1© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Bernhard Wolf, Head of Investor RelationsdbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
2© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
This presentation constitutes neither an offer nor recommendation to subscribe or buy in any other way securities of GfK SE or any of the companies that are members of the Group at present or in the future, nor does it form part of such an offer and it should not be understood as such. The presentation or any part thereof should not form the basis for a contract for the purchase or subscription of securities of GfK SE or any of the companies that are members of the Group or represent a guarantee in connection with such contract. All the information contained in this presentation has been established with care. Nevertheless, we cannot guarantee its reliability or completeness and the information contained herein should not be deemed as a guarantee in this respect. The information contained in this presentation may be supplemented, amended and updated. Certain statements made herein may express future expectations, which are based on current opinions and assumptions of the management and are subject to foreseeable and unforeseeable risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance and events may differ considerably from the statementsexpressed in the present information, partly due to changing business or market conditions and to the growth prospects forecast by the management of GfK SE. These and other factors may have an unfavorable impact on the results and financial consequences describedin this presentation. GfK SE does not undertake to update or revise statements on future developments, on the basis of new information, future events or for other reasons. You should not rely on statements made about future developments, which simply express expectations as of the date of this presentation. This document does not constitute an offer of sale of securities in the United States of America. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States of America without registration or exemption from registration in accordance with the U.S. Securities‘ Act of 1933 in its currently valid form.
Disclaimer
3© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Agenda
GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK. Growth from Knowledge1
Q1 2016Q1 20162
GfK‘s two SectorsGfK‘s two Sectors3
Productivity improvementsProductivity improvements4
2016: GfK in the future and guidance2016: GfK in the future and guidance5
AppendixAppendix6
4© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK – Growth from Knowledge
5© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK – “Growth from Knowledge”
GfK makes research matter by delivering the future.
In a digitized world, we are the trusted source of relevant market and consumer information that empowers our clients to make smarter decisions.
As thought leaders in our industry, we have a deep understanding of consumer experiences and choices.
We are 13,500 passionate experts with more than 80 years of data science experience and German heritage. We deliver globally with vital insights into local markets in 100 countries.
We turn research into business opportunities. Through innovative systems and partnerships, we integrate on- and offline data to support Growth from Knowledge.
Our goal is simple: enable our clients to create winning strategies to enrich consumers’ lives.
6© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK business model
� Profound industry knowledge
� Customer and consumer proximity
� Innovative solution know-how
� Data & marketing sciences
� Leading technology for crossdevice measurement
� Scaling digital platform forproject business
� Virtualization of shoppingexperiences
� Scaling cloud environment fordata processing and dataintegration
� Harmonized and automated processes
� Synergies both within market and internal structures
� Globally scaling products and services
� Data partnerships
Added value for our clients
7© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
One GfK: Business Model for Global Scale & Results
Two sectors for “what” and “why”
Consumer Choices(WHAT)
Consumer Experiences(WHY)
Point of Sales Measurement
AudienceMeasurement
MobileMeasurement
Cross-MediaMeasurement
Brand & Customer
Experience
User ExperienceMeasurement
CommunicationsMeasurement
Market Opportunity& Innovation
Digital Market
Intelligence
Data Partnerships
Data Integration Platforms
Data & Marketing Science
Delivering on clients' needs
Speed – Insights with Impact – Data from all Sources – Proven ROI
8© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
The two sectors are reflecting our client needs
From client needs ... ... to strong GfK offerings … . .. grouped in two sectors
WHAT do consumers buyWHEN and WHERE?
WHAT do consumers WATCH/HEAR/READ?
Point of Sales Panels
Audience Tracking
Consumer Choices
• Market sizing/currency• Convergent media and
sales channels• 47% of sales,
78% of income1:
WHY do consumers buyand WHAT do they want?
HOW do consumer (segments) behave and buy?
Custom Research
Consumer Panels
Consumer Experiences
• Attitudinal information• Sustainable access
to consumers• 53% of sales,
22% of income1:
1 Adjusted operating income, w/o sector other
1 Adjusted operating income, w/o sector other
Sales AOI
Sales AOI
9© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Today´s business areas of GfK at a glance
Integration
Margin improvement
Stagnation and price pressure in the market
Ad hoc research“Follower”
Syndicated business
Big Data
Saturation
Consumer panel“Quality leader”
Global coverage
Additional analytic methods
High investment costs
PoS Measurement“Global leader”
Innovation
Cross media competency
Size/little presence in US
Media measurement“Agressor”
10© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Q1 2016
11© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Sales growth in % for Q1 2016
1 Data Investment Management segment isolated. Comprises Kantar, TNS, Millward Brown and The Futures Company, among others. Comparison analysis on revenue basis
GfK and Peers
0.9
-0.6
1.8
5.2
2.0n/a
1.93.7
n/a
6.1
0.5
5.0
Data Investment Management1
Ipsos does not report growth at constant FX rates
Nielsen does not report organic growth
Total Organic At constant currency
12© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Consumer Choices Highlights in Q1 2016
ConsumerChoices(CC)
Growth• Strong organic growth of 9.8%. FX effect -1.7%• Margin down -1.1 pts
Point of Sales Measurement• Solid growth in core product categories (MDA/SDA, Telecom), established clients, all
regions except CEE/META• Strong development in China mainly based on IT and Domestic Appliances despite
weaknesses in underlying PC and MDA markets • Ongoing expansion of the Trends and Forecasting business
Media MeasurementTAM Brazil:
• GfK accomplished the setup of its TAM services with minimum 6000 households in 15 main cities, reporting overnight and in real time
• Data delivery to the broadcasters and revenue recognition since October 2015• Certain contractually required milestones (e.g. in-tab sample size) to be improved
before Go-Live Kingdom of Saudi-Arabia: Data delivery to customer and revenue recognition since January 2016Singapore: Panel build-up on track, TV-Panel delivered on time; mobile/online build-up ongoing; first revenue recognition expected for Q2 2016
13© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Consumer Experiences Highlights in Q1 2016
ConsumerExperiences(CE)
Margin improvement• Organic growth of -6.0% (Total growth: -6.9%; FX effect -2.9%)• Margin up by 1.1 pts• Efficiency and portfolio realignment efforts yielding AOI and margin
improvement despite smaller revenue base
Business Performance• Weak order book and pipeline coming into the year • Reductions and consolidations of spend in a few key clients; overall positive
developments in Consumer Goods and Finance Industries but offset by declines in Technology
• Pick-up seen in Latin America and CEE/META but challenges in China and the mature markets
• New branded product wins occurring but not nearly as quick as planned reductions in lower margin work
Global branded products contributing 46% of sector sales
14© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK Group with ongoing organic growth
Rounding differences possible
• Organic growth of 0.9% – driven by sector Consumer Choices
• Recently acquired NORM and Netquest are main drivers of inorganic growth
• Headwind from foreign exchange rate of -2.4%
• Adjusted operating income grew by 5 m€ with margin improvement of 1.4pts
• Consumer Choices margin down -1.1pts driven by TAM Brazil
• Consumer Experiences ongoing margin improvement of +1.1pts
In m€ Sales Growth rate in % AOI Margin in %
Q1Actual2016
Total OrganicAcqui-sitions
FX effectActual2016
∆
2016/2015Actual2016
∆
2016/2015
Consumer Choices
169.9 8.1% 9.8% 0.0% -1.7% 27.5 0.3 16.2% -1.1pts
Consumer Experiences
190.5 -6.9% -6.0% 2.0% -2.9% 7.7 1.6 4.0% 1.1pts
Other 0.1 - - - - -3.0 2.9 - -
Group 360.5 -0.6% 0.9% 0.9% -2.4% 32.1 4.8 8.9% 1.4pts
15© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
622
Strong organic growth in Latin America and CEE/METASales in m€
North America Northern Europe
In % Q1
Total -2.6
Organic -3.2
FX +0.2
74 72
2015 2016
In % Q1
Total -1.9
Organic -0.7
FX -1.6
136 133
2015 2016
CEE/META
In % Q1
Total 0.0
Organic +7.1
FX -7.1
29 29
2015 2016
Latin America
In % Q1
Total +19.5
Organic +44.9
FX -29.5
14 17
2015 2016
Southern & Western Europe
In % Q1
Total +0.4
Organic -2.9
FX -
63 63
2015 2016
Asia and the Pacific
In % Q1
Total -1.2
Organic +1.4
FX -2.6
46 45
2015 2016
16© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
AOI bridge GfK Group
8.9
Q1 2016Sales mix/phasing/other
1.6
Restructuring/Utilization
0.6
Depreciation(TAM)
-0.8
Q1 2015
7.5
Q1 2015 AOI margin compared to Q1 2016 (in pts)
17© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Group – Staff Development
169
204
Q1 2016
+1%
13.639
Netquestacquisition
GSC ramp-up and Other
-139
Sector CE
SectorCC
-80
YE 2015
13.485
Productivity and Capacity management
Scope of consolidationand GSC
+154
18© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Strong EBIT and total income improvement
In m€2015
Q12016
Q12016 vs. 2015Changes in %
Sales 362.5 360.5 -0.6
Gross income from sales 107.3 102.7 -4.3
SGA expenses -83.1 -73.3 11.7
Other operating expenses (net) -4.7 -1.9 60.1
Highlighted items 7.7 4.5 -40.9
Adjusted operating income 27.3 32.1 17.6
AOI Margin 7.5% 8.9% 1.4pts
Highlighted items -7.7 -4.5 40.9
Operating income 19.6 27.5 40.5
Income from participations 1.2 0.1 -89.3
EBIT 20.9 27.7 32.7
EBIT Margin 5.8% 7.7% 1.9pts
Financial result -6.6 -2.8 56.8
Income before tax 14.3 24.8 73.8
Tax on income -5.1 -9.3 -83.3
Tax rate 35.6% 37.6% 2.0pts
Consolidated total income 9.2 15.5 68.6
Earnings per share 0.17 0.40 135.3
19© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Highlighted items
In m€2015
Q12016
Q1
Write-ups and write-downs of additional assetsidentified on acquisitions
-1.3 -1.0
Income and expenses in connectionwith share and asset deals
0 -1.7
Income and expenses in connectionwith reorganization and improvement projects
-5.1 -1.3
Personnel expenses for share-based incentive payments -0.6 -1.0
Currency conversion differences -0.5 1.0
Income and expenses related to one-off effectsand other exceptional circumstances
-0.2 -0.5
Total highlighted items -7.7 -4.5
20© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Cash flow
In m€2015
Q12016
Q1 Changes
Consolidated total income 9.2 15.5 6.3
Amortization (incl. reversal) 15.3 17.0 1.7
Changes in inventories, receivables, payables 2.1 18.5 16.4
Others -1.4 3.6 5.0
Interest result 4.1 3.7 -0.4
Taxes paid -10.3 -11.7 -1.4
Cash flow from operating activity 19.0 46.6 27.6
CAPEX -20.3 -18.6 1.7
Acquisitions, other financial investmentsand asset disposals
-5.9 -22.1 -16.2
Free cash flow after acquisitions,other investments and asset disposals
-7.1 6.0 13.1
Cash flow from financing activity 36.3 191.2 154.9
21© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
1 Rounding differences possible
In m€ 1 31.12.2014 31.12.2015 Q1-2016 April 2016
< 3 Years 62% 53% 41% 16%
> 3 Years and < 12 Years 38% 47% 49% 84%
Total debt (gross) 389 437 635 461
Cash [93] [130] [324] [126]
Bank debt (net) 296 307 311 335
IFRS debt (net) 393 400 405
Net Debt to EBITDA (IFRS) 1.94 1.73 1.69
RCF/Credit Lines 279 286 296 286
31
1411
43 51
22
27
Funding structurein %
BondSchuldschein fixBank loans
Schuldschein floating
Maturity profile of financial debt and Net Debt to EBITDA improved
22© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
52 63 6855 59
2828 26
29 23
38 9
43
100 100
0
40
80
120
160
200
2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e
118100
137
~ 180~ 180
We invested heavily in our Media Measurement expansion
Business Expansion Financial Investment including NPD deal 2015Replacement
TAM contracts in Brazil and KSA needed significant investment in panel set-up in 2014/2015
2016 Business expansion investment at reduced level due to TAM deals
Ongoing high investment in IT Infrastructure and Data & Technology
M&A placeholder in 2016/2017 at increased level (e.g. Netquest)
In m€
23© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Depreciation/amortization will increase due to high investments
From 2016 onwards increasing depreciation/amortization is expected in Consumer Choices Sector due to� Audience Measurement projects� StarTrack/Neo
investment of the past � Business projects,
e.g. AutoCat, Health & Medical
Higher depreciation/amortization in Other reflects investment in ERP and IT Infrastructure as well as a revised reporting logic from 2014 onwards
Sector Others Sector Consumer ExperiencesSector Consumer Choices
1220 21 23 23
29
29 3039 4413
10 7
88
0
20
40
60
80
100
2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e
5459 58
7570
In m€
24© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK´s two Sectors
25© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Consumer Choices: How to become and remain the currency
26© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
- Point of Sales Tracking -Our market insights drive clients decision
27© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
… we use quantified insights to track both current demand real-time and produce accurate forecasts of company’s future end-demand trends and quarterly reported metrics on a bi-weekly basis.
Point of sales tracking: Global sales data on millions of products
Global coverage(+90 countries) and
local market expertise
Point-of-sale datausing the world's
largest retail network
4.5 million productsin our database
Weekly, monthly, quarterly reporting
Constantly adding new categories (e.g. wearables)
Volume, value, features, pricing, distribution…
28© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
The top products – as % of our sales*
Telecom
IT
Consumer Electronics
Entertainment
Photo
Products
MDA/SDA
Others
15%
14%
13%
6%
3%
24%
Percentage
25%
* POS Tracking
29© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Modeling based on sell-in data does not accurately predict demand…
…failing to provide a third party picture of true consumer end demand.
Shipment data forecasts
Seasonality
Market sizing
Validity
Significant seasonality differences in shipments versus end-user demand
Many shipments don’t remain in the country so result in an overstatement of the addressable consumer market
Shipment data often available on a regional level and country shipments may be estimated
Point of sales (POS) data forecastsversus
POS data are consumer sales onlyfrom a validated outlet channel
POS data is fact-based
Weekly POS data allows faster reaction to changing market trends
?
30© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK data & technology proof point
StarTrack Point of Sales Tracking Platform
Demand
Data
Technology
• Mass processing of global retail tracking datafrom approx. 400.000 shops
• Automated generation of >2 million market reportsand deliverables for industry & retail clients
• Ad-hoc analytics for >13.000 daily users
• Unique global GfK taxonomy for products and shops• Flexibility to process thousands of input formats• Flexibility to code a great variety of products and articles• Advanced data masking and security treatment• Automated extrapolation and quality control
• Single, global production system• Web portal & analytical self services for clients• IBM Cognos query engine, custom dashboards• Oracle DB, HP+DELL, EMC Disk Storage,
IBM & VIOLIN Flash Storage• 7x24 operations
• StarTrack• 600 product groups
• 10m products
• 400k retailers
• >15b fact records
• >60TB raw data
• >400TB storage
31© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
- Media & Entertainment data -The currency for ad spending
32© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Why: Every media and advertising economy needs a common trading currency
for buying and selling advertising that is trustworthy, transparent, consistent, and acceptable to both buyers and sellers, by means of continuous electronic quantitative measurement of media usage:
ShareA program’s audience as the proportion of total TV sets in use at that time within a designated market
RatingsTotal viewership of a TV program within a designated market
ProfileAge, gender, income, area and other demographic and behavioural characteristics of viewers
Benefits
To measure and improve the effectiveness of airtime trading
Com
mer
cial
To measure station and program performance
Pro
duct
ion
Factors
Media currency
33© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Audience measurement contracts have their own DNA
Long negotiation periods:typically 12 - 24 months
"All-or-nothing"long contract periods: 3 - 7 years
Price competitive markets
Syndicated and JIC approach
"In or Out" positioning anddifferentiation as winning factors
Hardware not any longerthe selling factor
Stable Revenue
base
Differentiators
Building trust• E.g. Safeguarding TAM Guideline
Innovation/thought leadership• Driving the future• Move to digital
Commercial excellence• Strengthen negotiation skills
to secure growth und ensure profitability
Global capabilities• Focus on own hard- and software and
standardized processes
34© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK-Router
Cable- / DSL- / Sat-Connection
GfK Ethernet LAN
Ethernet LAN(DHCP)
GfK WirelessLAN
WirelessLAN
Residential Gateway
(Modem + Router)
The GfK Router connects to the existing Router through a regular Ethernet cable and creates its own WiFi local network.
35© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Audience Measurement global presence
Middle East
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (TV)
Africa
Morocco (TV)
Asia and the Pacific
Australia (Radio)New Zealand (Radio)Singapore (TV, digital)Malaysia (Radio)
Europe
Austria (TV, Radio)Belgium (TV, Radio)Germany (TV, Radio)Italy (Radio)Lebanon (TV)Netherlands (TV, Radio)Portugal (TV)Romania (Radio)Ukraine (Radio)Switzerland (Radio)Sweden (Consultancy on TV, Radio, Online)
North America
USA (MRI)
Latin America
Brazil (TV)
36© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
- Cross Media Measurement -Closing the loop
37© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Average 8 hours and 41 minutes of media consumption and device use a day!
Helping advertisers and media owners thrive ina complex media landscape
� Consumers have more media choices than ever before� More connected devices provide more opportunities to view� Online media consumption happens anywhere there’s internet� Fewer ‘traditional’ viewing occasions� Rapidly growing data trail of media and product use
BARB December 2014, TV viewing in home on a TV set. RAJAR Q4 2014 Average hrs per listener. OFCOM 2014 Communication Market report
4 hoursa day
TV
1.5 hours a day
PC tablet, smartphone
3 hoursa day
Radio
38© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK Crossmedia Link: Single source measurement covering digital and non-digital channels
All measured on our Crossmedia Link platform
Device Behaviors(On-device behavioral measurement)
TV (passive and survey), Print, Magazine & Radio Behaviors(Survey media data)
Other Datasets(Purchase data, demographics, lifestyle data)
39© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Crossmedia Link can add value on three levels:
� Measure cross media exposure� Maximize your media mix � Realizing true value of
incremental reach
Crossmedia measurementGfK single-sourcedata across all devices
� Enhanced segmentationand targeting
� Programmatic advertising� Campaign/Audience
validation
Big data integrationThird party, census, network, planning data
� Brand Lift� Sales Uplift � Purchase Journey � ROI
Crossmedia effectiveness GfK purchase data, GfK survey data , client transaction data
40© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Ads in TV Mobile
Online Purchases
GfK Crossmedia Link
GfK Crossmedia Link: Cross-media measurementand buying behavior in a single-source panel
3 countries added, now 10 countries total
Contracts with anchor clients in 7 countries
Access to more than 65,000 single-source panelistswith passive internet behavior measurement
Data handling and operations via One Global Service Center
Single-source panels used as reference layer
Globally scaling project
Double digit sales growth in 2015
Progress 2015
41© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Consumer Experiences:DRIVE: A end-to-end platform, digitalizing theprocess chain
42© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK DRIVE is moving beyond a portal supporting survey-based tracking, toward a fully integrated data management system
Modular deploymentmade flexible and easy
One Seamless Platform allowing data integration and fusion between GfK or
non-GfK data sources: no project-related data silos
“Next Generation” technology capacity and database for near
real time deliveries
Connecting People in one single interactive platform and facilitating
your life with intuitive and easy usage
End-to-end digital platform increasing efficiencies, consistency and quality
It is an all in one agile, dynamic, real-time, with interactive visualization, that provides multi-source data capture, data management, reporting and analytics
43© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
• Global BACE team adopted the Drive platform for their products
• > 30 Echo and more than > 50 continuous brand and communication products
• Operations centralized in service center
44© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
ECHO example
45© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
SCALABLE PRODUCTS
A whole new level of service for clients, wherever and whenever via tablet or PC
Platform-business: Major products added to “Drive” platform
Most prominent clients
GfK EchoTracks and improves the experiences of customers in real-time
GfK Brand VivoFlexible, cost-effective and real-time access to brand metrics
GfK Experience EffectsFlexible, cost-effective and real-time access to brand communication metrics
Launched in 2013
Currently >25 international clients from Finance, Automotive, Technology & other industries
Launched in Q4 2015
Available in all regions (some limitations in APAC)
Launched in Q4 2015
Available in all regions (some limitations in APAC)
46© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Productivity improvements
March 2016
47© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Consumer Experiences productivity improvements
2004 2008 Q1 2016
unknownShare of revenue from branded products
Data collection platforms
Complexity reduction
Share of data collection through digital methods
unknown 46%
20 16 2
100+ 80 6
5% 30% ≤ 75%
48© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Operational progress: reduction of complexity
In 2015 number of legal entities reduced to 182 Basis for further consolidation
ReductionExpansion Entities as at Dec. 31st
Cross ownership with The NPD Group unwound and replaced with strategic partnership agreement
� Opens leeway for further mergers of subsidiaries
� Share of earnings attributable to minority interests (before impairments) declines from 17 % (2014) to 5% (2015)
Number of legal entities Cross ownership unwound
224209 203 201
189 184 182
6
810 11
4 9
21
14 1223
9 11
150
175
200
225
250
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-19%
49© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
The NPD Group – GfK cross ownership unwinding
� Share of earnings attributable to minority interests (before impairments) declines from 17 % (2014) to 5% (2015)
� EPS will increase due to reduced consolidated total income attributable to minority shareholders
Financial benefits to GfK SE shareholders
� Simplification of GfK’s group structure, governance and management complexities (no longer NPD minority rights)
� Path to realization of “One GfK” Strategy cleared (ideally one legal entity per country)
Operational benefits to GfK
� Complete unwinding of cross ownership
� Establishment of new contractual strategic partnership
New partnership
� GfK and The NPD Group (NPD) started to cooperate in 1980‘s
� Cross ownership structure: � NPD held 5% in GfK RandT D and indirectly its
subsidiaries (plus additional direct minority investments)� GfK held 25% in NPD Intelect, LLC, USA
and two further minority interests
� Cross dividend payments approx. net each other
History
50© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
2016 – GfK in the future and guidance
March 2016
51© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
One CCO per Sector
� full sector accountability (P&L, product portfolio, client delivery, external reporting)
“One GfK” approach reflected in Management Board setup
One MBM per Region
� steer region(s) to deliver sector and cross sector targets
� drive “One GfK”
One GfK Industries
� drive GfK’s global and cross sector offering via a top down approach
One GfK Operations
� manage Operations processes and services
� ensure high quality and deliver on client needs
Christian Diedrich Chief Financial Officer
David KrajicekChief Commercial Officer
Alessandra Cama Chief Operations Officer
Dr. Gerhard HausruckingerChief Commercial Officer
Matthias HartmannChief Executive Officer
52© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Focus 2016
Consumer
ChoicesConsumer
Experiences
Deliver on TAM projects
Expand GfK Crossmedia Link
Drive PoS Measurement innovation
Grow value added services
Drive multi-channel commercial activation
Integrate NORM & Netquest
Push branded products
Increase efficiency
Efficiency – Reduce operation costs
Quality – Increase perceived client quality
Speed – Speed up time to market
Digital Innovation – Build digital panels and raise data innovation
Operations
GfK
GroupUse benefits of “One GfK“
Use benefits of Operations
Reduce complexity
Active product portfolio management
with digital focus
53© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Guidance 2016
• The year started in line with expectations. Sales coverage as at the end of March 2016 was
60.8% of predicted annual sales (2015: 60.4%), which is well in line with historic range of 56%
to 63% over the last 5 years.
• In 2016 the Group anticipates a modest organic growth higher than in the previous year and
above the market research industry.
• The AOI (Adjusted Operating Income) margin should increase considerably.
Start of the year 2016
Guidance
54© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Appendix
55© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
0.46
0.30
0.48
0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65
20.217.8
20.7
26.9
37.0
32.730.1
29.6
0,00
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
0,50
0,60
0,70
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40Dividendin €
Pay-outratio1)
in %
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.51 3.14 2.14 1.63 2.38 1.90 1.94 1.73
EPS (excl. Goodwill impairments) 2.04 1.42 1.99 2.06 1.43 1.66 1.79 2.09
EPS (incl. Goodwill impairments) 2.04 1.42 1.99 2.06 1.43 -1.48 0.16 1.01
Dividend per share Range of pay-out ratio Pay-out ratio1)
Dividend proposal: €0.65 per share, unchanged
1) Pay-out ratio as percentage of consolidated total income adjusted by the following goodwill depreciation: 114.6 m€ (2013), 59.5 m€ (2014) resp. 39.4 m€ (2015)
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
56© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK Verein56.46%
Europe (w/o Germany)6.79%
Germany4.85%Retail
3.50%
UK & Ireland20.33%
North America7.88%
Mgmt. Board and Supervisory Board0.03%
Institutional Investors
40.01%
Rest of the World 0.16 %
Retail investors in Germany onlyFigures arise from a total outstanding no. of shares: 36,503,896Source: NASDAQ OMX - Data as at January 31st 2016
Shareholder structure
57© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
GfK Investor Relations [email protected]://twitter.com/GfK+49 911 395 – 2012
STAY IN TOUCH WITH US
58© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Key financial dates to remember
H1/ Half Year Results 2016 August 12, 2016 Available online on gfk.com
Q3/ Nine Months Results 2016 November 14, 2016 Available online on gfk.com
Trading Statement January 31, 2017 Available online on gfk.com
Annual Report 2016 Accounts Press conference
March 14, 2017 Available online on gfk.com
Q1/ First Quarter Results 2017 May 15, 2017 Available online on gfk.com
Annual General Meeting May 18, 2017 Fuerth/GE
H1/ Half Year Results 2017 August 14, 2017 Available online on gfk.com
Q3/ Nine Months Results 2017 November 13, 2017 Available online on gfk.com
Please contact [email protected] for further information on any of the publications or events
59© GfK 2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austria Conference - Berlin, 8th – 10th June 2016
Events to remember
DB German Swiss & Austrian Conference
June 8, 2016 Berlin/GE
Roadshow June 22, 2016 New York/US
Please contact [email protected] for further information on any of the publications or events