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RETAILING IN INDIA: The Impact of Hypermarket
INDIAN RETAIL-BRIEF OVERVIEWThe Indian retail sector is highly fragmented with more
than 90 per cent of its business being carried out by traditional family run small stores.
This provides immense opportunity for large scale retailers to set-up their operations – a slew of organized retail formats like departmental stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets and specialty stores are swiftly replacing the traditional formats dramatically altering the retailing landscape in India.
India is the third-most attractive retail market for global retailers among the 30 largest emerging markets, according to US consulting group AT Kearney’s report published in June 2010
RETAIL-MARKET SIZEThe total retail sales in India will grow from
US$ 353 billion in 2010 to US$ 543 billion by 2014 of which modern retailing accounts for 27 percent.
Indian retail sector accounts for 22 per cent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) and contributes to 8 per cent of the total employment.
Weekly MarketsVillage Fairs
Melas
Convenience StoresMom and Pop/Kiranas
PDS OutletsKhadi StoresCooperatives
Exclusive Brand OutletsHyper/Super MarketsDepartment Stores
Shopping Malls
Traditional/Pervasive Reach
Government Supported
Historic/Rural Reach
Modern Formats/ International
Evolution of Indian retail
Source of Entertainmen
t
Neighborhood Stores/Convenie
nce
Availability/ Low Costs / Distribution
Shopping Experience/Efficie
ncy
REASONS FOR THE GROWTHRobust economic growthHigh disposable income with the end-consumerRapid construction of organized retail infrastructure
are key factors behind the forecast growth. Expansion in middle and upper class consumer baseGrowth potential in India’s tier-II and tier-III cities as
well. The greater availability of personal credit and a
growing vehicle population providing improved mobility also contribute to a trend towards annual retail sales growth of 12.2 per cent.
Indian Retail – Buoyed by high GDP growth 8.90%
9.0%
6.8%6.0%6.0%
5.6%5.2%
6.4%6.6%
5.4%
9.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Projections of 8% sustainable real GDP growth rate till 2020 promise high growth potential for Indian
Retail…
Real G
row
th R
ate
Source :Central Statistical Organization (CS0)
Driven from Consumption Throughout the 1.1 Billion Population
5-7 million
Super Rich
70 – 80 million
Afford Cars, Private Healthcare & Foreign travel
250 - 300 million
Afford goods like Refrigerators , Scooters & Colour TVs
600-700 million (Generally Rural)Afford simple industrial products
e.g. bicycles , radios , textilesPoverty Line = income less than $ 1/day
Source: McKinsey,
50 % of India’s population are under 25 years
ORGANISED v/s UNORGANISEDThe total retail sales in India will grow from
US$ 353 billion in 2010 to US$ 543 billion by 2014 of which modern retailing accounts for 27 percent.
The Indian retail market, over the last decade, has been increasingly leaning towards organized retailing formats.
The pattern in domestic retailing is altering in the favor of organized modern retailing, a big change from the traditional plethora of unorganized family-owned businesses.
Cont..Rapid urbanization, changes in shopping
pattern, demographic dividend and pro-active measures by the Government are abetting the growth of the retail sector in India.
There are over 300 hypermarkets and 6,800 supermarkets in India
Hypermarket sales are expected to increase fivefold from 2009 to 2013, and supermarket sales are expected to increase 150 percent during the same period.
Each new store opening may draw customers from 20 to 25 kiranas and fruit and vegetable stands, affecting over 100,000 vendors.
Global Heavyweights in Indian RetailingJoint Ventures Product Range Retail Formats
Bharti-Walmart (with $2.5 Billion investment by Bharti)
Food & grocery, electronics & appliances, clothing & footwear, furniture & furnishing, household articles.
Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Convenience
Carrefour-Landmark Food and groceries, FMCG, apparel and electronics Hypermarkets
Home Retail Group plc - Shopper's Stop Ltd and Hypercity Retail India Private Ltd
Franchising the Argos concept under the terms of the arrangement, Argos will be providing its brand, catalogue and multi-channel expertise and IT support
Multi Channel propositions
Tata-Woolworths Sourcing agreement for Consumer durables and Foods under brand name CROMA
Multi brand retail chain
Staples Inc – Pantaloon Retail
Global Sourcing of Office equipments across various businesses
Cash and carry
Reliance Food & grocery, electronics & appliances, clothing & footwear, furniture & furnishing, household articles.
Multi format and Multi Category
Birla Food & grocery, electronics & appliances, clothing & footwear, furniture & furnishing, household articles.
Convenience and Supermarket
Retail - Government InitiativesIndia announced new rules for foreign
investment in retail by April 2012, paving the way for companies such as Wal-Mart Stores and Carrefour to open stores. A government panel has issued a report that recommends easing a law that prohibits non-Indian companies from operating multi-brand outlets. Allowing foreign investment in multi-brand retail may help moderate food prices,
Cont.India currently allows 100 per cent FDI in
single-brand retail and 100 per cent in wholesale cash-and-carry operations.
The government has also relaxed norms for downstream investments and convertible instruments, giving foreign companies more powers. The changes are part of the third revision of the Consolidated FDI Policy.
The Indian government is expected to spend $500 billion (U.S.) over the next few years to develop a world-class infrastructure, which should spur growth in the retail sector.
KEY CHALLENGES
THE KIRANA CRM practice Known about the customer’s families Credit and home delivery Consumer familiarity runs from generation
to generation Open longer hours and stock most of the
goods Consequently, a large number of customers
are not willing to pay a premium for the shopping experience promised by large format retailers.
HIGH COSTS FOR THE ORGANIZED SECTOR
High expenses to organized sector .The lease cost up to 6-10 percent of sales Manpower cost is lower at 5-6 percent of
salesCapital costs are more in retail business due
to major renovations needed every 5-7 years.
Organizing Retail in India-Challenges
Heterogeneous market
Product offerings in different stores across the country will be very different
No standard mode of operation across formats
Market not mature (has to be validated)
Infrastructure will bring about logistical challenges
Though, improvements in road networks, power supply are underway
Trained employees with understanding of retail business are inadequate compared to the needs of organized retail
Barriers to Entry
High taxes, bureaucratic clearance process and labour laws
High cost of real estate
though over 600 malls are to come up all over the country by the next 4 years
Indian retailers are deeply entrenched, are expanding and building on logistics and technology initiatives
ProcessesProcesses
•Complex Processes - Multiple MRP, Deals & Promotions, Forecasting & Replenishment, Lean supply chain – JIT inventory, flow through warehouse
•Evolving processes in Supply chain & merchandising•Global Best Practices not adopted
ConsumerConsumer
InfrastructureInfrastructure
•High disposable income•Changing consumer preferences•28 states, 100+ religion, 250+ festivals
•Supply chain not reliable. Cold storage infrastructure evolving•Outsourced transportation•Low level automation in warehouses
Supplier/VendorSupplier/Vendor
Current ITCurrent IT
•Little or no collaboration between vendor & retailer•Low fill rates from vendors•Highly localized assortments leading to relationship with multiple
vendors •Complex trading contracts and off invoice discounts•Multiplicity of disparate Systems & Data Formats•No architecture roadmap•Base ERP and home grown POS solutions. Low investments in store
systems•No investments in planning & optimization technologies
Challenges contd..Weakness of Player Retail not being recognized as an industry in india. The lack of recognition as an industry hampers the availability of
finance to the existing and new players. This affects growth and expansion plans
The high cost of real estate: Real estate price in some cities in India are amongst the highest in
the world. The lease or rent of the property is one of the major areas of expenditure, high lease rentals eat into the profitability of a
project. Lack of adequate infrastructure Poor roads , lack of a cold chain infrastructure, etc , hamper the development of food and fresh grocery retail in india. The existing supermarkets and food retailers have to invest a
substantial amout of money and time in building a cold chain network.
The Way Ahead
India is amongst the least saturated of all major global markets in terms of penetration of modern retailing formats
Many strong regional and national players emerging across formats and product categories
Most of these players are now gearing up to expand rapidly after having gone through their respective learning curves
Real Estate Developers are also moving fast through the learning curve to provide qualitative environment for the consumers
The Shopping Mall formats are fast evolving.
Partnering among Brands, retailers, franchisees, investors and malls
Improved Infrastructure
In view of a compressed evolution cycle, retailers need to
simultaneously address issues of speed, Execution and efficiency
Key Opportunities
Supply Chain Investments
• Setting up logistics and supply chain infrastructure
• Import of know how and logistics techniques from developed retail countries
IT Infrastructure
• IT is the enabler behind communication, collaboration with suppliers, and an efficient supply chain
Manpower
• Potential tie-ups with universities and setting up dedicated retail institutes
• Utilize experience of international retailers to train local talent
Large Rural market
RETAIL – ROAD AHEAD
There is a huge untapped opportunity in the retail sector, thus having immense scope for new entrants, driving large investments into the country.
A good talent pool, huge markets and availability of raw materials at comparatively cheaper costs are expected to make India lead one of the world’s best retail economies by 2042.
The industry is also slated to be a major employment generator in future.
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