Date post: | 19-Mar-2017 |
Category: |
Business |
Upload: | the-entourage |
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RAIS
E CA
PITA
L
FLO
AT
MER
GE
ACQ
UIRE
SOLID BUSINESS FOUNDATIONCustomers, product to market fit, marketing, brand, team, office,
infrastructure, distribution, partners, website
ESTABLISH VALUATION
EXIT / SELL
BUSINESS OBJECTIVE
Discounted cash flow methodology:
‣ Risk
‣ Future profit potential
‣ Sector
‣ Timing
‣ Strategic value to investor or buyer
‣ “Brand”
VALUATIONS
RETAIL
12MEDIA
12
Source: ASX
FINANCE
11.3MINING
12PROPERTY
9INTERNET
22
ASX average 12 x
Private companies average 2.5 x
The value gap is called “private to public arbitrage”
PUBLIC VALUATIONS
TRADITIONAL BUSINESS PTY LTD
$500k profit
EXIT
TRADE SALE @ 2 x = $1 million
STRATEGIC SALE @ 4 x $2 million
SALE TO LISTED CO @ 6 x = $3 million
ASX IPO @ 8x = $4 million
EXIT PRICE
To achieve a higher sale price, it’s much smarter to focus on not only increased profit
but also HOW to sell and WHO to sell to.
START UP VALUATIONS – ART OR SCIENCE?
• Rule of thumb
• Simple math
• Experience
• Investor objectives
DIFFERENT TYPES OF BUSINESS = DIFFERENT LEVEL OF VALUE
• Lifestyle start-ups: work to live their passion
• Small business start-ups: work to feed the family
• Scalable start-ups: born to be big
• Buyable start-ups: Acquisition targets
• Social start-ups: driven to make a difference
KEY BASELINE MEASURES FOR ALL START UPS
1. Management: founder’s backgrounds and relevant experience
2. Market: size of market, competition, barriers to entry
3. Product/service: problem and solution, unique value proposition
4. Business model: Scalability, sales strategy, strategic relationships
“BUT THAT’S NOT FAIR!”SAID THE ENTREPRENEUR
• “I’ve already put heaps of money into this”
• “I’ve worked really hard”
• “My ‘market’ (aka friends and family) told me they love it!”
• “I just think that’s what it’s worth”
THE GAME IS IN THE NAME VALUEATION
You must be focussed on building value over anything else - don’t get distracted
IMPORTANT VARIABLESFOR EARLY STAGE VALUATIONS
1. The value of a start up is determined largely by acceptance from both parties
2. There are 2 major considerations: a) Economicsb) Control
3. Be realistic - understand your growth milestones, how much you need and how much control you are prepared to give up to get there