21
Benchmarking & Backcasting GDP of Indonesia Base Year 2010
Benchmarking & Backcasting GDP of Indonesia
Base Year 2010
What is Benchmarking ?
• Benchmarking is a technique to combine data from two sources
with different time frequency :
for example data with monthly/quarterly frequency, which
believe to be less accurate, on the other hand data with annual
frequency is believed to be more complete and accurate;
therefore annual data usually used as benchmark for
monthly/quarterly data.
• The main purpose of benchmarking is to distribute the diffence
between two series of data so that trend of final series is closely
similar with the actual/original series.
Method of Benchmarking
• Mostly known benchmarking method is Proportional Denton
Method which maximize pertain short-term movements of
monthly/quarterly data, and produce benchmark series as
close as the actual.
• It is done by minimizing the difference (in “least squares”)
month to month (or quarter to quarter) percentage change of
the original benchmark series.
• There is a computer program called BENCH made by Statistics
Canada to compute benchmarking process.
Sektor Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000 ....... Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 20101. Pertanian ....... a. Tabama ....... : ....... : ....... : ....... : ....... c. Jasa PRT .......
PDB .......
Exercise 1 : Benchmarking Annual and Quarterly GDP
Annual GDP old series, 2000=100Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1. Pertanian xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy a. Tabama xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy : xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy : xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy : xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy : xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy c. Jasa PRT xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy
PDB xxx yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy yyy
2001 2002 2003 2004yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010yyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyyyyy yyy yyy yyy yyy
Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101. Pertanian xxx xxx a. Tabama xxx xxx : xxx xxx : xxx xxx : xxx xxx : xxx xxx c. Jasa PRT xxx xxx
PDB xxx xxx
2001 2002 2003 2004xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx
Annual GDP Bench 2000 & 2005 Quarterly GDP Bench 2000 & 2005
Sektor Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000 ....... Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 20101. Pertanian qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa a. Tabama qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa c. Jasa PRT qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa
PDB qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Quarterly GDP old series, 2000=100
2000xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
2010xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Annual Current Price GDP 2000 - 2010 (Billion Rp)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
Seri 2000 Bench IO
Quarterly Current Price GDP 2000 - 2010 (Billion Rp)
01-00
02-00
03-00
04-00
01-01
02-01
03-01
04-01
01-02
02-02
03-02
04-02
01-03
02-03
03-03
04-03
01-04
02-04
03-04
04-04
01-05
02-05
03-05
04-05
01-06
02-06
03-06
04-06
01-07
02-07
03-07
04-07
01-08
02-08
03-08
04-08
01-09
02-09
03-09
04-09
01-10
02-10
03-10
04-10
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
Seri 2000 Bench IO
Annual GDP by Industries 2000 - 2010 (Billion Rp)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
100,000.0
200,000.0
300,000.0
400,000.0
500,000.0
600,000.0
700,000.0
Pertambangan Seri 2000Pertambangan Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
200,000.0
400,000.0
600,000.0
800,000.0
1,000,000.0
1,200,000.0
1,400,000.0
1,600,000.0
1,800,000.0
Industri Peng. Seri 2000Industri Peng. Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
5,000.0
10,000.0
15,000.0
20,000.0
25,000.0
30,000.0
35,000.0
40,000.0
45,000.0
50,000.0
LGA Seri 2000 LGA Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
100,000.0
200,000.0
300,000.0
400,000.0
500,000.0
600,000.0
700,000.0
800,000.0
900,000.0
1,000,000.0
Pertanian Seri 2000Pertanian Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
100,000.0
200,000.0
300,000.0
400,000.0
500,000.0
600,000.0
700,000.0
Konstruksi Seri 2000Konstruksi Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
100,000.0
200,000.0
300,000.0
400,000.0
500,000.0
600,000.0
700,000.0
800,000.0
900,000.0
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000Perdag. H & R Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
50,000.0
100,000.0
150,000.0
200,000.0
250,000.0
300,000.0
350,000.0
400,000.0
Trans & Kom Seri 2000Trans & Kom Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
50,000.0
100,000.0
150,000.0
200,000.0
250,000.0
300,000.0
350,000.0
400,000.0
450,000.0
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000Keu. Real Est. JP Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
100,000.0
200,000.0
300,000.0
400,000.0
500,000.0
600,000.0
700,000.0
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000Jasa-jasa Bench IO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
1,000,000.0
2,000,000.0
3,000,000.0
4,000,000.0
5,000,000.0
6,000,000.0
7,000,000.0
PDB Seri 2000 PDB Bench IO
Quarterly GDP by Industries 2000 - 2010 (Billion Rp)
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
50,000.0
100,000.0
150,000.0
200,000.0
250,000.0
Pertambangan Seri 2000Pertambangan Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
50,000.0
100,000.0
150,000.0
200,000.0
250,000.0
300,000.0
350,000.0
400,000.0
450,000.0
500,000.0
Industri Peng. Seri 2000Industri Peng. Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
2,000.0
4,000.0
6,000.0
8,000.0
10,000.0
12,000.0
14,000.0
LGA Seri 2000 LGA Bench IO
0.0
50,000.0
100,000.0
150,000.0
200,000.0
250,000.0
300,000.0
Pertanian Seri 2000Pertanian Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
20,000.0
40,000.0
60,000.0
80,000.0
100,000.0
120,000.0
140,000.0
160,000.0
180,000.0
200,000.0
Konstruksi Seri 2000Konstruksi Bench IO
01-00 02-00 03-00 04-00 01-01 02-01 03-01 04-01 01-02 02-02
0.0
10,000.0
20,000.0
30,000.0
40,000.0
50,000.0
60,000.0
70,000.0
80,000.0
90,000.0
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000Perdag. H & R Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
20,000.0
40,000.0
60,000.0
80,000.0
100,000.0
120,000.0
140,000.0
Trans & Kom Seri 2000Trans & Kom Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
20,000.0
40,000.0
60,000.0
80,000.0
100,000.0
120,000.0
140,000.0
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000Keu. Real Est. JP Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
20,000.0
40,000.0
60,000.0
80,000.0
100,000.0
120,000.0
140,000.0
160,000.0
180,000.0
200,000.0
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000 Jasa-jasa Bench IO
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
200,000.0
400,000.0
600,000.0
800,000.0
1,000,000.0
1,200,000.0
1,400,000.0
1,600,000.0
1,800,000.0
2,000,000.0
PDB Seri 2000 PDB Bench IO
Exercise 2 : Backcasting 2010 Constant Price GDP
Growth of Constant GDP, Series 2000=100 (%)
Constant GDP Series 2010=100 Bench 2000 & 2005
Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101. Pertanian ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg a. Tabama ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg : ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg : ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg : ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg : ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg c. Jasa PRT ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg
PDB ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg
Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101. Pertanian xxx a. Tabama xxx : xxx : xxx : xxx : xxx c. Jasa PRT xxx
PDB xxx
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg gggggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg ggg
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx
Sektor Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000 ....... Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 20101. Pertanian ....... a. Tabama ....... : ....... : ....... : ....... : ....... c. Jasa PRT .......
PDB .......
Quarterly Constant GDP, Series 2010=100
Sektor Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000 ....... Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 20101. Pertanian qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa a. Tabama qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa : qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa c. Jasa PRT qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa
PDB qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa ....... qqq qqq qqq qqq aaa
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4qqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqqqqq qqq qqq qqq
Quarterly Constant GDP, Series 2000=100
2000xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
2010xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Annual Growth of Constant GDP 2001 – 2010 (%)
Food CropsAgriculture
Total GDP
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
Quarterly Growth of Constant GDP, QtoQ, 2001 – 2010 (%)
Food Crops Agriculture
Total GDP
02-0004-00
02-0104-01
02-0204-02
02-0304-03
02-0404-04
02-0504-05
02-0604-06
02-0704-07
02-0804-08
02-0904-09
02-1004-10
(60.00)
(40.00)
(20.00)
-
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
02-0004-00
02-0104-01
02-0204-02
02-0304-03
02-0404-04
02-0504-05
02-0604-06
02-0704-07
02-0804-08
02-0904-09
02-1004-10
(30.00)
(20.00)
(10.00)
-
10.00
20.00
30.00
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
02-0004-00
02-0104-01
02-0204-02
02-0304-03
02-0404-04
02-0504-05
02-0604-06
02-0704-07
02-0804-08
02-0904-09
02-1004-10
(5.00)
(4.00)
(3.00)
(2.00)
(1.00)
-
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
Quarterly Growth of Constant GDP, YonY, 2001 – 2010 (%)
Food Crops Agriculture
Total GDP
02-0104-01
02-0204-02
02-0304-03
02-0404-04
02-0504-05
02-0604-06
02-0704-07
02-0804-08
02-0904-09
02-1004-10
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
02-0004-00
02-0104-01
02-0204-02
02-0304-03
02-0404-04
02-0504-05
02-0604-06
02-0704-07
02-0804-08
02-0904-09
02-1004-10
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
02-0004-00
02-0104-01
02-0204-02
02-0304-03
02-0404-04
02-0504-05
02-0604-06
02-0704-07
02-0804-08
02-0904-09
02-1004-10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Growth Seri 2000 Growth Seri 2010 Bench
Annual Growth of Constant GDP by Industries 2001 – 2010 (%)
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pertambangan Seri 2000
Pertambangan Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Industri Peng. Seri 2000
Industri Peng. Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
LGA Seri 2000 LGA Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pertanian Seri 2000 Pertanian Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Konstruksi Seri 2000 Konstruksi Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000 Perdag. H & R Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Trans & Kom Seri 2000 Trans & Kom Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000 Jasa-jasa Seri 2010 Bench
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
PDB Seri 2000 PDB Seri 2010 Bench
Quarterly Growth of Constant GDP QtoQ 2001 – 2010 (%)
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Pertambangan Seri 2000Pertambangan Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
Industri Peng. Seri 2000Industri Peng. Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
LGA Seri 2000LGA Seri 2010 Bench
01-0001-01
01-0201-03
01-0401-05
01-0601-07
01-0801-09
01-10
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
Pertanian Seri 2000Pertanian Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Konstruksi Seri 2000Konstruksi Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000Perdag. H & R Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Trans & Kom Seri 2000Trans & Kom Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000Jasa-jasa Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
PDB Seri 2000PDB Seri 2010 Bench
Quarterly Growth of Constant GDP YonY 2001 – 2010 (%)
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
Pertambangan Seri 2000Pertambangan Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Industri Peng. Seri 2000Industri Peng. Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
LGA Seri 2000LGA Seri 2010 Bench
01-0001-01
01-0201-03
01-0401-05
01-0601-07
01-0801-09
01-10
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Pertanian Seri 2000Pertanian Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Konstruksi Seri 2000Konstruksi Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000Perdag. H & R Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
Trans & Kom Seri 2000Trans & Kom Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000Jasa-jasa Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
PDB Seri 2000PDB Seri 2010 Bench
Exercise 3 : Implicit price deflator of 2010 Constant Price GDP Seri 2010
Current GDP Seri 2010 Bench 2000 & 2005
Constant GDP Seri 2010 Bench 2000 & 2005
Implicit Index of GDP Seri 2010 Bench 2000 & 2005
Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101. Pertanian bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb a. Tabama bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb : bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb : bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb : bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb : bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb c. Jasa PRT bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb
PDB bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb bbb
Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101. Pertanian kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk a. Tabama kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk : kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk : kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk : kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk : kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk c. Jasa PRT kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk
PDB kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk kkk
Sektor 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101. Pertanian iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100 a. Tabama iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100 : iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100 : iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100 : iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100 : iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100 c. Jasa PRT iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100
PDB iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii iii 100
Annual Implicit Growth 2001 – 2010 (%)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Seri 2000 Seri 2010 Bench
Quarterly Implicit Growth (%)
02-00
03-00
04-00
01-01
02-01
03-01
04-01
01-02
02-02
03-02
04-02
01-03
02-03
03-03
04-03
01-04
02-04
03-04
04-04
01-05
02-05
03-05
04-05
01-06
02-06
03-06
04-06
01-07
02-07
03-07
04-07
01-08
02-08
03-08
04-08
01-09
02-09
03-09
04-09
01-10
02-10
03-10
04-10
-4.00
-2.00
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
Seri 2000 Seri 2010 Bench
Annual Implicit Growth by industries (%)
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pertambangan Seri 2000 Pertambangan Bench IO
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Industri Peng. Seri 2000 Industri Peng. Bench IO
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
LGA Seri 2000 LGA Bench IO
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pertanian Seri 2000 Pertanian Bench IO
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Konstruksi Seri 2000 Konstruksi Bench IO
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000 Perdag. H & R Bench IO
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Trans & Kom Seri 2000 Trans & Kom Bench IO
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000 Keu. Real Est. JP Bench IO
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000 Jasa-jasa Bench IO
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
PDB Seri 2000 PDB Bench IO
Quarterly Implicit Growth by industries 2001 – 2010 (%)
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Pertambangan Seri 2000Pertambangan Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Industri Peng. Seri 2000Industri Peng. Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
LGA Seri 2000LGA Seri 2010 Bench
01-0001-01
01-0201-03
01-0401-05
01-0601-07
01-0801-09
01-10
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Pertanian Seri 2000Pertanian Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
Konstruksi Seri 2000Konstruksi Seri 2010 Bench
01-00 02-00 03-00 04-00 01-01 02-01 03-01 04-01 01-02 02-02
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Perdag. H & R Seri 2000Perdag. H & R Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Trans & Kom Seri 2000Trans & Kom Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2000Keu. Real Est. JP Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Jasa-jasa Seri 2000Jasa-jasa Seri 2010 Bench
01-0004-00
03-0102-02
01-0304-03
03-0402-05
01-0604-06
03-0702-08
01-0904-09
03-10
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
PDB Seri 2000PDB Seri 2010 Bench
Thank you
Where next ?
Need to establish a clearer way forward
