Building a ProfitableWind Business
Vic AbateJuly 26, 2006
GEEnergy
“This document contains "forward-looking statements" - that is, statements related to future, not past, events. In this context, forward-looking statements often address our expected future business and financial performance, and often contain words such as "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "believes," "seeks," or "will." Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For us, particular uncertainties which could adversely or positively affect our future results include: the behavior of financial markets, including fluctuations in interest rates and commodity prices; strategic actions, including dispositions; future integration of acquired businesses; future financial performance of major industries which we serve, including, without limitation, the air and rail transportation, energy generation, media, real estate and healthcare industries; unanticipated loss development in our insurance businesses; and numerous other matters of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business, competitive and regulatory nature. These uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.”
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GE Energy … Global Power Generation
• Nuclear•ABWR – ESBWR•Advanced Fuels
• Gas turbines• Aeroderivative• CC Systems
• Wind• Solar• Hydrogen
• Hydro• Biomass
• Coal – IGCC• Steam Turbines• Generators
Thermal RenewablesNuclear
• 2005 revenue $16.5B
• Over 34,000 employees
• 700 locations … over 100 countries
• ~$1.5B new technology spend ’04-’06
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• Renewables only 3% of electricity production today
• But, strong historical and projected growth … ~25% CAGR (’95 – ’13)
• Driving 39% global power sector capital spending
Global Renewable Installed Capacity (GWs)
Growing Demand for Renewables …
World Requiring Renewable Energy Solutions
179160 Wind 12GW
>50% of Growth
• US … 20 % Wind ‘20
• UK … 20% Renewables ‘20
• Germany … 20% Renewables ‘15
• EU … 12% Renewables ‘10
• China … 30 GW Wind ‘20
• Spain … 20 GW Wind ‘11
• India … 12 GW Wind ‘12 ‘05‘04
WindSolar
Biopower
Small Hydro
Geothermal
Aggressive Global Targets
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Wind … Most Viable Solution
• 20 year ‘fixed cost’electricity
• Energy security
• Domestic solution
• Carbon-free generationSource: EER - 02/’06
ROWAsia - 19%
8.1
11.8
~15.317% CAGR
Europe 4%
North America 77%
’04 ’05 ’08E
IndustryInstallation Forecast
(GWs)
Gas Coal Nuclear Wind Biomass Solar
¢ per kWhr
Capital costsFuelO&M
~4.5 ~4.0~7
~10
~36
Cost of Electricity 20 year levelized
~7
Basis: $8.00/MMBtu NG
• COE nearing mainstream
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GE TransportationGearbox and power converter technologies
GE Global Research CentersChina, India, US and Europe
GE Advanced MaterialsResins, plastics, metals…
GE Oil & GasOffshore platforms/experience
GE Energy Controls, materials, technology
Fulfillment & logistics capability
Efficient supply chain management
GE and Wind … Combining Our Strengths
GE AviationAerodynamic and aero-acoustic modeling expertise
GE Energy FinancialServicesEnergy investing and financing
Wind Product Strategy1. Highest Reliability2. Capacity Factor Leadership … Most Efficient3. Advanced Logistics
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Technology Differentiation … Core Advantage
Pitch ControlAvailability
Gearbox & Drivetrain Reliability &
efficiency
Blades Power ElectronicsGrid
operability
Utilizing GE Technology Availability
‘02 Today
97%+
85%
CoE(¢/kWh)
Technology Impact
$250MM R&D Since Acquisition
‘85 ‘90 ‘95 ‘00 ‘05 ‘100
4
8
12
Increasing wind capture
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Creating the Industry Workhorse … GE 1.5 MW
Creating customer value: $450MM since ’02 …Additional $350MM by ‘08
$450MM
97%
47
82.5
‘06
Today
97%+85%Availability %
$800MM_Additional Customer Value ($MM/GW)
>5038Capacity factor (%)
~8577Rotor Diameter (m)
‘08
Future
‘02
Acquisition
1.5 Workhorse
+12 Pts
+9 Pts
Installed Base 1000 10,000+ 55% CAGR
85 m
100
m
110
m
5000
Technology Infusion …• Reliability• High Capacity factor• Advanced Logistics
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Land Turbines Service Owner
Industry : ~70% Vertical Integration
Rotor/Blade
Gearbox ControlsGenerator TowerWTGMfg
Dev
elop
men
t
Wind Farm
Assets
War
rant
y
Part
s /
O&
M
Syst
em D
es.
Logi
stic
s
GE : ~10% Vertical Integration
High ROTC Model
Capital Efficient Growth ModelGE - Shared FacilityGE - Wind Only FacilityKey Suppliers
’04-’06Volume up 3x
P&E Flat
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Fulfillment … Changing the IndustryLean Execution
Driving quality• First piece qualifications• 20 year gearboxes• Build to print critical components
Applying Gas Turbine Operational Rigor to Wind
Expanding Supply Base
MajorSuppliers
Suppliers per Key Component
0 14 30 days 0 5 days
Mean: 14 Days
Mean: 1.6 Days
Leveraging GT tools• 2 day manufacturing cycle • Inventory turns• 90% local content in China
80%Tripled
89%
~300 in ‘06
~1 /Hour
Ensuring fulfillment• Integrated supplier LOBs• On-site audits• Global blade production
Lean commissioning
• Cycle reduction - 14 to 1.6 days
70
111
5
11‘02‘06
10
Advanced Logistics
$50MM/Year Savings Opportunity
Customer Value• Predictive cost / supplier allocation model• Firm price quote capabilities (cost & schedule)• Strategic global sourcing & production locations
Logistics Friendly 1.5 Workhorse• Rail capability ~$10-25k/unit cost out• Lowest site prep cost ~$20k/unit customer savings• Reusable double blade fixtures ~30%/unit savings
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Units ~+20%Revenue ~+30%OP Rate ~+3ptsROTC ~30%+
2.3
~3.4
0.5
'02 '05 '06E
Wind Strategy … Driving Growth & Margin
Acquired & Integrated Industry Leading Driving Value
Sales ($B)
Creating Value for Customers & Shareholders
’07Dynamics
Up 50 %
• Technology differentiation
• Operational excellence
• GE’s broad expertise
Units 440 1,580 ~2,000 Driving Growth &Op Margin Expansion
~$0.2B Margin Increase
Penetration 9% 18% ~24%
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Growth & Margin Expansion
Analyst MeetingJuly 26, 2006