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Battling Georgia’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions How can we achieve a 20% reduction by 2030? Kaitlin Allen, Nicholas Wilson 5/6/2013
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Page 1: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

Battling Georgia’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions How can we achieve a 20% reduction by 2030?

Kaitlin Allen, Nicholas Wilson

5/6/2013

Page 2: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

1

Introduction

In the interest of combatting rising global temperatures, many countries (often by

way of treaties such as the Montreal and Kyoto Protocol) have looked to reducing their

greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (European Environment Agency, 2013). GHGs are

necessary for life on Earth, but an excess (greater than 280 ppmv ofCO2, 700 ppmv of CH4,

or 275 ppmv N2O) of GHGs is problematic; if too much heat is retained by the planet, then

it can have drastic effects on the global climate (Rubin 471, 532-533). The rise in

anthropogenic global GHG emissions since the Industrial Revolution in correlation with rising

global temperatures has led many to believe humanity is responsible for global warming.

Though much disagreement exists on whether or not this is true, the science behind the

greenhouse effect cannot be denied. If GHG emissions continue to rise, then global

temperatures will follow suit. However, reducing GHG emissions in the world’s current

political and economic climate is difficult due to the controversy surrounding the matter.

Based on various data regarding emissions, energy production and consumption, and

economic growth within the United States, this report provides reasonable solutions in order

to reduce GHG emissions by 20% by the year 2030 in the state of Georgia.

What is the Greenhouse Effect?

Ozone in the stratosphere is responsible for keeping harmful solar radiation out, and

the greenhouse gases in the troposphere keep a portion of the thermal radiation leaving the

Earth from escaping to space. The solar radiation passing through the ozone layer hits the

planet’s surface and is reflected because of the albedo effect, but some of the reflected

radiation is trapped by the gases in the troposphere (Rubin 477). This phenomenon is

known as the greenhouse effect. The greenhouse effect is essential for life on Earth; without

it, the planet would be too cold for hospitable living conditions.

Any change in incoming or outgoing energy to or from the Earth can result in global

temperature change, a phenomenon known as radiative forcing (Miller, 2012). Radiative

forcing is the increase or decrease in energy on Earth and in the Earth’s atmosphere. An

increase in radiative forcing would result from an increase in energy absorbed by the Earth

or a decrease in energy escaping the Earth (Miller, 2012). With respect to the greenhouse

effect, the energy on the Earth would increase due to an increase of GHGs because the

gases would trap more energy in the Earth’s atmosphere (Miller, 2012). This would result in

positive radiative forcing, thereby warming the planet.

Adverse Effects of Human Activity on the Global Climate

Anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions have risen from 280 ppmv to almost

400 ppmv since the Industrial Revolution; consequently, global temperatures have

Page 3: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

2

increased (Rubin 471). While it is debated whether or not human activity alone is

responsible for global warming, increased anthropogenic GHG emissions have aggravated

global warming, and this aggravation can only worsen if the emissions continue to rise at

the same rate. Gases such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O)

are released during fossil fuel combustion during electricity generation or vehicle

movement. Increased output of these main GHGs from human activity has become a major

concern for global warming advocates.

Moreover, formation of ozone (O3) in the troposphere contributes to global warming

as well (Environmental Protection Agency, 2010). O3 is important for blocking much of the

incoming solar radiation before it can ever permeate the stratosphere; however, if O3 is

somehow trapped in the troposphere, it can keep thermal radiation from leaving the planet,

causing a rise in temperature.

O2 + hv O + O (eq 1)

O2 + O + M O3 + M (eq 2)

Equations 1 and 2, known as the Chapman Mechanism, demonstrate how O3 is formed in

the atmosphere. Bimolecular oxygen is split via photolysis into two oxygen atoms

(Environmental Protection Agency, 2010). One of those atoms reacts quickly with another

O2 molecule and some third body (typically N2 or O2) to produce O3 and the third body again

(Environmental Protection Agency, 2010). This mechanism can be problematic, especially if

N2O emissions increase (about 90% of the N2O in the troposphere is split by photolysis into

N2 and O), because it would create more tropospheric O3 which would aggravate global

warming (Environmental Protection Agency, 2010).

Current Energy, Electricity, and Emission Outputs

If increased GHG emissions and global warming are such an alarming cause for

concern, then why are countries such as the United States continuing to pump out GHGs?

Mainly, the energy gained from fossil fuel combustion is cheap and easily accessible, and

increased population and economic growth has also increased the energy demand. The

increased energy demand in all sectors of the economy has resulted in increased emissions;

in order to combat this emission output, this report will evaluate and consolidate the various

sources of energy input and output as well as emissions and finally recommend how to

reduce GHG emissions in the state of Georgia by twenty percent by 2030. The data will

include both Georgia and Texas as a comparison, and the two states will be put into the

context of their percentage contribution to the entire country.

Page 4: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

3

Energy Consumption per Sector

Figure 1: Residential energy consumption for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

Residential energy consumption over the past two decades has increased (Figure 1). This

increase is likely due to the population increase in both states, so decreasing the population

is probably the only solution to the residential energy increase. However, decreasing the

population is not humanely possible; slowing in the increase is a potential alternative.

Figure 2: Commercial energy consumption for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy

Information Administration, 2012).

Commercial energy consumption has also increased (Figure 2) likely because of the

population increase; a higher population results in a higher demand for goods and services.

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Page 5: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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The energy stores consume can be reduced by incentivizing them to not leave their lights on

when not in use (as many stores do).

Figure 3: Industrial energy consumption for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

As shown in Figure 3, industrial energy consumption increased in the mid-90s but gradually

decreased at the turn of the millennium. Historically, this is likely attributed to the

recession; as such, it is possible industrial energy consumption will increase if the economy

improves.

Figure 4: Transportation energy consumption for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy

Information Administration, 2012).

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Page 6: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

5

Both transportation energy consumption (figure 4) and emissions from transportation

(figure 24) have increased over the past two decades; consequently, tackling the

transportation sector is important in order to reduce GHG emissions, especially considering

how much CO2 is emitted from car engines.

Figure 5: Overall energy consumption for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

In general, the overall energy consumption for both Georgia and Texas has gradually gone

up over the past two decades, though its ascent has slowed over the recent decade due to

the recession. Reducing the amount of energy the country consumes will also reduce

emissions, so looking for ways to reduce the energy demand is a potential solution to

decreasing GHG emissions.

Table 1: Average percentage of U.S. energy consumption consumed by Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 2.94% 12.3%

Table 1 presents the average percentage of the country’s energy consumption Georgia and

Texas consume. These numbers were calculated by taking the percent of U.S. energy

consumption from each year for each state and averaging those percentages. Except for in

extreme cases, there was little variation between years.

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Overall Energy Consumption for Georgia and Texas

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Page 7: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

6

Energy Production per Energy Source

Figure 6: Energy produced from combustion of fossil fuels in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

Figure 6 depicts the energy production from fossil fuel combustion in both Georgia and

Texas. Georgia’s energy production from fossil fuel combustion is so low it is not visible on

this graph, but Texas’s is high despite its decrease. Continuing to decrease this form of

energy production will lead to less GHG emissions because fossil fuel combustion releases

large amounts of CO2.

Figure 7: Energy produced from nuclear power generation in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

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Page 8: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Nuclear power energy generation has increased in both Georgia and Texas over the past

two decades (Figure 7). Nuclear power is an important alternative to fossil fuel combustion

because of its lack of GHG emissions. However, the radioactive waste from nuclear power

generation is often difficult to dispose of, so investing in this type of power generation would

require improved ways to dispose of nuclear wastes.

Figure 8: Energy produced from renewable energy for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

Fortunately, renewable energy production has increased in Texas (Figure 8). This is mostly

attributed to the uprising of wind turbines in Texas due to the governmental tax incentive in

place for states using wind energy (Union of Concerned Scientists, 2013). However, Georgia

is lacking in its renewable energy production because of the inaccessibility of many

renewable energy sources in Georgia with the exception of biofuel and hydroelectricity.

Investing in ways to harvest more renewable energy will be important in reducing Georgia’s

GHG emissions.

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Page 9: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 9: Total energy production for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

Based on Figure 9, Georgia’s overall energy production seems to have remained constant

while Texas’s has decreased and then increased again. As aforementioned, decreasing the

energy demand from fossil fuels while increasing the energy demand from renewables,

nuclear power, or other alternatives will result in reduced GHG emissions.

Table 2: Average percentage of United States energy production produced by Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 0.770% 14.9%

Table 2 shows the average percentage of the total energy production in the United States in

Georgia and Texas. Georgia produces about 0.77% of the country’s energy while Texas

produces 14.9%, a much higher percentage. This presents the disparity in energy activity

between the two states, suggesting other states may present the same type of disparity.

Reducing the entire country’s GHG emissions by a large percentage will require a diversified

and reasonable effort.

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Page 10: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

9

Electricity Generation per Fuel Source

Figure 10: Electricity generated from coal combustion in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

Both states demonstrate an increased usage of coal combustion in electricity generation,

likely due to the increased energy demand as well as the low cost of coal (Figure 10).

Increased coal combustion will lead to increased GHG emissions, so searching for

alternatives to coal is important in order to reduce GHG emissions.

Figure 11: Electricity generated from petroleum in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy

Information Administration, 2012).

Much like coal, petroleum produces CO2 when it is combusted; fortunately, petroleum-based

electricity generation has gone down since 1990 (Figure 11). Eventually decreasing the

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Page 11: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

10

amount of electricity generation by petroleum combustion to zero MWh will result in no

additional CO2 emissions from that particular fuel source. Petroleum is used in the

combustion of car engines, so it is necessary to improve the technologies of cars running off

of alternative fuels in order to reduce petroleum combustion.

Figure 12: Electricity generated from natural gas in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

With the increase in coal prices and the simultaneous decrease in natural gas prices, states

like Georgia and Texas have increased their electricity generation from natural gas (Figure

12). Natural gas emissions are cleaner than coal; however, leaked methane is dangerous

due to its higher global warming potential. Investing in natural gas would require a tighter

control on methane transportation as well as better management of the fracking industry

(an industry notable for polluting groundwater with its practices).

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Page 12: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 13: Electricity generated from renewable resources in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

Figure 13 shows the MWh of electricity generated from renewable resources for Georgia and

Texas. The implementation of a production tax credit (PTC) for renewable energy had a

large impact on the renewable energy for Texas; the tax credit incentivized the state to

implement a large number of wind turbines (Union of Concerned Scientists, 2013). The PTC

was extended in 2005, causing a large increase in wind power for the state of Texas (Union

of Concerned Scientists, 2013). The graph shows a steady amount of electricity being

produced through renewables, but for Texas a large increase occurred around 2005.

Figure 14: Electricity generated from nuclear power, in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy Information Administration, 2012).

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Electricity Generated from Renewable Resources for Georgia and Texas

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Page 13: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 14 shows the MWh of electricity generated from nuclear power for Georgia and

Texas. The graph shows a slight increase of nuclear power generation for Georgia; however,

for Texas there is a drop in 1993 followed by a sharp increase tapering off, hovering around

37,000,000 MWh with very slight average increase over the remaining period.

Figure 15: Total electricity generation in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (Energy

Information Administration, 2012).

Increased total electricity generation (Figure 15) is inevitable as the population grows due

to the increased energy demand. Thus, in order to reduce emissions, seeking electricity

generation from sources not associated with GHGs is a possible solution as it will not

compromise the population’s energy demand.

Table 3: Average percentage of United States electricity generation generated by Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 3.23% 9.70%

Table 3 shows the average percentage of the total United States electricity generation in

Georgia and Texas from 1990-2010. Georgia is almost 3.25% while Texas is about 9.7%.

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Page 14: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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GHG Emissions from Energy Generation per Type

Figure 16: CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 16 shows the CO₂ emissions from fossil fuel combustion in Georgia and Texas from

1990-2010. The CO₂ emissions for Georgia stay consistent starting around 150 million

metric tons and ending around 180 million metric tons. Texas CO₂ emissions start off around

600 million metric tons and end around 650 million metric tons. The increase in emissions

for both states is cause for concern (CO2 is a GHG).

Figure 17: CH4 emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

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Page 15: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 17 shows CH₄ emissions for Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia maintains a

consistent, slow increase which starts at about 6 million metric tons and ends around 8

million metric tons. Texas, however, starts around 53 million metric tons, increases to

around 60 million metric tons around 1995, and ends up at about 69 million metric tons in

2009. The increase in natural gas electricity generation in both states is likely the cause of

the increase in CH4 emissions due to leakage, suggesting tighter controls on natural gas

storage and transportation to avoid leakage will be important if the fuel source is to replace

coal.

Figure 18: N2O emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute,

Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 18 shows N₂O emissions for Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia starts and

ends around 5 million metric tons of N₂O emissions but reaches a peak of about 8 million

metric tons in 1996. Texas, however, starts around 23 million metric tons of N₂O emissions

and ends around 18 million metric tons.

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Page 16: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 19: Fluorinated gas emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 19 shows the fluorinated gas (hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur

hexafluoride) emissions for Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Both states have an

upward trend beginning in around 1994. Georgia starts at around 1 million metric tons of

fluorinated gas emissions and ends up at about 4.25 million metric tons. Texas starts at

about 3.5 million metric tons of fluorinated gas emissions and ends up at about 12 million

metric tons. F-gases are man-made alternatives to their ozone-depleting counterparts; they

do not affect the ozone layer, but their global warming potential is 23000 times greater than

CO2. Therefore, the rise of both states’ F-gas emissions is precarious for global climate

change.

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Page 17: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 20: Total emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 20 shows the total emissions for GHGs for Georgia and Texas in millions of metric

tons. There is a slight increase in both total emissions. Georgia starts at 1990 around 150

million metric tons and ends at 2009 around 175 million metric tons. Texas starts at 1990

around 680 million metric tons and finishes at 2009 around 730 million metric tons. There is

a little more variability in the Texas graph, however, which would be expected from a larger

state with more emissions.

Table 4: Average percentage of U.S. total emissions emitted by Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 2.66% 11.4%

Table 4 shows the average percentage of the total United States emissions in terms of

Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia is about 2.66% and Texas is about 11.4%.

Because Texas is responsible for such a large portion of the country’s GHG emissions,

reducing the state’s GHG output would require some latitude.

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Page 18: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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GHG Emissions from Energy Generation per Sector

Figure 21: Residential emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 21 shows the residential emissions for Georgia and Texas. Georgia’s graph shows an

increase of about 1 million metric tons over the 20 year period. Texas, however, shows a

decrease of about 1 million metric tons over the 20 year period.

Table 5: Average percentage of U.S. residential emissions emitted by Georgia and Texas,

1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 1.98% 3.49%

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Page 19: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Table 5 shows the average percentage of total United States residential emissions in terms

of Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia is about 2 percent, whereas Texas is about

3.5 percent. This is an interesting statistic because Texas has about 2.5 times the

population that Georgia does. This means Georgia’s citizens use more energy than the

citizens of Texas, suggesting education of the public is vital in reducing GHG emissions

overall.

Figure 22: Commercial emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 22 shows the commercial emissions for Georgia and Texas. As seen in the Texas

graph there is an increase or decrease of approximately two points every other year,

finishing about a point lower than where it started. The Georgia graph shows fairly stable

commercial emissions finishing a little under the starting point of the 20 year period, which

are about 3.9 millions of metric tons of GHGs emitted.

Table 6: Average percentage of U.S. commercial emissions emitted by Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 1.62% 5.14%

Table 6 shows the average percentage of total United States commercial emissions in terms

of Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia is about 1.62% and Texas is about 5.14%.

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Commercial Emissions for Georgia and Texas

Georgia

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Page 20: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 23: Industrial emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 23 shows the industrial emissions for Georgia and Texas. Texas is about 250 million

metric tons of GHG emissions higher than Georgia. Georgia is consistently around 25 million

metric tons, whereas, Texas is more variable but averages around 275 million metric tons of

GHG emissions. The decreasing trend observed in both states is likely due to the recession.

Table 7: Average percentage of U.S. industrial emissions emitted by Georgia and Texas,

1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 1.80% 22.1%

Table 7 shows the average percentage of the total United States industrial emissions in

terms of Georgia and Texas from 1990-2010. Georgia is about 1.8% whereas Texas is about

22.1%. This shows the magnitude of Texas’s industry being almost 25% of the total United

States industrial emissions alone. Targeting high-priority states such as Texas and California

will be difficult (but not impossible) in reducing the entire country’s GHG emissions.

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Georgia

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Page 21: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 24: Transportation emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 24 shows the transportation emissions for Georgia and Texas. This graph is the only

sector of emissions showing an increase in emissions over time without any drastic

variation. For this reason, this sector is a good target for decreasing overall GHG emissions

for Georgia. Texas starts out around 160 million metric tons of emissions and finishes

around 190 million metric tons of emissions. Georgia starts right at 50 million metric tons a

finishes around 70 million metric tons of emissions.

Table 8: Average percentage of U.S. transportation emissions emitted by Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 3.30% 9.79%

Table 8 shows the average percentage of the total United States transportation emissions in

terms of Georgia and Texas. Georgia is about 3.3% and Texas is about 9.79%. This

difference would is likely due to the difference in population of Texas and Georgia.

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Transportation Emissions for Georgia and Texas

Georgia

Texas

Page 22: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 25: GHG emissions from electricity generation in Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 25 shows the GHG emissions due to electricity generation in Georgia and Texas from

1990-2009. Georgia starts around 60 million metric tons and ends around 75 million metric

tons. Texas starts around at around 180 million metric tons and ends around 220 million

metric tons. Both, however, end with decreasing patterns over the last 3 years, a trend

perhaps due to the recent increase of natural gas electricity generation (Figure 12).

Table 9: Percentage of GHG emissions from electricity generation in the U.S. from Georgia

and Texas.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 3.30% 10.1%

Table 9 shows the average percentage of the total United States GHG emissions from

electricity generation in terms of Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia is about

3.3% of the total and Texas is about 10.1%.

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Electricity Generation Emissions for Georgia and Texas

Georgia

Texas

Page 23: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 26: Total energy GHG emissions for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009 (World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012).

Figure 26 shows the total energy GHG emissions for Georgia and Texas from 1990-2009.

Georgia starts around 150 million metric tons of total energy GHG emissions and ends

around 170 million metric tons. Texas starts at about 620 million metric tons of emissions

and ends around 650 million metric tons. While there appears to be a recent decrease

starting in 2006, the overall trend shows an increase; moreover, the recent decrease is

because of the economic recession which results in less energy demand and, consequently,

lower GHG emissions.

Table 10: Percentage of total energy GHG emissions in the U.S. for Georgia and Texas, 1990-2009.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 2.78% 11.8%

Table 10 shows the average percentage of total United States energy in terms of Georgia

and Texas from 1990-2009. Georgia is about 2.78% of the total and Texas is about 11.8%.

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Texas

Page 24: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Renewable Energy Outputs

Figure 27: Solar power energy production in Georgia and Texas, 2012 (National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2012).

Figure 27 shows the solar power energy production Georgia and Texas in 2012. Georgia

does not produce any concentrated solar power and there are less than 1 million GWh

produced by urban utility-scale photovoltaic solar power and rooftop photovoltaic

technology for Georgia. However, Georgia produces roughly 5.5 million GWh of rural utility-

scale photovoltaic solar power. Texas is a considered a major producer of solar power. It

creates less than 1 million GWh of urban utility scale-photovoltaic solar power and rooftop

photovoltaic solar power. However, Texas produces almost 40 million GWh of rural utility-

scale photovoltaic solar power and about 23 million GWh of concentrated solar power. Texas

is a leader in all four of these categories despite the small amounts in urban utility scale-

photovoltaic solar power and rooftop photovoltaic solar power. Georgia, however, is lacking

in all forms of solar power. Investing in solar power in Texas is a formidable option for using

renewable energy to combat fossil fuels, but doing so in Georgia is not as viable.

Table 11: Percentage of U.S. solar power energy production produced in Georgia and Texas, 2012.

Georgia Texas

Urban Utility-Scale Photovoltaic 1.93% 13.2%

Rural Utility-Scale Photovoltaic 1.96% 13.9%

Rooftop Photovoltaic 3.80% 9.61%

Concentrated Solar Power 0% 19.6%

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rgy

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Solar Power Energy Production for Georgia and Texas in 2012

Urban-Utility Scale PV

Rural Utility-Scale PV

Rooftop PV

CSP

Page 25: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Table 11 shows the percentage of total United States solar power energy production in

terms of Georgia and Texas. As previously stated Texas is a major producer of solar power

while Georgia is not. Georgia produces about 1.93% of urban utility-scale photovoltaic solar

power, about 1.96% of rural utility-scale photovoltaic solar power, about 3.8% rooftop

photovoltaic solar power, and no concentrated solar power. Texas, however, produces about

13.2% of urban utility-scale photovoltaic solar power, about 13.9% of rural utility-scale

photovoltaic solar power, about 9.61% of rooftop photovoltaic solar power, and 19.6% of

concentrated solar power.

Figure 28: Wind power energy production for Georgia and Texas, 2012 (National Renewable

Energy Laboratory, 2012).

Figure 28 shows the wind power production of Georgia and Texas in 2012. Georgia has less

than 1 million GWh of power produced by onshore wind turbines. However, it has about 2.8

million GWh of power produced by offshore wind turbines, which is even more than Texas’

11 million GWh. Texas, however, is a major producer of onshore wind power at about 5.5

million GWh. Based on these data, it is recommended to invest in increasing offshore wind

power in Georgia and onshore wind power in Texas.

Table 12: Percentage of U.S. wind power energy production produced in Georgia and Texas,

2012.

Georgia Texas

Onshore Wind Energy 0.000984% 16.9%

Offshore Wind Energy 16.7% 6.49%

Table 12 shows the percentage of total United States wind power energy production in

terms of Georgia and Texas. Georgia produces a very small amount of onshore wind energy

0

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Wind Power Energy Production for Georgia and Texas in 2012

Onshore

Offshore

Page 26: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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at about 0.000984% of the total United States, but the state also produces 16.7% of the

United States total offshore wind energy. Texas produces about 16.9% of onshore wind

energy and only 6.49% of offshore wind energy.

Figure 29: Hydroelectric and geothermal energy production for Georgia and Texas, 2012 (National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2012).

Figure 29 shows hydroelectric and geothermal energy production for Georgia and Texas in

2012. Georgia and Texas both do not produce any geothermal hydrothermal power. Georgia

and Texas both produce less than 100,000 GWh of hydropower. Georgia produces about

400,000 GWh of enhanced geothermal system geothermal power while Texas produces

about 3 million GWh. Continuing to harvest EGS geothermal power in Texas is a viable

alternative to fossil fuels.

Table 13: Percentage of U.S. geothermal energy production produced in Georgia and Texas, 2012.

Georgia Texas

Hydropower 0.768% 1.16%

Geothermal Hydrothermal 0% 0%

Enhanced Geothermal System Geothermal 1.13% 9.67%

Table 13 shows the percentage of total United States geothermal energy production in

terms of Georgia and Texas for 2012. Georgia and Texas both produced no geothermal

hydrothermal power. Georgia produced about 0.786%of the total hydropower and Texas

produced about 1.16% of the total hydropower. Georgia produced about 1.13% of enhanced

geothermal system geothermal and Texas produced about 9.67% of the total.

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Wh

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2012

Hydropower

GeothermalHydrothermal

EGS Geothermal

Page 27: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 30: Biofuel energy production for Georgia and Texas, 2012 (National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2012).

Figure 30 shows biofuel energy production for Georgia and Texas in 2012. Georgia produced

about 15,000 GWh of solid biofuel power and Texas produces about 16,000 GWh of solid

biofuel power. Georgia produces about 2,000 GWh of gaseous biofuel power and Texas

produces about 6,000 GWh of gaseous biofuel power. Solid biofuel energy production

appears to be the only type of energy production in which Georgia can compete with Texas.

Noting the disparity in the energy demand and population of both states, it is highly

recommended to improve biofuel technologies in Georgia.

Table 14: Percentage of U.S. biofuel energy production produced in Georgia and Texas, 2012.

Georgia Texas

Solid 3.68% 4.02%

Gaseous 2.51% 6.66%

Table 14 show the percentage of the total United States biofuel energy production in terms

of Georgia and Texas for 2012. Georgia produces about 3.68 percent and Texas produces

about 4.02% of the total solid biofuel energy. Georgia produces about 2.51% and Texas

produces about 6.66% of the gaseous biofuel energy.

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Biofuel Energy Production for Georgia and Texas in 2012

Solid

Gaseous

Page 28: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Gross Domestic Product, Population, and Economic Base

Figure 31: Gross domestic product of Georgia and Texas, 1997-2011 (Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2012).

Figure 31 shows the gross domestic product of both Georgia and Texas from 1997-2011.

Both states show an increasing trend. Georgia starts out at about $220 billion and ends

around $410 billion. Texas starts at about $600 billion and ends around $1.3 trillion.

Table 15: Percentage of U.S. gross domestic product produced by Georgia and Texas.

Georgia Texas

Average Percentage of United States 2.90% 7.90%

Table 15 shows the percentage of the total U.S. gross domestic product for Georgia and

Texas. Georgia is at about 2.9% of the total U.S. GDP and Texas is around 7.9% of the total

U.S. GDP.

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Page 29: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 32: United States gross domestic product in chained 2005 dollars, 1990-2010 (Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2012).

Figure 32 depicts the growth of the U.S. GDP over the past two decades with respect to the

value of the dollar in 2005. The increase is more constant and almost linear in comparison

with its non-adjusted counterpart.

Figure 33: Population of Georgia and Texas, 1990-2010 (United States Census Bureau, 2010).

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Page 30: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Figure 33 shows the population of Georgia and Texas from 1990-2010. Both states show

steady increases. Georgia’s population starts at about 6 million people in 1990 and ends at

about 10 million in 2010. Texas starts at about 17 million people and ends at about 26

million people.

Bern Carbon Model

Figure 34: Bern fourth assessment standard report projecting remaining percentage of atmospheric CO2 by 2030.

Figure 34 shows an impulse response function projecting the remaining fraction of carbon

dioxide in the atmosphere by 2030. The Bern AR4 model projects the fraction of CO2

remaining as it is removed by natural causes while not aggravated by human activity. Based

on the model, CO2 will be reduced by approximately forty percent by the year 2030 if such

is done by natural causes; however, with the rise in anthropogenic GHG emissions, this

reduction is not likely. It is recommended to introduce innovative solutions to combat

increased GHG emissions to achieve the twenty percent reduction by 2030.

Recommendations

Based on all of the data collected and presented in the sections above, tables 16 and 17

below calculate the required level of atmospheric GHGs in order to have successfully

reached a 20% reduction since 2009. Furthermore, percentages within each sector or GHG

type were also recommended in light of their respective prevalence.

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Page 31: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Table 16: Reduction of GHG emissions (in millions of metric tons) by 20% by 2030 per

sector.

2009 Percent Reduction 2030 Difference

Transportation 67.24 6.5 62.8694 4.3706

Industrial 14.7 3.5 14.1855 0.5145

Commercial 3.56 1 3.5244 0.0356

Residential 7.15 2 7.007 0.143

Electricity Generation 72.46 7 67.3878 5.0722

Total 165.11 20 132.088 33.022

As shown in table 16, the two largest sources of GHG emissions within sectors are

transportation and electricity generation. Consequently, tackling these two sectors first will

result in the most significant decrease in GHG emissions. Within the transportation sector, it

is recommended to begin seriously looking into cars running off of alternative fuels such as

electricity or hydrogen. Incentivizing individuals to purchase a ‘green’ car is something the

government already does, but improving this incentive would encourage people to buy more

‘green’ cars. Expanding public transportation and pedestrian walking and bicycling networks

to encourage people individually to drive less is another alternative. Improving land use

policies and urban planning could reduce the need for vehicle travel in general. Many of

these suggestions (such as building new ‘green’ cars or improving infrastructure to

encourage walking/bicycling) would also require labor, providing jobs and stimulating the

economy.

With respect to the amount of GHG emissions from electricity generation, replacing

coal as the primary fuel source for most power plants is the most important obstacle to

overcome. It is recommended to gradually transition from coal to natural gas which should

eventually be replaced by renewable energy. Moreover, a diversity of energy sources is

essential in maintaining the energy grid as it is known. Improving the way natural gas is

harvested, transported, and maintained is necessary to avoid pollution of groundwater from

fracking or methane leakage which would aggravate GHG emissions further.

Those within the industrial sector will likely only be influenced by money to reduce

their emissions. Imposing a carbon tax would incentivize industries to maintain their carbon

emissions better; furthermore, improving carbon capture and sequestration technologies

would aid in finding solutions to keep carbon from entering the atmosphere. The commercial

and residential sectors are highly influenced by the public, so providing ways for individuals

to want to reduce the GHG emissions and carbon footprints is critical.

Page 32: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Because population increase results in an increased energy demand, slowing the

increase of that demand rather than decreasing it would alleviate the problem. Within

poorer communities, many individuals often lack access to proper birth control;

implementing governmental programs which provide education of and access to birth

control for poor communities would slow the population and energy demand increase.

Table 17: Reduction of GHG emissions (in millions of metric tons) by 20% by 2030 per type.

2009 Percent Reduction 2030 Difference

CO2 164.79 14 140.0715 24.7185

CH4 7.2 3 6.984 0.216

N2O 5.19 2 5.0862 0.1038

Gas 4.31 1 4.2669 0.0431

Total 181.49 20 145.192 36.298

Of the varying types of GHGs, carbon dioxide (CO2) is the prime culprit. Reducing

emissions of this gas in all sectors (but namely transportation, electricity generation, and

industrial) is the most important goal. The aforementioned recommendations for reducing

the transportation and electricity generation CO2 emissions would not only stem the output

of GHG emissions but also stimulate both the economy (providing jobs) and American

lifestyle (improving infrastructure and encouraging less individual transportation by car,

alleviating traffic problems).

Finally, continuing to look for more alternatives to fossil fuels in all sectors of the

state is an important solution because of the finite amounts of fossil fuels within the planet.

Compared with Texas, Georgia has little access to renewable energy sources with the

exception of offshore wind power and solid biofuel. Harvesting these technologies would

provide alternatives to fossil fuel combustion; moreover, Georgia has a vast array of natural

water resources along the fault line with which hydroelectricity could be created. It is

recommended to invest in taking advantage of these natural resources in not only Georgia

but all states. Diversifying the country’s energy grid in a way such that states are actively

taking advantage of their natural options to renewable energy rather than struggling to

acquire an unavailable energy source (for example, photovoltaic solar power is hardly viable

in Georgia but exceptional in Texas, as is onshore wind power) will be important in the push

towards renewable energy.

References

Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2012. “National Economic Accounts.”

http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdp. Accessed 5 May 2013.

Page 33: Battling ga's greenhouse emissions

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Energy Information Administration, 2012. “Electricity.”

http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data.cfm. Accessed 20 April 2013.

Energy Information Administration, 2012. “State Energy Data Systems: Complete.”

http://www.eia.gov/state/seds/seds-data-complete.cfm. Accessed 22 April 2013.

Energy Information Administration, 2012. “Net Generation by State by Type of Producer by

Energy Source.” http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data.cfm. Accessed 28 April 2013.

Environmental Protection Agency, 2010. “Ozone Science: The Facts Behind the Phaseout.”

http://www.epa.gov/ozone/science/sc_fact.html. Accessed 5 May 2013.

European Environment Agency, 2013. "EU greenhouse gases in 2011: more countries on

track to meet Kyoto targets, emissions fall 2.5 %."

http://www.eea.europa.eu/pressroom/newsreleases/eu-greenhouse-gases-in-

2011.5. Accessed 5 May 2013.

Miller, R. L, 2012. "Adjustment To Radiative Forcing In A Simple Coupled Ocean-

Atmosphere Model." Journal Of Climate 25.22: 7802-7821.

National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2012. “Resource Assessment.”

http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/key_activities_potential.html. Accessed 20 April 2013.

Rubin, Edward. “Introduction to Engineering and the Environment”. 1st ed. New York:

McGraw-Hill, 2001. 532-533. Print.

Union of Concerned Scientists, 2013. “Production Tax Credit for Renewable Energy.”

http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/smart-energy-solutions/increase-

renewables/production-tax-credit-for.html. Accessed 2 May 2013.

United States Census Bureau, 2010. “Population Estimates.”

http://www.census.gov/popest/data/intercensal/state/state2010.html. Accessed 25

April 2013.

World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool, 2012. CAIT-US version 5.0.

Washington, DC: World Resources Institute. http://cait.wri.org. Accessed 28 April

2013.


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