Bluefish Amendment 4 SMB Amendment 17 SF-SC-BSB Amendment 19

• Bluefish Amendment 4• SMB Amendment 17• SF-SC-BSB Amendment 19

Tab 4

Omnibus Recreational Accountability Amendment

AMs for when the ACL is exceeded. On an annual basis, the Council must determine as soon as possible after the fishing year if an ACL was exceeded. If an ACL was exceeded, AMs must be triggered and implemented as soon as possible to correct the operational issue that caused the ACL overage, as well as any biological consequences to the stock or stock complex resulting from the overage when it is known.

National Standard 1 Guidelines




Pro-Active AM

… monitor recreational landings…

At such time that the available data indicate that the recreational harvest limit has been met or exceeded…

…notification… the recreational fishery in the EEZ shall be closed


In Season Reactive AM

2012 Black Sea Bass RHL = 1.32 M lb (adjusted for RSA)2012 Black Sea Bass ACL = 2.52 M lb

Est. 2012 Rec. Landings through Wave 4 = 2.20 M lb

Federal Register / Vol. 77, No. 207 / Thursday, October 25, 2012 – Fishery Closed Nov 1, 2012


If 3-year average catch estimate > 3 year average ACL

the exact amount of the landings overage (in pounds) will be deducted, as soon as possible, from a subsequent single fishing year recreational sector ACT.

Phased in: 2012 (1 year), 2013 (2 year), 2014 (3 year)


Post Season Reactive AM

2012 Black Sea Bass Overage 2012 Rec ACL = 2.52 M lb

Est. 2012 Rec. Catch = 4.13 M lb

Overage = 1.76 M lb

Revised 2013 RHL = 0.09 M lb



Black Sea Bass Stock Status

Overfished ? No

Overfishing? No

Catch / OFL ~ 6 M lb / 7 M lb


Is there a viable alternative to the current recreational AM approach?

Examples from other Councils suggest a broad range of AM responses

• NEFMCbag, size, season, no payback, RA has authority to determine mgmt measures through rulemaking

• SAFMCdiscretionary payback, variable, and conditioned on stock status.

These AMs could include, among other things, modifications of inseason AMs or overage adjustments. For stocks and stock complexes in rebuilding plans, the AMs should include overage adjustments that reduce the ACLs in the next fishing year by the full amount of the overages, unless the best scientific information available shows that a reduced overage adjustment, or no adjustment, is needed to mitigate the effects of the overages.

National Standard 1 Guidelines



Is there a viable alternative to the current recreational AM approach?

• Pro-Active

• In-Season Reactive

• Post Season Reactive


Pro-Active AMs

• ACT• No Action• Require explicit consideration by MC of a

reduction from ACL• Specify reduction from ACL

• 10% (ACT = 90% of ACL)• 3-year Average of SE (ACT = ACL –

SE)• etc.

• Specify ACT by Wave• Bag, Size, Season


Pro-Active AMs


reduction from ACL• Specify reduction from ACL

• 10% (ACT = 90% of ACL)• 3-year Average of SE (ACT = ACL –

SE)• etc.




Pro-Active AMs


reduction from ACL• Specify a reduction from ACL in the reg.

language• 10% (ACT = 90% of ACL)• 3-year Average of SE (ACT = ACL –

SE)• etc.



In-Season Reactive AMs

• No Action• Project landings within a season• Eliminate in-season closure authority





In-Season Projections

Black Sea Bass

Average Wave 4-6 Landings 2009-2011 = 65.7%

2012 Wave 1-3 Landings / (34.3%) =

1.19 M lb / 0.343 = 3.475 M lb



Black Sea BassRow Labels 2009 2010 2011 2012

JANUARY/FEBRUARY 1.71% 1.08% 0.04% 0.00%

MARCH/APRIL 1.63% 0.44% 0.00% 0.00%

MAY/JUNE 32.89% 32.36% 32.64% 38.78%

JULY/AUGUST 42.74% 25.99% 28.16% 36.40%

SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 19.32% 37.48% 30.14% 24.81%

NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 1.71% 2.65% 9.02% 0.00%

Grand Total 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%



Black Sea Bass

90% of RHL harvested in

Wave 3





Post-Season Reactive AMs

• Two Parts:

• Trigger (“If…”)

• Response (“Then…”)


Post-Season Reactive AM Triggers

• No Action• Rec catch est. > Rec ACL (phased in 3-year

ave)• Five Year Averaging• Skip phase-in





• Rec catch est. > ACL and total catch est. > ABC

• 2012 BSB ABC = 4.500 M lb• Total Catch ~ 6.00 M lb



• Rec catch est. > ACL and Total catch est. > OFL

• 2012 BSB OFL = 7.000 M lb• Total Catch ~ 6.00 M lb



• Rec catch est. > ACL and F est. > Fmsy• Not available until assessment update



• Range of rec fishery catch est. at a given confidence level > ACL (50% CI, ± 1 SE)

Year Species Landings PSE LCL UCL2008 BLACK SEA BASS 2,402,494 13.5 2,078,157 2,726,8312009 BLACK SEA BASS 2,781,072 10.8 2,480,716 3,081,4282010 BLACK SEA BASS 3,719,244 15.2 3,153,919 4,284,5692011 BLACK SEA BASS 1,544,233 10.5 1,382,089 1,706,3772012 BLACK SEA BASS 3,337,571 10.2 2,997,139 3,678,003

2008 ATLANTIC MACKEREL 1,725,895 19.7 1,385,894 2,065,8962009 ATLANTIC MACKEREL 1,329,770 12.7 1,160,889 1,498,6512010 ATLANTIC MACKEREL 1,672,215 26 1,237,439 2,106,9912011 ATLANTIC MACKEREL 2,055,741 15.4 1,739,157 2,372,3252012 ATLANTIC MACKEREL 1,627,066 14.3 1,394,396 1,859,736



• Range of rec fishery catch est. at a given confidence level > ACL (50% CI, ± 1 SE)


Post-Season Reactive AM Responses

• No Action• Scaled to stock condition• No payback at B≥Bmsy, 100% payback at B≤ ½ Bmsy• No payback at B/Bmsy ≥ 125%, 100%

payback at B/Bmsy ≤ 75%



• Payback is by wave• Pound for Pound• Scaled to stock condition




• Bag, Size, Season adjustment


Recommendations

1. Confirm that National Standard 1 Guidelines provide for enough discretion in the application of AMs so that the condition of a fish stock based on best scientific information can form the basis for the nature and magnitude of an AM response.

2. Uncertain nature of recreational fisheries (catch estimates, management controls) necessitates different management approach/response than for commercial fisheries.

3. Continual adjustment of annual management measures may not be necessary when annual variability in catches is below the level of biological significance.


Recommendations

4. When best scientific information on stock condition indicates no mitigation [payback] is needed (e.g., when B/Bmsy >1, F/Fmsy <1) that overage paybacks need not be invoked.

5. Decide ahead of time whether prevention of overage in-season is better for a fishery than [potentially drastic] reductions in future fishing opportunity.


Pro-Active AMs

Recommendation:1.1 No Action1.2 MC will recommend an ACT…including

explicit consideration of a reduction from the ACL based on uncertainty in recreational landings estimates

1.3 MC will identify bag, size, season combination to prevent rec ACL from being exceeded

Advise against a prescriptive reduction from ACL (10%, 25%, 1 SE, etc.) for determining ACT, as well as establishing ACT by wave.


Inseason AMs

Recommendation:2.1.1 No Action2.1.2 R.A. … shall consider in-season

projections of landings as a basis for determining whether the recreational harvest limit will be met prior to the close of the fishing season

Advise against elimination of in-season closure authority (2.2)


Post – Season Reactive AMs

Recommendation:

Triggers: (Include averaging options)3.1 No Action

3.2 Rec ACL has been exceeded and combined Rec/Com ACL (ABC) has been

exceeded

3.3 … and OFL has been exceeded

3.4 … and an assessment update indicates Fmsy was exceeded

3.5 ... the range of catch estimates is above the (rec. ACL, ABC, OFL)



Recommendation:

AM Response to TriggerOverage deduction4.1 No Action (pound for pound deduction

from rec. ACT)4.2 Scaled overage deduction from rec. ACT

based on B/Bmsy4.2.1 - 4.2.n Scaling Options

4.3 Overage deduction by wave (advise against)

4.4 Bag, size, season adjustment4.5 Monitoring of subsequent season such

that potential for another overage is prevented through in-season closure.



Recommendation:

AM Response to Trigger

Arrange “Triggers” and “Responses” so that a range of options exists contingent on

1. severity of a given overage

2. condition of stock


Recreational Catch Estimate

is Above

OFL

ABC

Rec ACL

Payback

Adjust Bag, Size, Season

Monitor Subsequent Season for

Early Closure

B/Bmsy > 11>B/Bmsy >

0.5B/Bmsy < 0.5


0.5B/Bmsy < 0.5


0.5B/Bmsy < 0.5


Recreational Catch Estimate

is Above

OFL

ABC

Rec ACL

Payback

Adjust Bag, Size, Season

Monitor Subsequent Season for

Early Closure


0.5B/Bmsy < 0.5


0.5B/Bmsy < 0.5


0.5B/Bmsy < 0.5


Questions / Discussion



OFL est = 7.00

M lb

ABC = 5.50 M

lb

Rec ACL = 2.90 M

lbRHL =

2.26 M lb


OFL est = 7.00

M lb

ABC = 5.50 M

lb

Rec ACL = 2.90 M

lbRHL =

2.26 M lb

Wave Rec LandingsJAN/FEB 543MAR/APR 0MAY/JUN 413,579JUL/AUG 356,859SEP/OCT 381,843NOV/DEC 114,258Total 1,267,082


OFL est = 7.00

M lb

ABC = 5.50 M

lb

Rec ACL = 2.90 M

lbRHL =

2.26 M lb

Wave Rec LandingsJAN/FEB 44,376MAR/APR 42,408MAY/JUN 853,431JUL/AUG 1,109,157SEP/OCT 501,497NOV/DEC 44,310Total 2,595,179


OFL est = 7.00

M lb

ABC = 5.50 M

lb

Rec ACL = 2.90 M

lbRHL =

2.26 M lb

Wave Rec LandingsJAN/FEB 35,416MAR/APR 14,415MAY/JUN 1,063,312JUL/AUG 854,071SEP/OCT 1,231,763NOV/DEC 87,123Total 3,286,100



Recommendation:

Two Triggers:

1. Combined Rec/Com ACL (ABC) has been exceeded

Monitor in-season and adjust season as needed based on projections

2. Rec ACL has been exceeded and OFL has been exceeded (3 year average)

Overage (catch above OFL) is paid back through reduction of ACT by overage

amount

Date post:	24-Feb-2016
Category:	Documents
Upload:	virgil
View:	63 times
Download:	0 times

Bluefish Amendment 4 SMB Amendment 17 SF-SC-BSB Amendment 19

Documents