+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Day 2016

Date post: 16-Jan-2017
Category:
Upload: phamcong
View: 213 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
31
VOPAK ASIA’S COMPETITIVE POSITION ROYAL VOPAK PATRICK VAN DER VOORT, PRESIDENT VOPAK ASIA 16 JUNE 2016 Operators in front of the new LPG facility following the successful start-up at the Banyan terminal
Transcript
Page 1: Capital Markets Day 2016

VOPAK ASIA’S

COMPETITIVE POSITION

ROYAL VOPAK

PATRICK VAN DER VOORT, PRESIDENT VOPAK ASIA 16 JUNE 2016

Operators in front of the new LPG facility following the successful start-up at the Banyan terminal

Page 2: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

2

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

The presentations contain ‘forward-looking statements’, based on currently available plans and forecasts.

By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and

depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future, and Vopak cannot guarantee the accuracy

and completeness of forward-looking statements.

These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, factors affecting the realization of ambitions and

financial expectations, developments regarding the potential capital raising, exceptional income and expense

items, operational developments and trading conditions, economic, political and foreign exchange

developments and changes to IFRS reporting rules.

Vopak’s outlook does not represent a forecast or any expectation of future results or financial performance.

Statements of a forward-looking nature issued by the company must always be assessed in the context of the

events, risks and uncertainties of the markets and environments in which Vopak operates. These factors

could lead to actual results being materially different from those expected, and Vopak does not undertake to

publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements.

Capital Markets Days 2016

2

Page 3: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

3

Asia’s importance for world economic growth

o Regional mega trends

o Impact on end-markets and product flow developments

Vopak Asia’s strategic agenda

Vopak Asia’s competitive position

o Vopak Asia’s network

o Competitive position

o Regional developments

Opportunities through partnerships and customer relationships

SUMMARY KEY TOPICS

Page 4: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

4

THE RISE OF ASIA CONTINUES ASIAN ECONOMY VITAL FOR GLOBAL GROWTH

China is expected to overtake the US by 2025 and maintain its position as the

largest economy until 2050

India is expected to move up the rankings to 3rd place

Indonesia is expected to leap into the top ten world economies

NOTE: in nominal GDP in US dollar terms

SOURCE: IMF & World bank (2015)

Regional share of global GDP

In percent

20%

0%

60%

100%

40%

80%

2011-18 2019-30 2001-10 2031-40 2041-50 1981-90 1991-2000

Europe Middle East & Africa Asia-Pacific Americas

9.671

9.812

9.826

France [10]

UK [9]

Mexico [8]

Brazil [7]

Germany [6]

10.334

11.334

Japan [5] 11.367

Indonesia [4] 15.432

US [2] 70.913

India [3] 63.842

China [1] 105.916

2050

Page 5: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

5

SUSTAINABLE GROWTH ASIA ECONOMICALY VIBRANT

Asia GDP growth (y-o-y %)

36%

31%

11%

8%

6%

8% Australia

India

China

SEA region1

Japan

100% = 15,641 bn US$

4%

0%

6%

2%

-2%

15 14 2012 13 20162

South Korea

Australia

China

SEA region1

India

South Korea

Japan

8%

1 SEA (South East Asia) region includes Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam 2 Based on Wood Mackenzie forecast

SOURCE: Wood Mackenzie (2016)

Asia Absolute GDP (2015, %) Asia GDP growth (Y-o-Y %)

Page 6: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

6

LONG-TERM TRENDS INCREASE IN ENERGY AND CHEMICAL DEMAND

Industrialization and

urbanization in emerging

economies

Changing

demographics

Geopolitical

developments

and global trade

Page 7: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

7

RISE OF THE MIDDLE CLASS RESULTING IN MORE CONSUMPTION

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

2030 2020 2010 2000

Rich

Middle

Poor

Popula

tion (

in m

illio

ns)

SOURCE: The new global middle class: A cross-over from West to East, China’s emerging middle class: Beyond economic transformation, Brookings Institution Press

~25%

~40%

~60%

% Share middle class of (forecasted) global population

The number of middle class consumers is projected to rise significantly

over the next 15 years mostly in Asia

Page 8: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

8

WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION INCREASE SUPPORTED BY NON-OECD ASIA

World energy consumption

Quadrillion Btu

Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook May 2016

0

400

200

600

800

2012 2020 2030

Non-OECD Asia

Other Non-OECD

OECD

2040

Page 9: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

9

AUTOMOTIVE BUSINESS ONE OF THE DRIVERS FOR DEMAND GROWTH

Transport

Fuel

(Gasoline, Diesel)

Plastic Component

(Rubber, Adhesives, Synthetics)

Global Car Growth

(China, India, U.S.)

Page 10: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

10

ASIAN OIL MARKET DYNAMICS CHINA’S SHIFT TO A SERVICE-ORIENTATED ECONOMY

China’s gasoline demand will grow faster than diesel

SOURCE: Wood Mackenzie (2016)

China Oil Demand Change (in kb/d)

Page 11: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

11

Non-OECD nations will account for 76% of the growth in natural gas consumption

SOURCE: EIA, International Energy Outlook May 2016

GROWING GAS MARKET LPG EXPORTS WILL FLOW TO ASIA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2025 2020 2012 2040 2035 2030

OECD Non-OECD

World natural gas consumption Trillion cubic feet

Traditional

LPG Demand: (residential &

commercial sectors)

Emerging

LPG Demand: (petrochemical

feedstock)

Page 12: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

12

Malaysia

USD ~20 bn 300 kb/d

Refinery and Petchem

complex with 7.7

million tons output

from 2019 (RAPID)

Indonesia

Pertamina is assessing a

new cracker JV with

PTTGC. Honam is

considering to building a

USD 5 bn cracker

India

5-6 locations appointed by

the Indian government as

Petroleum, Chemicals and

Petro-chemical Investment

Regions (PCPIR).

PETROCHEMICAL CLUSTERS DEVELOPMENTS DRIVEN BY END-MARKETS

Locations with feedstock advantage

Locations close to end markets

Iraq

Shell is developing in a world-

scale cracker and derivative

complex in Basrah

Iran

Iran plans to double the petrochemical

production to 120 million tons before

2018. Expansions planned in several

clusters especially Assaluyeh.

China

7 locations along the

coast line selected by the

Chinese government

under the 13th 5-Year

Plan (2016 – 2020).

Caojing and Gulei are 2

of them

Vietnam

Two petrochemical

complexes with

involvement of Middle

Eastern players under

study

If all the known projects in US are

built (~20 mln tons of ethylene

based on ethane), the world still

needs another 50 mln tons based

on other feedstock to satisfy

demand by 2035

KSA West Coast

• Petro Rabigh II chemical expansion approved by 2018

• Jizan refinery & aromatics under construction, 400kbpd by 2019

• Yanbu oil-to-chemicals under consideration

KSA East Coast

• Sadara to come online in Q1 2016

• SATORP II includes aromatics capacities integrated with refinery

• Bahrain – developing aromatics complex integrated with refinery

• Sabic expansions to come online between 2016 – 2017

Page 13: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

13

VOPAK ASIA’S STRATEGIC AGENDA

Where do we play

o Existing portfolio well-positioned and aligned to product flow developments

o Selective growth opportunities at existing terminals and in new locations

How do we win

o Further improve sustainability performance

o Enhance service delivery

o Focus on productivity and cost competitiveness

o Capitalize on strong partnerships

o Leverage on key account and network customers’ relationships

Enablers

o People development

o New technologies

Page 14: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

14

VOPAK ASIA IN CLOSE UP

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

4.7

11.5

YTD

2016

Capacity development in million cbm

9 23 countries terminals

Ownership CBM

Vopak Terminal Kandla 100% 254,727

Vopak Terminal Jakarta 49% 251,025

Vopak Terminal Merak 95% 80,400

Vopak Terminals Korea – Ulsan 51% 274,600

Kertih Terminals 21% 395,896

Pengerang Terminal 44% 1,319,322

Vopak Shanghai - Caojing Terminal 50% 441,036

Vopak Terminal Ningbo 50% 71,050

Vopak Terminal Shandong Lanshan 42% 183,800

Vopak Terminal Tianjin (Etylene) 50% 53,000

Vopak Terminal Tianjin Lingang 50% 375,300

Vopak Terminal Zhangjiagang 100% 498,490

Haiteng Gulei 30% 896,000

Hainan Yangpu 49% 1,337,055

Vopak Singapore - Banyan Terminal 70% 1,449,763

Vopak Singapore - Penjuru Terminal 70% 283,850

Vopak Singapore - Sakra Terminal 70% 288,070

Vopak Singapore - Sebarok Terminal 70% 1,263,079

Banyan Caverns Storage Services n.a. 480,000

Thai Tank Terminal 49% 713,000

Vopak Vietnam 100% 48,200

Vopak Terminals Darwin 100% 173,583

Vopak Terminal Sydney - Site B 100% 371,650

Hub Terminals

Distribution

Terminals

Gas Terminals

Industrial

Terminals

Page 15: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

15

ASIA’S COMPETITIVE POSITIONING A WELL-POSITIONED AND DIVERSIFIED NETWORK

9 countries

23 terminals

11.5 million cbm

All product groups

Hub locations Deficit markets Industrial terminals Gas markets

1 country

1 terminals

1.2 million cbm

Oil storage

Hub locations

4 countries

9 terminals

2.2 million cbm

Oil, chemicals, gas

Hub locations Deficit markets Gas markets

6 countries

12 terminals

1.6 million cbm

Oil, chemicals, gas

Hub locations Deficit markets Gas markets

Three global competitors

in the Asian region

Page 16: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

16

SINGAPORE STRAITS OIL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENTS

0

5.000.000

10.000.000

15.000.000

20.000.000

2020

28%

2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

15%

Vopak incl. Pengerang

Competition

CBM

Page 17: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

17

SINGAPORE STRAITS OIL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENTS

Oil Capacity Growth (2015-2020, kcbm)

Pengerang

(Malaysia)

Tanjung Bin

(Malaysia)

Karimun

(Indonesia)

Banyan,

Sakra

(Jurong Island)

Sebarok,

(Singapore)

Tanjung Langsat

(Malaysia)

Major independent storage providers

Vopak terminals

Source: Wood Mackenzie (2015)

Oiltanking,

Horizon,

Tankstore,

Stolthaven

PetroSeraya,

(Singapore) -

500

1.000

1.500

2015CapacityAddition

2016-2020CapacityAddition

(Thousands c

bm

)

Jurong Port-Oiltanking

Vopak Pengerang(PT2SB)

ATB Tanjung BinSdn Bhd

PT OiltankingKarimun

Vopak Pengerang(PITSB, Phase 1C)

Penjuru,

(Singapore)

Page 18: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

18

VOPAK ASIA’S CUSTOMERS WELL-BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

Supermajors

National oil

companies

(NOC)

Regional /

Private

Chemicals Traders

75% of revenues

Some examples, for illustration purposes only

Page 19: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

19

VOPAK ASIA’S PRODUCT MIX A BALANCED PORTFOLIO

Vopak Asia revenue by product (2012-2015)

*Oils include Crude, Condensate, Clean and Dirty Petroleum Products

**Chemicals (include baseoils, vegoils and biofuels),

*** Revenue based on proportionate consolidated information

Oils

o Start-up operations new terminals

Pengerang and Hainan

o Contango market in second half of 2015

and high Asian refinery utilization

(incentivized by attractive margins)

Chemicals

o China faced a slower growth trajectory,

yet a booming domestic supply of

petrochemicals. With a declining import

dependence, this led to less export flows

from Asia to China.

47%

4%

49%

2015

41%

2012

6%

53%

Oils*

Chemicals**

Gases

+4%

Page 20: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

20

VOPAK ASIA’S CUSTOMERS GROWTH FOCUS IN CUSTOMER BASE

Traders

o Trading activity is subdued due to

economic headwinds and high market

volatilities

Chemical

o Asian petrochemicals producers grew

in line with the cost advantage

associated with low feedstock prices

Supermajors

o Strong downstream performance due

to attractive refinery margins in 2015

-10% 0% 10% 20%

Supermajor

NOC

Chemical

Private

Trader

Customer Y-o-Y growth (2012-2015)

Page 21: Capital Markets Day 2016

21 Capital Markets Days 2016

EXPANDING THE BUSINESS STRENGTH OF NETWORK ACCOUNTS

Singapore

Indonesia

Australia

Thailand

South Korea

Malaysia

Vietnam

Presence of multi-site customers (2012)

Addition of multi-site customers (2015)

Page 22: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

22

STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS ESSENTIAL PART OF VOPAK ASIA STRATEGY

Ports

NOC’s

Local government

EPC companies

Others

Local distributors

Local

knowledge &

easier market

penetration

Regional

diversity

Risk

reduction

Increase in

effectiveness

and success

Local

regulatory

requirements

Gateway to

future

potential

cooperation

Why? With whom?

Page 23: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

23

PARTNERSHIPS IN ASIA IN PERSPECTIVE

Capacity

Average capital

employed*

EBITDA contribution

11.5m

cbm

EUR

289m

EUR

1.4b

Group subsidiaries

Joint ventures with Vopak management control

Joint ventures without Vopak management control

Joint ventures with joint management control

6/9 18/23

countries terminals

Hub location with joint venture terminals

Terminals with partnerships

Subsidiaries with100% ownership

*As per 31 December 2015

Page 24: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

24

VALUE CREATION THROUGH OUR PARTNERSHIPS

Anchor

tenant

Specific

knowledge & expertise

Local

content

Jakarta, Indonesia

Banyan, Singapore

Kertih, Malaysia

Capital Markets Days 2016

24

Page 25: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

25

ANCHOR TENANT EXAMPLE: KERTIH TERMINALS

o ~400,000 cbm storage capacity

o 20 year agreement with users

o Handling & storage and distribution

services

o 3.2 million tons throughput per year

o Take or pay concept with strong

anchor tenants

o Gateway to future potential

cooperation

Kertih Terminals

40% 30% 30%*

Industrial terminal concept

with anchor tenants

*Participation through Vopak Terminal Singapore in which Vopak owns 69.5%

Page 26: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

26

\ o The industrial terminal will serve the

PETRONAS RAPID project

o total storage capacity up to 2.1 million

cubic meters, 157 acres Land Area

o Physical pipeline connectivity to

customers

o Integrated (storing feedstock & run down

products)

o Shareholders agreement signed on

19 December 2014

o Target completion by 2019

o Successful partnerships based on mutual

dependencies & learning

RAPID

Pengerang

Industrial

Terminal

Pengerang

Independent

Terminal

Pengerang Terminal Two

40% 25% 10% 25% Johor

State

(S.S.I)

AN EXTENSION OF SUCCESSFUL COOPERATION IN KERTIH

Page 27: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

27

o Leading logistics & supply chain

company in trading & distribution of

petroleum & basic chemicals in

Indonesia

o One of the largest distributors in

Indonesia

o Strategic import and distribution

terminal in the port of Jakarta

o Location allows customers short

delivery times to end users in the

Greater Jakarta area

LOCAL CONTENT EXAMPLE: VOPAK TERMINAL JAKARTA

Vopak Terminal Jakarta

51% 49%

Excellent local supply chain knowledge

Page 28: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

28

o International key player in

underground storage for liquid,

liquefied and gaseous

hydrocarbons

o Over 50 years in underground

storage facilities from consulting,

engineering to operations

o Phase 1A two caverns with

480,000 cbm of storage

o Phase 1B three caverns with

990,000 cbm of storage under

construction

SPECIFC KNOWLEDGE EXAMPLE: BANYAN CAVERN STORAGE

Unique know-how in underground storage

Banyan cavern

storage services

35% 20% 45%

Page 29: Capital Markets Day 2016

29

STRENGTHENING OUR NETWORK SUPPORTED BY GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

Jakarta & Merak, Indonesia: Expansion under consideration

Banyan Refrigerated

LPG, Singapore: Tank commissioned in Q1

2016

Hainan Yangpu,

China: Commissioned in Q3 2015

Vopak Terminal

New Project (till 2019)

Recently Completed Project (2015 only)

Expansion capacity under consideration

Pengerang, Malaysia: - PITSB: Phase 1C

completed in Q1 2015, with

expansion under

consideration

- PT2SB Project to be

completed in Q3 2019

Page 30: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

30

KEY TAKE AWAYS

Asia still leading global economic growth as a major international hub of

production, consumption and trade

Vopak Asia well-positioned to further strengthen it’s competitive position

Strategic direction of Asia Division fully aligned with Vopak’s strategic

orientation based on growth leadership, operational excellence and

customer focus

Strategic partnerships and customer base enabling future selective

growth opportunities at existing and new locations

Page 31: Capital Markets Day 2016

Capital Markets Days 2016

31

QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS


Recommended