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1 CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 Québec City – November 29, 2011
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Page 1: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

1

CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVESCONFERENCE 2011

Québec City – November 29, 2011

Page 2: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

2

Contents

• The Canadian Financial Environment

• Key 2011 highlights at MX

• Key MX Initiatives for 2012

Page 3: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

3

The Canadian Environment

Canada’s financial brand is now stronger than at any time in

recent history.

Page 4: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

4Chart:  Canada_Presentation_25Aug11.xlsxTable: ditto

SPX EEM TSX

Annualized Volatility 26% 43% 32%

Total Return in US$ -9.24% +22.59% +30.85%

31 Dec 2006 to 17 Aug 2011

Correlation of Monthly Returns SPX to EEM SPX to TSX TSX to EEM

0.85 0.86 0.91

Since the global financial crisis in 2008 and 2009

Source: archerETF Portfolio ManagementO Canada Presentation

Page 5: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

5

Canada is a developed market... ...with its fortunes tied to emerging market demand for its commodities

Stable, conservative government Major oil producer, in Alberta and east coast offshore

Prudent financial market regulations and controlled bank sector

Major timber, wheat and potash producerMajor gold and precious metals producer

High per capita income and relatively low income disparity

Good but low-profile relations with emerging markets

Universal public health care reduces employers’ costs Large immigrant groups

A developed emerging economy

Source: archerETF Portfolio ManagementO Canada Presentation

Page 6: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Metric Latest Canada United StatesGDP/Capita 38,900 42,700

Govt Revenue % of GDP 38% 31%

Govt Expenditure % of GDP 44% 41%

Govt Budget Deficit % of GDP -5% -11%

Gross Govt Debt % of GDP 84% 92%

Net Govt Debt % of GDP 32% 65%

Savings % of GDP 19% 12%Unemployment % 8% 10%

Income Inequality GINI 0.32 (Like France) 0.45 (Like Uganda)

Comparing finances

Source: archerETF Portfolio ManagementO Canada Presentation

Page 7: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

7

BAX Contract, 9 months

BAX: Price & Volatility

97.8

98.0

98.2

98.4

98.6

98.8

99.0

99.2

Sep

-10

Oct

-10

No

v-1

0

Jan-

11 11-

beF

11-rp

A May

-11 11-l

uJ

11-g

uA

11-pe

S

Pri

ce

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

Vo

lati

lity

Price

30 Day Volatility

Page 8: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

8

CGB Contract

CGB: Price & Volatility

118

120

122

124

126

128

130

132

134

Sep

-10

Oct

-10

No

v-10

Jan

-11

Feb

-11

Ap

r-11

May

-11

Jul-

11

Au

g-1

1

Sep

-11

Pri

ce

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

Vo

lati

lity

Price30 Day Volatility

Page 9: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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SXF Contract

SXF: Price & Volatility

635

655

675

695

715

735

755

775

795

815

Sep

-10

Oct

-10

No

v-10

Jan

-11

Feb

-11

Ap

r-11

May

-11

Jul-

11

Au

g-1

1

Sep

-11

Ind

ex L

evel

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

26%

28%

30%

32%

Vo

lati

lity

Price 30 Day Volatility

Page 10: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

10

Key 2011 Highlights at MX

Page 11: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Key facts and figures

• Total volume UP 46.1% [1]

• Interest rate derivatives UP 51.5% [1]

• Equity and ETFs options UP 49.9% [1]

• Open interest UP 32.8% [2]

[1] January to September 2011 compared to the same period in 2010[2] On September 30th , 2011 compared to the same date in 2010

– BAX

• Daily volume record on August 4, 2011

• Open interest record on August 4, 2011

– Equity Options

• Daily volume record on November 15, 2011

• Monthly volume record in January 2011

• Open interest record on January 21, 2011

A year of records!

Page 12: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

12

BAX – Quarterly ADV Trend

Average Daily volume

43,250

52,90359,713

55,14551,336

78,324

104,761

87,106

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11

Page 13: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

13

CGB – Quarterly ADV Trend

Average Daily volume

22,882 22,672

29,489

24,18326,105

29,096

33,503 33,067

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11

Page 14: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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SXF – Quarterly ADV Trend

Average Daily volume

16,05415,005

19,463

16,334

14,05015,655

16,487

19,240

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11

Page 15: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Average Daily volume

73,152 68,70679,566

70,833

94,143

109,04598,753

120,793

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11

Equity & ETF Options - Quarterly ADV Trend

Page 16: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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New Products

New Products Product Details Launch DateS&P/TSX 60 Index Mini Futures

A quarter of the S&P/TSX 60 Index Standard Futures

May 2011

Overnight Index Swap Futures

A short term interest rate contract referenced to the Bank of Canada fixed announcement dates

Planned for January 2012

Share Futures Futures on individual Canadian stocks

Planned for January 2012

New Equity Options Classes

51 new listings From January 25, 2011 to November 8, 2011

Page 17: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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MX Approved Participants

Canada51 part icipant s

U.S.A.32 part icipant s

U.K.8 part icipant s

Page 18: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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New Participants

• Jump Trading International Ltd

• Citadel Securities LLC

• Spire Europe Ltd

• Marex North America LLC

• Hudson River Trading Europe Ltd

• DV Capital LLC

• Virtu Financial BD LLC

• FCStone LLC

• Dundee Securities Ltd

Page 19: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Recent Functionalities and Market Changes

• Post-Trade Anonymity (April 25, 2011)

• Risk Management Tools: Drop Copy, Global Cancel and While Connected Functionalities (September 26, 2011)

• User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011)

• Committed Orders Functionality (in production on November 26, 2011)

• Opening of the Options Market at 9:30 am (Q1 2012)

Page 20: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Key MX Initiatives for 2012

Page 21: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Key MX Initiatives for 2012

1) Broadening our product line and improving liquidity in ourcore fixed income and equity offering

• Initiatives supporting CGZ, CGF, OBX, and SXO, SXF, SXM• Adjusting to the evolving regulatory landscape of the OTC market

2) Aggressively pursuing international clients

• New office presence in US; extended trading hours and evolving rules for foreign access and clearing

3) Investing with our distribution partners to develop the Canadianretail derivatives market

• Online educational content, co-marketing initiatives, new retail-oriented products

4) Enhancing our technology platform

• New pre-trade risk management tools; expanding capacity and throughput; flex options functionality

Page 22: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Maple – The Right Path Forward

A quick update

•TMX Group’s support agreement announced on October 30, 2011 to accelerate our growth, drive our innovation and improve our competitiveness on the world stage

•Maple’s investors share and support the vision of the Montréal Exchange’s continued international expansion directed from Montréal in trading and clearing derivatives

•Regulatory approval process underway including public hearings with targeted closing date of Q1 2012

Page 23: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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Have a great CADC 2011 conference!

Page 24: CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVES CONFERENCE 2011 · • User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011) • Committed Orders Functionality (in

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