Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Biogeochemical Process-Based Modeling of Nutrients and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from California Dairies(A on-going project supported by California Energy Commission PIER and USDA NRI programs)
William Salas*, Applied Geosolutions, LLC
Changsheng Li, University of New Hampshire, Durham
Frank Mitloehner, University of California, Davis
Charles Krauter, California State University, Fresno
John Pisano, University of California, Riverside
* [email protected], ph: 603-292-5747
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
California Dairy Industry
Source: CDFA 2004
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
1999 California CH4 Emissions31.65 MMTCO2eq
Energy13%
Waste47%
Agriculture40%
Manure Management41%
Enteric Fermentation
55%
Rice Paddies4% Burning Ag.
Residues0%~
Source: CEC 2002 GHG Inventory
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Agricultural Soils62%
Manure Management
5%
Manure appliedsoils32%
Burning Ag. Residues
1%
1999 California N2O Emissions 23.55 MMTCO2eq
Agriculture65%
Energy29%
Waste5%
Industrial Processes
1%
Source: CEC 2002 GHG Inventory
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Modify an existing “process-based”biogeochemical model (DNDC) for estimating CH4, NH3, NO, N2O emissions from dairy systems in California.Collect field data to calibrate and validate this modelBuild GIS databases on soils, climate, dairy locations, and manure management.Apply the model to estimate emissions across California. Note: model is designed for both regional and single farm simulations.
Project Goals
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
What are Process-based Models?
Process-based modeling refers to biochemical and geochemical reactions or processes
Process modeling, in this case, does not refer to AFO practices or components (e.g. dairy drylots or manure lagoons) per se, but
Biogeochemical processes… like decomposition, hydrolysis, nitrification, denitrification, etc…True process-based models do not rely on constant emission factors. They simulate and track the impact on emissions of varying conditions within components of the dairies (e.g., climate, flush lanes, storage facility, soils).
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Role of Process-based ModelsAccurate assessment of air emissions from dairies with emission factors is difficult due to:
1. high variability in the quality and quantity of animal waste, and2. numerous factors affecting the biogeochemical transformations
of manure during collection, storage and field application. Measurement programs are essential but expensive and thus not feasible for monitoring, emission inventories, mitigation analyses and “what if” scenario analyses. Therefore, process-based models that incorporate mass balance constraints are needed to extrapolate air emissions in both space and time (NRC, 2003).
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Nitrogen Biogeochemistry of Manure
Manure production Manure organic pools N tranformation in manure
Dung
Bedding
Urine
Very labile litter N
Labile litter N
Resistant litter N
Labile microbial N
Resistant microbial N
Labile humad N
Resistant humad N
Passive humus NNH4+
NO3-
NH3
Clay-NH4+
NO2-
NO
N2O
N2
Atmospheric N deposit or fertilization
NH3N2NO N2O
Nitrification
Denitrification
Assimilation
Decomposition
Chemical equilibrium
HydrolysisLitter fall
Atmospheric deposition and fertilization
Gas emission
Chemodenitrification
Leaching
Urea
Fresh manure
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
ecologicaldrivers
Climate Soil Vegetation Human activity
soil environmentalfactors
Temperature Moisture pH Substrates: NH4+, NO3
-, DOCEh
Denitrification:• NO3
- consumption• net NO, N2O production• N2 production
Nitrification:• NH4
+ consumption • NO3
- production• Net NO, N2O production
Fermentation:• CH4 production• CH4 consumption• CH4 transport• net CH4 flux
Decomposition:• SOM decay• N-mineralization• CO2 production• DOC production
Plant growth:• water use• C accumulation• C allocation• root respiration• litter production
Soil climate:• temperature profiles• water profiles• water drainage• redox potential profiles
ecologicaldrivers
Climate Soil Vegetation Human activity
soil environmentalfactors
Temperature Moisture pH Substrates: NH4+, NO3
-, DOCEh
Denitrification:• NO3
- consumption• net NO, N2O production• N2 production
Nitrification:• NH4
+ consumption • NO3
- production• Net NO, N2O production
Fermentation:• CH4 production• CH4 consumption• CH4 transport• net CH4 flux
Decomposition:• SOM decay• N-mineralization• CO2 production• DOC production
Plant growth:• water use• C accumulation• C allocation• root respiration• litter production
Soil climate:• temperature profiles• water profiles• water drainage• redox potential profiles
The DNDC Model
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
DOC
Electron acceptor
O2
NO3
H2
CO2 N2O CH4
Trace gas production is induced by microbial activity based on…
Gain energy
Release electrons
Eh-driven microbial activity:
- Decomposers
- Denitrifiers
- Methanogens
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Soil Trace Gas Evolution Driven by Redox Potential (Eh)Soil CO2, N2O and CH4 production is driven by the microbes
demanding electron acceptors
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Why DNDC Model?• Contains algorithms for both anaerobic and aerobic
soil environments• Simulates full range of biogeochemical processes:
decomposition, hydrolysis, nitrification, denitrification, ammonium adsorption, chemical equilibriums of ammonium/ammonia, fermentation, and gas diffusion
• Well validated across a wide range of agroecosystems and is currently being used for national GHG emission inventories and mitigation studies worldwide.
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Observed and DNDC-Modeled N2O Fluxes from Agricultural Soils in the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Germany, New Zealand, China, Japan, and Costa Rica
0.1
1
10
100
1000
0.1 1 10 100 1000
Observed N2O flux, kg N/ha/year
Mod
eled
N2O
flux
, kg
N/h
a/ye
ar
0.4
0.
0. 0.4
0.032
0.37
0.
0.
0.033
0.05
0.037
0.340.41
0.43
0.032
0.032
0.032
0.035
0.015
0.0350.029
0.035
0.028
0.011
0.031
0.05
0.0290.029
0.006
0.01
0.0190.019
0.02 0.025 0.025
0.010.015
R2 = 0.84
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Structure of Manure-DNDC
Milk or meat production
Intake of C, N and water
Quantity and quality of fresh manure: dung
and urine
Temperature, moisture, pH, bedding and ventilation
Decomposition, hydrolysis, nitrification,
denitrification, fermentation
Emissions of CO2, NH3, CH4,
N2O, NO
Quantity and quality of manure
Aerobic storage or compost,
lagoon, slurry tank, digester
Decomposition, hydrolysis, nitrification,
denitrification, fermentation
Emissions of CO2, NH3, CH4,
N2O, NO
Quantity and quality of
residue manure
Climate, soil, farming
management
Decomposition, hydrolysis, nitrification,
denitrification, fermentation
Emissions of CO2, NH3, CH4,
N2O, NO
Soil C and N storage
Manure production Housing Storage Field application
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Model Status
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Easy to Use Input Interface for Defining Climate, Housing, Storage, Processing, Soil, and Field Application Conditions
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Manure-DNDC will be validated with datasets observed in housing, storage, treatment and
field application.
Sampling and measurement are conducted at feed-lot, housing, storage, lagoon and field in 3-5 dairy farms in CA in 2006-2007
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
GIS Soils: NRCS Soil Surveys• STATSGO (1:250K) and SSURGO (1:12k-1:63K)
Organic CarbonSoil pHSoil Texture, andBulk Density
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Environmental Factors: Climate Data
• DAYMET: Gridded (1kmx1km) daily min/max T, precipitation, relative humidity, and solar radiation. Available from 1980.
• CIMIS (California Irrigation Management Information System): station data with hourly Temp, Precip, Radiation, Rel Hum, Wind Speed, …).
• Built automated routines for data mining, QA/QC and pre-processing into Manure-DNDC format.
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
GIS and Site Specificity:Dairy Locations: Aerial Photos
GIS Data on:
Dairy Locations
Soils (soil propertiespH, SOC, texture,Bulk density)
Climate (daily/hr T,Precip, rel humidty,Wind, solar radiation)Merced 429Stanislaus 409Tulare 338Kings 199San Joaquin 199
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Manure Management Statistics• Objective: build spatially explicit database
on Type of dairy: flush, scrape, vacuum, etcType of housing: free stalls, open corals, etcManure handling: anaerobic lagoon, aerobic lagoon, anaerobic digester, composting, setting basin, land application, etc.Specifics on storage, treatment, and land application practices, etc.
Source: Permits and surveys
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Expected Project Outcomes:
• Biogeochemical process modeling tool for estimating air emissions (CH4, NH3, N2O, NO) and N leaching from California dairies;
• GIS databases on dairies (location, types, herd sizes, manure management, local soils, climate, etc);
• Improved understanding of manure management practices impact on GHGs.
• Regional estimates of NH3 and GHG emissions from California dairies;
• Emission inventory tool for emission inventories ranging from project or facility level up to air-district and state level
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
AB 32• Establishes statewide greenhouse gas
emissions caps• Animal feeding operations are an important
source of non-CO2 greenhouse gases (CH4and N2O)
• Climate Action Team Report: changes in manure management may be an important GHG mitigation strategy - anaerobic digesters may be a viable reduction strategy…
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Low decomposition
Low CO2, CH4, N2O
Low N leaching
High C sequestration
High decomposition
High CO2, CH4, N2O
High N leaching
Low C sequestration
Manure
Labile organic matter
Resistant organic matter
Digester
CH4 for energySoil
By tracking changes in quantity and quality of manure in its life cycle, process-based model can assess impacts of digester or other treatment on
environment in a comprehensive way
Emission Factors cannot capture this dynamic…need process models
Presented at the Dairy Emissions Research Symposium, Davis, CA, Oct 11, 2006
Thank you!