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Bullwhip effect.ppt

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    SUPPLYCHAIN

    MANAGEMENT

    Copyright Macmillan Publishers India Ltd.

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    BULL WHIP EFFECT

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    CASE STUDY

    CUSTOMER ORDER TOEQUIPMENT DELIVERY:BEST PRACTICES AT XEROX

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    Bullwhip Effect

    Bullwhip effect refers to the tendency forfluctuation in demand to increase as they moveup the supply chain resulting excessive inventoryholding across network.

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    Bullwhip Effect

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    Bullwhip Effect

    Procter & Gamble (P&G) first noticed thephenomenon in the US when the company

    examined order patterns for its diaperbrand Pampers

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    Factors contributingBullwhip Effect

    The causes of the bullwhip effect that distortsinformation as it is transmitted up the chainare:

    Demand forecast updatingOrder batching

    Price fluctuationRationing and shortage gamingLead time

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    Demand forecast

    Demand Forecasting: Traditionally demandis forecasted at each level in the supply

    chain based on the preceding levelsprojections.This lead to the aggravation of

    Demand uncertainties at the highest level.

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    Lead Time

    More is the lead time more is thefluctuation.

    As lead time increases, safety stocks areincreased, and order quantities are increased.More variability.

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    Batch Ordering

    The traditional practice of Batch orderingby the retailers also fuels the Bullwhip

    effect. Batch ordering is generally done to availtransportation discounts, or reducingordering cost, or sometimes for incentives

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    Price fluctuations

    If prices to retailers fluctuate, then they may try to stock up when pricesare lower, again leading to variability.

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    Alleviating Bullwhip effect

    Centralizing Demand Forecasting Reducing Price Variability

    Strategic Partnership Reducing Lead Time

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    Centralizing DemandForecasting

    It is to provide each stage of supply chainwith complete information about the

    customer demand.

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    StrategicPartnership

    Strategic partnering (SP) is when two or more firms that have

    complementary products or services join such that each may

    realize a strategic benefit. Types of strategic partnering maybe :

    Quick response

    Vendor managed inventory (VMI)

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