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Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial
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Page 1: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

WHI

Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial

Page 2: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

Overview of CaD Session and Introductions

Joan A. McGowan, PhDProject OfficerWHI Program OfficeDirector, Musculoskeletal Diseases BranchNational Institute of Arthritis and

Musculoskeletal DiseasesNational Institutes of HealthBethesda, Maryland

Page 3: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Overview of Afternoon Sessions on the CaD Trial

Background, Hypotheses, and DesignJane A. Cauley, DrPH

Special ChallengesBarbara B. Cochrane, PhD, RN

Page 4: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

Overview of Afternoon Sessions on the CaD Trial

Personal Accounts of Participants

Facilitator: Linda K. Mickel, RN, CCRN

Participants: Betty Cintas (Stanford)

Mary Lou Frost (Buffalo)

Judy LaCour (Seattle)

Loretha Young (MedStar)

Page 5: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

Overview of Afternoon Sessions on the CaD Trial

The CaD Trial Results

Bone Fractures and Bone Mineral DensityRebecca D. Jackson, MD

Other Bone FindingsAndrea Z. LaCroix, PhD

Colon and Rectal CancerJean Wactawski-Wende, PhD

Page 6: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

Overview of Afternoon Sessions on the CaD Trial

Impact on Public Health RecommendationsJoan A. McGowan, PhD, NIAMS

Audience Questions and Answers

Closing Remarks for Day OneMarcia L. Stefanick, PhD

Page 7: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

Background, Hypotheses, and Design

Jane A. Cauley, DrPHCo-Principal Investigator Pittsburgh Clinical CenterProfessor & Vice Chair for Research, Department

of EpidemiologyUniversity of PittsburghPittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Page 8: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Background: Public Health Impact of Osteoporosis and Fractures

Osteoporosis contributes to: over 300,000 hip fractures annually 1.5 million fractures annually morbidity, loss of independence, and mortality

Osteoporotic fractures are more common in women than heart attack, stroke, and breast cancer combined 4 of 10 white women age 50+ will experience a

hip, wrist or spine fracture

Page 9: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Impact of Osteoporosis will Increase

The number of women with osteoporosis and the number of fractures will increase dramatically due to the aging of the population

29.6

35.1

40.9

7.8 9.1 10.5

21.8

26

30.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

2002 2010 2020

Total Osteoporosis Low Bone Mass

America’s Bone Health: The State of Osteoporosis and Low Bone Mass in our Nation. NOF 2002

# in

Million

s

Page 10: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Nutrition and Bone Health

Are calcium and vitamin D critical to bone health?

Few individuals meet recommended intakes of calcium and vitamin D (CaD)1

Calcium: 1,200 mg/day Vitamin D: 400 IU, age 50-70

600 IU, age 70 +

CaD supplements may slow bone loss and reduce risk of falls

Limited evidence on CaD supplements and risk of hip and other fractures

1Dietary reference intakes for calcium, phosphorus, magnesium, vitamin D, and fluoride, Institute Of Medicine, 1997

Page 11: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Background: Colon and Rectal Cancer

Second leading cause of cancer death in the U.S.

Observational studies suggested higher calcium and vitamin D intakes may: Lower risk of colorectal cancer Lower risk of polyp recurrence

Randomized trials found calcium supplements: Lowered risk of polyp recurrence

No large randomized trials on CaD supplementation and prevention of colorectal cancer

Page 12: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Trial Question

Does calcium and vitamin D supplementation reduce the risk of:

hip fracture (primary outcome) other fractures (secondary outcome) colorectal cancer (secondary outcome)

in postmenopausal women?

Page 13: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Randomization

Intervention(CaD supplement)•1000 mg elemental calcium as calcium carbonate & 400 IU vitamin D3

•Divided dose; with meals •Chewable or swallow-able choice beginning Oct, 1997

Control(Placebo)

(50%)

(50%)

CaD Trial Design: Double Blind

Page 14: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Eligibility

Enrolled in the WHI Diet and/or Hormone Trials

Exclusions: hypercalcemia, kidney stones, corticosteroid use or calcitriol use

Allowed to continue personal use of calcium and vitamin D up to 600 IU vitamin D allowed initially later increased to 1000 IU vitamin D

Page 15: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Follow-Up 4-week phone call Semi-annual contacts to assess:

Outcomes Safety and regimen management (pill-taking)

Annual visits: Outcomes Safety and regimen management Adherence assessed Study pills dispensed Clinical examinations

Bone mineral density (3 clinics) Baseline, year 3, 6, and 9

Page 16: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Safety Considerations

Study pills discontinued (no unblinding) for: Kidney stones Hypercalcemia (high blood calcium) Kidney dialysis Calcitriol use Personal use of >600 IU (later, 1000 IU)

vitamin D supplements

Page 17: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Close-Out

Close-out visits between October 1, 2004 and March 31, 2005

Participants unblinded after final outcomes reported

Average follow-up was 7 years

Page 18: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Special Challenges

Barbara B. Cochrane, PhD, RNCo-InvestigatorClinical Coordinating CenterAssociate Professor and Director, de Tornyay Center

for Healthy Aging - University of Washington School of Nursing

Joint Associate Member - Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center

Seattle, Washington

Page 19: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Recruitment Challenges

Creating enthusiasm for another trial: Staff conducted 1 on 1 discussions Brochure Video

Explaining the science to participants: What unanswered questions on CaD remained Accounting for personal use of CaD

Page 20: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Intervention Challenges: Study Tablet Formulation

Initial formulation: Chewable Participants could chew or break

tablets Variety of responses to tablet taste

and texture

1996: Based on a participant survey, began: Taste test 4-week phone call

1997: swallow-able formulation introduced - Large, green tablet

Page 21: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Adherence Challenges Staying committed to an “easy” trial

Informational handouts Switching formulations LARGE pill organizers Regimen modified, if necessary

Continuing study pills even if intervention stopped in other WHI clinical trial(s)

Managing symptoms/side effects Self-management strategies Study pill step-down

Page 22: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Adherence Over Time

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8

Perc

en

t of

Part

icip

an

ts

CaD ≥ 50% Placebo ≥ 50%

CaD ≥ 80% Placebo ≥ 80%

Page 23: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Personal Accounts of Participants

Linda Kay Mickel, RN, CCRNClinic ManagerMedStar Clinical CenterAdministrative DirectorMedStar Clinical Research CenterWashington, DC

Page 24: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Personal Accounts of Participants

Betty Cintas – Stanford Clinical Center

Mary Lou Frost – Buffalo Clinical Center

Judy LaCour – Seattle Clinical Center

Loretha Young – MedStar Clinical Center

Page 25: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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The Calcium plus Vitamin D Trial Results

Page 26: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Bone Fractures and Bone Mineral Density

Rebecca D. Jackson, MDPrincipal InvestigatorColumbus Clinical CenterProfessor of Internal MedicineDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes and MetabolismThe Ohio State UniversityColumbus, Ohio

Page 27: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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WHI CaD Trial: Participant Flow Diagram

68,132 WHI CT Participants

31,850 Ineligible or Not Interested

CaD

N = 18,176

Placebo

N = 18,106

36,282 Randomized

Close-OutN=16,936 (93%)

[4.1% Deceased]

Close-OutN=16,815 (93%)

[4.5% Deceased]

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 28: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Baseline CharacteristicsCaD Placebo

Age at screening

50-59 years 37.0% 37.0%

60-69 years 45.5% 45.5%

70-79 years 17.5% 17.5%

Race/Ethnicity

White 82.8% 83.4%

Black 9.3% 9.0%

Hispanic 4.3% 4.0%

American Indian/Native American 0.4% 0.4%

Asian/Pacific Islander 2.0% 1.9%

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 29: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Baseline CharacteristicsCaD Placebo

Family history of fracture after age 40

37.6% 37.0%

History of fracture At any age 34.7% 34.4% At age >55yr 10.7% 10.9%

No. of falls in last 12 months None 66.6% 67.0% 1 20.4% 20.3% 2 >3

8.7%4.4%

8.5%4.2%

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 30: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Baseline Characteristics

CaD Placebo

Body mass index (mean) 29.1 29.0

Total calcium (mg/day; mean)

1148 1154

Total vitamin D (IU/day; mean)

365 368

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 31: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD PlaceboUse of HT Never 32.0% 31.4% Past 16.5% 16.2% Current 51.5% 52.4%

Enrollment in HT/DM Trials HT: Assigned to Active HT 22.2% 22.5% HT: Assigned to Placebo 22.1% 21.9% DM: Assigned to Intervention 26.2% 26.9% DM: Assigned to Comparison 43.1% 42.7%

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Baseline Characteristics

Page 32: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Design within Other WHI Trials (Overlap)

25,210 CaD participants (69%) were

also in the DM

16,089 CaD participants (44%) were

also in the HT

5,017 CaD participants (14%) were in both DM and HT

Of the 36,282 CaD Participants…

Page 33: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Fracture Outcomes

Participants asked every 6 months to report any fractures/hospitalizations: Medical records obtained

Physician adjudicators verified fractures

Final confirmation of hip fractures performed centrally by blinded adjudicators

Page 34: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Fracture Results

4,260 fractures 2,102 among women assigned to CaD 2,158 among women assigned to placebo

374 hip fractures 175 among CaD 199 among placebo

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 35: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Annualized fracture rates per 10,000 person-years

Hip fractures (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.72-1.08) 14 CaD 16 placebo

Lower arm or wrist fractures (HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.90-1.14) 44 CaD 44 placebo

Total fractures (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.87-1.02) 164 CaD 170 placebo

14 16

44 44

164170

0

20

4060

80

100

120140

160

180

Hip Arm/ Wrist Total

CaD Placebo

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 36: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

Calcium/D

Fracture Results

Hip Fracture0

.00

.00

50

.01

00

.01

50

.02

00

.02

5

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Time (years)

Cum

ulat

ive

Haz

ard

CaDPlacebo

CaD:Events 9 16 14 26 34 30 20 22 4N at risk 18176 18063 17950 17801 17616 17243 14669 9144 4395

Placebo:Events 11 23 19 27 27 43 24 18 7N at risk 18106 17982 17839 17669 17464 17072 14507 9027 4343

HR = 0.88 (95% CI, 0.72-1.08) P-value = 0.23

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

HR = 0.88(95% CI, 0.72-1.08)P-value = 0.23)

Page 37: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Bone Mineral Density Measurement

Three Clinical Centers: Birmingham, Pittsburgh, Tucson/Phoenix

Chosen for racial diversity

Dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) of lumbar spine, total hip, and total body

BMD measured at: CaD randomization, annual visits 3, 6 and 9

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 38: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Bone Mineral Density Results

Greater preservation in total hip BMD

Average differences between CaD and placebo groups:

0.59% at AV3 0.86% at AV6 1.01% at AV9

Total Hip

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

Year 1 Year 3 Year 6 Year 9Clinical Trial Annual Visit

Mean

Ch

an

ge in

BM

D f

rom

Year

1,

%

CaDPlacebo

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

P<0.001P<0.001

P=0.01

Page 39: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Safety Monitoring Mortality (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83 to 1.01;

Annualized %: CaD 0.58%, Placebo 0.63%) 744 deaths in CaD group 807 deaths in placebo group

Kidney stones (HR 1.17; 95% CI 1.02 to 1.34; Annualized %: CaD 0.35%, Placebo 0.30%) reported by: 449 women in CaD group 381 women in placebo group

Gastrointestinal symptoms were similar

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 40: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Other Bone Findings

Andrea Z. LaCroix, PhDCo-Principal InvestigatorClinical Coordinating CenterMember – Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research CenterProfessor – University of WashingtonScientific Investigator – Center for Health Studies at

Group Health CooperativeSeattle, Washington

Page 41: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Sensitivity Analyses on Fracture

Performed to determine impact of stopping study pills early

Follow-up data included until 6 months after first “non-adherence” (taking <80% of study pills)

By close-out: 76% still taking study pills 59% taking 80%

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 42: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Hip Fracture Results while Adherent (excludes follow-up time 6 months after becoming non-adherent)

Hip Fracture - Censor at <80% adherence

0.0

0.0

05

0.0

10

0.0

15

0.0

20

0.0

25

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Time (years)

Cum

ula

tive H

azard

CaDPlacebo

CaD:Events 9 7 7 12 8 9 7 6 3N at risk 18176 14212 9939 8796 8042 7415 5881 3182 1342

Placebo:Events 11 16 11 13 12 19 7 6 4N at risk 18106 14351 10365 9213 8465 7785 6175 3350 1408

HR = 0.71 (95% CI, 0.52-0.97) P-value = 0.03

HR = 0.71(95% CI, 0.52-0.97)P-value = 0.03)

Cu

mu

lati

ve H

aza

rd

Time (years)

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 43: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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To see whether results varied by baseline risk factors for fracture

15 participant characteristics examined for hip fracture (as well as other fracture types)

Analyses adjust for age group, HT and/or DM trial participation and prior fracture

Up to 3 statistically significant results expected by chance alone

CaD Effects on Hip Fracture according to Baseline Participant Characteristics

Page 44: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Effects on Hip Fracture according to Participant Characteristics

Age at screening50 – 59 yr60 – 69 yr70 – 79 yr

Total calcium (supplements+diet)<800 mg800 - <1200 mg≥1200 mg

Total vitamin D (supplements+diet)<200 IU200 - <400 IU400 - <600 IU> 600 IU

0.82

0.29

Interaction P Value

0.05

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)0.10 1.00 10.00

2.17 (1.13, 4.18)

0.74 (0.52, 1.06)

0.88 (0.72, 1.08)

0.82 (0.62, 1.08)

0.80 (0.57, 1.14)

0.76 (0.51, 1.15)

1.12 (0.80, 1.55)

0.95 (0.67, 1.35)

0.79 (0.50, 1.26)0.77 (0.49, 1.20)

1.00 (0.65, 1.55)

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

CaD Effects on Hip Fracture according to Participant Characteristics

Age at screening50 – 59 yr60 – 69 yr70 – 79 yr

Total calcium (supplements+diet)<800 mg800 - <1200 mg≥1200 mg

Total vitamin D (supplements+diet)<200 IU200 - <400 IU400 - <600 IU

600 IU

0.82

0.29

Interaction P Value

0.05

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)0.10 1.00 10.00

2.17 (1.13, 4.18)

0.74 (0.52, 1.06)

0.82 (0.62, 1.08)

0.80 (0.57, 1.14)

0.76 (0.51, 1.15)

1.12 (0.80, 1.55)

0.95 (0.67, 1.35)

0.79 (0.50, 1.26)0.77 (0.49, 1.20)

1.00 (0.65, 1.55)

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

0.88 (0.72, 1.08)Hip Fracture

Page 45: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Effects on Hip Fracture according to Hormone Therapy Use

*Hormone therapy use at clinical trial year 1, includes exposure from HT trial.

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

P-value for Interaction 0.10 1.00 10.00

HT use*

0.23

Never

Past

Current

HT treatment arm

0.07Placebo

Active

0.83 (0.61, 1.14)

1.20 (0.78, 1.85)

0.75 (0.53, 1.06)

1.15 (0.81, 1.63)

0.58 (0.37, 0.93)

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)

Page 46: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Nested Case-Control Study

Goal: To determine if CaD effects varied by baseline serum levels of vitamin D

Cases: women with hip fracture

Controls: No fractures during follow-up, matched on age, Clinical Center, ethnicity, baseline blood draw date

Page 47: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Effects on Hip Fracture according to Serum Vitamin D Levels

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Hip Fracture≥60.243.7 – 60.132.2 – 43.6<32.2

Total Fracture≥60.243.7 – 60.132.2 – 43.6<32.2

Baseline Serum25-Hydroxyvitamin D Quartiles, nmol/liter

Intervention OR (95% CI)0.10 1.00 10.00

0.86 (0.48, 1.53)0.92 (0.53, 1.62)

1.06 (0.60, 1.86)

0.61 (0.32, 1.15)

1.09 (0.81, 1.47)0.89 (0.66, 1.18)

1.32 (0.99, 1.76)0.87 (0.66, 1.16)0.15

0.64

Interaction P Value

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Summary of Fracture Findings Main analysis: 12% fewer hip fractures in CaD

compared to placebo (p=0.23)

Sensitivity analysis: 29% fewer hip fractures in CaD compared to placebo (hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval 0.52-0.97)

21% fewer hip fractures among women ≥60 years (HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.64-0.98; p for interaction=0.05)

Intervention effects did not significantly vary by: Baseline calcium/vitamin D intake Baseline blood levels of vitamin D

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

Page 49: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Conclusions Daily CaD supplementation for an average of 7 yrs:

improved hip bone density was associated with modest, non-significant reduction in hip

fractures did not significantly reduce clinical vertebral, lower arm/wrist,

or total fractures was associated with a decreased risk of hip fracture among

adherent women was associated with a decreased risk of hip fracture among

women ≥60 years

Possible role for CaD supplements in hip fracture prevention

NEJM 2006;354:669-83

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Colorectal Cancer

Jean Wactawski-Wende, PhDPrincipal InvestigatorBuffalo Clinical CenterAssociate Professor Departments of Social and Preventive Medicine and

Gynecology-ObstetricsUniversity at BuffaloBuffalo, New York

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Colorectal Cancer and CaD

Colorectal Cancer was a specified secondary endpoint of the WHI CaD Trial

Study Question:Would daily supplementation with 1000mg of elemental calcium (as calcium carbonate) plus 400IU of vitamin D reduce the risk of colorectal cancer (after an average of 7 years)?

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Colorectal Cancer Outcomes

Colorectal cancer (and other outcomes) were reported every 6 months

Medical records obtained Colorectal cancers verified by physician

adjudicators (local and central) Colorectal cancers coded using the Surveillance,

Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) system

Colorectal screening was self-reported every 6 months

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Colorectal Cancer Results

322 invasive colorectal cancers 168 among women assigned to active CaD 154 among women assigned to placebo

254 invasive colon cancers 128 CaD 126 placebo

74 invasive rectal cancers 44 CaD 30 placebo

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

Page 54: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Annualized colorectal rates per 10,000 person-years

Colorectal cancer(HR 1.08; 95% CI 0.86-1.34) 13 CaD 12 placebo

Colon cancer(HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.78-1.28) 10 CaD 10 placebo

Rectal cancer(HR 1.46; 95% CI 0.92-2.32) 3 CaD 2 placebo

1312

10 10

32

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Colorectal Colon Rectal

CaD Placebo

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

Page 55: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Colorectal Cancer Results Invasive Colorectal Cancer

0.0

0.0

02

0.0

06

0.0

10

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Time (years)

Cum

ula

tive H

azard

CaDPlacebo

CaD:Events 0 23 17 28 20 19 27 23 9N at risk 18176 18048 17936 17780 17605 17248 14680 9138 4403

Placebo:Events 0 27 16 27 20 18 20 17 7N at risk 18106 17967 17832 17663 17471 17093 14530 9041 4351

HR = 1.08 (95% CI, 0.86-1.34) P-value = 0.51

HR = 1.08(95% CI, 0.86 – 1.34)P-value = 0.51

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

Page 56: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Annualized self-reported colorectal polyp rates per 10,000 person-years

Colorectal polyps(HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.94-1.04)

233 CaD 236 Placebo

233 236

0

50

100

150

200

250

Colorectal Polyps

CaD Placebo

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

P=0.71

Page 57: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Abdominal Symptoms

34.3

39.3

8.010.3

17.2

20.4

33.8

37.1

7.88.9

17.019.5

0

10

20

30

40

CaDRandomization

Year 3 CaDRandomization

Year 3 CaDRandomization

Year 3

CaDPlacebo

1 or more Symptoms Constipation Bloating or Gas

NEJM 2006;354:669-83; 684-96

Page 58: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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Interactions with Baseline Characteristics

I nvasive colorectal cancer

Age at screening

50 – 59 yr

60 – 69 yr

70 – 79 yr

Total calcium (supplements+diet)

<800 mg

800 - <1200 mg

>1200 mg

Total vitamin D (supplements+diet)

<200 IU

200 - <400 IU

400 - <600 IU

> 600 IU

Interaction P Value

0.73

0.84

0.59

Hazard Ratio (95% CI )0.10 1.00 10.00

1.08 (0.86, 1.34)

1.02 (0.63, 1.66)

1.01 (0.74, 1.38)1.24 (0.83, 1.84)

1.10 (0.75, 1.60)

1.05 (0.69, 1.61)1.02 (0.70, 1.47)

1.03 (0.71, 1.50)0.90 (0.56, 1.44)

1.57 (0.99, 2.49)

0.87 (0.51, 1.47)

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)

0.73

0.84

0.59

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

Page 59: Calcium/D WHI Calcium plus Vitamin D (CaD) Trial.

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CaD Effects on Colorectal Cancer according to Hormone Therapy Use

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

*Hormone therapy use at clinical trial year 1, includes exposure from HT trial.

P-value for Interaction

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)0.10 1.00 10.00

HT use*NeverPastCurrent E-aloneCurrent E+P

HT trial enrollmentNoE-alone placeboE-alone active 0.21E+P placeboE+P active

0.12

0.81 (0.56, 1.16)1.03 (0.59, 1.79)1.17 (0.77, 1.79)

1.67 (1.01, 2.74)

1.25 (0.91, 1.71)

1.48 (0.78, 2.80)0.64 (0.36, 1.12)

1.15 (0.62, 2.13)0.81 (0.42, 1.56)

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Nested Case-Control Study of Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D

P-value for interaction = 0.54

>58.4 1.0042.4 - 58.3 1.96 (1.18-3.24)31.0 - 42.3 1.95 (1.18-3.24)<31.0 2.53 (1.49-4.32)

Main EffectOR (95% CI )†

Baseline Serum25-Hydroxyvitamin D

Quartiles, nmol/ liter*

I ntervention OR (95% CI )‡

0.10 1.00 10.00

1.12 (0.59, 2.12)

0.99 (0.51, 1.91)0.75 (0.39, 1.48)

1.15 (0.58, 2.27)

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

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Colorectal Cancer Results

Main analysis: No difference between CaD and Placebo (hazard ratio 1.08; 95% confidence interval 0.86-1.34)

Sensitivity analysis (80% adherence): Results unchanged (hazard ratio 0.98; 95% confidence interval 0.73-1.32)

Intervention effects did not significantly vary by: Baseline personal calcium/vitamin D intake Baseline blood levels of vitamin D

Tumor characteristics similar in CaD and placebo groups

Similar polyp reporting

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

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Conclusions Daily CaD supplementation for an average of 7 years did

not prevent colorectal cancer in postmenopausal women

Several factors may have limited our ability to detect a difference, including: High personal calcium intakes 7-year study duration

Although CaD may provide modest protection for hip fracture, this study found no colorectal cancer benefit.

Findings do not support general use of CaD supplements to prevent colorectal cancer

NEJM 2006;354:684-96

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Future Directions

5-year WHI Extension study is ongoing and will provide additional follow-up to determine later effects of this intervention

Additional outcomes will be explored in the CaD trial (kidney stones, mortality, other outcomes)

Future studies may explore additional questions including other doses, formulations, populations…

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Impact on Public Health Recommendations

Joan A. McGowan, PhDProject OfficerDirector, Musculoskeletal Diseases BranchNational Institute of Arthritis and

Musculoskeletal DiseasesNational Institutes of HealthBethesda, MD

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What Recommendations?

What are the current dietary calcium and vitamin D recommendations?

Where do they come from?

Were participants in the CaD Trial meeting the dietary guidelines for calcium and vitamin D intake?

Did calcium and vitamin D intakes impact the results of the trial?

Do the results of the trial impact calcium and vitamin D recommendations?

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Dietary Recommendations on Calcium and Vitamin D

DIETARY REFERENCE INTAKES FOR

Calcium, Phosphorus, Magnesium, Vitamin D, and Fluoride

--Food and Nutrition Board Institute of Medicine An evidence-based

process published in 1997

            

  

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Calcium and Vitamin D Recommendations**

AGEWomen and Men

CALCIUM (mg/day)

VITAMIN D(IU/day)

> 50 years 1200 400

> 70 years 1200 600

**1997 Institute of Medicine

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What We Eat in America: NHANES 2001-2002

Less than 5% of women over 50 meet or exceed the recommended intake of 1200 mg of calcium a day by dietary intake assessment

Median calcium intake per day (from food) for women over 50 is less than 700 mg

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Total Calcium Intakes in CaD Trial Participants

Calcium Intake (mg/day)

30.8

14.3

11.7

33.5

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

400 - <800 800 - <1000 1000 - <1200 ≥ 1200

Perc

en

t

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Summary of Fracture Findings

Main analysis: 12% fewer hip fractures in CaD compared to placebo (p=0.23)

29% fewer hip fractures in CaD compared to placebo (hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval 0.52-0.97)

21% fewer hip fractures among women ≥60 years (HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.64-0.98; p for interaction=0.05)

Hip Fracture - Censor at <80% adherence

0.0

0.00

50.

010

0.01

50.

020

0.02

50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Time (years)C

umul

ativ

e H

azar

d

CaDPlacebo

CaD:Events 9 7 7 12 8 9 7 6 3N at risk 18176 14212 9939 8796 8042 7415 5881 3182 1342

Placebo:Events 11 16 11 13 12 19 7 6 4N at risk 18106 14351 10365 9213 8465 7785 6175 3350 1408

HR = 0.71 (95% CI, 0.52-0.97) P-value = 0.03

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Recommendations for Women (Personal Health Care Providers)

Scientific findings from the WHI support the current recommendations for calcium and vitamin D for older women

Calcium and vitamin D are nutrients not drugs

The calcium recommendations can be met largely from food sources

Additional analyses and discussion of the total evidence base are needed to incorporate the WHI results into public health recommendations for women

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Colorectal Cancer - National Cancer Institute

Currently there are no recommendations from the NCI on the use of calcium and vitamin D supplements to prevent colorectal cancer.

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Recommendations for Women (Personal Health Care Providers)

Calcium and vitamin D should not be recommended for the prevention of colorectal cancer

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Surgeon General’s Report: Bone Health and Osteoporosishttp://www.surgeongeneral.gov/library/bonehealth/

NIH Osteoporosis and Related Bone Diseases – National Resource Centerhttp://www.osteo.org

Dietary Guidelines for Americans http://www.health.gov/dietaryguidelines/

National Cancer Institutehttp://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/types/colon-and-rectal

Sources of Information

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Audience Q&A

Joan A. McGowan, PhDProject OfficerDirector, Musculoskeletal Diseases BranchNational Institute of Arthritis and

Musculoskeletal DiseasesNational Institutes of HealthBethesda, MD

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Closing Remarks for Day One

Marcia L. Stefanick, PhDPrincipal InvestigatorStanford Clinical CenterProfessor of MedicineProfessor of Obstetrics and GynecologyStanford UniversityStanford, California


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