Climate Change

Energy models – Webinar Introduction

22 May 2019

Alberto Troccoli and the C3S Energy Team

C3S Energy Operational Service

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C3S Energy Operat ional Ser v ice – the Precursors

http://c4e-visu.ipsl.upmc.fr/

http://ecem.wemcouncil.org

M ay 2 0 1 8 A p r 2 0 1 9 A p r 2 0 2 0

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The Consort ium

• World Energy & Meteorology Council (WEMC, UK)

• Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives

(CEA, France)

• Météo-France (MF, France)

• Électricité de France (EDF, France)

• Met Office (MO, UK)

• Association pour la recherche et le développement des méthodes

et processus industriels (ARMINES, France)

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C3S Energy Rat ionale

• Developing a Climate Service with and for Energy Industry

stakeholders. This means:

i. Not just capacity factors but W, MWh, MJ, etc. – so we can also

easily compare demand with supply

ii. Continue bridging the communication gap between climate and

energy, and involve a wider community in the conversation –

policy makers, strategists, but also students

iii. Strengthen the knowledge of climate scientists interested in

energy issues

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S t r e a m s , C l i m a t e d a t a s o u r c e s a n d I n d i c a t o r s

1. Historical: ERA 5 (1979-present, no bias adjustment)

2. Seasonal Forecasts: C3S systems (ECMWF, M-F and MO)

3. Projections: Euro-Cordex (12 models)

Climate Indicators: Temperature, Precipitation, Solar Radiation,

Wind Speed, Mean Sea Level Pressure

Energy Indicators: Electricity demand, Hydropower (run of river

& reservoir), Solar Power (PV) and Wind Power (on- & off-shore)

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C3S Energy Wor kf low

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Agenda – 09:00-10:00 UTC

1. Electricity demand modelDr Laurent Dubus (EDF R&D, FR)

2. Solar power generation modelDr Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan (MINES ParisTech, FR)

3. Hydro-power and Wind power modelsDr Laurent Dubus (EDF R&D, FR)

4. Question and answer session

Webinar Chair:Prof. Alberto Troccoli (WEMC/UEA)

The webinar is recorded and will be available online: Enjoy the webinar!

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Your Quest ions

• AAA

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Upcoming webinars

3. 5th July 2019 – Seasonal Forecasts for Energy

– Bias adjustment and forecast skill

4. Sept 2019 (Date TBC) – Climate projections for Energy

– Bias adjustment and projection assessment

Recording available at:

T h a n k y o u f o r y o u r a t t e n t i o n

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C3S Energy webinars

• The World Energy & Meteorology Council (WEMC) and the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on behalf of the European Union, are launching a new series of webinars, aimed at sharing information and knowledge from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Energy project.

• The first webinar in the series will focus on how the C3S Climate Data Store is used to obtain datasets for building energy indicators. It will also cover how climate data are used and the potential use of the Climate Data Store (CDS) and its Toolbox.

• This webinar is beneficial for sectoral end users, policy-makers, climate scientists, climate students or those in related fields who want to acquire additional skills.