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J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 6
B r a z i l ’s C h a l l e n g i n g O u t l o o k 2 0 1 6 B R A Z I L I N S T I T U T E / W I L S O N C E N T E R
How about Brazil and Dilma 2016 ?
T H E S U R V E Y N U M B E R O N E
P E R I O D :DECEMBER 20TH TO 27TH, 2015
20.006 INTERVIEWS
132 CITIES IN BRAZIL
TELEPHONE SURVEY ( IVR PHONE)
1.15%
T O T A L S A M P L E :
C O V E R A G E :
M E T H O D O L O G Y :
E S T I M A T E D M A R G I N O F E R R O R :
P 1 ) D o y o u b e l i e v e t h a t t h e y e a r 2 0 1 6 w i l l b e b e t t e r , w o r s t o r t h e s a m e f o r B r a z i l a s a c o u n t r y c o m p a re d t o 2 0 1 5 ?
SA MP LE: 20 .006 FROM 132 C IT IE S
Better, 35%
Worst, 40%
Same, 20%
NA 5%
P 2) Ta l k i n g a b o u t t h e B r a z i l i a n e c o n o m y , d o y o u b e l i e v e t h e y e a r 2 0 1 6 w i l l b e b e t t e r , w o r s t o r t h e s a m e c o m p a re d t o 2 0 1 5 ?
Better, 10%
Worst 70%
Same, 15%
NA, 5%
SA MP LE: 20 .006 FROM 132 C IT IE S
P 3 ) Ta l k i n g a b o u t t h e B r a z i l i a n p o l i t i c s , d o y o u b e l i e v e t h e y e a r 2 0 1 6 w i l l b e b e t t e r , w o r s t o r t h e s a m e c o m p a re d t o 2 0 1 5 ? ?
Better, 8%
Worst, 68%
Same, 17%
NA, 7%
SA MPLE: 20 .006 FROM 132 C IT IE S
P 4 ) I n y o u r p e r s o n a l o p i n i o n , P re s i d e n t D i l m a Ro u s s e ff g o v e r n m e n t w i l l b e a b l e t o m a ke y o u r l i f e b e t t e r i n 2 0 1 6 c o m p a re d t o 2 0 1 5 ?
Yes, 16%%
No , 80%
NA, 4%
SA MP LE: 20 .006 FROM 132 C IT IE S
P 5 ) Re g a r d i n g y o u r p e r s o n a l l i f e , 2 0 1 6 w i l l b e b e t t e r , w o r s t o r t h e s a m e c o m p a re d t o 2 0 1 5 ?
Better, 65%Worst,15%
Same, 18%
NA, 2%
SA MP LE: 20 .006 FROM 132 C IT IE S
T H E S U R V E Y N U M B E R T W O
P E R I O D :JANUARY 3RD TO JANUARY 6TH, 2016
20.005 INTERVIEWS
128 CITIES IN BRAZIL
TELEPHONE SURVEY ( IVR PHONE)
1.15%
T O T A L S A M P L E :
C O V E R A G E :
M E T H O D O L O G Y :
E S T I M A T E D M A R G I N O F E R R O R :
P1) Based on your personal knowledge, who is the current Brazilian Minister of Finance?
20%
16%
6%
58%
Nelson Barbosa Joaquim Levy Guido Mantega Do not know
SA MP LE: 20 .005 FROM 128 C IT IE S
P2) (only those who know), do you think that the Brazilian economy will be better off, worst off or the same with Nelson Barbosa as Minister of Finance ?
Better; 10%
Worst; 62%
Same; 28%
SA MP LE: 4 .001 FROM 128 C IT IES
P 3 ) R e g a r d i n g t h e f o l l o w i n g s e n t e n c e :
“ T h e L a v a J a t o i n v e s t i g a t i o n d o e s j e o p a r d i z e t h e B r a z i l a i n e c o n o m i c r e c o v e r y ” . D o y o u a g r e e , d i s a g r e e o r n o r a g r e e n e i t h e r d i s a g r e e ?
Agree; 10%
Disagree; 65%
NA, ND; 22%
NA; 3%
Sample: 20.005 FROM 128 CITIES
P4) Would you support the Lava Jato investigations suspension if that could improve the Brazilian economic
situation ?Yes; 8%
No; 88%
NA; 4%
Sample: 20.005 FROM 128 CITIES
Yes ; 45%
No; 46%
Do not know; 6% NA; 3%
Sample: 20.005 FROM 128 CITIES
P5) Do you think that Brazil will need IMF support in 2016 ?
Better; 11%
Worst; 76%
Same; 9%NA; 4%
P6) (only for those who think Brazil will need IMF support). After the IMF support, the Brazil economy will better off,
worst off or the same ?
Sample:9.003 FROM 128 CITIES
“CPMF is the only way to balance the budget.”
Poll with the House and the Senate – Nov 2015
W H A T S A P P P O L L
M E T H O D O L O G Y
POLL BY CELULAR PHONE (BY WHATSAPP)
S A M P L E
P E R I O D :
188 HOUSE MEMBERS AND 25 REPUBLICAN SENATORS
NOVEMBER 12TH AND 24TH 2015
Do you be l ieve tha t the House/Senate w i l l approve the ( re ) -c reat ion o f the CPMF in 2016 ?
SAMPLE:188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE
House Senate Total
27% 25% 26%
73% 75% 74%
Yes No
D o y o u b e l i e v e t h a t t h e H o u s e / S e n a t e w i l l v o t e a n d a p p r o v e t h e m i n i m u m r e t i r e m e n t a g e i n 2 0 1 6 ?
House Senators Total
12%20%
14%
88%80%
86%
Yes No
SAMPLE:188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE
Do y o u b e l i e v e t h a t t h e H o u s e / Se n a t e w i l l v o t e a n d a p p ro v e t h e m i n i m u m w a ge de - i n d ex a t i o n i n 20 16 ?
House Senate Total
5%10% 6%
95%90% 94%
Yes No
SAMPLE:188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE
D o y o u be l i e v e t h a t t h e H o u s e / Se n a t e w i l l v o t e a n d a pp ro v e a m o re fl ex i b l e L a bo r L a w s y s t e m i n 20 16 ?
House Senate Total
45%40%
47%55%
60%53%
Yes No
SAMPLE:188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE
Do you believe that President Dilma Rousseff wil l finish her term in office?
House Senate Total
55%60% 57%
45%40% 43%
Yes No
SAMPLE:188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE
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