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Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY...

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Contents: Commodity Information FFA Tankers VLCC Suezmax Aframax Products DPP Dry Cargo Handysize - Supramax Sale & Purchase Bulk Carriers Tankers Newbuildings Demolition Representative Sales Wet Period & Asset Price Assessments Dry Period & Asset Price Assessments 25 August 2016 Bridgegate House, 124-126 Borough High St, London, SE1 1BL Tel: +44 207 378 6363 www.galbraiths.co.uk 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Index Value Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices BCTI BDTI Source: Baltic Exchange 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Index Value Baltic Exchange Dry Index BDI 12 mth roll Avg Source: Baltic Exchange 25-Aug VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR Period US$ / day 1yr 32,000 19,500 17,000 16,750 14,000 3yr 30,000 20,000 18,000 16,750 14,500 Asset US$m NB 86.00 58.00 47.00 42.00 34.00 5yr 63.00 46.00 31.50 29.00 22.50 10yr 41.00 33.00 22.00 20.50 14.50 NB:5yr Ratio 0.73 0.79 0.67 0.69 0.66 Tanker Scrap Value US$ / ldt China: 180 SubCont: 285 25-Aug Cape Pm ax Sm ax Handy Period US$ / day 1yr 8,200 6,300 6,350 5,550 3yr 9,100 7,250 7,350 6,250 Asset US$m NB 44.00 25.00 23.00 20.00 5yr 24.00 14.50 12.50 9.00 10yr 13.75 8.75 8.00 6.00 NB:5yr Ratio 0.55 0.58 0.54 0.45 Dry Scrap Value US$ / ldt China 170 SubCont 260 Baltic Market Indices Baltic Tanker Routes WS Change TCE Change WS TCE WS TCE WS TCE WS TCE VLCC TD3 36 -5 17,908 -4,709 53 35,696 42 24,540 37 19,402 59 43,871 Suez TD20 43 2 6,583 3,878 77 23,456 59 15,182 37 4,845 73 23,773 Afra TD7 79 -3 1,601 -690 112 25,503 92 14,215 78 3,158 103 22,656 LR2 TC1 103 -3 17,287 -651 84 12,638 90 14,151 104 18,519 98 18,207 LR1 TC5 114 -6 14,297 -652 96 11,199 101 12,106 111 14,428 108 14,754 MR TC2_37 81 1 3,687 -1,266 100 6,980 96 6,759 86 5,238 109 9,961 Baltic Dry Index Index Change TCE Change Index TCE Index TCE Index TCE Index TCE Cape 910 25 6,460 246 938 6,737 952 6,867 828 5,812 634 5,106 Panamax 706 -20 5,651 - 15 7 565 4,517 793 6,341 686 5,487 556 4,449 Supramax 706 40 7,379 4 19 571 5,974 672 7,030 663 6,929 509 5,324 Handy 425 20 6,109 277 330 4,807 368 5,404 402 5,813 306 4,456 Source: Baltic Exchange Spot 24-Aug 24-Aug Jun- 16 Jul- 16 Aug- 16 Mth TD Averages YTD 2 0 16
Transcript
Page 1: Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY FFA Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg Spot 6,460 246 5,651-157 7,379

Contents:

Commodity Information

FFA

Tankers

VLCC

Suezmax

Aframax

Products

DPP

Dry Cargo

Handysize - Supramax

Sale & Purchase

Bulk Carriers

Tankers

Newbuildings

Demolition

Representative Sales

Wet Period & Asset Price Assessments Dry Period & Asset Price Assessments

25 August 2016

Bridgegate House, 124-126 Borough High St, London, SE1 1BL Tel: +44 207 378 6363 www.galbraiths.co.uk

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Ind

ex

Va

lue

Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices

BCTI BDTI

Source: Baltic Exchange

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Ind

ex

Va

lue

Baltic Exchange Dry Index

BDI 12 mth roll Avg

Source: Baltic Exchange

25-Aug VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR

Period US$ / day

1yr 32,000 19,500 17,000 16,750 14,000

3yr 30,000 20,000 18,000 16,750 14,500

Asset US$m

NB 86.00 58.00 47.00 42.00 34.00

5yr 63.00 46.00 31.50 29.00 22.50

10yr 41.00 33.00 22.00 20.50 14.50

NB:5yr Ratio 0.73 0.79 0.67 0.69 0.66

Tanker Scrap Value US$ / ldt

China: 180 SubCont: 285

25-Aug Cape Pmax Smax Handy

Period US$ / day

1yr 8,200 6,300 6,350 5,550

3yr 9,100 7,250 7,350 6,250

Asset US$m

NB 44.00 25.00 23.00 20.00

5yr 24.00 14.50 12.50 9.00

10yr 13.75 8.75 8.00 6.00

NB:5yr Ratio 0.55 0.58 0.54 0.45

Dry Scrap Value US$ / ldt

China 170 SubCont 260

B alt ic M arket Indices

Ba ltic Ta nke r Route s WS Change TCE Change WS TCE WS TCE WS TCE WS TCE

VLCC TD3 36 - 5 17,908 - 4 ,7 0 9 53 35,696 42 24,540 37 19,402 59 43,871

Suez TD20 43 2 6,583 3 ,8 7 8 77 23,456 59 15,182 37 4,845 73 23,773

Afra TD7 79 - 3 1,601 - 6 9 0 112 25,503 92 14,215 78 3,158 103 22,656

LR2 TC1 103 - 3 17,287 - 6 5 1 84 12,638 90 14,151 104 18,519 98 18,207

LR1 TC5 114 - 6 14,297 - 6 5 2 96 11,199 101 12,106 111 14,428 108 14,754

MR TC2_37 81 1 3,687 - 1,2 6 6 100 6,980 96 6,759 86 5,238 109 9,961

Ba ltic Dry Inde x Index Change TCE Change Index TCE Index TCE Index TCE Index TCE

Cape 910 2 5 6,460 2 4 6 938 6,737 952 6,867 828 5,812 634 5,106

Panamax 706 - 2 0 5,651 - 15 7 565 4,517 793 6,341 686 5,487 556 4,449

Supramax 706 4 0 7,379 4 19 571 5,974 672 7,030 663 6,929 509 5,324

Handy 425 2 0 6,109 2 7 7 330 4,807 368 5,404 402 5,813 306 4,456

Source: Baltic Exchange

Spo t

2 4 - Aug 2 4 - Aug Jun- 16 Jul- 16 Aug- 16

M th T DA verages YT D

2 0 16

Page 2: Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY FFA Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg Spot 6,460 246 5,651-157 7,379

2

COMMODITY INFORMATION

Exchange Rates Sources: BoE, BBC, Reuters

25-A ug Wkly C hg

$ - Euro 1.12 -0.00

$ - GBP 1.33 0.02

Yen - $ 100.58 0.32

Won - $ 1,115.85 8.65

Yuan - $ 6.66 0.02

Stock Index Source: Bloomberg

25-A ug Wkly C hg

Dow Jones 18,481 -92

FTSE 100 6,784 -93

Dax 10,478 -104

Nikkei 16,556 70

Hang Seng 22,827 -196

Shanghai 3,068 -36

25-Aug-16

Bunker Prices: IFO380 IFO180 MDO MGO

Fujairah 253.0 281.0 503.0 510.0

Houston 240.0 375.0 485.0 465.0

Rotterdam 239.0 264.0 420.0 421.5

Singapore 253.0 266.0 426.0 422.0

Source: Bunkerindex, Bunkerspot

Commodity Prices

11-A ug C hange

Crude Oil

Brent Crude US$ 44.18 1.19

WTI Crude US$ 41.27 0.36

Iron Ore - China (US$/t)

CFR 63.5% Fe 54.2 0.00

Port Stockpile (mt) 102.6 0.54

Coal - globalCOAL Index (US$/t)

Richards Bay 65.4 1.2

Newcastle 66.5 3.3

ARA 64.1 4.1

Grain - CBOT/ICE (US$/t)

Wheat 154 2

Corn 127 -1

Soybean 375 13

Sugar 433 13

0

50

100

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Crude Oil (US$/bl)

Brent WTI

0

500

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Grain (US$/t)

Wheat Corn Soybean Sugar

0

50

100

150

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Thermal Coal (US$/t)

RB Index

NEWC Index

DES ARA Index

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

100

200

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Iron Ore (US$/t)China Stockpiles mt India/China C&F

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

MDO

Rotterdam Singapore

0

200

400

600

800

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Bunkers IFO 380

Rotterdam Singapore

0.8

1.2

1.6

2

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

US$ - Euro US$ - Ster ling

950

1450

70

90

110

130

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Jap Yen - US$ S.Kor Won - US$

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

3000

6000

9000

12000

15000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

FTSE 100 Dax Shanghai

15000

25000

35000

0

8000

16000

24000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Dow Jones Nikkei Hang Seng

Bunkers

Exchange Rates

Stock Index

Commodity Prices

25-A ug C hange

Crude Oil

Brent Crude US$ 49.06 -0 .46

WTI Crude US$ 46.80 -0 .34

Iron Ore - China (US$/t)

CFR 63.5% Fe 54.2 0.00

Port Stockpile (mt) 102.5 0.94

Coal - globalCOAL Index (US$/t)

Richards Bay 67.2 1.4

Newcastle 68.2 2.1

ARA 63.4 1.1

Grain - CBOT/ICE (US$/t)

Wheat 149 -7

Corn 129 -1

Soybean 376 0

Sugar 450 14

0

50

100

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Crude Oil (US$/bl)

Brent WTI

0

500

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Grain (US$/t)

Wheat Corn Soybean Sugar

0

50

100

150

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Thermal Coal (US$/t)

RB Index

NEWC Index

DES ARA Index

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

100

200

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Iron Ore (US$/t)China Stockpiles mt India/China C&F

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

MDO

Rotterdam Singapore

Page 3: Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY FFA Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg Spot 6,460 246 5,651-157 7,379

3

BALTIC EXCHANGE - FFA

DRY FFA

Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg

Spot 6,460 246 5,651 - 157 7,379 419 6,109 277

Current Mth 4,620 80 5,490 - 25 7,055 105 5,800 31

Cur + 1 Mth 6,550 535 6,010 - 340 7,550 - 50 5,819 88

Cur + 2 Mth 8,170 510 6,565 - 85 7,590 40 5,775 50

2016Q3 5,585 307 5,750 - 183 7,303 28 5,810 60

2016Q4 8,460 310 6,510 - 92 7,430 57 5,721 40

2017Q1 3,880 90 4,700 - 40 5,080 80 4,913 -6

2017Q2 6,320 50 5,900 - 40 6,105 0 5,263 13

Cal 2016 7,315 57 5,740 - 34 6,120 - 20 5,294 6

Cal 2017 8,900 40 6,655 15 7,065 - 5 5,806 6

Cal 2018 10,390 20 7,320 40 7,450 - 10 6,288 25

Cal 2019 11,520 20 7,910 - 10 7,750 - 10 6,688 0

Cal 2020 12,850 - 10 8,485 - 5 8,055 0 6,938 0

12 Mth Impld 6,614 16 9 5,741 - 8 0 6,305 2 6 5,347 22

24-Aug-16

WET FFA

($/ton)

TD3 Wk Chg TD20 Wk Chg TD7 Wk Chg TC5 Wk Chg TC2_37 Wk Chg

Spot (WS) 36 - 5 43 8 79 1 114 - 3 81 - 9

Cur Mth 7 - 0 5 0 7 0 21 0 12 - 0

Cur Mth + 1 8 - 1 6 0 8 0 20 - 1 12 - 0

Cur Mth + 2 8 - 1 7 - 0 8 0 18 - 1 13 - 0

Cur Mth + 3 9 - 0 8 - 0 9 0 19 - 0 13 - 0

Cur Mth + 4 10 0 8 0 9 0 19 - 1 14 - 0

2016Q3 7 - 1 6 0 7 0 21 - 0 12 - 0

2016Q4 9 - 0 8 - 0 9 0 19 - 1 13 - 0

2017Q1 9 0 8 0 8 0 19 - 0 14 1

2017Q2 9 0 8 0 8 0 19 - 0 13 0

2017Q3 8 0 8 0 8 0 19 - 0 13 1

Cal 2016 9 0 8 0 8 0 19 - 0 14 1

Cal 2017 9 - 0 8 - 0 7 0 20 - 0 14 - 0

VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 M R

24-Aug-16

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

US

$

Dry FFA Curve

Cape Pmax Supra Handy

0

10

20

30

Wo

rld

sca

le

Tanker FFA Curve

VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR

Page 4: Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY FFA Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg Spot 6,460 246 5,651-157 7,379

4

TANKER MARKET HIGHLIGHTS VLCC Owners will be looking forward to the end of summer and the locking away of the summer market into a vault deep in the recess’ of their craniums. It has not been one to remember, and the man in the crow's’ nest scouring the horizon is seeing nothing at this time to alleviate the pain. Rates have fallen from last week’s W40, down to mid W30’s – close to US$12,000/ day - for modern approved vessels, with disadvan-taged vessels having to absorb lower rates to get back the status of workable for all Charterers. MEG - West is slow, remaining around W26-27 levels. In the West, the UKCont has been quiet.

West Africa has seen no Indian cargos, and the few Chinese cargos produced have been split onto the weaker Suezmax size (which has now started to turn). In the Car-ibbean, limited activity is absorbed by the few Owners in that region, but rates remain depressed in the mid US$ 2 million levels to Singapore; and finally Brazil - Export cargos are competitive as usual, fixing a few points below TD15 level of WAf - China. We look for reasons as to why rates are low, but the answer is not that hard to come by: Too many ships. Volumes do not appear to have been much reduced in the MEG, however tonne mile reduction is likely the main cause of the global glut of ton-nage: North Sea East, Caribs East and WAf - East all being reduced. All in less to go round. The list of new build ships looks in the region of a further 5 to hit the MEG during September, and 8 expected to be fixable during October. There needs to be a fairly fundamental shift in dynamics for the great escape to occur.

Galbraith's Assessment Basis 2016 Sentiment

VLCC 25-Aug Wkly Chg 25-Aug Wkly Chg WS/LS US$/day

280kt Gal - Ras Tanura - LOOP 25.0 -2 $10,108 -2,333 Firm 35.7 $26,057

280kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Ain Sukhna 37.5 -10 $20,716 -10,186 Firm 63.6 $52,103

265kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Chiba 34.0 -9 $15,363 -9,403 Firm 59.2 $46,417

270kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Ulsan 33.0 -8 $15,370 -8,087 Firm 58.4 $45,853

270kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Singapore 34.0 -9 $16,396 -8,621 Firm 60.5 $48,034

260kt Gal - Bonny Offshore - LOOP 47.5 0 $33,490 -638 Slow 68.7 $60,653

260kt Gal - West Africa - Ningbo 40.0 -3 $21,309 -2,230 Steady 62.2 $48,165

Average YTDWS/LS US$/day (14knts)

-10,000

10,000

30,000

50,000

70,000

90,000

110,000

130,000

150,000

Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16

US

$ /

da

y

Spot vs Period - VLCC

Wkly Spot Avg 1 Year 3 Years

MEG/ US Gulf

7.8%

MEG/ UK Cont-Med

2.3%

MEG/ S.Korea

7.0%

MEG/ Japan

3.5%

MEG/ Red Sea

2.1%

MEG/ China

22.8%

MEG/ Spore

8.1%

MEG/ India

7.7%

MEG/ Other

7.8%

West Africa

Loadings14.5%

Caribs Loadings

8.0%

Other Loadings

8.3%

Number of UL/VLCC Fixtures in 2016

F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 % YT D

M EG/ US Gulf 1 108 8%

M EG/ UK Cont-M ed 0 32 2%

M EG/ S.Korea 3 97 7%

M EG/ Japan 0 49 4%

M EG/ Red Sea 0 29 2%

M EG/ China 8 315 23%

M EG/ Spore 2 112 8%

M EG/ India 5 107 8%

M EG/ Other 1 108 8%

West Africa Loadings 2 201 15%

Caribs Loadings 2 111 8%

Other Loadings 2 115 8%

T o tal N o . o f

F ixtures 26 1,384

Page 5: Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY FFA Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg Spot 6,460 246 5,651-157 7,379

5

SUEZMAX

This was the week that the Owners fought back, as a happy combination of fresh enquiry both East and West enabled them to push the market back up from the low-est headline worldscales rates seen in West Africa for several decades. A very busy fortnight here has cleared the overhang of early tonnage, and in the last couple of days rates have rapidly moved up from W35 to 45 for UKCont - Med, with uncon-firmed reports this afternoon that W48.5 has now been agreed for an early cargo. With few ships available in West Africa for the next 10 days, Owners have the bit between the teeth and are looking to maintain the upward momentum. The Med had been even more over supplied with spot tonnage in the last couple of weeks, but steady enquiry from the Black Sea, plus increased interest in Eastbound cargoes has thinned out the numbers somewhat, and it seems likely that the strength in West Africa will affect this market. Further North was a little quieter but there was some Baltic / TA activity going on under the radar. However probably the most significant factor is that, after a long interval, it seems the fuel oil trade to the East is reviving, with Charterers showing interest in Baltic / Singapore for early Sep-tember dates. This revival is even more marked on the other side of the Atlantic, where today at least half a dozen Charterers were reported to be looking for Suezmaxes for fuel USG to the East for first half September, and even if some of this is just duplicate stems, the sheer level of enquiry is going to boost Owners sentiment. European Charterers were active from East Coast Mexico and Caribs back to Europe, paying generally in the mid W30’s for 147,000 sized stems, (with some of this demand pos-sibly to compensate for current reduced level of Nigerian exports where several terminals remain under force majeure). If any seasonal weather delays were to ap-pear in the region rates could increase. The East also was busy, with exports flowing freely from Basrah and Kharg and sig-nificant premiums available for tonnage equipped to load Basrah heavy and a strong W69 was reported done today for 140,000 mt Basrah to UKCont - Med, compared to W30 paid for a similar voyage carrying basrah light. Eastbound rates also rose, with W57.5 reported paid for 130.000 mt MEG / Thailand, up from W49 done previously for a similar voyage.

Galbraith's Assessment Basis 2016 Sentiment

SUEZM AX 25-Aug Wkly Chg 25-Aug Wkly Chg WS/LS US$/day

130kt Gal - West Africa to Singapore 50.0 +8 $10,388 +4,199 Soft 84.6 $30,716

130kt Gal - Bonny Offshore - Lavera 45.0 +10 $4,935 +5,975 Flat 72.8 $23,910

130kt Gal - West Africa to US Gulf 42.5 +10 $9,025 +4,930 Flat 69.1 $26,592

135kt Gal - Novorossiysk - Lavera 50.0 +5 $6,356 +3,750 Soft 81.7 $31,313

135kt Gal - Sidi Kerir - Lavera 47.5 +8 $4,412 +5,132 Soft 80.3 $28,669

135kt Gal - Algeria to US Gulf 45.0 +10 $7,468 +5,491 Soft 62.9 $21,332

135kt Gal - Libya to Singapore 1.9 -0 $14,373 -2,070 Soft 2.9 $41,093

135kt Gal - Brazil to US Gulf 45.0 +10 $9,040 +5,234 Soft 75.6 $29,741

135kt Gal - Brazil to USWC 55.0 +10 $14,859 +5,190 Soft 85.8 $35,083

130kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Huizhou 55.0 +5 $12,473 +3,019 Soft 83.8 $30,417

Average YTDWS/LS US$/day (14knts)

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16

US

$ /

da

y

Spot vs Period - Suezmax

Wkly Spot Avg 1 Year 3 Years

West Africa/ UK Cont

11.4%

West Africa/ Med

2.3%West Africa/ USAC-Gulf

2.8%

West Africa/ USG

4.1%

West Africa/ Other

4.1%Black Sea/ UK Cont-

Med7.1%

Inter UK Cont

0.5%Cross Med

3.1%MEG / India

9.7%

Other MEG Loadings

14.8%

Caribs Loadings

10.4%

Others29.7%

Number of Suezmax Fixtures in 2016

F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 % YT D

West Africa/ UK Cont 8 174 11%

West Africa/ M ed 0 35 2%

West Africa/ USAC-Gulf 1 43 3%

West Africa/ USG 0 62 4%

West Africa/ Other 7 62 4%

Black Sea/ UK Cont-M ed 2 108 7%

Inter UK Cont 0 8 1%

Cross M ed 1 48 3%

M EG / India 2 148 10%

Other M EG Loadings 6 225 15%

Caribs Loadings 5 159 10%

Others 8 452 30%

T o tal N o . o f F ixtures 40 1,524

Page 6: Baltic Dirty and Clean Indices Baltic Exchange Dry Index · PDF file3 BALTIC EXCHANGE -FFA DRY FFA Cape Wk Chg Pmax Wk Chg Supra Wk Chg Handy Wk Chg Spot 6,460 246 5,651-157 7,379

6

AFRAMAX UKCont: Not much of excitement in the North Sea and Baltic markets, as last week’s scenario repeated, with the activity still at the same levels as last week. North Sea rates are still at W77.5 levels on 80kt and Baltic at W47.5 for 100kt. The tonnage list seems healthy enough to maintain these current levels before London’s long weekend.

Med: The Med has been active this week but the tonnage list is still long. The rates have remained around W65 with a couple of fixtures dotted either side of this conference rate. It has been a pretty terrible August for Afra Owners but the Caribs has started to pick up and the Suezmaxs in WAf and the Med seem to have got busier. Owners will hope that September brings more Black Sea business - with the CPC programme in particular being light in August. Rates remain steady for the time being but Owners will likely look to rally and push next week if the volume of cargos contin-ues. Caribs: Last week’s strong ending with a jump of 10 Worldscale points from W75 was mainly due to the clearance of the prompt tonnage and consequently the start of this week in combination with an uptick of the activity in the area (including a few TA voyages) gave another boost of 5 Worldscale on rates to W90 for a Caribs up run. Although some Owners were willing to repeat these new levels, a distressed cargo paid a premium. At the time of writing Charterers are holding back and waiting for the dust to settle. How-ever, the market feels firmer in the area as a Pajaritos / Med cargo of 2 / 4 dates will give more ammunition to Owners to push rates higher.

B.Sea/ Med9.2%

Baltic/ UK Cont

13.6%

Cross Med9.4%

Inter UK Cont4.1%

Caribs/ USG9.0%

MEG-Red Sea/

Singapore2.0%

S.Korea Loadings

0.7%

Singapore Loadings

12.4%

Pacif ic Russia Loadings

6.5%

Others33.1%

Number of Aframax Fixtures in 2016

Galbraith's Assessment Basis 2016 Sentiment

AFRAM AX 25-Aug Wkly Chg 25-Aug Wkly Chg WS/LS US$/day

80kt Gal - Sullom Voe - Wilhelmshaven 80.0 +2 $17,965 +1,541 Steady/Firmer 103.3 $35,381

80kt Gal - Sullom Voe - Philadelphia 62.5 0 $10,707 -21 Steady/Firmer 93.1 $27,186

100kt Gal - Primorsk - Wilhelmshaven 47.5 0 $6,307 +230 Flat 80.7 $29,284

80kt Gal - Novorossiysk - Lavera 65.0 0 $5,449 +177 Flat 95.1 $20,077

80kt Gal - Banias - Lavera 65.0 0 $1,160 +185 Flat 97.6 $17,344

70kt Gal - Jose - Houston 95.0 +20 $16,208 +7,041 Flat 104.6 $22,120

70kt Gal - Jose - Rotterdam 75.0 +10 $7,805 +3,622 Flat 85.8 $13,698

80kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Singapore 75.0 0 $11,520 +274 Flat 107.7 $23,877

80kt Gal - Dumai - Chiba 72.5 0 $12,301 +250 Flat 107.6 $27,003

Average YTDWS/LS US$/day (14knts)

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16

US

$ /

da

y

Spot vs Period - Aframax

Wkly Spot Avg 1 Year 3 Years

F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 % YT D

B.Sea/ M ed 6 253 9%

Baltic/ UK Cont 15 376 14%

Cross M ed 7 258 9%

Inter UK Cont 1 114 4%

Caribs/ USG 5 248 9%

M EG-Red Sea/ Singapore 2 54 2%

S.Korea Loadings 0 18 1%

Singapore Loadings 2 342 12%

Pacific Russia Loadings 5 180 7%

Others 31 913 33%

T o tal N o . o f F ixtures 74 2756

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7

PRODUCTS: LR2 + LR1: LR2: Little to no activity this side of the canal. Most LR2’s looking to head straight east after finishing on UKCont. They might be lucky enough to fix Med / East, which has been done at US$ 1.825m. However it feels softer now, in region of US$ 1.775 - US$1.8m. LR1: Levels are currently holding around 60 at W82.5 for UKCont / WAf. Still not enough to entice ships open in West Africa, as they decide to ballast straight East. There are a handful of ships left on the UKCont in August, but without the stems it won’t pick up for Owners. On the other side, the US Gulf MR’s are on their knees, so LR1’s are unlikely to find love either.

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Wkly Spot Avg 1 Year 3 Years

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Spot vs Period - LR1

Wkly Spot Avg 1 Year 3 Years

Galbraith's Assessment Basis 2016 Sentiment

CLEAN LR2 25-Aug Wkly Chg 25-Aug Wkly Chg WS/LS US$/day

75kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Chiba 102.0 -3 $18,758 -648 Steady/Firm 98.4 $19,721

75kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Singapore 117.0 -3 $22,860 -615 Steady/Firm 113.2 $23,759

80kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Rotterdam ($LS) 2.2 +0 $18,616 +792 Steady/Firm 1.9 $15,108

CLEAN LR1 25-Aug Wkly Chg 25-Aug Wkly Chg WS/LS US$/day

55kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Chiba 111.0 -7 $14,718 -1,255 Firm 108.2 $15,729

55kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Singapore 126.0 -7 $17,879 -1,197 Firm 123.1 $18,836

65kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Rotterdam ($LS) 1.6 -0 $12,073 -1,557 Firm 1.4 $11,391

Average YTDWS/LS US$/day (14knts)

MEG / Japan

25.4%

MEG / UK Cont

10.6%

Other MEG Loadings

11.5%

S.Korea / Singapore

1.0%

S.Korea / UKCont

4.0%

Med / Japan

2.9%

UKCont / Singapore

3.2%

Other Total41.4%

Percentage of LR2 Fixtures in 2016

MEG / Japan

13.5%MEG / UKCont

4.2%

Other MEG Loadings

15.4%

UKCont / Waf

4.2%

India / MEG7.2%

India / Singapore

5.0%

Other India Loadings

9.3%

S.Korea / Singapore

3.4%

Other Total37.9%

Percentage of LR1 Fixtures in 2016

LR 2 F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 %

M EG / Japan 2 209 25%

M EG / UK Cont 4 87 11%

Other M EG Loadings 9 95 12%

S.Korea / Singapore 0 8 1%

S.Korea / UKCont 0 33 4%

M ed / Japan 1 24 3%

UKCont / Singapore 0 26 3%

Other Total 10 341 41%

T o tal N o . o f F ixtures 26 823

LR 1 F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 %

M EG / Japan 1 144 13%

M EG / UKCont 1 45 4%

Other M EG Loadings 5 165 15%

UKCont / Waf 0 45 4%

India / M EG 1 77 7%

India / Singapore 1 53 5%

Other India Loadings 1 99 9%

S.Korea / Singapore 1 36 3%

Other Total 10 405 38%

T o tal N o . o f F ixtures 21 1069

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8

Products: MR’s + Handies UKCont MR’s: This week’s fixing has been dominated by the looming bank holiday weekend. With Charterers looking to fix away stems loading into next week. Hence we have seen a fair amount of activity and as such rates have been pushed, with UKCont / TA on subjects 37 at W85, and UKCont / WAf on subjects 37 at W110 for Tema. Looking at the list however there are still ships left to cover, and it remains to be seen if there are enough barrels to keep rates at these levels through till next week. Handies: With the bank holiday looming and the short week next week, the Handies were duly treated to a busy week of fixing with a good amount of stems flooding the market. Rates have remained flat at W107.5 despite the activity but as such the list has cleared up somewhat with the expectation of next done at W110 levels with sentiment for next week encouraging. Med MR’s: The Med MR’s have followed suit in recent weeks with relatively low levels of ac-tivity going East & West. Rate levels are following UKCont with Skikda / Algeciras loads going TA at W80-85 levels. The long weekend has not stimulated any real activity in the Med MR’s but as rates begin to creep up on the UKCont, it is antici-pated that the Med will follow suit. Handies: The market is continuing in true from to seasonality and has maintained its W112.5 and W120 Black Sea flat levels across the board. Some slight delays at the beginning of the week hoped to create some volatility in the market and the hope it may spark the market into life, but with the poor levels of cargos nearly matching tonnage supply, the market has been left wanting. Cargos in early Sep-tember are coming in the market and continue to be taken at current levels with the attitude that keeping things moving until the upturn predicted in mid Septem-ber is the market status quo. Even the bank holiday this week was not enough to sway any movement in cargo flow or rates.

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Spot vs Period - MR

Wkly Spot Avg 1 Year 3 Years

Galbraith's Assessment Basis 2016 Sentiment

CLEAN M R 25-Aug Wkly Chg 25-Aug Wkly Chg WS/LS US$/day

37kt Gal - Amsterdam - New York 80.0 -5 $4,581 -987 Slow 109.1 $11,816

38kt Gal - Punta Cardon - New York 90.0 0 $6,920 -183 Slow 120.6 $15,193

30kt Gal - Augusta - Lavera 112.5 0 $4,108 +102 Flat 140.1 $10,699

35kt Gal - Mina Al Ahmadi - Dar-Es-Salaam 130.0 -15 $9,266 -2,061 Steady 145.1 $12,961

40kt Gal - Ras Tanura - Rotterdam ($LS) 1.2 -0 $7,872 -851 To test 1.1 $7,939

30kt Gal - Singapore - Chiba 117.7 +1 $5,678 +262 Steady 130.3 $8,627

US$/day (14knts) Average YTDWS/LS

B.Sea / Med

2.9%

Baltic / UKCont

3.9%

Caribs / USAC

1.1%

China / Singapore

3.4%India / Japan

2.0%Cross Med

7.6%

Cross MEG5.0%

MEG / E.Africa

2.0%

UKCont / USG

5.4%UKCont / Waf

2.5%

USG / Caribs

7.9%

USG / S.America

4.9%

USG / UKCont

4.0%

Singapore Loadings

5.6%

S.Korea Loadings

5.4%

Other Total36.5%

Percentage of MR Fixtures in 2016

Baltic / UKCont

25.9%

Cross UKCont

4.8%

B.Sea / Med

10.1%Cross Med

16.4%

Other Total42.9%

Percentage of Clean Handy Fixtures in 2016

M R F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 %

B.Sea / M ed 5 126 3%

Baltic / UKCont 0 166 4%

Caribs / USAC 0 47 1%

China / Singapore 0 145 3%

India / Japan 1 87 2%

Cross M ed 11 325 8%

Cross M EG 10 215 5%

M EG / E.Africa 2 85 2%

UKCont / USG 9 233 5%

UKCont / Waf 4 106 2%

USG / Caribs 4 341 8%

USG / S.America 0 211 5%

USG / UKCont 2 170 4%

Singapore Loadings 8 241 6%

S.Korea Loadings 10 232 5%

Other Total 29 1570 37%

T o tal N o . o f F ixtures 95 4300

H andy F ixtures this week 25-A ug YT D 2016 %

Baltic / UKCont 0 49 26%

Cross UKCont 0 9 5%

B.Sea / M ed 0 19 10%

Cross M ed 0 31 16%

Other Total 1 81 43%

T o tal N o . o f F ixtures 1 189

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9

DPP:

Handies UKCont – The tonnage list has thinned as the week has progressed and with this it has brought a firming in both sentiment and rates. Good activity has been reported and as we approach the end of the week Owners will be looking to hold up last done and try to push things further. Med – The market in the Med this week has shown good levels of activity with the diminishing tonnage list leading to spikes in fixing levels. As the week has progressed we have seen fixing levels climb and with some prompt cargoes left to fix we could envisage things continuing in the same manner. As the week comes to a close and with strong activity still, Owners are looking to push rates as hard as they can. MR’s UKCont - MR’s in the North have seemingly ticked over this week with the number of ships reflecting the limited amount of enquiry. Tonnage on the Handies has thinned and with rates firming off the back of this we may see MR’s picking up smaller stems in order to get moving. Med – This week in the Med the MR’s have been able to find enough cover in order to keep fixing levels relatively steady, however with large spikes in rates on the Handies and a shortage of tonnage we have seen the larger ships taking out Handy cargoes. As we approach the weekend we anticipate MR rates to remain steady however if Handy activity continues we could well see the tonnage list decrease due to smaller size cargoes. Panamax UKCont – After last week and with a thinned tonnage list Owners were hop-ing that rates had the potential to firm however slightly less than expected was reported which was then repeated several times. As the week has pro-gressed and with most of the cargoes covered, rates have remained at the set market level. However, with the tonnage list now further thinned and very little options available in the Med, we could well see some resistance from Owners. Med – The Med started the week following much the same course as the North, however with limited positions available it was not long before rates began to climb. Last done levels have been recorded at much higher than the previous fixture before and Owners will be looking to hold them. The natural tonnage is very limited and so ballasters are the only real option if cargoes need to be covered.

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11

Avg

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Avg

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13

Ja

n-1

4

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r-1

4

Ap

r-1

4

Ma

y-1

4

Ju

n-1

4

Ju

l-1

4

Au

g-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Oct-

14

Nov-1

4

Dec-1

4

Ja

n-1

5

Fe

b-1

5

Ma

r-1

5

Ap

r-1

5

Ma

y-1

5

Ju

n-1

5

Ju

l-1

5

Au

g-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Oct-

15

Nov-1

5

Dec-1

5

Ja

n-1

6

Fe

b-1

6

Ma

r-1

6

Ap

r-1

6

Ma

y-1

6

Ju

n-1

6

Ju

l-1

6

Au

g-1

6

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$ / t

on

Vo

lum

e -

Me

tric

To

ns

Arbitrage - Volume vs $/Ton Rate

Volume (FO West-East) VLCC - Rate $/Ton SUEZ - Rate $/Ton AFRA - Rate $/Ton

PricesAvg Mth to

Date

Avg Prev

Mth

25-Aug-16 18-Aug-16 Change Aug-16 Jul-16

Houston

MGO 465.00 460.00 5.00 431.71 453.50

IFO 180 375.00 375.00 0.00 375.26 368.67

IFO 380 240.00 231.00 9.00 218.68 223.67

Rotterdam

MGO 421.50 419.00 2.50 389.89 396.24

IFO 180 264.00 270.00 -6.00 251.21 254.48

IFO 380 239.00 245.00 -6.00 226.21 229.48

Fujairah

MGO 510.00 520.00 -10.00 510.34 510.31

IFO 180 281.00 305.00 -24.00 290.26 286.43

IFO 380 253.00 260.00 -7.00 239.89 247.95

Singapore

MGO 422.00 431.00 -9.00 400.58 417.64

IFO 180 266.00 272.00 -6.00 248.79 253.29

IFO 380 253.00 259.00 -6.00 236.00 240.33

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Spot vs Period - Aframax

1 Year 3 Years 80,000t Cross Mediterranean 80,000t Cross North Sea

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Spot vs Period - Panamax

1 Year 3 Years Med to TA

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Spot vs Period - MR

1 Year 3 Years 30,000t Cross Mediterranean 25,000t UKC to UKC

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Spot vs Period - Handy

1 Year 3 Years Cross UK Cont Bsea to Med

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10

DRY CARGO MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

Handysize-Handymax-Supramax

For freight it has been another positive week. The Supras continue to widen the gap over Handies in most sectors. Once again de-mand was reasonable, with good volumes of coal ex-Indonesia, mostly in China. Mineral demand, although still unspectacular, is ticking over nicely, particularly when compared with 6 months ago and even has a better feel than last year’s Summer bounce (which was solely grain based). Fertilizers and cement clinker for example are further to the fore recently. There is more buyability at today's C&F prices. Cement clinker into Africa has been building up again to existing factories but also in addition to a number of new plants opening up this year . Some European based traders and shippers have returned from Holidays, and thus will boost enquiry in this sector over next 10 days. As tonnage supply becomes a little more stretched we should expect a steady improvement into September both in Atlantic and the East. However any slowdown in grain demand in the third quar-ter will seriously test the market.

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Baltic Timecharter Earnings

Cape Panamax Supramax Handy

Source: Baltic Exchange

Capesize Market Indices Mth TD YTD

24-Aug Wk C hg Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 2016

C2 Tub/Rott 4.13 0.02 4.35 4.63 4.06 3.83

C3 Tub/Qingdao 9.30 0.04 9.10 9.17 9.07 7.55

C4 R'Bay/Rott 3.70 0.12 3.84 3.89 3.55 3.26

C5 W Aus/Qingdao 4.51 0.04 4.55 4.38 4.27 3.76

C7 Bol/Rott 4.80 -0.83 9.23 10.05 4.52 4.49

C15 R'Bay/Fangcheng 6.18 -0.52 12.84 13.49 5.91 5.20

C8_14 TARV 4,945 715 5,990 6,011 4,323 4,993

C9_14 Trip out 12,309 23 12,570 13,709 11,972 11,305

C10_14 NOPAC 7,125 225 7,303 6,866 6,046 4,806

C14 China/Brazil RV 7,359 4 7,030 7,346 6,758 5,389

C16 Revised backhaul 514 61 678 780 272 -837

Panamax Market Indices Mth TD YTD

24-Aug Wk C hg Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 2016

P1A TARV 5,736 -209 4,622 6,978 5,517 4,555

P2A Trip Out 10,450 -288 8,651 11,048 10,098 8,312

P3A NOPAC 5,402 -100 4,199 6,247 5,341 4,306

P4 Trip Back 1,015 -30 594 1,090 993 623

P5 S China/Indo RV 5,442 -180 3,941 5,929 5,442 4,058

Supramax Market Indices Mth TD YTD

24-Aug Wk C hg Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 2016

S1A Cont/FE 10,183 -92 8,716 10,085 10,008 8,537

S1B Med/FE 12,071 464 7,712 10,543 11,471 7,986

S2 PAC RV 6,825 467 5,156 6,431 6,440 4,725

S3 Trip Back 4,250 280 3,147 3,959 4,042 2,758

S4a USG/Skaw 10,219 1,475 7,378 7,416 6,495 5,553

S4b Skaw /USG 4,407 7 11,086 10,898 8,645 8,092

S5 WAf/ECSA/FE 7,058 519 3,671 3,935 4,344 3,014

S9 WAf/ECSA/Skaw 4,325 458 5,038 5,156 4,112 4,137

Handysize/max Market Indices Mth TD YTD

24-Aug Wk C hg Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 2016

HS1 Skaw /Rio 6,290 630 3,417 3,534 5,289 3,516

HS2 Skaw /Boston 6,300 546 3,855 3,872 5,485 3,883

HS3 Rio/Skaw 5,792 -166 6,067 6,826 6,112 5,980

HS4 USG/Skaw 6,436 -278 7,419 7,915 6,942 6,016

HS5 SEAsia/Aus/Jap 5,543 379 3,950 4,759 5,215 3,602

HS6 NOPAC RV 6,482 361 4,899 5,785 6,121 4,525

Source: Baltic Exchange

Avg. No. of vessels waiting at port

25-Aug Wk C hg May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16

Brazil 27 -5 32 29 30 21

China 52 -2 44 42 46 36

Australia 99 -3 76 80 81 88

South Africa 4 -1 8 8 8 4

Indonesia 23 -6 22 24 31 20

India 23 -16 16 18 24 21

Total 228 -33 197 201 219 190

Source: G Ports

Averages

Averages

Averages

Averages

Averages

Dry Market Indices Mth TD YTD

24-A ug C hange Jun-16 Jul-16 A ug-16 2016

BDI 706 21 608 707 663 533

BCI 910 25 938 952 828 634

BPI 706 -20 565 793 686 556

BSI 706 40 571 672 663 509

BHSI 425 20 330 368 402 306

Source: Baltic Exchange

Averages

0

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Supramax Timecharter Earnings

S1A - Cont/FE

S1B - Med/FE

S2 - Pac RV

S3 - Trip Back

S4A - USG/Skaw

S4B - Skaw/USG

S5 - Waf/ECSA/FE

S9 - Waf/ECSA/Skaw

Source: Baltic Exchange

0

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da

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Handysize Timecharter Earnings

HS1 Skaw/Rio

HS2 Skaw/Boston

HS3 Rio/Skaw

HS4 USG/Skaw

HS5 SEAsia/Aus/Jap

HS6 NoPac RV

Source: Baltic Exchange

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S&P MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

this year for about US$ 11.300 million. Further fresh Capes come for sale. Buyers are invited to Shanghai at the begin-ning of September to inspect the 2011 Sungdong built M/V “Hanjin Matsuyama” (about 179,166 dwt) now for sale from Japanese Owners, and another sister vessel, but Nisshin controlled, could also be developed. The M/V “Gran Trad-er” (about 180,000 dwt, built 2012 Sungdong) is also promptly in China. When Rio was bidding for the Olympic games, a Greek Owner was buying a six year old Capesize, coincidentally, also called M/V “Gran Trader”. In November 2007 she was sold for US$ 150 million. Neither that Buyer, nor the Rio Olympic Committee could have imagined in their worst dreams what was about to unfold. Offers were invited this week for the 2008 Imabari built Pan-amax M/V “Toro Orient” (about 76,600 dwt) though Owners have taken the unusual step of inviting offers based upon an independent inspection report only. By all accounts the class records read well, but Buyers tend to prefer sending their own representative to inspect, so it will be interesting to see how the price compares to the same aged sister ves-sel M/V “Atlas Island” sold earlier this month for about US$ 9.600 million. At the time of writing, we understand a little above US$ 9 million has been received. Bear in mind that “Toro Orient” is SS passed this year, whereas “Atlas Island” was sold with surveys due and an outstanding recommen-dation in place. One would thus have expected a price in the high 9’s at least.

In the niche sector that is the post Panamax market, we understand European Buyers have purchased M/V “Oriental Angel” (about 95,711 dwt, built 2013 Imabari) for about US$ 16 million. No further offers are now encouraged for the 2 x Setaf con-trolled Ultramaxs M/V “JS Loire” and M/V “JS Rhin” (both about 63,500 dwt, built 2012 Dayang). We believe a price in the high US$ 12 million each has been agreed. Still for sale is the very prompt delivery M/V “Divine Seas” (built Da-yang), and she is inviting inspections and offers at the ship-

Bulkers We send our congratulations and appreciation to Rio de Janeiro for putting on an excellent Olympic games and we wish Tokyo every success for the next four years of planning and construc-tion.

In September 2007, when Rio submitted its bid to become the host nation, their economy, like the shipping market, was in a substantially healthier state than today. They subsequently had to adjust ambitions and deliver the games on a vastly reduced budget and in a dramatically subdued environment. Shipowners will sympathise, they too submitted bids in 2007 to build and to buy vessels which were eventually delivered in the midst of a shipping depression which has outlasted all those previous.

Our friends in Brazil will relate easiest to the travails of the Capesize market, and this sector in particular has trawled the depths over the past eight years. Values today remain under pressure and we are faced today with seven year old Capes fetching below US$ 19 million. At the second time of asking, it is reported that the Chang Myung controlled sister Capes M/V “C. Blossom” and M/V “C. Atlas” (both about 179,000 dwt, built 2009 HHI) have been committed to Korean Buyers for a price in region US$ 18.800 million each. The vessels came for sale in June, the “C. Blossom” was committed in July for a little above US$ 20 million but the deal failed and now the two sis-ters have been sold enbloc.

Other Korean Buyers, possibly clients of Sinokor, are under-stood to have purchased two Capes from clients of Stealth Mar-itime. The 2006 Namura built M/V “Monegasque Eclat” (about 177,000 dwt) and the 2008 Daehan built M/V “Tigerlily” (about 169,000 dwt) are believed sold in region US$ 14.500 million each. Our records show that “Tigerlily” was purchased in March

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NB Asset Prices - Dry

Cape NB

Panamax NB

Handymax-Supra NB

Handy NB

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5yr Asset Prices - Dry

Cape 5 yr

Panamax 5yr

Handymax-Supra 5yr

Handy 5yr

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NB Asset Prices - Wet

VLCC NB Suez NB Afra NB LR1 NB MR NB

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5yr Old Asset Prices - Wet

VLCC 5yr Suez 5yr Afra 5yr LR1 5yr MR 5yr

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yard. The vessel is BWTS fitted. Chinese interest in early 2000’s built Panamaxs and Supras remains firm, and in ad-dition to a number of vessels under inspection, we under-stand the 2001 Mitsui built M/V “Nemtas-1” (about 50,077 dwt) has been purchased for about US$ 4.500 million. In the Handy sector, the Imabari 28k M/V “Daisy K” (built 2012) is in firm negotiations at an undisclosed price. Back in June, Greek Buyers purchased the 2011 built M/V “Bright Life” for about US$ 7.500 million so it will be interesting to see how prices have moved, if at all, in the past few months. The 2009 Imabari 28k M/V “Aroma” is also reported sold, with a price close to US$ 6.800 million. Tankers The tanker market appears to be gaining some momentum. With autumn and the winter market beckoning there are signs that Owners are garnering more confidence than they have for the past couple of months, whether that be confi-dence in a return of decent freight rates, or confidence in second hand pricing which appears to have now reached a point where ships are attracting attention. As an example, the 2008 Shin Kurushima built M/T “Orient Sunshine” (about 46,000 dwt) is reportedly having a mini-mum of 4 parties inspect in Korea, something we would not have seen 2-3 weeks ago. Japanese Sellers of tankers are having to grapple with the double impact of falling prices and one dollar only yielding 100 yen. The combination of the two resulted in the plug being pulled on the proposed sale of the Aframax M/T “River Eternity” (about 105,000 dwt, built 2005 Sumitomo). Offers were invited last week, but the gap between prices obtained and Owners evaluation proved insurmountable. We believe prices slightly above US$ 20 million were the best received. One year ago such a vessel would have achieved slightly above US$ 30 million! Undeterred, fellow Japanese have placed for sale today their M/T “Lion City River” (about 105,000 dwt, built 2007 Namura) and will invite inspections early September. It will be interesting to see if these Owners are more prepared to face the current levels. This vessel was rumoured sold in a private deal to Greeks just over one year ago. Clearly the deal did not materialise, to the relief of the Buyer and the chagrin of the Seller. Reportedly sold, with Buyers subjects lifted, are 2 x ice class 1C 115,000 dwt Aframaxes under construction at Daehan and scheduled for delivery in April and May, 2017. A price in region US$ 46 million is understood to have been paid by clients of Enesel. We presume the issue of refund guarantees has been overcome, and this had previously proven an obstacle in the resale of these vessels. We feel tempted to give you an undertaking never to report again the sale of the Parakou MR’s unless the vessels names have changed and we can see evidence that they are under new management. Reports suggest that the Own-ers have again committed their MR’s M/T “St. Marien” and M/T “St. Johannis” (both about 51,218 dwt, built 2007 STX). Again Korean Buyers are understood to have been successful, possibly paying in region US$ 18 million each with a 5 year tc back in region US$ 14,500 / day. When the vessels came for sale at the turn of the year, the Owners ideas were US$ 24 million each, and they were first reported sold in February for about US$ 22 million each. Six months has been a long time in the tanker market. Many reports are suggesting that Samsung Ningbo Shipyard

have resold 2 x cancelled MR contracts to a Korean investment fund for about US$ 30.500 million, and the Buyers have fixed the vessels away on period charter for about 7 years in region US$ 15,000 / day to clients of Parakou. To our understanding, no such contracts have been cancelled and that these reports are without foundation. Finally, our close Charterers TRANSPETRO are again in the market for 8 – 10 years Bareboat on MR tankers, with vessels 15 years max at the end of the charter (i.e 2011 built onwards, try 2010). The timeline of deadlines is as follows and we would be pleased to hear your interest: 1st stage – Company registration 2nd stage – Comments to the CP by 30th August 3rd stage – Charter party agreed 5th September 4th stage – Offers in by 1st September (valid through to the 7th October) Full details and guidance here. Newbuilding Market: COSCO Shipping’s subsidiary, clients of Cosco Southern As-phalt Shipping have ordered 4 x 7,500 dwt asphalt carriers from Chengxi Shipyard. The company said that the new ships would enhance to service in short-range routes to Singapore, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Thailand and China. Jangsu Hantong Shipyard held a steel cutting ceremony for a 38,000 dwt stainless steel chemical tanker being built for its compatriot shipping company clients of Sinochem Shipping. The company has nine chemical tankers currently under con-struction, seven of which are being built by Hantong, all new-buildings are scheduled to join the company’s fleet in 2016 and 2017. Reports suggest that a further three contracts have been can-celled at Yangzijiang Shipbuilding. The orders that were can-celled were for one 10,000 TEU containership, and two bulk carriers respectively with a capacity of 82,000 dwt and 64,000 dwt. Demolition: The higher volumes of tonnage that we have witnessed being sold appear to have come to an end with end users seemingly refusing to budge on their pricing. The intermediaries who have paid up some encouraging prices for tonnage in the expecta-tion of a price lift, which in fairness we have seen to a degree in Bangladesh, are now in a struggle to find buying support and will need to budget for losses. This is not helped by a slow-down in appetite in Pakistan where there is momentum building that budgetary pressures sanctioned recently will come into effect. In general, market perception is lower with many pre-dicting that the traditional rise in unit prices that is witnessed in the final quarter is unlikely to happen if the expected growth in supply of containerships and bulkcarriers is realised. For the time being Sellers appear to be able to find better prices from Chittagong where the Bangladeshi Buyers have needed to up the stakes to convince owners to sell. Bulker – M/V “Richmond” – built 1996 – 9,200 ldt – US$ 275 per ldt to Bangladesh Bulker M/V Bussara Naree” – built 1997 – 4,445 ldt – US$ 265 per ldt to Bangaldesh Container – M/V “Box Hongkong” – built 1995 – 24,061 ldt – US$ 283 per ldt basis ‘as-is’ Singapore Container – M/V Box China” – built 1996 – 24,073 ldt – US$ 283 per ldt basis ‘as-is’ Singapore Container – M/V Seaspan Efficiency” – built 2003 – 21,501 ldt – US$ 276 per ldt basis ‘as-is’ Singapore Container M/V Seaspan Excellence” – built 2003 – 24,384 ldt – US$280 per ldt basis ‘as-is’ Hong Kong

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Reportedly committed to Chinese Buyers for US$ 4.500 million M/V "AROMA" ABOUT 28,509 M DWT ON 9.82 M DFT LOA: 169.37 M BLT 09/2009 I-S SHIPYARD CO LTD (NK) 5 HOLDS 5 HATCHES 37,320 M3 GR C 4X31T MAN-B&W 6S42MC 7954 BHP Reportedly sold to undisclosed Buyers for US$ 6.800 mil-lion Tankers M/T "ST. MARIEN" ABOUT 51,218 M DWT ON 13.15 M DFT LOA: 183.06 M BLT 03/2007 STX SHIPBUILDING CO LTD (NV) ABOUT 52,048 CBM – DH – COATED / COILED – IMO III MAN-B&W 6S50MC-C 11665 BHP M/T "ST. JOHANNIS" ABOUT 51,218 M DWT ON 13.15 M DFT LOA: 183.06 M BLT 02/2007 STX SHIPBUILDING CO LTD (NV) ABOUT 52,047 CBM – DH – COATED / COILED – IMO III MAN-B&W 6S50MC-C 12900 BHP Reportedly sold enbloc to Korean Buyers for US$ 18 mil-lion each with 5 years TC back at region US$ 14,500 / day M/T "NORD THUMBELINA" ABOUT 38,461 M DWT ON 11.62 M DFT LOA: 182.86 M BLT 09/2006 GUANGZHOU SHIPYARD INTERNATIONAL CO LTD (LR) ABOUT 37,963 CBM – DH – COATED / COILED – IMO II MAN-B&W 6S50MC-C 12889 BHP Reportedly sold on private terms (ALL DETAILS ARE ABOUT AND BELIEVED CORRECT BUT NOT GUARANTEED)

Representative Sales Bulkcarriers M/V "C. BLOSSOM" ABOUT 179,185 M DWT ON 18.22 M DFT LOA: 292.00 M BLT 11/2009 HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES CO LTD (KR) 9 HOLDS 9 HATCHES 199,500 M3 GR MAN-B&W 6S70MC-C 25370 BHP M/V "C. ATLAS" ABOUT 179,185 M DWT ON 18.19 M DFT LOA: 292.00 M BLT 09/2009 HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES CO LTD (KR) 9 HOLDS 9 HATCHES 199,500 M3 GR MAN-B&W 6S70MC-C 25370 BHP Reportedly sold enbloc to Korean Buyers for US$ 18.800 million each M/V "MONEGASQUE ECLAT" ABOUT 176,955 M DWT ON 17.95 M DFT LOA: 288.97 M BLT 07/2006 NAMURA SHIPBUILDING CO LTD (BV) 9 HOLDS 9 HATCHES 198,809 M3 GR MAN-B&W 6S70MC 22923 M/V "TIGERLILY" ABOUT 169,237 M DWT ON 17.82 M DFT LOA: 290.50 M BLT 11/2008 DAEHAN SHIPBUILDING CO LTD - HWAWON (HAENAM SHIPYA (KR) 9 HOLDS 9 HATCHES 192,169 M3 GR MAN-B&W 6S70MC-C 25370 BHP Reportedly sold enbloc to Korean Buyers for US$ 14.500 million each M/V "ORIENTAL ANGEL" ABOUT 95,711 M DWT ON 14.47 M DFT LOA: 234.98 M BLT 08/2013 IMABARI SHIPBUILDING CO LTD (NK) 7 HOLDS 7 HATCHES 109,476 M3 GR MAN-B&W 6S60MC-C 17607 BHP Reportedly sold to European Buyers for region US$ 16 million M/V "JS RHIN" ABOUT 63,500 M DWT ON 13.30 M DFT LOA: 199.99 M BLT 10/2012 YANGZHOU DAYANG SHIPBUILDING CO LTD (BV) 5 HOLDS 5 HATCHES 77,493 M3 GR C 4X35T MAN-B&W 5S60ME-C8 11285 BHP M/V "JS LOIRE" ABOUT 63,500 M DWT ON 13.30 M DFT LOA: 199.99 M BLT 06/2012 YANGZHOU DAYANG SHIPBUILDING CO LTD (BV) 5 HOLDS 5 HATCHES 77,492 M3 GR C 4X35T MAN-B&W 5S60ME-C8 11285 BHP Reportedly sold enbloc to undisclosed Buyers for high US$ 12 million each M/V "NEMTAS-1" ABOUT 50,077 M DWT ON 11.93 M DFT LOA: 189.80 M BLT 07/2001 MITSUI ENG. & SB. CO. LTD., CHIBA WORKS - ICHIHARA (NK) 5 HOLDS 5 HATCHES 63,198 M3 GR C 4X30T B&W 6S50MC-C 10999 BHP

This report has been prepared for the sole use of the recipient only and may not be

further reproduced or transmitted to any third party without the prior written permission

of Galbraith’s Limited (Galbraith’s). The information contained in this report is compiled

from sources that Galbraith’s believe to be accurate and reliable at the date of this

report. Nothing in this report should be construed as investment, legal, tax or account-

ing advice. Galbraith’s makes no representations or warranties with respect to this

report and disclaims all liability for any use the recipient or its advisers make of the

contents of this report.

Galbraith’s Ltd

Bridgegate House

124-126 Borough High Street

London SE1 1BL UK

Telephone: +44 (0)20 7378 6363 www.galbraiths.co.uk

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23rd July - 4th August 2017

GALBRAITH’S SHIPPING COURSE

Course content Once again the opportunity exists for a limited number of delegates to gain invaluable shipping knowledge from our experienced course direc-tors and lecturers. If you are involved in Ship-owning, Shipbroking, Marine Insurance, the Legal profession, Marine Finance and Account-ancy this course will be invaluable for you. You will find a great deal of practical information in the course, much of which would take years to acquire through day-to-day experience. This additional knowledge will not only improve the enjoyment of your daily work but also increase your personal value in the shipping community, whilst providing the delegates with a better ap-preciation of the workings of the many different global companies sending delegates to attend the course. The Course will include: Tanker Chartering Market Sale and Purchase Dry Cargo Chartering Market Forecasting Maritime Law and Arbitration The Voyage Laytime P&I and Marine Insurance International Trade Ship Finance Crisis Management Maritime Fraud Discussions and Debates Practical Workshops The Course Directors The Course Directors have many years experi-ence in shipping and education at a senior level. They will remain with you at Ashridge through-out the course to ensure continuity and to give guidance and assistance with any problems or queries you may have.

Please note that places are limited and early submission of applications is highly recommended. An initial deposit of 30% will be required to reserve a place on the course and will only be refundable if written notice is received more than 60 days before the start of the course. If notice is not given the deposit will be forfeited. Payment of the remaining 70% of the fee must be received 30 days before the start of the course. Late applications will only be considered in exceptional circumstances.

Your reply and point of contact is Jane Percival Shipping Course Administrator Galbraith’s Ltd, Bridgegate House 124-126 Borough High Street London SE1 1BL United Kingdom Tel +44 (0)20 7378 6363 Fax +44 (0)20 7959 1087 Email [email protected] Closing date for receipt of application forms is the 1st July.

The Lecturers Lecturers on the Galbraith’s course are care-fully selected, many are well known industry figures known for their knowledge and exper-tise. All have in-depth specialist knowledge of their subject and will be available to an-swer any questions you may have. Workshops In addition to straightforward lectures the course will feature several workshops and forums allowing delegates to contribute their knowledge and experience. This aspect of the course also allows delegates to develop their wider skills in presenting and debating. Where you will stay Ashridge is situated 35 mins by train from London in beautiful, wooded grounds outside of the town of Berkhamsted. The college is housed in a stunning neo gothic stately home built between 1808 and 1814. You will be accommodated in an individual en-suite bedroom with TV, telephone, modem and Wi-Fi network. Leisure periods are programmed each day so that you can take full advantage of the superb leisure facilities including ten-nis, squash, golf, swimming and the fitness centre. For more details of the college please visit their website: www.ashridge.org.uk Fees and applications: The Course fee includes all tuition, documentation, meals, accommodation and use of recreational facil-ities at Ashridge. An invoice will be issued within 5 working days of the receipt of a duly completed application form.


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