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BP Amoco Case

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    Why should a company

    segregate the cash flows from a

    particular business, and make it self financing?Group Members

    Swapnil Potdukhe (89) Shraddha Ghag (117)

    Rashi Jain (100) Vrinda Mohan (142)

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    British Petroleum Amoco Corporation

    UK based worlds3rdlargest Oil & Gasgiant

    Operations in 70countries

    56,000 employees

    CEO Sir John Browne

    Assets $ 54.6 bn.

    Revenues $ 71.3 bn.

    Profits $ 4.1 bn. (1997)

    US based worlds6rdlargest Oil & Gasgiant

    Operations in 25

    countries 43,000 employees CEO H Lawrence Fuller Assets $ 32.5 bn. Revenues $ 31.9 bn. Profits $ 2.7 bn. (1997)

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    In spite corporate rivalry, both agreed to a $48billion merger in 1998 to form BP Amoco

    to create financial synergies required to fundcapital intensive projects.

    Cost saving of $2 billion annually Complementary commercial strength BP in

    upstream operation , Amoco in downstream

    Sustainable long term growth & strong competitive

    return Debt to capitalization ratio-30% , target pay-out

    ratio 50%

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    Global HQ in London with Sir John Browne (BP) as CEOH Lawrence Fuller (Amoco) & Peter Sutherland (BP) asnon exe co-chairman

    Finance Group: CFO: John Buchanan (BP) Treasurer: David Watson (BP)

    Head Specialized Finance: Bill Young (Amoco)

    Both companies had highly centralized financefunctions with preference for corporate financing overproject financing.

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    Goal: To work out new financing policy for the merged

    entity.

    Process: Watson & Bill sought opinion of finance

    executives of both the firms regarding their takeon project finance vis--vis corporate finance.

    BP sparingly used project finance Amoco too, believed in corporate finance more.

    But they sometimes used project finance.

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    Long term financing of the project in which lenders are totally relianton the assets and cash flows of that project for interest and loanrepayment

    Fund projects off balance sheet and cash flows are separatedfrom parent company

    The financier usually has little or no recourse to the non-

    project assets of the borrower or the sponsors of the project A special purpose entity is created with limited liability which

    borrows funds directly and pledges its assets and cash flows tosupport the loan, thereby shielding other assets owned by a projectsponsor from the detrimental effects of the project failure

    Project financing has been most commonly used in theextractive mining, transportation, telecommunication andenergy industries.

    Component of debt is very high

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    Firms bear deadweight costs (DWC) when they invest in

    and finance new assets. DWCs result from marketimperfections. They include:

    Agency costs and incentive conflicts

    Asymmetric information costs

    Financial distress costsTransaction costs

    Taxes

    Sponsors should use project finance whenever the DWC are

    lower than their corporate finance counterparts

    To manage risks more effectively and more efficiently.

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    The Capital Structure is irrelevant as long as thefirms investment decisions are taken

    Then why do corporations:

    Set up independent companies to undertake megaprojects and incur substantial transaction costs

    Finance these companies with over 70% debtinspite of the projects typically having substantial

    risks and minimal tax shields

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    - Symmetric risks including: market risk (quantity), market risk (price),input or supply risk, exchange, interest and inflation rate risks, reserverisk, throughput risk. Exposures to symmetric risks causes largerpositive and negative deviations from the expected outcome.

    - Asymmetric risks including: environmental risk, expropriation risk.These risks cause only negative deviations in the expected outcome.

    - Binary risks including: technology failure, full expropriation,counterparty failure, regulatory risk, force majeureThese risksincrease the probability that an asset ends up worthless.

    In practice, projects have relatively low asset risk allowing a high debt

    capacity. The use of leverage introduces financial risk which allowequity-holders to capture unlimited upside once debt claims have beensatisfied

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    Financing vehicle Similarity Dis-similarity

    Secured debt Collaterized with aspecific asset

    Recourse tocorporate assets

    Subsidiary debt Possible recourse tocorporate balance

    sheet

    Asset backedsecurities

    Collaterized and non-recourse

    Hold financial, notsingle purposeindustrial asset

    LBO / MBO High debt levels No corporate sponsor

    Venture backedcompanies

    Concentrated equityownership

    Lower debt levels;managers are equityholders

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    Project Finance (PF)v/sCorporate Finance (CF)

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    Project finance allows firms:

    to minimize the net costs associated with marketimperfections such as:

    - incentive conflicts,- asymmetric information,- financial distress,- transaction costs,- taxes.

    to manage risks more effectively and moreefficiently.

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    Project Finance Corporate Finance

    Purpose: a single purpose capital asset,usually a long-term illiquid asset. The

    project company is dissolved once the

    project is completed. No growthopportunities.

    A legally independent project: the

    project company does not have access

    to the internally-generated cash flowsof the sponsoring firm and vice versa.

    The investment is financed with non-recourse debt. All the interest and loanrepayments come from the cash flows

    generated from the project.

    Project companies have very high

    leverage ratios, with the majority of

    debt coming from bank loans.

    A company invests in many projectssimultaneously.

    The investment is financed as part ofthe companys existing balance sheet.The lenders can rely on the cash flowsand assets of the sponsor companyapart from the project itself. Lendershave a larger pool of cash flows fromwhich to get paid. Cash flows and

    assets are cross-collateralized. Publicly traded firms have typical

    leverage ratios of 20% to 30%.

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    Project finance reduces costlyagency conflicts:-Conflicts between ownership and control- Conflicts between ownership and related parties- Conflicts between ownership and debtholders

    Project finance reduces information costs (asymmetricinformation). Project finance reduces costly underinvestment, in

    particular leverage-Induced underinvestment.

    Project finance, as a organizational risk management tool,reduces the potential collateral damage that a high riskproject can impose on a sponsoring firm, i.e., riskcontamination. It also reduces the costs of financialdistress and solves a potential underinvestment problem

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    Project Finance Corporate Finance

    Project company is dissolvedonce the project gets completed.No future growth opportunities. Cash flows of the project areseparated from cash flows of

    sponsors. The single discreteproject enable lenders to easilymonitor project cash flows.

    The verifiability of CFs isenhanced by the waterfallcontract that specifies howproject CFs are used.

    Company invests in manyprojects and possessesmany growth opportunities.

    Cash flow separation isdifficult to accomplish incorporate finance. Projectcash flows are co-mingledwith the cash flows fromother assets makingmonitoring of cash flowsdifficult.

    The verifiability of cashflows is difficult.

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    Project Finance Corporate Finance

    Monitoring mechanisms include:

    Managerial discretion is constrainedby extensive contracting. Claims oncash flows are prioritized throughthe CF waterfall.

    Concentrated equity ownership

    provides critical monitoring, Theunique board of directors andseparate legal incorporation makesmonitoring more simple andefficient.

    High leverage both the amount andtype (maturity); Bank loans provide

    credit monitoring.

    Traditional monitoring mechanismsinclude:

    Takeover market

    Product market

    Reputation

    Staged investment

    Leverage: high debt service forcesmanagers to disgorge free cashflows.

    Creditors rights: lenders threat toseize collateral and threat ofliquidation to deter borrowers

    opportunism.

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    Problem of Hold Up & Expropriation

    Standard Approach Project Finance ApproachVertical Integration Joint Ownership

    Long term contracts, withcontract duration increasing with

    asset specificity.

    High Level of Debt

    To avoid Expropriation To avoid Expropriation

    High Visibility Multilateral lenders

    High Leverage Joint Ownership

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    Problem - Debt/Equity holder conflict in distribution of cashflows, re-investment and restructuring during distress. High

    leverage can lead to risk shifting and underinvestment

    Standard Approach Project Finance ApproachStrong debt covenants allow bothequity/debt holders to better

    monitor management

    Concentrated ownership ensuresclose monitoring and adherence

    to the prescribed rulesTo facilitate restructuring,concentrated debt ownership,less classes of debtors, and bankdebt, are preferred. Bank debt is

    much easier to restructure thanbonds

    Opportunities for risk shiftingdo not exist because the cashflow waterfall restrictinvestment decisions.

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    Problem- .Insiders know more about the value of assets inplace and growth opportunities than outsiders. Asymmetricinformation increases monitoring costs andincreases cost ofcapital (equity is more costly than debt).

    Standard Approach Project Finance ApproachDisclosure Segregated cash flows enhancetransparency, which decreases

    monitoring costsAnalyst-relationship Segregation eliminates the need toanalyze other corporate assets orcash flows. Creditors can analyze theproject on a stand-alone basis.Signaling Project structure reserves thesponsors debt capacity/ flexibilityto fund higher risk projectsinternally

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    Debt Overhang: Firms with high leverage, risk averse managersand asymmetric information have trouble financing attractiveinvestment opportunities. This leads to under investment inpositive NPV projects due to limited corporate debt capacityas new debt is limited by covenants.

    tandard Approach Project Finance ApproachUse of secured debt, senior bankdebt, new equity (raised at adiscount).

    Non recourse debt in an independent entity

    allocates returns to new capital providers

    without any claims on the sponsors balance

    sheet.

    This preserves scarce corporate debtcapacity and allows the firm to borrow more

    cheaply than it otherwise would.

    Project finance is more effective than

    secured debt because it eliminates recourse

    back to the sponsoring firm.

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    A high risk project can potentially drag a healthy corporation

    into distress. Short of actual failure, the risky project canincrease cash flow volatility, the expected costs of financialdistress, and reduce firm value. Conversely, a failingcorporation can drag a healthy project along with it.

    Standard Approach Project Finance ApproachHedging, or foregoing the project(under-investment)

    Exposes losses only to the extent ofequity commitment

    Sponsors can share project risk withother sponsors. Pooling of capital

    reduces each providers distress costdue to the relatively smaller size ofthe investment and therefore theoverall distress costs are reduced

    Reduces the probability of distressboth at sponsors and project level.

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    Tax: An independent economic entity allows projects toobtain tax benefits that are not available to the sponsors.When a project is located in a high-tax country and theproject company in a lower tax country, it may be beneficialfor the sponsor to locate the debt in the high tax country.

    Location: Large projects in emerging markets cannot befinanced by local equity due to supply constraints. Investmentspecific equity from foreign investors is either hard to get orexpensive. Debt is the only option and project finance is theoptimal structure.

    Heterogeneous partners: Financially weak partner needs project finance to

    participate.

    The bigger partner is better equipped to negotiate termswith banks than the smaller partner and hence has toparticipate in project finance.

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    Overall Advantage to BP Amoco from projectfinance can be explained by 2 charts

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    25

    Example: BP AMOCOThe Corporate Finance Model

    ProjectCost = $1 billionPartner A25% share Partner B35% share

    BP Amoco

    BusinessUnits Cash Managementand Money MarketInstruments

    Short-term Financing: Commercial paper Bank loansTreasuryGroup

    OperatingCash Flow

    $400m

    40% ofCash Flow

    $250m $350m

    25% ofCash Flow

    35% ofCash Flow

    Long-term Financing: Bonds Equity

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    26

    Example:BP AMOCOThe Project Finance Model

    Banks

    Partner B35% share

    BP Amoco

    Treasury Group(40% share) Business Units

    payback+interest

    $300 millionsecured loan

    40% of operatingcash flow

    Partner A25% share

    ProjectCost = $1 billionEquity = $400 millionDebt = $600 million144A A BondMarket

    $300 millionsecured loan

    payback+ Interest

    $100 millionequity

    $140 millionequity $160 millionequity

    International Org.overnmentuppliersontractors

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    Total Investment = $2 Billion Corporate Finance (Exhibit 6A) Project Finance (Exhibit 6B) Project Finance (Exhibit 6C)

    BP Amoco (Investment) 0.8 0.32 0.32BP Amoco Subsidiary(DV=60%) - - 0.48

    BP Amoco (Own Resources likeBusiness Units) 0.56 0.224 0.224

    BP Amoco Debt (Proportionedto its DV=30%) 0.24 0.096 0.096

    Partner A 0.7 0.28 0.7

    Partner B 0.5 0.2 0.5

    Direct Debt (DV=60%) - 1.2 -

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    Total Returns = $4 Billion Corporate Finance (Exhibit 6A) Project Finance (Exhibit 6B) Project Finance (Exhibit 6C)BP Amoco (Investment) 1.6 1.528 1.528BP Amoco Subsidiary - - 0.072

    BP Amoco (Own Resources likeBusiness Units)

    1.576

    1.5184

    1.5184

    BP Amoco Debt (Proportionedto its DV=30%) 0.024 0.0096 0.0096

    Partner A 1.4 1.337 1.4Partner B 1 0.955 1

    Direct Debt - 0.18 -Return on own Equityemployed for BP Amoco 281% 678% 678%

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    Investment Share

    BP Amoco: 40%Partner A : 35%Partner B : 25%

    Project is viable for only 1 year

    Initial Investment is $2 Billion and Operating profit is$4 Billion

    Corporate Loans at 10% p.a. while project loans 15%

    p.a.

    All numbers used are in $ Billion

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    BP Amoco should use internal corporate

    funds to finance new projects except in threeparticular circumstances

    In most situations, costs outweighed thebenefits for BP Amoco

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    Mega Projects

    Projects large enough to

    harm companysearnings, debt ratings,

    and in the extreme case

    survival

    Senior Management

    begins to feel

    uncomfortable about thesize and level of risk

    Projects in Politically

    Volatile Areas

    High degree of political

    risk: War, Strikes,Sabotage, Lack of

    property rights, direct or

    creeping expropriation,

    or currency

    inconvertibility

    Host country less likelikely to take or tolerate

    hostile action against

    project

    Commercial lenders

    would lend only if MLAs

    like EBRD and ADB or an

    ECA was involved

    Joint Ventures with

    Heterogeneous Partners

    Host governments or

    their agencies could beparticipants in the project

    without the will to use or

    lack of large funds

    Partners with weak

    balance sheets couldnt

    raise the requiredamounts on their own

    Negotiate with lenders by

    itself rather than letting

    weaker partners

    negotiate which would

    give BP Amoco more

    leverage in decisions

    Exceptions

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    Business Unit

    Quantify the incremental costs and benefits of using project finance

    A project with positive NPV using a pre-determined corporate WACC and assuming debt-

    to-capitalization ratio of 30%

    Specialized

    Finance Team

    Various financial structures using an incremental cost analysis

    Estimate incremental, after-tax cash flows associated with fees, interest, and principal

    payments and discount these cash flows at the firms marginal cost of debt Financing NPV was generally negative

    Finance Group

    Financing NPV when combined with investment NPV and other possible benefits, the

    result could be positive

    Recommend project finance and seek approval for chosen structure

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    No. In our view BP Amoco should use projectfinance as far as possible instead of corporatefinance for its downstream or upstreambusinesses alike.

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    Risk associated with projects in Oil & Gasindustry is very high.

    Huge investments in the initial stages with noguaranteed returns.

    BP Amocos revenues & net profit declined by~26% & ~46% respectively on a Y-o-Y basis in1998.

    Capital expenditure is very high ~$10 billion.It also has long term debts above $10 billion.

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    BP Amoco doesnt have substantial cash reservesto fund projects in the range of $0.5-2.0 billion.

    Most of its current assets are in the form ofaccounts receivables which mainly would beused for paying back the current liabilities.

    BP Amoco also pays substantial part of its profitsto its share holders in the form of dividends, acrash crunch may occur if corporate finance isused and the investment required issubstantially high.

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    BP Amoco already has a high debt to capitalratio compared to Royal Dutch Shell & Exxon.

    Any further debt for providing corporatefinance may not be appreciated by themarket.

    Any loss or abandonment of the new projectwould have a direct recourse on BP Amoco asa whole and can impact its marketcapitalization.

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    Thank You


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