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UNCTAD 17th Africa OILGASMINE, Khartoum, 23-26 November 2015 Extractive Industries and Sustainable Job Creation Biofuel Potential for Transport Sector in Sudan By Abdel Azim Wida’a General Directorate for Energy Affairs (GDEA), Ministry of Petroleum and Gas, Republic of the Sudan The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of UNCTAD.
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Page 1: Biofuel potential for transport sector in Sudan - unctad.orgunctad.org/meetings/en/Presentation/17OILGASMINE Abdel Azim Wida'… · Biofuel Potential for Transport Sector in Sudan

UNCTAD

17th Africa OILGASMINE, Khartoum, 23-26 November 2015

Extractive Industries and Sustainable Job Creation

Biofuel Potential for Transport Sector in Sudan

By

Abdel Azim Wida’a General Directorate for Energy Affairs (GDEA),

Ministry of Petroleum and Gas, Republic of the Sudan

The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of UNCTAD.

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Republic of Sudan

Ministry of Petroleum

General Directorate for Energy Affairs (GDEA)

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Outline

• Introduction

• Transport Sector

• Natural resources

• Ethanol & Biodiesel

• Opportunity

• Way Forward

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Introduction

Background:

• Sudan has a total area of 1.88 M km2, and in 2014, total

population was estimated at 35.5 million

• Urban population represents about 41% of the total population.

• Annual population growth rate are projected at 2.14% annually.

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Introduction (continued)

Biofuel

- Increasing global interest in liquid biofuel

(Reducing GHGE, rural development & energy security)

- Biofuels target the transport sector (CO2 emissions from transport >22% of world energy-related CO2

emissions and 75% from Road transport)

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Introduction (continued)

Global biofuel production grew rapidly in the last decade Reached 70.8 million toe in 2014

22% average annual growth 2000-10, but only 1.2% 2010-14

Biofuels provide around 3% of total road transport fuel today

Support policies main driver behind biofuel development more than 50 countries (including many developing countries)

have now adopted blending mandates and targets

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Th

ou

san

d m

etri

c to

ne

of

toe

Year

Biofuel production 2000- 2014

Global Biofuel Supply

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Introduction (continued)

Africa –Biofuels Market

African biofuel production and consumption in million liters

Africa Produces 70 to 135 million liters, and 2.3 to11.7 ML

annually

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Introduction (continued)

Africa –State of Biofuel Development:

Biofuels development in African has recently attracted

considerable interest.

The biofuels used today in Africa are ethanol and biodiesel,

used to fuel car engines

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Biofuel Potential in selected African countries (ML)

Bioethanol Biodiesel

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Transport Sector

Sudan Energy Balance:

The primary energy is about 12.193 million toe, in 2014.

Petroleum energy supply represented 18% in 1990, and 38.5 %

of the total energy supply in 2014.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1990 2003 2007 2014

Biomass

Petroleum

Hydro

Energy Balance 2014 Energy Mix 1990-2014

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Transport Sector (continued)

Facts:

In 2014, the share of this sector in the total final energy

consumption in the country was 32%.

Transport sector uses petroleum products only.

This sector is the biggest petroleum product consumer; it

consumed about 58% of the Petroleum supply

houshold

40%

Transport

32%

services

16%

industry

11%

agricultur

e

1%

The main end use sectors

Industry

8% Agriculture

1%

Electricity

25%

Transport

58%

Household

8%

Petroleum consumption by Sectors.

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Transport Sector (continued)

Road transport:

The transport sector plays a vital role in various

aspects of life(22% share on GDP within Service Sector)

Road transport uses gasoline &diesel only.

Road transport is the largest consumer in transport

sector ( 84%)

RAILWAY

4%

SEA & RIVER

0% AIR

12%

ROAD

84%

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Transport Sector – Future Prospect

We expect continued growth in the next few years:

Factors include:

1: Increased interest and development in the agricultural sector.

2:The Transportation of human and agricultural products.

3: The continuous growth in the vehicles fleet that is powered by

gasoline.

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

4000000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Annual consumption of diesel and gasoline products(tone)

during 2000 -2014

diesel

gasolinel

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The Natural Resources of Sudan that give it

advantages on biofuel production:

Soil and agricultural land.

Water Resources.

Climate.

SUDAN: Why Biofuel Production?

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Natural resources (continued)

Soil and agricultural land:

Sandy soil: North and West of Sudan, (cultivation of millet,

peanuts, and sesame ).

Clay soil: Mid and Eastern Sudan

(cotton , rain-fed mechanized agriculture, and forest cover)

The mountainous area (Jebel Marra)

(cultivates crops such as strawberries and apples)

The Nuba Mountains, which consists of several

intermittent hills (Rain-fed mechanized agriculture).

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Natural resources (continued)

Water Resources:

Rain

Surface

water

Ground

water

Treated

water

25 to200 mm

(North to mid)

600 to 800 mm

(Green Belt area)

Nile River

system

(18.5 bnm3/y)

>than 50%

of the area of

Sudan

(15.2bnm3)

Sewage &

Petroleum

processes

(0.07bnm3)

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Natural resources (continued)

Types of Climates:

Desert climate and semi-desert dry

The savanna climate poor

average rainfall

The savanna rich prolific

climate rainfall

The Mediterranean Sea

Temperatures range

between 45 degrees to 6

degrees

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ETHANOL: Current Development

Current Activities:

Sudan started blending

ethanol with gasoline (E10)

A draft law for biofuel

prepared by national

committee.

Biofuel Studies &

other related activities

are part of the 2015-2016

Petroleum and Gas

Ministry plan.

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ETHANOL: Production

Ethanol production and forecast

Ethanol production in Sudan is based mainly on

Sugar cane by-products.

Sugar industry in Sudan is

considered as a potential

industry(655 thousand tonne)

Kennana sugar factory

represents about 50% of the

whole production ,establish

ethanol factory (65 ML).

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ETHANOL: Future development

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Ethanol production forecast:

According to the Sugar Sector Strategic Plan 2020,

Ethanol production well increase from existing

factories, Kennana, Sudanese sugar corporation, white

Nile and the new factories, from 50 ML to 200 ML in

2020 strategy.

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BIODIESEL

Biodiesel raw material:

Sudan lies in the tropical zone

where a lot of raw materials can

be grown, (crops include

soybeans, Jatropha).

Confined to the Sudanese

experience in biodiesel production

the Jatropha have been cultivated

on a small-scale farms.

(Jatropha tree grow in South Kordofan regions)

The animal fat or

vegetable oils are the main

sources for the production of

bio-diesel

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Opportunities for Biofuel investments:

1. Sudan has more than 60 million hectares of idle land,

cultivable through modern or traditional irrigation.

Potential investment in innovative solutions can help

advance biofuel production (Use of underground water and

application of efficient water use technologies)

2. Jatropha, produced in deforested areas of the tropical

forests, has great potential for the profitable production

of biodiesel.

3. In turn, the Sudanese State has been promoting

strategic partnerships for investment in the

agribusinesses.

4. . Sudan has highly skilled human resources at low cost,

which gives it a competitive advantage on an

international level.

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Opportunities for Biofuel investments

5. Rapid increase in fuel consumption(1.4 M ton of

diesel &1M ton of gasoline, opportunity for biofuel blending).

6. Sudan has the potential to become a major

conduit for regional trade to landlocked countries

such as Chad and South Sudan.

7. Vehicle sales expect steady growth at an annual

average rate of 9.1%, (which will see sales reach 4,920 units

by 2019)

8.The Sudanese investment Act of 2013

(The project of investment enjoys all privileges and would have

all guarantees)

9. Agriculture Sector in Sudan

(It created 39% of the GDP , employed > 60% of the population ).

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Way Forward

• Strategic commitment to biofuels for transportation

(Clear government policy regulations and incentives),

are a pre-requisite for the development of the biofuels

industry.

• The efforts could lead to sustainable biofuel for

transportation.(Opening dialogues with environmental

experts and NGOs. As well as getting closer to the on-

going certification processes on biofuel industry).

• We need to study our potential in more details (and to

seek or find a biodiesel plant that can grow on marginal

area).

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