CBRE HCMC Tenants EveningHCMC Tenants Evening
Q4 2011
20th October 2011
Presented by Chris Currie
Recent Headlines
CBRE | Page 2
Presentation Overview
Market Overview
Why companies move?
Supply - 2012
Windows of Opportunity
• Missed Windows of opportunity
Building a Lease
CBRE | Page 3
HCMC Office Market Overview Q4 2011
Trade-up your Grade B lease and get Grade A lease!
Face rents flat – effective rents up for grabsFace rents flat effective rents up for grabs
Monthly Enquiries : Q3 2010 vs. Q3 2011 – down 17%
Average Quarterly Absorption: 2010 – 56,742m2 vs. 2011 – 40,000m2
Excellent Incentives in SELECTIVE buildings are back
2012 supply under construction but what’s after this?
Experienced occupiers now see the opportunities on offerExperienced occupiers now see the opportunities on offer
Sex BACK in the city - Companies returning to the centre now more attractive terms are on offer
CBRE | Page 4
now more attractive terms are on offer
The Softening Dong
Currency Caps
Advance Rent Payments atAdvance Rent Payments at fixed exchange rates
VND denominated leaseVND denominated lease agreements
Returning Deposit in PrimarySource: Standard Chartered Bank; https://research.standardchartered.com/researchdocuments/Pages/ResearchArticle.aspx?&R=77756
Returning Deposit in Primary Currency
Date Exchange USD Effective VND % increaseOctober 20 2008 VND 16,600.00 $25.00 $25.00 VND 415,000.00October 20 2009 VND 17,852.00 $25.00 $26.89 VND 446,300.00 7.54%October 20 2010 VND 19,500.00 $25.00 $29.37 VND 487,500.00 17.47%October 20 2011 VND 20,940.00 $25.00 $31.54 VND 523,500.00 26.14%
CBRE | Page 5
For indicative purposes only – based on Vietcombank Transfer rate
, ,
HCMC Office Stock – Q3 2011
2,000,000
HCMC OFFICE STOCKExisting Space New Space Coming Online
1,500,000
, ,
500,000
1,000,000
02004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q3/2011
Q3 2011
9 - Grade A – 304,380 m2 Bangkok has 8 million m2 of office stock9 Grade A 304,380 m2
45 - Grade B – 767,270 m2
229 - Grade C – 772,038 m2
Bangkok has 8 million m2 of office stockSource: CBRE Thailand
CBRE | Page 6
TOTAL – 1,843,688 m2
Office Rents by Grade
ASKING RENTS BY GRADE
$80Grade A Grade B Grade C
$
$60
$20
$40
$0
$
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q3/20112003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q3/2011
CBRE | Page 7
HCMC Office Vacancy Rate by Grade
Overall market Vacancy runs at 16 8%
CBRE | Page 8
Overall market Vacancy runs at 16.8%
Major Buildings - What is available today?Approximate Available
Location Occupancy / CommitmentApproximate Available
Leasable SpaceBitexco Financial Tower D1 40.00% 24,102.00 m2Kumho D1 98.00% 1,100.00 m2,Metropolitan D1 98.00% 1,000.00 m2Sun Wah Tower D1 96.00% 961.00 m2Diamond Plaza D1 100.00% 0.00 m2Saigon Centre D1 96.00% 876.00 m2Saigon Tower D1 98.00% 250.90 m2Me Linh Point Tower D1 100.00% 0.00 m2A&B Tower D1 93.83% 1,614.00 m2Green Power D1 70.20% 3,947.30 m2Vincom D1 51.00% 37,091.00 m2CENTEC D3 98 00% 200 00 m2CENTEC D3 98.00% 200.00 m2Saigon Trade Center D1 92.00% 3,500.00 m2Maritime Bank Tower D1 54.00% 8,786.00 m2CentrePoint PN 97 50% 682 00 m2CentrePoint PN 97.50% 682.00 m2e town TB 98.80% 1,000.00 m2REE Tower D4 20.00% 13,800.00 m2Flemington D11 75.00% 7,000.00 m2
CBRE | Page 9
g
TOTAL 105,910 m2Source: Verified by Landlords or Landlords Representatives
HCMC Office Absorption Rate by Grade250 000
Grade A Grade B Grade C
150 000
200,000
250,000
50 000
100,000
150,000
0
50,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011-YTD
2011Take-Up*: Local 70% vs. Foreign 30%Sustainable? FDI Sensitive?
2007 Total 148,542 m2
*Approximate numbers based on CBRE
2008 Total 151,235 m22009 Total 154,459 m22010 Total 226 971 m2
CBRE | Page 10
2010 Total 226,971 m2Q3 2011 120,000 m2
CBRE Monthly Enquiries
CBRE Monthly Enquiries are down 17% from this time last year
Back to early 2010 levels
Sectors in Good demandBanking (local) Insurance
Education Industrial / Manufacturing
CBRE | Page 11
Education Industrial / Manufacturing
Oil & Gas
Windows of Opportunity
Why do companies move?
Not enough space – growth restrictionsFinancial savingsFinancial savingsImprove quality - Building / Image
• M&E• M&E• Management• Location• Access• Parking• Recruitment / RetentionRecruitment / Retention
= Competitive AdvantageCBRE | Page 12
Competitive Advantage
2012 Quality of the Supply
*Best in Class* designers / contractors – both local and foreignConstruction quality, M&E, floor design, workplace environment – higher efficienciesGreen accreditation – LEEDAmenities / Facilities – parking, F&B, access, security,
t
Handover for
management
Building Grade Total Leasable Floor PlateHandover for
Fit Out
Saigon One Tower A 50,000 m21,017m2 -1,175m2 Mar-12
President Place A 9,100 m2 748 m2 NFA Jun-12Le Meridien A 13,177 m2 1,883 m2 GFA Jul-12
Times Square A 12 704m2 1 588m2 NFA Mar-12
CBRE | Page 13
Times Square A 12,704m2 1,588m2 NFA Mar-12
APPROXIMATE TOTAL LEASABLE 84,277.00 m2
2012 Supply – Times Square12 704m2 leasable 8 office floors12,704m2 leasable – 8 office floorsTypical floor plate 1,588m2 NFAHandover for fitting out MarchHandover for fitting out March 2012Mixed use Office, Hotel, Retail,Mixed use Office, Hotel, Retail, Serviced apartment
*Best in Class* foreign designers/ contractors – Kumho / IT – Cisco / Arup ArchitectureArup - ArchitectureConstruction quality, M&E, square floor design workplacefloor design, workplace environmentAmenities / Facilities – F&B,
CBRE | Page 14
access, security
2012 Supply – President Place9 100m2 leasable9,100m2 leasableTypical floor plate 748m2 NFAHandover for fitting out JuneHandover for fitting out June 2012Ground, Mezzanine + 12 floorsGround, Mezzanine 12 floors of Office
Vietnam’s first LEED GOLDVietnam s first LEED GOLD certification office building*Best in Class* local est C ass ocacontractors – CotecconsConstruction quality, M&E, floor design, workplace environmentAmenities / Facilities – parking, F&B access security
CBRE | Page 15
F&B, access, security, management
2012 Supply – Saigon One TowerApprox 50 000m2 leasableApprox 50,000m2 leasableFloor plate 1,017 - 1,175m2 NFAHandover for fitting out MarchHandover for fitting out March 2012Mixed use Office, Retail,Mixed use Office, Retail, Residential
*Best in Class* designers / contractors – Foreign - BouyguesConstruction quality, M&E, floor design – raised floors, workplace environmentenvironmentAmenities / Facilities – parking, F&B, access
CBRE | Page 16
2012 Supply – Le Meridien
9,000m2 NFATypical floor plate 1,500m2 NFAHandover for fitting out July 2012Starwood Hotel and Office
*Best in Class* contractors –local Cotecconslocal - CotecconsConstruction quality, M&E, floor design, workplace environmentdesign, workplace environmentAmenities / Facilities – parking, F&B, access
CBRE | Page 17
The Vista – District 2Approx 9 500m2 leasableApprox 9,500m2 leasableFloor plate 993m2 Handover for fitting out FebruaryHandover for fitting out February 2012Mixed use Office, Retail,Mixed use Office, Retail, Residential
*Best in Class* designers / contractors – Foreign – China State HK / RSP & BenoyState HK / RSP & Benoy architectsConstruction quality M&E floorConstruction quality, M&E, floor design – workplace environmentAmenities / Facilities – parking,
CBRE | Page 18
F&B, access
Maximising Leverage
When approaching a building, things to look for:
Vacancy
Landlord’s Track Record – market understanding
L dl d’ fi i l t thLandlord’s financial strength
Pre-commitment – favourable terms
Time in operation – pain threshold
New Landlords will offer more for quick decisions
CBRE | Page 19
The GIVE and The TAKE
The Give The Take
Covenant Strength
Payment terms
Rent Free
Stepped Rents&Payment terms
Deposits
Stepped Rents
Free / Reduced Parking&
Longer Leases
Forego penalty-free
Attractive signage
Forego penalty-free termination clauses
Acquired spaceAcquired space
Speed to deal
CBRE | Page 20
Incentives / Flexibility on Offer
Rent Free Periods – to offset fit out costs
Stepped RentsStepped Rents
Longer fit out periods
Free or reduced parking
Free or reduced signage
CBRE | Page 21
Effective RentArea 1 361m2
Incentives DO count – 16% saving off the face rentArea 1,361m2Rent (based on NET area) $30.00m2 / monthService Charge $6.00m2 / monthVAT 10%Total Rent Inclusive $39.60m2 / month $39.60 sq.m / monthTotal Monthly Rent Only $40 830 00USDTotal Monthly Rent Only $40,830.00USDTotal Monthly Service Charge $8,166.00USDTotal Monthly VAT $4,899.60USDTotal Monthly Rental inclusive $53,895.60USDLease Period 60MonthsTotal Rent during Lease period $3,233,736.00USDTotal Rent during Lease period $3,233,736.00USD
IncentivesRent Free 9MonthsRent Free amount $367,470.00USD
$4.50m2 / month $35.10 sq.m / monthq
Signage (1m x 1.2m) 1.20m2Market Rate $250.00m2 / monthTotal Signage Cost for 5 year lease $18,000.00USD
$0.22m2 / month $34.88 sq.m / monthFree ParkingCars 4spacesMarket Rate $200.00monthTotal Car Parking for 5 year lease $48,000.00USD
$0.59m2 / month $34.29 sq.m / month
Motorbikes 70spacesMarket Rate $20.00monthTotal Motorbike parking for 5 year lease $84,000.00USD
$1.03m2 / month $33.26 sq.m / month
CBRE | Page 22
Contribution Towards Fitting Out$0.00m2 / month
Effective Rent after all incentives $33.26 sq.m / month
How Incentives Offset CAPEX – Live Examples
Area 365 m2 1,361 m2
Rent $40 00 m2 / month $33 00 m2 / monthRent $40.00 m2 / month $33.00 m2 / month
1st year rent $35.00 m2 / month $30.00 m2 / month
Monthly Rent $14,600 / month $44,913 / month
Fit Out Cost $350 m2 $350 m2
Approximate Fit Out $127,750.00 $476,350.00
R F P i d 2 h( ) 5 h( )Rent Free Period 2 month(s) 5 month(s)
Rent Free Amount $29,200.00 $224,565.00
Stepped Rent Saving $18,250.00 $28,581.00
Total Incentive $47,450.00 $253,146.00
CBRE | Page 23
$ , $ ,
Rent free as % of fit out 37.14% 53.14%
After 2012….No quality CBD supply until 2015!
Vietcombank Tower SJC TowerVietinBank
SJC Tower
CBRE | Page 24
BIDV Tower – Nguyen HueSaigon Centre Phase II
Don’t get caught with your pants down!
ASKING RENTS BY GRADE
$80
ASKING RENTS BY GRADEGrade A Grade B Grade C
$40
$60
$20
$40
$02003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q3/2011 2012 …2015/2011
Jun2002
Apr2005
Jul2005
Dec2006
Dec2007
May2008
Jan2009
Jan2010
Doubled and Halved2002 2005 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Low Zone 14 16 18 22 48 50 42 27
Mid zone 17 20 23 26 49 52 44 31
CBRE | Page 25
Mid zone 17 20 23 26 49 52 44 31
High Zone 20.5 24 28 28 50 54 46 32Notes: Rents excl SC & VAT
Q2 2011 Asian Rental Cycle
CBRE | Page 26
Think about your NEW space – Maximize usage
Use an experienced space planner
Make best use of the spaceMake best use of the space
Keep it flexible to allow for growth i.e. converting storage for desks asconverting storage for desks as headcounts increase
CBRE | Page 27
Building your lease
Build in provisions for growth / contraction• First right of refusal• Contraction• Termination
Assurances on future Property Management / MaintenanceIs there a sinking fund?s t e e a s g u dSuccession agreements – will the building be sold? Parking expansiong pLonger Leases – 5 years + and therefore get more incentives• Give and Take!
CBRE | Page 28
Summary
Better QUALITY and GREEN are coming
The window is OPEN – your Landlords are ready and waiting
Face rents may stay flat but the REAL value is in the i ti th ill b t k ff th t bl tiincentives – these will be taken off the table over time
Thi k b t k b tThink about your new space – make best use
Stay flexible Build your leaseStay flexible – Build your lease
Remain competitive and DON’T GET CAUGHT WITH
CBRE | Page 29
Remain competitive and DON’T GET CAUGHT WITH YOUR PANTS DOWN!
www.cbrevietnam.comOver 300 markets in more than 50 countries
49
33Thank YouWe obtained the information above from sources we believe to be reliable. However, we have not verified its accuracy and makeno guarantee warranty or representation about it It is submitted subject to the possibility of errors omissions change of price
Thank You
CBRE | Page 30
no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is submitted subject to the possibility of errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, prior sale, lease or financing or withdrawal without notice. We include projections, opinions,
assumptions or estimates for example only, and they may not represent current or future performance of the property. You and your tax and legal advisors should conduct your own investigation of the property and transaction.