u a y
C o l o m
b i a
E c u a
d o r
G u a
t e m a l a
B o l i v i
a
P a r a g
u a y
D o m i n
i c a n R
e p .
A r g e n
t i n a
V e n e
z u e l a
E l S
a l v a d
o r P e
r u
H o n d
u r a s
M e x i c
o
N i c a r a
g u a
Regional background
Low access to formal financial services in LAC
Source: Honohan (2007)
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
4/23 4
Regional background
Large remittance flows
Source: IADB (2008)
-
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
M e x
i c o B r a
z i l
C o l o m b
i a
G u a t e m
a l a
E l S a l v a
d o r
D o m i
n i c a n R e
p .
E c u a
d o r P e
r u
H o n d u
r a s
J a m a
i c a H a i t i
B o l i v
i a
N i c a r a g
u a
A r g e n
t i n a C h
i l e
P a r a g
u a y
C o s t a R i c a
G u y
a n a
V e n e z u
e l a
P a n a
m a
U r u g
u a y
T r i n i d
a d & T o
b a g o
S u r i n
a m B e
l i z e0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Millions of USD
% GDP
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
5/23 5
Regional background
Surge in consumer credit
Source: McKinsey (2007)
ChileColombia
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Argentina Venezuela
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
M i l e s d e m i l l o n e s d e U S D
Average annual growth 2001 - 2005: +20%
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
6/23 6
Regional background
Mobile is the fastest-growing ICT in LAC
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
S u
b s c r i
b e r s p e r
1 0 0 i n h a
b i t a n
t s
Mo bile s ub scribe rs Fixe d lin es Bro adb an d s ub scribe rs In te rn et us ers
Source: ITU (2008)
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
7/237
Regional background
Source: DIRSI (2007), ITU (2008) and Pyramid Research (2007)
Argentina Brazil Colombia Mexico Peru
Penetration Low-income cell phone users (2007) 70% 53% 89% 37% 60%
Low-income owners (2007) 61% 42% 63% 30% 37%
Total penetration (2007) 102% 63% 74% 64% 55%
Prepay Low income (2007) 74% 96% 90% 92% 96%
Total (2007) 73% 80% 83% 89% 87%
Cost of the
service
Negative perception (expensive) 18% 54% 21% 38% 35%
Neutral perception 68% 34% 51% 45% 55%
Positive perception (cheao) 14% 12% 28% 16% 10%
Average expense Low-income - US$ (2007) 11,0 12,0 6,0 16,0 7,0
ARPU telecom operators US$ (2007) 14,5 15,3 8,1 17,9 10,3
Voice ARPU telecom operators US$ (2007) 11,8 14,1 7,1 15,1 8,9
Elasticity in low-income users
Would stop using cell phone if its cost doubled 9% 8% 16% 23% 9%
Wouldnt change use pattern if cost doubled 34% 24% 20% 29% 21%
Would increase use if cost halved 83% 84% 78% 83% 82%
Would increase use if income doubled 37% 42% 47% 30% 68%
SMS in low-income users SMS use 91% 36% 44% 53% 45%Doenst use because doesnt know how (over non-users) 37% 38% 34% 39% 53%
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
8/238
Classifying Mobile Financial Services
Services over bankingstores of value(mobile banking)
Services over non-banking stores of value
(mobile wallets)
Link Celular (Argentina)
Pichincha Celular (Ecuador)
Banco do Brasil (Brazil)
Nipper (Mexico)
Mobipay (Spain)
Additive models
MTN Banking (South Africa)
Wizzit (South Africa)
M-Pesa (Kenya)
Gcash (Philippines)
Smart Money (Philippines)
Orange Money (Ivory Coast)
Oi Paggo (Brazil)*
Tigo Cash (Paraguay)
Mobile Money (Jamaica)
Transformational models
* Oi Paggo is a credit-based mobile payment system that requires no bank account, but it is not strictly a mobile wallet
Crandy (USA, France) Obopay (USA)
PayPal Mobile (USA)
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
9/239
Transformational Mobile Financial Services
Main regulatory concerns:
Financial stability & Competition
Agent networks
AML/CFT
E-money
Main technical concerns:
Mobile bearer technology
Banking core technology
Access to payments systems
BoPBoPBottom-up
Top-down
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
10/23
10
Environment for Mobile Financial Services
PRE-REQUISITES
Mobile network
Tested technology
No regulatoryimpediments
AVAILABLE SERVICES
Top-up
Bill payments
Money transfers & remittances
Salaries / subsidies
Purchases
BUSINESS CASE
Promoters & model
Price scheme
Distribution & Cash management
Consumer insight
ENABLERS
Agents
AML / CFT
E-money
High mobilepenetration
Bankingtechnology
Literacy
DRIVERS
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
11/23
11
Key national findings
COUNTRY BOLIVIA
Financial System Access to formalfinancial services
30%
Banking agents Regulation and operation
E-money No regulation
Remittances(over GDP)
8%
Mobile telephony Penetration 34,2%
Prepay 85%
Sophistication 7,39%
MFS M-banking Yes
M-wallet n.a.
Additionalinformation
Limited banking technology available at most MFIs Amrica Mvil and Telefnica not present
Entel Mvil;47,8%
Telecel; 27,9%
evatel; 24,3%
0
1
2
3
4
56
7
8
9
10
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
M i l l o n e s
Nm ero de abonados celularesPoblacin es timada a Julio de 2008
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
12/23
12
Key national findings
COUNTRY BRAZIL
Financial System Access to formalfinancial services
43%
Banking agents Regulation and operation
E-money No regulation, prepaid cards
Remittances(over GDP)
1%
Mobile telephony Penetration 63,1%
Prepay 80%
Sophistication 7,75%
MFS M-banking Yes
M-wallet Yes (Oi Paggo*)
Additionalinformation
Brazil was pioneer in regulating banking correspondents andhas achieved a full coverage of municipalities in the countrywith this scheme. ANATEL, the telecommunications regulatory body in Brazil,must authorize certain value-added services over telecomnetworks, as it might be the case with MFS.
* Oi Paggo is a credit-based mobile payment system that requires no bank account, but it is not strictly a mobile wallet
Vivo; 30,5%
Claro; 24,8%
TIM ; 25,6%
Oi; 18,9%
Otros; 0,3%
0
20
4060
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
M i l l o n e s
Nm ero de abonados celularesPoblacin es tim ada a Julio de 2008
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
13/23
13
Key national findings
COUNTRY ECUADOR
Financial System Access to formalfinancial services
35%
Banking agents Regulation and operation
E-money No regulation, prepaid cards
Remittances(over GDP)
7%
Mobile telephony Penetration 75,6%
Prepay 88%
Sophistication 15,77%
MFS M-banking Yes
M-wallet n.a.
Additionalinformation Most Ecuadorian migrants live in Spain, where nearly 77% ofthem have a bank account. In Ecuador, HalCash operates through Banco de Guayaquil.This system allows the reception in a mobile phone of a codethat allows the recipient to withdraw his/her remittance at anATM, as long as it has been sent from a Spanish bankaccount. The recipient does not need such account.
M ovistar; 27,0%
Alegro; 4,8%
Porta Celular (A mricaM ovil); 68,2%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
M i l l o n e s
Nmero de abonados celularesPoblacin estimada a Julio de 2008
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
14/23
14
Key national findings
COUNTRY MEXICO
Financial System Access to formalfinancial services
25%
Banking agents Regulation and operation
E-money No regulation, prepaid cards
Remittances(over GDP)
3%
Mobile telephony Penetration 64,1%
Prepay 88%
Sophistication 15,66%
MFS M-banking Yes (inc. Celopago, Nipper)
M-wallet n.a.
Additionalinformation
Mexico alone received in 2007 remittances for 24.000M$,nearly 50% of all remittance flows in LAC. Western Union offers the use of a mobile application inTrumpet Mobile terminals as an alternative channel for moneytransfer services.
Telcel; 72,9%
ovistar ; 17,8%
Iusacell; 6 ,1%Nextel; 3,2%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
M i l l o n e s
Nme ro de abonados celularesPoblacin es timada a Julio de 2008
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
15/23
15
Key national findings
COUNTRY PERU
Financial System Access to formalfinancial services
25%
Banking agents Regulation and operation
E-money No regulation, prepaid cards
Remittances(over GDP)
3%
Mobile telephony Penetration 55,3%
Prepay 88%
Sophistication 13,86%
MFS M-banking Yes
M-wallet n.a.
Additionalinformation
Banking supervisors (Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros)and the Central Bank have agreed not to consider mobilewallets as deposit taking, but as a mere payments service.
Claro; 38,8%
Nextel; 3,4%
M ovistar; 57,8%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
M i l l o n e s
Nmero de abonados celularesPoblacin estimada a Julio de 2008
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
16/23
16
Key national findings
COUNTRY DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
Financial System Access to formalfinancial services
29%
Banking agents No regulation
E-money No regulation, prepaid cards
Remittances(over GDP)
9%
Mobile telephony Penetration 56,5%
Prepay 85%
Sophistication 5,86%
MFS M-banking n.a.
M-wallet n.a.
Additionalinformation
Dominican Republic was the only analyzed country in whichno regulation for banking agents was found, nor any additivem-banking models.
Tric om; 10,3%
Centennial
Dominicana; 6,2%
Orange Dominicana;
36,3%
Claro (Ant es Verizon,Codetel) ; 47,2%
0
1
2
3
4
56
7
8
9
10
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
M i l l o n e s
Nme ro de abonados celularesPoblacin es timada a Julio de 2008
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
17/23
17
Country Year Promoter Adoption Distribution
MTNMoney
SouthAfrica
2005 MTN (Operator) andStandard Bank15K clients by April2005
Account opening in MTN and Standard Bankbranches. If identity is not confirmed, limitedfunctionality. Cash-in in stores and EasyPaynetwork.
Wizzit 2005 Bank of Athens 50K clients in lessthan 2 yearsAccount opening with agents (Wizz Kids) and 400Dunn stores; cash-in at PostBank, Absa or Bank
of Athens; cash-out available at stores.
M-Pesa Kenya 2007 Vodafone - Safaricom(Operator)2M registered (April2008) over aprox. 4Mbank accounts
Account opening, cash-in and cash-out in 850+agents and Safaricom stores
GCashPhilippines
2004Globe Telecom - GXI(Operator)
500K active users inurban zones
Account opening, cash-in and cash-out in 4900+
official agents (only account opening requiresphysical presence - KYC)
SmartMoney
2003
Smart Communications(Operator) and 5 banks(including Banco deOro)
4M subscribers (900Kactive) by 2006
Account opening requires physical presence inany of hundreds of Smart shops; cash-in availableat 12000+ associated stores, ATMs (with card) orbank branches
International experiences
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
18/23
18
Lessons learned
Transformational approach
Partnership Telecom - Finance
Killer application: Top-up
Importance of remittance flows
Distribution (cash-in/cash-out) Regulation work in progress
Scale
Sophistication of cellular market
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000
GDP pe r capita (PPP)
P o p u l a t i o n w i t h a c c e s s t o f o r m a l f i n a n c i a l
s e r v i c e s
ARGVEN
PAR
CHI
COLECU
BRA
DOMMEXPER
BOL
KEN
SOU
PHI
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
A r g e n
t i n a C h i l e
V e n e
z u e l a
P a r a g
u a y
S o u t h
A f r i c a
E c u a
d o r
C o l o m
b i a P e r u M e
x i c o B r a s i l
D o m i
n i c a n
R e p .
P h i l i p
p i n e s
B o l i v i a
K e n y a
M o b i l e s u b s c r i b e r s p e r 1 0 0 i n h a b i t a n t s 2004
2007
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
19/23
19
Conclusions: summary of key national findings
Access to financial services Financial Regulation Remittances Mobile Market MFS experiences
Population
with access to financial
services
Branches/ 100K inh.
ATMs/ 100K inh. Agents
Emoney / prepaid cards %GDP
Data ARPU / Total ARPU
Lines per 100 inh. MFS
Bolivia 30% 0,13 4,80 X
/ X 8% 7,39% 34,2
Brazil 43% 3,05 17,82 X
/ 1% 7,75% 63,1 Oi Paggo
Ecuador 35% 4,38 6,32 X
/ 7% 15,77% 75,6 Hal Cash
Mexico 25% 4,09 16,63 X
/ 3% 15,66% 64,1
Celopago, Mobipay, Nipper,
Western Union
Peru 26% 0,89 5,85 X
/ 3% 13,86% 55,3
Dominican Republic 29% 10,83 15,08 X X
/ 9% 5,86% 56,5
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
20/23
20
Recommendations
Addressee Goal Recommendation Risks and issues
Donors To choose the countrywith the greater potentialto develop initiatives withregional impact.
To assess the environment in eachof the countries, prioritizing thosein which, given the relevant pre-requisites, MFS enablers anddrivers are also found.
Promoting initiatives basedon excessively favorableenvironments, making themunsuitable for export to othercountries.
To create a positiveenvironment for thedevelopment of MFS.
To collaborate with regulators andauthorities in order to define anopen legal framework whichprovides certainty andharmonization at a regional level.
Creating national regulationswith diverging nationalinterpretations
To support successfulmodels
To apply lessons learned insuccessful models to the reality inLAC.
Failing to adapt internationalexperiences to LACinstitutional and culturaltraces.
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
21/23
21
Recommendations
Addressee Goal Recommendation Risks and issues
Nationalauthorities andregulators
To provide an open andwell-defined regulatoryenvironment.
To define relevant regulation forMFS and, particularly, in the fieldsof banking correspondents, e-money and AML/CFT compliancefor low-value accounts.
Rising regulatory demandsexcessively could have anegative impact on someMFS models.
To favor the affordabilityof MFS.
To reduce taxation over financialtransactions andtelecommunications services.
An increase in competitioncould affect profitability orsolvency of someintermediaries.
To favor dialogue amongstakeholders.
To coordinate policy and actions byCentral Banks, FinancialSupervisors and telecomsregulators.
Not finding a balancebetween the interests andmandates of each institution.
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
22/23
22
RecommendationsAddressee Goal Recommendation Risks and issues
FinancialInstitutions
Expand access tofinancial services
While the ideal model Bank +Telecom Operator is taking off,
there are great opportunities forother financial services providers,specially money transferorganizations and micro financeinstitutions.
A leading bank or telecomoperator becomes a market
leader / monopoly
To offer more secure andcomplete MFS.
To reach agreements with telecomsoperators in order to benefit fromtheir greater reach and access tothe SIM.
Conceding total control of theoperations to MNOs, insteadof benefiting from thestrengths of both.
To achieve a betterknowledge of customers
To research the market to find outthe habits and necessities of theBoP.
Misinterpreting the needs ofpotential customers.
To offer greaterconvenience tocustomers
To design channels, products andservices specifically designed forthe BoP (transformational).
Aiming at complete butexcessively complexsolutions.
8/8/2019 Bajuk.22.05.09
23/23
M-Banking: Opportunities and barriers for the development ofMobile Financial Services in Latin America and the Caribbean
http://www.iadb.org/mif/forum/mbanking.cfm
http://www.fundacion.telefonica.com/forum/blogs