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CALMet X - Toulouse August 2013Joint Presentation:Ab Maas, the Netherlands: Conceptual Models as Training tools Cynthia Matsudo, Argentina: Conceptual Models for RAIII - a resource for trainers and forecastersVesa Nietosvaara, EUMETSAT: Experiences in Managing Virtual Teams.

Ab Maas, the Netherlands: Conceptual Models as Training tools

Conceptual Models as Training tools

Worldwide Online development of training material

Project Conceptual Models for Southern Hemisphere CM4SH

In cooperation with:

Ab Maas, retired trainer/meteorologist Dutch Met office KNMI.

Conceptual ModelConceptual Model is a attemp to describe the complexety of the atmosphere and make it understandeble for the user.

Project from 1995 2005

Collaboration of several European Met. Institutes with support of Eumetsat

End Result: MANUAL OF SYNOPTIC SATELLITE METEOROLOGY(SatManu)

50 conceptual models described

The Manual is designed to be used by:

1. University students with a basic knowledge of synoptic meteorology and satellite meteorology

2. Meteorologists and forecasters

The manual is maintained and modernized within EumetrainConceptual Models in Satellite MeteorologyThe initiative came from Austria Dr. Veronika Zwatz-Meise.

Satmanu has proved its value as a training- and a forecasting toolthroughout Europe and outside.

The idea of using conceptual models in satellite meteorology is of course not only a European thought there is an interest all over the world.

The idea to widen the CM thinking to other parts of the globe and to developConceptual Models more appropriate for other regions was made more concreteduring courses is South Africa in 2010 Eumetsat course in Pretoria and the CalMet conference also in Pretoria.

More WMO Vlabs were interested.

After initiatives from Eumetsat (Volker Gaertner) and the hard core of Satmanu developers ( Veronika Zwatz-Meise, etc.)

The project started in January this year and will end in March 2014 with a possibility of extension.Not only EuropeHamburg, CoE meeting Brazil. Jef Wilson. Roger Deslandes

The purpose and objectives of the projectThe purpose of the project is to improve warnings and awareness of weather risks through the use of conceptual models.

. The Objectives of the project are to produce and make available resources about Conceptual Models for the CoE areas of interest.

To make these resources also available for other training institutions within region. To increase the operational forecasters understanding of the weather systems with the help of Conceptual Models.

The same as we had during the development of Satmanu. Understanding not only for WF but also for students.

The outcomes, deliverables and the benefits expectedOutcome and deliverablesA comprehensive list of CMs in the areas of interest of all participating VLabs/CoEs with already existing literatureA quick-look collection of interesting CM cases from archive and actual cases with quick-look descriptionsSome fully developed representative examples (which and how many TBD) preferable in a SH-SatManu versionCross connection among material (different styles already existing)

Expected Benefits

Optimal training material for VLabs/CoEs and other training institutionsBasis for integration in application methods in weather services (Nowcasting and warnings)

Participating countries: Australia (BOM) Argentina Brazil South Africa

European Expert Team: Veronika Zwatz-Meise Henk Verschuur Ab Maas Vesa NietosvaaraSpreadReviewers:Bernadette Connell, CIRA, CO, USAMichael Davison, NOAA, USA

Old Wolves in the expert team.

Coordinating the project: Vesa

Coordinator of the expert team: Veronika

Tasks of the expert team:

Organizing the project work

Training sessions

Guarding the uniformity of the deliverablesStructure

Online Training sessions:

Fronts

Cyclogenesis

Jets and Frontal structures

Convective systems

Local phenomenaOnline meetings exclusivelyLiterature SurveyChoice of case studies or Conceptual ModelsFinding good cases and developing CS or CMsOver to CynthiaCynthia Matsudo, Argentina: Conceptual Models for RAIII - a resource for trainers and forecastersConceptual Models for RAIIIa resource for trainers and forecastersCM4SH - Conceptual Models for Southern Hemisphere Project

Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceArgentina VLab Centre of Excellence

CoE Argentina in cooperation with WMO and EumetsatCM4SH Project Our team: NMS Argentina

In cooperation with: DCAO-UBA Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences- University of Buenos AiresCONAE National Commission for Spatial Activities NOAA-NESDISInspired by the European Manual

MANUAL OF SYNOPTIC SATELLITE METEOROLOGY (SatManu) developed by Veronika Zwatz-Meise, Henk Verschuur, Ab Maas,Vesa Nietosvaara

Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceOur main goals: Working towards a SatManu for the region in Spanish versionTo make this new resource available for the local forecasters and the regional community

Opportunity to:

Start to develop training material in Spanish knowledge transfer from documented studies to forecasting tools

Be assisted by the European experts benefit from their background

First inspection of the actual training needs of forecasters

Reinforce interaction between institutions (university) and other countries (Brazil, Chile)

Promote the activities of CoE Argentina for the regionLearning process Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceWe proposed to develop 2 full CMs:

1) SALLJ associated to MCSs

2) Zonda-PuelcheInteraction with ChileInteraction with University, BrazilWhy these events? reinforcedImpact: severe weather Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceSALLJ: South American Low Level Jet

MCS 2008/21/10NOAA-AVHRR RGB124@18Z

Salio et al, MWR, 2007Frequency of convection (IR brightness < 218K) for MCS-SALLJ days Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceZonda (NW Argentina) Puelche (Southern Chile)

GOES WV ChannelMCSBuenos Aires

red: T, blue: dew point, black: surface pressure Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceSteps involved in developing this project:

Milestone 1: Nomination of teamsMilestone 2: Orientation training sessionsMilestone 3: Literature survey and CMs selectionMilestone 4: Training phaseMilestone 5: Quicklook collectionMilestone 6: Detailed development of selected CMsMilestone 7: Scientific Review phase

Present stage Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceQuicklook example

2002/12/19

Reasons for selecting this case:1. MCS associated with the SALLJ event was one of the biggest during the warm season of 2002-2003.2. High values of accumulated rainfall over central-east of Argentina.Additional information:Squall line.Initiation: Potencial Convective InstabilityCVA at mid levels. Discontinuity of water vapor at low levels.Convergence at the exit region of the LLJ.

Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceThis initiative have already had some spin-offs:

More interaction between different departements within the NMS and with the University

Chance to explore new key parameters/variables (suchTermal front parameter) which better describe our regional events

It revealed gaps of information to develop other CMs regional scientific studies to match the SatManu contents are needed

Points out the need of skill and technical support for the implementation of the e-learning training

We need support to form trainers

Merci Beaucoup!

Thank you! Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop 26-30 August 2013 Toulouse, FranceVesa Nietosvaara, EUMETSAT:Experiences in Managing Virtual Teams.Experiences in Managing Virtual TeamsVesa NietosvaaraVirtual team Conceptual Models for SH: ~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheres

Slide: 24

Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH: ~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheresSlide: 25For one minute imagine you are managing this project.

Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH: ~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheresSlide: 26For one minute imagine you are managing this project.As a Project Manager, what worries you the most?

Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH: ~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheresSlide: 27For one minute imagine you are a Team Member in this project.

Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH: ~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheresSlide: 28For one minute imagine you are a Team Member in this project.As a Team Member, what is you biggest expectation from Project Manager?Things I worry about:Slide: 29Things I should worry about:Slide: 30DEVELOPING TRUST (After Fisher: The Distance Manager)Slide: 31SUMMARY:The Content Objectives of Virtual Team CM4SHSlide: 32

Vortex deformation cloud Baroclinic leafComma cloud

MCSBuenos Aires

To collect, create and share resources about CMs for Southern Hemisphere. To increase the operational forecasters understanding of the weather systems with the help of CMs.

SUMMARY:The Process Objectives of Virtual Team CM4SHSlide: 33

Vortex deformation cloud Baroclinic leafComma cloud

MCSBuenos AiresTo establish a virtual team that can work together and support each other despite the distance, team members trusting and inspiring each other.