Board of Trustees PresentationBoard of Trustees Presentation

Workforce Gap AnalysisWorkforce Gap AnalysisInitial ReportInitial ReportOctober 4, 2004October 4, 2004

Bob Barr

Executive Director

Institutional Research and Planning

Issues & DimensionsIssues & Dimensions

How responsive should we be?

What geographical areas could we serve?

What kinds of data are available?

How responsive should we be How responsive should we be to the job market?to the job market?

To short-term needs.

To intermediate-term needs, i.e., to clear labor market trends.

To long-term needs, i.e., focus on core education and learning to learn for later effective job specific training.

What geographical areas could What geographical areas could we serve?we serve?

Silicon Valley

Santa Clara/San Mateo Counties

All of the Bay Area

California or the nation

What kinds of labor/job What kinds of labor/job market data are available?market data are available?

Historical and projected data (Employment Development Department, Assoc of Bay Area Governments).

Special analysis by Silicon Valley Joint Venture.

Industry and occupational categories (data on needed skill sets are hard to find).

Both historical and projected data vary widely from report to report and year to year.

Santa Clara County OverviewSanta Clara County OverviewIndustry Employment, 1990 - 2003Industry Employment, 1990 - 2003

Job growth from 819,700 in 1990 to 1,034,900 in 2003, a 215,200 gain

Job loss of 176,200 from 2000 (the peak) to 2003

Industry Employment 1990 2000 2003

Total 819,700 1,034,900 858,700

Number Change 215,200 -176,200

Percent Change 26.3 -17.0

See Chart 1

Greatest losses in Manufacturing, High Greatest losses in Manufacturing, High Tech, and Business Services; about 30% Tech, and Business Services; about 30% vs. 17% overall loss.vs. 17% overall loss.

Industry Number Col% Number %

Agriculture, Mining 4,400 0.5 -800 -15.4Construction 38,800 4.5 -8,600 -18.1Manufacturing 177,000 20.6 -74,700 -29.7 High Technology 120,100 14.0 -52,300 -30.3Transp., Comm., Utilities 45,200 5.3 -15,000 -24.9Wholesale Trade 33,500 3.9 -8,700 -20.6Retail Trade 81,000 9.4 -9,600 -10.6Finance, Insurance, Real Estate 34,800 4.1 800 2.4Services 390,600 45.5 -60,200 -13.4 Business Services 164,300 19.1 -61,500 -27.2Government* 53,400 6.2 600 1.1

Total 858,700 100.0 -176,200 -17.0

Change 00 to 032003

See Chart 1

Silicon Valley Industry Clustersby Employment Concentration, Change inConcentration and Average Size (Chart 2)

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Sem iconductor & Sem iconductor Equip Manufacturing

Com puter & Com m unications Hardware Manufacturing

Electronic Com ponent Manufacturing

Software

Corporate Offices

Creative Services

Inform ation Services

Biom edical

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Average Quarterly Change in Concentration Relative to U.S. during 2001 and 2002

Silicon Valley Average Em ploym ent (Size of Circle)

-6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6%

Source: Silicon Valley Joint Venture 2004 Index

Driving Industry Cluster Driving Industry Cluster Employment Employment (Chart 2)(Chart 2)

Biomedical had greatest concentration growth during 2001 and 2002.Others with substantial concentration growth were Semiconductor Manufacturing, Computer/Communications Hardware Manufacturing, and Innovation Services.Software, Corporate Offices, and Creative Services lost concentration.All had concentrations greater than the national average, some as much as 17 times greater.

See Chart 2 (previous slide)

Portfolio of Silicon Valley Occupations, 2002 (Chart 3)

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

$80,000

$90,000

$100,000

$110,000

$120,000

Innovation Research and Developm ent

Personal Services

Sales , Marketingand Dis tribution

Adm inis tration

Headquarters

Health and Hum an Services

Technical Production

Profess ional Services

Ave

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ua

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02

Silicon Valley Em ploym ent Concentration Relative to the U.S., 2002

0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

Ins tallation, Repairand Production Education and Training

Silicon Valley Total Em ploym ent, 2002 (Size of Circle)

Source: Silicon Valley Joint Venture 2004 Index

Silicon Valley Occupational Silicon Valley Occupational Clusters Overview Clusters Overview (Chart 3)(Chart 3)

Occupational rather than industry clusters

By number employed (size of circle), concentration (horizontal axis), and average annual wage (vertical axis).

Innovation Research and Development has more than 3 times the concentration of the nation and very high wages ($90K).

See Chart 3 (previous slide)

Silicon Valley Occupational Silicon Valley Occupational Clusters Overview Clusters Overview (Chart 3)(Chart 3)

Professional Services and Headquarters also have high concentrations and high wages ($80-90K).

Technical Production has high concentration but mid-range wages ($41K).

Administration is by far the largest occupational cluster, followed by Sales and Personal Services.

See Chart 3 (two slides previous)

Greater Industry Employment Greater Industry Employment Historical DetailHistorical Detail

See Chart 4 for next level of greater detail for 1990, and 2000 to 2003 by EDD-LMI.

See Chart 5 for the most detailed historical industry employment data.

Of Interest in Chart 4Of Interest in Chart 4

TITLE 2000 2003 ChangeTotal, All Industries 1,035,000 858,400 -176,600Colleges, Universities and Professional Schools 15,200 18,900 3,700Local Government Education (K-12) 41,700 41,400 -300Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 172,400 120,100 -52,300Government 94,500 94,800 300

March 2003 BenchmarkFrom Chart 4 - Level I Summary

Santa Clara CountyIndustry Employment & Labor Force - by Annual Average

Overall loss of 176,600.C & U’s gain 3,700 while K-12 loses 300.Computer Manufacturing loses 52,300.Gov’t (including K-12) stable, but expect a loss soon.

Board of Trustees PresentationBoard of Trustees Presentation

Employment ProjectionsEmployment Projections

Santa Clara County

EDD Industry Employment EDD Industry Employment Projections Projections (Charts 6, 7)(Charts 6, 7)

Overall non-farm growth of 76,800 or 7.6%.Service Producing has largest growth, 82,900.Retail Trade grows substantially but not Wholesale Trade.State & Local Gov’t gains some jobs but few added to Local Education.

2001 2008 Number Percent

Total Nonfarm 1,016,500 1,093,300 76,800 7.6

Manufacturing 254,000 245,000 -9,000 -3.5

Service Producing 713,200 796,100 82,900 11.6

Wholesale Trade 52,600 52,000 -600 -1.1

Retail Trade 140,200 155,500 15,300 10.9

Business Services 153,800 189,500 35,700 23.2

Government 94,600 97,200 2,600 2.7

State & Local Government 84,300 87,300 3,000 3.6

Local Education (K-12) 42,000 42,500 500 1.2

Employment ChangeIndustry

Annual AverageEmployment

EDD Greatest Growth EDD Greatest Growth Occupations Occupations (Charts 8, 9)(Charts 8, 9)

Education/Experience

2001 2008 Num ber Percent (BLS Training Level)

Computer Sof tw are & Systems Engr, Analysts 72,040 98,470 26,430 36.7 BA/BS Degree (5)

Cooks, Food Prep, Waiters, Serving Wrkrs 37,170 43,150 5,980 16.1 Short-Term OJT (11)

Retail Sales, Cashiers, Counter Clerks 52,890 58,830 5,940 11.2 Short-Term OJT (11)

Managers (Gen, Mrkting, Sales, Fin'l, Computer) 39,080 43,050 3,970 10.2 BA/BS + Experience (4)

Janitors, Maids, Housekeeping, Groundskeeping 26,820 30,530 3,710 13.8 Short-Term OJT (11)

Of f ice Clrk, Cust Serv Rep, Rcptist, Admin Assit 56,780 60,360 3,580 6.3 Moderate-Term OJT (10)

Registered Nurses, Dental Hygienists 12,260 14,290 2,030 16.6 Associate Degree (6)

Medical & Dental Assistants, Nursing Aides 8,710 10,500 1,790 20.6 Moderate-Term OJT (10)

Truck Drivers, Freight Laborers, Packers 26,290 27,940 1,650 13.4 Short-Term OJT (11)

Carpenters, Construction Laborers, Electricians 17,260 18,820 1,560 9.0 Long-Term OJT (9)

Law yers, Paralegals & Assistants 6,630 7,980 1,350 20.4 Prof 'l (1)/Assoc Deg (6)

Preschool Teachers, Teacher Assistants 11,180 12,470 1,290 11.5 BA Deg (5)/ST OJT (11)

Police Patrol Of f icers, Security Guards 12,020 13,130 1,110 9.2 Long-Term OJT (9)

Analyst (Management, Accountants/Auditors) 12,610 13,620 1,010 8.0 BA/BS Degree (5)

Child Care Workers, Personal/Home Care Aides 4,060 4,970 910 22.4 Short-Term OJT (11)

Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics 4,030 4,570 540 13.4 Post-Sec. VocEd (7)

Em ploym ent Change

Occupation

Annual Average

Em ploym ent

EDD Greatest Growth EDD Greatest Growth Occupations Occupations (Charts 8, 9)(Charts 8, 9)

Great growth in numbers and percent is projected for Computer Software & Systems Engineers and Analysts, 26,430 or 37%.Many other high growth areas require only on-the-job (OJT) training, whether short or long-term.

See Charts 8, 9 (& previous slide)

Enrollment DistributionEnrollment Distributionby Course Type, 2003-04by Course Type, 2003-04

Within WithinCollege District

College Course Type Enrollment Percent Percent

De Anza Basic Skills 24,159 12.0 7.7Occupational* 36,279 18.1 11.6Transferable 134,917 67.3 43.0Other 5,166 2.6 1.6Total 200,521 100.0 63.9

Foothill Basic Skills 8,177 7.2 2.6Occupational* 21,979 19.4 7.0Transferable 66,772 58.9 21.3Other 16,444 14.5 5.2Total 113,372 100.0 36.1

District Basic Skills 32,336 10.3 10.3Occupational* 58,258 18.6 18.6Transferable 201,689 64.3 64.3Other 21,610 6.9 6.9Total 313,893 100.0 100.0

See Chart 10

*Approximately two-thirds of Occupational courses are transferable.

Taxonomy of Programs Proj'd* Growth FHDA(TOP Category) 2006 & Seps Enroll

Nursing, R.N. 54,070 14,660 523Dental Technician 4,590 1,280 638Medical Laboratory Technology 1,350 280 226Physicians Assistant 430 140 195Respiratory Care/Therapy 670 220 347Pharmacy Technician 760 290 331Physical Therapy Assistant 380 100 121Radiological Technology 5,530 1,800 585Emergency Medical Technology 1,280 490 96Medical Assistant 1,030 290 731Allied Health Occupations 70,090 19,550 3,793

Chart 11

SC County Labor Market DemandSC County Labor Market Demandand Fall 2003 Enrollmentsand Fall 2003 Enrollments

*Compared to base year of 1999

SC County Labor Market DemandSC County Labor Market Demandand Fall 2003 Enrollmentsand Fall 2003 Enrollments

Taxonomy of Programs Proj'd* Growth FHDA(TOP Category) 2006 & Seps Enroll

Business and Management 323,740 92,570 6,741

Communications (Radio, Film, TV, Writing) 5,900 2,180 1,481

Computer & Information Science 63,480 27,200 5,738

Chart 11

*Compared to base year of 1999

This is a very rough gauge or supply & demand.We seem to match up fairly well in many allied health occupations except Nursing and “Other.”We have significant enrollment in CIS, though we are not the only provider and enrollments are down reflecting the change in the job market.We seem to match relatively well to Business & Management and Communications occupations.See Chart 13 for a list of all our Voc Ed programs.

SC County Labor Market DemandSC County Labor Market Demandand Fall 2003 Enrollmentsand Fall 2003 Enrollments

See Chart 11 (& two slides previous)

Chart 12 in the packet lists the vocational programs of FHDA by college and completion award.Over the past 5 years, the following have been added at Foothill:

Commercial MusicBioinformaticsRadiation Therapy TechnologyBusiness Tech: Help DeskPersonal Trainer (certificate only)Pharmacy TechnicianAdaptive FitnessSpecial EducationIndividual Studies - Transfer

Vocational Programs Offered by Vocational Programs Offered by Foothill-De Anza CCDFoothill-De Anza CCD

Vocational Programs Offered by Vocational Programs Offered by Foothill-De Anza CCDFoothill-De Anza CCD

Dean Steve Sellitti will discuss advisory committee input related to Manufacturing & Design at De Anza.

Dean Mary Ann Pavic will discuss community input related to preparation for allied health jobs.

Examples of RespondingExamples of Respondingto Community Needsto Community Needs

Board of Trustees PresentationBoard of Trustees Presentation

Steve SellittiSteve Sellitti

Manufacturing & Design

This department was established with the opening of De Anza College.

The program has always had an Industry Advisory Committee.

Members represent both large companies (Northrop Grumman, IBM) and small shops.

Several program name changes over the years reflects ongoing guidance from the committee.

Manufacturing & DesignManufacturing & Design

Four years ago, the committee told us the use of Computer Numerical Control (CNC) equipment had begun to rapidly accelerate and the program would need to respond.

An in-depth Industry Needs Assessment was developed and distributed to each member.

Over 450 educational and training objectives were analyzed and prioritized.

Committee Advice on CNCCommittee Advice on CNC

Curriculum was rewritten.Lab equipment was replaced to focus on CNC and advanced software.Using Measure E funds, interior space was redesigned for new equipment and more functionality.The new curriculum and planned facility renovations prompted IBM, Hass, and others to donate over $250K in equipment and services.

The RenovationThe Renovation

Grand opening in June 2003.Name changed to Manufacturing & CNC.Now a Haas Technical Education Center (Haas is the largest U.S. producer of CNC machines).We instruct all State Machinist Apprentices in the valley. Considered the premier program in northern California.We continue to develop new industry partners.Classes are full with long waiting lists.

The OutcomeThe Outcome

If the committee is encouraged to freely guide, andThe faculty genuinely responds, thenThe industry sees the program as an asset they will support.When students see this linkage, it provides great credibility and enhances growth.Effective use of an industry advisory committee enables appropriate responses to community workforce needs.

Effective Guidance & Effective Guidance & SupportSupport

Board of Trustees PresentationBoard of Trustees Presentation

Mary Ann PavicMary Ann Pavic

Allied Health Workforce Preparation

Active Advisory Boards.Major Employer Groups and Public Policy Organizations such as

Bay Area Works-Healthcare Employers Panel

Hospital Council-Workforce Coalition Of Silicon Valley

Hospitals and Medical CentersProgram Faculty

Observe employment trends.

Health Care Work Force Health Care Work Force Mechanisms for InputMechanisms for Input

Started new programs.

Increased number of students admitted to programs.

Focusing on retention.

Increased offerings in Anatomy and Physiology, Microbiology, and other program pre-requisites.

Response to Health Care Response to Health Care Shortage and InputShortage and Input

This is a general overview of workforce data and our mechanisms for responding to community needs.Workforce data is quite general, very complex, and volatile; detail data is difficult to acquire; a deeper analysis would require significant resources.We will be working with area workforce boards and agencies to acquire more specific data that may be used in our program reviews.Jobs seem to fall into two types; those that require relatively little training and those that require significant higher education.

SummarySummary

Those jobs requiring significant education require basic skills and general education.

Basic skills and learning to learn is productive for those in specific vocational programs to learn transferable skills sets.

We do face-to-face relations to maintain currency as illustrated by the use of advisory committees.

SummarySummary