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Breakout session day 2 voice of industry werner de wolf

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FTTH Conference Milan 2011 Day 2
12
Improving FTTH Network Construction Speed, QoS and OPEX Werner De Wolf Managing Director EMEA, Network Solutions
Transcript

Improving FTTH Network Construction Speed, QoS and OPEX

Werner De WolfManaging Director EMEA, Network Solutions

Technology Cycles Last ~ 10 YearsEntered the next major computing cycle – Mobile Internet

Source: Morgan Stanley Research , Pictures from Computersciencelab.com, Wikipedia, Apple, Google, Amazon,

19801970 1990 2000 2010

Mainframe Computers

MicroComputers

Personal Computers

Desktop Internet

Mobile Internet

New Technology Cycle CharacteristicsEach cycle brings increased devices & network needs

Source: Morgan Stanley 2009; Estimates of Future Mobile Devices Ranges Broadly Across Industry But The General Consensus Is The Number Will Be Very Large

Mainframe Computers

MicroComputers

Personal Computers

DesktopInternet

Mobile Internet

1MM + Units 10MM + Units

100MM + Units

1B+ Units

10B+ Units ???

Drivers

•Smartphones•Tablets•Smart TVs•Car Electronics•Home Appliances•Medical Devices

•Mobile Video•Games•On Demand Video•VoIP•Social Networking•Education•Remote Healthcare

New Devices → New Use CasesOur interactions with technology are increasing

Ubiquitous, On-Demand Video

VoIP Emergency Response

Voice is transitioning to an App

Source: CES 2011 Conference Discussions, “Screen Futures” Intel Press 2010, Scenarios discussed in “National Broadband Plan”

Smart

EKG

Records

The CloudFurther enabling new usage models

Virtual Content Library

Video Music Photos Apps/Documents

Trend: Digital ConvergenceFuture waves of converged content will consume more bandwidth

Comparison of Times Spent on Information Consumption vs. Bandwidth Used

Source: “How Much Information? 2009 Report on American Consumers”, University of California, San Diego, Last Updated: January 2010

Explosive Data TrafficPowerful Devices + New Usage Models = ↑ Data Traffic

North American Consumer Data Usage Forecasts

PB /

Mon

th

CAGR (2009-2014)

117%3%

29%51%21%

103%37%21%

Wildcard Trends To Watch:

Faster adoption of:•On demand gaming•Broadcast to Ubiquitous TV•On demand 3DTV

Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2009 - 2014

New FTTH roll-out plans put more focus on …

USERS USE

EKGRecords

DEPENDENCY DATA RATE

Speed of construction

Operating cost - OPEX

Quality of Service

Market

Carrier

Trials & small scale deployment

Topology, regulatory &

CAPEX

2010 t

Importance of Speed of Construction for large scale deployment programs

Reducing planning

Reducing set-up time

Reducing labour

Ease of installation

Low Network Operating Cost becoming as vital as low CAPEX

Identification systems

Test points

Fast repair

Ease of installation

Upgradeable

Customer dependency of new value adding Services is pushing carrier QoS to the frontier

Standards

Reliability testing

Mfg. standards

Training & field support

Knowledge & experience

IECTelcordia

ITU

Thank you!

Werner De WolfManaging Director EMEA, Network Solutions


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