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CALIBRATION FOR CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES ESTIMATES Introduction and Issues Introduction and Issues Thomas W. Ley, PhD, PE Evapotranspiration Workshop March 12 2010 March 12, 2010 Ft Collins CO
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Page 1: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

CALIBRATION FOR CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET HISTORICAL CROP ET

ESTIMATESESTIMATESIntroduction and IssuesIntroduction and Issues

Thomas W. Ley, PhD, PE

Evapotranspiration WorkshopMarch 12 2010March 12, 2010

Ft Collins CO

Page 2: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Why Calibration?

Most historical consumptive use

y

panalyses based on long evaluation period

Long periods of record available at many NOAA Coop Observer network (ma /min/p ecip) stations(max/min/precip) stations

Simple temperature-based methodsLi it d i d f d t l t i Limited period of record at electronic weather stations (20 years or less)

March 12 2010ET Workshop2

Page 3: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Why Calibration?

Published studies have generally

y

g yshown the simpler temperature-based ET estimation methods are i t i ll i id d inaccurate, especially in arid and semi-arid climatesLocal calib ation/ e ification is Local calibration/verification is strongly recommended to obtain more accurate historical crop ET estimatesaccurate historical crop ET estimates

March 12 2010ET Workshop3

Page 4: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Approach

Compute calibration coefficients for some

pp

pspecific time interval during growing season (e.g., 10-days, monthly)

Measured Crop ETCalibration coeff. =

Crop ET by method being calibrated

In the absence of measured ET (i.e., lysimeter), use crop ET based on ASCE Std Ref-ET EqnStd Ref-ET Eqn

March 12 2010ET Workshop4

Page 5: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Measured Crop ET

Lysimetry ASCE Std

p

Lysimetry ASCE Std Reference ET

Wind speedWind speed

Solar radiationSolar radiation

Wind directionWind direction

Air temperatureAir temperature

Relative humidityRelative humidity

RainfallRainfall

Solar radiationSolar radiation

Holly02 Holly02 CoAgMetCoAgMet Station Station

July 2005July 2005

March 12 2010ET Workshop5

July 2005July 2005

Page 6: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Approach

Compute average calibration

pp

p gcoefficient values for overlapping period of record Monthly time step

Minimum 5-7 years of overlapping d record

March 12 2010ET Workshop6

Page 7: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Modified Blaney-CriddleMethod (TR 21)

u k (k ) (t x p) / 100

Method (TR-21)

u = kc (kt) (t x p) / 100u = monthly consumptive use (inches)u monthly consumptive use (inches)kt = climatic coefficient

= 0.173 * t - 0.314kc = crop growth stage coefficientt = mean monthly air temperature (°F)p = monthly percentage of annualp = monthly percentage of annual

daylight hours

March 12 2010ET Workshop7

Page 8: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Modified Blaney-CriddleMethod Data required--mean monthly

Method Data required mean monthly

temperature 100’s of max/min/precip stations in 00 s o a / /p ec p stat o s

Colorado Developed for irrigation planning p g p g kt (t * p) / 100 not representative of

the impact of meteorological elements

Page 9: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Extraterrestrial Radiation & Percent of Daylight as a Percentage of MaximumDaylight as a Percentage of Maximum

FM RA FM % Daylite CTR RA CTR % Day

100%

110%

70%

80%

90%

40%

50%

60%

20%

30%

40%

1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1

Page 10: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Modified Blaney-CriddleMethod Crop factor, kc , is not a crop

Method Crop factor, kc , is not a crop

coefficient in the same sense as the reference ET-crop coefficient approach

Contains a meteorological component location bias values not geographically transferable

(ASCE Manual 70, 1990; USDA-NRCS, 1993)

Ignore k and calibrate just the factor: Ignore kc and calibrate just the factor: kt (t * p) / 100

Page 11: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

1985 Hargreaves Methodg

50 )81()(00230 amean5.0

minmaxo R)8.17T()TT(0023.0ET

ETo = grass reference ET (mm/day)Tmax = maximum daily air temperature (°C)T i i d il i ( C)Tmin = minimum daily air temperature (°C)Tmean = mean daily air temperature

= (Tmax + Tmin) / 2( max min) /Ra = extraterrestrial radiation (mm/day)

Ra (mm/day) = Ra (MJ/m2/day) / 2.45

March 12 2010ET Workshop11

Page 12: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

1985 Hargreaves Method

Originally developed in 1975

g

solar radiation and temperature data inputs

Updated in 1982 and 1985 Updated in 1982 and 1985 solar radiation estimated from

extraterrestrial radiation, RA

G f ET Grass reference ET May be used to compute daily

estimates but more accurate over estimates, but more accurate over longer time steps: 10-days, monthly

March 12 2010ET Workshop12

Page 13: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

1985 Hargreaves Method

Simple, easy to use

g

p , y Data required—maximum and

minimum air temperature Better predictive accuracy in arid

climates than modified Blaney-Criddle Max-min temperature difference Extra-terrestrial radiation

Underpredicts in windy or high advection conditions—requires local calibration

March 12 2010ET Workshop13

Page 14: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

1985 Hargreaves Method

Grass reference ET method

g

Directly calibrate:

ASCE std ref ETrK =

H ETHargreaves ETo

Use alfalfa reference crop coefficients Use alfalfa reference crop coefficients ETc = Kcr (K * ETo)

March 12 2010ET Workshop14

Page 15: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Calibration Precautions/Limitations Extent of areal representation ?

Precautions/Limitationsp

Weather station pairing Compute calibration coefficients by

pairing each NOAA station of interest with electronic weather station

Site bias at the NOAA site may not be Site bias at the NOAA site may not be properly captured

Bigger problem with SCS BC than 1985 gg pHargreaves

March 12 2010ET Workshop15

Page 16: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

Coefficients for one EWS-NOAA station pair generally not applicable at other NOAA stations

when conditions at the NOAA sites are dissimilar

Rocky Ford CoAgMet Rocky Ford NOAA

Las Animas NOAA La Junta NOAA

March 12 2010ET Workshop16

Page 17: CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET ESTIMATES · 2017. 10. 17. · Bigggg per problem with SCS BC than 1985 Hargreaves 15 ET Workshop March 12 2010

March 12 2010ET Workshop17


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