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  • 8/11/2019 Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power_ Action, Choice and Responsibilities

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    Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power: Action, Choice and ResponsibilitiesAuthor(s): Maria Regina Soares De Lima and Mnica HirstSource: International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-), Vol. 82, No. 1,Perspectives on Emerging Would-Be Great Powers (Jan., 2006), pp. 21-40Published by: Wileyon behalf of the Royal Institute of International Affairs

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    Brazil

    s an intermediatetate

    nd

    regional

    power: ction,hoice ndresponsibilities

    MARIAREGINA SOARES DE LIMA

    AND MONICA

    HIRST*

    Since

    the

    early

    years

    of

    the twentieth

    entury

    Brazil's

    major

    foreignpolicy

    aspiration

    as been to achieve nternational

    ecognition

    n

    accordance

    with ts

    belief

    hat t should assume ts

    natural'role as a

    'big

    country'

    n world

    affairs.

    Brazil's

    desire

    o influence

    nternationalules nd

    regimes

    nd to be considered

    a

    majorplayer

    has been understood

    rincipally

    n

    terms

    f

    ts oft

    ower:

    it

    has

    consistently

    schewed the

    development

    of hard

    power,

    and

    especially

    of

    military ower.

    Rather,

    ts claim to

    greater

    nfluence

    as been

    associatedwith

    other classical

    power

    attributes,

    uch

    as

    territory,

    opulation

    and economic

    profile.

    ts location in a

    relatively eaceful

    regional

    environment,

    he

    early

    settlement f its territorial emands and

    border

    disputes,

    nd its

    consequent

    position

    as

    a

    status

    uo power

    withinthe

    regionalso

    help

    to account

    for

    ts

    aspiration

    o

    what

    one

    might

    all a

    middle

    ground

    nternationalole.

    Although

    the bases for an

    autonomous

    foreign olicy

    have

    become

    more

    restrictedn the

    post-Cold

    War

    period,

    Brazil

    still seeks to

    preserve

    an

    independent

    oice withinthe

    international

    ommunity

    nd a certain evel

    of

    independent apacity

    to determine

    ts actions.

    In

    addition,

    the

    country

    has

    demonstrated clear ntention f

    wanting

    o

    expand

    the roles that t

    plays

    nd

    the

    responsibilities

    hat t

    assumes-in

    regional

    olitics,

    n

    Third

    World

    agendas

    and

    in

    multilateralnstitutions. ecent indications

    f this nclude

    ts nitiative

    towards he

    creation

    f a

    South America

    Community;

    tsactivist

    olicies

    and

    positions

    n

    both

    hemispheric

    rade

    negotiations

    nd

    global

    trade

    ora;

    ts fforts

    to

    deepen

    relations

    with

    major

    world

    powers

    such as

    as China and

    Russia;

    its

    desire to build

    up

    South-South

    coalitions,

    particularly

    ith

    India and South

    Africa;

    he

    promotion

    f its own candidates

    o

    head

    both the

    WTO and

    the

    Inter-Development

    ank;

    and ts

    campaign

    o

    become a

    permanent

    member

    f

    an

    expanded

    UN

    Security

    ouncil

    (UNSC).

    Moreover,

    s

    democracy eepens

    itsroots

    within he

    country,

    razil

    has

    attempted

    o linkan

    increasingly

    ctivist

    stance

    n world affairs ith

    political

    upport

    t home for more active

    partisan

    involvement n

    foreign olicy.

    In this

    context,

    he

    government's ight

    gainst

    poverty

    nd

    unequal

    income

    distributiont

    home

    and its assertive nd activist

    foreign

    olicy

    can

    be

    viewed

    as two sides of the same coin.

    International

    ffairs2,

    I

    (2006)

    21-40

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares e Lima and

    Monica

    Hirst

    Althoughmany

    ommentators ave noted the

    ong-term tability

    f

    Brazil-

    ian

    foreign olicy,

    there s no

    question

    that,

    ince the

    nauguration

    f the

    Lula

    administrationn

    January

    003,

    change

    has

    predominated

    ver

    continuity.

    he

    inclusion fthe socialagendaas a majortopicofforeignffairs as one of the

    first

    ndmost

    mportant

    nnovations.

    n

    addition,

    Brazil has come to

    lay

    much

    greater

    mphasis

    n the need for

    both the

    conceptual

    evision

    nd the

    practical

    reformf

    major

    multilateral

    nstitutions,

    specially

    he

    UN,

    and has

    expressed

    particular

    oncern over

    the

    unequal

    distributionf

    power

    and wealth within

    such nstitutionsnd the

    distortionshat he

    existing

    ramework

    mposes.

    In this

    rticlewe

    provide

    n

    overview f the core features

    fBrazilian

    oreign

    policy,focusing

    upon

    four

    aspects:

    i)

    the

    instrumental ature of

    Brazilian

    foreignpolicy and its close relationshipwith the country's conomic and

    development

    bjectives;

    2)

    the

    country's

    ommitment

    o

    multilateralism;

    3)

    the

    growing

    mportance

    orBrazil

    of

    regionalpolitics

    nd

    security;

    nd

    (4)

    the

    recentevolution

    of Brazil's

    relationswith the

    United States.The

    conclusion

    will

    review the main

    challenges

    facing

    Brazil

    and the

    difficulty

    f

    matching

    increased

    mbitionwith concrete

    results.

    The

    eterminantsf

    oreign

    olicy

    nd he

    rimacy

    f

    evelopment

    One of the

    most

    mportant

    actors

    haping

    Brazil's

    foreign

    olicy

    has been its

    location n

    the

    western

    emisphere.

    he

    regionhas

    historically

    een

    subject

    o

    US

    power

    and

    to

    high

    evels of

    US cultural nd

    economic

    influence.

    Never-

    theless,

    xcept

    during

    he

    Second World

    War,

    South America

    has been

    of

    only

    limited

    trategic

    alue to

    Washington.

    At

    thesame

    time,

    he

    regional

    ontext

    has

    represented

    source of

    stability

    orBrazil.

    By

    the

    early art

    f

    thetwentieth

    century

    razil

    had

    peacefully

    ettled ll

    of its

    outstanding

    erritorial

    isputes

    with neighbouring ountries. As a result,for over

    I oo00

    yearsBrazil has

    considered

    tself

    'geopolitically

    atisfied'

    ountry

    nd,

    in

    marked

    ontrast o

    other

    states n

    the

    region,

    ts

    state-building

    rocess

    has

    been

    the

    result

    of

    successful

    iplomaticnegotiation

    ather

    han

    engagement

    n

    military

    isputes.

    This

    peculiar

    combination f location within

    the

    backyard

    f the

    United

    States and a

    stable

    regional

    environment

    xplains

    many

    of the

    perceptions

    shared

    by

    the

    Brazilian

    elites

    who

    constitute he

    foreign

    olicy

    community.'

    Foreign

    hreats

    nd

    risks

    re

    perceived

    o be driven

    basically

    y

    economic

    and

    notmilitary/securityotivations. he mainexternal ulnerabilitiesreecono-

    mic,

    and

    foreign

    olicy

    has

    always

    hada

    strongly

    evelopmentalist

    omponent.

    As a

    result,

    he core

    of theBrazilian

    oreign olicy genda

    has

    been

    very

    heavily

    shaped

    by

    the

    prevailing

    conomic

    model,

    and the

    evolutionof

    foreign

    olicy

    has

    been linked o

    critical

    unctures

    n

    the

    development

    f that

    model. Critical

    Forthe

    oncept

    f

    foreignolicy

    ommunity,

    ee

    Amaury

    e

    Souza,

    A

    agenda

    nternacional

    o

    Brasil: m

    estudo obre

    comunidade

    rasileira

    e

    politica

    xterna',

    entre or razilian

    nternational

    Relations

    CEBRI),

    Rio de

    Janeiro,

    imeo,

    002.

    It ncludes

    membersfthe

    xecutive,

    ongress

    nd

    judiciary,

    eading

    ocialmovements

    nd nterest

    roups,

    on-governmentalrganizations,

    businesspeople,ournalistsndacademics.

    22

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    Brazil as an

    intermediatetate nd

    regionalower

    junctures

    re

    brought

    bout

    by

    a combination f

    systemic

    nd

    domestic hange:

    they

    are momentswhen the

    prevailing

    attern

    f both

    domesticeconomic

    development

    nd international

    resence

    reach

    their

    exhaustion nd when a

    new winningcoalition is constituted hat eads to changesin both foreign

    economic

    policy

    and

    foreign

    olicy.2

    Two of

    these ritical

    onjunctures

    an

    be

    identifiedn the

    past century:

    he firstn

    the

    1930s,

    with thecrisis fthe

    agro-

    exporting

    model and its

    replacement y

    an

    import

    ubstitutionmodel

    (ISI);

    and the

    second

    in the

    I990s,

    with the

    exhaustion of the

    'protected

    industrialization'

    egime

    and

    its

    replacement

    by

    a model of

    competitive

    integration

    nto the

    globaleconomy.

    Brazil ndustrialized

    apidly uring

    he second half

    f the

    twentieth

    entury

    and thecountrywas one ofthemost uccessfulxamples f mport ubstitution

    industrialization.

    he

    major

    characteristicsf this

    development

    model were a

    central ole forthe state n

    regulation,

    n the

    provision

    of

    incentives,

    nd in

    production;

    elative iscrimination

    gainst

    mports;

    nd

    large-scale

    articipation

    of

    foreign

    irect nvestmentn a

    wide

    range

    of

    industrial

    ectors.

    n

    the

    I96os

    and

    1970s

    an

    export component

    was added

    to this

    development

    strategy.

    Foreignpolicy

    became an

    important

    nstrument

    f the

    ISI

    model,

    and this n

    turn

    helped

    to fuelBrazilian

    demands

    for

    differentialreatment

    or

    developing

    countriesnthetrade egime, or hecreation f a Generalized ystem f Prefer-

    ences

    GSP)

    for

    developing

    ountries'

    xports,

    nd

    also for he

    opening

    of new

    markets nd the

    expansion

    ofeconomic

    cooperation

    with southern ountries.

    Development paths

    create new

    ideas,

    interests nd

    institutions. nce

    a

    country

    moves down a

    particular

    ath,

    these become

    very

    hard to

    dislodge.

    The

    international

    onditions hat ontributed o

    the

    emergence

    f a

    particular

    development

    path

    may

    evolve or even

    disappear,

    ut

    without

    changing

    he

    institutions,

    nterests nd ideas

    linked to that

    trajectory.

    Development

    trajectoriesre therefore ath dependent.This is certainlyrue n the case of

    Brazil,

    and it

    is this

    which

    helps explain

    the

    stability

    nd

    continuity

    f the

    country's

    oreign olicy during

    he

    SI

    period. Analytically,

    his

    ontinuity

    as

    been

    understood

    n

    various

    ways:

    in

    termsof the

    material nterests f the

    dominantsocietal

    coalition that

    supported

    SI;

    as a function

    f the relative

    bureaucraticnsulation

    f

    the

    foreignministry,

    tamaraty,

    nd its

    promotion

    f

    a

    particular

    et of

    foreign

    olicy

    deas;

    as theresult f

    paradigmatic

    esilience'

    and the

    way

    in

    which

    past

    ideas continued to influence

    he world-view of

    Braziliandecision-makers;nd as a consequenceof the close linkbetween the

    international

    dentity

    f Brazil

    and its

    foreign

    olicy

    orientation.3

    he

    role of

    2

    For

    the

    oncept

    fcritical

    unctures,

    ee RuthCollier nd David

    Collier,

    haping

    he

    olitical

    rena:

    critical

    unctures,

    he

    abor

    movement,

    nd

    regimeynamics

    n LatinAmerica

    Princeton,

    J:

    Princeton

    University

    ress,

    99I).

    3

    Fordistinct

    xplanations

    f

    Brazilian

    oreignolicy's

    elative

    tability

    nd

    continuity,

    ee

    Maria

    Regina

    Soares e

    Lima,

    Institui6coesemocriticas

    politica

    xterior',

    ontextontemacional2:

    2,

    July-Dec.

    2000,

    pp.

    265-303;

    MarcoAntonio

    Muxagata

    e

    Carvalho

    ieira,

    Ideias

    institui6coes:

    ma

    reflexao

    sobre

    politica

    xterna

    rasileirao inicioda

    decadade

    90o',

    ontexto

    nternacional

    3:

    2,

    July-Dec.

    2001,

    pp.

    245-91;

    Celso

    Lafer,

    identidade

    nternacional

    o

    Brasil

    a

    politica

    xterna

    rasileira

    Sao

    Paulo:

    Editora erspectiva,

    001).

    23

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares

    e

    Lima

    nd

    Mdnica

    irst

    Itamaraty

    s

    especially

    mportant. lthough

    t

    was not

    an

    institution

    reated

    by

    the

    ISI

    development

    model,

    it

    was

    central to the model's

    domestic

    consolidation nd international

    ecognition.

    close andvirtuousinkwas seen

    to be established etween thegoals of ISI and theobjectiveofdeveloping n

    autonomous

    foreign olicy.

    Two

    consequences

    follow

    from his. n the

    first

    place,

    Itamaraty enerated

    onsiderable

    omestic

    egitimacy hrough

    ts

    roleas

    one of the main nstrumentsor he

    country's

    evelopment.

    econd,

    Itamaraty

    acquired

    a

    powerful

    'institutional

    memory'

    in which

    many

    of the

    characteristics

    nd

    values associated with ISI retained their influence and

    attractivenessven

    after he decline

    of

    that

    particular evelopment

    model.4

    The

    nextcritical

    uncture

    ame

    as

    recently

    s the

    1990s,

    when

    policy

    hifted

    as a resultof both severeeconomic conditions nd the systemic onstraints

    producedby

    the

    fiscal

    risis f the

    state-although

    tshouldbe stressed hat he

    process

    of structural

    djustment

    nd the

    progress

    f

    economic

    reformwere

    more

    gradual

    and incremental han

    in other Latin American states uch

    as

    Argentina

    nd Mexico.

    The

    crisis

    n the

    development ath

    took

    place

    within

    the

    context

    f

    both

    the end

    of the Cold

    War and the

    final

    tages

    f the

    military

    regime

    hathad ruled he

    country

    rom

    964

    to

    I985.

    Shiftsneconomic

    policy

    and the

    emergence

    of

    a new

    domestic

    political

    and constitutional rder had

    importantmplicationsor oreign olicy.A majorconsequenceof these hanges

    was the

    development

    f the idea of

    autonomy

    through

    articipation'.

    With

    this

    conceptual

    nnovation

    foreignpolicy

    retained ts desire

    for

    autonomy'

    but,

    at

    the

    same

    time,

    ought

    o remove the

    egacy

    of

    authoritarianism

    nd

    to

    respond

    to the international

    ower

    of

    global

    liberalism.

    uring

    the

    military

    period

    the

    country

    had

    adopted

    a

    very

    defensive

    posture

    towards

    many

    international

    egimes, specially

    hose

    dealing

    with human

    rights,

    he

    control

    of sensitive

    echnology

    nd nuclear

    non-proliferation.5

    uring

    the

    I99os

    this

    defensive osturewas replacedbytheview that t had become imperative or

    Brazil to

    participate

    ully

    n all international

    egimes.

    Although

    he I99OS can be considered new critical

    uncture

    for

    Brazilian

    foreign olicy,

    his

    has

    not been

    followed

    by

    the

    creation f

    a clear or uncon-

    tested consensus.

    A

    survey

    conducted

    with membersof the

    foreignpolicy

    community

    t the end of the Cardoso

    government

    n

    2002 showed an

    elite

    consensus round the

    aspiration

    or

    the

    country

    o

    play

    an

    influential ole

    in

    international

    ffairs,

    ut a cleardivision

    with

    respect

    o

    the

    meansof

    achieving

    thisgoal. Two alternativemodels could be identified. he first ould be called

    the

    search

    for

    credibility,

    nd

    placed

    emphasis

    n the need to see the

    country

    from

    he outside.On this

    view,

    Brazil

    does not have a

    'power surplus'

    nd,

    n

    4

    Jose

    Maria

    Arbilla,

    Arranjos

    nstitucionais

    mudanca

    onceitual as

    politicas

    xternas

    rgentina

    brasileira',

    ontextontemacional

    2:

    2,

    July-Dec.

    000,

    pp.

    337-85.

    5

    Forthe

    oncept

    f

    autonomyhrougharticipation',

    ee Gelson

    onsecaJr,

    Alguns spectos

    a

    politica

    externarasileira

    ontemporanea',

    n

    Gelson

    onseca

    r,

    legitimidade

    outras

    uestoes

    nternacionais.

    Poder etica ntres

    nafoes

    Sao

    Paulo:Paz

    e

    Terra,

    996),

    p.

    353-74.

    Forthe

    ontrasting

    desire or

    autonomy',

    ee Leticia

    inheiro,

    Traidos

    elo

    desejo:

    umensaio obre teoria a

    pritica

    a

    politica

    externarasileiraontemporinea',ontextonternacional2:

    2,

    July-Dec. 000,pp.305-35.

    24

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    Brazil

    as an

    intermediatetate nd

    regional

    ower

    consequence,

    increasing

    national

    autonomy

    'derives

    from

    the

    capacity

    to

    cooperate

    n

    the creationof rulesand

    institutions'.6

    ecovering

    international

    confidence nd

    credibility

    s also

    dependent

    pon

    successful omestic conomic

    stabilizationndpolicyreform. he other trategyaysmore direct mphasis n

    the

    goal

    of

    autonomy,

    and seeks both

    greater

    projection

    of the

    country

    internationally

    nd the maintenance

    f

    foreign olicy flexibility.

    t

    defends n

    'active

    development

    policy',

    collaborationwith

    countries f similar nterests'

    and the

    need

    to 'articulate national

    project

    focused

    on

    overcoming

    omestic

    social

    mbalances'.7

    Although

    the Lula

    government

    as

    adopted

    an

    orthodox macroeconomic

    policy

    that

    s

    actually

    quite

    similar o

    that of

    the Cardoso

    government,

    ts

    foreign olicyhas moved significantly,lthoughnot completely, owards his

    more

    autonomy-focused

    trategy.

    hus,

    developmentgoals

    have once more

    been

    reincorporated

    n

    Brazil's

    foreign olicy.

    The

    IBSA

    initiative,

    aunched

    n

    June

    2003

    and

    drawing ogether

    ndia,

    Brazil and

    South

    Africa,

    emonstrate

    not

    only

    the renewed

    centrality

    f

    developmentgoals

    but also a

    renewed

    emphasis

    on

    South-South

    cooperation.

    This initiative riesto

    combine the

    classical

    themes of

    South-South

    cooperation-especially

    development,

    the

    fight gainst

    overty

    nd

    the defence f

    multilateralism-with

    he

    commitment

    to institutionsnddemocratic alues. n thecontext fgrowing rotectionism

    and of

    increasingly

    ifficult ccess to

    northern

    markets,

    he economic

    and

    commercial

    gains

    from

    ooperation

    with

    southern

    ountrieshave

    become of

    increased

    trategicmportance

    o Brazil.8

    A

    strongreference

    or

    multilateralism

    Active

    nvolvement

    n

    multilateral

    nstitutionsnd

    arenashasbeen

    a constant

    characteristic f Brazilian foreignpolicy since the end of the nineteenth

    century.

    razil was

    the

    only

    South

    Americannation

    to take

    part

    n

    the

    First

    World War

    as

    a

    belligerent

    ountry,

    nd

    this

    ssured

    ts

    presence

    at the

    Paris

    peace

    conference n

    I919.

    Brazil

    sought

    to reform

    he

    incipient

    collective

    security

    ystem

    reated

    by

    the

    League

    of

    Nations. t

    presented

    tself

    s

    a

    medi-

    atorbetween

    the

    greatpowers

    and the

    smaller

    ations,

    efending

    he

    rights

    f

    the atter

    nd,

    simultaneously,

    ositioning

    tself o

    assume status

    quivalent

    o

    that

    of

    the

    former.9 razil

    also

    participated

    ctively

    n

    the main

    conferences

    that led to the multilateral rder created after 945. The countrywas a

    founding

    member

    f

    the

    United

    Nations and

    one of the

    23

    founding

    athersf

    GATT,

    as well as one of

    the

    56

    nations

    epresented

    n

    the TO

    (International

    6

    See

    de

    Souza,

    'A

    agenda

    internacional o

    Brasil',

    p.

    22.

    7

    See de

    Souza,

    'A

    agenda

    internacional o

    Brasil',

    pp.

    23-5.

    For a defence

    of South-South

    cooperation

    along

    these

    ines,

    see

    Celso

    Amorim,

    A

    politica

    externa

    do

    governo

    ula',

    paper resentedy

    Ambassador

    elso

    Amorim t

    a

    conference

    n the

    London

    choolof

    Economics,

    in

    Pol'tica xterna

    3:

    I,

    June-Aug.

    2004,

    p. I6I.

    9

    See

    Eugenio

    V.

    Garcia,

    Brasil a

    Liga

    das

    Nafoes

    1919-1926)

    Porto

    Alegre/Brasilia:

    d. da

    Universidade/UFRGS/FUNAG,

    000).

    25

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  • 8/11/2019 Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power_ Action, Choice and Responsibilities

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares

    e

    Lima and

    MOnica irst

    Trade

    Organization)

    n

    Havana.

    In

    general,

    eveloping

    ountries'

    articipation

    in

    the institutional

    ramework

    f

    the

    post-1945

    order was influenced

    y

    the

    dual

    objectives

    of

    promoting

    conomic

    development

    nd

    deepeningpolitical

    autonomy.Brazil certainly itted hispattern, lthough tspoliticalactivism

    within he Third World

    coalitions f

    the I96os

    and

    1970s,

    particularly

    ithin

    UNCTAD and

    GATT,

    tended

    to

    concentrate

    on

    economic ratherthan

    political bjectives.I?

    During

    the

    Cold War Brazil

    adopted

    a

    low-keyposition

    n matters f nter-

    national

    peace

    and

    security

    nd

    it

    was

    only

    in the

    followingperiod

    thatthe

    country

    ame to assume

    a more

    proactive

    tance.

    n

    contrast,

    ts role

    in

    trade

    and

    developmentnegotiations

    asbeen

    consistently

    ctive since

    1945.

    Along-

    side countries uchas IndiaandMexico, Brazilplayed prominent art n the

    coordination

    f

    Third World

    coalitions,

    aking leading

    role

    especially

    n the

    Group

    of

    77.

    From the

    I96os

    to

    the

    beginning

    f

    the

    I98os,

    Brazil

    did not

    assume the

    role

    of demandeurn the

    trade

    regime,

    nd its

    nvolvement n the

    negotiation

    f

    specific

    rade ssueswas limited.

    Nevertheless,

    t

    stood

    strongly

    for

    he defence

    f

    certain

    rinciples,

    uch as

    a

    preference

    or trade

    egime ased

    on the norm of

    cooperation

    nd

    development

    as

    stressed

    within

    UNCTAD)

    in

    opposition

    to

    the

    open

    market

    principles

    hatdominated

    GATT;

    strong

    support or radenorms uch as non-discriminationnd most favourednation

    (MFN)

    status

    s a

    way

    of

    seeking

    o curb the

    arbitrary

    easures nd unilateral

    and

    protectionist

    ction

    of the

    ndustrialized

    ountries;

    trong

    upport

    or

    the

    implementation

    f

    rules

    favouring

    eveloping

    ountries,

    specially pecial

    and

    differential

    reatment,

    nd

    non-reciprocity;

    nd

    political

    alignment

    with the

    G77

    on other

    multilateral

    gendas.

    From

    the late

    1970S

    Brazil's dominant

    position

    has been one of

    damage

    limitation,

    s

    it

    has tried o

    delay,

    or even

    to

    block,

    the

    introduction f

    new

    trade rules and proceduresthatwould

    (i)

    introduce differentiationmong

    developing

    countries;

    2)

    weaken multilateral

    ules;

    and

    (3)

    make domestic

    policies

    and

    substantive omestic

    practices

    more

    tightly ubject

    to the

    legal

    disciplines

    f the

    international

    rade

    regime.

    During

    the

    Tokyo

    Round,

    for

    example,

    ne of

    the mainBrazilian

    goals

    was to avoid

    the

    elimination f differ-

    ential treatement

    or

    the more

    developed among developing

    countries.

    Another

    majorgoal

    in

    negotiations

    was to

    strengthen

    he

    multilateral

    ystem,

    especially

    he MFN

    clause

    n

    the various

    non-tariffarrier odes

    (NTB),

    some

    of them of great nterest o Brazil,such as thoseon anti-dumpingmeasure,

    subsidies nd

    countervailing

    uties,

    and

    safeguards.

    etween the end of the

    Tokyo

    Round and the

    beginning

    f the

    Uruguay

    Round,

    countries uch as

    Brazil and India

    actively ooperated,

    n the

    Gio,

    on a

    coordinated

    damage

    IO

    See

    Marcelo e Paiva

    Abreu,Brazil,

    he

    GATT,

    and theWTO:

    history

    nd

    prospects',aper

    resented

    to seminar

    n The

    internationalelations

    fBrazil: ew

    possibilities

    ndold

    constraints',

    entre or

    Brazilian

    tudies

    f

    Oxford

    niversity,

    t

    Antony's

    ollege,

    Oxford,

    5-6

    March

    999.

    See

    Ricardo

    U.

    Sennes,Brasil,

    Mexico

    e

    India

    na

    Rodada

    Uruguai

    o

    GATT e no Conselho e

    Seguranqa

    a

    ONU:

    um estudo obre s

    paises

    ntermediarios',

    octoral

    issertation,

    niversity

    f

    Sao

    Paulo,Brazil,

    00I,

    p. 157.

    26

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  • 8/11/2019 Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power_ Action, Choice and Responsibilities

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    Brazil

    as an intermediate

    tate

    nd

    regionalower

    limitation

    trategy

    o

    counter he

    US

    initiative o include

    a

    range

    of new issues

    (intellectual

    property,

    services and

    investments)

    in

    multilateraltrade

    negotiations.

    he

    Uruguay

    Round

    demonstrated he limitsof this

    damage

    limitation trategynd highlightedhedangerofpolitical solationwithin he

    'coalition of the weak'.

    During

    the

    Uruguay

    Round,

    the trade

    agenda

    became

    wider and more

    complex,

    and

    the

    very

    structure

    f the

    negotiationprocess

    was modified.

    Negotiations

    moved

    beyond

    traditional

    order measures

    mutual

    tariffon-

    cessions)

    and

    increasingly

    nvolved

    new

    policy

    commitments hat would

    inevitably

    ave

    major domestic

    epercussions.

    hese

    changes

    ed to

    the

    crisis f

    the

    G77

    and

    political

    division

    mong developing

    countries,

    nd

    to the emer-

    gence of new coalitions nvolvingboth developingand developed countries,

    such as the Cairns

    Group.I2

    From

    I988

    onwards,

    developing

    countries ntro-

    duced

    greater lexibility

    nto their

    negotiating osture,mainly

    s a result f the

    generalized

    risis

    f

    their

    revious

    development aths

    nd

    bargainingtrategies.

    The

    politicaldisintegration

    f the

    G77,

    together

    with the

    bandwagon

    effect f

    the new

    changes,

    rought

    ome the imits f the old Third

    Worldist

    rinciples

    and

    positions

    nd underlined he

    degree

    o which

    material

    nterests,

    ather

    han

    simply

    hared

    principles,

    re needed to hold coalitions

    together.

    At

    least to

    some degree,the formation f the G20 coalition at the Cancfunmeeting n

    2003

    represented

    revivalof the Third

    World coalition

    spirit, lthough

    now

    focused

    on

    the

    specific

    gricultural

    nterests

    f the

    developing

    countries.The

    creation of the

    G20

    was an

    opportunity

    or Brazil

    to

    renew

    its

    role

    as an

    'indispensablentermediary'

    etween the weak' and the

    'strong'.

    But if

    the

    G20 involves choes of

    the

    past,

    t also

    puts

    Brazil n a new

    position

    during

    he

    Doha round as

    a

    demandeur

    n

    agricultural

    ssues.

    This,

    in

    turn, s theresult f

    the

    strong ompetitiveness

    f ts

    agricultural

    xports,

    s

    well

    as the

    emphasis

    t

    has traditionally laced on procedural ssues within the WTO, on norms

    regarding

    market

    ccess,

    and on the

    importance

    f

    strengthening

    ultilateral

    rules.

    3

    The

    current tate f

    global

    governance

    oses

    a

    series f difficult

    ilemmas or

    the new

    influentials'

    n

    the

    South.

    It is

    certainly

    hecase

    that urther

    evelop-

    ment

    of the

    multilateral

    rade and

    security

    ystemdepends

    on their

    active

    participation,

    nd

    this should

    give

    them

    a

    significant

    egree

    of

    influence.

    However,

    their

    osition

    s

    challenged

    oth

    by

    the fact hat

    hey

    an

    no

    longer

    count on thefull upportof the coalition of the weak' and by therangeof

    other mechanisms

    bilateral,

    egional

    or even

    unilateral)

    y

    which the most

    powerful

    tates re able to defend

    heir nterests.

    Over the

    past

    few

    years

    he United

    Nations has faced

    ncreasing

    ressure

    or

    institutional eform nd for

    the democratization f its

    decision-making ro-

    cesses.Brazil

    has

    arguedpowerfully

    hat

    he UN should

    add social welfare

    nd

    12

    See

    Sennes,Brasil,

    Mexico e India

    na Rodada

    Uruguai

    o

    GATT e no

    Conselho e

    Seguranca

    a

    ONU',

    p.

    I48.

    13SeeAbreu,Brazil,heGATT, and theWTO'.

    27

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares e Lima and M6nicaHirst

    economic

    development

    o its

    well-established

    oncerns or

    ntemational

    eace

    and

    security.

    n the 96os

    Brazil

    was an active

    participant

    fthe discussions f the

    Disarmament

    Committee,

    but refused o

    sign

    the Non-Proliferation

    reaty

    (NPT), which it saw as a clear-cutexpression f the tendency owardsthe

    'freezing

    f world

    power'.

    After he end

    of the Cold

    War, however,

    Brazil

    abandoned tsdefensive tance owards nternational

    on-proliferationegimes,

    joining

    the

    Missile

    Technology

    Control

    Regime

    (MTCR)

    in

    I994

    and

    ratify-

    ing

    the

    NPT

    in

    1998.

    At the same

    time,

    Brazilalso

    supported

    heenhancement

    of multilateral

    nitiatives,

    articularly

    he

    expanded

    role of the UN in

    peacekeeping perations.

    razil

    participated

    n the

    UN ObserverMission

    n El

    Salvador

    (ONUSAL),

    in the

    UN Observer

    Mission

    in

    Mozambique

    (ONUMOZ) and in the UN Mission nAngola (UNAVEM) to which tsent

    1,300

    soldiers-the

    largest

    military

    orce t

    has

    sent

    abroad since the Second

    World

    War. Brazil

    also contributed

    olice

    forces

    o the

    999

    UN

    peace

    opera-

    tion

    n

    East

    Timor

    and in

    2004

    led the UN

    peacekeeping

    mission

    n

    Haiti.

    As a

    non-permanent

    member,

    Brazil was absentfrom he

    Security

    ouncil

    for

    20

    years

    etween

    968

    and

    I988.

    The first ate

    coincideswiththe

    Brazilian

    refusal o

    sign

    the

    NPT,

    the second with the

    re-establishment

    f

    democracy

    n

    Brazil n

    the

    form f a new

    constitution. ince

    then,

    he

    pattern

    f

    ts

    nvolve-

    menthas changed dramatically. ogetherwith ndia,Brazil s one of thetwo

    non-permanent

    membersthat have

    occupied

    seats on

    the

    Council for the

    greatest

    ength

    of

    time between

    1945

    and

    I996:

    14

    non-consecutive

    years

    n

    the case of Brazil and

    12 in

    that f India.'4

    Brazilian oncerns

    egarding

    he UN

    reform

    genda

    have focusedon three

    main

    aspects,

    ll of

    which

    reflect

    ong-standing

    oncerns:

    he

    reinforcementf

    multilateral

    rinciples

    nd

    norms,

    articularly

    n

    respect

    f authorization or he

    use of coercive

    nstruments,

    s foreseen

    n

    Chapter

    VII of

    the

    UN

    Charter;

    he

    needto findwaysto re-establishheconceptual rontieretweenpeacekeeping

    and

    peace

    enforcement;

    nd a reformulationf the

    decision-making

    tructure

    of the

    Security

    Council

    in order to increase ts

    representativeness

    nd

    legiti-

    macy

    in the

    post-Cold

    War order.15

    he

    country's elf-image

    s

    a

    mediator

    between

    weak

    and

    strong

    nd

    its use of

    parliamentary'iplomacy

    re

    seen as

    viable means of

    achieving

    more nfluentialole.'6

    For

    Brazil,

    the

    reinforcementf the

    uridical

    and

    parliamentary

    tructure

    f

    the UN

    system

    s more

    necessary

    han ver

    given

    the

    present nipolar

    rder.'7

    Thus it hasexpressed oncern t the erosionof the distinctionetweenpeace-

    keeping

    nd

    peace

    enforcement

    perations

    n the

    definition

    f

    coercive ctions

    undertaken nder

    ChapterVII,

    and has

    strongly

    efended he

    principle

    f

    non-

    I4

    See

    Sennes,

    Brasil,

    Mexico

    e Indiana Rodada

    Uruguai

    o GATT

    e no

    Conselho

    e

    Seguranca

    a

    ONU',

    p.

    96.

    IS

    See Celso

    Amorim,

    Entre

    desequilibrionipolar

    a

    multipolaridade:

    Conselho

    e

    Seguranca

    a

    ONU

    no

    periodo 6s-guerra

    ria',

    n

    G.

    Dupas

    and

    T.

    Vigevani,

    ds,

    0 Brasil

    as novas imensoesa

    seguranfa

    ntemacional

    Sao

    Paulo: Editora

    Alfa-Omega,

    I999),

    pp.

    87-98.

    I6

    See

    Lafer,

    identidadenternacional

    o

    Brasil

    a

    politica

    xterna.

    i7

    SeeAmorim,Entre desequilibrionipolar a multipolaridade',. 93.

    28

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    Brazil as an intermediate

    tate nd

    regional

    ower

    intervention,

    he

    pacific

    esolution f

    disputes,

    nd an

    emphasis

    n the economic

    roots of

    security

    ssues.Brazil

    has been concernedabout

    the

    multiplication

    f

    sanctions

    regimes

    and has stressed he

    necessity

    hat sanctionsreceive both

    authorizationndappropriateegulation. razil has also underlined heneed to

    improve

    nternational

    ooperation

    for

    development,

    within the set of non-

    coercive

    mediating

    ctions.

    Finally,

    Brazil's

    support

    orthe reform f the

    decision-making

    tructure f

    the

    Security

    Council

    is intertwined

    with

    its insistence n

    the

    need

    to

    give

    substance

    nternationally

    o the democratic alues cherished

    y

    the

    nternational

    community.

    Brazil's

    aspiration

    o

    occupy

    a

    permanent

    eat

    on

    the

    Security

    Council

    was

    officially

    nnounced

    n

    I994

    by

    the

    Foreign

    Minister,

    elso

    Amorim.

    ExpansionoftheCouncil has been ustified ythe need to adapt nstitutionso

    the new

    reality

    f the

    post-Cold

    War world and

    by

    the

    argument

    hat

    nlarge-

    ment and more

    balanced

    representation

    ould

    increase its

    legitimacy

    nd

    improve

    the

    effectivenessf collectivedecisions.

    The

    Lula

    government

    as

    made

    the

    issue

    one of the

    priorities

    f

    its

    foreign olicy agenda.

    Brazil,

    ndia

    and South

    Africa

    demand

    permanent

    eats based on

    the

    principle

    of

    geo-

    graphical epresentation.

    exico and

    Argentina

    dopt

    a

    different

    osition

    nd

    argue

    for

    more

    non-permanent

    members. Given

    the near

    impossibility

    f

    reaching regional onsensus n this oint, ince

    2002

    Brazilhas beenfostering

    support hrough

    he

    expansion

    of bilateral

    ontacts utsideLatinAmericawith

    countries that

    have

    already

    expressed

    sympathy

    or

    Brazil's

    candidacy.

    In

    addition,

    ecurity

    ouncil reform eatures

    s

    one of the

    principal oints

    on

    the

    programme

    f the BSA initiative.

    The

    pportunities

    nd

    constraints

    f

    regionalolitics

    Ever sincethedemocratizationrocess f the ate I970s andearly

    98os,

    Brazil

    has dentified elations

    with

    other

    Latin

    American ountries s

    a

    major

    foreign

    policypriority. p

    to the

    mid-I99os,

    the main

    focus

    ofBrazilian

    policy

    was on

    the

    promotion

    of

    regional ntegration

    nd,

    in

    particular,

    he

    development

    f

    Mercosur,

    he southern ommon market reated

    n

    I991.

    Ties withthe Andean

    countries

    eveloped

    either s

    part

    of

    Mercosur's

    nterregional

    egotiations

    as

    in the case of Mercosur's

    negotiations

    with the Andean

    Community

    CAN)),

    or as a reflection f

    specific

    bilateral nterests.

    specially

    once the

    NAFTA

    negotiations ad gone ahead,Brazilianpolicy-makersncreasingly uestioned

    the dea

    of a

    single

    region

    abelled

    Latin

    America'.

    Brazil's

    regional

    nd

    inter-

    national

    presence

    has been

    increasingly erceived

    as

    a

    process

    intimately

    connected o the

    emergence

    f'South America' s a

    particular rouping

    within

    the

    international

    ommunity.I8

    razil's

    identity

    s a Latin American

    country

    I8

    See

    e.g.

    Lafer,

    A identidadenternacionale Brasil a

    politica

    xtema',

    pring

    000;

    Andrew

    urrell,

    'An

    emergingecurity

    ommunity

    n

    South

    America?',

    n Emanuel

    Adler

    nd

    Michael

    Bamett, ds,

    SecurityommunitiesCambridge: CambridgeUniversity ress,

    998).

    29

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares e

    Lima and M6nicaHirst

    has therefore

    een

    increasinglyeplacedby

    the dea of

    the

    country

    s

    a

    South

    American

    power.

    During

    the second

    Cardoso administration

    I996-2002)

    Brazil

    assumed a

    more activepresence nSouthAmerica ndmovedtowards eveloping more

    overt

    eadership

    ole in

    the

    region.

    As

    well

    as

    inaugurating

    seriesof

    South

    American

    presidential

    ummits

    n

    2000,'9

    Brasilia lso became more

    active n

    regional

    risis

    management.20

    ttempts

    eremade

    gradually

    o

    inject

    more ife

    into

    the

    Amazon

    Pact,

    a

    grouping

    hathad been

    created n

    1978

    betweenBrazil

    and its Amazon

    neighbours,

    nd Brazil also

    sought

    to

    develop

    a

    cooperative

    agenda

    with

    Bolivia,

    Peru,

    Venezuela andColombia.2' At

    first,

    razil

    appeared

    to

    be more concerned

    with

    deepening

    cooperation

    n trade and

    promoting

    cooperation n infrastructurerojects especially ransportnd energyinks). t

    appeared

    nxiousto avoid

    giving

    he

    mpression

    hat t was

    attempting

    o

    forge

    a unitedfront n

    negotiations

    with

    the United States.

    Despite

    such

    caution,

    Argentina

    nd Chile weremore

    suspicious

    han

    enthusiasticowards

    Brazilian

    diplomatic

    moves n

    South

    America,

    while other

    ountries,

    uch as

    Venezuela

    and

    Bolivia,

    became

    quite

    supportive

    f Brazilian

    nitiatives.

    In this rea

    too,

    significanthange

    took

    place

    after heLula

    administration

    came into

    power.Itamaraty

    ecame

    much more

    explicit

    bout

    tsdesire

    nd

    its

    determinationo move rapidly owards outhAmerican eadership. ecision-

    making

    has

    also become more

    complex.

    On

    the one

    hand,

    Itamaraty

    as

    insisted

    trongly

    hat South America

    should be

    placed

    at the

    top

    of

    Brazil's

    foreign

    olicy priorities.

    n the

    other,

    the

    President

    nd those around

    him

    have

    taken

    more

    interest,

    nd become

    more

    directly

    nvolved,

    n

    regional

    politics.22 his has

    involved both

    much

    closer inksbetween domestic

    party

    politics

    nd

    diplomacy,

    nd

    a

    much

    greater

    ffortn the

    part

    of Brazil to

    pull

    strings

    nd influence

    domestic

    political

    outcomes within

    South

    American

    countries.23t has led to an expansionand diversificationf communication

    with

    political

    ctors n

    mostof the countries f the

    region-although

    there

    has

    beencriticismnsideBrazil

    s to the

    ppropriateness

    fthis

    parallel iplomacy'.24

    In

    addition to

    the

    inauguration

    f

    the South American

    Community

    of

    Nations,

    the Lula

    administrationas laid

    greatemphasis

    n

    the

    expansion

    of

    '9

    In

    August

    000,

    all SouthAmerica's eads

    f tate ttendedhefirstouthAmerican

    residential

    summit,

    hich

    ook

    place

    n Brasilia. he

    agenda

    etfor he

    meeting

    ncluded

    ive

    opics:

    efence

    f

    democracy;egional

    rade;

    egional

    nfrastructure;nformation,

    cience nd

    technology;

    ndthe

    fight

    againstrug rafficking.

    20

    Special

    mention

    hould e

    made

    fthe

    995

    warbetween

    cuador

    nd

    Peru nd

    the

    996

    political

    risis

    in

    Paraguay.

    n

    October

    998

    the

    governments

    fEcuador nd

    Peru

    igned

    peace

    treaty

    n

    Brasilia,

    finallynding

    ostilities.

    ith

    egard

    o

    Paraguay,

    razil as

    onsistently

    oordinated

    iplomatic

    ction

    with

    Argentina

    o

    contain

    acksliding

    nto uthoritarianism.

    21

    It should enoted hat or razil he

    geopolitical

    nd

    geoeconomic

    mportance

    f

    theAndean ountries

    is

    connected

    o

    the nterstatend ntersocietal

    inks n

    the

    Amazon rea.

    22

    The

    period

    ince 002has een

    major

    eallocation

    lan

    within

    tamaraty,

    ith henumber f

    diplomats

    n South

    America

    lmost oubled

    ndthe

    number

    f

    those

    n

    European

    ountries

    rastically

    reduced.

    23

    At thePlanalto

    presidential)

    alace

    his unction

    as

    been

    ssumed

    y

    MarcoAurelio

    Garcia,

    s

    chief

    adviser o the

    president

    n

    internationalffairs.

    24

    RubensRicupero,O atacado o varejo adiplomacia',olha eSaoPaulo, 6June 005.

    30

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  • 8/11/2019 Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power_ Action, Choice and Responsibilities

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    Brazil as an intermediatetate nd

    regional

    ower

    businesselations

    ithin

    he

    egion,

    nvolving

    oth tate nd

    private

    nterprises.

    Three

    major

    ssumptions

    ave

    guided

    Brazil's outhAmerican

    olicy:

    irst,

    that

    more

    rominent

    resence

    n

    the

    region

    wouldbe

    compatible

    ith loser

    political ieswithArgentina;econd, hat he mpact f Lula'spresidencyn

    Brazilian

    emocracy

    would

    have

    a

    spillover

    ffect

    n

    promoting

    egional

    political

    tability;

    nd

    third,

    hat he successful

    xpansion

    f

    Brazil's

    olitical

    presence

    nthe

    region

    would

    automaticallytrengthen

    razilian

    lobal spira-

    tions,

    llowing

    he

    ountry

    o consolidateegional

    upport

    or

    he

    xpansion

    f

    the

    ountry'sresence

    n

    world

    ffairs.

    The first

    ssumption

    as inked o the dea hat loser elations

    ith

    Argentina

    would

    nd should e achieved

    with he

    trengthening

    fMercosur.

    lthough

    Mercosur addeveloped apidlyuringhe

    990s,

    with henegotiationfan

    unprecedented

    et

    of

    commitments,

    fter

    999

    it entered

    period

    of

    crisis,

    indeed

    aralysis.

    s a

    result,

    razil nd

    Argentina

    nitiatedn intense eries f

    bilateral alks

    o

    try

    o

    untangle

    he knots nd to settle ome

    of the

    many

    disputes

    hat ad accumulated

    ver he

    previous

    ive

    years.25

    or

    the

    recently

    inaugurated

    irchnerdministration

    n

    Argentina,

    owever,

    t

    became

    sine

    ua

    non f

    ny

    revived

    Mercosur hat he

    regional

    rrangement

    houldmove

    way

    fromts arlier

    spousal f'open

    regionalism'

    nd hould eassertmuchmore

    openly evelopmentalisttrategy.orArgentina,his ranslatedntorenewed

    expectations

    hat

    razil hould

    make

    oncessions,

    speciallyegarding

    nvest-

    ment

    olicies

    ndthe

    cceptance

    f

    afeguard

    echanisms.hese

    expectations

    led

    rapidly

    o a new round f often itter

    isagreements.

    he

    impossibility

    f

    reaching greementdversely

    ffectedhe results f the Ouro Preto

    ummit

    held

    n

    December

    004,

    nd

    postponed

    nce

    again

    successfulevitalizationf

    Mercosur. n

    theother

    and,

    ven

    thoughntergovernmental

    alks

    avenot

    lived

    up

    to

    initial

    xpectations,

    rade

    mong

    Mercosur'smembers

    as re-

    coveredignificantlyn the ast woyears;ndthere as lsobeen nexpansion

    of investment

    mong

    members,

    s well as visible

    deepening

    f

    cultural,

    educationalnd ntersocietal

    ies.

    The

    key oint egarding

    he

    econd

    remise

    s the

    xtraordinary

    omplexity

    of

    regional

    olitics

    nd

    of the

    possible olitical

    cenarios. he idea that razil

    should

    xpand

    ts

    responsibility

    or he maintenancef

    political tability

    n

    South

    America

    hrough

    he

    promotion

    f

    tronger

    emocraticnstitutionsnd

    valueshasnotbeen able

    to withstand

    he

    urbulence

    f

    regional

    olitics.

    ne

    mightskwhether razilwouldhavewished otry o assume uchresponsi-

    bilities

    f

    t had understood

    n

    advance

    ust

    how unstablend difficult

    olitical

    conditions

    n

    theAndean ountries ouldbecome.

    Whatever

    he

    conclusion

    of uch

    peculation,

    his s

    probably

    he

    most

    mportanthange

    nd

    represents

    significant

    ove

    way

    rom

    revious

    ehaviour,

    hich

    had

    always

    eenbased

    firmly

    pon

    the

    principle

    f

    non-interventionnthe

    ffairs

    fother

    tates.

    25

    In

    theBuenosAires

    eclaration,

    rgentina

    nd

    Brazil

    romised

    o

    ntensifyooperation,trengthen

    both

    democracy

    nd

    ntegrationrocesses,

    mprove

    Mercosur's

    nstitutions,

    enerate

    ustainable

    rowth

    andfightgainst overty.

    31

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares e

    Lima and

    M6nica

    Hirst

    Assuming

    the

    role

    of a

    regional power

    has

    generated unprecedented

    demands n Brazil and seemsto

    require apabilities

    hat

    go

    beyond

    tamaraty's

    unquestioned

    diplomatic

    kills.Since

    2003

    Brazil has

    intervened

    n

    political

    crisesnVenezuela, Bolivia,Ecuador and Haiti. Brazil ed the groupoffriends

    of Venezuela'

    (which

    also included

    Chile, Colombia, Mexico,

    Portugal, pain

    and the

    US).

    The aim

    was to

    try

    o

    bridge

    he

    misunderstandings

    etween the

    Chavez

    government

    nd

    the

    oppositiongroups

    nd find

    political

    olution hat

    would not

    violate democratic

    principles.

    n

    Bolivia, Brazil,

    together

    with

    Argentina,helped

    mediate

    in

    the Lozada-Mesa transition nd acted as a

    stabilizing

    orce

    during

    he

    2005

    riotswhich

    finally

    ed to a new

    presidential

    replacement

    nd

    the

    call

    for

    general

    elections.

    In

    Ecuador,

    Brazil

    quickly

    became involved n thepolitical urmoilwhich ed to thesudden nterruption

    of

    the Gutierrez dministration.n

    Haiti,

    Brazil has led a

    UN

    peacekeeping

    mission

    (MINUSTAH),

    in

    which other

    countries

    have

    participated,

    ince

    2004.26

    This

    international

    resence

    in

    Haiti involves a broad set of tasks

    including

    the

    monitoring, estructuring

    nd reform f the Haitian national

    police; assisting

    he

    transitional

    overnment

    ith

    disarmament,

    emobilization

    and

    reintegration

    rogrammes

    or rmed

    groups;

    ssisting

    ith the

    restoration

    and

    maintenance

    f the

    rule

    of

    aw,

    public

    safety

    nd

    public

    order n

    Haiti;

    and

    protecting nited Nationspersonnel nd installationsnd local civilians.

    Brazil's

    presence

    n

    South America has not

    been

    associated

    only

    with

    its

    recently

    cquired

    vocation as

    a

    regional

    irefighter

    nd crisis

    manager. tronger

    political

    ties have been establishedwith the SouthernCone

    governments

    f

    Uruguay

    and

    Chile

    as a

    consequence

    of

    networking

    etween

    the Workers'

    Party

    the

    PT)

    and

    the

    socialist oalitions

    n

    power

    in both

    countries.Close

    relations ave also

    been

    developed

    with Chavez in Venezuela. These

    links

    have

    generated

    imilar eactions

    mong

    Brazilian lites o those

    of the

    1950s

    regard-

    ing the risksof close ties with anti-American opulist eaders.27Domestic

    opinion

    towards

    Brazil's

    policy

    n

    the

    region

    has

    tendedto divide

    along

    party

    lines: onservative

    pinion

    has

    generally

    pposed

    the

    abandoning

    f

    the

    country's

    non-interventionist

    radition,

    hile

    progressive

    ntellectual

    nd

    political

    ircles

    have welcomed

    a

    bolder and more committed nvolvement

    n

    regional

    ffairs.

    The

    third

    ssumption

    akes s to themost mbitious

    spect

    f

    Brazil's

    egional

    diplomacy-and

    the mostuncertain

    n

    terms

    f tsoutcome. The

    expansion

    f

    Brazil's

    political

    nvolvement n

    local

    crises,

    ogether

    with

    growing

    rade nd

    investmentctivitieswith tsSouthAmericanneighbours, as not led to any

    easy

    or automatic

    cknowledgement

    f the

    country's

    egional

    eadership

    n

    world

    affairs. first est

    was failedat the occasion

    of electionsfor the

    new

    director-general

    f the

    WTO,

    where

    intra-regional

    egotiations

    were

    far

    ess

    26

    MINUSTAH

    involves

    he

    participation

    f

    Argentina,

    olivia, hile,

    Uruguay, araguay,

    eru,Canada,

    US,

    Croatia,

    cuador,

    rance, uatemala,

    ordan,

    alaysia,

    orocco,

    Nepal,Philippines,pain

    ndSri

    Lanka.

    27

    In

    the

    arly

    950s

    a

    rapprochement

    etween

    argas

    nd

    Per6n,

    ndthe

    uspicion

    hat n alliance

    etween

    Brazil,

    Argentina

    ndChile hadbeen

    negotiated,

    enerated

    vociferousnd hostile

    eaction

    y

    oppositionorces hich ontributedodestabilizinghedomesticoliticalituation.

    32

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  • 8/11/2019 Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power_ Action, Choice and Responsibilities

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    Brazil as an

    intermediatetate

    nd

    regionalower

    smooth than

    expected.

    Regarding

    ts

    candidacy

    for a

    permanent

    eat

    at

    the

    UNSC,

    Brazil

    managed

    to obtain an

    important

    egree

    of

    regional support,

    withthe

    exception

    of

    Argentina

    nd

    Colombia.

    For

    differenteasons oth have

    been reluctanto endorseBrazil's spirationo become a regional ower. In the

    case of

    Argentina

    his ollows historical

    attern

    elated,

    n

    one

    side,

    to the

    old

    rivalry

    etween

    the

    two

    countries, nd,

    on the

    other,

    o the

    difficulty

    aced

    by

    Brazil n

    making specialrelationship

    ith

    Argentina

    ompatible

    with

    tsmore

    ambitious

    global

    and

    regional

    goals.

    As for

    Colombia,

    the reasons are

    connected o

    its

    lignment

    with

    the US and the

    perception

    hat he

    presence

    f

    the

    United States

    nd Brazil

    in

    the

    region

    nevitably

    ollows he

    pattern

    f a

    zero-sum

    game.

    This

    bring

    us to the

    topic

    of the next section.

    Relationsith he

    Unitedtates:

    ess

    hange

    han

    ontinuity

    US-Brazil

    relationshave

    gone through

    different

    hases,

    oscillating

    etween

    'good'

    and cool' without ver

    tipping

    nto

    open hostility.

    he

    two

    states

    ave

    shared a notion

    of

    'limited

    divergence'

    which,

    while

    always

    avoiding open

    confrontation,

    as resulted

    n

    frustrationsn both

    ides

    hathave

    ong

    dominated

    their

    elationship.

    S-Brazil

    relations ave

    faced

    cyclical

    rises f

    expectations

    caused by erroneous alculations n both sides.Nevertheless, ll through he

    twentieth

    entury,

    ilateral elations

    layed

    a

    crucial role

    in

    Brazil's

    foreign

    affairss

    well

    as

    in

    the

    US

    hemispheric genda.

    Though

    US-Brazil relations

    have

    always

    been

    dominated

    by

    an

    intergovernmental

    genda, non-govern-

    mental ctorshave

    recently

    xpanded

    their

    resence

    nd

    grown

    n

    importance.

    NGOs,

    cultural nd educational

    entities,

    s well as a

    diverse set

    of

    private

    economic

    interests,

    ll now contribute o a

    complex

    and

    increasingly

    ntense

    bilateral nteraction.As

    US-Brazil relationshave

    become more

    complex

    on

    both sides,military,conomic, politicaland cultural nterests ave led to a

    more

    open

    agenda

    and

    introduced broader

    ange

    f

    concerns

    nd

    pressures.

    For the

    United

    States,

    the

    importance

    of

    Brazil in world

    politics

    and

    international

    ecurity

    s

    small,

    specially

    when

    compared

    o

    crucial llies uch as

    Canada

    and the

    UK,

    or

    to

    other

    tates uch as

    Germany,

    apan

    nd

    Russia. For

    Brazil,

    the

    picture

    s

    very

    different. razil

    keeps

    a

    permanent

    watch on the

    United States nd what

    t does

    in

    world

    politics,

    nd

    its

    foreign olicy

    decisions

    consistently

    nvolvean

    assessment f the costs

    nd benefits f

    convergence

    with

    or divergence rom heUS.

    Such

    cautionhas ncreased n the

    unipolar

    world,

    particularly

    ince

    September

    i

    i.

    Differences etween Brazil

    and the United

    States over

    the latter's nter-

    vention n

    world and

    regional riseshave been visible n

    such

    episodes

    as the

    GulfWar

    (i99

    ),

    the crisis

    n

    Haiti

    (1996)

    and the

    Kosovo

    tragedy

    1998).

    In

    all

    cases,

    the

    US would have

    welcomed Brazil's full

    upport.

    n

    summary,

    tate-

    to-state

    olitical

    relations

    etween

    the

    United States nd

    Brazil

    primarily

    im

    for

    prudent

    coexistence,

    possible

    collaboration nd

    minimal

    collision.While

    theUnited Statesmoves ahead towards he consolidation f an uncontested

    33

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  • 8/11/2019 Brazil as an Intermediate State and Regional Power_ Action, Choice and Responsibilities

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    Brazil as an

    intermediatetate nd

    regionalower

    Of the

    many

    factors hat contribute o

    US-Brazil

    differences

    egarding

    regional ecurity,

    he most

    mportant

    elate

    to

    the

    link established

    y

    the

    US

    between ts

    participation

    n theColombian conflict nd the war

    against

    error-

    ism.While the US government as tended to deepen its militarizedpproach

    to deal with the

    war in

    Colombia,

    Brazil has

    made

    explicit

    ts

    preference

    or

    political

    process

    nvolving

    nternational

    mediation,

    with the

    participation

    f

    the

    UN,

    based

    upon

    the

    premise

    hat

    ll

    parties

    t war should

    participate

    n

    the

    negotiations. ndoubtedly

    here re

    major

    differencesf

    political

    nd

    deological

    affinity

    etween

    Washington

    nd

    Brasilia

    which

    reflect

    pon

    their

    respective

    relationswith Caracas and

    Bogota.

    Relations between the Uribe

    government

    in

    Colombia and

    the Bush

    administration

    ave

    been

    far

    more

    friendly

    nd

    cooperative han those withChavez in Venezuela,while exactly heopposite

    can be said n the

    case

    of the Lula

    government.

    razilunderstandshe

    problems

    of

    regional

    ecurity ery

    differently

    rom he Uribe

    government

    nd

    fears he

    consequences

    of

    Colombia's clear

    alignment

    with the United

    States.

    The

    foreign

    policy priorities

    f the Bush administration

    ince

    9/I

    have

    inevitably

    had an

    impact

    on bilateral ies.

    On the

    negative

    side,

    Brazil

    has

    maintained ts distancefrom

    Washington's

    policy

    on international

    errorism,

    while the

    US

    has

    paid

    ittle ttentiono

    goals

    that razil ees

    as crucial

    economic

    development, nvironmental rotection nd the strengtheningf multilater-

    alism

    n

    world

    security).

    n the

    positive

    ide,

    the

    deterioration

    n

    the

    quality

    f

    US relations with the

    region

    as a

    whole

    (graphically

    llustrated

    y

    the

    hemispheric

    ummit f March

    2005)

    increases he

    importance

    f

    maintaining

    an

    open

    channel of

    understanding

    ith Brazil.29

    For the Lula

    government,

    there s some

    hope

    that

    positive

    relationship

    ith

    the US

    may

    contribute

    o

    the

    consolidation f Brazil's

    status s a

    regional

    power.

    However,

    while

    differ-

    ent

    priorities

    ill

    not ead

    inevitably

    o

    collisionor

    confrontation,

    here s

    little

    signof a deepening onvergence etween the twocountriesn the nearfuture.

    The

    hallenges

    head

    While the

    nnovations

    n

    foreign olicy

    ntroduced

    y

    the

    Lula

    administration

    have

    undoubtedly

    ontributed o

    increasing

    he

    visibility

    f Brazil

    in

    inter-

    national

    ffairs,

    hey

    have also

    brought

    o the surface

    ew

    challenges.

    South-Southelations

    Since

    the

    nauguration

    f the

    Lula administration

    razil has

    laid

    a

    very trong

    emphasis

    n the

    expansion

    of

    South-South

    relations,

    nd this

    has raised

    high

    expectations.

    ne of the

    administration'sirst

    teps

    was to

    underscore he ink

    29

    The

    Fourth ummit f

    theAmericasook

    place

    n

    Mar del

    Plata,

    Argentina,

    n

    4-5

    Nov.

    2005.

    Immediately

    fterwards,

    residentush

    visited razil or

    ilateralalks. or

    evaluationfthe

    visit ee

    'The

    boys

    n

    Brazil',

    Wall

    treet

    ournal,

    Nov.

    2005;

    Brazil,

    S look ahead o world

    rade

    alks',

    ew

    York imes, Nov.

    2005.

    35

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares

    e Lima and

    MonicaHirst

    between

    social

    policy

    at

    home and

    North-South ssues.Brazil's

    eading

    role

    n

    the UN

    campaign

    Action

    against

    Hunger

    and

    Poverty'

    was

    emblematic.

    Simultaneously,

    he

    governmentought

    o

    build

    up

    new coalitionswithin he

    Third World. In June

    2003,

    Brazil, ndia and SouthAfrica ignedtheBrasilia

    Declaration

    which created he BSA Forum.

    The

    purpose

    ofthis nitiative as

    to

    develop

    a

    strategic artnership

    mong developing

    countries

    round

    three

    shared nterests:

    i)

    the

    commitment o democratic

    nstitutionsnd

    values;

    2)

    the efforto link the

    struggle gainst overty

    o

    development olicies;

    and

    (3)

    the convictionthat

    multilateralnstitutionsnd

    procedures

    hould be

    streng-

    thened n

    order

    o

    cope

    withturbulence n the

    economic,

    political

    nd

    security

    fields.

    The noveltyof this nitiative, n outstanding xample of a South-South

    coalition,

    stems

    partly

    rom

    the

    fact that t involvesa

    group

    of

    developing

    countries

    hat re

    regionalpowers.

    Brazil,

    along

    with

    South

    Africa,

    as been

    explicit

    in

    its intention

    to assume new

    responsibilities egarding

    egional

    security,

    he defence f

    democracy

    nd the consolidation

    fregional

    ntegration

    schemes,

    nd IBSA has been

    the

    most

    mportant

    f tsSouth-South

    nitiatives.

    Other

    steps

    n

    the same direction

    have been Brazilian nvolvement

    n

    the

    creation

    of the G20

    within he framework f the

    Doha

    Round;

    its effortso

    increaseties with Arab and Africancountries;and its leading role in the

    creation

    f a South

    American

    Community

    f Nations.

    For

    Brazil,

    one of the main

    motivations ehind

    the creation f BSA

    was the

    reform f

    the

    UN

    system, specially

    he reform

    f its

    Security

    Council,

    as

    discussed

    bove.

    India has been more

    activethanSouth

    Africa

    longside

    Brazil

    in

    promoting

    a

    larger

    and more

    inclusive UNSC.

    Although

    this

    goal

    is

    couched

    in

    terms

    f the need

    to democratize

    nternational

    ecision-making,

    t

    is

    important

    o

    acknowledge

    that,

    n

    fact,

    he

    proposal

    to

    expand

    the UN

    Security ouncilwould imply herecognition fsouthern eterogeneity-and

    hierarchy-and

    ead to the nstitutionalization

    f those

    differences.

    From

    Brazil's

    point

    of

    view,

    the G2o

    represented significant

    ove to

    give

    renewed

    priority

    o the

    development genda

    following

    he end

    of the

    I970s-

    style

    Third World coalitions

    such

    as

    the

    G77)

    and the

    debt and fiscal rises f

    the

    I98os.

    The

    promotion

    by

    Brazil of

    closerrelations

    with Arab and

    African

    nations s

    a further oticeable

    feature f current

    oreign olicy,

    and one that

    brings

    back

    old memories.

    Ever since the

    I96os

    Brazilian

    foreign

    olicy

    has

    from ime to timesought o buildup thecountry'sAfricandentity,lthough

    this

    mpulse

    has been

    based more

    upon

    symbolic

    historic

    nd cultural ffinities

    than

    on shared

    conomic interestsnd

    political

    values.

    n the case of the

    Arab

    community,

    revival

    of

    previous

    attempts

    o

    deepen

    common

    interests as

    recently

    een

    obstructed

    y

    the connection

    established

    etween

    the Middle

    East's

    strategicmportance

    nd the

    war

    against

    error onducted

    by

    the US.

    Both

    in the case of

    the Arab countries

    nd

    in thatof the

    black

    African oun-

    tries,

    here s a clear

    connection etween

    the

    espousal

    of closer

    relations nd

    the

    supportof Brazil's UNSC candidacy.Contraryto Brazilian expectations,

    36

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    Brazil as

    an

    intermediatetate nd

    regionalower

    however,

    nd as

    developments

    n the

    UN

    2005

    Assembly

    evealed,

    diplomacy

    within

    he Third World is not

    always

    driven

    by

    South-South

    solidarity.

    t

    has

    also been

    difficult or Brazil to

    harmonize ts southern'

    diplomacy

    with its

    regionalpolicyand interests.n fact, he dea of Brazil as a regional eader has

    not

    yet

    been

    quite

    accepted

    by

    its South

    American

    partners.

    South-South

    cooperation

    could

    become a

    costly

    venture orBrazil. In

    the

    first

    lace,

    the

    country

    must assume the

    consequences

    of

    collective ction. A

    clear

    example

    of

    this

    is

    providedby

    the

    difficultiesaced

    by Itamaraty

    n

    keeping

    the G20

    together

    n

    face of

    pressure

    rom

    he ndustrialized

    ountries,

    particularly

    he United

    States.

    Second,

    domestic

    upport

    has not been

    easily

    gained by Itamaraty,

    nd

    public

    opinion

    at home has been

    more

    vigilant

    han

    ever as to theprosand cons of Lula'sactivist iplomacy.This introduces third

    challenge

    hat s

    closely

    onnectedto the

    democratic

    ontext

    n

    which

    Brazil-

    ian

    governments

    mustnow function.

    What

    will

    the

    mpact

    be on the

    balance

    between

    continuity

    nd

    change

    in

    Brazil's

    foreignpolicy

    of the

    political

    leadership hanges

    hat

    democracy

    s

    ikely

    o

    bring?

    razil's

    foreign

    ffairsave

    now become a matter

    f

    controversy

    n

    domestic

    politics

    n

    a

    way

    that

    they

    were not

    in

    the

    past,

    and intra-bureaucratic

    ivergences

    ver the

    priorities

    f

    the

    country's oreign olicy

    have also become

    more

    frequent.

    These differ-

    ences reflect profound ebate thathas been taking lace inBrazil as inmany

    other

    developing

    countries),

    n

    which local

    elites

    view

    relationswith

    the

    industrialized ations s more

    profitable

    nd viable

    than the

    expansion

    of ties

    with the South.

    International

    ecurity

    Brazil's stance

    n

    security

    matters

    as two strands.

    n the one

    side,

    the

    country

    defends tsprerogative o maintain strongnotion of sovereignty hich is

    reflected

    n

    many

    of

    the axioms of ts

    defence

    policy,

    uch as the

    mportance

    f

    protecting

    erritorial

    ntegrity

    nd national

    nterests.3?

    n the

    other,

    t

    has

    become clear hat

    more

    promising ption

    for

    he

    country

    n

    global

    nd

    regional

    security

    matters

    as been to

    enhance

    multilateralism.

    razil has

    become

    fully

    committed o

    non-proliferation

    egimes

    nd

    acknowledges

    he

    mportance

    f

    multilateral

    nstitutionsn

    world and

    regional

    ecurity.

    s has

    been

    underlined,

    Brazil

    has been

    among

    the

    most vocal of

    intermediate tates

    nd

    emerging

    30

    On

    30July

    005,

    the

    National

    efence

    olicy

    aunched new

    decree

    5.484)

    pproved

    nd

    igned

    y

    President

    ula. This

    decree

    epresents

    he fficial

    tatementf

    Brazil's ision f

    national

    efence nd

    regional/international

    ecurity. ccording

    o this

    ocument,

    hemain

    trategic

    riorities

    or razil

    re:

    (i)

    Amazonia

    impact

    f

    war n

    Colombia,

    rug

    raffic,

    uerrilla

    roups,

    tc.);

    nd

    2)

    the

    SouthAtlantic

    (for

    ts

    role n

    trade,

    nd ts

    gas

    nd

    petroleumesources).

    t

    argues

    hat,

    n a

    world

    haracterized

    y

    growingnterdependence

    nd

    globalization,

    t

    s

    mportant

    o

    develop

    n

    appropriate

    ational

    efence

    sector

    ecause,

    n

    the

    future,

    he

    ountry's

    atural

    esources

    ay

    needto be

    protected

    rom

    xternal

    ambitions.

    his ector

    must ave

    ppropriate

    uman nd

    economic

    esources,

    dequate

    echnology

    nd

    weapons.

    he

    document

    lso

    recognizes

    he

    growing

    resence

    f

    non-traditionalhreatsuch s

    terrorismnd

    organized

    llicit

    ctivities,

    nd

    gives riority

    o

    3)

    the reation

    f

    rapid

    eployment

    forcend 4) a growingolefor razil npeacekeepingperations.

    37

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    Maria

    Regina

    oares

    e Lima and M8nica

    Hirst

    powers

    n its nsistence

    n the

    need for

    broad nstitutional

    eform

    f the UN

    syste


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