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Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED MAY LOSE VALUE NO BANK GUARANTEE
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Page 1: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

Capital Markets Review

Dated October 31, 2008►

Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services

For Investors

NOT FDIC INSURED MAY LOSE VALUE NO BANK GUARANTEE

Page 2: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

22

Globalization and the Interdependence of Global Economies : The Virtuous Cycle

US Bond Market

US Housing Market

US Consumer

China IndiaEmerging

Asia

Commodity BasedEconomies

(e.g. Brazil, Canada, Russia)“Machine Tool” Economies

(e.g. Japan, Germany)

Low interest rates support the housing market

Houses acted as an ATM for the consumer

Consumer Goods are increasingly imported

Factories need to be built and supplied

Proceeds flow back into the US Bond market

Page 3: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

3

Two Vicious Cycles

Falling Housing Prices

Reduced Availability of Credit

Deleveraging Balance Sheets

Loan Portfolio Losses

Reduced Consumer Spending

Reduced Revenues of Consumer Oriented

Businesses

Lay-Offs

Financials Consumer

Page 4: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

4

Government Actions to Stem Financial and Housing Crisis

Liquidity & Crisis Aversion

Support for Homeowners & Consumers

Re-capitalization of Financial System

   

Fed auction facilities Tax rebate ($100 B)  

Fed repo programs FHA expansion  

Fed discount window access GSE expansion & assistance  

Bear Stearns financing Voluntary rate freeze plan

AIG takeover Other housing provisions  

Foreign Exchange Swaps

Fed rate cuts

 

   

GSE Conservatorship

Direct

Indirect

LEGEND

Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)

Direct Injection of Equity

Guarantee of MMarket Funds

Quantitative Easing

Source: FMRCo (MARE) as of 9/30/08.

Page 5: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

5

World responding!

EasingNeutralCzech Republic

EasingNeutralTaiwan

EasingNeutralAustralia

EasingTighteningChina

NeutralTighteningEuro-zone

NeutralNeutralUnited States

Monetary Policy

September 2008

Monetary Policy

July 2008

EasingNeutralCzech Republic

EasingNeutralTaiwan

EasingNeutralAustralia

EasingTighteningChina

NeutralTighteningEuro-zone

NeutralNeutralUnited States

Monetary Policy

September 2008

Monetary Policy

July 2008

Source: FMRCo (MARE) as of 9/30/08.

Page 6: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

6

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

Page 7: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

7

U.S Financial Landscape Changed Forever

Investment Banks

Retail Banks

Insurance

GSEs

Converted to bank holding companyGoldman Sachs

Converted to bank holding companyMorgan Stanley

Acquired by Bank of AmericaMerrill Lynch

BankruptcyLehman Brothers

Government intervened; sold*Wachovia

Bankruptcy & sold to JPMorganWashington Mutual

BankruptcyIndyMac Bank

Government seizureAmerican International Group

Government seizureFreddie Mac

Government seizureFannie Mae

Q3 EventInstitution Name

Investment Banks

Retail Banks

Insurance

GSEs

Converted to bank holding companyGoldman Sachs

Converted to bank holding companyMorgan Stanley

Acquired by Bank of AmericaMerrill Lynch

BankruptcyLehman Brothers

Government intervened; sold*Wachovia

Bankruptcy & sold to JPMorganWashington Mutual

BankruptcyIndyMac Bank

Government seizureAmerican International Group

Government seizureFreddie Mac

Government seizureFannie Mae

Q3 EventInstitution Name

*Initial announcement during Q3 was planned sale to Citigroup; subsequent to quarter-end, sold to Wells Fargo, and Citigroup contested the sale via litigation.Source: FMRCo (MARE) as of 10/3/08.

Page 8: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

88

Page 9: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

99

TED Spread – Proxy for Bank Risk Aversion

Source: Factset

'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

2.00

TED Spread

3 Month LIBOR minus 3 Month T-Bill 11/7/2008Average TED Spread

Page 10: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

10

Borrowers and Lenders - Liquidity

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Haver Analytics, FMRCo (MARE) as of 9/30/08.

Page 11: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

1111

US Housing: The Long Road Back

'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '0850

100

150

200

250

300

350Home Prices and Inflation (Indexed to 100)

US House Prices, S&P Case-Shiller 8/29/2008CPI 9/30/2008

Source: Factset

Page 12: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

1212

US Housing: The Long Road Back

'00 '02 '04 '06 '083

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Mo

nth

s S

up

ply

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

-17.72

9.40

US Housing

Change in Home Prices, Year over Year (Left Axis) 8/29/2008Months Supply of Homes on the Market (Right Axis) 9/30/2008

Source: Factset

Page 13: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

1313

The Consumer: Real Spending is Particularly Weak

Source: Factset

'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

2008StimulusChecks

-0.39

3.78

Consumer Spending (PCE)

YOY Change in Personal Outlays 9/30/2008YOY Change in Real Personal Outlays 9/30/2008Recession Periods - United States

Page 14: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

1414

Employment: Recession Levels

'86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08-400

-200

0

200

400

600

Th

ou

san

ds

-240.00

Employment

Nonfarm Payrolls 10/31/2008Recession Periods - United States

Source: Factset

Page 15: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

1515

Inflation: Problematic at Current LevelsFed is Banking on Economic Drag

Source: Factset

'84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

4.94

8.68

CPI & PPI

YOY Change in Consumer Price Index - All Items 9/30/2008YOY Change in Producer Price Index 9/30/2008

Page 16: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

16

NBER Key Recession Indicators

'89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

YOY Change in Industrial Production 9/30/2008Recession Periods - United States

'89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07-5%

0%

5%

10%

YOY Change in Personal Income 9/30/2008Recession Periods - United States

'89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

YOY Change in Manufacturing and Trade Sales 9/30/2008Recession Periods - United States

'89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

YOY Change in Non-Farm Payrolls 10/31/2008Recession Periods - United States

Source: Factset

Page 17: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

1717

“History doesn’t always repeat itself, but it does rhyme” Mark Twain

Page 18: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

18

Stock Market: Worst-Performing 10-year Periods Have Preceded Vastly Better Returns

S&P 500 Average Annual 10-Year Performance(1935-2008)

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

De

c-3

5

De

c-3

9

De

c-4

3

De

c-4

7

De

c-5

1

De

c-5

5

De

c-5

9

De

c-6

3

De

c-6

7

De

c-7

1

De

c-7

5

De

c-7

9

De

c-8

3

De

c-8

7

De

c-9

1

De

c-9

5

De

c-9

9

De

c-0

3

De

c-0

7

To

tal

Re

turn

(%

)

Source: Ibbotson, FMRCo (MARE) as of 9/30/2008. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. Please refer to the appendix for important index information.

Page 19: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

19

Fleeing to Safety Can Be Costly For Long-Term Investors

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Source: Lexis Nexis, Strategic Insight, FMRCo (MARE) as of 8/31/2008.

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

Ja

n-9

8

Ju

l-9

8

Ja

n-9

9

Ju

l-9

9

Ja

n-0

0

Ju

l-0

0

Ja

n-0

1

Ju

l-0

1

Ja

n-0

2

Ju

l-0

2

Ja

n-0

3

Ju

l-0

3

Ja

n-0

4

Ju

l-0

4

Ja

n-0

5

Ju

l-0

5

Ja

n-0

6

Ju

l-0

6

Ja

n-0

7

Ju

l-0

7

Ja

n-0

8

Ju

l-0

8

S&

P 5

00

Ind

ex

Le

ve

l

Money Markets % of All Mutual Funds

S&P 500 Index

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Jan

-98

Jul-

98

Jan

-99

Jul-

99

Jan

-00

Jul-

00

Jan

-01

Jul-

01

Jan

-02

Jul-

02

Jan

-03

Jul-

03

Jan

-04

Jul-

04

Jan

-05

Jul-

05

Jan

-06

Jul-

06

Jan

-07

Jul-

07

Jan

-08

Jul-

08Mo

ne

y M

ark

et

As

se

ts %

of

All

Mu

tua

l Fu

nd

As

se

ts

0

75

Peaks in money-market ownership coincided with the stock market trough

S&P 500, Money Markets Assets % of All Mutual Fund Assets (1998-2008)

Page 20: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

2020

Market Volatility at Historic Highs

Source: Factset

'92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '080

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Ind

ex

Le

ve

l

56.10

VIX

CBOE Market Volatility Index 11/7/2008

Page 21: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

2121

“I want my bubble back.”

Page 22: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

22

Historical U.S. Stock Bear Markets (1926 - 2008)

29%Yes-20%3 10/11/19907/16/1990

-39%

-22%

-22%

-27%

-28%

-30%

-34%

-36%

-43%

-48%

-49%

-60%

-86%

Bear Market Magnitude

-

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

?

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Recession During Bear?

46%22Average (excluding 07-08):

31%14 10/22/19578/2/1956

33%8 10/7/19662/9/1966

58%21 8/12/198211/28/1980

33%6 6/26/196212/11/1961

42%37 6/13/19495/29/1946

23%4 12/4/19878/25/1987

44%18 5/26/197011/29/1968

?12 10/10/200810/9/2007

38%21 10/3/19741/11/1973

34%31 10/9/20023/24/2000

59%61 4/28/19423/10/1937

124%34 7/8/19329/3/1929

1-Yr Return After Trough

Duration (Months)TroughPeak

29%Yes-20%3 10/11/19907/16/1990

-39%

-22%

-22%

-27%

-28%

-30%

-34%

-36%

-43%

-48%

-49%

-60%

-86%

Bear Market Magnitude

-

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

?

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Recession During Bear?

46%22Average (excluding 07-08):

31%14 10/22/19578/2/1956

33%8 10/7/19662/9/1966

58%21 8/12/198211/28/1980

33%6 6/26/196212/11/1961

42%37 6/13/19495/29/1946

23%4 12/4/19878/25/1987

44%18 5/26/197011/29/1968

?12 10/10/200810/9/2007

38%21 10/3/19741/11/1973

34%31 10/9/20023/24/2000

59%61 4/28/19423/10/1937

124%34 7/8/19329/3/1929

1-Yr Return After Trough

Duration (Months)TroughPeak

Historical U.S. Stock Bear Markets (1926-2008)

Source: ISI, Bloomberg, National Bureau of Economic Research, Haver Analytics, FMRCo (MARE) as of 10/20/2008. Recessions are defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research. [i] – All stock returns represented by S&P 500 Index returns.Past performance is no guarantee of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500®, a market capitalization-weighted index of common stocks, is a registered service mark of the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and has been licensed for use by Fidelity Distributors Corporation.

Page 23: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

23

Best U.S. Stock Returns Have Been Born Out of Troubled Times

Most Dramatic Fed Tightening in Past 20 Years251%Dec 1994

Worst Recession in Past 25 Years267%July 1982

Great Depression367%May 1932

Coincident EventSubsequent

5-Year ReturnDate

Three Best Periods to Enter the U.S. Stock Market Since 1926

Most Dramatic Fed Tightening in Past 20 Years251%Dec 1994

Worst Recession in Past 25 Years267%July 1982

Great Depression367%May 1932

Coincident EventSubsequent

5-Year ReturnDate

Three Best Periods to Enter the U.S. Stock Market Since 1926

U.S. stock market returns represented by total return of S&P 500® Index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest in an index.Three dates determined by best five-year market return subsequent to the month shown. Sources: Ibbotson, FMRCo (MARE) as of September 30, 2008.

Page 24: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

24

The Benefits of Diversification

Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss.U.S. Mid-Cap – Russell MidCap Index; U.S. Small-Cap – Russell 2000 Index; Foreign Developed Country – MSCI EAFE Index; Emerging Markets – MSCI Emerging Markets Index;Investment-Grade Bonds – Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index; Diversified Total Portfolio – Hypothetical portfolio composed of 60% U.S. stock portfolio (80% S&P 500, 15% U.S. Mid-Cap, 5% U.S. Small-Cap), 15% international stocks (75% Foreign Developed Country, 25% Emerging Markets), and 25% Investment-Grade Bonds. Source: Ibbotson, FMRCo (MARE) as of 6/30/08.

176%13%Emerging Markets

35%4%Diversified Total Portfolio

68%6%Investment-Grade Bonds

39%4%Foreign Developed Country

52%5%U.S. Small-Cap

83%7%U.S. Mid-Cap

1%0%U.S. Large-Cap

Total Return Over Period

Average Annual Total Return

176%13%Emerging Markets

35%4%Diversified Total Portfolio

68%6%Investment-Grade Bonds

39%4%Foreign Developed Country

52%5%U.S. Small-Cap

83%7%U.S. Mid-Cap

1%0%U.S. Large-Cap

Total Return Over Period

Average Annual Total Return

Jan 2000 – June 2008

Page 25: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

25

Missing Only a Few of the Stock Market’s Best Days Can Erode Long-Term Returns

The hypothetical example assumes an investment that tracks the returns of the S&P 500® Index and includes dividend reinvestment but does not reflect the impact of taxes which would lower these figures. There is volatility in the market and a sale at any point in time could result in a gain or loss. Your own investment experience will differ, including the possibility of losing money. You cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500®, a market capitalization-weighted index of common stocks, is a registered service mark of the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and has been licensed for use by Fidelity Distributors Corporation. Source: FMRCo (MARE) as of 10/31/08.

Fidelity Investments Institutional Services Company, Inc., 82 Devonshire Street, Boston, MA 02109. 510459.1.0

Hypothetical Growth of $10,000 Invested in the S&P 500® from Jan 1, 1980 – Oct 31, 2008

($1000s)

$45,703

$104,648

$134,842

$202,730

$22,969

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

All Days Missing Best 5Days

Missing Best10 Days

Missing Best30 Days

Missing Best50 Days

Va

lue

of

Inv

es

tme

nt

at

10

/31

/20

08

Page 26: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

26

Historical Performance During RecessionsAverage Annual Returns During a Recession (%)

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Staples Health Care Utilities Telecom Materials Discretionary Financials Energy Technology Industrials

Source FMRCo 9/30/2008 Sector returns represented by S&P 500 sectors. Please refer to the Appendix for important index information.

Page 27: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

27

The Global S-CurveSource: CIA World Factbook, Haver Analytics

Netherlands

Chile

Spain Singapore

Hong Kong

Italy

Sweden

UK

USA

Brazil

India

China

Mexico

Philipines

Japan

South Korea

Iraq

Ireland Norway

Belgium

Portugal

Canada

Australia

France GermanyDenmark

Mali

Zimbabwe

Nigeria

Pakistan

Tunesia

1,000

10,000

100,000

-100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Years of Economic Development

Per

Capita

GD

P (

2005 U

S$)

The Global S-CurveSource: CIA World Factbook, Haver Analytics.

Bubbles depict per capita oil consumption (2005 barrels per capita per year).

Russia

Tunesia

Pakistan

Nigeria

Zimbabwe

Mali

Denmark

Germany France Australia

Canada

Portugal

Belgium

Norway

Ireland

Iraq

South Korea

Japan

Philipines

Mexico

China

Brazil

USA

UK Sweden Italy

Hong Kong

SingaporeSpain

Chile

Netherlands

India

1,000

10,000

100,000

-100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Years of Economic Development

Per

Capita

GD

P (

2005 U

S$)

The Global S-CurveSource: CIA World Factbook, Haver Analytics.

Bubbles depict population as of 2005.

Russia

Netherlands

Chile

Spain Singapore

Hong Kong

Italy

Sweden UK

USA

Brazil

India

China

Mexico

Philipines

Japan

South Korea

Iraq

Ireland Norway

Belgium

Portugal

Canada

Australia

France GermanyDenmark

Mali

Zimbabwe

Nigeria

1,000

10,000

100,000

-100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Years of Economic Development

Per

Capita

GD

P (

2005 U

S$)

The Global S-Curve: Globalization to Continue

Page 28: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

2828

Fixed Income Markets: Yield Curve has Steepened

Source: Bloomberg® and FMR Co., as of 9/30/08

Years

-300-250-200-150-100-50

050

100150

0 5 10

in b

p

9/30/08Avg. 1983 - 20079/28/07

Individual quarters since 1983 are in gray

2

Historic Yield Curve Shapes

Page 29: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

2929

Fixed Income Markets: Spreads Reaching Extreme Levels

Source: FMR, Factset

88 91 93 96 98 01 03 06 08

0.5%

1%

1.5%

2%

2.5%

3%2.98

Credit Spreads

Yield Spread: Moody's Baa minus Moody's Aaa: 11/7/2008

Page 30: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

3030

High Yield and Emerging Market Debt: Risk Aversion Reaching Extremes

Source: Factset

'04 '06 '080

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

297.18418.45

655.97

1511.41

Spread vs US 10 Year Treasury

JP Morgan EMBI Global Spread 11/7/2008(AVG) EMBIMerrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Master II Yield to Worst 11/7/2008(AVG) ML US HYM II

Page 31: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

3131

Municipal Yield Ratios: Recent Flight to Treasuries

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Yield ratio is calculated as the yield to worst of Lehman Bros Municipal Bond benchmarks vs. its Treasury counterpart of the same maturity. Source: Factset

'02 '04 '06 '080.5

1

1.5

2

1.29

1.76

Municipal to Treasury Yield Ratio

Muni Yield divided by Treasury Yield (10Y) 10/31/2008(AVG) 10 Year AverageMuni Yield divided by Treasury Yield (1-2 Y) 10/31/2008(AVG) 1-2 Year Average

Page 32: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

3232

Floating Rate at Above Average Spreads

Source: Factset

'92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08200

220

240

260

280

300

320

340

275.33

Spread over Treasuries

CSFB Leveraged Loan Index, Spread 10/31/2008CSFB Leveraged Loan Index, Average Spread 10/31/2008

Spread over 3 month LIBOR

Page 33: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

33

Appendix

Page 34: Capital Markets Review Dated October 31, 2008 ► Produced by FIIS Investment Consulting Services For Investors NOT FDIC INSURED  MAY LOSE VALUE  NO BANK.

34

High Quality Credits – Spread over Treasuries

'06 '07 '080

100

200

300

400

500

600

215.00

255.00

350.00

500.00

Basis Point Spread over Treasuries - 10 Year Maturity

BBB RatedA Rated

AA RatedAAA Rated

Source: Factset

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3535

TIPS Break Even Spreads Reflecting Eased Inflation Concerns

Source: Factset

98 02 05 080.5%

1%

1.5%

2%

2.5%

3%

0.88

TIPS Break Even Spreads

10 Yr Tips 11/7/2008

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3636

Oil: A Huge Factor in the Global Economy

Source: Factset

'94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

65

70

75

80

85

90

61.03

85.23

Oil Price and Consumption

World Oil Consumption (million bbl/day) (Right) 6/30/2008WTI Light Crude Spot (Left) 11/7/2008

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3737

Commodities: Recent Correction

Source: Factset

'00 '02 '04 '06 '08$0

$25

$50

$75

$100

$125

$150

$175

61.03

Crude Oil

Spot Light Crude 11/7/2008

'00 '02 '04 '06 '08$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

375.50

Corn

Corn Futures 11/7/2008

'00 '02 '04 '06 '080

100

200

300

400

500

300.05

Commodities

Dow Jones - AIG Commodity Spot Index 10/31/2008

'00 '02 '04 '06 '08600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

930.99

S&P 500

S&P 500 11/7/2008

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3838

Aversion to Risk has Sent Yields Lower

Source: Factset 11-7-2008

6M 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 30Y0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

United States Government Bond Yield CurveOne Week Ago One Month Ago One Year Ago Now

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3939

Leading Indicators

Source: Factset

11/1/2005 11/2/2006 11/2/2007 11/3/200890

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106Composite Leading Indicators

Japan 9/30/2008 Euro Area 9/30/2008 UK 9/30/2008 China 8/29/2008USA 9/30/2008

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4040

Questions ?Questions ?

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Foreign investments, especially those in emerging markets, involve greater risks and may offer greater potential returns than US investments. These risks include the political and economic uncertainties of foreign countries, as well as the risk of currency fluctuations.

Sector investments may involve greater volatility than more broadly diversified investments.

The securities of smaller, less well-known companies may be more volatile than those of larger companies.Lower-quality debt securities involve greater risk of default or price changes due to the credit quality of the issuer.

All indices are unmanaged and assume the reinvestment of all distributions. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

MSCI/S&P Global Industry Standard is a classification scheme that offers a mean of classifying industry sectors globally so that holdings can be categorized consistently across both domestic and international equity funds.

The Consumer Price Index represents changes in prices of all goods and services purchased for consumption by urban households. Core Consumer Price Index is the consumer price index excluding food and energy.

GDP is the total value of goods and services produced in the US. Real GDP is GDP adjusted for changes in prices.

Leading Economic Indicators are selected economic statistics that have proven valuable as a group in estimating the direction and magnitude of economic change.

Fed Funds rate is the rate of interest on overnight loans of excess reserves among commercial banks.

The S&P 500 Index is a registered service mark of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and has been licensed for use by Fidelity Distributors Corporation and its affiliates. It is a unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index of common stocks. S&P Sector indices include Technology, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Integrated Oils, Other Energy, Materials & Processing, Producer Durables, Autos & Transportation, Financial Services, Utilities and Other

The Russell Top 200 Index®, is an unmanaged index comprised of the largest 200 companies in the Russell 3000 index. The Russell Top 200 Value and Growth indices comprise of value and growth stocks respectively as determined by Frank Russell & Co.

The Russell 1000 Index is an unmanaged index that consists of the largest 1000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index. This index represents the universe of large capitalization stocks from which most active money managers typically select. The Russell 1000 Value and Growth indices comprise of value and growth stocks respectively as determined by Frank Russell & Co.

The Russell MidCap Index is an unmanaged market capitalization weighted index of 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000 index which represents almost 35% of the total market capitalization. The Russell MidCap Value and Growth indices comprise of value and growth stocks respectively as determined by Frank Russell & Co.

The Russell 2000 Index is an unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index of 2,000 small company stocks. The Russell 2000 Value and Growth indices comprise of value and growth stocks respectively as determined by Frank Russell & Co.

The Russell 3000 Index is an unmanaged index which measures the performance of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies based on total market capitalization, which represents approximately 98% of the investable U.S. equity market. As of the latest reconstitution, the average market capitalization was approximately $4.6 billion; the median market capitalization was approximately $732 million. The index had a total market capitalization range of approximately $487 billion to $147 million.

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Bonds are rated by agencies such as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Investor Services with ratings that measure the risk of default.

Bonds rated AAA are considered to be the safest while those rated below BBB are considered to be “high yield” or below investment grade. Intermediate ratings of AA+ or BB- are often used to further differentiate bonds.

JP Morgan Emerging Markets Global Bond Index is a market value weighted index of US dollar denominated Brady bonds, Eurobonds, traded loans, and local market debt instruments issued by emerging market sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities, covering 27 emerging market countries.

Lehman Bros Municipal index is an unmanaged index of all investment grade municipal securities with at least 1 year to maturity.Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged market value weighted performance benchmark for investment-grade fixed rate debt issues, including government, corporate, asset backed , mortgage backed securities with a maturity of at least 1 year.

Lehman Brothers Credit Index is an unmanaged index composed of all publicly issued, fixed interest rate, nonconvertible, investment grade corporate, asset backed debt with at least 1 year to maturity

The Lehman Brothers TIPS Index is an unmanaged index comprising all US Treasury Inflation Indexed Notes and Bonds having a maturity of at least 1 year.

The Lehman Brothers Treasury Index is an unmanaged index comprising all US Treasury Notes and Bonds having a maturity of at least 1 year.

The Lehman Brothers Government Index is an unmanaged index comprising of the US Treasury & Agency bonds having a maturity of at least 1 year.

The Merrill Lynch High Yield Master II Index is a market value weighted index of corporate bonds publicly issued in the U.S. domestic market that have a rating of less than BBB3 and at least one year remaining term to maturity.

Ibbotson Intermediate Government Bond Index is a market value weighted index of US Government Bonds with maturity of at least 1 year.

The Organization of Economic Development, or OECD, is a multinational agency that monitors economic conditions in developed and developing markets.

30-year treasury and 10 year treasury are a fixed income securities backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government and are used as benchmarks for the pricing of various corporate fixed income instruments.

MSCI EAFE® index is a unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to represent the performance of developed stock markets outside the United States and Canada. As of June, 2000 the index included over 1,600 equity securities of companies domiciled in 22 countries.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a unmanaged price-weighted average of 30 blue-chip stocks that are generally the leaders in their industry and are listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

NASDAQ Index® a market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to represent the performance of the National Market System which includes over 5,000 stocks traded only over-the-counter and not on an exchange.

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The S&P 500®, a market capitalization-weighted index of common stocks, is a registered service mark of the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and has been licensed for use by Fidelity Distributors Corporation.

The following is a definition of the S&P 500 sectors: Consumer Discretionary – Companies that tend to be the most sensitive to economic cycles. Consumer Staples – Companies whose businesses are less sensitive to economic cycles. Energy – Companies whose businesses are dominated by either of the following activities: The construction or provision of oil rigs, drilling equipment and other energy-related service and equipment, including seismic data collection. The exploration, production, market, refining and/or transportation of oil and gas products, coal and consumable fuels. Financials – Companies involved in activities such as banking, consumer finance, investment banking and brokerage, asset management, insurance and investments, and real estate, including REITs. Health Care – Companies in two main industry groups: Health care equipment suppliers, manufacturers, and providers of health care services; and companies involved in research development, production and marketing of pharmaceuticals and biotechnology products. Industrials – Companies whose businesses manufacture and distribute capital goods, provide commercial services and supplies, provide transportation services. Information Technology – Companies in technology software & services, and technology hardware & equipment. Materials – Companies that are engaged in a wide range of commodity-related manufacturing. Telecommunication Services – Companies that provide communications services primarily through a fixed line, cellular, wireless, high bandwidth and/or fiber-optic cable network. Utilities – Companies considered electric, gas or water utilities, or companies that operate as independent producers and/or distributors of power.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact your investment professional or visit advisor.fidelity.com for a prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

Fidelity Investments Institutional Services Co., Inc. 82 Devonshire StreetBoston, Massachusetts 02109

509093.2.0


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