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CCSR Lightning Seminars 7 th February 2006 What we’re doing, want to do, or have done www.ccsr.ac.uk
CCSR Lightning Seminars
7th February 2006
What we’re doing, want to do, or have done www.ccsr.ac.uk
Ludi Simpson
Guardian Front Page and late night on Key 103:
Getting a message to the press
www.ccsr.ac.uk
Would you believe this man?
More racial mixing message, November 2005
Radio national and international:BBC Asian Radio NetworkFive LiveBBC Radio WalesBBC Black 1-ExtraRT1 Dublin Pat Kelly phone inRadio Shropshire Jim Hawkins
phone-in
Radio regionalStar FM SloughImagine FM StockportBBC LeedsBBC West MidlandsBBC GMR Greater ManchesterSignal Radio StokeKey103 James H Reeve phone-
inPulse Radio West YorkshireGWR FM BristolRadio OldhamRadio CoventryRadio Leicester African-
Caribbean magazine and News
BBC London Geoff Schumann phone-in
Newspapers regionalLeicester MercuryBradford Telegraph and ArgusYorkshire PostSouth London Press, Robert DexHalifax Evening CourierLondon Evening StandardAldershot News and MailShields GazetteManchester Metro NewsIlford Recorder
Other mediaRadio 4 program on LozellsRegeneration and Renewal
MagazineBURISA urban and regional
information systems magazineGeoTV Aamir Ghauri Panel and
Phone-inCommunity NewswireSocialist ReviewYahoo NewsKuwait News agency Karamundi Online (web)Outlook India (web)Press Trust of IndiaSouth Asian Meida Network
Newspapers national and international:
Guardian, Vikram DoddsDaily Mail, Steve DoughertySocialist Worker, Kevin
OvendenDaily TelegraphPress AssociationFinancial Times, James
WilsonNew NationDie Welt, GermanyNew York TimesInternational Herald TribuneDaily Times, Lahore PakistanIl Sole, ItalyExpress India Dawn, Pakistan
Was it worth it?
Was it worth it?London Evening Standard
Leicester Mercury
Preparing for the press is like a job interview
• Don’t do it unless you have a clear message that you want to publicise
• Short press release– ½ page with one message– Further information on request– University media relations office (Jon
Keighren)– Language that cannot be mistaken
Duncan Smith
Managing the safe release of tabular data to multiple, non-collaborating
users
www.ccsr.ac.uk
Release of marginal cross-tabulations from some base cross-tabulation over many variables
Recovery of small (particularly zero) counts in the base table represents a disclosure risk
Restricting total release to a user so that low counts cannot be recovered
Assumption:
Users (which might be individuals / organisations) will not collaborate (share data)
Without this assumption all released data would have to be considered ‘released to the world’; the data released to one user could limit the data available to other users
Risk assessment is easy for total releases that form decomposable graphical models
Any subset of a safe release is also safe (in terms of ‘bounds’-based risk criteria)
Identify partial releases that will restrict further releases to a user
Allow the user to query the system and maximise their utility function (rather than some utility function assumed for the world)
Townsend deprivation 1991 & 2001
Micro-geography of UK demographic change 1991-01ESRC: Understanding Population Trends & Processes
Revisit & extend: harmonisation, EwC census adjustments
Similarly deprived?
Ageing in situ? Natural change cf net migration?
Gaining or losing population?
Longitudinal inter-relationships: ONS LS 1971-2001
Social mobility
Deprivation mobility
Geographical mobility
1. Health outcomes for individuals2. Aggregate effects of individual (im-)mobility
Selected examples of Innovation
Product innovationGoodso Fibre optic based display lighting rangeo Multi-function printer/ScannerServiceso IT based Credit Risk assessment services
o Geographical Information System software.
Examples which are not technological innovation: New models of complex products, such as cars or television sets, are not product innovation.
Data and Methods
Survey dataset, which contains information about levels and characteristics of the innovation activity of UK enterprises during the three year period 1998-2000
We have a sample of 4145 firms, they are manufacturing and services firms.
First approach: Cumulative logit models( Ordinal logistic regression)
Dependent variables: “Link with Consultants”, “Co-operations with Private Research Organizations” …
Data and Methods (continued)
Some Independent variables:
Absorptive capacity: which will enable the firm to learn from these sources (graduates employees (Scientists and engineers))
Size of firms Group membership Markets: Firms competing in international markets
arguably face greater competition and therefore have a greater need for specialist knowledge.
o other independent variables …..
Three types of SARs• Microdata available under a standard
end user license– CRS one-stop sign up, disseminated by CCSR– Individual licensed file– Small area microdata file SAM (this week?)
• Microdata distributed under a special license– Paper sign up, disseminated by UKDA, supported by
CCSR– Household special license file
• Microdata held in a secure setting at ONS– Application to ONS, results released after being
checked for disclosure risk– Individual Controlled Access Microdata (CAM) – Household CAM
Different purposes• For teaching
– End user license files only• For research
– Any, but start with the licensed files – you’ll only be able to use the CAMs if you’ve exhausted other possibilities
• For LA Geography– The Small Area Microdata– The CAMS offer more detail, in particular LA
geography on files other than the SAM• Sharing with overseas users
– The only file we can currently send abroad is the Individual Licensed file
What we’re up to now• Finishing touches to
– The SAM– The CAMS
• Sorting out outstanding missing / problematic variables– Fndepch– Missing genind
• Outreach focussing on:– SAM– Household data
• Derived variables and documentation • CCSR has won funding to continue
supporting the SARs for the next 5 years
The World Values Survey
Globally: 80 societies, 4 waves or rounds.
India: 1995 only (so far), 2002 respondents
1 = strongly agree
2 = agree
3 = disagree
4 = strongly disagree
…being a housewife is fulfilling…0
50
5
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Married Living Together
Div, Sep, Widowed Single
Den
sity
being a housewife fulfillingGraphs by married
Aims and Methods• To measure:
– Political knowledge, interest and socialisation
• To assess:
– Young adults’ experience of ‘citizenship’ education
• Questionnaire
– 21 questions
– Includes two ‘open’ questions on citizenship
– Administered to around 60 sixth-formers, and 70 undergraduates (N=130)
– Small sample so results merely indicative
– Informs future research
• Focus Groups
– 5 groups of sixth-formers
– Not chosen for political interest, but intend to go on to HE
• Initial results from the questionnaire
B S.E. Sig.
AGE -0.105 0.130 0.420
CITIZUSE 0.935 0.431 0.030
CLASS 0.867
CLASS(Working) 0.809 1.695 0.633
CLASS(Middle) 0.319 1.124 0.777
EDUYEARS 0.850 0.280 0.002
ETHNIC 0.056 0.145 0.696
POLENGIN -1.302 0.575 0.024
POLENGLO 0.310 0.698 0.657
POLENGNA 0.568 0.820 0.489
POLINTER 0.392 0.412 0.341
POLKNOW 0.326 0.508 0.521
POLSOCFA 2.506 1.025 0.014
POLSOCFR -1.067 0.972 0.272
RELIGIOU -0.118 0.219 0.590
SEX -2.521 1.355 0.063
Constant -11.017 5.160 0.033
Wil
l vo
te a
t n
ext
Gen
eral
Ele
ctio
n
N=130; -2LL 37.634; R2CS 0.425; R2
N 0.681
Open question responses• Improving political engagement
– Better understanding
– Being heard
– Reduce the voting age
– Make politics more interesting
– Make politics relevant to me
– Younger politicians
– Ethnic minority representation
– Simpler language
– Advertising
• Improving citizenship education
– Information
– Active participation
– Discuss issues relevant to me (not fox-hunting and euthanasia)
– Make it interesting and understandable
– Make it available
David Voas
The holy and the unholy:Neighbourhood variability in religion
www.ccsr.ac.uk
English wards (2001) No religion (%), men 25-49
(base excludes minority religious groups)
Unmet Need for Family Planning
NOYES
NOYES
NOYES
Want a child now ?
Using family planning?
Are you fecund and in a sexual union?
Unmet Need for Family Planning
NOYES
NOYES
NOYES
Want a child now ?
Using family planning?
Are you fecund and in a sexual union?
UNMET NEED
Unmet Need for Family Planning
NOYES
NOYES
NOYES
Want a child now ?
Using family planning?
Are you fecund and in a sexual union?
UNMET NEED
Sub-Saharan Africa:
Ghana = 34%
Rwanda = 39%
Measuring natural susceptibility: a question of degree?
SUSCEPTIBLE NOT SUSCEPTIBLE
Unmet need algorithm assumes absolute states
Measuring natural susceptibility: a question of degree?
VERY SUSCEPTIBLE
NOT SUSCEPTIBLE
But susceptibility is variable…. – frequency of sex - assumed constant – but isn’t
But surely susceptibility is variable…. – frequency of sex– assumed constant – but it isn’t
When last had sex By country
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
burkina ghana kenya rwanda zimbabwe zambia
within 2 weeks within last month within 6 months within 1 year over a year
% who had sex in last month By unmet need status
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
burkina ghana kenya rwanda zimbabwe zambia
contraception unmet need w ant birth soon
That’s all folks!
Slides are online atwww.ccsr.ac.uk/seminars
