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California CD49 Immigration
SurveyOctober 28th – 29th, 2013
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 718n
autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election
voters in California Congressional District 49. This survey was commissioned by
America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted
October 28th - 29th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of
+/-3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
IssaImage Rating
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Darrell Issa?
MEN WOMEN
58%50%
31%36%
7% 11%4% 3%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEHEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT NDEPENDENT
80%
16%
50%
11%
65%
38%
7%14%
8%2%
5% 4%
54%33
%
9%4%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Darrell Issa?
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
48%
42%
61% 58%54%
25%
44%
30%34% 34%
23%
5% 7% 6% 10%4% 9% 2%1%
3%
54%33%
9%4%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Darrell Issa?
WHTIE HISPANIC
54%
61%
35%
20%8% 14%
3% 4%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
54%33
%
9%4%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEHEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
Voter Opinion on Immigration
Reform
Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
74%
22% 4%
TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION
MEN WOMEN
44% 43%
27%33%
14%10%12%
8%2% 6%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
UNSURE NO OPINION
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
38%
51% 46%
34% 32%
22%
13%
4%
19%12% 7% 9%3% 5% 5%
Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
74%
22%4%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
36%
47%44%
40%
47%
36%
22%
29%32% 32%
24% 22%
8%
12%
6%4%9% 10% 11% 11%
8% 5% 4%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION
Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
74%
22% 4%
TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION
WHITE HISPANIC
46%45%
30%30%
10%
13%
9% 9%5% 4%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION
Voter Opinion on Immigration
Reform
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
70%
28% 2%
TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION
MEN WOMEN
39% 38%
29% 33%
18%
10%12%15%
2% 4%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
45%
30%
35%31% 33%
28%
10%
15%19%
11%
18%15%
3% 3% 2%
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
70%
28%2%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
49%46%
34% 35% 37%
23%29%
33% 33% 32%
15%18%
13%15%
11%8% 6%
17%
13%
17%
4% 2% 3% 3%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
70%
28% 2%
TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION
WHITE HISPANIC
38%
50%
32% 30%
12%14%15%
5%3% 1%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION
Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan
– Image of Issa
If your Congressman Darrell Issa worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Darrell Issa, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?
43%
22%
32%
3%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE NO OPINION
MEN WOMAN
33%29%
10%14%
4% 3%
18% 19%
32% 31%
3% 5%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
39%
16%
31%
11% 13%13%
2% 6% 5%
14%
24%
18%
30%
36%
29%
3%6%
3%
If your Congressman Darrell Issa worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Darrell Issa, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?
43%
22%
32%3%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
43%
30%33%
26% 28%
13% 15%11% 10%
13%11%
4%1% 3% 4%4%
19%22% 20%
18%
25%30% 29%
36%33%
4% 2% 4% 5% 4%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION
If your Congressman Darrell Issa worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Darrell Issa, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?
WHITE HISPANIC
30%
44%
13%
8%3% 3%
17% 19%
33%
22%
4% 4%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION
43%
22%
32%
3%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE NO OPINION
Voter Opinion on Path to
Citizenship
As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?
60%
20%
20%
PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION
MEN WOMEN
63%
58%
21% 18%15%
24%
PATH TO CITIZENSHIP LEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIP
UNSURE NO OPINION
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
63%
55%
61%
19% 18% 23%
18%
26%
16%
As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
49%
71%
61% 58% 61%
26% 21% 25%
18% 15%25%7% 14%
24% 24%
60%20%
20%
PATH TO CITIZENSHIP LEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIP UNSURE NO OPINION
As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?
WHITE HISPANIC
61%64%
18%20%20%
15%
PATH TO CITIZENSHIP
LEGAL STATUS, NO CITI-ZENSHIP
UNSURE NO OPINION
60%
20%
20%
PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION
Demographics
Demographics
White Hispanic Black Other
78%
13%3% 6%
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
10%13%
21%24%
32%52%
48%
FEMALE MALE
48%
30%
22%
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT