BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 1...Table 1 (continuation) If there were an EU...

BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016Page 1

Tables prepared on 16/06/2016 byBMG Research, Beech House, Greenfield Crescent, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 3BE

T +44(0)121 333 6006, F +44(0)121 333 6800E [email protected] Go online at www.bmgresearch.co.uk

Table 1 ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1If there were an EU referendum tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

Table 2 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?Base: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum

Table 3 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 23Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?Base: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum (VALID)

Table 4 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 34Which side would you say are you leaning towards most?Base: All respondents who are unsure and likely vote in the EU referendum

Table 5 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 45Which side would you say are you leaning towards most?Base: All respondents who are unsure and likely vote in the EU referendum (VALID)

Table 6 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 56Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with NO half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election

Table 7 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 67Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with NO half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election (VALID)

Table 8 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 78Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with a half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election

Table 9 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 89Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with a half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election (VALID)

Table 10 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 100What is your gender?

Table 11 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 111Which of the following age brackets do you fit into?

Table 12 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 122SEG - Household

Table 13 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 133You indicated that you voted at the previous General Election. How did you vote at the election in May 2015?

Table 14 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 146Thinking back to the General Election that took place in May 2015, roughly one third of people eligible did not vote. Which of the following responses is most applicable to you?

Table 15 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 157

BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016Page 1

Tables prepared on 16/06/2016 byBMG Research, Beech House, Greenfield Crescent, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 3BE

T +44(0)121 333 6006, F +44(0)121 333 6800E [email protected] Go online at www.bmgresearch.co.uk

If a General Election were held today, which of the following parties would you vote for?

Table 16 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 168Which country do you live in?

Table 17 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 179GOR

Table 18 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 201Which of the following best describes the ownership of your home?

Table 19 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 223Generally speaking, how interested would you say you are in politics?

Table 20 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 234What is the single most important issue facing society today? After reading all the options

Table 21 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 256If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

Table 22 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 267Sometimes people like to describe their political views on a spectrum from left to right. How would you describe your own views?

Table 23 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 278Please indicate whether you tend to trust or distrust..The UK Government?

Table 24 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 289IMD Quartile

Table 25 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 300If there were an EU referendum tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

Table 26 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 311Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

Table 27 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 322Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 1Table 1If there were an EU referendum tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

Gender AgeTotal Male Female 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65+

Unweighted Bases 1468 728 740 169 271 173 244 233 378

Effective Weighted Sample 1255 624 631 142 237 157 212 205 332

Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

I would definitely vote 977 481 497 92 123 162 175 164 26167% 67% 66% 54% 49% 67% 66% 78% 79%

I would probably vote 177 85 92 26 46 30 23 23 2812% 12% 12% 16% 18% 13% 9% 11% 9%

It would be roughly 50/50 115 48 67 22 33 20 21 8 118% 7% 9% 13% 13% 8% 8% 4% 3%

I probably would not vote 70 41 29 13 26 5 17 4 65% 6% 4% 8% 10% 2% 6% 2% 2%

I definitely would not vote 129 60 68 16 24 24 29 12 239% 8% 9% 10% 9% 10% 11% 6% 7%

Tables prepared on 16/06/2016 byBMG Research, Beech House, Greenfield Crescent, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 3BET +44(0)121 333 6006, F +44(0)121 333 6800E [email protected] Go online at www.bmgresearch.co.uk

BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 2Table 1 (continuation)If there were an EU referendum tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

SEG Vote 2015

Total ABC1 C2DE Conservative LabourLiberal

Democrat UKIP OtherDid not

vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405








Vote Intention

Total Conservative LabourLiberal

Democrat UKIPPlaid

Cymru SNP Greens Other Not sure

Unweighted Bases 1468 308 334 94 231 11 55 76 11 225

Effective Weighted Sample 1255 280 292 78 196 9 49 64 9 200

Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

I would definitely vote 977 233 233 53 156 7 33 55 8 12667% 75% 73% 68% 78% 73% 66% 71% 75% 50%

I would probably vote 177 42 35 14 17 2 3 9 1 4512% 13% 11% 18% 8% 21% 6% 11% 11% 17%

It would be roughly 50/50 115 15 16 4 9 1 8 7 0 488% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 16% 9% 0% 19%

I probably would not vote 70 8 14 1 6 0 3 2 0 285% 3% 5% 1% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 11%

I definitely would not vote 129 15 19 6 12 0 3 6 1 99% 5% 6% 7% 6% 0% 7% 7% 14% 3%



Country

Total England Scotland WalesNorthern

Ireland

Unweighted Bases 1468 1251 125 65 27

Effective Weighted Sample 1255 1086 110 57 18

Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

I would definitely vote 977 830 82 40 2667% 67% 66% 56% 63%

I would probably vote 177 154 7 9 712% 12% 6% 13% 16%

It would be roughly 50/50 115 85 14 9 78% 7% 11% 13% 18%

I probably would not vote 70 51 15 3 05% 4% 12% 4% 0%

I definitely would not vote 129 111 6 10 19% 9% 5% 13% 3%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of

England London North East North West South East South WestWest

Midlands

Yorkshireand TheHumber



Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122








Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation

or SocialHousingProvider

Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7








Politcal interest Top issue Likelihood to Vote

Total InterestedNot

interestedImmigration

& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote

I definitelywould not

vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117








Left Wing/Right Wing

TotalVery left

wingFairly left

wing Slightly leftCentrist/Inthe centre

Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing

Unweighted Bases 1468 46 165 225 708 208 90 26

Effective Weighted Sample 1255 40 141 188 605 182 77 23

Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

I would definitely vote 977 33 126 152 422 164 63 1867% 78% 82% 69% 58% 80% 71% 69%

I would probably vote 177 1 12 25 104 23 10 112% 3% 8% 11% 14% 11% 11% 5%

It would be roughly 50/50 115 1 2 18 83 7 4 08% 3% 1% 8% 11% 3% 5% 0%

I probably would not vote 70 1 5 11 48 1 2 25% 2% 3% 5% 7% 1% 2% 7%

I definitely would not vote 129 6 9 16 74 9 9 59% 14% 6% 7% 10% 5% 11% 19%



Trust in government IMD QuartileTotal Trust Neither Distrust 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile



Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358








Likelihood to Vote EU EU Referendum

Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It would beroughly 50/

50

I probablywould not

vote


vote Remain Leave Undecided



Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255








View of Government View of Welfare

Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663







BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 12Table 2Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?Base: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum




Weighted Bases 1339 655 685 153 228 218 234 200 306

Remain a member of theEuropean Union 501 279 222 94 113 76 72 59 86

37% 43% 32% 61% 49% 35% 31% 29% 28%

Leave the European Union 626 292 334 32 73 104 125 112 18047% 45% 49% 21% 32% 48% 53% 56% 59%

Don't know 177 69 108 25 39 33 34 18 2913% 11% 16% 16% 17% 15% 14% 9% 9%

Prefer not to say 36 14 22 3 3 4 4 11 113% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 6% 4%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 13Table 2 (continuation)Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?Base: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1339 750 589 319 260 69 108 88 361


37% 45% 28% 31% 57% 57% 5% 60% 34%


Don't know 177 91 86 32 17 3 5 6 8113% 12% 15% 10% 7% 5% 4% 6% 22%

Prefer not to say 36 16 20 4 1 1 1 1 83% 2% 3% 1% *% 2% 1% 2% 2%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1339 297 298 72 188 10 47 72 9 246

Remain a member of theEuropean Union 501 115 182 40 11 5 23 42 3 49

37% 39% 61% 56% 6% 45% 49% 59% 27% 20%

Leave the European Union 626 141 89 25 168 1 17 23 7 9547% 47% 30% 35% 89% 14% 37% 32% 73% 39%

Don't know 177 39 23 6 8 3 7 5 0 8013% 13% 8% 8% 4% 27% 15% 7% 0% 32%

Prefer not to say 36 3 4 0 2 1 0 2 0 223% 1% 1% 0% 1% 14% 0% 2% 0% 9%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1339 1121 118 61 40

Remain a member of theEuropean Union 501 411 51 27 12

37% 37% 43% 44% 31%

Leave the European Union 626 531 48 20 2747% 47% 40% 33% 67%

Don't know 177 146 19 12 113% 13% 16% 19% 2%

Prefer not to say 36 33 1 3 03% 3% 1% 4% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1339 99 124 169 50 152 183 113 122 108


37% 35% 31% 51% 27% 33% 36% 32% 35% 40%


Don't know 177 14 23 9 7 23 20 17 18 1513% 14% 19% 5% 14% 15% 11% 15% 14% 14%

Prefer not to say 36 3 2 8 1 6 2 5 4 13% 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1339 412 352 275 127 84 7 7 71 6


37% 35% 42% 47% 26% 17% 34% 91% 30% 15%


Don't know 177 38 53 34 20 13 0 1 17 013% 9% 15% 12% 16% 16% 0% 9% 24% 0%

Prefer not to say 36 16 9 4 4 3 1 0 0 03% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 10% 0% 0% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1339 891 448 468 872 824 211 141 104 60


37% 43% 27% 17% 48% 41% 33% 36% 22% 31%


Don't know 177 63 113 49 128 52 46 33 39 613% 7% 25% 10% 15% 6% 22% 24% 38% 10%

Prefer not to say 36 18 18 7 30 23 6 5 0 33% 2% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0% 4%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1339 37 145 206 658 195 78 21

Remain a member of theEuropean Union 501 27 86 107 194 64 16 6

37% 74% 59% 52% 30% 33% 20% 27%

Leave the European Union 626 8 45 70 316 117 56 1447% 21% 31% 34% 48% 60% 71% 67%

Don't know 177 2 13 24 121 9 7 113% 5% 9% 12% 18% 5% 9% 6%

Prefer not to say 36 0 1 5 27 4 0 03% 0% *% 2% 4% 2% 0% 0%






Weighted Bases 1339 305 315 719 329 358 342 310


37% 49% 36% 33% 37% 41% 34% 36%


Don't know 177 36 62 79 49 39 44 4413% 12% 20% 11% 15% 11% 13% 14%

Prefer not to say 36 8 10 18 10 7 16 33% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 1%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not




Weighted Bases 1339 977 177 115 70 501 626 213


37% 40% 36% 23% 28% 100% 0% 0%


Don't know 177 53 37 57 30 0 0 17713% 5% 21% 49% 43% 0% 0% 83%

Prefer not to say 36 27 3 3 4 0 0 363% 3% 2% 2% 5% 0% 0% 17%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1339 696 369 556 609


37% 43% 32% 32% 45%


Don't know 177 86 25 59 6713% 12% 7% 11% 11%

Prefer not to say 36 18 7 10 183% 3% 2% 2% 3%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 23Table 3Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?Base: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum (VALID)




Weighted Bases 1126 571 555 126 186 181 197 171 266


44% 49% 40% 75% 61% 42% 37% 34% 32%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 24Table 3 (continuation)Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?Base: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum (VALID)

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1126 643 483 284 242 65 102 81 272


44% 52% 34% 35% 61% 61% 5% 65% 45%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1126 256 271 66 178 6 40 66 9 144


44% 45% 67% 62% 6% 77% 57% 64% 27% 34%




Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1126 942 99 47 39


44% 44% 52% 57% 31%




GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1126 82 98 153 42 122 161 90 100 92


44% 42% 39% 57% 31% 41% 41% 40% 42% 47%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1126 358 290 237 103 67 6 6 54 6


44% 41% 51% 54% 32% 22% 38% 100% 40% 15%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1126 810 317 412 714 748 159 103 65 51


44% 47% 38% 19% 59% 45% 44% 49% 35% 36%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1126 35 131 177 510 182 71 20


44% 78% 65% 61% 38% 35% 22% 29%







Weighted Bases 1126 261 243 622 270 311 282 263


44% 57% 47% 38% 45% 48% 42% 43%





Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote Remain Leave

Unweighted Bases 1163 959 124 52 28 514 649

Effective Weighted Sample 991 829 103 41 26 447 544

Weighted Bases 1126 897 137 56 36 501 626

Remain a member of theEuropean Union 501 392 63 26 20 501 0

44% 44% 46% 47% 54% 100% 0%

Leave the European Union 626 505 74 30 16 0 62656% 56% 54% 53% 46% 0% 100%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1126 593 337 487 524


44% 51% 35% 37% 52%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 34Table 4Which side would you say are you leaning towards most?Base: All respondents who are unsure and likely vote in the EU referendum




Weighted Bases 213 84 130 28 42 37 38 29 40

To stay in the EU 42 19 23 13 5 8 4 5 820% 23% 17% 46% 12% 21% 11% 16% 20%

To leave the EU 46 20 26 7 11 3 10 5 921% 24% 20% 26% 27% 9% 26% 16% 23%

Don't know 93 31 61 6 23 22 20 9 1343% 38% 47% 23% 54% 58% 52% 33% 32%

Prefer not to say 33 13 20 2 3 4 4 10 1016% 15% 16% 5% 7% 11% 11% 35% 26%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 35Table 4 (continuation)Which side would you say are you leaning towards most?Base: All respondents who are unsure and likely vote in the EU referendum

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 213 107 106 36 18 5 5 7 89

To stay in the EU 42 28 14 12 0 1 2 0 2420% 26% 13% 34% 0% 24% 38% 0% 27%

To leave the EU 46 15 31 11 5 2 2 3 2021% 14% 29% 32% 25% 37% 38% 38% 22%

Don't know 93 47 45 9 13 1 1 3 4043% 44% 43% 27% 75% 13% 11% 42% 46%

Prefer not to say 33 17 16 3 0 1 1 1 516% 16% 15% 7% 0% 26% 13% 20% 6%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIP Plaid Cymru SNP Greens Not sure



Weighted Bases 213 42 27 6 9 4 7 7 102

To stay in the EU 42 16 7 1 2 1 2 0 1320% 39% 26% 18% 16% 15% 32% 0% 13%

To leave the EU 46 13 7 1 3 0 0 4 1521% 32% 26% 24% 35% 0% 0% 56% 15%

Don't know 93 9 12 3 3 2 5 1 5043% 23% 43% 57% 30% 51% 68% 21% 49%

Prefer not to say 33 3 1 0 2 1 0 2 2416% 6% 5% 0% 19% 35% 0% 23% 23%



Country


Ireland




To stay in the EU 42 37 4 1 020% 20% 20% 10% 0%

To leave the EU 46 41 2 3 021% 23% 9% 24% 0%

Don't know 93 72 13 7 143% 40% 67% 48% 100%

Prefer not to say 33 30 1 3 016% 17% 4% 18% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 213 17 26 16 8 29 22 23 22 16

To stay in the EU 42 2 6 3 0 4 8 3 7 420% 14% 24% 17% 0% 14% 35% 12% 33% 23%

To leave the EU 46 4 6 2 2 4 9 3 6 421% 24% 22% 15% 20% 12% 40% 16% 28% 27%

Don't know 93 8 12 3 5 15 3 11 7 743% 49% 45% 20% 69% 52% 15% 47% 33% 44%

Prefer not to say 33 2 2 8 1 6 2 6 1 116% 13% 9% 47% 11% 22% 10% 26% 7% 6%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Living withparents/extended

family



Weighted Bases 213 54 62 38 24 17 1 1 17

To stay in the EU 42 10 18 8 1 0 0 1 520% 18% 29% 20% 5% 0% 0% 100% 27%

To leave the EU 46 14 13 7 3 3 1 0 421% 26% 21% 19% 13% 21% 100% 0% 23%

Don't know 93 16 24 19 16 10 0 0 943% 29% 38% 51% 66% 57% 0% 0% 50%

Prefer not to say 33 14 7 4 4 4 0 0 016% 26% 12% 11% 16% 22% 0% 0% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 213 82 132 55 158 75 52 38 39 8

To stay in the EU 42 19 23 11 31 19 13 8 2 020% 23% 17% 21% 19% 25% 24% 21% 6% 0%

To leave the EU 46 19 27 13 33 17 13 6 8 221% 23% 20% 23% 21% 23% 24% 15% 21% 22%

Don't know 93 28 65 26 67 20 19 19 29 643% 34% 49% 46% 42% 27% 35% 51% 73% 69%

Prefer not to say 33 16 17 5 28 19 9 5 0 116% 20% 13% 10% 18% 25% 16% 12% 0% 9%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 213 2 13 29 148 13 7 1

To stay in the EU 42 0 7 4 28 1 3 020% 0% 49% 13% 19% 9% 37% 0%

To leave the EU 46 1 2 8 25 5 3 121% 64% 12% 28% 17% 39% 46% 100%

Don't know 93 1 5 12 71 3 1 043% 36% 35% 41% 48% 25% 17% 0%

Prefer not to say 33 0 1 5 24 4 0 016% 0% 4% 18% 16% 27% 0% 0%






Weighted Bases 213 44 72 98 59 47 60 47

To stay in the EU 42 10 17 16 19 4 11 820% 22% 23% 16% 32% 9% 18% 17%

To leave the EU 46 8 16 22 11 14 11 921% 17% 22% 23% 19% 31% 19% 18%

Don't know 93 18 32 42 16 22 27 2843% 42% 45% 43% 27% 47% 45% 58%

Prefer not to say 33 8 7 18 13 6 11 316% 19% 10% 18% 22% 13% 18% 7%



Likelihood to Vote EUEU

Referendum

Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote Undecided

Unweighted Bases 183 76 35 47 25 183

Effective Weighted Sample 161 67 30 42 23 161

Weighted Bases 213 80 40 59 34 213

To stay in the EU 42 19 12 10 1 4220% 23% 29% 18% 3% 20%

To leave the EU 46 14 9 14 9 4621% 17% 22% 23% 27% 21%

Don't know 93 27 13 33 20 9343% 34% 33% 55% 58% 43%

Prefer not to say 33 21 6 3 4 3316% 26% 16% 4% 11% 16%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm




To stay in the EU 42 25 8 18 1920% 25% 26% 26% 22%

To leave the EU 46 24 9 18 2021% 23% 27% 26% 23%

Don't know 93 37 9 23 3143% 36% 29% 33% 36%

Prefer not to say 33 17 5 11 1616% 16% 17% 15% 18%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 45Table 5Which side would you say are you leaning towards most?Base: All respondents who are unsure and likely vote in the EU referendum (VALID)




Weighted Bases 88 39 48 20 16 11 14 9 17

To stay in the EU 42 19 23 13 5 8 4 5 848% 50% 47% 64% 30% 69% 29% 50% 46%

To leave the EU 46 20 26 7 11 3 10 5 952% 50% 53% 36% 70% 31% 71% 50% 54%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 46Table 5 (continuation)Which side would you say are you leaning towards most?Base: All respondents who are unsure and likely vote in the EU referendum (VALID)

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 88 43 45 23 5 3 4 3 43

To stay in the EU 42 28 14 12 0 1 2 0 2448% 66% 31% 52% 0% 39% 51% 0% 54%

To leave the EU 46 15 31 11 5 2 2 3 2052% 34% 69% 48% 100% 61% 49% 100% 46%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIP Plaid Cymru SNP Greens Not sure



Weighted Bases 88 30 14 3 5 1 2 4 28

To stay in the EU 42 16 7 1 2 1 2 0 1348% 55% 50% 43% 31% 100% 100% 0% 47%

To leave the EU 46 13 7 1 3 0 0 4 1552% 45% 50% 57% 69% 0% 0% 100% 53%



CountryTotal England Scotland Wales

Unweighted Bases 78 69 5 4

Effective Weighted Sample 69 61 5 3

Weighted Bases 88 77 6 5

To stay in the EU 42 37 4 148% 47% 71% 29%

To leave the EU 46 41 2 352% 53% 29% 71%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 88 7 12 5 2 8 17 6 13 8

To stay in the EU 42 2 6 3 0 4 8 3 7 448% 38% 51% 52% 0% 52% 47% 43% 53% 46%

To leave the EU 46 4 6 2 2 4 9 3 6 452% 62% 49% 48% 100% 48% 53% 57% 47% 54%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Living withparents/extended

family



Weighted Bases 88 24 31 15 4 3 1 1 9

To stay in the EU 42 10 18 8 1 0 0 1 548% 41% 58% 52% 29% 0% 0% 100% 54%

To leave the EU 46 14 13 7 3 3 1 0 452% 59% 42% 48% 71% 100% 100% 0% 46%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 88 38 50 24 63 36 25 14 11 2

To stay in the EU 42 19 23 11 31 19 13 8 2 048% 50% 46% 47% 48% 52% 50% 59% 22% 0%

To leave the EU 46 19 27 13 33 17 13 6 8 252% 50% 54% 53% 52% 48% 50% 41% 78% 100%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 88 1 8 12 53 6 6 1

To stay in the EU 42 0 7 4 28 1 3 048% 0% 81% 31% 53% 18% 44% 0%

To leave the EU 46 1 2 8 25 5 3 152% 100% 19% 69% 47% 82% 56% 100%






Weighted Bases 88 17 32 38 30 19 22 17

To stay in the EU 42 10 17 16 19 4 11 848% 56% 52% 41% 62% 22% 49% 49%

To leave the EU 46 8 16 22 11 14 11 952% 44% 48% 59% 38% 78% 51% 51%



Likelihood to Vote EUEU

Referendum

Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote Undecided

Unweighted Bases 78 30 19 21 8 78

Effective Weighted Sample 69 26 16 19 7 69

Weighted Bases 88 33 21 24 10 88

To stay in the EU 42 19 12 10 1 4248% 57% 57% 43% 11% 48%

To leave the EU 46 14 9 14 9 4652% 43% 43% 57% 89% 52%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm




To stay in the EU 42 25 8 18 1948% 51% 49% 50% 49%

To leave the EU 46 24 9 18 2052% 49% 51% 50% 51%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 56Table 6Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with NO half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election




Weighted Bases 1339 655 685 153 228 218 234 200 306


41% 46% 36% 69% 52% 39% 32% 32% 31%


Don't know 93 31 61 6 23 22 20 9 137% 5% 9% 4% 10% 10% 8% 5% 4%

Prefer not to say 33 13 20 2 3 4 4 10 102% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 3%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 57Table 6 (continuation)Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with NO half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1339 750 589 319 260 69 108 88 361


41% 49% 30% 35% 57% 58% 7% 60% 40%


Don't know 93 47 45 9 13 1 1 3 407% 6% 8% 3% 5% 1% 1% 3% 11%

Prefer not to say 33 17 16 3 0 1 1 1 52% 2% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1339 297 298 72 188 10 47 72 9 246


41% 44% 63% 58% 6% 51% 53% 59% 27% 25%


Don't know 93 9 12 3 3 2 5 1 0 507% 3% 4% 5% 1% 21% 10% 2% 0% 20%

Prefer not to say 33 3 1 0 2 1 0 2 0 242% 1% *% 0% 1% 14% 0% 2% 0% 10%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1339 1121 118 61 40


41% 40% 47% 46% 31%


Don't know 93 72 13 7 17% 6% 11% 11% 2%

Prefer not to say 33 30 1 3 02% 3% 1% 4% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1339 99 124 169 50 152 183 113 122 108


41% 38% 36% 53% 27% 36% 40% 34% 41% 43%


Don't know 93 8 12 3 5 15 3 11 7 77% 8% 9% 2% 11% 10% 2% 9% 6% 6%

Prefer not to say 33 2 2 8 1 6 2 6 1 12% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1339 412 352 275 127 84 7 7 71 6


41% 38% 47% 49% 27% 17% 34% 100% 37% 15%


Don't know 93 16 24 19 16 10 0 0 9 07% 4% 7% 7% 12% 11% 0% 0% 12% 0%

Prefer not to say 33 14 7 4 4 4 0 0 0 02% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1339 891 448 468 872 824 211 141 104 60


41% 45% 32% 19% 52% 43% 39% 42% 24% 31%


Don't know 93 28 65 26 67 20 19 19 29 67% 3% 14% 5% 8% 2% 9% 14% 28% 10%

Prefer not to say 33 16 17 5 28 19 9 5 0 12% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 4% 3% 0% 1%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1339 37 145 206 658 195 78 21


41% 74% 64% 54% 34% 34% 23% 27%


Don't know 93 1 5 12 71 3 1 07% 2% 3% 6% 11% 2% 1% 0%

Prefer not to say 33 0 1 5 24 4 0 02% 0% *% 2% 4% 2% 0% 0%






Weighted Bases 1339 305 315 719 329 358 342 310


41% 52% 41% 35% 43% 43% 38% 39%


Don't know 93 18 32 42 16 22 27 287% 6% 10% 6% 5% 6% 8% 9%

Prefer not to say 33 8 7 18 13 6 11 32% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not




Weighted Bases 1339 977 177 115 70 501 626 213


41% 42% 42% 32% 30% 100% 0% 20%


Don't know 93 27 13 33 20 0 0 937% 3% 7% 28% 28% 0% 0% 43%

Prefer not to say 33 21 6 3 4 0 0 332% 2% 4% 2% 5% 0% 0% 16%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1339 696 369 556 609


41% 47% 35% 36% 48%


Don't know 93 37 9 23 317% 5% 2% 4% 5%

Prefer not to say 33 17 5 11 162% 2% 1% 2% 3%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 67Table 7Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with NO half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election (VALID)




Weighted Bases 1214 610 604 146 203 192 211 180 283


45% 49% 40% 73% 58% 44% 36% 35% 33%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 68Table 7 (continuation)Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with NO half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election (VALID)

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1214 686 527 307 246 67 106 84 315


45% 53% 34% 37% 60% 60% 7% 63% 46%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1214 285 285 68 183 6 42 70 9 172


45% 46% 66% 61% 7% 79% 59% 61% 27% 36%




Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1214 1019 104 52 39


45% 44% 53% 54% 31%




GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1214 89 110 158 43 130 178 97 114 100


45% 42% 40% 56% 30% 42% 41% 40% 44% 47%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1214 382 321 252 107 71 7 7 62 6


45% 41% 52% 54% 32% 21% 34% 100% 42% 15%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1214 847 367 437 777 784 184 117 75 53


45% 47% 39% 20% 58% 46% 45% 50% 33% 35%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1214 36 139 189 563 188 77 21


45% 75% 66% 59% 39% 35% 24% 27%







Weighted Bases 1214 278 276 660 300 330 305 279


45% 57% 47% 39% 47% 46% 42% 43%





Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not




Weighted Bases 1214 930 158 80 46 501 626 88


45% 44% 48% 46% 45% 100% 0% 48%





Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1214 642 354 522 563


45% 51% 36% 38% 52%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 78Table 8Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with a half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election




Weighted Bases 1339 659 680 134 209 226 240 208 322


41% 45% 36% 69% 51% 41% 34% 32% 31%


Don't know 84 29 55 7 21 22 16 9 106% 4% 8% 5% 10% 10% 7% 4% 3%

Prefer not to say 35 13 22 1 3 5 5 11 123% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 4%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 79Table 8 (continuation)Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with a half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1339 760 580 369 300 80 124 102 208


41% 48% 31% 35% 57% 58% 7% 60% 40%


Don't know 84 42 42 11 15 1 1 3 236% 6% 7% 3% 5% 1% 1% 3% 11%

Prefer not to say 35 18 18 3 0 1 1 2 33% 2% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1339 311 307 76 198 9 50 66 9 224


41% 43% 63% 57% 6% 53% 51% 62% 33% 24%


Don't know 84 10 12 4 2 1 5 2 0 426% 3% 4% 5% 1% 13% 11% 2% 0% 19%

Prefer not to say 35 3 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 263% 1% 1% 0% 1% 17% 0% 1% 0% 12%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1339 1121 119 60 39


41% 40% 46% 49% 34%


Don't know 84 67 12 4 *6% 6% 10% 7% 1%

Prefer not to say 35 32 1 3 03% 3% 1% 5% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1339 102 128 168 50 153 183 110 118 108


41% 37% 36% 52% 29% 38% 39% 34% 39% 43%


Don't know 84 8 9 4 5 14 3 9 8 76% 8% 7% 2% 10% 9% 1% 8% 7% 7%

Prefer not to say 35 3 2 8 1 6 3 7 2 13% 2% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 6% 1% 1%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1339 433 360 253 124 83 6 6 68 6


41% 37% 49% 49% 28% 18% 21% 100% 38% 15%


Don't know 84 13 22 15 15 10 0 0 8 06% 3% 6% 6% 12% 12% 0% 0% 11% 0%

Prefer not to say 35 16 8 4 3 4 0 0 0 03% 4% 2% 1% 3% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1339 933 407 473 866 904 199 114 74 49


41% 44% 32% 18% 53% 43% 37% 41% 24% 34%


Don't know 84 26 57 22 62 23 17 17 21 56% 3% 14% 5% 7% 3% 9% 15% 29% 11%

Prefer not to say 35 17 18 5 30 21 10 3 0 13% 2% 5% 1% 3% 2% 5% 3% 0% 2%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1339 37 152 209 630 202 87 22


41% 77% 66% 54% 33% 33% 24% 25%


Don't know 84 1 4 9 65 4 1 06% 2% 3% 4% 10% 2% 2% 0%

Prefer not to say 35 0 1 5 27 3 0 03% 0% *% 2% 4% 2% 0% 0%






Weighted Bases 1339 316 304 719 337 359 343 300


41% 52% 40% 36% 43% 42% 38% 39%


Don't know 84 17 31 36 15 20 24 256% 5% 10% 5% 4% 5% 7% 8%

Prefer not to say 35 9 6 20 14 5 12 43% 3% 2% 3% 4% 1% 4% 1%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not




Weighted Bases 1339 1036 154 98 51 508 637 195


41% 42% 41% 32% 30% 100% 0% 18%


Don't know 84 29 11 28 15 0 0 846% 3% 7% 28% 29% 0% 0% 43%

Prefer not to say 35 23 7 2 3 0 0 353% 2% 5% 2% 6% 0% 0% 18%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1339 692 383 546 621


41% 47% 34% 36% 48%


Don't know 84 33 7 20 276% 5% 2% 4% 4%

Prefer not to say 35 19 5 11 183% 3% 1% 2% 3%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 89Table 9Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with a half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election (VALID)




Weighted Bases 1221 618 603 127 186 200 219 189 300


44% 48% 41% 73% 58% 46% 38% 35% 33%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 90Table 9 (continuation)Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? - Combined with squeeze questionBase: All respondents who are likely vote in the EU referendum, with a half weight applied for those who didn't vote in the General Election (VALID)

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1221 700 520 355 285 78 123 97 182


44% 52% 34% 37% 60% 60% 7% 63% 46%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1221 298 294 72 195 7 45 64 9 155


44% 44% 66% 61% 6% 76% 57% 64% 33% 34%




Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1221 1023 106 53 39


44% 43% 52% 56% 35%




GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1221 92 117 157 45 133 178 95 108 100


44% 41% 39% 55% 33% 44% 40% 40% 43% 47%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1221 403 330 234 105 69 6 6 60 6


44% 40% 53% 53% 33% 22% 21% 100% 43% 15%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1221 890 331 446 775 860 171 94 53 43


44% 47% 39% 19% 59% 45% 42% 50% 34% 39%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1221 36 147 195 539 196 86 22


44% 79% 68% 58% 38% 35% 24% 25%







Weighted Bases 1221 290 267 663 308 335 306 271


44% 57% 45% 39% 47% 45% 42% 43%





Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not




Weighted Bases 1221 984 135 69 33 508 637 76


44% 44% 47% 46% 46% 100% 0% 46%





Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1221 640 371 516 576


44% 51% 36% 38% 51%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 100Table 10What is your gender?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Male 715 715 0 87 126 120 130 104 14849% 100% 0% 51% 50% 50% 49% 49% 45%

Female 753 0 753 83 127 122 133 108 18151% 0% 100% 49% 50% 50% 51% 51% 55%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 101Table 10 (continuation)What is your gender?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

Male 715 411 304 166 152 33 59 51 18749% 50% 47% 48% 54% 45% 51% 56% 46%

Female 753 406 347 177 132 41 58 41 21851% 50% 53% 52% 46% 55% 49% 44% 54%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Male 715 161 171 34 94 4 28 30 9 10849% 51% 54% 44% 47% 44% 55% 38% 83% 42%

Female 753 151 146 43 106 6 23 49 2 14851% 49% 46% 56% 53% 56% 45% 62% 17% 58%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Male 715 593 72 28 2249% 48% 58% 39% 54%

Female 753 639 53 43 1951% 52% 42% 61% 46%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

Male 715 53 69 103 31 78 88 46 73 5349% 50% 50% 54% 52% 48% 44% 37% 57% 43%

Female 753 53 68 88 29 84 113 80 56 6951% 50% 50% 46% 48% 52% 56% 63% 43% 57%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

Male 715 203 187 157 69 48 2 4 41 449% 46% 48% 51% 50% 49% 26% 59% 53% 65%

Female 753 237 200 150 70 51 6 3 36 251% 54% 52% 49% 50% 51% 74% 41% 47% 35%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

Male 715 510 205 241 474 443 103 61 52 5549% 53% 40% 47% 50% 50% 46% 43% 49% 47%

Female 753 446 307 272 481 436 120 82 55 6151% 47% 60% 53% 50% 50% 54% 57% 51% 53%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Male 715 21 82 129 296 121 46 2049% 49% 53% 58% 40% 59% 53% 77%

Female 753 22 72 93 436 83 41 651% 51% 47% 42% 60% 41% 47% 23%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Male 715 155 166 394 163 182 189 18149% 48% 48% 49% 45% 49% 50% 51%

Female 753 167 182 405 197 192 187 17751% 52% 52% 51% 55% 51% 50% 49%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

Male 715 481 85 48 41 60 299 318 9849% 49% 48% 42% 59% 47% 56% 47% 38%

Female 753 497 92 67 29 68 238 358 15751% 51% 52% 58% 41% 53% 44% 53% 62%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Male 715 371 227 295 33549% 49% 57% 49% 50%

Female 753 379 174 302 32851% 51% 43% 51% 50%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 111Table 11Which of the following age brackets do you fit into?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

18 to 24 170 87 83 170 0 0 0 0 012% 12% 11% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

25 to 34 252 126 127 0 252 0 0 0 017% 18% 17% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

35 to 44 242 120 122 0 0 242 0 0 016% 17% 16% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

45 to 54 263 130 133 0 0 0 263 0 018% 18% 18% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%

55 to 64 212 104 108 0 0 0 0 212 014% 15% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%

65 to 74 282 118 164 0 0 0 0 0 28219% 16% 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 86%

75+ 47 30 17 0 0 0 0 0 473% 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 112Table 11 (continuation)Which of the following age brackets do you fit into?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

18 to 24 170 90 80 11 33 8 6 10 8012% 11% 12% 3% 11% 11% 5% 11% 20%

25 to 34 252 149 103 27 48 14 8 11 10517% 18% 16% 8% 17% 19% 7% 12% 26%

35 to 44 242 148 94 57 53 12 26 9 5216% 18% 14% 17% 19% 16% 22% 10% 13%

45 to 54 263 146 117 53 54 11 25 32 6518% 18% 18% 16% 19% 16% 21% 35% 16%

55 to 64 212 124 88 76 36 10 19 13 4314% 15% 14% 22% 13% 14% 16% 14% 11%

65 to 74 282 134 147 97 50 16 30 13 5519% 16% 23% 28% 18% 23% 26% 14% 14%

75+ 47 26 22 21 9 1 4 4 53% 3% 3% 6% 3% 2% 3% 4% 1%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

18 to 24 170 24 60 9 13 1 6 16 1 1912% 8% 19% 12% 6% 12% 12% 20% 6% 7%

25 to 34 252 39 67 19 17 2 6 20 1 5117% 12% 21% 24% 8% 22% 11% 26% 11% 20%

35 to 44 242 39 55 13 42 2 7 11 0 4916% 13% 17% 17% 21% 21% 13% 14% 0% 19%

45 to 54 263 45 50 12 40 0 16 14 4 4518% 15% 16% 16% 20% 0% 32% 18% 34% 18%

55 to 64 212 67 31 8 27 4 7 8 1 4014% 21% 10% 10% 13% 39% 15% 11% 11% 16%

65 to 74 282 82 43 15 53 1 7 7 2 4919% 26% 14% 20% 26% 6% 15% 9% 23% 19%

75+ 47 16 9 1 10 0 1 1 2 33% 5% 3% 2% 5% 0% 3% 2% 16% 1%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

18 to 24 170 146 11 6 712% 12% 9% 8% 16%

25 to 34 252 217 21 8 617% 18% 17% 12% 14%

35 to 44 242 200 18 19 516% 16% 14% 26% 12%

45 to 54 263 207 27 17 1318% 17% 21% 24% 31%

55 to 64 212 177 20 10 514% 14% 16% 14% 12%

65 to 74 282 241 25 10 619% 20% 20% 14% 14%

75+ 47 43 3 1 03% 3% 2% 2% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

18 to 24 170 14 17 22 6 14 23 15 20 1512% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 12% 12% 16% 12%

25 to 34 252 18 19 45 9 27 32 20 25 2117% 17% 14% 24% 15% 17% 16% 16% 20% 18%

35 to 44 242 16 21 42 9 24 21 16 25 2516% 16% 16% 22% 15% 15% 11% 13% 20% 20%

45 to 54 263 22 23 33 8 38 26 21 18 1818% 21% 17% 17% 14% 23% 13% 17% 14% 15%

55 to 64 212 11 22 24 13 28 27 17 19 1714% 10% 16% 13% 21% 18% 13% 14% 15% 14%

65 to 74 282 21 30 23 12 25 59 32 19 1919% 20% 22% 12% 20% 16% 29% 25% 15% 16%

75+ 47 3 6 2 3 4 12 4 2 73% 3% 4% 1% 5% 3% 6% 3% 2% 6%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

18 to 24 170 26 33 54 15 9 0 5 27 212% 6% 8% 18% 11% 9% 0% 75% 35% 24%

25 to 34 252 26 74 88 27 15 1 2 19 117% 6% 19% 29% 20% 15% 15% 25% 25% 11%

35 to 44 242 18 105 54 28 19 4 0 14 016% 4% 27% 18% 20% 20% 51% 0% 18% 0%

45 to 54 263 58 101 54 24 16 0 0 11 018% 13% 26% 18% 17% 16% 0% 0% 14% 0%

55 to 64 212 112 39 26 17 16 0 0 1 214% 26% 10% 8% 12% 16% 0% 0% 1% 24%

65 to 74 282 166 31 30 27 21 2 0 4 119% 38% 8% 10% 19% 22% 21% 0% 5% 19%

75+ 47 34 3 1 2 3 1 0 2 13% 8% 1% *% 1% 3% 13% 0% 3% 22%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

18 to 24 170 104 65 26 143 77 30 27 20 1512% 11% 13% 5% 15% 9% 13% 19% 19% 13%

25 to 34 252 155 97 57 195 107 50 46 25 2517% 16% 19% 11% 20% 12% 22% 32% 24% 21%

35 to 44 242 165 77 73 168 151 36 21 15 2016% 17% 15% 14% 18% 17% 16% 14% 14% 17%

45 to 54 263 161 103 102 161 163 30 24 23 2418% 17% 20% 20% 17% 19% 14% 16% 21% 20%

55 to 64 212 154 58 106 106 145 29 12 13 1314% 16% 11% 21% 11% 16% 13% 8% 13% 11%

65 to 74 282 183 99 127 154 197 45 14 9 1719% 19% 19% 25% 16% 22% 20% 9% 9% 14%

75+ 47 34 13 20 27 40 3 1 0 43% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 1% *% 0% 3%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

18 to 24 170 5 28 35 75 18 6 312% 13% 18% 16% 10% 9% 7% 10%

25 to 34 252 14 27 31 148 21 7 317% 33% 18% 14% 20% 10% 8% 13%

35 to 44 242 9 15 42 124 28 20 416% 21% 10% 19% 17% 14% 22% 16%

45 to 54 263 7 33 48 129 29 13 418% 17% 21% 22% 18% 14% 15% 17%

55 to 64 212 3 13 27 116 38 10 514% 7% 9% 12% 16% 19% 12% 19%

65 to 74 282 3 31 35 123 58 26 619% 6% 20% 16% 17% 29% 29% 25%

75+ 47 1 6 4 18 12 7 03% 3% 4% 2% 2% 6% 8% 0%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

18 to 24 170 35 45 90 34 47 34 5412% 11% 13% 11% 10% 13% 9% 15%

25 to 34 252 43 82 127 44 59 72 7817% 13% 24% 16% 12% 16% 19% 22%

35 to 44 242 65 53 124 51 34 85 7216% 20% 15% 15% 14% 9% 23% 20%

45 to 54 263 52 52 159 63 62 72 6718% 16% 15% 20% 18% 16% 19% 19%

55 to 64 212 45 48 119 54 77 44 3714% 14% 14% 15% 15% 20% 12% 10%

65 to 74 282 68 58 156 93 82 63 4419% 21% 17% 20% 26% 22% 17% 12%

75+ 47 13 11 23 21 14 7 63% 4% 3% 3% 6% 4% 2% 2%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

18 to 24 170 92 26 22 13 16 101 35 3412% 9% 15% 19% 18% 13% 19% 5% 13%

25 to 34 252 123 46 33 26 24 119 81 5217% 13% 26% 29% 37% 19% 22% 12% 21%

35 to 44 242 162 30 20 5 24 85 108 4816% 17% 17% 18% 7% 19% 16% 16% 19%

45 to 54 263 175 23 21 17 29 79 139 4618% 18% 13% 18% 24% 22% 15% 21% 18%

55 to 64 212 164 23 8 4 12 62 122 2914% 17% 13% 7% 6% 9% 11% 18% 11%

65 to 74 282 222 25 10 6 19 78 161 4219% 23% 14% 9% 8% 15% 15% 24% 17%

75+ 47 39 4 1 0 4 13 30 43% 4% 2% *% 0% 3% 2% 4% 2%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

18 to 24 170 99 35 60 8412% 13% 9% 10% 13%

25 to 34 252 139 46 118 9117% 19% 11% 20% 14%

35 to 44 242 131 59 105 10016% 17% 15% 18% 15%

45 to 54 263 142 62 77 14518% 19% 15% 13% 22%

55 to 64 212 104 71 95 9614% 14% 18% 16% 14%

65 to 74 282 118 107 125 12019% 16% 27% 21% 18%

75+ 47 17 21 16 263% 2% 5% 3% 4%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 122Table 12SEG - Household




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

ABC1 817 411 406 90 149 148 146 124 16056% 58% 54% 53% 59% 61% 55% 58% 49%

C2DE 651 304 347 80 103 94 117 88 16944% 42% 46% 47% 41% 39% 45% 42% 51%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 123Table 12 (continuation)SEG - Household

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

ABC1 817 817 0 224 170 47 44 51 20856% 100% 0% 65% 60% 65% 38% 55% 51%

C2DE 651 0 651 119 114 26 73 41 19744% 0% 100% 35% 40% 35% 62% 45% 49%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

ABC1 817 218 189 48 72 5 30 50 5 13256% 70% 60% 62% 36% 47% 60% 64% 50% 52%

C2DE 651 94 128 29 129 5 20 28 5 12344% 30% 40% 38% 64% 53% 40% 36% 50% 48%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

ABC1 817 686 69 38 2456% 56% 56% 53% 60%

C2DE 651 546 55 33 1644% 44% 44% 47% 40%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

ABC1 817 48 65 127 31 95 111 62 75 7356% 46% 48% 66% 51% 58% 55% 49% 58% 60%

C2DE 651 58 71 64 30 67 90 63 53 4944% 54% 52% 34% 49% 42% 45% 51% 42% 40%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

ABC1 817 268 281 165 35 31 4 2 29 256% 61% 73% 54% 25% 31% 50% 31% 38% 34%

C2DE 651 172 105 141 105 68 4 5 48 544% 39% 27% 46% 75% 69% 50% 69% 62% 66%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

ABC1 817 587 231 251 566 539 108 84 42 4456% 61% 45% 49% 59% 61% 48% 58% 40% 38%

C2DE 651 369 281 262 389 339 115 59 65 7244% 39% 55% 51% 41% 39% 52% 42% 60% 62%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

ABC1 817 22 94 138 364 135 54 1056% 52% 61% 62% 50% 66% 62% 40%

C2DE 651 20 60 84 368 69 34 1544% 48% 39% 38% 50% 34% 38% 60%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

ABC1 817 215 192 411 249 227 191 15056% 67% 55% 51% 69% 61% 51% 42%

C2DE 651 106 157 388 111 147 185 20844% 33% 45% 49% 31% 39% 49% 58%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

ABC1 817 576 91 59 24 67 364 331 12256% 59% 51% 51% 34% 52% 68% 49% 48%

C2DE 651 401 86 56 46 62 173 345 13344% 41% 49% 49% 66% 48% 32% 51% 52%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

ABC1 817 423 227 357 36356% 56% 57% 60% 55%

C2DE 651 327 173 240 30044% 44% 43% 40% 45%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 133Table 13You indicated that you voted at the previous General Election. How did you vote at the election in May 2015?




Weighted Bases 966 483 484 71 119 167 187 161 262

Conservative 343 166 177 11 27 57 53 76 11836% 34% 37% 16% 23% 34% 29% 47% 45%

Labour 283 152 132 33 48 53 54 36 6029% 31% 27% 46% 40% 32% 29% 22% 23%

Liberal Democrat 73 33 41 8 14 12 11 10 188% 7% 8% 12% 12% 7% 6% 6% 7%

UKIP 117 59 58 6 8 26 25 19 3412% 12% 12% 8% 7% 15% 13% 12% 13%

Plaid Cymru 3 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0*% *% *% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%

SNP 41 22 19 2 4 5 14 6 94% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 7% 4% 3%

Greens 44 25 20 7 6 4 15 5 75% 5% 4% 10% 5% 2% 8% 3% 3%

Other 4 4 1 0 0 0 3 0 1*% 1% *% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1%

I cannot remember 15 6 9 2 5 1 4 1 32% 1% 2% 3% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1%

Prefer not to say 42 15 27 1 6 9 8 6 124% 3% 6% 1% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 134Table 13 (continuation)You indicated that you voted at the previous General Election. How did you vote at the election in May 2015?

SEG Vote 2015


Democrat UKIP Other



Weighted Bases 966 568 399 343 283 73 117 92

Conservative 343 224 119 343 0 0 0 036% 39% 30% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Labour 283 170 114 0 283 0 0 029% 30% 28% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Liberal Democrat 73 47 26 0 0 73 0 08% 8% 6% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%

UKIP 117 44 73 0 0 0 117 012% 8% 18% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Plaid Cymru 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 3*% *% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%

SNP 41 23 18 0 0 0 0 414% 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44%

Greens 44 22 22 0 0 0 0 445% 4% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 48%

Other 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 4*% *% *% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%

I cannot remember 15 5 10 0 0 0 0 02% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Prefer not to say 42 26 16 0 0 0 0 04% 5% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 966 252 241 62 158 6 39 43 5 128

Conservative 343 232 6 4 34 1 0 4 1 4836% 92% 3% 7% 22% 15% 0% 10% 23% 38%

Labour 283 8 209 10 17 1 1 5 1 2229% 3% 86% 16% 11% 12% 2% 11% 12% 17%

Liberal Democrat 73 2 9 46 3 0 0 4 1 78% 1% 4% 74% 2% 0% 0% 10% 11% 6%

UKIP 117 6 1 2 97 1 0 1 1 612% 2% *% 3% 61% 9% 0% 1% 12% 5%

Plaid Cymru 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0*% 0% 0% 0% 0% 42% 0% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 41 0 0 0 1 0 38 0 0 04% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 98% 0% 0% 0%

Greens 44 0 14 0 1 1 0 26 0 35% 0% 6% 0% *% 10% 0% 60% 0% 3%

Other 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1*% *% *% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 42% *%

I cannot remember 15 2 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 62% 1% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%

Prefer not to say 42 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 334% 1% 0% 0% 0% 13% 0% 7% 0% 26%







Conservative 343 312 19 1236% 37% 22% 29%

Labour 283 251 15 1729% 30% 18% 40%

Liberal Democrat 73 66 6 28% 8% 7% 4%

UKIP 117 111 3 312% 13% 3% 8%

Plaid Cymru 3 0 0 3*% 0% 0% 6%

SNP 41 0 41 04% 0% 47% 0%

Greens 44 39 2 45% 5% 2% 9%

Other 4 3 1 0*% *% 1% 0%

I cannot remember 15 15 0 02% 2% 0% 0%

Prefer not to say 42 40 0 24% 5% 0% 5%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 966 73 102 126 38 109 144 78 83 85

Conservative 343 25 47 36 9 32 83 30 32 1936% 34% 46% 29% 22% 30% 57% 39% 38% 22%

Labour 283 16 22 41 15 51 22 19 27 3829% 22% 22% 32% 40% 47% 15% 24% 32% 45%


UKIP 117 13 17 17 6 9 17 13 11 912% 18% 16% 13% 16% 8% 12% 17% 13% 11%

Plaid Cymru 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0*% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Greens 44 5 6 9 1 4 8 3 2 35% 7% 5% 7% 4% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3%

Other 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0*% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0%


Prefer not to say 42 4 2 9 2 5 2 5 5 74% 5% 2% 7% 4% 5% 2% 7% 5% 8%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 966 344 272 156 84 54 4 4 43 6

Conservative 343 149 103 46 19 8 1 0 16 236% 43% 38% 29% 23% 15% 24% 0% 37% 42%

Labour 283 72 84 55 29 20 3 3 17 229% 21% 31% 35% 35% 37% 76% 70% 41% 28%

Liberal Democrat 73 28 19 13 3 6 0 * 3 08% 8% 7% 9% 4% 11% 0% 14% 6% 0%

UKIP 117 40 24 18 18 14 0 1 3 012% 12% 9% 11% 22% 25% 0% 16% 8% 0%

Plaid Cymru 3 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0*% *% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 41 15 11 7 6 2 0 0 0 04% 4% 4% 5% 7% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Greens 44 11 13 10 4 3 0 0 3 05% 3% 5% 7% 5% 5% 0% 0% 6% 0%

Other 4 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0*% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 966 344 272 156 84 54 4 4 43 6

Prefer not to say 42 19 14 3 4 1 0 0 1 04% 5% 5% 2% 5% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 966 726 241 357 610 758 123 37 15 33

Conservative 343 250 94 173 171 279 40 8 4 1236% 34% 39% 48% 28% 37% 33% 22% 28% 35%

Labour 283 225 58 68 216 219 27 19 6 1229% 31% 24% 19% 35% 29% 22% 50% 42% 36%


UKIP 117 84 33 76 41 92 17 3 2 312% 12% 14% 21% 7% 12% 14% 9% 11% 9%

Plaid Cymru 3 3 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0*% *% 0% 0% *% *% 0% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 41 35 6 9 32 33 5 1 0 14% 5% 2% 3% 5% 4% 4% 4% 0% 4%

Greens 44 39 5 4 40 42 1 1 1 05% 5% 2% 1% 7% 5% 1% 2% 5% 0%

Other 4 4 1 1 3 4 0 0 0 0*% *% *% *% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%


Prefer not to say 42 22 20 6 37 23 12 3 1 34% 3% 8% 2% 6% 3% 10% 9% 5% 10%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 966 31 118 153 412 160 74 18

Conservative 343 1 5 24 149 103 51 1036% 5% 5% 15% 36% 64% 70% 54%

Labour 283 20 74 73 92 17 4 529% 66% 63% 47% 22% 11% 5% 25%


UKIP 117 1 4 11 61 23 13 312% 4% 3% 7% 15% 14% 18% 17%

Plaid Cymru 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0*% 0% 1% 0% *% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 41 2 7 11 18 3 1 04% 6% 6% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0%

Greens 44 5 19 8 12 0 1 05% 17% 16% 5% 3% 0% 1% 0%

Other 4 0 1 0 1 1 0 1*% 0% 1% 0% *% 1% 0% 4%

I cannot remember 15 0 0 1 13 2 0 02% 0% 0% *% 3% 1% 0% 0%

Prefer not to say 42 0 2 6 31 2 1 04% 0% 1% 4% 8% 1% 2% 0%






Weighted Bases 966 246 195 526 270 256 238 203

Conservative 343 142 85 116 126 104 66 4836% 58% 43% 22% 47% 41% 28% 23%

Labour 283 46 50 187 60 62 76 8529% 19% 26% 36% 22% 24% 32% 42%


UKIP 117 8 18 91 24 31 31 3112% 3% 9% 17% 9% 12% 13% 15%

Plaid Cymru 3 1 1 1 2 0 0 1*% *% 1% *% 1% 0% 0% *%

SNP 41 6 7 28 8 10 8 144% 2% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 7%

Greens 44 3 6 36 10 8 18 85% 1% 3% 7% 4% 3% 7% 4%

Other 4 1 1 3 0 1 3 1*% *% *% 1% 0% *% 1% *%


Prefer not to say 42 11 9 23 12 9 15 64% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 6% 3%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 966 772 76 41 9 69 380 481 106

Conservative 343 284 20 10 4 24 107 199 3736% 37% 26% 25% 44% 36% 28% 41% 35%

Labour 283 214 25 17 3 24 161 101 2229% 28% 33% 42% 34% 35% 42% 21% 20%


UKIP 117 95 8 5 0 10 6 106 512% 12% 10% 12% 0% 14% 1% 22% 5%

Plaid Cymru 3 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 1*% *% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%

SNP 41 34 4 2 0 1 19 19 34% 4% 5% 5% 0% 2% 5% 4% 3%

Greens 44 40 1 1 0 2 30 10 35% 5% 2% 3% 0% 2% 8% 2% 3%

Other 4 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 0*% *% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% *% 0%


Prefer not to say 42 29 7 4 1 2 7 10 264% 4% 9% 9% 7% 3% 2% 2% 25%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 966 503 299 388 470

Conservative 343 150 131 199 11136% 30% 44% 51% 24%

Labour 283 175 63 66 18229% 35% 21% 17% 39%

Liberal Democrat 73 38 26 24 408% 8% 9% 6% 9%

UKIP 117 53 44 51 5212% 11% 15% 13% 11%

Plaid Cymru 3 2 0 0 1*% *% 0% 0% *%

SNP 41 20 15 15 254% 4% 5% 4% 5%

Greens 44 29 10 8 335% 6% 3% 2% 7%

Other 4 3 1 2 2*% 1% *% 1% *%

I cannot remember 15 10 1 4 92% 2% *% 1% 2%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 966 503 299 388 470

Prefer not to say 42 21 7 20 154% 4% 2% 5% 3%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 146Table 14Thinking back to the General Election that took place in May 2015, roughly one third of people eligible did not vote. Which of the following responses is most applicable to you?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

I voted at the General Election 996 501 495 77 122 172 192 166 26768% 70% 66% 45% 48% 71% 73% 78% 81%

I did not vote at the GeneralElection 405 187 218 80 105 52 65 43 60

28% 26% 29% 47% 42% 21% 25% 20% 18%

I cannot remember 67 27 40 13 25 18 6 3 15% 4% 5% 7% 10% 8% 2% 1% *%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 147Table 14 (continuation)Thinking back to the General Election that took place in May 2015, roughly one third of people eligible did not vote. Which of the following responses is most applicable to you?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405



28% 25% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

I voted at the General Election 996 252 241 62 158 6 39 43 5 12868% 81% 76% 80% 79% 64% 77% 54% 47% 50%

I did not vote at the GeneralElection 405 56 66 11 35 4 9 32 5 107

28% 18% 21% 14% 18% 36% 18% 41% 42% 42%




Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

I voted at the General Election 996 838 86 43 3068% 68% 69% 60% 74%

I did not vote at the GeneralElection 405 336 33 24 11

28% 27% 27% 34% 26%

I cannot remember 67 58 5 4 05% 5% 4% 5% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122



28% 21% 22% 29% 32% 26% 25% 33% 33% 26%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7



28% 18% 24% 40% 32% 29% 44% 45% 36% 19%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117



28% 19% 44% 26% 28% 10% 36% 60% 77% 60%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

I voted at the General Election 996 31 124 157 423 165 78 1868% 73% 80% 71% 58% 81% 89% 72%

I did not vote at the GeneralElection 405 11 28 56 258 39 7 5

28% 27% 18% 25% 35% 19% 8% 19%







Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

I voted at the General Election 996 251 204 541 273 266 246 21168% 78% 59% 68% 76% 71% 65% 59%

I did not vote at the GeneralElection 405 65 117 224 80 98 105 122

28% 20% 34% 28% 22% 26% 28% 34%





Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255



28% 17% 50% 53% 73% 35% 25% 24% 43%





Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

I voted at the General Election 996 513 312 403 48168% 68% 78% 68% 73%

I did not vote at the GeneralElection 405 211 81 182 160

28% 28% 20% 31% 24%

I cannot remember 67 27 8 11 235% 4% 2% 2% 3%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 157Table 15If a General Election were held today, which of the following parties would you vote for?




Weighted Bases 1311 637 673 148 222 217 227 194 303

Conservative 312 161 151 24 39 39 45 67 9824% 25% 22% 16% 18% 18% 20% 34% 32%

Labour 317 171 146 60 67 55 50 31 5324% 27% 22% 41% 30% 25% 22% 16% 17%


UKIP 200 94 106 13 17 42 40 27 6215% 15% 16% 9% 8% 19% 18% 14% 21%

Plaid Cymru 10 4 6 1 2 2 0 4 11% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% *%

SNP 50 28 23 6 6 7 16 7 94% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 7% 4% 3%

Greens 78 30 49 16 20 11 14 8 96% 5% 7% 11% 9% 5% 6% 4% 3%

Other 11 9 2 1 1 0 4 1 41% 1% *% *% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1%

Not sure 255 108 148 19 51 49 45 40 5119% 17% 22% 13% 23% 23% 20% 21% 17%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 158Table 15 (continuation)If a General Election were held today, which of the following parties would you vote for?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1311 749 562 332 271 72 114 90 324

Conservative 312 218 94 232 8 2 6 1 5624% 29% 17% 70% 3% 3% 5% 1% 17%

Labour 317 189 128 6 209 9 1 15 6624% 25% 23% 2% 77% 13% 1% 16% 20%


UKIP 200 72 129 34 17 3 97 2 3515% 10% 23% 10% 6% 5% 85% 2% 11%

Plaid Cymru 10 5 5 1 1 0 1 3 41% 1% 1% *% *% 0% 1% 4% 1%

SNP 50 30 20 0 1 0 0 38 94% 4% 4% 0% *% 0% 0% 42% 3%

Greens 78 50 28 4 5 4 1 26 326% 7% 5% 1% 2% 6% *% 28% 10%

Other 11 5 5 1 1 1 1 2 51% 1% 1% *% *% 1% 1% 2% 1%

Not sure 255 132 123 48 22 7 6 4 10719% 18% 22% 15% 8% 10% 6% 4% 33%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1311 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Conservative 312 312 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 024% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Labour 317 0 317 0 0 0 0 0 0 024% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%


UKIP 200 0 0 0 200 0 0 0 0 015% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Plaid Cymru 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 01% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 50 0 0 0 0 0 50 0 0 04% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Greens 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 78 0 06% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%

Other 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 01% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Not sure 255 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25519% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%







Conservative 312 284 17 1124% 25% 15% 19%

Labour 317 290 9 1724% 26% 8% 27%

Liberal Democrat 77 65 6 66% 6% 5% 10%

UKIP 200 184 7 915% 16% 6% 14%

Plaid Cymru 10 0 0 101% 0% 0% 16%

SNP 50 0 50 04% 0% 44% 0%

Greens 78 75 2 16% 7% 2% 2%

Other 11 10 1 01% 1% 1% 0%

Not sure 255 226 22 719% 20% 19% 11%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1311 99 122 172 49 146 194 115 123 114

Conservative 312 23 42 33 9 27 72 26 31 1924% 24% 34% 19% 19% 19% 37% 23% 25% 17%

Labour 317 25 22 56 14 51 27 20 35 4024% 25% 18% 32% 29% 35% 14% 17% 28% 35%


UKIP 200 18 24 27 9 22 33 19 14 1715% 18% 20% 16% 19% 15% 17% 17% 12% 15%

Plaid Cymru 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

SNP 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Greens 78 5 8 11 1 11 19 7 7 66% 5% 6% 6% 3% 7% 10% 6% 6% 6%

Other 11 1 0 0 1 3 1 1 0 31% 1% 0% 0% 3% 2% *% 1% 0% 3%

Not sure 255 18 20 32 8 29 33 37 28 2219% 18% 17% 18% 17% 20% 17% 32% 23% 19%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1311 404 341 280 119 80 7 7 68 6

Conservative 312 133 94 49 13 7 1 0 12 224% 33% 28% 18% 11% 9% 16% 0% 18% 42%

Labour 317 70 84 84 33 18 5 1 18 324% 17% 25% 30% 28% 23% 75% 21% 26% 58%


UKIP 200 61 39 39 30 20 0 0 11 015% 15% 12% 14% 25% 25% 0% 0% 16% 0%

Plaid Cymru 10 3 3 4 0 0 0 1 0 01% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 9% 0% 0%

SNP 50 17 13 10 5 3 0 0 1 04% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 0% 0% 2% 0%

Greens 78 15 29 18 3 4 0 2 7 06% 4% 8% 6% 3% 5% 0% 25% 10% 0%

Other 11 5 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 01% 1% *% *% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Not sure 255 73 61 57 29 20 1 0 15 019% 18% 18% 20% 24% 25% 10% 0% 22% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote



Weighted Bases 1311 889 422 455 856 856 220 133 102

Conservative 312 215 98 131 181 232 52 20 824% 24% 23% 29% 21% 27% 24% 15% 8%

Labour 317 248 69 59 258 241 39 24 1224% 28% 16% 13% 30% 28% 18% 18% 12%


UKIP 200 141 59 129 71 141 32 16 1215% 16% 14% 28% 8% 16% 14% 12% 12%

Plaid Cymru 10 6 4 1 9 7 0 1 21% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% 0% *% 2%

SNP 50 40 10 10 40 36 7 5 34% 4% 2% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3%

Greens 78 60 19 16 63 47 16 9 66% 7% 4% 3% 7% 5% 7% 7% 6%

Other 11 6 5 5 6 8 1 1 01% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%

Not sure 255 119 137 86 170 94 58 47 5619% 13% 32% 19% 20% 11% 26% 36% 55%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1311 36 136 206 637 197 77 22

Conservative 312 2 9 23 122 104 43 824% 5% 7% 11% 19% 53% 56% 34%

Labour 317 22 88 81 105 13 3 424% 62% 65% 39% 16% 7% 5% 18%


UKIP 200 0 6 19 115 31 20 915% 0% 4% 9% 18% 16% 26% 39%

Plaid Cymru 10 0 3 0 6 1 0 01% 0% 2% 0% 1% *% 0% 0%

SNP 50 2 6 13 27 2 1 04% 5% 5% 6% 4% 1% 1% 0%

Greens 78 7 12 16 38 4 0 16% 20% 9% 8% 6% 2% 0% 5%

Other 11 1 0 2 2 4 1 11% 2% 0% 1% *% 2% 2% 4%

Not sure 255 1 4 33 181 32 5 019% 2% 3% 16% 28% 16% 6% 0%






Weighted Bases 1311 291 303 717 332 342 335 302

Conservative 312 150 91 71 111 99 59 4424% 51% 30% 10% 33% 29% 18% 15%

Labour 317 50 62 205 62 73 83 9924% 17% 20% 29% 19% 21% 25% 33%


UKIP 200 11 32 157 42 52 59 4715% 4% 11% 22% 13% 15% 18% 16%

Plaid Cymru 10 1 2 7 2 4 1 31% *% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1%

SNP 50 6 12 33 10 12 15 134% 2% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4%

Greens 78 8 16 54 21 18 22 176% 3% 5% 8% 6% 5% 7% 6%

Other 11 2 1 8 3 1 3 51% 1% *% 1% 1% *% 1% 2%

Not sure 255 36 75 145 60 55 76 6319% 12% 25% 20% 18% 16% 23% 21%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1311 904 167 108 61 71 496 603 211

Conservative 312 233 42 15 8 15 120 150 4224% 26% 25% 14% 14% 21% 24% 25% 20%

Labour 317 233 35 16 14 19 193 95 2824% 26% 21% 15% 24% 26% 39% 16% 13%


UKIP 200 156 17 9 6 12 11 180 915% 17% 10% 8% 9% 17% 2% 30% 4%

Plaid Cymru 10 7 2 1 0 0 5 1 41% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% *% 2%

SNP 50 33 3 8 3 3 26 18 74% 4% 2% 8% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3%

Greens 78 55 9 7 2 6 44 26 96% 6% 5% 6% 3% 8% 9% 4% 4%

Other 11 8 1 0 0 1 3 8 01% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0%

Not sure 255 126 45 48 28 9 52 98 10519% 14% 27% 44% 46% 13% 10% 16% 50%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1311 678 367 538 602

Conservative 312 142 113 196 9124% 21% 31% 36% 15%

Labour 317 204 58 79 20024% 30% 16% 15% 33%

Liberal Democrat 77 40 23 26 406% 6% 6% 5% 7%

UKIP 200 93 73 86 9215% 14% 20% 16% 15%

Plaid Cymru 10 6 4 3 61% 1% 1% 1% 1%

SNP 50 23 19 20 274% 3% 5% 4% 5%

Greens 78 42 25 29 416% 6% 7% 5% 7%

Other 11 5 5 2 81% 1% 1% *% 1%

Not sure 255 123 48 97 9819% 18% 13% 18% 16%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 168Table 16Which country do you live in?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

England 1232 593 639 146 217 200 207 177 28484% 83% 85% 86% 86% 83% 79% 84% 86%

Scotland 124 72 53 11 21 18 27 20 288% 10% 7% 7% 8% 7% 10% 9% 9%

Wales 71 28 43 6 8 19 17 10 115% 4% 6% 3% 3% 8% 6% 5% 3%

Northern Ireland 41 22 19 7 6 5 13 5 63% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 169Table 16 (continuation)Which country do you live in?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

England 1232 686 546 312 251 66 111 42 33684% 84% 84% 91% 88% 90% 95% 46% 83%

Scotland 124 69 55 19 15 6 3 43 338% 8% 8% 5% 5% 8% 3% 47% 8%

Wales 71 38 33 12 17 2 3 6 245% 5% 5% 4% 6% 2% 3% 7% 6%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

England 1232 284 290 65 184 0 0 75 10 22684% 91% 92% 85% 92% 0% 0% 96% 93% 89%

Scotland 124 17 9 6 7 0 50 2 1 228% 5% 3% 7% 4% 0% 100% 3% 7% 9%

Wales 71 11 17 6 9 10 0 1 0 75% 4% 5% 8% 4% 100% 0% 2% 0% 3%

Northern Ireland 41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 03% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

England 1232 1232 0 0 084% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Scotland 124 0 124 0 08% 0% 100% 0% 0%

Wales 71 0 0 71 05% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Northern Ireland 41 0 0 0 413% 0% 0% 0% 100%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

England 1232 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 12284% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Scotland 124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Wales 71 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 05% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

England 1232 366 319 253 121 87 7 5 69 684% 83% 83% 83% 87% 88% 85% 80% 89% 90%

Scotland 124 41 34 23 13 8 0 1 5 08% 9% 9% 7% 9% 8% 0% 11% 6% 0%

Wales 71 18 17 24 3 3 1 1 4 15% 4% 4% 8% 2% 3% 15% 9% 5% 10%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

England 1232 810 422 431 801 739 195 112 89 9784% 85% 82% 84% 84% 84% 87% 78% 84% 84%

Scotland 124 86 38 43 82 78 16 12 8 108% 9% 7% 8% 9% 9% 7% 8% 8% 9%

Wales 71 36 35 22 49 39 9 9 4 95% 4% 7% 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 4% 8%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

England 1232 39 133 182 606 177 72 2284% 93% 86% 82% 83% 87% 83% 86%

Scotland 124 2 10 24 62 14 9 28% 6% 6% 11% 9% 7% 10% 9%

Wales 71 1 6 9 45 7 2 15% 2% 4% 4% 6% 4% 2% 4%

Northern Ireland 41 0 6 7 18 5 4 03% 0% 4% 3% 2% 2% 5% 0%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

England 1232 276 291 666 308 308 308 30884% 86% 84% 83% 86% 82% 82% 86%

Scotland 124 23 34 68 27 35 36 268% 7% 10% 9% 8% 9% 10% 7%

Wales 71 14 14 43 17 18 23 135% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4%





Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

England 1232 830 154 85 51 111 444 575 21384% 85% 87% 74% 74% 87% 83% 85% 84%

Scotland 124 82 7 14 15 6 54 50 218% 8% 4% 12% 22% 5% 10% 7% 8%

Wales 71 40 9 9 3 10 28 23 205% 4% 5% 8% 4% 7% 5% 3% 8%

Northern Ireland 41 26 7 7 0 1 12 28 13% 3% 4% 6% 0% 1% 2% 4% *%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

England 1232 640 332 511 55284% 85% 83% 86% 83%

Scotland 124 54 43 50 578% 7% 11% 8% 9%

Wales 71 39 13 16 375% 5% 3% 3% 6%



BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 179Table 17GOR




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

East Midlands 106 53 53 14 18 16 22 11 257% 7% 7% 9% 7% 7% 8% 5% 8%

East of England 136 69 68 17 19 21 23 22 359% 10% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 10% 11%

London 191 103 88 22 45 42 33 24 2513% 14% 12% 13% 18% 17% 13% 11% 8%

North East 60 31 29 6 9 9 8 13 154% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 6% 5%

North West 162 78 84 14 27 24 38 28 3011% 11% 11% 8% 11% 10% 14% 13% 9%


Scotland 124 72 53 11 21 18 27 20 288% 10% 7% 7% 8% 7% 10% 9% 9%

South East 201 88 113 23 32 21 26 27 7114% 12% 15% 14% 13% 9% 10% 13% 22%

South West 125 46 80 15 20 16 21 17 369% 6% 11% 9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 11%

Wales 71 28 43 6 8 19 17 10 115% 4% 6% 3% 3% 8% 6% 5% 3%

West Midlands 129 73 56 20 25 25 18 19 219% 10% 7% 12% 10% 10% 7% 9% 6%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 180Table 17 (continuation)GOR




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 53 69 15 21 25 18 17 268% 7% 9% 9% 9% 10% 7% 8% 8%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

East Midlands 106 48 58 25 16 8 13 5 237% 6% 9% 7% 6% 10% 11% 6% 6%

East of England 136 65 71 47 22 5 17 6 299% 8% 11% 14% 8% 6% 14% 7% 7%

London 191 127 64 36 41 15 17 9 5613% 16% 10% 11% 14% 20% 14% 10% 14%

North East 60 31 30 9 15 2 6 1 194% 4% 5% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2% 5%

North West 162 95 67 32 51 4 9 4 4211% 12% 10% 9% 18% 5% 8% 5% 10%


Scotland 124 69 55 19 15 6 3 43 338% 8% 8% 5% 5% 8% 3% 47% 8%

South East 201 111 90 83 22 13 17 8 5014% 14% 14% 24% 8% 18% 14% 8% 12%

South West 125 62 63 30 19 6 13 4 429% 8% 10% 9% 7% 8% 11% 4% 10%

Wales 71 38 33 12 17 2 3 6 245% 5% 5% 4% 6% 2% 3% 7% 6%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

West Midlands 129 75 53 32 27 7 11 2 439% 9% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 2% 11%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

East Midlands 106 23 25 10 18 0 0 5 1 187% 7% 8% 12% 9% 0% 0% 6% 12% 7%

East of England 136 42 22 5 24 0 0 8 0 209% 13% 7% 7% 12% 0% 0% 10% 0% 8%

London 191 33 56 13 27 0 0 11 0 3213% 11% 18% 17% 13% 0% 0% 14% 0% 12%

North East 60 9 14 5 9 0 0 1 1 84% 3% 4% 7% 5% 0% 0% 2% 14% 3%

North West 162 27 51 4 22 0 0 11 3 2911% 9% 16% 5% 11% 0% 0% 14% 27% 11%


Scotland 124 17 9 6 7 0 50 2 1 228% 5% 3% 7% 4% 0% 100% 3% 7% 9%

South East 201 72 27 10 33 0 0 19 1 3314% 23% 9% 13% 17% 0% 0% 24% 5% 13%

South West 125 26 20 5 19 0 0 7 1 379% 8% 6% 7% 10% 0% 0% 9% 6% 14%

Wales 71 11 17 6 9 10 0 1 0 75% 4% 5% 8% 4% 100% 0% 2% 0% 3%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

West Midlands 129 31 35 7 14 0 0 7 0 289% 10% 11% 9% 7% 0% 0% 9% 0% 11%

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 19 40 6 17 0 0 6 3 228% 6% 13% 7% 9% 0% 0% 8% 28% 9%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

East Midlands 106 106 0 0 07% 9% 0% 0% 0%

East of England 136 136 0 0 09% 11% 0% 0% 0%

London 191 191 0 0 013% 15% 0% 0% 0%

North East 60 60 0 0 04% 5% 0% 0% 0%

North West 162 162 0 0 011% 13% 0% 0% 0%


Scotland 124 0 124 0 08% 0% 100% 0% 0%

South East 201 201 0 0 014% 16% 0% 0% 0%

South West 125 125 0 0 09% 10% 0% 0% 0%

Wales 71 0 0 71 05% 0% 0% 100% 0%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

West Midlands 129 129 0 0 09% 10% 0% 0% 0%

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 122 0 0 08% 10% 0% 0% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

East Midlands 106 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

East of England 136 0 136 0 0 0 0 0 0 09% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

London 191 0 0 191 0 0 0 0 0 013% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

North East 60 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 04% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

North West 162 0 0 0 0 162 0 0 0 011% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%


Scotland 124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

South East 201 0 0 0 0 0 201 0 0 014% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

South West 125 0 0 0 0 0 0 125 0 09% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%

Wales 71 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 05% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

West Midlands 129 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 129 09% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

East Midlands 106 37 28 17 10 6 0 0 6 27% 8% 7% 6% 7% 6% 0% 0% 8% 24%

East of England 136 40 47 25 13 8 0 0 2 19% 9% 12% 8% 10% 8% 0% 0% 2% 19%

London 191 46 55 50 21 10 0 0 8 113% 10% 14% 16% 15% 10% 0% 0% 10% 13%

North East 60 20 13 8 9 6 0 1 3 04% 5% 3% 3% 7% 6% 0% 20% 4% 0%

North West 162 48 51 27 10 15 0 1 10 011% 11% 13% 9% 7% 15% 0% 10% 13% 0%


Scotland 124 41 34 23 13 8 0 1 5 08% 9% 9% 7% 9% 8% 0% 11% 6% 0%

South East 201 72 41 45 14 16 2 3 7 114% 16% 11% 15% 10% 17% 26% 42% 9% 11%

South West 125 32 20 38 12 15 1 0 7 29% 7% 5% 12% 9% 15% 8% 0% 9% 23%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

Wales 71 18 17 24 3 3 1 1 4 15% 4% 4% 8% 2% 3% 15% 9% 5% 10%

West Midlands 129 37 36 19 14 7 2 0 14 09% 8% 9% 6% 10% 7% 29% 0% 18% 0%

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 34 28 26 16 4 2 * 12 08% 8% 7% 8% 12% 4% 22% 8% 16% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

East Midlands 106 71 35 40 66 64 17 11 7 77% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 6%

East of England 136 83 54 58 79 94 12 9 8 149% 9% 10% 11% 8% 11% 5% 6% 7% 12%

London 191 141 49 44 147 112 28 22 10 1913% 15% 10% 9% 15% 13% 12% 15% 10% 16%

North East 60 40 20 21 39 31 10 3 3 124% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 2% 3% 10%

North West 162 106 56 62 100 103 16 15 13 1611% 11% 11% 12% 10% 12% 7% 10% 13% 13%


Scotland 124 86 38 43 82 78 16 12 8 108% 9% 7% 8% 9% 9% 7% 8% 8% 9%

South East 201 141 60 76 125 130 28 17 18 614% 15% 12% 15% 13% 15% 13% 12% 17% 6%

South West 125 66 60 45 81 62 29 9 14 109% 7% 12% 9% 8% 7% 13% 6% 13% 9%

Wales 71 36 35 22 49 39 9 9 4 95% 4% 7% 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 4% 8%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

West Midlands 129 84 45 43 85 77 27 12 7 69% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 12% 8% 6% 5%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

East Midlands 106 2 11 18 58 9 7 17% 5% 7% 8% 8% 5% 8% 2%

East of England 136 5 14 18 59 30 9 19% 11% 9% 8% 8% 15% 10% 2%

London 191 8 27 33 79 27 10 613% 19% 18% 15% 11% 13% 12% 22%

North East 60 2 11 3 38 4 2 14% 4% 7% 1% 5% 2% 3% 2%

North West 162 4 20 27 79 22 8 211% 10% 13% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7%


Scotland 124 2 10 24 62 14 9 28% 6% 6% 11% 9% 7% 10% 9%

South East 201 4 17 33 82 43 17 614% 9% 11% 15% 11% 21% 19% 22%

South West 125 5 7 12 74 20 5 29% 12% 5% 5% 10% 10% 6% 6%

Wales 71 1 6 9 45 7 2 15% 2% 4% 4% 6% 4% 2% 4%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

West Midlands 129 3 12 15 76 11 8 29% 8% 8% 7% 10% 5% 9% 8%

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 6 14 21 61 10 6 48% 15% 9% 10% 8% 5% 7% 15%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

East Midlands 106 25 26 55 28 22 29 277% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 8% 7%

East of England 136 34 34 68 42 41 36 179% 11% 10% 9% 12% 11% 10% 5%

London 191 51 46 94 27 39 76 4913% 16% 13% 12% 7% 11% 20% 14%

North East 60 14 12 35 13 12 12 244% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 7%

North West 162 33 34 95 32 27 42 6111% 10% 10% 12% 9% 7% 11% 17%


Scotland 124 23 34 68 27 35 36 268% 7% 10% 9% 8% 9% 10% 7%

South East 201 53 55 92 84 64 34 1914% 17% 16% 12% 23% 17% 9% 5%

South West 125 17 27 81 39 30 29 269% 5% 8% 10% 11% 8% 8% 7%

Wales 71 14 14 43 17 18 23 135% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

West Midlands 129 28 28 72 18 35 31 459% 9% 8% 9% 5% 9% 8% 12%

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 20 29 73 26 38 18 408% 6% 8% 9% 7% 10% 5% 11%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

East Midlands 106 74 13 8 4 6 37 49 207% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 7% 7% 8%

East of England 136 98 9 7 9 13 42 65 309% 10% 5% 6% 13% 10% 8% 10% 12%

London 191 125 19 14 11 22 97 74 2013% 13% 11% 13% 15% 17% 18% 11% 8%

North East 60 36 9 2 3 11 15 33 124% 4% 5% 2% 5% 8% 3% 5% 5%

North West 162 111 18 17 6 10 54 76 3211% 11% 10% 15% 9% 8% 10% 11% 13%

Northern Ireland 41 26 7 7 0 1 12 28 13% 3% 4% 6% 0% 1% 2% 4% *%

Scotland 124 82 7 14 15 6 54 50 218% 8% 4% 12% 22% 5% 10% 7% 8%

South East 201 144 20 15 5 18 71 103 2714% 15% 11% 13% 7% 14% 13% 15% 11%

South West 125 78 23 5 8 12 38 60 289% 8% 13% 4% 11% 10% 7% 9% 11%

Wales 71 40 9 9 3 10 28 23 205% 4% 5% 8% 4% 7% 5% 3% 8%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

West Midlands 129 88 24 9 2 6 43 62 239% 9% 13% 7% 2% 5% 8% 9% 9%





Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

East Midlands 106 56 33 43 477% 7% 8% 7% 7%

East of England 136 72 42 63 539% 10% 10% 10% 8%

London 191 119 44 78 9213% 16% 11% 13% 14%

North East 60 31 15 24 274% 4% 4% 4% 4%

North West 162 86 37 56 8611% 12% 9% 9% 13%


Scotland 124 54 43 50 578% 7% 11% 8% 9%

South East 201 98 66 86 8314% 13% 17% 14% 12%

South West 125 50 37 54 519% 7% 9% 9% 8%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Wales 71 39 13 16 375% 5% 3% 3% 6%

West Midlands 129 63 33 53 639% 8% 8% 9% 9%

Yorkshire and The Humber 122 66 25 54 508% 9% 6% 9% 8%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 201Table 18Which of the following best describes the ownership of your home?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Homeowner (owned outright) 439 203 237 26 26 18 58 112 20030% 28% 31% 15% 10% 8% 22% 53% 61%

Homeowner (with a mortgage) 386 187 200 33 74 105 101 39 3426% 26% 26% 19% 29% 43% 39% 18% 10%

Rented from private landlord 306 157 150 54 88 54 54 26 3121% 22% 20% 32% 35% 22% 20% 12% 9%

Rented from Council 139 69 70 15 27 28 24 17 299% 10% 9% 9% 11% 11% 9% 8% 9%

Rented from HousingAssociation or Social HousingProvider 99 48 51 9 15 19 16 16 25

7% 7% 7% 5% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8%

Shared ownership 8 2 6 0 1 4 0 0 31% *% 1% 0% *% 2% 0% 0% 1%

Student accomodation 7 4 3 5 2 0 0 0 0*% 1% *% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Living with parents/extendedfamily 77 41 36 27 19 14 11 1 6

5% 6% 5% 16% 8% 6% 4% *% 2%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 202Table 18 (continuation)Which of the following best describes the ownership of your home?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Other 7 4 2 2 1 0 0 2 3*% 1% *% 1% *% 0% 0% 1% 1%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405






7% 4% 10% 2% 7% 8% 12% 6% 7%

Shared ownership 8 4 4 1 3 0 0 0 31% *% 1% *% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1%

Student accomodation 7 2 5 0 3 * 1 0 3*% *% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%


5% 4% 7% 5% 6% 4% 3% 3% 7%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

Other 7 2 5 2 2 0 0 0 1*% *% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% *%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Homeowner (owned outright) 439 133 70 27 61 3 17 15 5 7330% 42% 22% 35% 31% 26% 34% 20% 44% 29%

Homeowner (with a mortgage) 386 94 84 16 39 3 13 29 1 6126% 30% 26% 21% 20% 26% 26% 37% 13% 24%

Rented from private landlord 306 49 84 17 39 4 10 18 1 5721% 16% 26% 22% 20% 43% 21% 23% 11% 22%

Rented from Council 139 13 33 4 30 0 5 3 1 299% 4% 11% 5% 15% 0% 10% 4% 14% 11%

Rented from HousingAssociation or Social HousingProvider 99 7 18 6 20 0 3 4 2 20

7% 2% 6% 8% 10% 0% 6% 5% 18% 8%

Shared ownership 8 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 11% *% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% *%

Student accomodation 7 0 1 3 0 1 0 2 0 0*% 0% *% 4% 0% 6% 0% 2% 0% 0%

Living with parents/extendedfamily 77 12 18 4 11 0 1 7 0 15

5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 0% 3% 9% 0% 6%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Other 7 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0*% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Homeowner (owned outright) 439 366 41 18 1430% 30% 33% 26% 34%

Homeowner (with a mortgage) 386 319 34 17 1626% 26% 27% 24% 39%

Rented from private landlord 306 253 23 24 621% 21% 18% 34% 16%

Rented from Council 139 121 13 3 39% 10% 10% 4% 7%

Rented from HousingAssociation or Social HousingProvider 99 87 8 3 2

7% 7% 6% 4% 4%

Shared ownership 8 7 0 1 01% 1% 0% 2% 0%

Student accomodation 7 5 1 1 0*% *% 1% 1% 0%

Living with parents/extendedfamily 77 69 5 4 0

5% 6% 4% 5% 0%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Other 7 6 0 1 0*% 1% 0% 1% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122






7% 6% 6% 5% 10% 9% 8% 12% 5% 3%

Shared ownership 8 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1%

Student accomodation 7 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 **% 0% 0% 0% 2% *% 1% 0% 0% *%


5% 6% 1% 4% 5% 6% 4% 5% 11% 10%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

Other 7 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0*% 2% 1% *% 0% 0% *% 1% 0% 0%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7






7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Shared ownership 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 01% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Student accomodation 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0*% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7


5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Other 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7*% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117






7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 4% 9% 6% 15%

Shared ownership 8 6 2 2 6 6 1 0 0 11% 1% *% *% 1% 1% *% 0% 0% 1%

Student accomodation 7 4 3 3 4 2 2 2 1 0*% *% 1% 1% *% *% 1% 1% 1% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117


5% 4% 7% 3% 6% 4% 7% 10% 4% 8%

Other 7 6 1 3 4 6 0 0 0 1*% 1% *% 1% *% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Homeowner (owned outright) 439 6 39 61 204 94 28 830% 14% 25% 28% 28% 46% 31% 29%

Homeowner (with a mortgage) 386 14 54 64 170 45 30 926% 34% 35% 29% 23% 22% 34% 36%

Rented from private landlord 306 9 31 56 152 36 15 721% 21% 20% 25% 21% 18% 17% 26%

Rented from Council 139 6 11 11 97 8 7 09% 15% 7% 5% 13% 4% 7% 0%

Rented from HousingAssociation or Social HousingProvider 99 3 8 12 61 11 3 1

7% 7% 5% 6% 8% 5% 3% 2%

Shared ownership 8 0 0 5 2 1 0 01% 0% 0% 2% *% 1% 0% 0%

Student accomodation 7 0 0 1 5 0 0 0*% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%

Living with parents/extendedfamily 77 4 9 10 38 9 5 2

5% 9% 6% 5% 5% 4% 6% 6%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Other 7 0 2 1 2 1 1 0*% 0% 1% 1% *% *% 1% 0%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Homeowner (owned outright) 439 116 101 222 129 149 101 6030% 36% 29% 28% 36% 40% 27% 17%

Homeowner (with a mortgage) 386 88 88 209 121 91 105 6926% 27% 25% 26% 34% 24% 28% 19%

Rented from private landlord 306 59 77 170 62 75 83 8721% 18% 22% 21% 17% 20% 22% 24%

Rented from Council 139 22 30 88 10 21 32 779% 7% 9% 11% 3% 6% 8% 21%

Rented from HousingAssociation or Social HousingProvider 99 15 22 61 15 10 32 42

7% 5% 6% 8% 4% 3% 9% 12%

Shared ownership 8 3 1 4 1 2 1 41% 1% *% *% *% 1% *% 1%

Student accomodation 7 1 2 4 0 3 3 **% *% *% *% 0% 1% 1% *%

Living with parents/extendedfamily 77 15 24 38 20 20 19 18

5% 5% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Other 7 1 3 3 1 4 1 1*% *% 1% *% *% 1% *% *%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255






7% 6% 4% 11% 2% 12% 3% 9% 10%

Shared ownership 8 7 0 0 0 1 2 4 21% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% *% 1% 1%

Student accomodation 7 3 3 1 0 0 6 0 1*% *% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% *%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255


5% 4% 11% 13% 2% 5% 4% 5% 8%

Other 7 6 0 0 0 1 2 5 0*% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% *% 1% 0%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Homeowner (owned outright) 439 189 168 194 19330% 25% 42% 32% 29%

Homeowner (with a mortgage) 386 213 96 175 16226% 28% 24% 29% 24%

Rented from private landlord 306 174 62 111 14721% 23% 15% 19% 22%

Rented from Council 139 79 26 51 639% 11% 6% 9% 10%

Rented from HousingAssociation or Social HousingProvider 99 43 27 24 55

7% 6% 7% 4% 8%

Shared ownership 8 5 2 3 11% 1% *% 1% *%

Student accomodation 7 5 1 1 5*% 1% *% *% 1%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Living with parents/extendedfamily 77 41 16 34 34

5% 6% 4% 6% 5%

Other 7 2 3 4 3*% *% 1% 1% *%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 223Table 19Generally speaking, how interested would you say you are in politics?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Very interested 270 172 98 22 29 40 56 51 7218% 24% 13% 13% 12% 17% 21% 24% 22%

Fairly interested 686 338 349 82 126 125 105 103 14547% 47% 46% 48% 50% 52% 40% 49% 44%

Not very interested 350 146 204 45 64 52 62 42 8624% 20% 27% 26% 25% 21% 23% 20% 26%

Not interested at all 162 59 103 20 33 25 41 17 2611% 8% 14% 12% 13% 10% 16% 8% 8%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 224Table 19 (continuation)Generally speaking, how interested would you say you are in politics?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

Very interested 270 169 101 80 79 14 24 29 3118% 21% 15% 23% 28% 20% 20% 32% 8%






Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Very interested 270 67 75 12 35 3 15 16 2 2118% 21% 24% 16% 17% 31% 31% 20% 22% 8%

Fairly interested 686 148 173 43 106 3 25 44 3 9847% 47% 54% 56% 53% 28% 49% 56% 31% 38%

Not very interested 350 89 52 18 43 2 5 13 1 9124% 28% 16% 24% 22% 21% 11% 17% 5% 36%

Not interested at all 162 9 17 3 16 2 5 5 4 4611% 3% 5% 5% 8% 21% 10% 7% 41% 18%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Very interested 270 224 27 12 718% 18% 22% 17% 17%

Fairly interested 686 586 59 24 1747% 48% 48% 34% 41%

Not very interested 350 298 24 19 924% 24% 20% 26% 21%

Not interested at all 162 123 14 16 811% 10% 11% 23% 20%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

Very interested 270 15 24 39 8 37 42 18 22 1918% 15% 17% 21% 14% 23% 21% 14% 17% 15%






Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

Very interested 270 103 75 45 13 20 0 3 12 018% 23% 19% 15% 10% 20% 0% 43% 16% 0%







Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

Very interested 270 270 0 85 185 229 12 7 6 1618% 28% 0% 17% 19% 26% 5% 5% 5% 14%







TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Very interested 270 19 49 50 76 45 21 1018% 45% 32% 23% 10% 22% 24% 38%

Fairly interested 686 18 86 126 292 110 43 1147% 42% 56% 57% 40% 54% 49% 41%

Not very interested 350 2 16 40 229 40 18 424% 6% 10% 18% 31% 20% 21% 16%

Not interested at all 162 3 4 5 135 8 5 111% 8% 3% 2% 18% 4% 6% 4%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Very interested 270 82 37 151 66 80 59 6518% 25% 11% 19% 18% 21% 16% 18%

Fairly interested 686 156 163 367 178 176 172 15947% 48% 47% 46% 50% 47% 46% 44%

Not very interested 350 72 97 181 88 87 96 7824% 22% 28% 23% 24% 23% 26% 22%

Not interested at all 162 12 50 99 27 30 49 5611% 4% 14% 12% 7% 8% 13% 16%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

Very interested 270 232 13 4 1 19 130 124 1618% 24% 7% 4% 2% 15% 24% 18% 6%







Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Very interested 270 146 105 103 14518% 19% 26% 17% 22%

Fairly interested 686 352 209 279 32547% 47% 52% 47% 49%

Not very interested 350 184 60 161 13224% 25% 15% 27% 20%

Not interested at all 162 69 26 54 6111% 9% 7% 9% 9%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 234Table 20What is the single most important issue facing society today? After reading all the options




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

The national economy 118 69 49 12 13 22 26 19 278% 10% 6% 7% 5% 9% 10% 9% 8%

Immigration & Asylum 513 241 272 26 57 73 102 106 14735% 34% 36% 16% 23% 30% 39% 50% 45%

Healthcare/NHS 235 103 131 37 34 34 27 38 6516% 14% 17% 22% 14% 14% 10% 18% 20%

Unemployment 62 28 34 9 21 15 10 4 34% 4% 5% 5% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%

The cost of living 140 57 83 28 42 38 26 3 410% 8% 11% 16% 17% 16% 10% 1% 1%

Welfare & Benefits 51 27 24 8 6 14 6 7 103% 4% 3% 5% 2% 6% 2% 3% 3%

Education 40 18 22 12 8 7 6 1 53% 3% 3% 7% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2%

Housing 73 42 30 7 16 11 12 10 175% 6% 4% 4% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5%

Retirement & Pensions 30 17 14 1 3 2 10 8 72% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 4% 2%

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 20 23 2 8 6 8 4 153% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 5%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 235Table 20 (continuation)What is the single most important issue facing society today? After reading all the options




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

National Defence 31 13 18 3 8 4 6 4 72% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2%

Taxation 21 11 10 3 10 3 3 1 11% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% *% *%

The Environment 63 34 29 13 13 6 14 4 134% 5% 4% 7% 5% 2% 5% 2% 4%

Foreign Affairs 18 12 6 5 5 4 2 1 21% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% *% *%

Other 30 22 9 6 6 5 5 2 62% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405



Healthcare/NHS 235 128 106 43 56 14 10 15 6516% 16% 16% 12% 20% 18% 9% 16% 16%

Unemployment 62 36 26 6 19 2 3 3 154% 4% 4% 2% 7% 3% 3% 3% 4%



Education 40 31 9 6 5 6 1 5 133% 4% 1% 2% 2% 8% 1% 6% 3%

Housing 73 37 35 7 19 3 6 5 245% 5% 5% 2% 7% 4% 5% 5% 6%


Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 22 21 10 8 2 1 5 103% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% *% 5% 2%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405


Taxation 21 8 12 4 4 1 0 0 91% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2%

The Environment 63 53 10 8 18 3 2 10 124% 6% 2% 2% 7% 4% 2% 11% 3%

Foreign Affairs 18 11 6 7 2 2 0 1 41% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1%

Other 30 11 19 6 4 1 1 1 122% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

The national economy 118 36 33 8 6 3 6 5 0 128% 12% 10% 11% 3% 29% 12% 7% 0% 5%

Immigration & Asylum 513 131 59 19 129 1 10 16 5 8635% 42% 19% 24% 65% 6% 21% 20% 44% 34%

Healthcare/NHS 235 41 65 17 19 6 8 10 0 4916% 13% 20% 23% 9% 58% 17% 13% 0% 19%

Unemployment 62 15 18 2 5 1 3 3 1 84% 5% 6% 2% 3% 7% 6% 4% 11% 3%

The cost of living 140 22 32 8 10 0 7 11 0 3210% 7% 10% 11% 5% 0% 14% 13% 0% 13%

Welfare & Benefits 51 13 9 1 5 0 3 1 1 153% 4% 3% 2% 3% 0% 5% 1% 6% 6%

Education 40 5 11 4 1 0 1 9 0 33% 2% 3% 5% *% 0% 2% 11% 0% 1%

Housing 73 10 21 3 9 0 2 4 1 145% 3% 7% 4% 5% 0% 4% 5% 6% 5%

Retirement & Pensions 30 3 11 1 3 0 2 0 2 72% 1% 3% 1% 2% 0% 4% 0% 16% 3%

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 9 10 3 6 0 2 3 0 73% 3% 3% 4% 3% 0% 4% 4% 0% 3%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

National Defence 31 8 8 6 2 0 1 * 0 42% 2% 2% 8% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2%

Taxation 21 1 7 0 0 0 0 2 0 61% *% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 2%

The Environment 63 6 24 3 3 0 3 13 2 44% 2% 8% 3% 1% 0% 5% 16% 16% 1%

Foreign Affairs 18 6 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 41% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1%

Other 30 7 7 1 1 0 1 1 0 52% 2% 2% 1% *% 0% 3% 2% 0% 2%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

The national economy 118 93 12 10 48% 8% 10% 14% 9%

Immigration & Asylum 513 431 43 22 1635% 35% 34% 31% 40%

Healthcare/NHS 235 196 17 16 616% 16% 14% 22% 14%

Unemployment 62 51 8 2 14% 4% 6% 3% 2%

The cost of living 140 115 10 10 510% 9% 8% 14% 13%

Welfare & Benefits 51 43 6 1 13% 3% 5% 2% 3%

Education 40 35 3 1 13% 3% 2% 1% 2%

Housing 73 64 4 3 25% 5% 3% 4% 5%

Retirement & Pensions 30 25 5 0 12% 2% 4% 0% 2%

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 38 4 1 03% 3% 3% 1% 0%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

National Defence 31 27 3 1 02% 2% 3% 1% 0%

Taxation 21 19 2 0 01% 2% 2% 0% 0%

The Environment 63 56 3 1 34% 5% 2% 2% 8%

Foreign Affairs 18 16 1 0 11% 1% 1% 0% 2%

Other 30 23 4 3 02% 2% 4% 4% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122



Healthcare/NHS 235 19 24 30 16 15 27 20 23 2216% 18% 18% 16% 27% 9% 13% 16% 18% 18%

Unemployment 62 5 3 7 5 10 7 2 8 44% 4% 2% 4% 9% 6% 3% 2% 6% 3%



Education 40 2 3 4 2 4 11 1 4 33% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 6% 1% 3% 3%

Housing 73 2 6 28 1 4 12 8 0 25% 1% 5% 15% 2% 2% 6% 7% 0% 2%




GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122


National Defence 31 2 2 3 0 3 6 3 4 32% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%

Taxation 21 0 0 3 1 4 3 3 3 21% 0% 0% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2%

The Environment 63 6 5 10 1 11 8 3 7 44% 6% 4% 5% 2% 7% 4% 3% 5% 3%

Foreign Affairs 18 2 2 6 0 0 1 2 4 01% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% *% 1% 3% 0%

Other 30 3 0 3 0 1 6 2 6 22% 3% 0% 2% 0% 1% 3% 2% 4% 2%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7



Healthcare/NHS 235 85 61 39 20 13 0 0 17 116% 19% 16% 13% 15% 13% 0% 0% 21% 11%

Unemployment 62 8 15 23 4 7 0 0 5 04% 2% 4% 7% 3% 7% 0% 0% 7% 0%

The cost of living 140 17 42 44 18 4 1 * 13 010% 4% 11% 15% 13% 4% 8% 8% 17% 0%


Education 40 9 12 9 2 1 0 0 3 13% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 4% 19%

Housing 73 10 10 23 9 13 0 2 4 15% 2% 3% 7% 7% 13% 0% 25% 6% 11%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7




Taxation 21 2 7 7 4 1 0 0 0 11% *% 2% 2% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 12%

The Environment 63 17 27 14 3 2 0 0 1 04% 4% 7% 5% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Foreign Affairs 18 6 1 5 1 0 0 0 4 01% 1% *% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0%

Other 30 5 2 9 4 4 0 1 5 02% 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 0% 10% 6% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117



Healthcare/NHS 235 155 80 0 235 152 39 13 16 1416% 16% 16% 0% 25% 17% 18% 9% 15% 12%

Unemployment 62 44 19 0 62 32 13 11 2 54% 5% 4% 0% 7% 4% 6% 8% 1% 4%



Education 40 31 9 0 40 22 5 2 5 53% 3% 2% 0% 4% 3% 2% 2% 5% 4%

Housing 73 53 20 0 73 40 10 9 6 75% 6% 4% 0% 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117



Taxation 21 10 11 0 21 4 4 2 5 51% 1% 2% 0% 2% *% 2% 2% 5% 5%

The Environment 63 56 7 0 63 53 4 1 1 34% 6% 1% 0% 7% 6% 2% 1% 1% 3%

Foreign Affairs 18 11 7 0 18 10 3 0 2 21% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 2%

Other 30 12 19 0 30 14 3 3 3 82% 1% 4% 0% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 7%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

The national economy 118 6 11 26 37 31 5 28% 15% 7% 12% 5% 15% 6% 6%

Immigration & Asylum 513 6 20 55 284 87 48 1335% 13% 13% 25% 39% 43% 55% 50%

Healthcare/NHS 235 8 45 38 112 25 5 116% 20% 29% 17% 15% 12% 6% 4%

Unemployment 62 0 9 15 30 7 1 14% 0% 6% 7% 4% 3% 1% 5%

The cost of living 140 12 9 19 88 5 7 110% 29% 6% 9% 12% 3% 8% 3%

Welfare & Benefits 51 1 5 9 25 9 2 03% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 0%

Education 40 1 10 10 11 5 2 13% 2% 7% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3%

Housing 73 0 12 12 32 8 3 45% 0% 8% 6% 4% 4% 4% 15%

Retirement & Pensions 30 0 4 6 13 4 4 02% 0% 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% 0%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 0 2 5 27 6 4 03% 0% 1% 2% 4% 3% 4% 0%

National Defence 31 1 4 4 17 4 1 02% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0%

Taxation 21 1 1 4 11 1 2 11% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5%

The Environment 63 5 19 15 14 8 2 04% 11% 12% 7% 2% 4% 2% 0%

Foreign Affairs 18 1 3 2 8 2 1 11% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4%

Other 30 1 1 3 23 1 1 12% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

The national economy 118 40 27 51 28 31 30 298% 13% 8% 6% 8% 8% 8% 8%

Immigration & Asylum 513 98 118 297 131 130 127 12435% 30% 34% 37% 37% 35% 34% 35%

Healthcare/NHS 235 51 54 130 54 74 55 5216% 16% 15% 16% 15% 20% 15% 14%

Unemployment 62 13 26 23 16 7 22 184% 4% 8% 3% 4% 2% 6% 5%

The cost of living 140 28 35 77 35 31 35 3910% 9% 10% 10% 10% 8% 9% 11%

Welfare & Benefits 51 11 9 31 13 12 9 173% 4% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 5%

Education 40 9 11 19 13 8 7 123% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3%

Housing 73 16 12 44 12 17 28 155% 5% 4% 6% 3% 4% 8% 4%

Retirement & Pensions 30 6 9 16 10 6 8 62% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 9 11 23 10 9 13 103% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

National Defence 31 6 7 18 10 13 6 22% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 1%

Taxation 21 5 4 11 0 6 7 71% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 2% 2%

The Environment 63 11 11 41 20 16 13 134% 4% 3% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4%

Foreign Affairs 18 10 3 5 4 2 6 61% 3% 1% 1% 1% *% 2% 2%

Other 30 8 11 11 3 11 10 62% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255



Healthcare/NHS 235 165 34 13 9 14 92 85 5716% 17% 19% 12% 13% 11% 17% 13% 22%

Unemployment 62 32 13 9 3 5 29 16 174% 3% 7% 8% 5% 4% 5% 2% 7%



Education 40 29 2 1 0 7 20 10 103% 3% 1% 1% 0% 5% 4% 1% 4%

Housing 73 48 10 6 3 5 33 28 115% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 6% 4% 4%





Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 26 9 1 2 5 20 15 83% 3% 5% 1% 2% 4% 4% 2% 3%


Taxation 21 9 0 4 4 4 11 5 51% 1% 0% 3% 6% 3% 2% 1% 2%

The Environment 63 51 4 4 0 4 44 13 64% 5% 2% 3% 0% 3% 8% 2% 2%

Foreign Affairs 18 10 4 1 1 1 10 4 41% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2%

Other 30 18 3 3 4 3 12 9 92% 2% 2% 2% 6% 2% 2% 1% 4%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

The national economy 118 67 38 47 618% 9% 9% 8% 9%

Immigration & Asylum 513 237 156 239 19535% 32% 39% 40% 29%

Healthcare/NHS 235 131 58 95 11616% 18% 14% 16% 18%

Unemployment 62 32 12 17 324% 4% 3% 3% 5%

The cost of living 140 83 27 53 6710% 11% 7% 9% 10%

Welfare & Benefits 51 23 18 29 193% 3% 4% 5% 3%

Education 40 21 11 10 223% 3% 3% 2% 3%

Housing 73 42 18 24 425% 6% 5% 4% 6%

Retirement & Pensions 30 14 8 12 142% 2% 2% 2% 2%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Crime, Justice, Law & Order 43 27 10 16 183% 4% 2% 3% 3%

National Defence 31 14 12 12 162% 2% 3% 2% 2%

Taxation 21 11 5 11 41% 1% 1% 2% 1%

The Environment 63 38 17 17 424% 5% 4% 3% 6%

Foreign Affairs 18 8 6 8 71% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Other 30 3 5 8 72% *% 1% 1% 1%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 256Table 21If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329







BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 257Table 21 (continuation)If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405








Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255








Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41








GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122








Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7









Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117









TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26











Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358









Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255









Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663







BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 267Table 22Sometimes people like to describe their political views on a spectrum from left to right. How would you describe your own views?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Very left wing 42 21 22 5 14 9 7 3 43% 3% 3% 3% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1%

Fairly left wing 154 82 72 28 27 15 33 13 3710% 11% 10% 16% 11% 6% 13% 6% 11%

Slightly left 222 129 93 35 31 42 48 27 3815% 18% 12% 21% 12% 18% 18% 13% 12%

Centrist/In the centre 732 296 436 75 148 124 129 116 14150% 41% 58% 44% 59% 51% 49% 54% 43%

Slightly right 204 121 83 18 21 28 29 38 7014% 17% 11% 10% 8% 11% 11% 18% 21%

Fairly right wing 88 46 41 6 7 20 13 10 326% 6% 5% 3% 3% 8% 5% 5% 10%

Very right wing 26 20 6 3 3 4 4 5 62% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 268Table 22 (continuation)Sometimes people like to describe their political views on a spectrum from left to right. How would you describe your own views?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

Very left wing 42 22 20 1 20 1 1 7 113% 3% 3% *% 7% 1% 1% 8% 3%

Fairly left wing 154 94 60 5 74 5 4 28 2810% 12% 9% 2% 26% 7% 3% 30% 7%

Slightly left 222 138 84 24 73 21 11 19 5615% 17% 13% 7% 26% 29% 9% 20% 14%


Slightly right 204 135 69 103 17 9 23 4 3914% 16% 11% 30% 6% 13% 20% 4% 10%


Very right wing 26 10 15 10 5 0 3 1 52% 1% 2% 3% 2% 0% 3% 1% 1%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Very left wing 42 2 22 2 0 0 2 7 1 13% 1% 7% 2% 0% 0% 4% 9% 6% *%

Fairly left wing 154 9 88 7 6 3 6 12 0 410% 3% 28% 9% 3% 28% 12% 16% 0% 1%

Slightly left 222 23 81 19 19 0 13 16 2 3315% 7% 25% 24% 9% 0% 26% 20% 17% 13%

Centrist/In the centre 732 122 105 40 115 6 27 38 2 18150% 39% 33% 52% 57% 65% 53% 49% 23% 71%

Slightly right 204 104 13 6 31 1 2 4 4 3214% 33% 4% 8% 16% 7% 4% 4% 33% 12%

Fairly right wing 88 43 3 3 20 0 1 0 1 56% 14% 1% 4% 10% 0% 2% 0% 14% 2%

Very right wing 26 8 4 0 9 0 0 1 1 02% 2% 1% 0% 4% 0% 0% 1% 7% 0%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Very left wing 42 39 2 1 03% 3% 2% 1% 0%

Fairly left wing 154 133 10 6 610% 11% 8% 8% 15%

Slightly left 222 182 24 9 715% 15% 20% 13% 17%

Centrist/In the centre 732 606 62 45 1850% 49% 50% 64% 45%

Slightly right 204 177 14 7 514% 14% 11% 11% 12%

Fairly right wing 88 72 9 2 46% 6% 7% 3% 11%

Very right wing 26 22 2 1 02% 2% 2% 2% 0%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

Very left wing 42 2 5 8 2 4 4 5 3 63% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 5%

Fairly left wing 154 11 14 27 11 20 17 7 12 1410% 10% 10% 14% 18% 12% 8% 6% 9% 11%

Slightly left 222 18 18 33 3 27 33 12 15 2115% 17% 13% 17% 5% 17% 16% 10% 12% 18%


Slightly right 204 9 30 27 4 22 43 20 11 1014% 9% 22% 14% 7% 13% 21% 16% 9% 8%


Very right wing 26 1 1 6 1 2 6 2 2 42% 1% *% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 3%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

Very left wing 42 6 14 9 6 3 0 0 4 03% 1% 4% 3% 5% 3% 0% 0% 5% 0%

Fairly left wing 154 39 54 31 11 8 0 0 9 210% 9% 14% 10% 8% 8% 0% 0% 11% 23%

Slightly left 222 61 64 56 11 12 5 1 10 115% 14% 17% 18% 8% 13% 63% 21% 13% 19%


Slightly right 204 94 45 36 8 11 1 0 9 114% 21% 12% 12% 6% 11% 13% 0% 12% 11%


Very right wing 26 8 9 7 0 1 0 0 2 02% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

Very left wing 42 37 6 6 37 29 5 0 2 73% 4% 1% 1% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2% 6%

Fairly left wing 154 135 19 20 134 120 14 2 6 1210% 14% 4% 4% 14% 14% 6% 2% 5% 10%

Slightly left 222 177 46 55 167 150 23 19 21 915% 18% 9% 11% 17% 17% 10% 14% 19% 8%


Slightly right 204 156 48 87 117 156 33 8 6 214% 16% 9% 17% 12% 18% 15% 5% 5% 2%


Very right wing 26 20 5 13 13 17 2 1 2 42% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Very left wing 42 42 0 0 0 0 0 03% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Fairly left wing 154 0 154 0 0 0 0 010% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Slightly left 222 0 0 222 0 0 0 015% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Centrist/In the centre 732 0 0 0 732 0 0 050% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Slightly right 204 0 0 0 0 204 0 014% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%

Fairly right wing 88 0 0 0 0 0 88 06% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Very right wing 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 262% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Very left wing 42 5 5 32 8 7 11 163% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 3% 4%

Fairly left wing 154 20 25 109 32 44 36 4210% 6% 7% 14% 9% 12% 10% 12%

Slightly left 222 50 47 125 56 54 55 5715% 15% 14% 16% 15% 14% 15% 16%

Centrist/In the centre 732 140 198 395 164 178 199 19150% 43% 57% 49% 46% 48% 53% 53%

Slightly right 204 68 53 83 70 60 43 3014% 21% 15% 10% 20% 16% 11% 8%

Fairly right wing 88 30 15 43 22 27 23 166% 9% 4% 5% 6% 7% 6% 4%

Very right wing 26 8 6 11 8 4 8 62% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

Very left wing 42 33 1 1 1 6 30 8 43% 3% 1% 1% 1% 5% 6% 1% 2%

Fairly left wing 154 126 12 2 5 9 92 47 1610% 13% 7% 2% 7% 7% 17% 7% 6%

Slightly left 222 152 25 18 11 16 119 71 3215% 16% 14% 16% 16% 12% 22% 11% 13%


Slightly right 204 164 23 7 1 9 67 122 1514% 17% 13% 6% 2% 7% 12% 18% 6%


Very right wing 26 18 1 0 2 5 6 16 42% 2% 1% 0% 3% 4% 1% 2% 2%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Very left wing 42 29 8 10 253% 4% 2% 2% 4%

Fairly left wing 154 108 32 36 10810% 14% 8% 6% 16%

Slightly left 222 133 50 79 12215% 18% 12% 13% 18%

Centrist/In the centre 732 364 160 291 30150% 48% 40% 49% 45%

Slightly right 204 75 100 120 6814% 10% 25% 20% 10%

Fairly right wing 88 32 41 50 296% 4% 10% 8% 4%

Very right wing 26 10 10 10 102% 1% 3% 2% 2%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 278Table 23Please indicate whether you tend to trust or distrust..The UK Government?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Tend to trust a lot 45 30 15 5 12 11 7 3 73% 4% 2% 3% 5% 5% 2% 1% 2%

Tend to trust a little 277 125 152 30 31 54 46 42 7419% 17% 20% 17% 12% 22% 17% 20% 23%

Neither trust nor distrust 348 166 182 45 82 53 52 48 6824% 23% 24% 27% 33% 22% 20% 23% 21%

Tend to distrust 412 202 210 52 65 64 77 57 9928% 28% 28% 30% 26% 26% 29% 27% 30%

Tend to distrust a lot 386 192 195 38 62 60 83 63 8126% 27% 26% 22% 25% 25% 31% 30% 25%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 279Table 23 (continuation)Please indicate whether you tend to trust or distrust..The UK Government?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

Tend to trust a lot 45 34 11 16 9 6 3 2 73% 4% 2% 5% 3% 8% 2% 2% 2%



Tend to distrust 412 243 169 80 92 24 34 30 11428% 30% 26% 23% 32% 33% 29% 32% 28%




Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Tend to trust a lot 45 19 12 7 2 0 0 1 0 23% 6% 4% 9% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%

Tend to trust a little 277 130 38 21 10 1 6 8 2 3319% 42% 12% 27% 5% 6% 12% 10% 16% 13%

Neither trust nor distrust 348 91 62 13 32 2 12 16 1 7524% 29% 19% 17% 16% 20% 23% 20% 6% 29%

Tend to distrust 412 56 112 27 60 4 12 28 4 7328% 18% 35% 35% 30% 40% 24% 35% 39% 29%

Tend to distrust a lot 386 15 93 10 97 3 21 26 4 7226% 5% 29% 12% 49% 33% 41% 34% 39% 28%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Tend to trust a lot 45 40 4 1 03% 3% 3% 2% 0%

Tend to trust a little 277 236 19 13 919% 19% 15% 18% 23%

Neither trust nor distrust 348 291 34 14 1024% 24% 27% 20% 23%

Tend to distrust 412 357 26 20 1028% 29% 21% 28% 24%

Tend to distrust a lot 386 309 42 23 1226% 25% 34% 33% 30%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122




Tend to distrust 412 32 36 53 17 43 47 38 49 4228% 30% 26% 28% 29% 26% 24% 30% 38% 34%




Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7




Tend to distrust 412 115 127 89 41 22 4 2 11 228% 26% 33% 29% 29% 23% 49% 32% 14% 23%





Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117




Tend to distrust 412 272 140 141 271 256 68 32 29 2728% 28% 27% 28% 28% 29% 31% 23% 27% 23%





TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Tend to trust a lot 45 3 3 4 23 5 3 43% 7% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 15%

Tend to trust a little 277 3 17 46 117 63 27 419% 6% 11% 21% 16% 31% 31% 15%

Neither trust nor distrust 348 5 25 47 198 53 15 624% 12% 16% 21% 27% 26% 17% 25%

Tend to distrust 412 12 55 68 193 54 24 628% 28% 35% 31% 26% 27% 27% 24%

Tend to distrust a lot 386 20 54 58 201 29 19 526% 47% 35% 26% 27% 14% 21% 21%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Tend to trust a lot 45 45 0 0 11 15 9 103% 14% 0% 0% 3% 4% 3% 3%

Tend to trust a little 277 277 0 0 91 73 54 5819% 86% 0% 0% 25% 20% 14% 16%

Neither trust nor distrust 348 0 348 0 86 95 101 6624% 0% 100% 0% 24% 25% 27% 19%

Tend to distrust 412 0 0 412 102 99 103 10828% 0% 0% 52% 28% 26% 28% 30%

Tend to distrust a lot 386 0 0 386 70 93 108 11626% 0% 0% 48% 19% 25% 29% 32%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

Tend to trust a lot 45 33 4 4 2 1 21 18 63% 3% 2% 4% 4% *% 4% 3% 2%



Tend to distrust 412 272 64 21 14 42 159 190 6328% 28% 36% 18% 20% 32% 30% 28% 25%





Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Tend to trust a lot 45 28 8 23 193% 4% 2% 4% 3%

Tend to trust a little 277 136 90 147 10119% 18% 23% 25% 15%

Neither trust nor distrust 348 143 85 133 11824% 19% 21% 22% 18%

Tend to distrust 412 232 108 156 21128% 31% 27% 26% 32%

Tend to distrust a lot 386 212 108 138 21426% 28% 27% 23% 32%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 289Table 24IMD Quartile




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

1st Quartile 360 163 197 34 44 51 63 54 11324% 23% 26% 20% 17% 21% 24% 26% 34%

2nd Quartile 374 182 192 47 59 34 62 77 9626% 25% 26% 28% 23% 14% 23% 36% 29%

3rd Quartile 376 189 187 34 72 85 72 44 7026% 26% 25% 20% 28% 35% 27% 21% 21%

4th Quartile 358 181 177 54 78 72 67 37 5024% 25% 23% 32% 31% 30% 25% 18% 15%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 290Table 24 (continuation)IMD Quartile

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405

1st Quartile 360 249 111 126 60 25 24 20 8024% 30% 17% 37% 21% 35% 20% 22% 20%

2nd Quartile 374 227 147 104 62 24 31 19 9826% 28% 23% 30% 22% 33% 26% 21% 24%

3rd Quartile 376 191 185 66 76 16 31 29 10526% 23% 28% 19% 27% 22% 27% 31% 26%

4th Quartile 358 150 208 48 85 8 31 24 12224% 18% 32% 14% 30% 10% 26% 26% 30%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

1st Quartile 360 111 62 20 42 2 10 21 3 6024% 36% 20% 26% 21% 25% 20% 27% 27% 24%

2nd Quartile 374 99 73 29 52 4 12 18 1 5526% 32% 23% 38% 26% 36% 24% 23% 6% 22%

3rd Quartile 376 59 83 17 59 1 15 22 3 7626% 19% 26% 22% 30% 6% 30% 28% 25% 30%

4th Quartile 358 44 99 10 47 3 13 17 5 6324% 14% 31% 13% 23% 33% 26% 22% 42% 25%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

1st Quartile 360 308 27 17 724% 25% 22% 25% 17%

2nd Quartile 374 308 35 18 1326% 25% 28% 25% 33%

3rd Quartile 376 308 36 23 926% 25% 29% 32% 23%

4th Quartile 358 308 26 13 1124% 25% 21% 18% 27%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122

1st Quartile 360 28 42 27 13 32 84 39 18 2624% 27% 31% 14% 22% 20% 42% 31% 14% 21%

2nd Quartile 374 22 41 39 12 27 64 30 35 3826% 21% 30% 21% 19% 17% 32% 24% 27% 31%

3rd Quartile 376 29 36 76 12 42 34 29 31 1826% 27% 27% 40% 19% 26% 17% 24% 24% 15%

4th Quartile 358 27 17 49 24 61 19 26 45 4024% 25% 13% 26% 40% 38% 10% 21% 35% 33%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7

1st Quartile 360 129 121 62 10 15 1 0 20 124% 29% 31% 20% 7% 16% 13% 0% 26% 10%

2nd Quartile 374 149 91 75 21 10 2 3 20 426% 34% 24% 24% 15% 10% 28% 42% 26% 60%

3rd Quartile 376 101 105 83 32 32 1 3 19 126% 23% 27% 27% 23% 32% 8% 51% 24% 11%

4th Quartile 358 60 69 87 77 42 4 * 18 124% 14% 18% 28% 55% 42% 51% 8% 23% 19%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117

1st Quartile 360 245 115 131 228 245 51 30 14 2024% 26% 22% 26% 24% 28% 23% 21% 13% 18%

2nd Quartile 374 257 118 130 245 237 58 33 28 1926% 27% 23% 25% 26% 27% 26% 23% 26% 16%

3rd Quartile 376 231 145 127 249 206 60 46 32 3226% 24% 28% 25% 26% 23% 27% 32% 30% 28%

4th Quartile 358 224 134 124 234 191 54 34 33 4524% 23% 26% 24% 24% 22% 24% 24% 31% 39%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

1st Quartile 360 8 32 56 164 70 22 824% 18% 21% 25% 22% 34% 25% 31%

2nd Quartile 374 7 44 54 178 60 27 426% 17% 28% 24% 24% 30% 31% 16%

3rd Quartile 376 11 36 55 199 43 23 826% 27% 24% 25% 27% 21% 26% 30%

4th Quartile 358 16 42 57 191 30 16 624% 38% 28% 26% 26% 15% 18% 23%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

1st Quartile 360 102 86 172 360 0 0 024% 32% 25% 22% 100% 0% 0% 0%

2nd Quartile 374 88 95 192 0 374 0 026% 27% 27% 24% 0% 100% 0% 0%

3rd Quartile 376 64 101 211 0 0 376 026% 20% 29% 26% 0% 0% 100% 0%

4th Quartile 358 68 66 223 0 0 0 35824% 21% 19% 28% 0% 0% 0% 100%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255

1st Quartile 360 254 43 23 9 31 135 159 6624% 26% 24% 20% 13% 24% 25% 24% 26%

2nd Quartile 374 269 54 18 16 16 151 171 5226% 28% 31% 16% 23% 13% 28% 25% 21%

3rd Quartile 376 235 44 38 26 34 126 178 7226% 24% 25% 33% 37% 26% 23% 26% 28%

4th Quartile 358 219 36 36 19 48 126 167 6524% 22% 20% 31% 27% 37% 23% 25% 25%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

1st Quartile 360 185 109 157 16024% 25% 27% 26% 24%

2nd Quartile 374 180 120 175 15226% 24% 30% 29% 23%

3rd Quartile 376 183 99 150 16826% 24% 25% 25% 25%

4th Quartile 358 203 73 115 18424% 27% 18% 19% 28%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 300Table 25If there were an EU referendum tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329








SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405








Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255








Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41








GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122








Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7









Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117









TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26











Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358









Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255









Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663







BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 311Table 26Which of the following statements is closest to your view?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Government should do more tosolve problems instead ofbusinesses and individuals 751 371 379 99 139 131 142 104 135

51% 52% 50% 59% 55% 54% 54% 49% 41%

Government does too much andshould let businesses andindividuals do more 400 227 174 35 46 59 62 71 128

27% 32% 23% 21% 18% 24% 24% 33% 39%

Dont know 317 117 201 36 67 53 59 37 6622% 16% 27% 21% 27% 22% 23% 17% 20%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 312Table 26 (continuation)Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405


51% 52% 50% 44% 62% 52% 46% 59% 52%


27% 28% 27% 38% 22% 35% 37% 29% 20%

Dont know 317 167 150 62 45 10 20 10 11322% 20% 23% 18% 16% 13% 17% 11% 28%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Government should do more tosolve problems instead ofbusinesses and individuals 751 142 204 40 93 6 23 42 5 123

51% 45% 64% 52% 47% 56% 46% 54% 46% 48%

Government does too muchand should let businesses andindividuals do more 400 113 58 23 73 4 19 25 5 48

27% 36% 18% 30% 37% 37% 37% 31% 49% 19%

Dont know 317 58 54 15 33 1 8 11 1 8522% 18% 17% 19% 17% 6% 17% 14% 5% 33%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Government should do more tosolve problems instead ofbusinesses and individuals 751 640 54 39 17

51% 52% 44% 55% 42%

Government does too much andshould let businesses andindividuals do more 400 332 43 13 13

27% 27% 34% 18% 31%

Dont know 317 260 27 19 1122% 21% 22% 27% 27%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122


51% 53% 53% 62% 51% 53% 49% 40% 49% 54%


27% 31% 31% 23% 24% 23% 33% 30% 26% 20%

Dont know 317 17 23 27 15 39 37 38 32 3122% 16% 17% 14% 25% 24% 18% 31% 25% 25%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7


51% 43% 55% 57% 57% 44% 59% 82% 54% 36%


27% 38% 25% 20% 19% 27% 26% 18% 20% 45%

Dont know 317 83 77 71 34 29 1 0 20 122% 19% 20% 23% 25% 29% 15% 0% 26% 19%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117


51% 52% 49% 46% 54% 53% 48% 53% 46% 47%


27% 33% 17% 31% 26% 32% 27% 17% 16% 18%

Dont know 317 144 173 120 197 137 56 43 40 4122% 15% 34% 23% 21% 16% 25% 30% 38% 35%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Government should do more tosolve problems instead ofbusinesses and individuals 751 29 108 133 364 75 32 10

51% 70% 70% 60% 50% 37% 36% 40%

Government does too much andshould let businesses andindividuals do more 400 8 32 50 160 100 41 10

27% 18% 21% 22% 22% 49% 47% 40%

Dont know 317 5 14 40 208 30 15 522% 12% 9% 18% 28% 15% 17% 21%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Government should do more tosolve problems instead ofbusinesses and individuals 751 163 143 444 185 180 183 203

51% 51% 41% 56% 51% 48% 49% 57%

Government does too much andshould let businesses andindividuals do more 400 98 85 217 109 120 99 73

27% 31% 25% 27% 30% 32% 26% 20%

Dont know 317 60 119 138 66 74 94 8222% 19% 34% 17% 18% 20% 25% 23%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255


51% 53% 56% 41% 46% 42% 60% 46% 46%


27% 31% 17% 18% 19% 25% 24% 34% 14%

Dont know 317 156 48 47 24 42 85 131 10122% 16% 27% 41% 35% 33% 16% 19% 39%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Government should do more tosolve problems instead ofbusinesses and individuals 751 751 0 301 399

51% 100% 0% 51% 60%

Government does too much andshould let businesses andindividuals do more 400 0 400 209 161

27% 0% 100% 35% 24%

Dont know 317 0 0 86 10222% 0% 0% 14% 15%


BMG EU Referendum Research - JUNE 2016 Page 322Table 27Which of the following statements is closest to your view?




Weighted Bases 1468 715 753 170 252 242 263 212 329

Government welfare to the poordoes more harm than goodbecause people become toodependent on welfare 597 295 302 60 118 105 77 95 141

41% 41% 40% 35% 47% 44% 29% 45% 43%

Government welfare to the poordoes more good than harmbecause people can’t get outof poverty until their basicneeds are met 663 335 328 84 91 100 145 96 146

45% 47% 44% 50% 36% 42% 55% 45% 44%

Dont know 208 85 123 25 43 36 41 21 4214% 12% 16% 15% 17% 15% 16% 10% 13%



SEG Vote 2015



vote



Weighted Bases 1468 817 651 343 283 73 117 92 405


41% 44% 37% 58% 23% 33% 43% 27% 45%


45% 44% 46% 32% 64% 55% 44% 67% 39%

Dont know 208 97 111 34 35 9 15 6 6314% 12% 17% 10% 12% 12% 13% 7% 16%



Vote Intention


Democrat UKIPPlaid




Weighted Bases 1468 312 317 77 200 10 50 78 11 255

Government welfare to thepoor does more harm thangood because people becometoo dependent on welfare 597 196 79 26 86 3 20 29 2 97

41% 63% 25% 34% 43% 31% 40% 37% 22% 38%

Government welfare to thepoor does more good thanharm because people can’tget out of poverty until theirbasic needs are met 663 91 200 40 92 6 27 41 8 98

45% 29% 63% 52% 46% 57% 54% 52% 78% 38%

Dont know 208 25 37 11 23 1 3 9 0 6114% 8% 12% 14% 12% 12% 6% 11% 0% 24%



Country


Ireland



Weighted Bases 1468 1232 124 71 41

Government welfare to the poordoes more harm than goodbecause people become toodependent on welfare 597 511 50 16 20

41% 41% 40% 22% 48%

Government welfare to the poordoes more good than harmbecause people can’t get outof poverty until their basicneeds are met 663 552 57 37 16

45% 45% 46% 53% 40%

Dont know 208 169 17 18 514% 14% 14% 25% 12%



GOR

TotalEast

MidlandsEast of


Midlands




Weighted Bases 1468 106 136 191 60 162 201 125 129 122


41% 41% 46% 41% 40% 35% 43% 43% 41% 44%


45% 45% 39% 48% 45% 53% 41% 40% 49% 41%

Dont know 208 15 21 21 9 20 32 21 13 1814% 14% 15% 11% 16% 12% 16% 16% 10% 14%



Tenure

Total

Homeowner(owned

outright)

Homeowner(with a

mortgage)

Rentedfrom

privatelandlord

Rentedfrom

Council

Rentedfrom

HousingAssociation


Sharedownership

Studentaccomodation

Livingwith

parents/extended

family Other



Weighted Bases 1468 439 386 306 139 99 8 7 77 7


41% 44% 45% 36% 37% 24% 42% 17% 43% 53%


45% 44% 42% 48% 45% 56% 8% 73% 44% 47%

Dont know 208 52 49 48 25 20 4 1 10 014% 12% 13% 16% 18% 20% 50% 10% 13% 0%




Total InterestedNot


& Asylum

NotImmigration

& Asylum

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote

It wouldbe roughly

50/50

I probablywould not

vote


vote



Weighted Bases 1468 956 512 513 955 879 223 143 107 117


41% 40% 42% 47% 37% 41% 46% 41% 37% 33%


45% 49% 38% 38% 49% 50% 34% 41% 41% 38%

Dont know 208 105 104 79 129 83 43 26 23 3314% 11% 20% 15% 14% 9% 19% 18% 22% 28%




TotalVery left

wingFairly left


Slightlyright

Fairly rightwing

Very rightwing



Weighted Bases 1468 42 154 222 732 204 88 26

Government welfare to the poordoes more harm than goodbecause people become toodependent on welfare 597 10 36 79 291 120 50 10

41% 23% 23% 36% 40% 59% 57% 40%

Government welfare to the poordoes more good than harmbecause people can’t get outof poverty until their basicneeds are met 663 25 108 122 301 68 29 10

45% 60% 70% 55% 41% 33% 33% 40%

Dont know 208 7 10 21 140 16 9 514% 17% 6% 9% 19% 8% 10% 21%






Weighted Bases 1468 321 348 798 360 374 376 358

Government welfare to the poordoes more harm than goodbecause people become toodependent on welfare 597 170 133 294 157 175 150 115

41% 53% 38% 37% 44% 47% 40% 32%

Government welfare to the poordoes more good than harmbecause people can’t get outof poverty until their basicneeds are met 663 120 118 425 160 152 168 184

45% 37% 34% 53% 44% 41% 45% 51%

Dont know 208 31 97 80 43 48 58 6014% 10% 28% 10% 12% 13% 15% 17%




Total

I woulddefinitely

vote

I wouldprobably

vote


50

I probablywould not

vote





Weighted Bases 1468 977 177 115 70 129 537 676 255


41% 42% 47% 31% 38% 31% 36% 48% 31%


45% 48% 38% 42% 38% 42% 55% 41% 37%

Dont know 208 100 27 31 17 34 52 76 8014% 10% 15% 27% 24% 26% 10% 11% 31%




Total

Governmentshould do

more tosolve

problemsGovernment

does too much

Does moreharm than

good

Does moregood than

harm



Weighted Bases 1468 751 400 597 663

Government welfare to the poordoes more harm than goodbecause people become toodependent on welfare 597 301 209 597 0

41% 40% 52% 100% 0%

Government welfare to the poordoes more good than harmbecause people can’t get outof poverty until their basicneeds are met 663 399 161 0 663

45% 53% 40% 0% 100%

Dont know 208 50 29 0 014% 7% 7% 0% 0%


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