Barometer of Public Opinion Ma y 201 1

©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011

30 mai, 2011

Barometer of Public Barometer of Public OpinionOpinion

MaMayy 20120111


30 mai, 2011

Information about the Poll

• The poll was conducted on-site by CIVIS Centre for Sociological, Political and Psychological Analysis and Investigations

• Amount of the national sample: 1152 people aged 18 or more; additional sample in Chișinău municipality – 397 people; the total amount of the sample in Chișinău municipality - 662 people

• Representativeness: the national sample is representative for the adult population of the Republic of Moldova, with a maximal error of +3.0%; The sample for Chişinău municipality is representative for the adult population of Chişinău municipality, with a maximal error of ± 4%.

• Period of data gathering: May, 6 – 24, 2011. The interviews were conducted at the respondents’ place.

• The analysis of the sample structure obtained on-site revealed the concordance between the distribution of the population according to the available statistical data and those obtained, with the admissible statistical deviation. A significant difference was remarked within the structure women/men, women being over-represented, and within age groups, young people and adults aged 18-44 being under-represented

• The presented results are balanced. The difference between balanced and non-balanced results does not overpass 1,9% with regard to any question.


30 mai, 2011

Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction?

19%

65%

13%

3%

24%

65%

8%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

The direction is right

The direction is wrong

DK

NA

National Chisinau mun.


30 mai, 2011

Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction?

22%16%

5%8%

21%

39%37%36%33%31%29%

44%

29%33%

36%

28%32%

26%28%29% 29%22%25%

19%

52%

66%

82%79%

48%53%

46%53%55%

49%56%

41%

56%52%53%

59%56%

60%

51%55%

64%60%

65%

17%

59%

67%

0%

90%

Feb.98

Aug'0

0

Nov'01

Nov'02

3-Nov

Nov '0

4

Dec-0

5

6-Nov

7-Nov

Oct-0

89-

Jul

10-M

ay

11-M

ay

The direction is right The direction is wrong


30 mai, 20115

To what extent are you, in general, content with your living?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Very content

Rathercontent

Neither content,

nor discontent

Not so content

Discontent DK/NA

1%

20%

33%

25%

17%

4%2%

20%

40%

25%

10%

3%

National Chisinau


30 mai, 20116

Assess the present income of your family

34%

40%

19%

4%

1%

2%

18%

46%

27%

7%

0%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

It is not enough at least for for the essential

It is enough just for the essential

It is enough for a decent living, but we cannot afford buying

any expensive things

We succeed to buy some expensive things, after cutting spending in other areas

We have everything weneed, with no restrictions

DK/NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 2011

Assess the present income of your family

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Mar

. 98

Aug. 0

0

J an.

01

Nov

. 01

Apr. '0

2

Nov

. 02

3-May

Nov

. 03

4-May

Nov

. 04

Feb-

05

Dec-0

5

Apr-06

6-Nov

7-May

Nov

-07

Apr-08

Oct

.08

Mar

.099-

J ul

Dec.0

9

May

.10

Nov

.10

11-M

ay

It is not enough at least for the essential

It is enough just for the essential

It is enough for a decent living, but we cannot afford buying any expensive things

We succeed to buy some expensive things, after cutting spending in other areas

We have everything we need, with no restrictions


30 mai, 20118

Which of the following statements describes the best the situation of your family?

2%

1%

2%

13%

69%

4%

9%

3%

1%

5%

16%

65%

3%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

We have savings which we intend to invest

We have savings, but we do not know where toinvest them

We have savings, but we fear to invest them

We have savings, but we keep them for bad days

We do not have financial resources to be invested

We do not have savings, because we have-already invested them

DK/NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 20119

How often do you. …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Read newspapers

Listen to the radio

Watch TV

Read books

Use Internet

9%

48%

85%

9%

28%

22%

19%

9%

10%

9%

19%

9%

1%

12%

3%

11%

4%

1%

12%

2%

34%

17%

3%

51%

47%

5%

3%

1%

6%

11%

Daily (6-7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month

Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA


30 mai, 201110

How often do you …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Read newspapers

Listen to the radio

Watch TV

Read books

Use Internet

14%

43%

85%

15%

54%

22%

18%

9%

17%

9%

19%

9%

1%

15%

3%

11%

5%

1%

15%

2%

33%

23%

4%

36%

28%

1%

2%

0%

2%

4%

Daily (6 -7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month

Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA


30 mai, 201111

Which is the most important source of information for you? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)

71%

2%

8%

4%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

12%

1%

0%

16%

14%

26%

7%

12%

2%

2%

0%

1%

15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Television

Newspapers

Radio

Family

Friends, neighbours

Job mates

Rumours

Public opinion polls

Local government

Internet

I am not informed at all

DK/NA

First Second


30 mai, 201112

Which is the most important source of information for you? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)

65%

3%

5%

3%

1%

0%

0%

23%

0%

18%

12%

20%

7%

10%

4%

1%

0%

1%

24%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Television

Newspapers

Radio

Family

Friends, neighbours

Job mates

Rumours


Local government

Internet


DK/NA

First Second


30 mai, 201113

Which source of information do you trust in the most?

58%

3%

8%

5%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

13%

5%

0%

3%

2%

52%

3%

4%

5%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

24%

4%

2%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Television

Newspapers

Radio

Family

Friends, neighbours

Job mates

Rumours


Local government

Internet

None


DK

NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201114

Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)

* Basis: 998 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information


1%

1%

6%

29%

1%

11%

23%

12%

3%

1%

2%

1%

9%

1%

1%

5%

17%

1%

10%

26%

12%

5%

2%

5%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

2 Plus

Eu TV

Jurnal TV

Moldova 1

N4

NIT

Prime TV

PRO TV

Publika TV

STS (CTC)

TV7 (NTV)

Other TV channel

DK/NA

First Second


30 mai, 201115

Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)


1%

1%

9%

13%

4%

17%

12%

27%

5%

1%

2%

1%

7%

1%

1%

12%

13%

4%

10%

17%

16%

8%

2%

6%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

2 Plus

Eu TV

Jurnal TV

Moldova 1

N4

NIT

Prime TV

PRO TV

Publika TV

STS (CTC)

TV7 (NTV)

Other TV channel

DK/NA

First Second


30 mai, 201116

How often do you travel to EU countries?

1%

1%

3%

3%

9%

83%

1%

2%

4%

7%

14%

72%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Monthly or oftener

Once in 2 -3 months

Once in half a year

Once a year

More seldom than once a year

Never

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201117

Would you travel oftener to the EU, if there was no visa requirement?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Yes, for sure Yes, probably No, probably No, for sure

34%

26%

15%

25%

50%

24%

14%12%

National Chisinau


30 mai, 201118

Which would be the goal of your travel to EU countries? Multiple response

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Tourism/leisure Businesstravel

Visit torelatives

Labour Other

68%

23%

42%

64%

2%

84%

33%

50%

57%

3%

National Chisinau


30 mai, 201119

Which is the probability for you to go to work to the EU in the coming 12 months?

56%

20%

10%

9%

3%

2%

53%

21%

10%

11%

4%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Improbable

Little probable

Neither probable, nor improbable

Rather probable

Very probable

DK/NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201120

Which is the probability for you to go TO WORK to the EU in the coming 12 months, if there was no visa requirement

for travelling to the EU?

44%

18%

9%

18%

9%

2%

42%

18%

9%

18%

11%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Improbable

Little probable

Neither probable, nor improbable

Rather probable

Very probable

DK/NANational

Chisinau


30 mai, 201121

If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to the European Union is held next Sunday, would

you vote for or against it?

I would vote for

I would vote against it

I would not vote

I have not decided yet

NA

64%

-15%

3%

16%

2%

66%

-12%

3%

17%

2%

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201122

If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to NATO is held next Sunday, would you vote for or against

it?

I would vote for

I would vote against it

I would not take part in it

I have not decided yet

NA

17%

-45%

5%

26%

7%

25%

-48%

6%

16%

5%

-60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201123

To what extent are you concerned about politics?

12%

22%

28%

25%

12%

1%

17%

22%

33%

17%

10%

1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Very much

Much

Neither much, nor little

Little

No concern

DK/NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201124

What is your attitude towards the involvement of business people in politics?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Positive Negative Neutral /Indifferent DK/NA

22%

40%

25%

13%

22%

46%

24%

8%

National Chisinau


30 mai, 201125

As a result of the involvement of business people in politics, the corruption …?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Will decrease Will not change Will increase DK/NA

8%

20%

43%

29%

5%

27%

52%

16%

National Chisinau


30 mai, 201126

To what extent do you trust in …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)

Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses

No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust

-33%

-34%

-29%

-32%

-22%

-9%

-29%

-35%

-28%

-28%

-21%

-21%

-22%

-41%

-42%

-39%

-36%

-19%

-6%

-21%

-42%

-28%

-33%

-12%

-23%

-30%

19%

17%

17%

22%

39%

34%

37%

16%

28%

29%

51%

23%

16%

4%

2%

3%

2%

11%

48%

10%

1%

5%

5%

12%

3%

2%

-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90%

Government

Parliament

President

Courts

Army

Church

Local government

Political parties

Banks

Police

Media

NGO-s

Trade unions


30 mai, 201127

To what extent do you trust in …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)

Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses

No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust

-33%

-35%

-30%

-33%

-26%

-12%

-29%

-37%

-28%

-30%

-26%

-27%

-26%

-42%

-44%

-44%

-42%

-24%

-11%

-27%

-45%

-33%

-43%

-14%

-30%

-36%

20%

16%

13%

18%

33%

34%

31%

14%

27%

21%

47%

22%

16%

3%

2%

3%

1%

8%

40%

10%

1%

6%

4%

12%

4%

3%

-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70%

Government

Parliament

President

Courts

Army

Church

Local government

Political parties

Banks

Police

Media

NGO-s

Trade unions


30 mai, 2011

To what extent do you trust in …? (Some trust +Very much trust)

0% 10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Church

Media

Army

Local government

Police

Banks

NGO-s

Courts

Government

President

Parliament

Trade unions

Political parties

Chisinau mun.National


30 mai, 201129

Which is the political personality in the Republic of Moldova you trust in the most? (open-ended question)

14%

13%

10%

6%

5%

4%

1%

4%

24%

12%

11%

6%

14%

6%

8%

1%

3%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Vlad Filat

Vladimir Voronin

Marian Lupu

Dorin Chirtoacă

Mihai Ghimpu

Igor Dodon

Buliga Valentina

Other personality

No trust in anybody

Chisinau mun.

National


30 mai, 201130

To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)

I have not heard about

Difference up to 100% represents NA

Not so much trustNo trust Some trust / Very much trust

-21%

-25%

-23%

-23%

-26%

-25%

-21%

-13%

-15%

-16%

-15%

-32%

-49%

-32%

-46%

-32%

-32%

-42%

-34%

-37%

-38%

-44%

-3%

-9%

-1%

-1%

-1%

-19%

-20%

-42%

-33%

-10%

-1%

23%

6%

25%

14%

25%

13%

7%

3%

5%

18%

20%

10%

1%

12%

8%

9%

3%

1%

0%

1%

9%

13%

-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70%

Dorin Chirtoacă

Dumitru Diacov

Vlad Filat

Mihai Ghimpu

Marian Lupu

Buliga Valentina

Vladimir Plahotniuc

Victor Şelin

Victor Bodiu

Igor Dodon

Vladimir Voronin


30 mai, 201131

To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)

I have not heard about

Difference up to 100% represents NA responses

Not so much trustNo trust Some trust/ Very much trust

-20%

-26%

-23%

-22%

-31%

-28%

-23%

-15%

-21%

-17%

-14%

-27%

-57%

-32%

-41%

-39%

-45%

-56%

-48%

-49%

-42%

-54%

0%

-6%

-1%

-1%

-1%

-10%

-8%

-27%

-16%

-4%

-1%

28%

5%

30%

20%

18%

10%

5%

4%

7%

19%

14%

20%

1%

10%

11%

6%

3%

2%

0%

1%

14%

13%

-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70%

Dorin Chirtoacă

Dumitru Diacov

Vlad Filat

Mihai Ghimpu

Marian Lupu

Buliga Valentina

Vladimir Plahotniuc

Victor Şelin

Victor Bodiu

Igor Dodon

Vladimir Voronin


30 mai, 2011

To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities?(Some trust + Very much trust)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Vlad Filat

Marian Lupu

Dorin Chirtoacă

Vladimir Voronin

Igor Dodon

Mihai Ghimpu

Valentina Buliga

Vladimir Plahotniuc

Dumitru Diacov

Victor Bodiu

Victor Şelin

ChisinauNational


30 mai, 201133

Would you go to voting, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday?

I would go, I am absolutely sure

I would go, for sure

I would probably go

I would probably not go

I would not go, for sure

DK

NA

45%

25%

16%

-5%

-5%

4%

0%

59%

20%

12%

-4%

-3%

2%

-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201134

What party would you vote for, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday?

Percentage of the total sample

11%

13%

1%

27%

19%

0%

0%

0%

5%

19%

5%

7%

23%

1%

26%

20%

1%

1%

3%

12%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30%

Democratic Party

Liberal Party

People’s Christian-Democratic Party

Party of Communists

Liberal-Democratic Party

Social-Democratic Party

Other party

An independent candidate

I would not vote

DK

NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201135

Local elections will be held on the 5th of June 2011. Will you go to voting?

I would go, I am absolutely sure

I would go, for sure

I would probably go

I would probably not go

I would not go, for sure

DK/NA

53%

25%

13%

-3%

-4%

2%

66%

16%

9%

-4%

-3%

2%

-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201136

Whose political party’s candidates to the function of district councillor will you vote for?

Percentage of the total sample* Basis, national sample: 830 respondents outside Chişinău

and Bălţi municipalities

12%

9%

0%

20%

18%

1%

1%

0%

4%

28%

7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Democratic Party

Liberal Party

People’s Christian-DemocraticParty

Party of Communists



Other party

An independent candidate

I would not vote

DK

NA


30 mai, 201137

Which party/parties you would not vote for in any case at local elections of 5th of June 2011? Multiple response

10%

24%

15%

34%

14%

9%

1%

17%

18%

15%

23%

11%

43%

17%

5%

1%

11%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Democratic Party

Liberal Party

People’s Christian-Democratic Party

Party of Communists



Other party

DK

NA

National

Chisinau


30 mai, 201138

Whom will you vote for the function of General Mayor of the capital?

Percentage of the total sample

2%

0%

0%

0%

26%

0%

1%

4%

39%

0%

3%

1%

12%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Sergiu Corobceanu (Social-Democratic -Party)

Victor Bodiu (Liberal-Democratic Party)

Radu Busila (People’s Christian-Democratic Party)

Valentin Krylov (Party of Socialists)

Oleg Oniscenko (“Casa Noastra -Moldova”)

Igor Dodon (Party of Communists)

Valeriu Klimenko (“Ravnopravie” Social-political -Movement)

Vitalia Pavlicenco (National-Liberal Party)

Maia Laguta ( “Patriotii Moldovei” Party)

Valentina Buliga (Democratic Party)

Valeriu Plesca ( “Forta a treia” Electoral block)

Mihai Manoli (People’s Democratic Party)

Dorin Chirtoaca (Liberal Party)

Other candidate

I will not vote

I will not vote in Chisinau, because I do not have a legal residence

DK

NA


30 mai, 2011

Impact of participation in voting on the score: example

Dorin Chirtoacă Presence to voting

I would go to voting,

I am absolutely sure

I would go to voting,

I am sure

I would probab-ly go to voting

TOTAL 39% 66% 16% 9%

Age

18 - 29 years old 45% 64% 14% 11%

30 - 44 years old

36% 62% 17% 10%

45 - 59 years old

40% 73% 14% 7%

60 + years old 23% 67% 23% 7%

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Barometer of Public Opinion Ma y 201 1

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