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Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy...

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This presentation by Shahid Naeem from Columbia University focuses on the three central biodiversity issues: 1. Ecosystem services and biodiversity 2. Functional biodiversity and climate change 3. Bio-ecological adaptation
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Beyond IPCC Scenarios: Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy- Relevant Scales. Biodiversity Global Landscapes Forum | Warsaw 2013 Shahid Naeem Columbia University in the City of New York
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Page 1: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation

at Management- and Policy- Relevant Scales.

Biodiversity

Global Landscapes Forum | Warsaw 2013

Shahid Naeem

Columbia University in the City of New York

Page 2: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Three Central Biodiversity Issues

1. Ecosystem services and biodiversity

2. Functional biodiversity and climate change

3. Bio-ecological adaptation

(in 12 minutes)

Page 3: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Why Does Biodiversity Matter?

The Millennium AssessmentPerspective

Biodiversity →Ecosystem Function →

Ecosystem Service →Human Well-being

Page 4: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Over 20 years of research.

Page 5: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales
Page 6: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales
Page 7: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Lin, B. B., D. Flynn, D. Bunker, M. Uriarte, &S. Naeem 2011 J. Applied Ecology

1 of 5: Native vegetation has greater capacity to provide ecosystem services under changing environmental conditions..

Page 8: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Meha J., C. M. Prager, D. F.B. Flynn, G. M. Hart, C. M. DeVan, M. I. Palmer, F. S. Ahrestani, D. E. Bunker, & S. Naeem. (In Press 2014) Evolutionary Ecology

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2 of 5: Rare species can substitute for common species: Biological insurance.

Page 9: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Bunker, D. E., F. DeClerck, J. C. Bradford, R. K. Colwell, I. Perfecto, O. L. Phillips, M. Sankaran, and S. Naeem. 2005. Species Loss and Aboveground Carbon Storage in a Tropical Forest. Science 310:1029-1031.

3 of 5: Biodiverse systems, on average, store more carbon and do so more reliably.

Page 10: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

4 of 5: Biodiversity is multidimensional.

Page 11: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Zavaleta et al. PNAS 2009

5 of 5: More functions and services need more species.

Page 12: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

If you keep loosing spices, eventually curry is just salt

Page 13: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

If you keep loosing parts, eventually all you have is junk

Page 14: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

If you keep loosing species, eventually ecosystems collapse

http://blog.ecoagriculture.org/2012/10/03/broa/

Page 15: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

If you keep losing biodiversity, eventually ecosystems (farms, forests, grasslands,

rangelands, gardens,…) collapse

• become less efficient,

• exhibit lower levels of functioning,

• deliver fewer services,

• become less reliable (more unpredictable, more variable),

• less resilient,

• and eventually the pillars of human well-being decline

• with the poor and vulnerable being the first to experience the adverse consequences biotic impoverishment.

Page 16: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network, Thematic Group 8

Forests, Oceans, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Serviceshttp://unsdsn.org/thematicgroups/tg8/

Page 17: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Synergies Between Climate Change and Biodiversity at the Landscape Level

• The Message: Diverse systems are more efficient and resilient

– 20 years of research

– scientific consensus

– not a hypothesis; a guiding principle

Page 18: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Synergies Between Climate Change and Biodiversity at the Landscape Level

• Biodiversity" is not about species richness

• nor is it just about conservation biology

• clarify what biodiversity is

• focus on functional, genetic, and landscape diversity

Page 19: Beyond IPCC Scenarios:Synergies Between Climate Adaptation and Mitigation at Management- and Policy Relevant Scales

Synergies Between Climate Change and Biodiversity at the Landscape Level

• The Convention on Biological Diversity and the UNFCCC create confusion. Countries sign on to international agreements that lack integration and miss opportunities for synergy

–Generate a set of coherent guidelines

– the CBD, IPCC, REDD+, SDSN, CDM, and SDGs create a complex landscape that is difficult to navigate – let’s provide a roadmap.


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