Beijing, 20 November 2013
Sustainability and transportSustainability and transport
The challenge of the futureThe challenge of the future
2013 International Forum on Low Carbon Industry and Green Economy
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SUMMARYSUMMARY
THE TRANSPORT CHALLENGESTHE TRANSPORT CHALLENGES
CURRENT SCENARIOCURRENT SCENARIO
EUROPEAN POLICY FOR SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORTEUROPEAN POLICY FOR SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT
URBAN AREASURBAN AREAS
THE "Logeco“ PROJECT THE "Logeco“ PROJECT
FASTERFASTER
THE TRANSPORT CHALLENGESTHE TRANSPORT CHALLENGES
CHEAPER-MORE EFFICIENT
CHEAPER-MORE EFFICIENT
MORE ENVIRONMENTALL
Y FRIENDLY
MORE ENVIRONMENTALL
Y FRIENDLY
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Italy-China XIII Century - 3 ½ years
Italy-China-XXI century 12 hours
ITALY-CHINA: TWO COUNTRIES NOW CLOSERITALY-CHINA: TWO COUNTRIES NOW CLOSER
____Nicolo and Matteo Polo 1255-69
____Marco Polo (with Polo brothers) 1272-95
____Marco Polo 4
SHARE OF TRADE BETWEEN GEOGRAPHIC SHARE OF TRADE BETWEEN GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS IN WORLD TRADE (2011)REGIONS IN WORLD TRADE (2011)
Source: WTO Secretariat estimates
North America-Europe 4,8%
South and centralAmerica
North America
Europe
CIS
Africa
Asia
Europe-CIS 3,6%
Cis-Asia 1,3% North America-Asia 7,8%
Africa-Asia 1,7%
MiddleEast
Europe-Asia 8.8%
Middle East-Asia 5,1%
Europe- Middle East 2,0%Europe- Africa 2.3%
South and Central
America- Africa 1.4%
North America-South and Central
America 2.1%
South and CentralAmerica-Asia 2.0%
North America- Africa 0,8%
North America- Middle East 1.0%
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FORECASTED PASSENGERS INCREASE AT THEFORECASTED PASSENGERS INCREASE AT THEAIRPORT OF ROME (2044)AIRPORT OF ROME (2044)
Sud America
IATA1
Boeing2
Airbus3
5,8%
4,8%
5,1%
Intra-EUROPA
IATA1
Boeing2
Airbus3
4,4%
3,6%
3,1%
CIS
IATA1
Boeing 2
Airbus3
N/A
4,7%
5,6%
Asia-Pacific
IATA1
Boeing2
Airbus3
6,7%
4,94%
4,1%
Africa
IATA1
Boeing2
Airbus3
6,8%
4,8%
5,25)
%
Nord America
IATA1
Boeing2
Airbus3
4,3%
3,5%
3,7%Middle East
IATA1 6,6%
Boeing2 5,0%
Airbus3 5,4%
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Fonte: IATA 2012, Airbus 2012, Boeing 2012 1) IATA: CAGR 2012-2016 Solo intra-regionale | 2) Boeing: CAGR 2012-2032 | 3) Airbus: CAGR 2011-2031 | 4) Media pesata N.E. Asia-S.E.Asia-S. Asia su valori traffico pax 2012 | 5) Solo Nord Africa
The transport sector is crucial for the socio-economic development in industrialized countries.
Transport is the most energy-intensive sector, and also the one with the greatest growth in emissions in recent years
Energy use in the transport sector will increase by 25%
Unsustainable development imposes significant costs on society in terms of economic and social impact
+28%+28%+28%+28%
Source: European Energy and Transport - Trends to 2030 Update 2007 – EU Commission
Transport
ServicesAgricolture
Residential
Rest of Industry
Energy intensiveindustry
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TRANSPORT AND THE ENVIRONMENTTRANSPORT AND THE ENVIRONMENT
ANNUAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANNUAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS BY SECTORBY SECTOR
Transport is responsible for
almost a seventh of greenhouse gas emissions globally
Transport is responsible for
almost a seventh of greenhouse gas emissions globally
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Of these emissions, almost two thirds are
the result of passenger travel
while the rest is due to freight
Of these emissions, almost two thirds are
the result of passenger travel
while the rest is due to freight
Shares of sources of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2010 by main sector (in CO2e using GWP values as used for UNFCCC/Kyoto Protocol reporting). Source: JRC/PBL (2012) (EDGAR 4.2 FT2010)
CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS BY SECTOR AND SOURCEBY SECTOR AND SOURCE
2010 Carbon Dioxide Emissions
by Sector and Source
2010 Carbon Dioxide Emissions
by Sector and Source
Transportation1,865 MMT
Industrial1,503MMT
Commercial1,042 MMT
Residential1,233 MMT
Petroleum2,343 MMT
Natural Gas1,282 MMT
Other 12MMT
Coal 2,006 2MMT 9
42 CITIES IN THE WORLD HANDLE MORE THAN 42 CITIES IN THE WORLD HANDLE MORE THAN 10.000 LONG HAUL PASSENGERS PER DAY10.000 LONG HAUL PASSENGERS PER DAY2012 Aviation Mega-Cities
Source: GMF 2013; Cities with more than 10,000 daily passengers Long haul traffic: flight distance >2,000nm, excl. domestic traffic
Long-haul traffic is concentrated on a few main aviation centres
• >50 000 daily long-haul passengers• >20 000 daily long-haul passengers• >10 000 daily long-haul passengers
93%of long-haul traffic on routes to/from/via42 cities
42Aviation Mega-
cities
0.8MDaily Passengers: Long Haul traffic to
/from/via Mega Cities traffic
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THE SHIPS ARE GETTING BIGGERTHE SHIPS ARE GETTING BIGGER
Through the commissioning of ever larger ships, shipping
companies achieve economies of scale, reduce unit costs and
expanding the value chain
Through the commissioning of ever larger ships, shipping
companies achieve economies of scale, reduce unit costs and
expanding the value chain
This phenomenon produces the need for continuous adaptation
of the technical standards of port infrastructure
This phenomenon produces the need for continuous adaptation
of the technical standards of port infrastructure
Size growth of container ships
Size growth of cruise ships of larger capacity
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The European Union’s Ministers of Transport adopted this definition:
A sustainable transport system is one that:
allows the basic access and development needs of individuals, companies and societies to be met in a manner consistent with human and ecosystem health, and promises equity within and between successive generations
is affordable, operates fairly and efficiently, offers choice of transport mode, and supports a competitive economy, as well as balanced regional development
limits emissions and waste within the planet’s ability to absorb them, uses renewable resources at or below their rates of generation, and, uses non-renewable resources at or below the rates of development of renewable substitutes while minimizing the impact on land and the generation of noise
SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT
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A VISION FOR A COMPETITIVE A VISION FOR A COMPETITIVE AND SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT SYSTEMAND SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT SYSTEM
The transport industry in itself represents an important part of the economy: in the EU it directly employs around 10 million people and accounts for about 5% of GDP
Curbing mobility is not an option
New transport patterns, according to which larger volumes of freight and greater numbers of travelers are carried jointly to their destination by the most efficient (combination of) modes
Improving the energy efficiency performance of vehicles across all modes. Developing and deploying sustainable fuels and propulsion systems
Optimizing the performance of multimodal logistic chains
Using transport and infrastructure more efficiently through use of:
improved traffic management and information systems advanced logistic and full development of an integrated European railway
market undistorted pricing etc. 13
THE EUROPEAN TRANSPORT NETWORKTHE EUROPEAN TRANSPORT NETWORK
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networknetworkNodesNodes
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THE EUROPEAN TRANSPORT NETWORKTHE EUROPEAN TRANSPORT NETWORK
In 2012, high-speed trains have moved 25 million travelers preventing more than 600 thousand tons of CO2 emission
Equal to the contribution that would have given a forest of 6 million trees for 10 years
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REDUCTION OF CO2 EMISSIONSREDUCTION OF CO2 EMISSIONS
THE CARBON INTENSITY OF DIFFERENT THE CARBON INTENSITY OF DIFFERENT TRANSPORT MODES, PER PASSENGER-KILOMETER TRANSPORT MODES, PER PASSENGER-KILOMETER
Direct fuel lndirect fuelManufacturing
Napoli-Milano
Napoli-Venezia
The Carbon lntensity of Travel: g C02e/pkm
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Large Car (l 5
MPG) Long Flight
(business) Medium Car
(25 MPG)
LocalBus (US)
Motorbike (50 MPG)
Long Flight (economy)
Small Car (35 MPG)
Electric Car (US grid)
Short Flight (economy)
Heavy Rail (US)
Hybrid Car (45 MPG)
Scooter (80 MPG)
Coach (US) Metro
(NYC) Electric Car
(Solar) School Bus
(US)
Eurostar Rail (France)
Cycling
CO2 emissions of European fright trains amount to 29 gr for each ton-km of fright
CO2 emissions for heavy Euro 5 transport vehicles amount to 81 gr for each ton-km of fright
In the case of transport by heavy Euro 5, the related emissions amounted to 81 grams
CO2 emissions of European fright trains amount to 29 gr for each ton-km of fright
CO2 emissions for heavy Euro 5 transport vehicles amount to 81 gr for each ton-km of fright
In the case of transport by heavy Euro 5, the related emissions amounted to 81 grams
Sources: Eurispes, EcotransIT
per 1 KMper 1 KM+179
%81 gr. CO281 gr. CO2
29 gr. CO229 gr. CO2 -64%
THE CARBON INTENSITY OF DIFFERENT THE CARBON INTENSITY OF DIFFERENT TRANSPORT MODES, PER PASSENGER-KILOMETER TRANSPORT MODES, PER PASSENGER-KILOMETER
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cities consume on average between 60% and 80% of the World production of energy
are responsible for the majority of greenhouse gas emissions
over the next 20 years, the percentage of the world population living in cities will increase from 50% to 59%
cities are the primary cause of co2 emissions
The solution passes lies in the implementation of the “smart city“
the term smart city identifies an urban reality in which intelligent solutions are implemented aimed at the sustainable development of the area
Traffic jamsConflict with pedestriansEmissions (PM, GHG) and noiseSafetyEconomic efficiency
Traffic jamsConflict with pedestriansEmissions (PM, GHG) and noiseSafetyEconomic efficiency
URBAN AREASURBAN AREAS
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In order to transform the transport sector and create more inclusive access through the development of transport infrastructure and services it will be important to:
a) avoid the need for unnecessary motorized trips through smarter land use and logistics planning
b) shift the transport of goods and persons to more efficient modes
c) improve the efficiency and environmental performance of transport systems by improved vehicle, fuel, and network operations and management technologies
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A STRATEGY FOR URBAN AREASA STRATEGY FOR URBAN AREAS
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A MODEL FOR URBAN AREASA MODEL FOR URBAN AREAS
LOGECO a project for RomaLOGECO a project for Roma
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Electric VehicleEcosystem
THE "LOGECO" PROJECT FOR THE URBAN THE "LOGECO" PROJECT FOR THE URBAN DISTRIBUTION OF GOODSDISTRIBUTION OF GOODS
parking diesel vehicles
transfer vehicles
electric vehicles
freight consolidation
services
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Transit Point Logeco
Tridente(Logeco)
Two electric vehicles run about 1000 km over two months
Avg speed: 6 – 8 km/h Avg consumption: 0,34 kWh/km Avg use of capacity: 23%/day Saved CO2: 355 kg
0,34 kWh/km
0,15 €/kWh
0,05 €/km
0 Kg CO2 /Km
0,138
l/km
1,75 €/l
0,24 €/km
0,355
Kg CO2 /Km
LOGECOLOGECO
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LOGECO DEVELOPMENTSLOGECO DEVELOPMENTS
It is estimated that the application of the model in Rome can save 10,000 movements per year 9,000 T CO2 per year
It is estimated that the application of the model in Rome can save 10,000 movements per year 9,000 T CO2 per year
http://www.logeco.it/
identification of areas for urban logistics dedicated to the different distribution chains and consolidation of goods
identification of areas for urban logistics dedicated to the different distribution chains and consolidation of goods
new phase of experimentation with more vehicles and new supply chainsnew phase of experimentation with more vehicles and new supply chains
Thanks to the use of ICT functionally related industries operating in the transportation sector can eventually form a proper “System”Thanks to the use of ICT functionally related industries operating in the transportation sector can eventually form a proper “System”
Road Car parking Taxis Metro/tram Train Electric cars Bikes Bus/coach
Passenger informationPassenger informationAvailabilityAvailabilityTrafficTraffic LocationLocation
Logistics
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TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABILITYTECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABILITY
THANK [email protected]
