Business Demography 2015

Research & Evaluation Statistical Bulletin November 2017

Research & Evaluation, Business Intelligence, Kent County Council www.kent.gov.uk/research

Business Demography 2016

Related documents

The Business Demography dataset is published annually by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and is based on output from the VAT and PAYE administrative systems. It replaced the previous data on businesses in the UK that was based on those registering for VAT only. The Business Demography dataset contains information on the births and deaths of businesses and their survival rates. The Business Demography information is not the only information on businesses published by ONS. There is also the UK Business Survey, which contains data on business by size-band and turnover. Although this is also based on combined VAT and PAYE data the counts of businesses are different. Findings: Business births have increased in Kent (+395, +4.7%)

since the previous year while they have increased in the South East Region by 0.7% and in Great Britain by 8.2%

Business deaths have increased in Kent by 13.8% since last year. The South East Region also saw an increase of 14.5%, and Great Britain 15.8%

The overall count of the number of active business is up on last year; Kent +5.2%, South East +4.3% and Great Britain +6.1%

1-year survival rates have fallen slightly since the previous year. 1 year survival rates in Kent were 90.8%, South East 90.6% and Great Britain 89.7%

UK Business Survey

Further information Research & Evaluation Business Strategy & Support Kent County Council Invicta House Maidstone Kent ME14 1XX Email: [email protected] Tel: 03000 417444


Page 1

Introduction

A new European Commission Structural Business Statistics Regulation came into force in February 2008, requiring National Statistical Institutes (NSIs) to produce statistics on business births, deaths and survival rates. These statistics will be produced using common definitions and methodology, which will ensure greater comparability across the EU. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) ‘Business Demography: Enterprise Births and Deaths’ dataset has been produced, based on this common methodology.

Previously, data on VAT registered businesses were published by the Department for Business, Enterprise and regulatory reform (BERR). The key difference between the BERR statistics and the new ONS Business Demography publication is the inclusion of PAYE registered units. Therefore the Business demography statistics additionally include the births and deaths of employing businesses, which are not VAT-registered but are PAYE registered, providing a more comprehensive view of business start-up activity. These businesses are identified in the Inter-Departmental Business Register (IDBR), ONS’ comprehensive database of UK Businesses.

The Office for National Statistics now has two sources of business survey data. In addition to the Business Demography dataset there is also the UK Business Survey. This is also based on VAT/PAYE data and is covered in a separate R&I bulletin entitled “The UK Business Survey” (see website www.kent.gov.uk/research).

The principal differences between the two datasets are that the Business Demography counts business activity during the course of the whole of the financial year, while the UK Business survey counts businesses at a fixed point in time, usually during March. This leads to higher counts of businesses in the Business Demography data.

The latest data from the Business demography dataset is for 2016 and the tables presented in this bulletin cover the period 2004-2016. The Business Demography dataset uses the term “enterprises”. For the purposes of this bulletin enterprises and business should be taken as referring to the same thing.

This bulletin is in two parts;

Part 1 looks at business births, deaths and stock.

Part 2 covers 1 and 3 year survival rates of newly formed businesses.

This bulletin will be updated in November 2018.


Page 2

Part 1 Business births, deaths and stock

Part 1 the number of business births, deaths and stock for the Kent Districts and Medway, from 2004-2016.

The data shows the impact on business creation and survival during the pre- and post- recession periods. A clearer picture is now emerging about the impact of the recession. While some areas continued to see declines in the numbers of businesses in the first years following the recession, the latest data shows that the number of births has been consistently outweighing the number of deaths over the last three years, showing encouraging signs of sustained growth.

Table 1 shows enterprise births and Chart 1 shows the data for the Kent area.

Table 2 shows enterprise deaths and Chart 2 the data for Kent.

Table 3 shows the ratio of enterprise births to deaths.

Table 4 shows the stock of active enterprises and Chart 3 shows the data for Kent.

Table 5 shows the net gain in new businesses. This is expressed as births minus deaths. This net figure is also shown as a proportion of the total stock of businesses in Chart 4.


Page 3

Table 1: Count of births of new enterprises

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 No. % No. %

UNITED KINGDOM 280,080 274,855 255,530 280,730 267,445 236,030 235,145 261,370 269,565 346,485 350,585 383,075 414,355 134,275 47.9% 31,280 8.2%

GREAT BRITAIN 274,350 269,220 249,950 274,770 261,790 232,085 230,555 257,625 265,630 341,630 345,780 377,635 408,420 134,070 48.9% 30,785 8.2%

ENGLAND AND WALES 259,975 252,285 234,880 256,605 245,565 217,360 215,025 240,685 248,245 320,090 324,545 355,910 386,150 126,175 48.5% 30,240 8.5%

ENGLAND 248,450 241,410 225,120 246,700 236,345 209,035 207,520 232,460 239,975 308,770 313,200 344,385 374,035 125,585 50.5% 29,650 8.6%

SOUTH EAST GOR 44,345 42,555 39,195 42,320 40,365 36,320 36,910 40,775 41,245 50,895 51,280 55,590 55,960 11,615 26.2% 370 0.7%

Kent County 6,940 6,470 6,265 6,785 6,170 5,445 5,380 6,190 6,325 7,745 7,680 8,335 8,730 1,790 25.8% 395 4.7% Ashford 635 590 620 685 640 515 510 580 565 705 700 715 885 250 39.4% 170 23.8% Canterbury 615 605 565 625 550 460 515 525 535 690 650 700 740 125 20.3% 40 5.7% Dartford 440 395 425 420 385 375 385 430 480 605 630 735 740 300 68.2% 5 0.7% Dover 385 350 380 335 325 290 260 345 340 440 405 395 465 80 20.8% 70 17.7% Gravesham 395 380 370 390 375 330 300 405 425 535 560 670 690 295 74.7% 20 3.0% Maidstone 890 815 705 835 705 610 640 650 760 880 920 1,020 965 75 8.4% -55 -5.4% Sevenoaks 715 625 615 800 645 575 595 725 695 850 735 890 815 100 14.0% -75 -8.4% Shepw ay 420 455 430 410 395 375 335 440 530 470 450 500 580 160 38.1% 80 16.0% Sw ale 550 550 585 550 470 445 390 475 445 560 575 650 695 145 26.4% 45 6.9% Thanet 535 470 440 490 420 360 385 400 390 535 525 545 595 60 11.2% 50 9.2% Tonbridge and Malling 640 590 550 595 585 525 490 550 545 675 715 775 770 130 20.3% -5 -0.6% Tunbridge Wells 720 645 580 650 675 585 575 665 615 800 815 740 790 70 9.7% 50 6.8%

Medw ay UA 970 980 880 890 900 740 745 875 940 1,215 1,230 1,370 1,470 500 -1.8% 100 7.3%

All numbers rounded individually.Source: Business Demography Dataset, ONSPresented by: Research & Evaluation, Kent County Council

Change2004-2015 Change 2015-2016


Page 4

Table 1 and Chart 1 both show a general trend of decline in business births between 2004 and 2010, despite gains in some areas during 2007, just prior to the start of the recession. Overall since 2010 the number of business births has grown.

The number of business births has increased in all Kent districts in recent years, however there were fewer new enterprises being created fell in Maidstone, Sevenoaks and Tonbridge and Malling districts in 2016 than the previous year.

Chart 1: Enterprise births 2004-2016

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Enterprise births in Kent 2004‐2016

Source: Office for National StatisticsPrepared by: Research & Evaluation, Kent County Council


Page 5

Table 2: Count of deaths of enterprises

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 No. % No. %

UNITED KINGDOM 243,615 228,155 207,125 223,600 222,560 277,435 248,595 229,525 252,400 237,235 246,480 282,865 327,775 84,160 34.5% 44,910 15.9%

GREAT BRITAIN 239,705 224,580 203,350 219,840 218,380 272,265 243,405 224,745 247,275 232,315 242,080 278,575 322,460 82,755 34.5% 43,885 15.8%

ENGLAND AND WALES 224,985 210,920 190,755 207,820 205,385 257,180 228,220 210,775 230,730 217,465 226,460 260,240 301,480 76,495 34.0% 41,240 15.8%

ENGLAND 215,995 202,210 182,800 199,300 196,695 247,150 219,030 202,365 221,780 209,215 217,930 250,585 291,145 75,150 34.8% 40,560 16.2%

SOUTH EAST GOR 39,280 36,345 32,660 35,090 33,790 42,550 38,285 35,855 39,000 36,695 36,770 42,325 48,480 9,200 23.4% 6,155 14.5%

Kent County 5,750 5,800 5,110 5,680 5,390 6,340 5,870 5,580 6,025 5,875 5,700 6,435 7,325 1,575 27.4% 890 13.8% Ashford 525 610 450 510 530 635 635 610 600 605 525 615 670 145 27.6% 55 8.9% Canterbury 495 535 430 550 505 550 485 505 510 535 525 615 620 125 25.3% 5 0.8% Dartford 375 310 315 345 345 400 365 325 385 350 390 435 495 120 32.0% 60 13.8% Dover 345 375 250 305 310 360 300 285 315 345 320 365 385 40 11.6% 20 5.5% Gravesham 360 370 310 375 325 385 350 335 380 345 375 450 460 100 27.8% 10 2.2% Maidstone 655 690 660 665 650 785 660 660 700 660 695 735 895 240 36.6% 160 21.8% Sevenoaks 565 580 560 545 495 650 585 620 640 620 570 660 765 200 35.4% 105 15.9% Shepw ay 400 440 320 385 375 430 390 360 445 385 370 420 520 120 30.0% 100 23.8% Sw ale 440 430 455 540 470 540 500 445 475 410 390 475 490 50 11.4% 15 3.2% Thanet 470 440 335 425 375 415 440 400 425 400 395 395 490 20 4.3% 95 24.1% Tonbridge and Malling 485 490 455 465 480 575 535 450 515 510 480 570 675 190 39.2% 105 18.4% Tunbridge Wells 635 530 570 570 530 615 625 585 635 710 665 700 860 225 35.4% 160 22.9%

Medw ay UA 835 750 835 865 780 895 795 715 875 750 885 955 1,080 245 -1.6% 125 13.1%


Change2004-2016 Change 2015-2016


Page 6

Table 2 shows the number of business deaths from 2004-2016. It shows that over the last year, there has been an increase in the number of enterprise deaths in all Kent districts. The number of enterprise deaths has increased rapidly over the last two years and in 2016 Kent saw more businesses fail than in 2009 (mid recession).

Chart 2 shows the number of business deaths in Kent between 2004 and 2015.

Chart 2: Business Deaths 2004-2016

Table 3 shows the ratio of business births to deaths, over the period 2004 to 2016. A ratio of births to deaths above 1.0 means that there has been more enterprise births than deaths.

The table clearly shows the post recession effects between 2009 and 2012. The ratio of births to deaths made a significant recovery in 2013 which was largely maintained into 2015. However in 2016, while the number of enterprise births in Kent is still greater than the number of deaths the ratio has fallen to its lowest level in four years.

In 2016 all Kent districts except one had enterprise birth to death ratios greater than 1.0, meaning that the number of enterprise births was greater than the number of enterprise deaths. Tunbridge Wells is the only district in Kent to see more enterprise deaths than new births.

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Enterprise deaths in Kent 2004‐2016



Page 7

Table 3: Ratio of enterprise births to deaths

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

UNITED KINGDOM 1.15 1.20 1.23 1.26 1.20 0.85 0.95 1.14 1.07 1.46 1.42 1.35 1.26

GREAT BRITAIN 1.14 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.20 0.85 0.95 1.15 1.07 1.47 1.43 1.36 1.27

ENGLAND AND WALES 1.16 1.20 1.23 1.23 1.20 0.85 0.94 1.14 1.08 1.47 1.43 1.37 1.28

ENGLAND 1.15 1.19 1.23 1.24 1.20 0.85 0.95 1.15 1.08 1.48 1.44 1.37 1.28

SOUTH EAST GOR 1.13 1.17 1.20 1.21 1.19 0.85 0.96 1.14 1.06 1.39 1.39 1.31 1.15

Kent County 1.21 1.12 1.23 1.19 1.14 0.86 0.92 1.11 1.05 1.32 1.35 1.30 1.19 Ashford 1.21 0.97 1.38 1.34 1.21 0.81 0.80 0.95 0.94 1.17 1.33 1.16 1.32 Canterbury 1.24 1.13 1.31 1.14 1.09 0.84 1.06 1.04 1.05 1.29 1.24 1.14 1.19 Dartford 1.17 1.27 1.35 1.22 1.12 0.94 1.05 1.32 1.25 1.73 1.62 1.69 1.49 Dover 1.12 0.93 1.52 1.10 1.05 0.81 0.87 1.21 1.08 1.28 1.27 1.08 1.21 Gravesham 1.10 1.03 1.19 1.04 1.15 0.86 0.86 1.21 1.12 1.55 1.49 1.49 1.50 Maidstone 1.36 1.18 1.07 1.26 1.08 0.78 0.97 0.98 1.09 1.33 1.32 1.39 1.08 Sevenoaks 1.27 1.08 1.10 1.47 1.30 0.88 1.02 1.17 1.09 1.37 1.29 1.35 1.07 Shepw ay 1.05 1.03 1.34 1.06 1.05 0.87 0.86 1.22 1.19 1.22 1.22 1.19 1.12 Sw ale 1.25 1.28 1.29 1.02 1.00 0.82 0.78 1.07 0.94 1.37 1.47 1.37 1.42 Thanet 1.14 1.07 1.31 1.15 1.12 0.87 0.88 1.00 0.92 1.34 1.33 1.38 1.21 Tonbridge and Malling 1.32 1.20 1.21 1.28 1.22 0.91 0.92 1.22 1.06 1.32 1.49 1.36 1.14 Tunbridge Wells 1.13 1.22 1.02 1.14 1.27 0.95 0.92 1.14 0.97 1.13 1.23 1.06 0.92

Medw ay UA 1.16 1.31 1.05 1.03 1.15 0.83 0.94 1.22 1.07 1.62 1.39 1.43 1.36

A ratio less than 1 indicates that the number of deaths is greater than the number of births. Source: Business Demography Dataset, ONSPresented by: Research & Evaluation, Kent County Council


Page 8

Table 4: Count of active enterprises

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 No. % No. %

UNITED KINGDOM 2,158,555 2,182,750 2,207,290 2,280,215 2,325,770 2,341,900 2,351,425 2,342,595 2,372,960 2,448,745 2,550,890 2,672,025 2,833,965 675,410 31.3% 161,940 6.1%

GREAT BRITAIN 2,106,730 2,129,255 2,151,845 2,222,555 2,265,740 2,282,200 2,292,440 2,285,225 2,316,705 2,392,965 2,495,650 2,615,965 2,775,940 669,210 31.8% 159,975 6.1%

ENGLAND AND WALES 1,971,475 1,992,270 2,013,285 2,078,350 2,116,730 2,131,275 2,136,745 2,129,570 2,158,385 2,230,735 2,327,790 2,443,075 2,597,505 626,030 31.8% 154,430 6.3%

ENGLAND 1,885,265 1,904,490 1,924,485 1,987,590 2,024,990 2,040,150 2,046,310 2,040,980 2,070,400 2,140,985 2,235,345 2,348,065 2,499,060 613,795 32.6% 150,995 6.4%

SOUTH EAST GOR 353,770 355,905 357,215 366,680 372,810 375,595 377,315 376,380 380,620 389,710 403,070 420,275 438315 84,545 23.9% 18,040 4.3%

Kent County 52,675 53,285 53,705 55,375 56,020 56,100 56,305 56,310 56,775 58,265 59,815 62,415 65645 12,970 24.6% 3,230 5.2% Ashford 4,875 4,935 4,935 5,175 5,400 5,400 5,435 5,360 5,340 5,415 5,490 5,690 6095 1,220 25.0% 405 7.1% Canterbury 4,725 4,820 4,850 5,045 5,045 5,030 5,095 5,105 5,110 5,280 5,405 5,560 5745 1,020 21.6% 185 3.3% Dartford 2,970 2,980 3,095 3,210 3,250 3,280 3,340 3,365 3,495 3,680 3,930 4,270 4655 1,685 56.7% 385 9.0% Dover 3,085 3,085 3,095 3,175 3,170 3,140 3,100 3,115 3,180 3,305 3,345 3,390 3565 480 15.6% 175 5.2% Gravesham 3,005 3,010 3,010 3,090 3,085 3,100 3,095 3,135 3,225 3,365 3,585 3,925 4230 1,225 40.8% 305 7.8% Maidstone 6,410 6,545 6,550 6,715 6,735 6,770 6,720 6,685 6,760 6,885 7,080 7,410 7755 1,345 21.0% 345 4.7% Sevenoaks 5,940 5,980 6,030 6,260 6,370 6,385 6,490 6,565 6,585 6,730 6,745 7,010 7190 1,250 21.0% 180 2.6% Shepw ay 3,405 3,440 3,425 3,525 3,585 3,565 3,535 3,575 3,690 3,675 3,735 3,855 4080 675 19.8% 225 5.8% Sw ale 4,225 4,350 4,490 4,585 4,485 4,460 4,410 4,350 4,330 4,405 4,545 4,780 5085 860 20.4% 305 6.4% Thanet 3,490 3,495 3,495 3,650 3,625 3,630 3,675 3,580 3,565 3,655 3,775 3,935 4210 720 20.6% 275 7.0% Tonbridge and Malling 4,810 4,905 4,955 5,090 5,280 5,295 5,235 5,250 5,285 5,410 5,595 5,875 6095 1,285 26.7% 220 3.7% Tunbridge Wells 5,735 5,740 5,775 5,855 5,990 6,045 6,175 6,225 6,210 6,460 6,585 6,715 6940 1,205 21.0% 225 3.4%

Medw ay UA 7,080 7,200 7,340 7,385 7,365 7,320 7,365 7,340 7,510 7,780 8,225 8,765 9,415 2,335 1.0% 650 7.4%


Change2004-2016 Change 2015-2016


Page 9

Table 4 shows the change in the number of active enterprises (business stock) over the period 2004-2016.

The table shows that over the period 2004 to 2016, the growth in the number of active businesses in Great Britain was 31.8%. The equivalent figure for Kent was 24.6% and The South East as a whole 23.9% per annum. Within Kent all districts saw growth in the number of active enterprises since 2004. The highest growth can be seen in Dartford (+56.7%). Dover district saw the least growth (+15.6%).

Over the last year (2015-2016) there has been a high rate of growth in the number of active enterprises nationally (6.1%). The South East (+4.3%) and Kent (+5.2%) have both seen an increase in the number of active enterprises.

All areas of Kent have seen growth in the number of active enterprises over the last year. Ashford (+7.1%), Dartford (+9.0%), Gravesham (+7.8%), Swale (+6.4%) and Thanet (+7.0%) have seen growth above the national, regional and county average.

Chart 3: Active Enterprises 2004-2016

In terms of the total number of active businesses, there has been little change in each districts position relative to one another, with the exception of Dartford’s gradual improvement over the entire time-series relative to is nearest neighbours.

Table 5 shows the net gain in new enterprises. Overall Kent saw a net gain of 1,405 enterprises in 2016. This gain accounts for 2.1% of all active

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Count of active enterprises in Kent 2004‐2016



Page 10

enterprises in the county. A gain was seen in all districts in Kent except Tunbridge Wells.

Table 5: Net gain in new enterprises, 2016

Dartford district saw the biggest net gain of 245 enterprises which accounted for 5.3% of the active enterprises in the district.

Chart 4: Net loss/gain in enterprises in Kent, 2004-2016

2016 Births Deaths Net Gain Active

Net gain as % of active enterprises

UNITED KINGDOM 414,355 327,775 86,580 2,833,965 3.1%

GREAT BRITAIN 408,420 322,460 85,960 2,775,940 3.1%

ENGLAND AND WALES 386,150 301,480 84,670 2,597,505 3.3%

ENGLAND 374,035 291,145 82,890 2,499,060 3.3%

SOUTH EAST GOR 55,960 48,480 7,480 438,315 1.7%

Kent County 8,730 7,325 1,405 65,645 2.1% Ashford 885 670 215 6,095 3.5% Canterbury 740 620 120 5,745 2.1% Dartford 740 495 245 4,655 5.3% Dover 465 385 80 3,565 2.2% Gravesham 690 460 230 4,230 5.4% Maidstone 965 895 70 7,755 0.9% Sevenoaks 815 765 50 7,190 0.7% Shepw ay 580 520 60 4,080 1.5% Sw ale 695 490 205 5,085 4.0% Thanet 595 490 105 4,210 2.5% Tonbridge and Malling 770 675 95 6,095 1.6% Tunbridge Wells 790 860 -70 6,940 -1.0%

Medw ay UA 1,470 1,080 390 9,415 4.1%

Source: Business Demography Dataset, ONSPresented by: Research & Evaluation, Kent County Council

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Page 11

Part 2 – survival rates

Survival rate data looks at the annual survival rates for newly born businesses for the first 5 years of their existence. So, it is possible to look at survival rates for each of the first five years of a newly created business.

One year survival rates One year survival rates for newly formed businesses in Kent are presented in chart 5.

In 2016 one year business survival rates in Kent (90.8%) were higher than the national (89.7%) and the regional (90.6%) rates.

One year survival rates have fallen in all areas over the last two years.

Chart 5: 1 year business survival rates in Kent

Table 6 looks at one-year survival rates for businesses formed in each year 2004 to 2015, to show how the level of first-year survivors has changed over time.

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Survival rate

Year of business birth

1‐year business survival rates in Kent



Page 12

Table 6: First year survival rates of newly born enterprises

Chart 6 summarises 1-year survival rates for Great Britain, the South East and Kent. It shows that while survival rates have fallen over the last two years, Kent still maintains higher survival rates than the South East and Great Britain. Chart 6: 1 year survival rates in Great Britain, the South East and Kent

DISTRICT, COUNTIES AND UNITARY AUTHORITIES WITHIN REGION AND COUNTRY by BIRTHS OF UNITS IN 2004-2015 AND THEIR FIRST-YEAR SURVIVAL

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20151 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent1 Year

per cent

UNITED KINGDOM 94.2 94.3 96.5 95.4 92.0 90.8 86.7 93.1 91.2 93.5 92.2 89.7

GREAT BRITAIN 94.2 94.3 96.5 95.4 92.2 90.9 86.7 93.1 91.2 93.6 92.2 89.7

ENGLAND AND WALES 94.2 94.3 96.5 95.4 92.2 90.9 86.8 93.1 91.2 93.5 92.2 89.7

ENGLAND 94.2 94.3 96.5 95.4 92.1 90.9 86.8 93.1 91.1 93.5 92.2 89.6

SOUTH EAST GOR 94.5 94.7 97.0 96.2 93.2 91.6 87.9 93.6 91.1 94.0 93.2 90.6

Kent County 93.9 92.4 96.0 95.7 94.0 91.8 88.2 92.4 90.0 94.3 93.6 90.8 Ashford 96.1 89.0 96.0 102.9 93.8 93.2 88.2 93.1 90.3 93.6 94.3 88.1 Canterbury 92.7 89.3 95.6 92.0 96.3 90.2 88.3 93.3 94.4 94.9 93.1 92.1 Dartford 94.3 93.7 97.6 97.6 92.2 92 85.7 95.3 91.7 95.0 95.2 91.2 Dover 90.9 90.0 94.7 92.5 93.9 96.6 88.5 92.8 92.6 96.6 91.4 91.1 Gravesham 92.4 90.8 97.3 98.7 96.0 93.9 91.7 95.1 91.8 95.3 95.5 91.8 Maidstone 93.8 93.3 94.3 94.0 95.7 92.6 89.1 94.6 92.8 94.9 94.0 93.1 Sevenoaks 95.1 95.2 96.7 93.1 92.2 92.2 87.4 93.8 92.1 92.4 91.8 89.9 Shepw ay 94.0 89.0 95.3 96.3 93.7 86.7 86.6 72.7 67.0 90.4 90.0 86.0 Sw ale 95.5 93.6 95.7 92.7 93.6 91 88.5 94.7 92.1 96.4 94.8 92.3 Thanet 90.7 91.5 95.5 94.9 95.2 91.7 88.3 95.0 93.6 96.3 93.3 91.7 Tonbridge and Malling 96.1 96.6 96.4 100.0 94.0 89.5 88.8 91.8 91.7 93.3 94.4 88.4 Tunbridge Wells 93.8 94.6 97.4 93.8 91.9 93.2 87.8 94.0 90.2 93.8 93.3 91.9

Medw ay UA 93.8 94.9 96.6 93.3 93.9 93.2 91.3 95.4 91.5 94.7 93.9 92.0


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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Survival rate


Comparison of 1‐year survival rates

Great Britain

South East

KCC Area



Page 13

Chart 7 shows the range of one year survival rates in Kent. The chart shows that normally one year survival rates within Kent do not differ greatly between the highest and lowest survival rates. During 2011 and 2012 one year survival rates ranged anywhere between 67.0% and 95.3%, they settled somewhat in the following two years. Over the last year the proportion of enterprises born in 2015 that survived their first year of trading has fallen and the one year survival rates in Kent now range between 93.1% and 86%.

Chart 7

Three year survival rates Three year survival rates for businesses in Kent are presented in chart 8.

At 62.4% three year business survival rates in Kent are above the national rate (60.9%) but below the regional rate (63.2%).

The number of Kent enterprises surviving three years following their birth fell continuously between 2009 and 2013. In 2016 the 3 year survival rate increased to its highest level for six years. These enterprises would have been formed as the country was starting to recover from the recent recession.

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Page 14


Table 7 looks at three-year survival rates for businesses formed in each year 2002 to 2013, to show how the level of three-year survivors has changed over time.

Table 7: Three year survival rates of newly born enterprises

Chart 9 summarises 3-year survival rates for Great Britain, the South East and Kent.

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Survival rate

3‐year business survival rates in Kent


2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

(born 2002) (born 2003) (born 2004) (born 2005) (born 2006) (born 2007) (born 2008) (born 2009) (born 2010) (born 2011) (born 2012) (born 2013)3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent3 Year

per cent

UNITED KINGDOM 62.9 63.6 65.3 64.7 66.2 63.0 58.0 59.6 57.1 60.5 59.4 60.8

GREAT BRITAIN 62.8 63.5 65.2 64.6 66.1 63.0 58.2 59.7 57.1 60.5 59.4 60.9

ENGLAND AND WALES 62.7 63.5 65.3 64.6 66.1 62.9 58.0 59.7 57.1 60.4 59.2 60.8

ENGLAND 62.7 63.5 65.2 64.6 66.2 62.9 57.9 59.7 57.1 60.4 59.2 60.8

SOUTH EAST GOR 66.1 66.3 66.9 67.4 68.8 66.1 61.4 61.9 59.5 62.4 61.1 63.2

Kent County 66.5 65.6 66.6 63.4 65.1 63.8 60.5 60.3 58.4 60.3 59.6 62.4 Ashford 64.3 65.1 70.9 62.2 68.0 74.0 57.0 63.1 56.9 59.5 58.4 61.0 Canterbury 65.4 64.5 68.3 62.2 64.1 59.5 64.2 58.7 56.3 61.9 62.6 60.1 Dartford 66.7 63.8 64.8 60.2 63.8 60.7 59.7 54.7 49.4 62.8 62.5 59.5 Dover 60.3 63.5 61.0 61.7 61.8 60.9 59.1 63.8 53.8 55.1 55.9 59.1 Gravesham 62.9 62.5 63.3 60.8 59.2 65.4 60.0 60.6 56.7 61.7 61.2 58.9 Maidstone 68.3 68.0 68.0 64.0 67.0 62.4 62.4 65.6 61.7 63.1 62.5 65.3 Sevenoaks 67.5 66.2 67.8 67.3 70.3 64.8 59.7 64.3 63.9 62.1 61.9 64.7 Shepw ay 65.5 62.0 60.7 60.4 61.4 58.8 55.7 52.0 56.7 46.6 42.5 59.6 Sw ale 69.3 67.7 67.3 61.3 57.7 60.5 55.3 57.3 62.8 61.1 61.8 67.0 Thanet 57.8 58.9 59.8 61.9 63.4 60.4 59.5 54.2 54.5 58.8 59.0 59.8 Tonbridge and Malling 67.0 69.8 69.5 66.4 70.4 67.4 65.0 59.0 60.2 63.6 60.6 62.2 Tunbridge Wells 74.3 69.0 69.4 68.0 68.6 65.2 63.7 64.1 60 62.4 63.4 66.3

Medw ay UA 64.0 67.0 62.9 62.5 66.3 61.6 56.7 61.5 61.7 60.6 58.0 61.3



Page 15

Chart 9: 3 year survival rates in Great Britain, the South East and Kent

Chart 10 shows the range of three year survival rates in Kent. Generally three year survival rates within Kent do not differ greatly between the highest and lowest survival rates. Rates have increased over the last four years in Kent although they have yet to return to their pre recession levels.


The following tables present the 1,2,3,4 and 5 year survival rates for businesses born between 2011 and 2015.

50.0

52.0

54.0

56.0

58.0

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

(born 2002)

(born 2003)

(born 2004)

(born 2005)

(born 2006)

(born 2007)

(born 2008)

(born 2009)

(born 2010)

(born 2011)

(born 2012)

(born 2013)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Survival rate

Comparison of 3‐year survival rates

Great Britain

South East

Kent


40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

(born 2002)

(born 2003)

(born 2004)

(born 2005)

(born 2006)

(born 2007)

(born 2008)

(born 2009)

(born 2010)

(born 2011)

(born 2012)

(born 2013)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Survival rate

Simplified 3‐year survial rate range



Page 16

Table 8: Survival rates of enterprises born in 2011

DISTRICT, COUNTIES AND UNITARY AUTHORITIES WITHIN REGION AND COUNTRY by BIRTHS OF UNITS IN 2011 AND THEIR SURVIVAL

Births1 Year

Survival1 Year

per cent2 Year

Survival2 Year

per cent3 Year

Survival3 Year

per cent4 Year

Survival4 Year

per cent5 Year

Survival5 Year

per cent

UNITED KINGDOM 261,370 243,340 93.1 197,515 75.6 158,140 60.5 133,260 51.0 115,240 44.1

GREAT BRITAIN 257,625 239,965 93.1 194,760 75.6 155,920 60.5 131,325 51.0 113,515 44.1

ENGLAND AND WALES 240,685 224,060 93.1 181,610 75.5 145,290 60.4 122,305 50.8 105,795 44.0

ENGLAND 232,460 216,315 93.1 175,405 75.5 140,350 60.4 118,170 50.8 102,240 44.0

SOUTH EAST GOR 40,775 38,150 93.6 31,470 77.2 25,440 62.4 21,610 53.0 18,765 46.0

Kent County 6,190 5,720 92.4 4,710 76.1 3,735 60.3 3,125 50.5 2,715 43.9 Ashford 580 540 93.1 440 75.9 345 59.5 295 50.9 265 45.7 Canterbury 525 490 93.3 415 79.0 325 61.9 275 52.4 235 44.8 Dartford 430 410 95.3 335 77.9 270 62.8 220 51.2 190 44.2 Dover 345 320 92.8 255 73.9 190 55.1 155 44.9 130 37.7 Gravesham 405 385 95.1 315 77.8 250 61.7 205 50.6 180 44.4 Maidstone 650 615 94.6 510 78.5 410 63.1 330 50.8 285 43.8 Sevenoaks 725 680 93.8 570 78.6 450 62.1 380 52.4 330 45.5 Shepw ay 440 320 72.7 255 58.0 205 46.6 175 39.8 155 35.2 Sw ale 475 450 94.7 350 73.7 290 61.1 250 52.6 215 45.3 Thanet 400 380 95.0 310 77.5 235 58.8 190 47.5 170 42.5 Tonbridge and Malling 550 505 91.8 430 78.2 350 63.6 295 53.6 245 44.5 Tunbridge Wells 665 625 94.0 525 78.9 415 62.4 355 53.4 315 47.4

Medw ay UA 875 835 95.4 665 76.0 530 60.6 445 50.9 400 45.7



Page 17



Births1 Year

Survival1 Year

per cent2 Year

Survival2 Year

per cent3 Year

Survival3 Year

per cent4 Year

Survival4 Year

per cent5 Year

Survival5 Year

per cent269,565 245,825 91.2 199,065 73.8 160,005 59.4 135,775 50.37

UNITED KINGDOM .. ..

265,630 242,270 91.2 196,355 73.9 157,770 59.4 133,785 50.37GREAT BRITAIN .. ..

248,245 226,315 91.2 183,155 73.8 146,990 59.2 124,730 50.24ENGLAND AND WALES .. ..

239,975 218,685 91.1 176,950 73.7 141,995 59.2 120,485 50.21ENGLAND .. ..

SOUTH EAST GOR 41,245 37,575 91.1 30,890 74.9 25,205 61.1 21,475 52.07 .. ..

Kent County 6,325 5,690 90.0 4,630 73.2 3,770 59.6 3,230 51.1 .. .. Ashford 565 510 90.3 405 71.7 330 58.4 275 48.7 .. .. Canterbury 535 505 94.4 400 74.8 335 62.6 290 54.2 .. .. Dartford 480 440 91.7 375 78.1 300 62.5 265 55.2 .. .. Dover 340 315 92.6 245 72.1 190 55.9 155 45.6 .. .. Gravesham 425 390 91.8 315 74.1 260 61.2 225 52.9 .. .. Maidstone 760 705 92.8 590 77.6 475 62.5 410 53.9 .. .. Sevenoaks 695 640 92.1 530 76.3 430 61.9 370 53.2 .. .. Shepw ay 530 355 67.0 285 53.8 225 42.5 185 34.9 .. .. Sw ale 445 410 92.1 340 76.4 275 61.8 225 50.6 .. .. Thanet 390 365 93.6 285 73.1 230 59.0 205 52.6 .. .. Tonbridge and Malling 545 500 91.7 400 73.4 330 60.6 285 52.3 .. .. Tunbridge Wells 615 555 90.2 460 74.8 390 63.4 340 55.3 .. ..

Medw ay UA 940 860 91.5 700 74.5 545 58.0 475 50.5 .. ..



Page 18



Births1 Year

Survival1 Year

per cent2 Year

Survival2 Year

per cent3 Year

Survival3 Year

per cent4 Year

Survival4 Year

per cent5 Year

Survival5 Year

per cent

UNITED KINGDOM 346,485 323,810 93.5 259,995 75.0 210,805 60.8 .. .. .. ..

GREAT BRITAIN 341,630 319,615 93.6 256,740 75.2 208,055 60.9 .. .. .. ..

ENGLAND AND WALES 320,090 299,365 93.5 240,230 75.1 194,675 60.8 .. .. .. ..

ENGLAND 308,770 288,765 93.5 231,765 75.1 187,815 60.8 .. .. .. ..

SOUTH EAST GOR 50,895 47,835 94.0 39,150 76.9 32,165 63.2 .. .. .. ..

Kent County 7,745 7,305 94.3 5,980 77.2 4,830 62.4 .. .. .. .. Ashford 705 660 93.6 525 74.5 430 61.0 .. .. .. .. Canterbury 690 655 94.9 525 76.1 415 60.1 .. .. .. .. Dartford 605 575 95.0 465 76.9 360 59.5 .. .. .. .. Dover 440 425 96.6 335 76.1 260 59.1 .. .. .. .. Gravesham 535 510 95.3 410 76.6 315 58.9 .. .. .. .. Maidstone 880 835 94.9 685 77.8 575 65.3 .. .. .. .. Sevenoaks 850 785 92.4 680 80.0 550 64.7 .. .. .. .. Shepw ay 470 425 90.4 345 73.4 280 59.6 .. .. .. .. Sw ale 560 540 96.4 460 82.1 375 67.0 .. .. .. .. Thanet 535 515 96.3 405 75.7 320 59.8 .. .. .. .. Tonbridge and Malling 675 630 93.3 510 75.6 420 62.2 .. .. .. .. Tunbridge Wells 800 750 93.8 635 79.4 530 66.3 .. .. .. ..

Medw ay UA 1,215 1,150 94.7 925 76.1 745 61.3 .. .. .. ..



Page 19



Births1 Year

Survival1 Year

per cent2 Year

Survival2 Year

per cent3 Year

Survival3 Year

per cent4 Year

Survival4 Year

per cent5 Year

Survival5 Year

per cent

UNITED KINGDOM 350,585 323,105 92.2 265,535 75.7 .. .. .. .. .. ..

GREAT BRITAIN 345,780 318,975 92.2 262,190 75.8 .. .. .. .. .. ..

ENGLAND AND WALES 324,545 299,355 92.2 246,020 75.8 .. .. .. .. .. ..

ENGLAND 313,200 288,870 92.2 237,490 75.8 .. .. .. .. .. ..

SOUTH EAST GOR 51,280 47,775 93.2 39,900 77.8 .. .. .. .. .. ..

Kent County 7,680 7,185 93.6 5,960 77.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. Ashford 700 660 94.3 550 78.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. Canterbury 650 605 93.1 485 74.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. Dartford 630 600 95.2 500 79.4 .. .. .. .. .. .. Dover 405 370 91.4 295 72.8 .. .. .. .. .. .. Gravesham 560 535 95.5 450 80.4 .. .. .. .. .. .. Maidstone 920 865 94.0 730 79.3 .. .. .. .. .. .. Sevenoaks 735 675 91.8 570 77.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. Shepw ay 450 405 90.0 335 74.4 .. .. .. .. .. .. Sw ale 575 545 94.8 460 80.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. Thanet 525 490 93.3 395 75.2 .. .. .. .. .. .. Tonbridge and Malling 715 675 94.4 565 79.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. Tunbridge Wells 815 760 93.3 625 76.7 .. .. .. .. .. ..

Medw ay UA 1,230 1,155 93.9 925 75.2 .. .. .. .. .. ..



Page 20



Births1 Year

Survival1 Year

per cent2 Year

Survival2 Year

per cent3 Year

Survival3 Year

per cent4 Year

Survival4 Year

per cent5 Year

Survival5 Year

per cent

UNITED KINGDOM 383,075 343,520 89.7 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

GREAT BRITAIN 377,635 338,720 89.7 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

ENGLAND AND WALES 355,910 319,155 89.7 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

ENGLAND 344,385 308,685 89.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

SOUTH EAST GOR 55,590 50,385 90.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

Kent County 8,335 7,565 90.8 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Ashford 715 630 88.1 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Canterbury 700 645 92.1 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Dartford 735 670 91.2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Dover 395 360 91.1 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Gravesham 670 615 91.8 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Maidstone 1,020 950 93.1 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Sevenoaks 890 800 89.9 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Shepw ay 500 430 86.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Sw ale 650 600 92.3 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Thanet 545 500 91.7 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tonbridge and Malling 775 685 88.4 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tunbridge Wells 740 680 91.9 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

Medw ay UA 1,370 1,260 92.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..


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Business Demography 2015

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