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Birth Weight and Childhood Cancer and Leukemia
•Update from the I4C Environmental Working Group on
Birth Weight and Childhood Cancer
Ora Paltiel, Hadassah-Hebrew University, School of Pubic Health, Jerusalem , Israel
Barcelona, Sept 2011
Birth weight per kg and childhood leukemia:
International Journal of CancerVolume 124, Issue 11, pages 2658-
2670 ,
Samuelsen (Epidemiology 2009) Norwegian Cancer Registry including 1,842,113 live-born infants born 1967 -1998 demonstrated an increase in leukemia risk of 29% per 1000g increase in birth
weight, increase for all cancers was 23% after adjustment for gestational age
High Birth weight and childhood ALL
International Journal of CancerVolume 124, Issue 11, pages 2658-2670, 18 DEC 2008 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.24225
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ijc.24225/full#fig2
Birth weight and childhood AML
International Journal of CancerVolume 124, Issue 11, pages 2658-2670, 18 DEC 2008 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.24225
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ijc.24225/full#fig3
Beyond birth weight… fetal growth and leukemia
Milne (AM J Epid 2009) showed an increased risk of childhood ALL for every 1-standard deviation increase in "proportion of optimal birth weight" (OR 1.18, 95%CI :1.04-1.34) derived from a regression equation including gestational age, maternal height, parity and infant sex
Birth certificate data of 2,254 children with cancer <5 years old at diagnosis and registered at Texas Cancer Registry 1995-2003 were compared to 11,734 age-matched controls .
•Using model diagnostics, the model containing BW corrected-for-gestational age was a better predictor than the model with BW alone
Determinants of birth weight
• Gestational age• Birth length• Child gender• Altitude• Birth order
• SES• ethnicity• Smoking• Gestational diabetes• Maternal height• Pre-pregnancy BMI• Gestational weight gain
New case for action.…
Prevalence of obesity in 20-29 yo females US 1960-2004
Prevalence of obesity among pregnant women
The I4C provides a unique opportunity
• to examine the relations using rich prospectively collected data, taking into account a large variety of covariates and modifiers of BW.
• The temporal and geographical diversity of cohorts participating in the I4C will allow the analysis of secular trends in the BW- cancer association as well as geographic/ ethnic variations in this relation.
Aim Of I4C study
• To investigate the association between birth weight (BW) and other measures of fetal growth and childhood cancer, specifically
leukemia, with specific attention to determinants of BW such as maternal obesity,
weight gain in pregnancy, pregnancy complications, in a pooled analysis of
childhood cancer cohorts.
Specific objectives
1. To examine the pattern of the association between BW and other measures of fetal growth and the risk of childhood AML, ALL, all leukemia, other cancers: U, linear, threshold effect, and examining BW both as a continuous and categorical variable
2. To examine these associations in specific age groups: Infant (up to age 1 year); Early childhood (1-4); Later childhood (5-9); Early adolescence (10-14), controlling for and in strata of maternal prepregnancy BMI, and weight gain during pregnancy.
• 3.To determine whether the associations are consistent over
time, and across ethnicities/geography groups using data from the various cohorts with inception times in different
epochs. eg CPP 1959-65, JPS 64-76, other cohorts in the 80s,90s, 2000
• 4. To investigate the hypothesis that diabetes in the mother, especially type 2DM and gestational DM increases the risk of cancer and no such association is seen for paternal diabetes.
Specific objectives cont’d
Feasibility
• The basic data on BW, gender, birth order and cancer incidence are available in all cohorts.
• In JPS data on gestational age, pre-pregnancy BMI and weight gain during pregnancy are only available for subcohort
Table 1: Participating cohort sample size and number of cancer and ALL cases.
Cohort Total
number live
births
Total number of cancer cases
Number of ALL
( %n/N)With BW >4000g
ALSPAC14 06224313%(1787/14082)
TIHS10 62831310%( 1080/10628)
JPS ) Perinatal Study(92 408166266%(5839/91917)
CPP(Collaborative
Perinatal Project)
58 000501112%(6413/55760)
DNBC?15158?
MoBa108 48710633?
TOTAL283 585528134(8.6%)15 119/175098
Next steps in analysis
• Analyse BW as continuous and categorical variable
• Add more covariates to analysis• Stratify analysis by maternal pre-pregnancy
BMI and weight• Stratify by weight gain in pregnancy• Use more sensitive indicators of fetal growth
Methods for incorporating fetal growth characteristics in analysis
• appropriateness of fetal growth measured as:
• Z-score of birth weight for gestation, • proportion of optimal birth weight,
Dreams
• Add more cohorts• Especially first year of life• Eventually add cohorts with biosamples to
broaden biologic and genetic hypotheses
• Gabriella Tikellis• Working group members
• Ora Paltiel JPS; Manolis Kogevinas, CREAL, Gabriella Tikellis MCRI, Martine Vrijheid CREAL; Martha Linet NCI, Terry Dwyer MCRI, Jorn Olson Statens Serum Institut and
others
• All participating cohorts• Mothers and babies