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1 W o r k e r s’ C o m p e n s a t i o n I n s u r a n c e R a t i n g B u r e a u o f C a l i f o r n i a WCIRBCalifornia ® California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update Presented by: Dave Bellusci & Tony Milano WCIRB of California DWC 20 th Annual Educational Conference Los Angeles February 28- March 1, 2013 Oakland March 4-5, 2013 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia ® 16.3 15.2 11.3 8.9 7.6 6.6 7.1 8.0 8.9 0 5 10 15 20 25 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $ Billions Calendar Year Written Premium - Net of Deductible Credits Estimated
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Page 1: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

1

W o r k e r s’ C o m p e n s a t i o n I n s u r a n c e R a t i n g B u r e a u o f C a l i f o r n i a

WCIRBCalifornia®

California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update

Presented by:Dave Bellusci & Tony Milano

WCIRB of California

DWC 20th Annual Educational Conference Los Angeles February 28- March 1, 2013

Oakland March 4-5, 2013

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

16.315.2

11.3

8.97.6

6.6 7.18.0 8.9

0

5

10

15

20

25

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

$ Billions

Calendar Year

Written Premium - Net of Deductible Credits

Estimated

Page 2: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

2

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

6.29

5.49

4.36

2.852.30 2.15 2.10 2.27 2.33 2.49 2.56

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

7/03-12/03

7/04-12/04

7/05-12/05

7/06-12/06

7/07-12/07

2008 2009 2010 2011 1/12 -6/12

7/12 -9/12

$ Dollars

Policy Period

Average Insurer Rate per $100 of Payroll

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

Estimated Change in Indemnity Claim Frequency

-6.8

-1.4 -2.7

-13.4

-6.8

-2.3

9.1

0.8

-16.8

3.3

-2.1-3.9

-30

-15

0

15

00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

% Change As of September 30, 2012

Accident Year(9 Months)

Source: WCIRB projections

Page 3: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

3

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

125

100 105110

112 113117

121 123

155

105

114

121126

139143

147

100

125

150

175

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(projected)

Policy Year2013

(projected)

Average Wage Level Index (Based on UCLA Data)

Estimated Indemnity Claim Cost Level Index

%

Accident Year

Statewide Cost and Wage Level Index (2005 = 100)

5

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

144129

11085

5435 33 43

6179

92 92 88

21

21

18

14

12

9

15

19

24 24 28

22

20

18

15

14 1416

18

20

22 23

1210

16

23

0

50

100

150

200

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

Other Expenses

LAE

Losses

Accident Year Combined Loss and Expense Ratios

As of September 30, 2012

Accident Year

139139138

118

94

7158

81

115

146

170

187

57

Source: WCIRB projections

Page 4: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

4

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia® 7

WCIRB Cost Evaluation of SB 863

WCIRB Requested by Insurance Commissioner and Director of DIR to Provide Preliminary Cost Assessments

Final WCIRB Estimate Reflected in Amended 1/1/2013 Filing WCIRB Assessments Reflect

Review of legislative provisions

Consultation with experts

Review of relevant research and analyses

New actuarial analyses based on data and timeframes available

Judgmental estimates developed when there was consensus as to

likely impact

Revisions as legislation changed or new information became

available

Estimated Net Annual Savings: -2.7%, or -$520 mm. Develop Plan to Proactively Monitor Emerging Costs

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia® 8

WCIRB Cost Evaluation of SB 863

SB 863 Provisions

Impact on Statewide

Claim Costs($ millions)

% Impact on Claim Costs

2013 Benefit Level Changes $620 +3.3%Elimination of PD Add-ons ($170) -0.9%Three-Tiered Weekly PD Benefits ($100) -0.5%Liens ($480) -2.5%Surgical Implant Hardware ($110) -0.6%ASC Fees ($80) -0.4%IMR ($390) -2.1%Ogilvie Decision ($210) -1.1%MPN Strengthening ($190) -1.0%Total Estimated Impact of 2013 Changes ($1,110) -5.8%Impact of 2014 PD Benefit Maximum Changes $590 +3.1%Combined Estimated Impact of 2013 & 2014 Changes on 2014 Injuries

($520) -2.7%

Page 5: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

5

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

Anticipated Post SB 863 Trends - ALAE

Liens SB 863 imposes lien filing fee and statute of limitations which should

significantly reduce volume of liens filed

IMR process should reduce lien costs related to utilization review

Ogilvie and Almaraz/Guzman Decisions SB 863 effectively eliminates Ogilvie

Does not address Almaraz/Guzman

Medical Cost Containment Expenses Not directly addressed although SB 863 IMR process should reduce

frictional costs related to medical disputes

Increases in Cumulative Injury Claims and Claims with Multiple Body Parts Not addressed by SB 863

9

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

ALAE Projections – After SB 863 Adjustments

$5,933

$13,795

$10,981

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

Accident Year 2005 Policy Year 2013 Projected(Pre-SB 863)

Policy Year 2013 (Adjusted forWCIRB SB 863 Estimate)

Average Ultimate ALAE per Indemnity Claim

+133% -20%

10

Page 6: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

6

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

148

125

100 105110

112 113117

121 123

155

105

114

121126

139143

147

100

125

150

175

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(projected)

Policy Year2013

(projected)

Average Wage Level Index (Based on UCLA Data)

Estimated Indemnity Claim Cost Level Index Pre-SB 863

Projected Based on Current WCIRB Cost Estimate of SB 863

%

Accident Year

California Workers’ Compensation Cost and Wage Level Index After SB 863 Adjustment (2005 = 100)

11

California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update

WCIRBCalifornia®

Anticipated Post SB 863 Trends – Cost Monitoring

Purpose Prospective estimates reflected in advisory pure premium rates

based on judgmental assumptions that may or may not materialize

Some provisions of SB 863 could not be evaluated due to

dependence of future regulations (e.g. fee schedule changes)

Can adjust advisory pure premium rate estimates based on

emerging post-SB 863 experience

WCIRB Comprehensive Monitoring Plan Identifies key components to be measured

Data needed to monitor

When components can be measured (e.g. lien impacts measured in

late 2013 while IMR impacts can’t be measured until 2014)

Plan to be submitted to Commissioner in March

12

Page 7: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

1

California Workers’ Compensation DWC 20th Annual Educational Conference

Los Angeles February 28 & March 1, Oakland March 4 & 5, 2013

Insurance Commissioner – CA Department of InsuranceRate Regulation Branch – Rate Filing Bureaus

• In California, workers’ compensation is a “file-and-use” line of insurance; it is not covered under Proposition 103 as a “prior approval” line of insurance. (e.g. personal auto & homeowners, numerous comm’l lines)

• For WC, every insurer must file with the Commissioner all rates and supplementary rate information that are to be used in California.

• The WC rates and supplementary rate information must be filed not later than 30 days prior to the proposed effective date. »  CIC §11735(a)

• If a WC filing is considered to be complete and in compliance with the filing requirements on the 30th day after filing receipt, the company can use or apply the information contained in the filing.

• In 2012, CDI received 578 WC filings from 222 different WC companies.

Page 8: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

2

Insurance Commissioner PPR Decisions in 2012(File #s REG-2012-00010, May 29, 2012 & REG-2012-00016, Dec 12, 2012)

• May 2012, Insurance Commissioner’s Decision and Order (REG-2012-00010) determined that the advisory pure premium rates effective July 1, 2012 have an average rate (or average Advisory Claims Cost Benchmark) of $2.49* per $100 of employer payroll. This benchmark was 3.3% higher than what insurers already had on file effective 1/1/2012 => $2.41 per $100 of employer payroll.

* updated 8/24/12 to $2.41 based on more current set of payroll weights by insurer and classification.

• November 2012, Insurance Commissioner’s Decision and Order (REG-2012-00016) determined that the advisory pure premium rates effective January 1, 2013 have an average Benchmark of $2.56 which was 2.8% higher than what insurers were estimated to already have on file effective 11/9/2012 => $2.49.

-3.6%

-7.0%

-3.6%

-14.9%-14.7%

-10.7%-9.4%

-10.4%

-0.8%-2.6%

5.8%

8.5%

4.0%

1.6%

4.6%

1.4%

4.5%

6.7% 6.5%

Jan2004

Jul2004

Jan2005

Jul2005

Jan2006

Jul2006

Jan2007

Jul2007

Jan2008

Jul2008

Jan2009

Jul2009

Jan2010

Jul2010

Jan2011

Jul2011

Jan2012

Jul2012

Jan2013

Source: California Department of Insurance

Average Workers' Compensation Manual Rate Changes Filed by Insurers

Page 9: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

3

Pure Premium Rate (Benchmark) Adoptions Filed for January 1, 2013…and Thereafter

The top 120 insurers (98% of the market)…

EFFECTIVE DATEJanuary 1, 2013 February 1, 2013 March 1, 2013 March 15, 2013 April 1, 2013 June 1, 2013 June 15, 2013

PURE PREMIUM RATES (BENCHMARK)

Approved JAN 2012 1 2 3

Approved JUL 2012 7 2 9

Proposed JAN 2013 10 10

Amended Proposed JAN 2013 12 1 1 14

Approved JAN 2013 13 13 19 1 6 1 4 57

TOTAL: 35 22 22 1 8 1 4 93

Companies not making a "year-end" rate filing: 27

Aggregate Filed Manual Rate Changes for the CA Workers’ Compensation Industry

(Cumulative Post 2003-04 Reforms: 1/1/2004 through 3/1/2013)

• State Compensation Insurance Fund Cumulative Filed Manual Rate Change -44.5%

• CA Workers’ Comp. Industry Cumulative Filed Manual Rate Reductions -32.9%

Page 10: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

4

Aggregate Filed Manual Rate Changes - Top 10 Cos./Groups(Cumulative Post 2003-04 Reforms: 1/1/2004 through 3/1/2013)

COMPANY/GROUP MARKET SHARE (2011) CUMULATIVE RATE CHANGE

• State Fund 12.9% -44.5%• Zurich/Farmers 8.2% -36.6%• The Hartford Group 8.0% -54.0%• Travelers Group 7.8% -45.2%• AIG Group 5.9% -31.0%• Fairfax (Zenith) 5.3% -20.4%• Berkshire Hathaway 4.6% -49.9%• Liberty Mutual 4.5% -45.5%• Employers Compensation 3.0% -47.0%• Everest National 3.0% -36.2%

Newly Authorized Workers’ Compensation Insurers since AB 227, SB 228, SB 899

(Determined by Initial Rate Filing or Certificate of Authority Application, as of 3/1/2013)

YEAR # OF COMPANIES ADMITTED

2004 62005 72006 62007 52008 72009 72010 102011 122012 102013 1

TOTAL 71

Page 11: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

5

Newly Authorized Workers’ Compensation Insurers since AB 227, SB 228, SB 899

(Determined by Initial Rate Filing or Certificate of Authority Application, as of 3/1/2013)

COMPANY / GROUP NAME DATE OF ADMISSION

• 61. Stonington Insurance Company 1/20/12• 62. Trumbull Insurance Company 2/23/12• 63. West American Insurance Company 4/12/12• 64. Chubb National Insurance Company 4/17/12• 65. Plaza Insurance Company 7/17/12• 66. American Fire and Casualty Company 7/17/12• 67. American Family Home Insurance Company 8/3/12• 68. Triumphe Casualty Company 8/8/12• 69. Riverport Insurance Company 8/15/12• 70. Foremost Signature Insurance Company 10/12/12• 71. Ohio Security Insurance Company 1/9/13

Pending Applications for New Workers’ Compensation Insurers since passage of AB 227, SB 228, SB 899

(Determined by Initial Rate Filing or Certificate of Authority Application, as of 3/1/2013)

COMPANY NAME DATE OF APPLICATION

• 1. Tokio Marine America Insurance Company 6/14/12• 2. Cincinnati Casualty Company 9/12/12• 3. Cincinnati Indemnity Company 9/12/12• 4. Tower National Insurance Company 11/28/12• 5 Ohio Casualty Insurance Company (The) 1/9/13

Page 12: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

6

50.00%

55.00%

60.00%

65.00%

70.00%

75.00%

80.00%

85.00%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: California Department of Insurance

California Workers' Compensation Market ShareTop 10 Companies/Groups

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

# Companies

Source: California Department of Insurance

CA WC Schedule Rating - Max Filed Debit/Credit

 +50/‐50

 +40/‐40

 +25/‐25

 Other

Page 13: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

7

CDI WC Enforcement Actions 2012

Market Conduct – Field Rating and Underwriting exam of a large insurer group that covered numerous lines of insurance, including WC, found the following non-compliance issues specific to WC:

Use of unfiled rating factors and unfiled minimum premium charges;

Use of unfiled forms/endorsements and nonconforming dividend statements;

Charging an unfiled expense constant;

Changing schedule rating credits/debits without documenting the changes;

Failure to include CIGA surcharge statements;

Failure to follow filed rating plan;

Failure to adhere to filed underwriting guidelines;

Lack of documentation to support underwriting guideline exceptions; and

Use of unfiled rates and unfiled premium charges.

Group did agree to make all WC corrections prior to the case reaching enforcement action level, which was really driven by non-compliance on personal lines matters (unfiled rates, etc.)

CDI WC Enforcement Actions 2012

Legal – On-going workers’ compensation enforcement case against a large insurer group for the use of unfiled side-agreements.

No details available on this case as it is a current case, however the takeaway here is understanding the CDI position on side-agreements:

If a side-agreement affects either the obligations of the insurer or the

obligations of the insured with respect to the coverages, provisions, etc.

provided under the insurance policy, an insurer cannot use such an

agreement until the insurer has first filed the agreement and received

authorization to use the agreement. Upon filing/authorization, the insurer

may then endorse the side-agreement to the insured’s policy.

Page 14: California Workers’ Compensation Market & SB 863 Update · PDF file3 California Workers’ Compensation – Market & SB 863 Update WCIRBCalifornia® 125 100 105 110 112 113 117 121

8

Recently Enacted Legislation - Dispute Resolution or Arbitration

CIC §11658.5, which applies to workers’ compensation policies issued or renewed on or after July 1, 2012, requires an insurer that intends to use a dispute resolution or arbitration agreement to disclose to the employer at policy quotation that choice of law and choice of venue or forum for the resolution/arbitration process may be a jurisdiction other than California, and that these terms are negotiable between the insurer and the employer.

The disclosure must be signed by the employer as evidence of receipt where the employer accepts the offer of coverage from that insurer.

A dispute resolution or arbitration agreement may be negotiated by the insurer and the employer before any dispute arises.

Failure by the insurer to observe these requirements will result in a default to California as the choice of law and forum for resolution of disputes arising in California.

Comparison Shop on the Internet

• Comparison Shop on the Internet

– www.insurance.ca.gov - Click on “Consumers”, “Compare Premiums”, “Information on the CA Workers’ Compensation Rate Comparison”, and click on the range of class codes that contains your governing class code. Use the bookmarks and Class Code Search feature to help navigate to specific class codes.

– Click on the Back button and go back to the Cal WC Rate Comparison main page, and click on “Check your insurance company’s profile” link to obtain profile information about the company. Request a premium quote from the company, or for an authorized agent/broker that may provide a quote. If the quote is too high, select another company from the list. Check company licenses and agent/broker licenses. Check financial stability ratings.

– Many companies have their own websites and can provide on-line quotes.


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