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better together … we deliver
Sasol presentation on carbon taxto the Portfolio Committee on Trade and Industry
20 August 2013
22better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
presentation overview
Negative impact of tax on Sasol
Sasol background & mitigation progress
Conclusion
Policy process
33better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
presentation overview
Policy process
Negative impact of tax on Sasol
Sasol background & mitigation progress
Conclusion
44better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
Sasol has exploration, development, production, marketing and sales operations in 38 countries across the world, employing more than 34 000 people.
Our vision is to grow profitably, sustainably and inclusively, delivering value to stakeholders through technology and the talent of our people in the energy and chemical
markets in Southern Africa and worldwide
Sasol is a proudly South African based international company
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Confidential – not for further distribution
Sasol is committed to a strategy of investment in South Africa to 2050
Employment
• R14bn Sasol Mine Replacement Programme
• Exploration in SA and region continues
• R1.5bn Natural Gas Power Generation Unit
• R14bn Secunda Growth Project
• R8.4bn FT Wax Expansion Project
• R1.9bn Ethylene Purification Plant
• R1.1bn Cobalt Catalyst Plant
● 800 jobs created during the construction phase
● 52 permanent jobscreated
● 5,200 jobs created during construction phase
● 165 permanent jobs on project completion
● 5,000 jobs created during the construction phase
● 4,000 permanent jobs retained
Reducing carbon
footprint
Growing production
Ensuringlong term
sustainability
Sasol’s stated strategic intent may be impacted due to limited opportunities to further mitigate its carbon emissions
Current investment
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Confidential – not for further distribution
Sasol’s overall position- carbon tax
Sasol supports a response to climate change that is based on clear and accurate information and identifies the opportunities and reflects the constraints of a transition to a lower carbon and climate resilient South African economy.
Sasol believes that such a proactive response should recognise the following:
• the structure of the South African economy is inherently energy-intensive and, as such, presents a challenge as it cannot be transformed in the short- to medium-term to a lower carbon economy due to the lack of viable alternative lower carbon energy sources;
• the developmental needs of South Africa and the resultant demand in energy necessitate the prioritisation of long-term energy security for South Africa;
• mitigation actions in all industries would need to be introduced over time and will require international financing, technology and skills development support;
• the impact of policies to limit or tax carbon emissions on South Africa’s current international trade position and competitiveness needs to be better understood;
• the socio-economic impact of the transition to a lower carbon economy is likely to be significant and, accordingly, a range of trade-offs may be required to achieve the overall national imperatives of economic growth, job creation and poverty alleviation;
Sasol does not support the carbon tax in its current form, without a full understanding of its consequences on the economy in the form of aspects such as employment, competitiveness and trade measures
77better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
•reflects the constraints of a transition to a lower carbon and climate resilient South African economy.
•is based on analysis that uses clear and accurate information
•will effectively contribute to the reduction of GHG emissions
Sasol is committed to engaging in policy development to mitigate climate change...
Sasol supports a transition to a low carbon economy that is:
•a thorough analysis of the potential impacts & alternative options has not been performed
•does not align with South Africa’s broader mitigation policy;
•does not sufficiently take account of South Africa’s mitigation and socio-economic challenges
Sasol does not support the carbon tax in its current form as:
88better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
Objective
carbon tax needs to be seen in the broader policy context
National Climate Change Response White Paper
Durban Platform
IRP 2010 & IEP
Carbon tax
International negotiations
Environmental policy
Energy policy
Fiscal policy
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Confidential – not for further distribution
Sasol has substantially reduced its carbon footprint in SA …
Made possible by accommodative regulatory environment
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Confidential – not for further distribution
...which this was partially facilitated through natural gas imports from Mozambique
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2004:Initial investment (R12bn)
Ongoing:Exploration in Southern Africa(R3bn in 2009-11)
2010:New compressor station at Komatipoort
(R1bn)
2012:Expansion of the CPF¹ in Temane to 183 mGJ
(R1.8bn)
2013:New 155km Gauteng Network Pipeline
(R1.6bn)
2014:New 128km loop line in Mozambique
(R2bn)
Provision of feedstock alternative to customers facilitated further 2 mt emissions reduction
1111better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
presentation overview
Negative impact of tax on Sasol
Sasol background & mitigation progress
Conclusion
Policy process
1212better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
Objective
one needs to start with the international negotiations
National Climate Change Response
White Paper
Durban Platform
IRP 2010 & IEP
Carbon tax
• agreed at COP 17 in Durban
• applicable to all countries and will be agreed by 2015
• implementation in 2020 including use of new market instruments and economy wide targets
International negotiations
Environmental policy
Energy policy
Fiscal policy
1313better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
… and then understand national climate change policy …
• Governments vision for an
effective climate change
response
• Carbon budgeting
approach
• implementation through a
multi stakeholder technical
working group reporting to
the DG cluster
Objective
National Climate Change Response
White Paper
Durban Platform
IRP 2010 & IEP
Carbon tax
International negotiations
Environmental policy
Energy policy
Fiscal policy
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Confidential – not for further distribution
this approach was confirmed by DEA’s carbon budget – carbon tax interface study
…before considering how fiscal policy is to play a role …
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS
WHITE PAPER IMPLEMENTATION
COP17ADP agreed
COP21ADP finalised
draft policy document Design policy mix(including carbon tax)
Draft carbon tax policy document
MitigationPotential analysis
Sector / companyCarbon budget
White PaperGazetted
1515better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
presentation overview
Negative impact of tax on Sasol
Sasol background & mitigation progress
Conclusion
Policy process
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Confidential – not for further distribution
current carbon tax design will not assist Sasol & industry in meeting the climate change policy objectives
Open cycle gas turbines, Secunda Sasol Synfuels, Secunda
• mitigation options that are technical feasible already included in carbon budget;
• Sasol will be following an agreed mitigation plan;
• tax reduces funds available to invest in low carbon feedstock alternatives.
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Confidential – not for further distribution
....but will impact negatively upon our business
Concerns
• Carbon tax more onerous than other jurisdictions *(R12 – R174)
• lack of ability to pass cost through – due to trade exposure & regulation
• multiple carbon prices – IRP, non renewable levy
•punitive for beneficiation activities
•escalating price can change investment decisions
•Tax policy complex and lacking sufficient clarity
Competitiveness
Impact on investment
• no economic analysis done on current tax proposals
• World Bank study highlighted risk of loss of low skill jobs
Insufficient
Analysis
* Depending on exemption and impact of Z factor
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Confidential – not for further distribution
• higher electricity price to fund low carbon build plan ~ R116 /ton
• non renewable electricity levy ~ R35 /ton
• costs to meet mitigation plan
• Carbon tax
Multiple carbon cost
• Air Quality Act
• clean Fuels
• Waste Act
Other environmental cost
current policy environment pointing towards multiple costs for industry & consumers
1919better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
presentation overview
Negative impact of tax on Sasol
Sasol background & mitigation progress
Conclusion
Policy process
2020better together…we deliver
Confidential – not for further distribution
proposed way forward
Progress
await the outcome of DEA’s carbon budgeting process – achieve alignment
design appropriate policy instruments to support carbon budgeting process
Create appropriate regulatory & fiscal environment to:• encourage achievement of carbon budget• balance environmental & socio economic objectives• align to international agreements
end
2014
2015
2015
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Confidential – not for further distribution
• Economic impacts not adequately considered
o analysis insufficient
o impact upon competitiveness and jobs
o negative impact of multiple carbon prices
• Lack of alignment with overall mitigation policy
• Impact upon mitigation likely to be limited
Sasol is concerned about the carbon tax policy proposed:
in conclusion