March 2017
Investor Presentation
Content
A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX
E&P
Midstream & Downstream
Financial Outlook of PEMEX
2016 Results
1
1
Mexico Snapshot
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP per Capita, PPP USD thousand
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
LATAM0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Foreign Direct Investment, Net Inflows USD billion
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
LATAM
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Unemployment % of total labor force
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
LATAM0
2
4
6
8
10
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Inflation %
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
LATAM
• Today, Mexico’s fundamentals are stronger, allowing to face external shocks in a better
position
Source : The World Bank Group. 2
Mexico’s Revenues Diversification
3
20.9%
4.1%
0
5
10
15
20
25
1989
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
Non Oil Revenues Oil Revenues
Public Sector Revenues1
% of GDP
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1980
1983
1986
1988
1991
1993
1996
1999
2001
2004
2006
2009
2011
2014
Oil Agriculture Mining Manufacturing
90%
Mexican Exports by Economic Sector2
% of GDP
1 Source: Mexican Ministry of Finance
2 Source: INEGI
• Since 1989, average oil revenues, as a percentage of total, represented approximately
29%. Today, Mexico has become less dependent on oil revenues, accounting 16% of total
revenues in 2016
• The manufacturing sector has offset oil exports
Mexican Crude Oil Basket Price
4
4
0
50
100
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
Mexican Crude Oil Basket1
USD/b Mexican Mix
Average
USD 56.4
-71% -68%
-48% -45% -40% -37% -35% -30% -29% -27%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
1 Source: PEMEX 2016
2 Source: Wood Mackenzie, May 2016; for PEMEX it includes cuts in investment in the whole company, not only in PEMEX Exploration and
Production.
CAPEX Reductions within the O&G Industry
2014 - 20162
%
• Mexico has decreased its reliance on oil revenues, as the public sector is adjusting its cost
structure to the new oil price scenario
PEMEX has taken extraordinary measures to adapt its corporate governance and structure in the shortest time possible
• According to Art. 27, it is within the Nation’s
domain to exploit all national resources:
• crude oil; and
• all solid, liquid or gas hydrocarbons
Constitution Regulatory Law
• According to Art. 4, the Nation will conduct through
Petróleos Mexicanos and its Subsidiary Entities:
• the exploration and explotation of crude oil; and
• all other activities related to the oil industry that are
considered strategic
o Strengthen PEMEX and establish a more efficient development of the hydrocarbon potential in Mexico
o Strengthen execution capacity through:
Better corporate governance practices:
• 5 independent members
• Executive committees
New contracting schemes:
• Profit and Production Sharing Contracts
• Licenses
Increased financial and operational flexibility through:
• Risk sharing with third parties
• Liberalized downstream activities
• Reduced tax burden
• Greater managerial and budgetary autonomy
2013 Energy Reform
5
Pemex: The Most Important Company in Mexico
6
8th Crude oil producer
98th largest company2
7th Trading company in the world
Main producer of oil, gas and
refined products in Mexico
14th Refining company worldwide
Holder of 95% of the country's
1P reserves
Key player in hydrocarbons
logistics infrastructure
More than 40,000 km of pipelines
29% Federal Government’s
revenues1
MXN 1.6 billion annual revenues1
8th Drilling company
15th Logistics company in the world
by assets
5th Producer of petrochemicals in
Mexico
1st Producer of phosphates in LATAM
74 Storage and distribution terminals
Close to 1,500 tank trucks
16 Ships
1 Last five years average.
2 Source: Fortune 500 ranking.
258 Operating platforms
9,000 Wells
Content
A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX
E&P
Midstream & Downstream
Financial Outlook of PEMEX
2016 Results
7
2
E&P: Current Status and Challenges
8 8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
MXN bn Mbd
Other assets Ku-Maloob-Zaap Cantarell E&P Investment
Crude Oil Production
-38%
+54%
Source: PEMEX 2017
• PEMEX continues to be a main player in the O&G industry
• The challenge has been replacing Cantarell, a giant field that produced by itself 2 MMbd,
to stabilize and eventually increase production
E&P: New Production Frontiers
9
Deepwater Infrastructure1 Shale Potential2
1 Source: National Geographic
2 Source: CNH with information from North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources, Oklahoma Geological Survey, Texas Railroad
Commission, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Oil &Gas Journal
• Underinvestment and reduced access to know-how has limited intensive exploitation of
new complex frontiers to stabilize and increase production
E&P: Business Plan
• Concentrates on assignments that are profitable after taxes
Business Plan
Scenario
10
• Aggressive farm-out program
• Development of fields that are profitable for the country and which, under similar fiscal conditions than privates, are profitable for PEMEX after taxes
• Incremental income from farm-out production is shared between PEMEX and the Federal Government
Improved Scenario
10 10
2,6
01
2,5
77
2,5
53
2,5
48
2,5
22
2,4
29
2,2
67
2,1
30
1,9
44
1,8
11
1,7
80
1,8
05
1,8
80
19
5
25
7
26
7
31
6
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
Crude Oil Production Mbd
Improved
Business Plan
• With profitability as its ultimate goal, the Business Plan contemplates increased production
and investment through different business schemes such as JV’s, farm-outs and
migrations without a partner to maintain and gradually increase the production platform
E&P: Recent Developments (Trión & Block 3) Trión
Trión Blocks awarded in Round 1.4
Exploratus
Maximino
Great White
Matamoros
179 Km
28
Km
2
1
1
3
4
• BHP Billiton will invest up to USD 1.9 billion
before PEMEX makes additional
contributions
• Joint operating agreement was signed on
March 3, 2017
• PEMEX expects to invest USD 600 million by
the time initial production is achieved
Block 3
North
PEMEX’s Assignments
Trión Farm-Out
Round 1.4 Deep Waters
Oil and Gas Field
3D Seismic
Perdido Fold Belt – Block 3
• Joint Venture with Chevron and Inpex
• The contract considers 3,374 work units, equivalent
to USD 3.4 million
• No wells were committed for this contract
• Contract was signed on February 28, 2017
11
Farm-outs (Round 2)
• Ayín-Batsil: Shallow Waters,
Jun. 19, 2017
• Ogarrio & Cárdenas-Mora:
Onshore, Jul. 12, 2017
Migrations without a partner
• During the first quarter of
2017, PEMEX expects to
migrate Ek-Balam
CSIEE1
• San Ramón and Blasillo are
expected to be signed during
the 1H17
E&P: Upcoming Developments
Ayín-Batsil
Ek-Balam
Ogarrio & Cárdenas-Mora
San
Ramón &
Basilio
12 1 Exploration and Extraction Integrated Service Contracts.
• PEMEX will focus on the development of projects through joint ventures and migrations to
share risks, obtain technology, know-how and improvements within the upstream division
Content
A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX
E&P
Midstream & Downstream
Financial Outlook of PEMEX
2016 Results
13
3
14
99
90
90
70
60
3
2
France
USA
China
Japan
South Africa
India
Mexico
Iran
14
Midstream: Current Status and Challenges
14 1 Source: Strategy&, PwC 2017
2 Source: http://pipeline101.com/where-are-pipelines-located
3 Source: EIA 2017
• Further gasoline storage capacity and pipelines are required in Mexico. The U.S. has 27
times more infrastructure to supply fuel and 45 times more storage terminals than Mexico
Gasoline Storage Days by Country1
2016
Pipelines in the United States2 and in Mexico3
2016
5.7 4.2 3.4
9.2
12.2 10.7 10.1
11.2 12.7
0
5
10
15
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Non-Scheduled Shutdowns Index %
International reference (goal)
77.7 76.9 76.9 71.0 68.6 66.1
61.3
50
60
70
80
90
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2015
Equivalent Distillation Capacity Usage %
International reference (1Q) International reference (4Q)
63%
20%
3% 3% 11%
Main Causes for Non-Scheduled Shutdowns 20161
Hidrogen supply
Equipment and proceses
CFE
Repairement delays
Service supply (vapor, water,electricity)
Downstream: Current Status and Challenges
15 1 From January to August 2016
• The challenge is to reverse the economic and operational losses of close to MXN 100
billion
49.2
41.9
36.2 11
-108.9
29.4
-120
-80
-40
0
40
Impact of the Strategic Initiatives on the Financial Balance until 2025
(MXN billion in cash flow)
Midstream & Downstream: Business Plan
16
Financial
Balance
2025
(Equivalent to
-96.3 in 2017)
Partnerships
Safe and reliable
operations
Acknowledgment
and efficiency in
transportation
costs
Stolen
Product Result
Business Plan scenario
PEMEX Industrial Transformation
• Partnerships in operation of auxiliary activities
and revamps of refineries
• Operational discipline and reliability
• Timely attention to risk factors
• Cost efficiency and gradual acknowledgment
of opportunity costs in transportation prices
• Pipeline custody
• Illicit markets
PEMEX Logistics
• Open season
• Concentrates on
profitable business lines
• Underinvestment, supply mandates and cost recognition are being and will continue to be
addressed in the upcoming years to reverse the accumulated losses in the midstream and
downstream divisions
Midstream & Downstream: Upcoming Developments
Open season auction
result: March 2017
Price liberalization:
March 30,2017
Open season auction result:
May 1, 2017
Price liberalization:
June 15, 2017
Open season auction result:
Sep. 14, 2017
Price liberalization:
October 30, 2017
Open season auction result:
October 16, 2017
Price liberalization:
November 30, 2017
Open season auction result:
November 15,2017
Price liberalization:
December 30, 2017
1
2
3
4 5
17
• Logistics opened the utilization of its non-used storage and distribution capacity, which will
yield additional revenues that capture fair prices for fuels in Mexico
Content
A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX
E&P
Midstream & Downstream
Financial Outlook of PEMEX
2016 Results
18
4
Financial Outlook: Conservative Assumptions
55 58
59 60 61
42
54 55 57 56 48
56
68 71 71
40
50
60
70
80
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Crude Oil Price1
USD per barrel BRENT futuros
PEMEX
PETROBRAS
5.2%
5.4%
5.5% 5.6%
5.6%
5.2%
5.4%
5.6%
5.8%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
PEMEX’s Funding Cost
1. Primary surplus: MXN 8.4 billion
2. Reachable production goal: 1,944 Mbd
3. Conservative price projection: 42 USD/b 19
2017
1. Source: Bloomberg (October) & PEMEX
• 2017 marks an inflection point in recent trends
Does not consider additional revenues from divestments
Maintain cost reduction discipline implemented in 2016. Increase in productivity is
documented individually
Additional cash flow from the execution of JVs will be used to improved the
company’s cash position
Financial Outlook: Business Plan 2016-2021
20
-32
-58 -40 -49
-36
-133
-147 -149
-94 -84
-64
-1
43
-35
3
92
145
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Financial Balance MXN billion
Business Plan Improved
63
2
66
5
78
3
78
7
84
1 1
,14
3
1,4
93
1,9
55
2,0
24
2,0
65
2,1
39
2,1
51
2,1
17
2,0
24
2,0
15
2,0
21
1,9
37
1,7
99
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Consolidated Debt MXN billion
Business Plan Improved
20 20
• The improvement of PEMEX’s financials is not a zero-sum game. The initiatives in the
Business Plan allow the company to improve its future cash flow, while the Federal
Government’s earnings increase
21
2017 Expenditure Program
82.3%
10.4%
1.3% 2.2% 0.2%
0.9% 2.6%
CAPEX
Corporate
Ethylene
Fertilizers
Logistics
Perforation
IndustrialTransformation
E&P
52%
48%
CAPEX & OPEX 100% = 391.9 MXN MMM
CAPEX
OPEX
100% = 204.6 MXN MMM
• CAPEX for 2017 and its allocation is in line with 2016’s figures
22
USD 5.5 bn 118.3
EUR 4.25 bn 96.7
Total raised as of Feb. 27, 2017 215.0
Approved net indebtedness 2017 150
Debt ceiling consumed 2017 96.7
Available debt ceiling 2017 53.3
2016 Ceiling
2017 Ceiling
Premises:
Financial Deficit 93.8
2017 Minimum
Needs 209.9
Amortizations 116.1
=
=
=
+
MXN billion
MXN billion
Net Indebtedness Reduction in 2017
223 195 232 150
50
150
250
2014 2015 2016 2017e
Net Indebtedness MXN billion
e. Net indebtedness approved by Congress.
Note: Exchange rate 21.5 MXN/USD. Indicative figures subject to market conditions. Numbers may not total due to rounding.
• Along with the dollar transaction carried out in December and the euro one in February,
minimum financing needs for 2017 have been covered, providing flexibility and leeway
towards the rest of the year, without any pressure to tap into any other market.
Content
A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX
E&P
Midstream & Downstream
Financial Outlook of PEMEX
2016 Results
23
5
Achieving Financial Stabilization and Energy Reform Implementation
Crude Oil Prices @ USD 25/b
Financial Deficit MXN 149 bn
Strict implementation of the Budget
Adjustment Plan
Overdue obligations to suppliers fully paid
Business Plan
Farmout Trión
JV Chevron/Inpex
Apr-Aug
Feb
Federal Government support measures
Dic Nov
Gasoductos Chihuahua
divestment
Working capital improved
2017 First Alliance in Refinery Auxiliary
Services for the Supply of Hydrogen
During 2016 and 2017,
PEMEX has focused on
restoring its financial
stability, taking advantage of
the opportunities offered by
the Energy Reform, and
strengthening relationships
with the financial and oil and
gas industry
Financial deficit reduced to
MXN 102 bn
1. The financial balance considers the result from subtracting total expenses (including financing costs) from total revenues 24
2016 Key Highlights
25
Crude oil production goal of 2,130 Mbd was met and exceeded
for the first time in five years, reaching 2,154 Mbd
Gas flaring reduced by year-end
Net result improved by 58%
Operating expenses decreased by 26%
Reversal of impairment of fixed assets by 52%
Reversed operating loss
Improved debt profiled
Liquidity improved, cash position increased by 50%
Frequency and severity indexes decreased by more than 20%
Positive Trend
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
1Q
12
3Q
12
1Q
13
3Q
13
1Q
14
3Q
14
1Q
15
3Q
15
1Q
16
3Q
16
Operating Income USD millions
-12,000
-7,000
-2,000
3,000
1Q
12
3Q
12
1Q
13
3Q
13
1Q
14
3Q
14
1Q
15
3Q
15
1Q
16
3Q
16
Net Result USD millions
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Ja
n-0
9
Ju
l-0
9
Ja
n-1
0
Ju
l-1
0
Ja
n-1
1
Ju
l-1
1
Ja
n-1
2
Ju
l-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ju
l-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
Ju
l-1
5
Ja
n-1
6
Ju
l-1
6
Average Duration of Debt
7.60
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
Sep
-11
Ja
n-1
2
Ma
y-1
2
Sep
-12
Ja
n-1
3
Ma
y-1
3
Sep
-13
Ja
n-1
4
Ma
y-1
4
Sep
-14
Ja
n-1
5
Ma
y-1
5
Sep
-15
Ja
n-1
6
Ma
y-1
6
Sep
-16
Consolidated Historical Cash Balance
USD million Years
26
• During 2016 operating losses were turned into income, net result was improved by 58%
and the liquidity position was substantially improved. Debt’s maturity profile was extended
to 7.6 years.
Investment Considerations
27
Today
Financial
Balance
2020-2021
Strategic company in Mexico and worldwide
Production goals met & exceeded
Net result improved by
MXN 400bn in 2016
Energy Reform: historic
opportunity
Business Plan focus:
Profitability
2016: Stable finances
2017: Inflection point
& attractive investment
opportunities
• The joint efforts have finally begun to bear fruit and to reflect in the results of the year.
PEMEX has now stable finances, with positive trends, however, there is still room for
improvement.
• As a result of the implementation of a Business Plan focused on profitability, the
administration has very clear what will be the next steps taken to achieve financial
equilibrium. PEMEX reiterates its commitment to prioritize profitability and sustainability.
First Deep Water Farm-Out
29
USD million
Base royalty 7.5%
Additional royalty 4.0%
Minimum investment 570.0
Tie-break criteria 624.0
Signing bonus payable to the Mexican Oil
Fund 62.4
Additional carry in favor of PEMEX 561.6
570 561.6 USD 1,974
million2 0.4
• BHP Billiton will invest up to USD 1.9 billion before
PEMEX makes additional contributions
• Joint operating agreement should be signed during the
first week of March of 2017
• PEMEX expects to invest USD 600 million by the time
initial production is achieved
Exploratus
Maximino
Great White
Matamoros
179 Km
28 Km
Trión
2
1
1
3
4
Blocks awarded in Round 1.4
Trión
1. According to provision 17.4 of the bidding packages.
2. As established in the Joint Operations Agreement.
Farm-Out Ayín-Batsil
• Located in the Campeche Sound, 70 km from
Cantarell and Ku-Malob-Zaap
• Initial production expected by 2020, of up to 80
Mbd.
Ayín-Batsil
Year of discovery 1991 Ayín & 2015 Batsil
3P Reserves 359 Mmboe
Water depth Up to 180 m
Estimated Investment USD 4.2 billion
Type of hydrocarbon Heavy crude oil
30
• Onshore mature fields with significant development in development and exploitation
• High-quality oil producers
Farm-Outs of Ogarrio and Cárdenas-Mora
Cárdenas Mora (Mature onshore field)
Location Tabasco, 62 km from
Villahermosa
Estimated oil production 8.1 Mbd
Estimated gas production 30.5 MMpcd
3P Reserves 94.3 MMboe
Type of hydrocarbon Extra-light crude oil
Ogarrio (Mature onshore field)
Location Tabasco, 65 km from
Coatzacoalcos
Estimated oil production 7.9 Mbd
Estimated gas production 24.7 MMpcd
3P Reserves 54 MMboe
Type of hydrocarbon Light crude oil
31
Fundamentals of Gasoline and Diesel Prices
IEPS tax
VAT
Commercial margin
Transportation
Storage
Logistics
International reference
price, Houston, TX
Quality adjustment • This price scheme recognises the total expenses
incurred in the sale of petroleum products
• Opening the market to new competitors, will allow
PEMEX to focus on more profitable markets
• It will create the incentives to attract more
investments and partners in the refining activities
FIXED by the Ministry of Finance / Legislation
• Recognises the logistic cost, which will generate the
incentives to create new infrastructure
• Allows competitors to open new petrol stations (i.e.
BP plans opening around 1,500 retail sites)
New Gasoline Price Structure Rational
32
• Maintaining low gasoline prices would have implied a cost of MXN 200 bn for the public
sector and a barrier for competition